Annotation of imach/html/doc/biaspar.log, revision 1.3
1.3 ! lievre 1: Log filename:biaspar.log
! 2:
! 3: Imach version 0.98b, January 2006, INED-EUROREVES
! 4: $Revision: 1.111 $ $Date: 2006/01/25 20:38:18 $
! 5: Enter the parameter file name:
! 6: pathimach=C:\Program Files\IMaCh\bin\
! 7: pathtot=C:\Program Files\IMaCh\doc\biaspar.imach
! 8: path=C:\Program Files\IMaCh\doc\
! 9: optionfile=biaspar.imach
! 10: optionfilext=imach
! 11: optionfilefiname=biaspar
! 12: Local time (at start): Thu Feb 09 13:51:49 2006
1.1 brouard 13: # Imach version 0.97b, June 2004, INED-EUROREVES
1.3 ! lievre 14: title=1st_example datafile=data1.txt lastobs=8600 firstpass=1 lastpass=4
! 15: ftol=1.000000e-008 stepm=1 ncovcol=2 nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=4 mle=1 weight=0
! 16: model=.
1.1 brouard 17: # Parameters
1.3 ! lievre 18: 11 0.000000 0.000000
! 19: 12 0.000000 0.000000
! 20: 21 0.000000 0.000000
! 21: 22 0.000000 0.000000
1.1 brouard 22: # Scales
1.3 ! lievre 23: 12 0.000000e+000 0.000000e+000
! 24: 13 0.000000e+000 0.000000e+000
! 25: 21 0.000000e+000 0.000000e+000
! 26: 23 0.000000e+000 0.000000e+000
1.1 brouard 27: #covariance matrix#
1.3 ! lievre 28: 121 0.00000e+000
! 29: 122 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 30: 131 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 31: 132 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 32: 211 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 33: 212 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 34: 231 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 35: 232 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000 0.00000e+000
! 36:
! 37: Total number of individuals= 8270, Agemin = 70.00, Agemax= 104.17
! 38:
! 39: Delay (in months) between two waves Min=1 (for indiviudal 6017) Max=74 (5168) Mean=24.040080
! 40:
! 41: Age 70 1.=665 loss[1]=5.1% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=631 prev[1]=100.0% 2.=0 prev[2]=0.0% 1-1=34 11=563 12=33 13=35 33=6
! 42: Age 71 1.=663 loss[1]=5.7% 2.=2 loss[2]=0.0% 1.=625 prev[1]=99.7% 2.=2 prev[2]=0.3% 1-1=38 11=530 12=47 13=48 21=1 22=1 3-1=2 33=31
! 43: Age 72 1.=1181 loss[1]=5.6% 2.=35 loss[2]=5.7% 1.=1115 prev[1]=97.1% 2.=33 prev[2]=2.9% 1-1=66 11=969 12=70 13=76 2-1=2 21=9 22=18 23=6 3-1=2 33=87
! 44: Age 73 1.=1119 loss[1]=5.1% 2.=48 loss[2]=8.3% 1.=1062 prev[1]=96.0% 2.=44 prev[2]=4.0% 1-1=57 11=912 12=71 13=79 2-1=4 21=12 22=26 23=6 3-1=12 33=94
! 45: Age 74 1.=1563 loss[1]=4.2% 2.=90 loss[2]=4.4% 1.=1497 prev[1]=94.6% 2.=86 prev[2]=5.4% 1-1=66 11=1277 12=104 13=116 2-1=4 21=30 22=41 23=15 3-1=4 33=125
! 46: Age 75 1.=1463 loss[1]=6.2% 2.=98 loss[2]=7.1% 1.=1372 prev[1]=93.8% 2.=91 prev[2]=6.2% 1-1=91 11=1155 12=98 13=119 2-1=7 21=15 22=55 23=21 3-1=4 33=124
! 47: Age 76 1.=1390 loss[1]=4.5% 2.=112 loss[2]=3.6% 1.=1328 prev[1]=92.5% 2.=108 prev[2]=7.5% 1-1=62 11=1090 12=111 13=127 2-1=4 21=25 22=54 23=29 3-1=4 33=142
! 48: Age 77 1.=1271 loss[1]=5.0% 2.=101 loss[2]=5.9% 1.=1208 prev[1]=92.7% 2.=95 prev[2]=7.3% 1-1=63 11=962 12=131 13=115 2-1=6 21=24 22=52 23=19 3-1=7 33=145
! 49: Age 78 1.=1166 loss[1]=4.9% 2.=122 loss[2]=4.1% 1.=1109 prev[1]=90.5% 2.=117 prev[2]=9.5% 1-1=57 11=894 12=111 13=104 2-1=5 21=21 22=75 23=21 3-1=4 33=146
! 50: Age 79 1.=1045 loss[1]=5.7% 2.=133 loss[2]=5.3% 1.=985 prev[1]=88.7% 2.=126 prev[2]=11.3% 1-1=60 11=773 12=109 13=103 2-1=7 21=31 22=68 23=27 3-1=8 33=136
! 51: Age 80 1.=986 loss[1]=4.1% 2.=128 loss[2]=3.1% 1.=946 prev[1]=88.4% 2.=124 prev[2]=11.6% 1-1=40 11=718 12=140 13=88 2-1=4 21=21 22=71 23=32 3-1=6 33=121
! 52: Age 81 1.=872 loss[1]=4.9% 2.=130 loss[2]=3.8% 1.=829 prev[1]=86.9% 2.=125 prev[2]=13.1% 1-1=43 11=629 12=102 13=98 2-1=5 21=24 22=74 23=27 3-1=5 33=126
! 53: Age 82 1.=803 loss[1]=4.4% 2.=146 loss[2]=4.1% 1.=768 prev[1]=84.6% 2.=140 prev[2]=15.4% 1-1=35 11=546 12=131 13=91 2-1=6 21=15 22=77 23=48 3-1=11 33=100
! 54: Age 83 1.=726 loss[1]=6.5% 2.=116 loss[2]=0.9% 1.=679 prev[1]=85.5% 2.=115 prev[2]=14.5% 1-1=47 11=456 12=124 13=99 2-1=1 21=19 22=71 23=25 3-1=8 33=133
! 55: Age 84 1.=622 loss[1]=5.6% 2.=147 loss[2]=4.1% 1.=587 prev[1]=80.6% 2.=141 prev[2]=19.4% 1-1=35 11=394 12=112 13=81 2-1=6 21=18 22=82 23=41 3-1=5 33=114
! 56: Age 85 1.=526 loss[1]=4.4% 2.=127 loss[2]=6.3% 1.=503 prev[1]=80.9% 2.=119 prev[2]=19.1% 1-1=23 11=315 12=122 13=66 2-1=8 21=13 22=67 23=39 3-1=4 33=137
! 57: Age 86 1.=464 loss[1]=5.2% 2.=130 loss[2]=6.2% 1.=440 prev[1]=78.3% 2.=122 prev[2]=21.7% 1-1=24 11=271 12=103 13=66 2-1=8 21=18 22=70 23=34 3-1=3 33=112
! 58: Age 87 1.=372 loss[1]=4.8% 2.=143 loss[2]=2.8% 1.=354 prev[1]=71.8% 2.=139 prev[2]=28.2% 1-1=18 11=219 12=79 13=56 2-1=4 21=15 22=71 23=53 3-1=1 33=81
! 59: Age 88 1.=283 loss[1]=3.9% 2.=164 loss[2]=6.7% 1.=272 prev[1]=64.0% 2.=153 prev[2]=36.0% 1-1=11 11=172 12=63 13=37 2-1=11 21=25 22=84 23=44 3-1=8 33=102
! 60: Age 89 1.=227 loss[1]=3.5% 2.=152 loss[2]=4.6% 1.=219 prev[1]=60.2% 2.=145 prev[2]=39.8% 1-1=8 11=135 12=45 13=39 2-1=7 21=21 22=73 23=51 3-1=2 33=77
! 61: Age 90 1.=181 loss[1]=3.9% 2.=143 loss[2]=4.9% 1.=174 prev[1]=56.1% 2.=136 prev[2]=43.9% 1-1=7 11=104 12=41 13=29 2-1=7 21=18 22=82 23=36 3-1=1 33=75
! 62: Age 91 1.=146 loss[1]=4.1% 2.=109 loss[2]=8.3% 1.=140 prev[1]=58.3% 2.=100 prev[2]=41.7% 1-1=6 11=78 12=36 13=26 2-1=9 21=11 22=51 23=38 3-1=3 33=77
! 63: Age 92 1.=114 loss[1]=6.1% 2.=101 loss[2]=2.0% 1.=107 prev[1]=51.9% 2.=99 prev[2]=48.1% 1-1=7 11=47 12=43 13=17 2-1=2 21=11 22=52 23=36 3-1=2 33=61
! 64: Age 93 1.=78 loss[1]=3.8% 2.=89 loss[2]=12.4% 1.=75 prev[1]=49.0% 2.=78 prev[2]=51.0% 1-1=3 11=36 12=25 13=14 2-1=11 21=10 22=46 23=22 3-1=2 33=62
! 65: Age 94 1.=51 loss[1]=3.9% 2.=71 loss[2]=1.4% 1.=49 prev[1]=41.2% 2.=70 prev[2]=58.8% 1-1=2 11=24 12=8 13=17 2-1=1 21=4 22=39 23=27 3-1=1 33=37
! 66: Age 95 1.=38 loss[1]=5.3% 2.=57 loss[2]=5.3% 1.=36 prev[1]=40.0% 2.=54 prev[2]=60.0% 1-1=2 11=16 12=13 13=7 2-1=3 21=4 22=31 23=19 3-1=1 33=39
! 67: Age 96 1.=25 loss[1]=4.0% 2.=43 loss[2]=4.7% 1.=24 prev[1]=36.9% 2.=41 prev[2]=63.1% 1-1=1 11=11 12=9 13=4 2-1=2 21=2 22=22 23=17 3-1=2 33=25
! 68: Age 97 1.=11 loss[1]=0.0% 2.=36 loss[2]=8.3% 1.=11 prev[1]=25.0% 2.=33 prev[2]=75.0% 11=4 12=7 2-1=3 21=2 22=22 23=9 33=23
! 69: Age 98 1.=5 loss[1]=0.0% 2.=21 loss[2]=0.0% 1.=5 prev[1]=19.2% 2.=21 prev[2]=80.8% 11=1 12=4 21=1 22=13 23=7 3-1=1 33=17
! 70: Age 99 1.=6 loss[1]=0.0% 2.=14 loss[2]=0.0% 1.=6 prev[1]=30.0% 2.=14 prev[2]=70.0% 11=3 12=1 13=2 21=2 22=2 23=10 33=6
! 71: Age 100 1.=2 loss[1]=0.0% 2.=9 loss[2]=0.0% 1.=2 prev[1]=18.2% 2.=9 prev[2]=81.8% 11=1 12=1 21=2 22=5 23=2 33=2
! 72: Age 101 1.=2 loss[1]=50.0% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=1 prev[1]=100.0% 2.=0 prev[2]=0.0% 1-1=1 12=1 3-1=1 33=3
! 73: Age 102 1.=2 loss[1]=0.0% 2.=1 loss[2]=0.0% 1.=2 prev[1]=66.7% 2.=1 prev[2]=33.3% 12=2 22=1 33=1
! 74: Age 103 1.=0 loss[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=0 prev[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 prev[2]=NaNQ%
! 75: Age 104 1.=0 loss[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=0 prev[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 prev[2]=NaNQ%
! 76: Age 105 1.=0 loss[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=0 prev[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 prev[2]=NaNQ%
! 77: Age 106 1.=0 loss[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 loss[2]=NaNQ% 1.=0 prev[1]=NaNQ% 2.=0 prev[2]=NaNQ% -1-1=69 -11=718 -12=195 -13=261
! 78: Total 1.=18068 loss[1]=5.0% 2.=2818 loss[2]=4.9% 1.=17161 prev[1]=86.5% 2.=2681 prev[2]=13.5% -1-1=69 -11=718 -12=195 -13=261 1-1=907 11=13305 12=2097 13=1759 2-1=137 21=424 22=1496 23=761 3-1=114 33=2567
! 79: Powell
! 80: 1 0.000000000000 2 0.000000000000 3 0.000000000000 4 0.000000000000 5 0.000000000000 6 0.000000000000 7 0.000000000000 8 0.000000000000
! 81:
! 82: Considering the time needed for this last iteration #1: 2 seconds,
! 83: - if your program needs 10 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 84: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 0 minute(s) 18 second(s) i.e.
! 85: on Thu Feb 09 13:52:09 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:51:51 2006);
! 86: - if your program needs 20 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 87: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 0 minute(s) 38 second(s) i.e.
! 88: on Thu Feb 09 13:52:29 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:51:51 2006);
! 89: - if your program needs 30 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 90: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 0 minute(s) 58 second(s) i.e.
! 91: on Thu Feb 09 13:52:49 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:51:51 2006);
! 92: 1........2..............3..........4.........................5.....6............7.........8.............................. 1 8.981830503530 2 0.016741784553 3 -0.434798498880 4 0.000504776710 5 3.199437397533 6 -0.000133684830 7 -0.817356116305 8 0.000414700006
! 93:
! 94: Considering the time needed for this last iteration #2: 96 seconds,
! 95: - if your program needs 10 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 96: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 12 minute(s) 48 second(s) i.e.
! 97: on Thu Feb 09 14:06:15 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:53:27 2006);
! 98: - if your program needs 20 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 99: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 28 minute(s) 48 second(s) i.e.
! 100: on Thu Feb 09 14:22:15 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:53:27 2006);
! 101: - if your program needs 30 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 102: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 44 minute(s) 48 second(s) i.e.
! 103: on Thu Feb 09 14:38:15 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:53:27 2006);
! 104: 1...........2.....................3..........4..................5.................6................7..........8................. 1 -2.281851420614 2 0.011363347897 3 -3.509250082173 4 -0.009372375479 5 2.547955940839 6 -0.006889808118 7 -1.246131470686 8 -0.012649672177
! 105:
! 106: Considering the time needed for this last iteration #3: 101 seconds,
! 107: - if your program needs 10 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 108: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 11 minute(s) 47 second(s) i.e.
! 109: on Thu Feb 09 14:06:55 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:55:08 2006);
! 110: - if your program needs 20 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 111: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 28 minute(s) 37 second(s) i.e.
! 112: on Thu Feb 09 14:23:45 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:55:08 2006);
! 113: - if your program needs 30 iterations to converge, convergence will be
! 114: reached in 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 45 minute(s) 27 second(s) i.e.
! 115: on Thu Feb 09 14:40:35 2006 (current time is Thu Feb 09 13:55:08 2006);
! 116: 1........2.................3......4....................5........6....................7..........8........... 1 -2.182068719033 2 0.011466946413 3 -4.731512500809 4 -0.008159452148 5 2.446990558784 6 -0.008351793528 7 -1.338382615583 8 -0.012700284730
! 117: 1........2................3..........4...................5.........6...................7..........8....................... 1 -3.070051387063 2 0.018028797393 3 -6.179592221557 4 0.001925017337 5 2.212186097394 6 -0.027641117484 7 -2.308560805740 8 -0.013145623348
! 118: 1........2...............3..........4....................5........6..........7..........8........... 1 -3.626312956439 2 0.020251467367 3 -6.684918212787 4 0.006047301575 5 2.124000671153 6 -0.032647993975 7 -2.450835668904 8 -0.013247040961
! 119: 1.........2................3..........4....................5........6..........7..........8................ 1 -7.191454532077 2 0.034617924834 3 -10.549096065074 4 0.036677592181 5 1.542362876419 6 -0.063020519616 7 -2.947495326944 8 -0.013799601262
! 120: 1.........2...........3.........4...................5.........6............7..........8......... 1 -7.694382907043 2 0.037187706665 3 -9.232632879214 4 0.039369823231 5 1.402009406864 6 -0.065176338388 7 -2.866142980519 8 -0.013803173787
! 121: 1.........2.............3..........4...................5.........6...........7...........8......... 1 -7.939255349020 2 0.039872560270 3 -9.190659358710 4 0.041411152505 5 1.337553047619 6 -0.067669705509 7 -2.901277283172 8 -0.013846054372
! 122: 1.........2...............3...........4...................5.........6...........7...........8.................. 1 -8.175631279729 2 0.042823018333 3 -9.305335930048 4 0.043733677481 5 1.277232607434 6 -0.070126527676 7 -2.891280451710 8 -0.013891004693
! 123: 1.........2.........3..........4...................5..........6...........7..........8........ 1 -8.179052585899 2 0.042977828076 3 -9.367208273745 4 0.044117254463 5 1.279490770058 6 -0.070237634028 7 -2.879075874776 8 -0.013897363904
! 124: 1..........2.........3..........4...................5..........6...........7..........8................ 1 -8.253572272952 2 0.044544071563 3 -9.869066527661 4 0.048217089100 5 1.293974518670 6 -0.070748184912 7 -2.797920152892 8 -0.013959307967
! 125: 1..........2.........3........4....................5..........6...........7.........8........ 1 -8.300112212725 2 0.045031594170 3 -10.021881561493 4 0.050126559490 5 1.294834133145 6 -0.070710329982 7 -2.801880482750 8 -0.013983400314
! 126: 1..........2.........3........4....................5..........6...........7.........8................ 1 -9.364842591286 2 0.057609082048 3 -13.303881826112 4 0.092894746877 5 1.299612159799 6 -0.069477088153 7 -2.845756178167 8 -0.014517900878
! 127: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6............7........8......... 1 -9.459278806217 2 0.058978744892 3 -13.724635612560 4 0.097163084190 5 1.309791039035 6 -0.069467801111 7 -2.836174796481 8 -0.014579105509
! 128: 1..........2.........3........4...................5...........6...........7.........8.......... 1 -9.556637887868 2 0.060193941624 3 -13.944504362051 4 0.099328912593 5 1.303726569886 6 -0.069588078175 7 -2.798134255191 8 -0.014606692137
! 129: 1...................2.........3........4...................5...........6....................7.........8....... 1 -9.570905342272 2 0.060346024093 3 -13.931313899727 4 0.099327770159 5 1.299821706241 6 -0.069473301017 7 -2.794875770321 8 -0.014605547177
! 130: 1.........2.........3........4...................5.............6...........7.........8............. 1 -9.520883114175 2 0.059763464854 3 -13.374653483904 4 0.092678715010 5 1.275219840829 6 -0.068998797247 7 -2.776665178135 8 -0.014526396877
! 131: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6...........7........8....... 1 -9.561555245819 2 0.060332629602 3 -13.308731000292 4 0.091779861852 5 1.264797002732 6 -0.068857881687 7 -2.776086705047 8 -0.014524519683
! 132: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6...........7........8............... 1 -11.211575781710 2 0.080498860780 3 -11.530401027674 4 0.070902721121 5 0.869698481108 6 -0.064142258040 7 -2.823637771567 8 -0.014535664893
! 133: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6....................7..........8........ 1 -11.324998174014 2 0.081611981532 3 -11.380418752304 4 0.068824626918 5 0.840620613321 6 -0.063969189991 7 -2.827237387442 8 -0.014527577647
! 134: 1.........2.........3........4...................5...........6...........7........8........... 1 -11.340961414448 2 0.081794209722 3 -11.416704318768 4 0.069267780643 5 0.840099031177 6 -0.063909795436 7 -2.826585935627 8 -0.014532614508
! 135: 1...........2.............3........4....................5..........6...........7................8......................... 1 -11.340709051197 2 0.081802792120 3 -11.417067188976 4 0.069276786444 5 0.839847953978 6 -0.063869839466 7 -2.824905089650 8 -0.014529245555
! 136: 1...........2.........3..................4.........................5..............6...........7........8...... 1 -11.342743801806 2 0.081820322457 3 -11.401632563948 4 0.069088746884 5 0.838324058123 6 -0.063852147478 7 -2.824999578005 8 -0.014525954569
! 137: 1...............2...........3.................4....................5...........6..............7.............8............. 1 -11.343702985288 2 0.081793772028 3 -11.291694070746 4 0.067728250133 5 0.825213211896 6 -0.063692329913 7 -2.828162199464 8 -0.014468261950
! 138: 1..........2.........3........4...................5..........6...........7.............8............ 1 -11.347007977922 2 0.081799327439 3 -11.195700174078 4 0.066543230470 5 0.803767372795 6 -0.063436156563 7 -2.836735799103 8 -0.014353159098
! 139: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6........7...........8............ 1 -11.376372999941 2 0.082036901055 3 -10.828388482187 4 0.062035166013 5 0.656103277942 6 -0.061609024889 7 -2.903764655306 8 -0.013485939896
! 140: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6........7..........8............. 1 -11.500867263799 2 0.083415962204 3 -10.238876901925 4 0.054901398796 5 0.118322020012 6 -0.054917506945 7 -3.172074420152 8 -0.010140938590
! 141: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6........7........8............... 1 -11.844075479807 2 0.087618898636 3 -9.780906613099 4 0.049617935303 5 -1.233984603621 6 -0.038337931436 7 -3.890685546892 8 -0.001486464017
! 142: 1.........2.........3.......4....................5..........6........7.......8........ 1 -11.994012593853 2 0.089569914764 3 -10.202480437946 4 0.054916675265 5 -1.722803656923 6 -0.032762006133 7 -4.188030904457 8 0.001766378508
! 143: 1.........2.........3........4...................5..........6........7.......8........... 1 -12.257648821391 2 0.092589436636 3 -10.655804856747 4 0.060756543077 5 -2.635974111997 6 -0.022512110483 7 -4.759828309828 8 0.007772764943
! 144: 1................2.........3........4....................5...........6...........7..........8........ 1 -12.259948658248 2 0.092557004851 3 -10.637054431275 4 0.060520061618 5 -2.688023823183 6 -0.021787539620 7 -4.794442890279 8 0.008123160801
! 145: 1.........2........3..................4..................5..........6...........7............8.......................... 1 -12.250208086036 2 0.092420997785 3 -10.671741983181 4 0.060966384389 5 -2.650566115409 6 -0.022247282355 7 -4.775987027684 8 0.007888300348
! 146: 1.........2..........3..........4...................5..........6...............7..............8............. 1 -12.245788985912 2 0.092364984212 3 -10.672921748611 4 0.060980886736 5 -2.644615718875 6 -0.022331337562 7 -4.772958927370 8 0.007853189684
! 147: 1............2........................3..............4...............................5...................6..................7.........8............
! 148: #Number of iterations = 34, -2 Log likelihood = 46542.395030424377
! 149: # Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...
! 150: 12 -12.245240 0.092358
! 151: 13 -10.671890 0.060969
! 152: 21 -2.645345 -0.022325
! 153: 23 -4.773317 0.007859
! 154:
! 155: Calculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...
! 156: 12345678.12.13.14.15.16.17.18.23.24.25.26.27.28.34.35.36.37.38.45.46.47.48.56.57.58.67.68.78
! 157:
! 158: Inverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...
! 159:
! 160: #Hessian matrix#
! 161: 2.314e+003 1.908e+005 4.106e+002 3.377e+004 -3.590e+002 -2.992e+004 -3.182e+002 -2.621e+004
! 162: 1.908e+005 1.581e+007 3.350e+004 2.769e+006 -2.988e+004 -2.506e+006 -2.611e+004 -2.161e+006
! 163: 4.106e+002 3.350e+004 8.125e+002 6.556e+004 -8.089e+001 -6.776e+003 3.862e+002 3.193e+004
! 164: 3.377e+004 2.769e+006 6.556e+004 5.317e+006 -6.824e+003 -5.753e+005 3.190e+004 2.651e+006
! 165: -3.590e+002 -2.988e+004 -8.089e+001 -6.824e+003 4.524e+002 3.800e+004 4.993e+001 4.166e+003
! 166: -2.992e+004 -2.506e+006 -6.776e+003 -5.753e+005 3.800e+004 3.210e+006 4.169e+003 3.502e+005
! 167: -3.182e+002 -2.611e+004 3.862e+002 3.190e+004 4.993e+001 4.169e+003 1.039e+003 8.943e+004
! 168: -2.621e+004 -2.161e+006 3.193e+004 2.651e+006 4.166e+003 3.502e+005 8.943e+004 7.740e+006
! 169: # Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)
! 170: 12 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-006
! 171: 13 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-006
! 172: 21 1.00000e-003 1.00000e-006
! 173: 23 1.00000e-004 1.00000e-005
! 174: # Covariance matrix
! 175: # 121 Var(a12)
! 176: # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)
! 177: # ...
! 178: # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)
! 179: #121 Var(a12)
! 180: #122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)
! 181: #131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12) Var(a13)
! 182: #132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12) Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)
! 183: #211 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12) Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)
! 184: #212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12) Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)
! 185: #231 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12) Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)
! 186: #232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) Cov(b23,a13) Cov(b23,b13) Cov(b23,a21) Cov(b23,b21) Cov(b23,a23) Var(b23)
! 187: 121 1.11832e-001
! 188: 122 -1.34196e-003 1.61978e-005
! 189: 131 -6.31135e-002 7.65687e-004 3.32706e-001
! 190: 132 7.49702e-004 -9.17551e-006 -4.08921e-003 5.05801e-005
! 191: 211 7.93255e-002 -9.47003e-004 2.83678e-002 -3.63380e-004 4.85740e-001
! 192: 212 -9.45906e-004 1.13454e-005 -3.55777e-004 4.56374e-006 -5.75682e-003 6.85863e-005
! 193: 231 5.35302e-002 -6.11201e-004 -1.16519e-001 1.34050e-003 -7.78502e-003 9.53787e-005 2.47205e-001
! 194: 232 -6.10827e-004 7.02090e-006 1.37532e-003 -1.59782e-005 1.00595e-004 -1.23725e-006 -2.82423e-003 3.24537e-005
! 195: begin-prev-date=1/1/1984 end-prev-date=1/6/1988 mov_average=0
! 196: prevforecast=0 starting-proj-date=1/1/2000 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0
! 197: Computing stable prevalence: result on file 'plrbiaspar.txt'
! 198:
! 199: #************
! 200: Computing pij: result on file 'pijrbiaspar.txt'
! 201: Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file 'probrbiaspar.txt'
! 202: Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file 'probcovrbiaspar.txt'
! 203: and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file 'probcorrbiaspar.txt'
! 204: 65 13-12 mu 1.4593e-002 2.3279e-002 Var 3.1491e-006 3.1424e-006 cor -0.367 cov -1.1545e-006 Eig 4.300e-006 1.991e-006 1stv 0.708 -0.706 tan -0.997
! 205: 70 13-12 mu 1.9764e-002 3.6884e-002 Var 3.1423e-006 4.5071e-006 cor -0.389 cov -1.4654e-006 Eig 5.441e-006 2.208e-006 1stv 0.538 -0.843 tan -1.569
! 206: 75 13-12 mu 2.6744e-002 5.8392e-002 Var 2.7400e-006 5.5899e-006 cor -0.431 cov -1.6874e-006 Eig 6.374e-006 1.956e-006 1stv 0.421 -0.907 tan -2.153
! 207: 80 13-12 mu 3.6143e-002 9.2326e-002 Var 2.7975e-006 6.6150e-006 cor -0.474 cov -2.0411e-006 Eig 7.501e-006 1.912e-006 1stv 0.398 -0.917 tan -2.304
! 208: 85 13-12 mu 4.8753e-002 1.4570e-001 Var 7.0638e-006 1.5184e-005 cor -0.418 cov -4.3308e-006 Eig 1.706e-005 5.188e-006 1stv 0.398 -0.918 tan -2.308
! 209: 90 13-12 mu 6.5567e-002 2.2925e-001 Var 2.7162e-005 7.5512e-005 cor -0.361 cov -1.6336e-005 Eig 8.051e-005 2.216e-005 1stv 0.293 -0.956 tan -3.266
! 210: 95 13-12 mu 8.7780e-002 3.5907e-001 Var 9.3869e-005 3.7310e-004 cor -0.348 cov -6.5109e-005 Eig 3.875e-004 7.943e-005 1stv 0.216 -0.976 tan -4.510
! 211: 65 21-12 mu 1.9362e-001 2.3279e-002 Var 9.8495e-004 3.1424e-006 cor 0.332 cov 1.8444e-005 Eig 9.853e-004 2.796e-006 1stv 1.000 0.019 tan 0.019
! 212: 70 21-12 mu 1.7337e-001 3.6884e-002 Var 4.6316e-004 4.5071e-006 cor 0.327 cov 1.4946e-005 Eig 4.636e-004 4.021e-006 1stv 0.999 0.033 tan 0.033
! 213: 75 21-12 mu 1.5521e-001 5.8392e-002 Var 1.8818e-004 5.5899e-006 cor 0.317 cov 1.0274e-005 Eig 1.888e-004 5.014e-006 1stv 0.998 0.056 tan 0.056
! 214: 80 21-12 mu 1.3892e-001 9.2326e-002 Var 6.7930e-005 6.6150e-006 cor 0.292 cov 6.1889e-006 Eig 6.855e-005 5.997e-006 1stv 0.995 0.099 tan 0.100
! 215: 85 21-12 mu 1.2432e-001 1.4570e-001 Var 3.9651e-005 1.5184e-005 cor 0.282 cov 6.9297e-006 Eig 4.148e-005 1.336e-005 1stv 0.967 0.255 tan 0.264
! 216: 90 21-12 mu 1.1124e-001 2.2925e-001 Var 6.1556e-005 7.5512e-005 cor 0.309 cov 2.1079e-005 Eig 9.074e-005 4.633e-005 1stv 0.586 0.811 tan 1.384
! 217: 95 21-12 mu 9.9523e-002 3.5907e-001 Var 1.0665e-004 3.7310e-004 cor 0.322 cov 6.4197e-005 Eig 3.878e-004 9.199e-005 1stv 0.223 0.975 tan 4.379
! 218: 65 23-12 mu 1.6400e-001 2.3279e-002 Var 4.4978e-004 3.1424e-006 cor 0.370 cov 1.3913e-005 Eig 4.502e-004 2.709e-006 1stv 1.000 0.031 tan 0.031
! 219: 70 23-12 mu 1.7077e-001 3.6884e-002 Var 3.0730e-004 4.5071e-006 cor 0.393 cov 1.4627e-005 Eig 3.080e-004 3.802e-006 1stv 0.999 0.048 tan 0.048
! 220: 75 23-12 mu 1.7779e-001 5.8392e-002 Var 1.8793e-004 5.5899e-006 cor 0.427 cov 1.3855e-005 Eig 1.890e-004 4.543e-006 1stv 0.997 0.075 tan 0.076
! 221: 80 23-12 mu 1.8506e-001 9.2326e-002 Var 1.0070e-004 6.6150e-006 cor 0.453 cov 1.1691e-005 Eig 1.021e-004 5.184e-006 1stv 0.993 0.121 tan 0.122
! 222: 85 23-12 mu 1.9259e-001 1.4570e-001 Var 5.6234e-005 1.5184e-005 cor 0.359 cov 1.0479e-005 Eig 5.875e-005 1.266e-005 1stv 0.972 0.234 tan 0.241
! 223: 90 23-12 mu 2.0040e-001 2.2925e-001 Var 6.6888e-005 7.5512e-005 cor 0.260 cov 1.8491e-005 Eig 9.019e-005 5.221e-005 1stv 0.622 0.783 tan 1.260
! 224: 95 23-12 mu 2.0849e-001 3.5907e-001 Var 1.4702e-004 3.7310e-004 cor 0.246 cov 5.7499e-005 Eig 3.869e-004 1.332e-004 1stv 0.233 0.972 tan 4.172
! 225: 65 21-13 mu 1.9362e-001 1.4593e-002 Var 9.8495e-004 3.1491e-006 cor 0.050 cov 2.7780e-006 Eig 9.850e-004 3.141e-006 1stv 1.000 0.003 tan 0.003
! 226: 70 21-13 mu 1.7337e-001 1.9764e-002 Var 4.6316e-004 3.1423e-006 cor 0.040 cov 1.5163e-006 Eig 4.632e-004 3.137e-006 1stv 1.000 0.003 tan 0.003
! 227: 75 21-13 mu 1.5521e-001 2.6744e-002 Var 1.8818e-004 2.7400e-006 cor 0.025 cov 5.6057e-007 Eig 1.882e-004 2.738e-006 1stv 1.000 0.003 tan 0.003
! 228: 80 21-13 mu 1.3892e-001 3.6143e-002 Var 6.7930e-005 2.7975e-006 cor 0.023 cov 3.1182e-007 Eig 6.793e-005 2.796e-006 1stv 1.000 0.005 tan 0.005
! 229: 85 21-13 mu 1.2432e-001 4.8753e-002 Var 3.9651e-005 7.0638e-006 cor 0.081 cov 1.3491e-006 Eig 3.971e-005 7.008e-006 1stv 0.999 0.041 tan 0.041
! 230: 90 21-13 mu 1.1124e-001 6.5567e-002 Var 6.1556e-005 2.7162e-005 cor 0.109 cov 4.4499e-006 Eig 6.212e-005 2.660e-005 1stv 0.992 0.126 tan 0.127
! 231: 95 21-13 mu 9.9523e-002 8.7780e-002 Var 1.0665e-004 9.3869e-005 cor 0.105 cov 1.0550e-005 Eig 1.126e-004 8.793e-005 1stv 0.871 0.491 tan 0.563
! 232: 65 23-13 mu 1.6400e-001 1.4593e-002 Var 4.4978e-004 3.1491e-006 cor -0.471 cov -1.7732e-005 Eig 4.505e-004 2.446e-006 1stv 0.999 -0.040 tan -0.040
! 233: 70 23-13 mu 1.7077e-001 1.9764e-002 Var 3.0730e-004 3.1423e-006 cor -0.504 cov -1.5670e-005 Eig 3.081e-004 2.337e-006 1stv 0.999 -0.051 tan -0.051
! 234: 75 23-13 mu 1.7779e-001 2.6744e-002 Var 1.8793e-004 2.7400e-006 cor -0.560 cov -1.2702e-005 Eig 1.888e-004 1.873e-006 1stv 0.998 -0.068 tan -0.068
! 235: 80 23-13 mu 1.8506e-001 3.6143e-002 Var 1.0070e-004 2.7975e-006 cor -0.594 cov -9.9768e-006 Eig 1.017e-004 1.791e-006 1stv 0.995 -0.100 tan -0.101
! 236: 85 23-13 mu 1.9259e-001 4.8753e-002 Var 5.6234e-005 7.0638e-006 cor -0.519 cov -1.0337e-005 Eig 5.832e-005 4.979e-006 1stv 0.980 -0.198 tan -0.202
! 237: 90 23-13 mu 2.0040e-001 6.5567e-002 Var 6.6888e-005 2.7162e-005 cor -0.462 cov -1.9685e-005 Eig 7.499e-005 1.906e-005 1stv 0.925 -0.381 tan -0.412
! 238: 95 23-13 mu 2.0849e-001 8.7780e-002 Var 1.4702e-004 9.3869e-005 cor -0.418 cov -4.9150e-005 Eig 1.763e-004 6.457e-005 1stv 0.859 -0.512 tan -0.596
! 239: 65 23-21 mu 1.6400e-001 1.9362e-001 Var 4.4978e-004 9.8495e-004 cor -0.044 cov -2.9476e-005 Eig 9.866e-004 4.482e-004 1stv 0.055 -0.998 tan -18.211
! 240: 70 23-21 mu 1.7077e-001 1.7337e-001 Var 3.0730e-004 4.6316e-004 cor -0.040 cov -1.4909e-005 Eig 4.646e-004 3.059e-004 1stv 0.094 -0.996 tan -10.549
! 241: 75 23-21 mu 1.7779e-001 1.5521e-001 Var 1.8793e-004 1.8818e-004 cor -0.035 cov -6.5384e-006 Eig 1.946e-004 1.815e-004 1stv 0.700 -0.714 tan -1.020
! 242: 80 23-21 mu 1.8506e-001 1.3892e-001 Var 1.0070e-004 6.7930e-005 cor -0.035 cov -2.8818e-006 Eig 1.010e-004 6.768e-005 1stv 0.996 -0.087 tan -0.087
! 243: 85 23-21 mu 1.9259e-001 1.2432e-001 Var 5.6234e-005 3.9651e-005 cor -0.059 cov -2.7820e-006 Eig 5.669e-005 3.920e-005 1stv 0.987 -0.161 tan -0.163
! 244: 90 23-21 mu 2.0040e-001 1.1124e-001 Var 6.6888e-005 6.1556e-005 cor -0.083 cov -5.3389e-006 Eig 7.019e-005 5.825e-005 1stv 0.851 -0.526 tan -0.618
! 245: 95 23-21 mu 2.0849e-001 9.9523e-002 Var 1.4702e-004 1.0665e-004 cor -0.079 cov -9.8535e-006 Eig 1.493e-004 1.044e-004 1stv 0.974 -0.225 tan -0.231
! 246: Computing Total LEs with variances: file 'trbiaspar.txt'
! 247: Computing Health Expectancies: result on file 'erbiaspar.txt'
! 248: Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file 'vrbiaspar.txt'
! 249: 65|66|67|68|69|70|71|72|73|74|75|76|77|78|79|80|81|82|83|84|85|86|87|88|89|90|91|92|93|94|95|
! 250: Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file 'prmorprev1-stablbased-rbiaspar.txt'
! 251: End of Imach
! 252: Local time at start Thu Feb 09 13:51:49 2006
! 253:
! 254: Local time at end Thu Feb 09 14:44:03 2006
! 255:
! 256: Total time used 0 day(s) 0 hour(s) 52 minute(s) 14 second(s)
! 257: Total time was 3134 Sec.
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