DEMOGRAPHIC ASPECTS... (Deaths in stable populations) (unpublished)

Figure 26-II. -- Annual number of deaths by age and sex at the stable state (size of each stable population is 1 million per sex) (A) before the epidemic et (B) during a stable epidemic, with the following hypotheses: (A) Life expectancy is 50 years before the epidemic (west model), total female fertility (african) is 6.7 children per woman, HIV prevalence among population aged 15 and over reaches 15 %, mother to child transmission is 30 %, mean survival time (incub.+AIDS) of an adult is 10 years and 2 years for an infected new-born. distinguishing deaths of HIV- people, deaths of HIV+ people dying from AIDS and from other causes than AIDS. Also, mortality between 0 and 5 is zoome. Growth rate falls from 3.41 to 2.48 % per year.