Annotation of imach/html/doc/biaspar.htm, revision 1.5
1.5 ! brouard 1: <html><head>
! 2: <title>IMaCh biaspar.htm</title></head>
! 3: <body><font size="2">Imach version 0.98q5, August 2015,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015 <br> $Revision: 1.194 $ $Date: 2015/08/18 13:32:00 $</font> <hr size="2" color="#EC5E5E">
! 4: Title=1st_example <br>Datafile=data1.txt Firstpass=1 Lastpass=4 Stepm=1 Weight=0 Model=<br>
! 5:
! 6: <hr size="2" color="#EC5E5E"> <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>
! 7: - Parameter file: <a href="biaspar.imach">biaspar.imach</a><br>
! 8: - Copy of the parameter file: <a href="orbiaspar.txt">orbiaspar.txt</a><br>
! 9: - Log file of the run: <a href="biaspar.log">biaspar.log</a><br>
! 10: - Gnuplot file name: <a href="biaspar.gp">biaspar.gp</a><br>
! 11: - Date and time at start: Tue Aug 18 18:20:44 2015
! 12: </ul>
! 13:
! 14: <br>Total number of observations=8270 <br>
! 15: Youngest age at first (selected) pass 70.00, oldest age 104.17<br>
! 16: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=1 Max=74 Mean=24.04<br>
! 17:
! 18: <br>File of contributions to the likelihood: <a href="biaspar/ilkrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/ilkrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
! 19: <ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>
! 20: <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>
! 21: </ul><ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>
! 22: - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between 1/1/1984 and 1/6/1988): <a href="biaspar/prbiaspar.txt">biaspar/prbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 23: - Estimated transition probabilities over 1 (stepm) months: <a href="biaspar/pijrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/pijrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
! 24: - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href="biaspar/plrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/plrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 25: - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, ei. (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, eij . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm= 1 months): <a href="biaspar/erbiaspar.txt">biaspar/erbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 26: - Population projections by age and states: <a href="biaspar/frbiaspar.txt">biaspar/frbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 27: </li>
! 28: <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p><br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, 1 (stepm) months before: <a href="biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png">biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pebiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i 1 (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: <a href="biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png">biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pebiaspar1_2.png"><br>- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state 1. Or probability to be in state 1 being in state (1 to 2) at different ages. <a href="biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png">biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pbiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state 2. Or probability to be in state 2 being in state (1 to 2) at different ages. <a href="biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png">biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png</a><br> <img src="biaspar/pbiaspar2_1.png">
! 29: <br>- Life expectancy by health state (1) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to 2) : <a href="biaspar/expbiaspar11.png">biaspar/expbiaspar11.png</a> <br> <img src="biaspar/expbiaspar11.png">
! 30: <br>- Life expectancy by health state (2) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to 2) : <a href="biaspar/expbiaspar21.png">biaspar/expbiaspar21.png</a> <br> <img src="biaspar/expbiaspar21.png"></ul>
! 31: <br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>
! 32: - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href="rbiaspar.imach">rbiaspar.imach</a> <br> - 95% confidence intervals and T statistics are in the log file.<br>
! 33: - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 34: - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probcovrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probcovrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 35: - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href="biaspar/probcorrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/probcorrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 36: - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm= 1 months): <a href="biaspar/cverbiaspar.txt">biaspar/cverbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 37: </li> - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm= 1 months): <a href="biaspar/stderbiaspar.txt">biaspar/stderbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 38: </li> - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=1 months): <a href="biaspar/vrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/vrbiaspar.txt</a><br>
! 39: - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=1 months): <a href="biaspar/trbiaspar.txt">biaspar/trbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 40: - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href="biaspar/vplrbiaspar.txt">biaspar/vplrbiaspar.txt</a> <br>
! 41: <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p><br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) prevalence (with 95% confidence interval) in state (1): biaspar/vbiaspar1_1.png <br><img src="biaspar/vbiaspar1_1.png"><br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) prevalence (with 95% confidence interval) in state (2): biaspar/vbiaspar2_1.png <br><img src="biaspar/vbiaspar2_1.png">
! 42: <br>- Total life expectancy by age and health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using observed and cahotic prevalences: biaspar/ebiaspar1.png<br><img src="biaspar/ebiaspar1.png"></ul>
! 43: <li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>
! 44:
! 45:
! 46: <li><h4> <a href="biaspar-cov.htm">Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></li>
! 47:
! 48: <li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>
! 49:
! 50: <br>-stablbased- <br>
! 51:
! 52: <br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href="biaspar/prmorprev1-stablbased-rbiaspar.txt">biaspar/prmorprev1-stablbased-rbiaspar.txt</a>
! 53:
! 54: <br> Probability is computed over estepm=1 months. <br> <img src="biaspar/varmuptjgr-stablbased-biaspar1.png"> <br>
! 55: <br>Local time at start Tue Aug 18 18:20:44 2015
! 56: <br>Local time at end Tue Aug 18 18:26:33 2015
! 57: <br>
! 58: </body></html>
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