Annotation of imach/html/doc/biaspar.gp, revision 1.7

1.5       brouard     1: 
1.7     ! brouard     2: # IMaCh-0.99r24
1.5       brouard     3: # biaspar.gp
                      4: set datafile missing 'NaNq'
1.6       brouard     5: cd "/Users/nbrouard/Documents/imach/cvs/imach/html/doc" 
1.5       brouard     6: 
1.6       brouard     7: #Diagram of the model 
1.5       brouard     8: 
1.6       brouard     9: delta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;
                     10: yoff=(2 > 2? 0:1);
1.5       brouard    11: 
1.6       brouard    12: #Peripheral arrows
                     13: set for [i=1:2] for [j=1:2] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(i-1)*2./2))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(i-1)*2./2)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(i-1)*2./2))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(j-1)*2./2)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(i-1)*2./2)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(j-1)*2./2))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)
                     14: 
                     15: #Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) 
                     16: set for [i=1:2] arrow (2+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(1-i)*2./2))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(1-i)*2./2)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(1-i)*2./2))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(1-i)*2./2)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4
                     17: 
                     18: #show arrow
                     19: unset label
                     20: 
                     21: #States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)
                     22: set for [i=1:2] label i sprintf("State %d",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(2-i)*2./2)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(2/2)*2./2)/2+(2-i)*2./2)) font "helvetica, 16" tc rgbcolor "blue"
                     23: 
                     24: set label 2+1 sprintf("State %d",2+1) center at 0.,0.  font "helvetica, 16" tc rgbcolor "red"
                     25: 
                     26: #show label
                     27: unset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;
                     28: 
                     29: 
                     30: set ter svg size 640, 480;set out "biaspar/D_biaspar_.svg" 
                     31: unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;
                     32: 
                     33: # Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.
                     34: #
                     35: 
                     36:  set log y; unset log x;set xlabel "Age"; set ylabel "Likelihood (-2Log(L))";
                     37: set ter pngcairo size 640, 480
                     38: set out "biaspar/ILK_biaspar-dest.png";
                     39: set log y;plot  "biaspar/ILK_biaspar.txt" u 2:(-$13):6 t "All sample, transitions colored by destination" with dots lc variable; set out;
                     40: 
                     41: set out "biaspar/ILK_biaspar-ori.png";
                     42: set log y;plot  "biaspar/ILK_biaspar.txt" u 2:(-$13):5 t "All sample, transitions colored by origin" with dots lc variable; set out;
                     43: 
                     44: 
                     45: set out "biaspar/ILK_biaspar-p1j.png";set ylabel "Probability for each individual/wave";unset log;
                     46: # plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5
                     47:  plot  "biaspar/ILK_biaspar.txt"  u  2:($5 == 1 && $6==1 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p11" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \
                     48: ,\
                     49:  "" u  2:($5 == 1 && $6==2 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p12" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ,\
                     50:  "" u  2:($5 == 1 && $6==3 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p13" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ;
                     51: set out; unset ylabel;
                     52: 
                     53: set out "biaspar/ILK_biaspar-p2j.png";set ylabel "Probability for each individual/wave";unset log;
                     54: # plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5
                     55:  plot  "biaspar/ILK_biaspar.txt"  u  2:($5 == 2 && $6==1 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p21" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \
                     56: ,\
                     57:  "" u  2:($5 == 2 && $6==2 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p22" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ,\
                     58:  "" u  2:($5 == 2 && $6==3 ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t "p23" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ;
                     59: set out; unset ylabel;
                     60: 
                     61: set out;unset log
                     62: 
                     63: # 1st: Forward (stable period) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =1 
                     64: #
                     65: 
                     66: set out "biaspar/V_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                     67: 
                     68: #set out "V_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                     69: set title "Alive state 1 ()" font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard    70: set xlabel "Age" 
                     71: set ylabel "Probability" 
1.6       brouard    72: set ter svg size 640, 480
                     73: plot [70:95] "biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3:1/0) "%lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"Forward prevalence" w l lt 0,"biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"95% CI" w l lt 1,"biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 1,"biaspar/P_biaspar.txt" u 1:(($2)) t 'Observed prevalence in state 1' with line lt 3
                     74: set out ;unset title;
                     75: 
                     76: # 1st: Forward (stable period) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =2 
                     77: #
1.5       brouard    78: 
1.6       brouard    79: set out "biaspar/V_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                     80: 
                     81: #set out "V_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                     82: set title "Alive state 2 ()" font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard    83: set xlabel "Age" 
                     84: set ylabel "Probability" 
1.6       brouard    85: set ter svg size 640, 480
                     86: plot [70:95] "biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3:1/0) "%lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"Forward prevalence" w l lt 0,"biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"95% CI" w l lt 1,"biaspar/VPL_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"" w l lt 1,"biaspar/P_biaspar.txt" u 1:(($5)) t 'Observed prevalence in state 2' with line lt 3
                     87: set out ;unset title;
                     88: 
                     89: # 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files 
                     90: #
1.5       brouard    91: 
1.6       brouard    92: set out "biaspar/E_biaspar_1-1.svg" 
                     93: 
                     94: set label "popbased 0 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard    95: set ylabel "Years" 
1.6       brouard    96: set ter svg size 640, 480
                     97: plot [70:95] "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"TLE" w l lt 1, \
                     98: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,\
                     99: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"LE in state (1)" w l lt 3, \
                    100: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,\
                    101: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"LE in state (2)" w l lt 4, \
                    102: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==0 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"" w l lt 0
                    103: set label "popbased 1 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    104: 
                    105: replot "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"TLE" w l lt 1, \
                    106: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,\
                    107: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"LE in state (1)" w l lt 3, \
                    108: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf) %*lf (%*lf)" t"" w l lt 0,\
                    109: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"LE in state (2)" w l lt 4, \
                    110: "biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"" w l lt 0,"biaspar/T_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:($2==1 && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) "%lf %lf %lf %*lf (%*lf) %*lf (%*lf) %lf (%lf)" t"" w l lt 0
                    111: set out;set out "biaspar/E_biaspar_1-1.svg"; replot; set out; unset label;
                    112: 
                    113: 
                    114: # 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=1 state=1
                    115: #
                    116: 
                    117: set out "biaspar/EXP_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    118: set label "()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    119: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    120: plot [70:95] "biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:2 t "e11" w l ,"biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:3 t "e12" w l ,"biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:4 t "e1." w l
                    121: 
                    122: # 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=1 state=2
                    123: #
                    124: 
                    125: set out "biaspar/EXP_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                    126: set label "()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    127: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    128: plot [70:95] "biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:5 t "e21" w l ,"biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:6 t "e22" w l ,"biaspar/E_biaspar.txt" every :::0::0 u 1:7 t "e2." w l
                    129: unset label;
                    130: 
                    131: #
                    132: #
                    133: # Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=1 state=1
                    134: #
                    135: 
                    136: set out "biaspar/LIJ_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    137: set label "Alive state 1 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    138: set xlabel "Age" 
                    139: set ylabel "Probability to be alive" 
                    140: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    141: unset log y
                    142: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($4/($4+$5+$6)) t "l(1,1)" w l, ''  u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($7/($7+$8+$9)) t "l(2,1)" w l
                    143: set out; unset label;
                    144: 
                    145: #
                    146: #
                    147: # Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=1 state=2
                    148: #
                    149: 
                    150: set out "biaspar/LIJ_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                    151: set label "Alive state 2 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    152: set xlabel "Age" 
                    153: set ylabel "Probability to be alive" 
                    154: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    155: unset log y
                    156: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($5/($4+$5+$6)) t "l(1,2)" w l, ''  u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($8/($7+$8+$9)) t "l(2,2)" w l
                    157: set out; unset label;
                    158: 
                    159: #
                    160: #
                    161: # Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=1 state=1
                    162: #
                    163: 
                    164: set out "biaspar/LIJT_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    165: set label "Alive state 1 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    166: set xlabel "Age" 
                    167: set ylabel "Probability to be alive" 
                    168: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    169: unset log y
                    170: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($4) t "l(1,1)" w l, ''  u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($5) t "l(1,2)" w l, ''  u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($4 +$5) t"l(1,.)" w l
                    171: set out; unset label;
                    172: 
                    173: #
                    174: #
                    175: # Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=1 state=2
1.5       brouard   176: #
1.6       brouard   177: 
                    178: set out "biaspar/LIJT_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                    179: set label "Alive state 2 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    180: set xlabel "Age" 
                    181: set ylabel "Probability to be alive" 
                    182: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    183: unset log y
                    184: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($7) t "l(2,1)" w l, ''  u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($8) t "l(2,2)" w l, ''  u (($1==1 && (floor($2)%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($7 +$8) t"l(2,.)" w l
                    185: set out; unset label;
                    186: 
1.5       brouard   187: #
1.6       brouard   188: #
                    189: #CV preval stable (forward): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=1 state=1
                    190: #
                    191: 
                    192: set out "biaspar/P_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    193: set label "Alive state 1 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard   194: set xlabel "Age" 
                    195: set ylabel "Probability" 
1.6       brouard   196: set ter svg size 640, 480
1.5       brouard   197: unset log y
1.6       brouard   198: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($4/($4+$5)) t "prev(1,1)" w l, ''  u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($7/($7+$8)) t "prev(2,1)" w l
                    199: set out; unset label;
1.5       brouard   200: 
                    201: #
                    202: #
1.6       brouard   203: #CV preval stable (forward): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=1 state=2
                    204: #
                    205: 
                    206: set out "biaspar/P_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                    207: set label "Alive state 2 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard   208: set xlabel "Age" 
                    209: set ylabel "Probability" 
1.6       brouard   210: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    211: unset log y
                    212: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/PIJ_biaspar.txt" u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($5/($4+$5)) t "prev(1,2)" w l, ''  u ($1==1 ? ($3):1/0):($8/($7+$8)) t "prev(2,2)" w l
                    213: set out; unset label;
                    214: 
                    215: #
                    216: #
                    217: #Projection of prevalence to forward stable prevalence (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=1 state=1
                    218: #
                    219: # hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev
                    220:  
                    221: set out "biaspar/PROJ_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    222: set label "Alive state 1 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    223: set xlabel "Age" 
                    224: set ylabel "Prevalence" 
                    225: set ter svg size 640, 480
1.5       brouard   226: unset log y
1.6       brouard   227: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/F_biaspar.txt" u 2:( $5/(1.-$11)):1 t 'pw.1' with line lc variable ,\
                    228:  ''  u 2:( (($1-$2) == 1919 ) ? $5/(1.-$11) : 1/0):1 with labels center not 
                    229: set out; unset label;
                    230: 
                    231: #
                    232: #
                    233: #Projection of prevalence to forward stable prevalence (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=1 state=2
                    234: #
                    235: # hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev
                    236:  
                    237: set out "biaspar/PROJ_biaspar_2-1-1.svg" 
                    238: set label "Alive state 2 ()" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font "Helvetica,12"
                    239: set xlabel "Age" 
                    240: set ylabel "Prevalence" 
                    241: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    242: unset log y
                    243: plot [70:95]  "biaspar/F_biaspar.txt" u 2:( $8/(1.-$11)):1 t 'pw.2' with line lc variable ,\
                    244:  ''  u 2:( (($1-$2) == 1919 ) ? $8/(1.-$11) : 1/0):1 with labels center not 
                    245: set out; unset label;
1.5       brouard   246: 
                    247: ##############
1.6       brouard   248: #9eme MLE estimated parameters
1.5       brouard   249: #############
                    250: # initial state 1
                    251: #   current state 2
1.6       brouard   252: p1=-12.317578; p2=0.093112; 
1.5       brouard   253: #   current state 3
1.6       brouard   254: p3=-10.163170; p4=0.054838; 
1.5       brouard   255: # initial state 2
                    256: #   current state 1
1.6       brouard   257: p5=-1.668569; p6=-0.033906; 
1.5       brouard   258: #   current state 3
1.6       brouard   259: p7=-5.686920; p8=0.018135; 
1.5       brouard   260: ##############
                    261: #
                    262: 
                    263: ##############
1.6       brouard   264: #10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences
1.5       brouard   265: #############
                    266: # logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age
                    267: # logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age
                    268: # logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age
                    269: # logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age
                    270: # p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)
                    271: #                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)
                    272: # p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)
                    273: #                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)
                    274: # p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/
                    275: #     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)
                    276: #       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))
                    277: #       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)
                    278: #
1.6       brouard   279: #Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year
                    280: #model= 
                    281: # Type of graphic ng=1
                    282: #   k1=1 to 2^0=1
                    283: 
                    284: 
                    285: # Combination of dummy  k1=1 which is 
                    286: #
                    287: 
                    288: set out "biaspar/PE_biaspar_1-1-1.svg" 
                    289: set key outside 
                    290: set title "()" font "Helvetica,12"
                    291: 
                    292: set ter svg size 640, 480 
                    293: set ylabel "Value of the logit of the model"
                    294: 
                    295: unset log y
                    296: plot  [70:95]  p1+p2*x w l lw 2 lt (3*1+2)%3+1 dt 1 t "logit(p12)" , p3+p4*x w l lw 2 lt (3*1+3)%3+1 dt 1 t "logit(p13)" , p5+p6*x w l lw 2 lt (3*2+1)%3+1 dt 2 t "logit(p21)" , p7+p8*x w l lw 2 lt (3*2+3)%3+1 dt 2 t "logit(p23)" 
                    297:  set out; unset title;set key default;
                    298: #Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year
                    299: #model= 
                    300: # Type of graphic ng=2
                    301: #   k1=1 to 2^0=1
                    302: 
                    303: 
                    304: # Combination of dummy  k1=1 which is 
                    305: #
1.5       brouard   306: 
1.6       brouard   307: set out "biaspar/PE_biaspar_1-2-1.svg" 
                    308: set key outside 
                    309: set title "()" font "Helvetica,12"
1.5       brouard   310: 
1.6       brouard   311: set ter svg size 640, 480 
                    312: set ylabel "Probability"
1.5       brouard   313: 
                    314: set log y
1.6       brouard   315: plot  [70:95]  (1.)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+1)%3+1 dt 1 t "p11" , exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+2)%3+1 dt 1 t "p12" , exp(p3+p4*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+3)%3+1 dt 1 t "p13" , exp(p5+p6*x)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+1)%3+1 dt 2 t "p21" , (1.)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+2)%3+1 dt 2 t "p22" , exp(p7+p8*x)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+3)%3+1 dt 2 t "p23" 
                    316:  set out; unset title;set key default;
                    317: #Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year
                    318: #model= 
                    319: # Type of graphic ng=3
                    320: #   k1=1 to 2^0=1
                    321: 
1.5       brouard   322: 
1.6       brouard   323: # Combination of dummy  k1=1 which is 
                    324: #
1.5       brouard   325: 
1.6       brouard   326: set out "biaspar/PE_biaspar_1-3-1.svg" 
                    327: set key outside 
                    328: set title "()" font "Helvetica,12"
                    329: 
                    330: set ter svg size 640, 480 
1.5       brouard   331: set ylabel "Quasi-incidence per year"
                    332: 
                    333: set log y
1.6       brouard   334: plot  [70:95]  (1.)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+1)%3+1 dt 1 t "i11" , 12.000000*exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+2)%3+1 dt 1 t "i12" , 12.000000*exp(p3+p4*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*1+3)%3+1 dt 1 t "i13" , 12.000000*exp(p5+p6*x)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+1)%3+1 dt 2 t "i21" , (1.)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+2)%3+1 dt 2 t "i22" , 12.000000*exp(p7+p8*x)/(1+exp(p5+p6*x)+exp(p7+p8*x)) w l lw 2 lt (3*2+3)%3+1 dt 2 t "i23" 
                    335:  set out; unset title;set key default;
                    336: 
1.5       brouard   337: # Routine varprob
1.6       brouard   338: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    339: #
                    340: 
1.5       brouard   341: set parametric;unset label
                    342: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p13 (year-1)";set ylabel "p12 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   343: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    344: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_113-12.svg"
                    345: set label "70" at   2.140e-02,  3.617e-02 center
1.5       brouard   346: # Age 70, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   347: plot [-pi:pi]   2.140e-02+ 2.000*(  5.514e-01*  2.264e-03*cos(t)+  8.342e-01*  1.523e-03*sin(t)),   3.617e-02 +2.000*( -8.342e-01*  2.264e-03*cos(t)+  5.514e-01*  1.523e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   348: # Age 75, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   349: set label "75" at   2.808e-02,  5.747e-02 center
                    350: replot   2.808e-02+ 2.000*(  3.943e-01*  2.448e-03*cos(t)+  9.190e-01*  1.398e-03*sin(t)),   5.747e-02 +2.000*( -9.190e-01*  2.448e-03*cos(t)+  3.943e-01*  1.398e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   351: # Age 80, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   352: set label "80" at   3.681e-02,  9.123e-02 center
                    353: replot   3.681e-02+ 2.000*(  3.741e-01*  2.676e-03*cos(t)+  9.274e-01*  1.373e-03*sin(t)),   9.123e-02 +2.000*( -9.274e-01*  2.676e-03*cos(t)+  3.741e-01*  1.373e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   354: # Age 85, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   355: set label "85" at   4.816e-02,  1.445e-01 center
                    356: replot   4.816e-02+ 2.000*(  3.906e-01*  4.057e-03*cos(t)+  9.206e-01*  2.238e-03*sin(t)),   1.445e-01 +2.000*( -9.206e-01*  4.057e-03*cos(t)+  3.906e-01*  2.238e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   357: # Age 90, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   358: set label "90" at   6.283e-02,  2.283e-01 center
                    359: replot   6.283e-02+ 2.000*(  2.754e-01*  8.795e-03*cos(t)+  9.613e-01*  4.488e-03*sin(t)),   2.283e-01 +2.000*( -9.613e-01*  8.795e-03*cos(t)+  2.754e-01*  4.488e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   360: # Age 95, p13 - p12
1.6       brouard   361: set label "95" at   8.159e-02,  3.590e-01 center
                    362: replot   8.159e-02+ 2.000*(  1.909e-01*  1.934e-02*cos(t)+  9.816e-01*  8.213e-03*sin(t)),   3.590e-01 +2.000*( -9.816e-01*  1.934e-02*cos(t)+  1.909e-01*  8.213e-03*sin(t)) not
                    363: set out;
                    364: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_113-12.svg";replot;set out;
                    365: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    366: #
                    367: 
1.5       brouard   368: set parametric;unset label
                    369: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p21 (year-1)";set ylabel "p12 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   370: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    371: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_121-12.svg"
                    372: set label "70" at   2.047e-01,  3.617e-02 center
1.5       brouard   373: # Age 70, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   374: plot [-pi:pi]   2.047e-01+ 2.000*(  9.996e-01*  2.493e-02*cos(t)+ -2.854e-02*  1.942e-03*sin(t)),   3.617e-02 +2.000*(  2.854e-02*  2.493e-02*cos(t)+  9.996e-01*  1.942e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   375: # Age 75, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   376: set label "75" at   1.730e-01,  5.747e-02 center
                    377: replot   1.730e-01+ 2.000*(  9.986e-01*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+ -5.266e-02*  2.181e-03*sin(t)),   5.747e-02 +2.000*(  5.266e-02*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+  9.986e-01*  2.181e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   378: # Age 80, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   379: set label "80" at   1.462e-01,  9.123e-02 center
                    380: replot   1.462e-01+ 2.000*(  9.951e-01*  8.486e-03*cos(t)+ -9.892e-02*  2.403e-03*sin(t)),   9.123e-02 +2.000*(  9.892e-02*  8.486e-03*cos(t)+  9.951e-01*  2.403e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   381: # Age 85, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   382: set label "85" at   1.235e-01,  1.445e-01 center
                    383: replot   1.235e-01+ 2.000*(  9.684e-01*  6.423e-03*cos(t)+ -2.493e-01*  3.599e-03*sin(t)),   1.445e-01 +2.000*(  2.493e-01*  6.423e-03*cos(t)+  9.684e-01*  3.599e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   384: # Age 90, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   385: set label "90" at   1.042e-01,  2.283e-01 center
                    386: replot   1.042e-01+ 2.000*(  5.573e-01*  9.289e-03*cos(t)+ -8.303e-01*  6.600e-03*sin(t)),   2.283e-01 +2.000*(  8.303e-01*  9.289e-03*cos(t)+  5.573e-01*  6.600e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   387: # Age 95, p21 - p12
1.6       brouard   388: set label "95" at   8.796e-02,  3.590e-01 center
                    389: replot   8.796e-02+ 2.000*(  1.959e-01*  1.934e-02*cos(t)+ -9.806e-01*  8.711e-03*sin(t)),   3.590e-01 +2.000*(  9.806e-01*  1.934e-02*cos(t)+  1.959e-01*  8.711e-03*sin(t)) not
                    390: set out;
                    391: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_121-12.svg";replot;set out;
                    392: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    393: #
                    394: 
1.5       brouard   395: set parametric;unset label
                    396: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p23 (year-1)";set ylabel "p12 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   397: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    398: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-12.svg"
                    399: set label "70" at   1.406e-01,  3.617e-02 center
1.5       brouard   400: # Age 70, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   401: plot [-pi:pi]   1.406e-01+ 2.000*(  9.987e-01*  1.493e-02*cos(t)+ -5.178e-02*  1.920e-03*sin(t)),   3.617e-02 +2.000*(  5.178e-02*  1.493e-02*cos(t)+  9.987e-01*  1.920e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   402: # Age 75, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   403: set label "75" at   1.542e-01,  5.747e-02 center
                    404: replot   1.542e-01+ 2.000*(  9.970e-01*  1.241e-02*cos(t)+ -7.775e-02*  2.112e-03*sin(t)),   5.747e-02 +2.000*(  7.775e-02*  1.241e-02*cos(t)+  9.970e-01*  2.112e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   405: # Age 80, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   406: set label "80" at   1.690e-01,  9.123e-02 center
                    407: replot   1.690e-01+ 2.000*(  9.927e-01*  9.663e-03*cos(t)+ -1.210e-01*  2.265e-03*sin(t)),   9.123e-02 +2.000*(  1.210e-01*  9.663e-03*cos(t)+  9.927e-01*  2.265e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   408: # Age 85, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   409: set label "85" at   1.851e-01,  1.445e-01 center
                    410: replot   1.851e-01+ 2.000*(  9.733e-01*  7.552e-03*cos(t)+ -2.295e-01*  3.515e-03*sin(t)),   1.445e-01 +2.000*(  2.295e-01*  7.552e-03*cos(t)+  9.733e-01*  3.515e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   411: # Age 90, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   412: set label "90" at   2.028e-01,  2.283e-01 center
                    413: replot   2.028e-01+ 2.000*(  6.011e-01*  9.259e-03*cos(t)+ -7.992e-01*  7.110e-03*sin(t)),   2.283e-01 +2.000*(  7.992e-01*  9.259e-03*cos(t)+  6.011e-01*  7.110e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   414: # Age 95, p23 - p12
1.6       brouard   415: set label "95" at   2.219e-01,  3.590e-01 center
                    416: replot   2.219e-01+ 2.000*(  2.273e-01*  1.937e-02*cos(t)+ -9.738e-01*  1.173e-02*sin(t)),   3.590e-01 +2.000*(  9.738e-01*  1.937e-02*cos(t)+  2.273e-01*  1.173e-02*sin(t)) not
                    417: set out;
                    418: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-12.svg";replot;set out;
                    419: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    420: #
                    421: 
1.5       brouard   422: set parametric;unset label
                    423: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p21 (year-1)";set ylabel "p13 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   424: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    425: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_121-13.svg"
                    426: set label "70" at   2.047e-01,  2.140e-02 center
1.5       brouard   427: # Age 70, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   428: plot [-pi:pi]   2.047e-01+ 2.000*(  1.000e+00*  2.492e-02*cos(t)+ -2.081e-03*  1.781e-03*sin(t)),   2.140e-02 +2.000*(  2.081e-03*  2.492e-02*cos(t)+  1.000e+00*  1.781e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   429: # Age 75, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   430: set label "75" at   1.730e-01,  2.808e-02 center
                    431: replot   1.730e-01+ 2.000*(  1.000e+00*  1.492e-02*cos(t)+ -2.295e-03*  1.606e-03*sin(t)),   2.808e-02 +2.000*(  2.295e-03*  1.492e-02*cos(t)+  1.000e+00*  1.606e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   432: # Age 80, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   433: set label "80" at   1.462e-01,  3.681e-02 center
                    434: replot   1.462e-01+ 2.000*(  1.000e+00*  8.448e-03*cos(t)+ -5.527e-03*  1.619e-03*sin(t)),   3.681e-02 +2.000*(  5.527e-03*  8.448e-03*cos(t)+  1.000e+00*  1.619e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   435: # Age 85, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   436: set label "85" at   1.235e-01,  4.816e-02 center
                    437: replot   1.235e-01+ 2.000*(  9.994e-01*  6.288e-03*cos(t)+ -3.508e-02*  2.591e-03*sin(t)),   4.816e-02 +2.000*(  3.508e-02*  6.288e-03*cos(t)+  9.994e-01*  2.591e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   438: # Age 90, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   439: set label "90" at   1.042e-01,  6.283e-02 center
                    440: replot   1.042e-01+ 2.000*(  9.956e-01*  7.558e-03*cos(t)+ -9.337e-02*  4.919e-03*sin(t)),   6.283e-02 +2.000*(  9.337e-02*  7.558e-03*cos(t)+  9.956e-01*  4.919e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   441: # Age 95, p21 - p13
1.6       brouard   442: set label "95" at   8.796e-02,  8.159e-02 center
                    443: replot   8.796e-02+ 2.000*(  8.858e-01*  9.520e-03*cos(t)+ -4.641e-01*  8.679e-03*sin(t)),   8.159e-02 +2.000*(  4.641e-01*  9.520e-03*cos(t)+  8.858e-01*  8.679e-03*sin(t)) not
                    444: set out;
                    445: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_121-13.svg";replot;set out;
                    446: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    447: #
                    448: 
1.5       brouard   449: set parametric;unset label
                    450: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p23 (year-1)";set ylabel "p13 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   451: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    452: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-13.svg"
                    453: set label "70" at   1.406e-01,  2.140e-02 center
1.5       brouard   454: # Age 70, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   455: plot [-pi:pi]   1.406e-01+ 2.000*(  9.985e-01*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+  5.556e-02*  1.579e-03*sin(t)),   2.140e-02 +2.000*( -5.556e-02*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+  9.985e-01*  1.579e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   456: # Age 75, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   457: set label "75" at   1.542e-01,  2.808e-02 center
                    458: replot   1.542e-01+ 2.000*(  9.976e-01*  1.240e-02*cos(t)+  6.965e-02*  1.358e-03*sin(t)),   2.808e-02 +2.000*( -6.965e-02*  1.240e-02*cos(t)+  9.976e-01*  1.358e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   459: # Age 80, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   460: set label "80" at   1.690e-01,  3.681e-02 center
                    461: replot   1.690e-01+ 2.000*(  9.951e-01*  9.643e-03*cos(t)+  9.913e-02*  1.314e-03*sin(t)),   3.681e-02 +2.000*( -9.913e-02*  9.643e-03*cos(t)+  9.951e-01*  1.314e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   462: # Age 85, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   463: set label "85" at   1.851e-01,  4.816e-02 center
                    464: replot   1.851e-01+ 2.000*(  9.815e-01*  7.522e-03*cos(t)+  1.914e-01*  2.205e-03*sin(t)),   4.816e-02 +2.000*( -1.914e-01*  7.522e-03*cos(t)+  9.815e-01*  2.205e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   465: # Age 90, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   466: set label "90" at   2.028e-01,  6.283e-02 center
                    467: replot   2.028e-01+ 2.000*(  9.340e-01*  8.361e-03*cos(t)+  3.573e-01*  4.223e-03*sin(t)),   6.283e-02 +2.000*( -3.573e-01*  8.361e-03*cos(t)+  9.340e-01*  4.223e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   468: # Age 95, p23 - p13
1.6       brouard   469: set label "95" at   2.219e-01,  8.159e-02 center
                    470: replot   2.219e-01+ 2.000*(  9.094e-01*  1.298e-02*cos(t)+  4.159e-01*  7.733e-03*sin(t)),   8.159e-02 +2.000*( -4.159e-01*  1.298e-02*cos(t)+  9.094e-01*  7.733e-03*sin(t)) not
                    471: set out;
                    472: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-13.svg";replot;set out;
                    473: # Ellipsoids of confidence
                    474: #
                    475: 
1.5       brouard   476: set parametric;unset label
                    477: set log y;set log x; set xlabel "p23 (year-1)";set ylabel "p21 (year-1)"
1.6       brouard   478: set ter svg size 640, 480
                    479: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-21.svg"
                    480: set label "70" at   1.406e-01,  2.047e-01 center
1.5       brouard   481: # Age 70, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   482: plot [-pi:pi]   1.406e-01+ 2.000*(  3.099e-02*  2.492e-02*cos(t)+  9.995e-01*  1.490e-02*sin(t)),   2.047e-01 +2.000*( -9.995e-01*  2.492e-02*cos(t)+  3.099e-02*  1.490e-02*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   483: # Age 75, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   484: set label "75" at   1.542e-01,  1.730e-01 center
                    485: replot   1.542e-01+ 2.000*(  8.468e-02*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+  9.964e-01*  1.235e-02*sin(t)),   1.730e-01 +2.000*( -9.964e-01*  1.494e-02*cos(t)+  8.468e-02*  1.235e-02*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   486: # Age 80, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   487: set label "80" at   1.690e-01,  1.462e-01 center
                    488: replot   1.690e-01+ 2.000*(  9.896e-01*  9.619e-03*cos(t)+  1.436e-01*  8.421e-03*sin(t)),   1.462e-01 +2.000*( -1.436e-01*  9.619e-03*cos(t)+  9.896e-01*  8.421e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   489: # Age 85, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   490: set label "85" at   1.851e-01,  1.235e-01 center
                    491: replot   1.851e-01+ 2.000*(  9.870e-01*  7.423e-03*cos(t)+  1.606e-01*  6.252e-03*sin(t)),   1.235e-01 +2.000*( -1.606e-01*  7.423e-03*cos(t)+  9.870e-01*  6.252e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   492: # Age 90, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   493: set label "90" at   2.028e-01,  1.042e-01 center
                    494: replot   2.028e-01+ 2.000*(  9.136e-01*  8.053e-03*cos(t)+  4.065e-01*  7.432e-03*sin(t)),   1.042e-01 +2.000*( -4.065e-01*  8.053e-03*cos(t)+  9.136e-01*  7.432e-03*sin(t)) not
1.5       brouard   495: # Age 95, p23 - p21
1.6       brouard   496: set label "95" at   2.219e-01,  8.796e-02 center
                    497: replot   2.219e-01+ 2.000*(  9.960e-01*  1.226e-02*cos(t)+  8.959e-02*  9.318e-03*sin(t)),   8.796e-02 +2.000*( -8.959e-02*  1.226e-02*cos(t)+  9.960e-01*  9.318e-03*sin(t)) not
                    498: set out;
                    499: set out "biaspar/VARPIJGR_biaspar_123-21.svg";replot;set out;
                    500: # Routine varevsij
                    501: unset title 
                    502: 
                    503: unset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480
                    504:  set log y; unset log x;set xlabel "Age"; set ylabel "Force of mortality (year-1)";
                    505: set out "biaspar/VARMUPTJGR--STABLBASED_biaspar1.svg";
                    506:  plot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-STABLBASED_biaspar.txt"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 
                    507:  replot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-STABLBASED_biaspar.txt"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t "95% interval" w l lt 2 
                    508:  replot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-STABLBASED_biaspar.txt"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 
                    509: set out;
                    510: set out "biaspar/VARMUPTJGR--STABLBASED_biaspar1.svg";replot;set out;
                    511: 
1.5       brouard   512: # Routine varevsij
1.6       brouard   513: unset title 
                    514: 
                    515: unset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480
1.5       brouard   516:  set log y; unset log x;set xlabel "Age"; set ylabel "Force of mortality (year-1)";
1.6       brouard   517: set out "biaspar/VARMUPTJGR--POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_biaspar1.svg";
                    518:  plot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_biaspar.txt"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 
                    519:  replot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_biaspar.txt"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t "95% interval" w l lt 2 
                    520:  replot "biaspar/PRMORPREV-1-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_biaspar.txt"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 
                    521: set out;
                    522: set out "biaspar/VARMUPTJGR--POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_biaspar1.svg";replot;set out;

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