Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.287 and 1.300

version 1.287, 2018/05/01 17:57:25 version 1.300, 2019/05/22 19:09:45
Line 1 Line 1
 /* $Id$  /* $Id$
   $State$    $State$
   $Log$    $Log$
     Revision 1.300  2019/05/22 19:09:45  brouard
     Summary: version 0.99r19 of May 2019
   
     Revision 1.299  2019/05/22 18:37:08  brouard
     Summary: Cleaned 0.99r19
   
     Revision 1.298  2019/05/22 18:19:56  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.297  2019/05/22 17:56:10  brouard
     Summary: Fix bug by moving date2dmy and nhstepm which gaefin=-1
   
     Revision 1.296  2019/05/20 13:03:18  brouard
     Summary: Projection syntax simplified
   
   
     We can now start projections, forward or backward, from the mean date
     of inteviews up to or down to a number of years of projection:
     prevforecast=1 yearsfproj=15.3 mobil_average=0
     or
     prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/2007 final-proj-date=12/31/2017 mobil_average=0
     or
     prevbackcast=1 yearsbproj=12.3 mobil_average=1
     or
     prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/10/1999 final-back-date=1/1/1985 mobil_average=1
   
     Revision 1.295  2019/05/18 09:52:50  brouard
     Summary: doxygen tex bug
   
     Revision 1.294  2019/05/16 14:54:33  brouard
     Summary: There was some wrong lines added
   
     Revision 1.293  2019/05/09 15:17:34  brouard
     *** empty log message ***
   
     Revision 1.292  2019/05/09 14:17:20  brouard
     Summary: Some updates
   
     Revision 1.291  2019/05/09 13:44:18  brouard
     Summary: Before ncovmax
   
     Revision 1.290  2019/05/09 13:39:37  brouard
     Summary: 0.99r18 unlimited number of individuals
   
     The number n which was limited to 20,000 cases is now unlimited, from firstobs to lastobs. If the number is too for the virtual memory, probably an error will occur.
   
     Revision 1.289  2018/12/13 09:16:26  brouard
     Summary: Bug for young ages (<-30) will be in r17
   
     Revision 1.288  2018/05/02 20:58:27  brouard
     Summary: Some bugs fixed
   
   Revision 1.287  2018/05/01 17:57:25  brouard    Revision 1.287  2018/05/01 17:57:25  brouard
   Summary: Bug fixed by providing frequencies only for non missing covariates    Summary: Bug fixed by providing frequencies only for non missing covariates
   
Line 1043  typedef struct { Line 1095  typedef struct {
 #define NINTERVMAX 8  #define NINTERVMAX 8
 #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */  #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
 #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */  #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
 #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */  #define NCOVMAX 20  /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
 #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1  #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
 /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/  /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
 #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1   #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
 #define MAXN 20000  /*#define MAXN 20000 */ /* Should by replaced by nobs, real number of observations and unlimited */
 #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */  #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
 /* #define AGESUP 130 */  /* #define AGESUP 130 */
 #define AGESUP 150  /* #define AGESUP 150 */
   #define AGESUP 200
 #define AGEINF 0  #define AGEINF 0
 #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */  #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
 #define AGEBASE 40  #define AGEBASE 40
Line 1070  typedef struct { Line 1123  typedef struct {
 /* $State$ */  /* $State$ */
 #include "version.h"  #include "version.h"
 char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;  char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
 char copyright[]="April 2018,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";  char copyright[]="May 2019,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2020";
 char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$";   char fullversion[]="$Revision$ $Date$"; 
 char strstart[80];  char strstart[80];
 char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];  char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
Line 1094  int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Qu Line 1147  int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Qu
 int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */  int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
 int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */  int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
 int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */  int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
   int nobs=10;  /* Number of observations in the data lastobs-firstobs */
 int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */  int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
 int npar=NPARMAX;  int npar=NPARMAX;
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
Line 1234  double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global poin Line 1288  double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global poin
 double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */  double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
 double *ageexmed,*agecens;  double *ageexmed,*agecens;
 double dateintmean=0;  double dateintmean=0;
     double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; /* For eventual projections */
     double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf;
   
     double anbackd, mbackd, jbackd; /* For eventual backprojections */
     double anbackf, mbackf, jbackf;
     double jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;  
 double *weight;  double *weight;
 int **s; /* Status */  int **s; /* Status */
 double *agedc;  double *agedc;
Line 2577  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 2636  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
   double **newm;    double **newm;
   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */    double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
   int ncvloop=0;    int ncvloop=0;
     int first=0;
       
   min=vector(1,nlstate);    min=vector(1,nlstate);
   max=vector(1,nlstate);    max=vector(1,nlstate);
Line 2673  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 2733  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);        free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
       return prlim;        return prlim;
     }      }
   } /* age loop */    } /* agefin loop */
     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */      /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\    if(!first){
 Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);      first=1;
       printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d). Others in log file only...\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
     }
     fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.d years and %d loops. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Youngest age to start was %d=(%d-%d).\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, *ncvyear, ncvloop, (int)(agefin+stepm/YEARM),  (int)(age-stepm/YEARM), (int)delaymax);
   
   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */    /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);    free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);    free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
Line 2742  Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl Line 2806  Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl
   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */    /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */    /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */    /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */    /* for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
     for(agefin=age; agefin<FMIN(AGESUP,age+delaymax); agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
     ncvloop++;      ncvloop++;
     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */      newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                 /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */                  /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
Line 2856  Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl Line 2921  Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvl
       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);        free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
       return bprlim;        return bprlim;
     }      }
   } /* age loop */    } /* agefin loop */
     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */      /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
   if(first){    if(!first){
     first=1;      first=1;
     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\      printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
 Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);  Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
Line 2941  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3006  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
       ps[ii][ii]=1;        ps[ii][ii]=1;
     }      }
   }    }
     
     
   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */    /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */    /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
   /*    printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */    /*    printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
Line 2970  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3035  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   double **out, **pmij();    double **out, **pmij();
   double sumnew=0.;    double sumnew=0.;
   double agefin;    double agefin;
   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */    double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrix (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;    double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
   double **bbmij;    double **bbmij;
       
Line 2989  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3054  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */    /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
   
   /* Diag(w_x) */    /* Diag(w_x) */
   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */    /* Rescaling the cross-sectional prevalence: Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
   sumnew=0.;    sumnew=0.;
   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/    /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */    for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */      /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]); */
     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];      sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
   }    }
   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */    if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
Line 3016  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3081  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   }    }
   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */    /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
       
   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */    /* Left product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm): diag[(w_i)*Px */
   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */    bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* was a Bug Valgrind */
   
   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */    /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x, should be the prevalence at age x+stepm */
   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */    /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){    for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
     sumnew=0.;      sumnew=0.;
Line 3037  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3102  double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
     } /*End ii */      } /*End ii */
   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */    } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
   
   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */    ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* was a Bug Valgrind */
   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */    /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
   /* end bmij */    /* end bmij */
   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */    return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
Line 3109  double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, Line 3174  double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov,
       ps[ii][ii]=1;        ps[ii][ii]=1;
     }      }
   }    }
   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */    /* Added for prevbcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){    for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
     s1=0.;      s1=0.;
     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){      for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
Line 3869  return -l; Line 3934  return -l;
   
   
 /*************** function likelione ***********/  /*************** function likelione ***********/
 void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*func)(double []))
 {  {
   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with     /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
      the selection of individuals/waves and       the selection of individuals/waves and
Line 3893  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], Line 3958  void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[],
     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");      fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
   }    }
   
   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);    *fretone=(*func)(p);
   if(*globpri !=0){    if(*globpri !=0){
     fclose(ficresilk);      fclose(ficresilk);
     if (mle ==0)      if (mle ==0)
Line 4368  void pstamp(FILE *fichier) Line 4433  void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);    fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
 }  }
   
   void date2dmy(double date,double *day, double *month, double *year){
     double yp=0., yp1=0., yp2=0.;
     
     yp1=modf(date,&yp);/* extracts integral of date in yp  and
                           fractional in yp1 */
     *year=yp;
     yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
     *month=yp;
     yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
     *day=yp;
     if(*day==0) *day=1;
     if(*month==0) *month=1;
   }
   
   
   
 /************ Frequencies ********************/  /************ Frequencies ********************/
Line 4942  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 5021  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
     }      }
   } /* end mle=-2 */    } /* end mle=-2 */
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;     dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
     date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean);
       
   fclose(ficresp);    fclose(ficresp);
   fclose(ficresphtm);    fclose(ficresphtm);
Line 5055  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 5135  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
   /*j=cptcoveff;*/    /*j=cptcoveff;*/
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
       
   first=1;    first=0;
   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */    for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)        for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)        for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
Line 5113  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 5193  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
           if(posprop>=1.e-5){             if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
             probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;              probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
           } else{            } else{
             if(first==1){              if(!first){
               first=0;                first=1;
               printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);                printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
               fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);  
             }else{              }else{
               fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases.\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
             }              }
           }            }
         }           } 
Line 5136  void prevalence(double ***probs, double Line 5215  void prevalence(double ***probs, double
   
 void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
 {  {
   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.    /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves in the sense that a non interview is useless) of individual i.
      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).       Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i       mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]       dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.       and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm. s[m][i] exists for any wave from firstpass to lastpass
   */    */
   
   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;    int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
Line 5847  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 5926  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
    double **dnewm,**doldm;     double **dnewm,**doldm;
    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;     double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
      int first=0;
    int k;     int k;
    double *xp;     double *xp;
    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */     double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
Line 5971  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6051  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
        }         }
        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and          /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
         * returns into prlim .          * returns into prlim .
         */                        */
        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
   
        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */         /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
Line 5984  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6064  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
              prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];               prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
          }           }
        }         }
        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.         /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}x\f$ at horizon h.
         */                                */                      
        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability         /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}x\f$, which are the probability
         * at horizon h in state j including mortality.          * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
         */          */
        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
Line 6009  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6089  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
                                                   
        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
          xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                           
        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
                                                   
        if (popbased==1) {         if (popbased==1) {
Line 6195  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6275  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   int theta;    int theta;
       
   pstamp(ficresvpl);    pstamp(ficresvpl);
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");    fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (forward stable) prevalences \n");
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");    fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
   if(nresult >=1)    if(nresult >=1)
     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");      fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
Line 6224  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6304  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       }        }
       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )        /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ) */
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);        /*        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
       else        /* else */
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){        for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
         gp[i] = prlim[i][i];          gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
         mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];          mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
       }        }
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )        /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ) */
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);        /*        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres); */
       else        /* else */
         prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){        for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
         gm[i] = prlim[i][i];          gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
         mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];          mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
Line 6286  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 6366  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );      fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
     if(nresult >=1)      if(nresult >=1)
       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );        fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));        fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
         /* for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++) */
         /*        fprintf(ficresvpl," %d %.5f ",j,prlim[j][i]); */
       }
     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");      fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);      free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);      free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
Line 6504  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do Line 6587  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");     fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. File %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);     fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \     fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
 and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\  and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
Line 6774  To be simple, these graphs help to under Line 6857  To be simple, these graphs help to under
 void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \  void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                   int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\                    int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\                    int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
                   int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \                    int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int prevbcast, int estepm , \
                   double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \                    double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateprojd, double dateback1, \
                   double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){                    double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateprojf, double dateback2){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;    int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
Line 6797  void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char Line 6880  void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char
  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",   - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
            stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));             stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Period (forward) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));             subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Backward prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));             subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \   - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
Line 6906  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> Line 6989  divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>
 <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);   <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */       /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. And probability to be observed in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
      }       }
      /* State specific survival functions (period) */       /* State specific survival functions (period) */
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d and in any other live state (total).\
  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.     \   And probability to be observed in various states (up to %d) being in state %d at different ages.       \
  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);   <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
      }       }
      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */       /* Period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
      }       }
      if(backcast==1){       if(prevbcast==1){
        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */         /* Backward prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }         }
      }       }
      if(prevfcast==1){       if(prevfcast==1){
        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */         /* Projection of prevalence up to period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) forward prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
 <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateprojd, dateprojf, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }         }
      }       }
      if(backcast==1){       if(prevbcast==1){
       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */        /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
Line 6983  See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance Line 7066  See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance
    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",     <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
            estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));             estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",   - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the forward (period) prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));             estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",   - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
            estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));             estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
    fprintf(fichtm,"\     fprintf(fichtm,"\
  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\   - Standard deviation of forward (period) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
            subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));             subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
   
 /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */  /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
Line 7047  true period expectancies (those weighted Line 7130  true period expectancies (those weighted
 }  }
   
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/  /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
 void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int prevbcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
   
   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];    char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];    char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
Line 7125  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7208  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
           continue;            continue;
         /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */          /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
         /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */          /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);          fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Forward (stable period) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
         strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");          strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
         for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
           lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
Line 7163  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7246  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
           if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");            if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
           else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");            else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
         }          }
         fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Forward prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
         for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {          for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
           if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");            if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
           else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
Line 7201  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7284  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
           } /* end covariate */            } /* end covariate */
         } /* end if no covariate */          } /* end if no covariate */
   
         if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */          if(prevbcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
           /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */            /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
           fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */            fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
           if(cptcoveff ==0){            if(cptcoveff ==0){
Line 7228  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7311  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
               }                }
             } /* end covariate */              } /* end covariate */
           } /* end if no covariate */            } /* end if no covariate */
           if(backcast == 1){            if(prevbcast == 1){
             fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);              fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
             /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/              /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
             for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {              for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
Line 7247  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch Line 7330  void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
             }               } 
             fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");              fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
           } /* end if backprojcast */            } /* end if backprojcast */
         } /* end if backcast */          } /* end if prevbcast */
         /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */          /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
       } /* nres */        } /* nres */
Line 7492  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7575  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
       continue;        continue;
     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */      for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");              strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (forward): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
         lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
         /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
Line 7535  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7618  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
       
       
 /* 7eme */  /* 7eme */
   if(backcast == 1){    if(prevbcast == 1){
     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */      /* CV backward prevalence  for each covariate */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */      for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
         continue;          continue;
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */        for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
         strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");                strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);          fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Backward stable prevalence: 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
           lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
           /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
Line 7587  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7670  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/         } /* end cpt state*/ 
     } /* end covariate */        } /* end covariate */  
   } /* End if backcast */    } /* End if prevbcast */
       
   /* 8eme */    /* 8eme */
   if(prevfcast==1){    if(prevfcast==1){
     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */      /* Projection from cross-sectional to forward stable (period) prevalence for each covariate */
           
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */      for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
Line 7599  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7682  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
         continue;          continue;
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */        for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
         strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");                strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);          fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to forward stable prevalence (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
         for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
           lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
           /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
Line 7703  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7786  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
     } /* end covariate */      } /* end covariate */
   } /* End if prevfcast */    } /* End if prevfcast */
       
   if(backcast==1){    if(prevbcast==1){
     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */      /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
           
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
Line 7816  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 7899  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
       } /* end cpt state*/        } /* end cpt state*/
     } /* end covariate */      } /* end covariate */
   } /* End if backcast */    } /* End if prevbcast */
       
       
   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */    /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
Line 8033  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 8116  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
    int modcovmax =1;     int modcovmax =1;
    int mobilavrange, mob;     int mobilavrange, mob;
    int iage=0;     int iage=0;
      int firstA1=0, firstA2=0;
   
    double sum=0., sumr=0.;     double sum=0., sumr=0.;
    double age;     double age;
Line 8130  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 8214  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
      } /* age */       } /* age */
      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */       /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
      /* but they will change */       /* but they will change */
        firstA1=0;firstA2=0;
      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */       for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;         sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;         sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
Line 8162  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 8247  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
          sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];           sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
        }         }
        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */         if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
          printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);           if(!firstA1){
              firstA1=1;
              printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
            }
            fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
        } /* end bad */         } /* end bad */
        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */         /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */         if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
          printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);           if(!firstA2){
              firstA2=1;
              printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d. Others in log file...\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
            }
            fprintf(ficlog,"Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
        } /* end bad */         } /* end bad */
      }/* age */       }/* age */
   
Line 8254  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 8347  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
  }/* End movingaverage */   }/* End movingaverage */
     
   
    
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){  /* void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double anprojd, double mprojd, double jprojd, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anprojf, double p[], int cptcoveff)*/
   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection   void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){
     /* dateintemean, mean date of interviews
        dateprojd, year, month, day of starting projection 
        dateprojf date of end of projection;year of end of projection (same day and month as proj1).
      agemin, agemax range of age       agemin, agemax range of age
      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed       dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).  
   */    */
     /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; */
     /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */
   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;    int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
   double agec; /* generic age */    double agec; /* generic age */
   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;    double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;    double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   /* double ***mobaverage; */    /* double ***mobaverage; */
Line 8300  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n Line 8398  set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */    if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
     stepsize=2;      stepsize=2;
   }    }
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
   
     
     /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and */
     /*                              fractional in yp1 *\/ */
     /* aintmean=yp; */
     /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */
     /* mintmean=yp; */
     /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */
     /* jintmean=yp; */
     /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
     /* if(mintmean==0) mintmean=1; */
   
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;   
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and  
                                fractional in yp1 */  
   anprojmean=yp;  
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);  
   mprojmean=yp;  
   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);  
   jprojmean=yp;  
   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;  
   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;  
   
     /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */
     /* date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd); */
     /* date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf); */
   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
       
   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);     fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
       
   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");    fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
       
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         fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);          fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);        fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
     }      }
     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {      for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anprojf-anprojd);yearp +=stepsize) {
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);           fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojd,mprojd,anprojd+yearp);   
       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */        /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){         for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
         nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm);           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
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         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");          fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
           fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);            fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);          fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anprojd+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
           ppij=0.;            ppij=0.;
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 }  }
   
 /************** Back Forecasting ******************/  /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){   /* void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ */
   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection   void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){
     /* back1, year, month, day of starting backprojection
      agemin, agemax range of age       agemin, agemax range of age
      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed       dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).       anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
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   */    */
   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;    int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
   double agec; /* generic age */    double agec; /* generic age */
   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;    double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;    double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   /* double ***mobaverage; */    /* double ***mobaverage; */
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   }    }
       
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;    hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and    /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and */
                                fractional in yp1 */    /*                              fractional in yp1 *\/ */
   anprojmean=yp;    /* aintmean=yp; */
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);    /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */
   mprojmean=yp;    /* mintmean=yp; */
   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);    /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */
   jprojmean=yp;    /* jintmean=yp; */
   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;    /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;    /* if(mintmean==0) jintmean=1; */
       
   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
       
   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);    fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);    printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
       
   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");    fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
       
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         fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);          fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);        fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
     }      }
     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {      for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anbackf-anbackd);yearp -=stepsize) {
       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */        /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jbackd,mbackd,anbackd+yearp);
       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */        /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */        /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */        for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
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         fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");          fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)          for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
           fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);            fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
         fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);          fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anbackd+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {          for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
           ppij=0.;ppi=0.;            ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {            for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
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 /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */  /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){   void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/         /*------- Variance of forward period (stable) prevalence------*/   
     
    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];       char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
    FILE *ficresvpl;     FILE *ficresvpl;
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     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");      strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);      strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);        printf("Problem with variance of forward period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
       exit(0);        exit(0);
     }      }
     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);      printf("Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of forward period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
           
     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){      /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/        for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
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     }      }
           
     fclose(ficresvpl);      fclose(ficresvpl);
     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);      printf("done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of forward period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
  }   }
 /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */  /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
Line 10164  BOOL IsWow64() Line 10268  BOOL IsWow64()
 #endif  #endif
   
 void syscompilerinfo(int logged)  void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
  {  {
    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/  #include <stdint.h>
   
     /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/     /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
    /* /GS /W3 /Gy     /* /GS /W3 /Gy
       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D        /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
Line 10200  void syscompilerinfo(int logged) Line 10306  void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF        /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1        /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
    */     */
   
   
 #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER  #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
 #if defined(__GNUC__)  #if defined(__GNUC__)
         struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */          struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
Line 10216  void syscompilerinfo(int logged) Line 10324  void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
    }     }
 #endif  #endif
   
 #include <stdint.h>  
   
    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");     printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
 #if defined(__clang__)  #if defined(__clang__)
    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");       /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */     printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");       /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
Line 10324  void syscompilerinfo(int logged) Line 10430  void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
 }  }
   
 int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){  int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/    /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (forward period or forward stable prevalence) --------------*/
   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;    int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */    /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
   double age, agebase, agelim;    double age, agebase, agelim;
Line 10333  int prevalence_limit(double *p, double * Line 10439  int prevalence_limit(double *p, double *
   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");    strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);    strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;      printf("Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forward period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
   }    }
   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);    printf("\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);    fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forward period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
   pstamp(ficrespl);    pstamp(ficrespl);
   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);    fprintf(ficrespl,"# Forward period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");    fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");    fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
Line 10414  int prevalence_limit(double *p, double * Line 10520  int prevalence_limit(double *p, double *
 }  }
   
 int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){  int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
         /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/          /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (backward stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   
         /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values           /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar     * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
Line 10429  int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, dou Line 10535  int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, dou
   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");    strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);    strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;      printf("Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with backward prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
   }    }
   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);    printf("Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing backward prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
   pstamp(ficresplb);    pstamp(ficresplb);
   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);    fprintf(ficresplb,"# Backward prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");    fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");    fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
Line 10624  int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage) Line 10730  int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage)
   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/    /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
       
   /* agelim=AGESUP; */    /* agelim=AGESUP; */
   ageminl=30;    ageminl=AGEINF; /* was 30 */
   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
       
Line 10654  int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage) Line 10760  int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage)
       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */        /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */        for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
         /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */          /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
         nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */          nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm+0.1)-1; /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 or 55*12/24=27.5-1.1=>27 */
         nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */          nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 or 28*/
                   
         /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/          /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   
Line 10703  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10809  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double ssval;    double ssval;
 #endif  #endif
   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);    int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;    int i,j, k, iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; /* Suppressing because nobs */
     /* int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod; */
   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */    int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;    int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */    int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
Line 10738  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10845  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       
   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE];     char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */    char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;    int firstobs=1, lastobs=10; /* nobs = lastobs-firstobs declared globally ;*/
   int c,  h , cpt, c2;    int c,  h , cpt, c2;
   int jl=0;    int jl=0;
   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;    int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
Line 10746  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10853  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   
   int *tab;     int *tab; 
   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */    int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
   int backcast=0;    /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; /\* For eventual projections *\/ */
     /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */
     /* double jintmean,mintmean,aintmean;   */
     int prvforecast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */
     int prvbackcast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */
     double yrfproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of forward projections */
     double yrbproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of backward projections */
     int prevbcast=0; /* defined as global for mlikeli and mle, replacing backcast */
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;    int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;    int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
   int agemortsup;    int agemortsup;
Line 10771  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 10885  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double *epj, vepp;    double *epj, vepp;
   
   double dateprev1, dateprev2;    double dateprev1, dateprev2;
   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;    double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0, dateprojd=0, dateprojf=0;
   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;    double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0, datebackd=0, datebackf=0;
   
   
   double **ximort;    double **ximort;
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";    char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
Line 11105  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 11220  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
         
   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */    covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< used in readdata */
   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */    if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */    if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/    if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/    cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5    /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3       v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
Line 11171  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 11286  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){        for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
         if(jj==i) continue;          if(jj==i) continue;
         j++;          j++;
           while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
             ungetc(c,ficpar);
             fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
             numlinepar++;
             fputs(line,stdout);
             fputs(line,ficparo);
             fputs(line,ficlog);
           }
           ungetc(c,ficpar);
         fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);          fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
         if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){          if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
           printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \            printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
Line 11311  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11435  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       
   /*  Main data    /*  Main data
    */     */
   n= lastobs;    nobs=lastobs-firstobs+1; /* was = lastobs;*/
   num=lvector(1,n);    /* num=lvector(1,n); */
   moisnais=vector(1,n);    /* moisnais=vector(1,n); */
   annais=vector(1,n);    /* annais=vector(1,n); */
   moisdc=vector(1,n);    /* moisdc=vector(1,n); */
   andc=vector(1,n);    /* andc=vector(1,n); */
   weight=vector(1,n);    /* weight=vector(1,n); */
   agedc=vector(1,n);    /* agedc=vector(1,n); */
   cod=ivector(1,n);    /* cod=ivector(1,n); */
   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){    /* for(i=1;i<=n;i++){ */
     num=lvector(firstobs,lastobs);
     moisnais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     annais=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     moisdc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     andc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     weight=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     agedc=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     cod=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
     for(i=firstobs;i<=lastobs;i++){
     num[i]=0;      num[i]=0;
     moisnais[i]=0;      moisnais[i]=0;
     annais[i]=0;      annais[i]=0;
Line 11330  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11463  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     cod[i]=0;      cod[i]=0;
     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */      weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
   }    }
   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);    mint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);    anint=matrix(1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */     s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);    tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */    ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */    ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
Line 11434  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11567  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
   
   
   agegomp=(int)agemin;    agegomp=(int)agemin;
   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);    free_vector(moisnais,firstobs,lastobs);
   free_vector(annais,1,n);    free_vector(annais,firstobs,lastobs);
   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);    /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */    /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
Line 11461  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 11594  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);    concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
   /* Concatenates waves */    /* Concatenates waves */
     
   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);    free_vector(moisdc,firstobs,lastobs);
   free_vector(andc,1,n);    free_vector(andc,firstobs,lastobs);
   
   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */    /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);     nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
Line 11652  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La Line 11785  Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv);     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
   ncurrv=i;    ncurrv=i;
   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);    for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) dummy covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
   ncurrv=i;    ncurrv=i;
   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);    for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of time varying  quantitative covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
   ncurrv=i;    ncurrv=i;
   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);    for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
Line 11687  Interval (in months) between two waves: Line 11820  Interval (in months) between two waves:
       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)        for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
         ximort[i][j]=0.;          ximort[i][j]=0.;
     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */      /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
     cens=ivector(1,n);      cens=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
     ageexmed=vector(1,n);      ageexmed=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     agecens=vector(1,n);      agecens=vector(firstobs,lastobs);
     dcwave=ivector(1,n);      dcwave=ivector(firstobs,lastobs);
                                   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
       dcwave[i]=-1;        dcwave[i]=-1;
Line 11904  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12037  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);      free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);      free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);      free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
     free_ivector(cens,1,n);      free_ivector(dcwave,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_vector(agecens,1,n);      free_vector(agecens,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);      free_vector(ageexmed,firstobs,lastobs);
       free_ivector(cens,firstobs,lastobs);
 #ifdef GSL  #ifdef GSL
 #endif  #endif
   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */    } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
Line 12102  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12236  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         fputs(line,stdout);          fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);          fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);          fputs(line,ficlog);
           fputs(line,ficres);
         continue;          continue;
       }else        }else
         break;          break;
Line 12147  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12282  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         fputs(line,stdout);          fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);          fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);          fputs(line,ficlog);
           fputs(line,ficres);
         continue;          continue;
       }else        }else
         break;          break;
Line 12172  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12308  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         fputs(line,stdout);          fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);          fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);          fputs(line,ficlog);
           fputs(line,ficres);
         continue;          continue;
       }else        }else
         break;          break;
Line 12205  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12342  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         fputs(line,stdout);          fputs(line,stdout);
         fputs(line,ficparo);          fputs(line,ficparo);
         fputs(line,ficlog);          fputs(line,ficlog);
           fputs(line,ficres);
         continue;          continue;
       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))        }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
         parameterline=11;          parameterline=11;
       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))        else if(sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
         parameterline=12;          parameterline=12;
       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))        else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
         parameterline=13;          parameterline=13;
Line 12217  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12355  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       }        }
       switch (parameterline){         switch (parameterline){ 
       case 11:        case 11:
         if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){          if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){
           if (num_filled != 8) {                    fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
             printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);  
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);  
             goto end;  
           }  
           fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);  
           printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);            printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
           fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
           fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);            fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
           /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/            /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
           dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;            dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
           dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;            dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
             prvforecast = 1;
           } 
           else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&yrfproj,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/
             printf("prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
             fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
             fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj);
             prvforecast = 2;
           }
           else {
             printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearsfproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
             goto end;
         }          }
         break;          break;
       case 12:        case 12:
         /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/          if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){
         if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){            fprintf(ficparo,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
           if (num_filled != 8) {            printf("prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
             printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);            fprintf(ficlog,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);            fprintf(ficres,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
             goto end;            /* day and month of back2 are not used but only year anback2.*/
           }  
           printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);  
           fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);  
           fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);  
           fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);  
           /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/  
           dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;            dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
           dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;            dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
             prvbackcast = 1;
           } 
           else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&yrbproj,&mobilavproj)) ==3){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/
             printf("prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
             fprintf(ficlog,"prevbackcast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
             fprintf(ficres,"prevbackcast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj);
             prvbackcast = 2;
           }
           else {
             printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearsbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line);
             goto end;
         }          }
         break;          break;
       case 13:        case 13:
Line 12299  This is probably because your parameter Line 12449  This is probably because your parameter
 Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
     }else{      }else{
       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */        /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);        /* It seems that anprojd which is computed from the mean year at interview which is known yet because of freqsummary */
         /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */ /* Done in freqsummary */
         if(prvforecast==1){
           dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365;
           jprojd=jproj1;
           mprojd=mproj1;
           anprojd=anproj1;
           dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365;
           jprojf=jproj2;
           mprojf=mproj2;
           anprojf=anproj2;
         } else if(prvforecast == 2){
           dateprojd=dateintmean;
           date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd);
           dateprojf=dateintmean+yrfproj;
           date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf);
         }
         if(prvbackcast==1){
           datebackd=(jback1+12*mback1+365*anback1)/365;
           jbackd=jback1;
           mbackd=mback1;
           anbackd=anback1;
           datebackf=(jback2+12*mback2+365*anback2)/365;
           jbackf=jback2;
           mbackf=mback2;
           anbackf=anback2;
         } else if(prvbackcast == 2){
           datebackd=dateintmean;
           date2dmy(datebackd,&jbackd, &mbackd, &anbackd);
           datebackf=dateintmean-yrbproj;
           date2dmy(datebackf,&jbackf, &mbackf, &anbackf);
         }
         
         printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, prevbcast, pathc,p, (int)anprojd-bage, (int)anbackd-fage);
     }      }
     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \      printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
                  model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \                   model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,prevbcast, estepm, \
                  jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);                   jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateprojd, datebackd,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateprojf, datebackf);
                                   
     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/      /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
     /*  chdir(path); */      /*  chdir(path); */
Line 12312  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12495  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */      /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */      /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */      /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
     free_lvector(num,1,n);      free_lvector(num,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_vector(agedc,1,n);      free_vector(agedc,firstobs,lastobs);
     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/      /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/      /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
     fclose(ficparo);      fclose(ficparo);
Line 12376  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12559  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     }/* end if moving average */      }/* end if moving average */
           
     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/      /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
     if(prevfcast==1){      if(prevfcast==1){ 
       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/        /*   /\*    if(stepm ==1){*\/ */
       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);        /*   /\*  anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */
         /*This done previously after freqsummary.*/
         /*   dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365; */
         /*   dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365; */
         
         /* } else if (prvforecast==2){ */
         /*   /\*    if(stepm ==1){*\/ */
         /*   /\*  anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */
         /* } */
         /*prevforecast(fileresu, dateintmean, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);*/
         prevforecast(fileresu,dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff);
     }      }
   
     /* Backcasting */      /* Prevbcasting */
     if(backcast==1){      if(prevbcast==1){
       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);                ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        
       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);                ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        
       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);        ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
Line 12397  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12590  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);        hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
       fclose(ficrespijb);        fclose(ficrespijb);
   
       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,        /* /\* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, *\/ */
                        mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);        /* /\*                   mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); *\/ */
         /* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, */
         /*                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); */
         prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                          mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff);
   
         
       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);        varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
   
               
Line 12406  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12605  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);        free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
     }    /* end  Backcasting */      }    /* end  Prevbcasting */
     
     
     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */      /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
Line 12570  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12769  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
         if(vpopbased==1)          if(vpopbased==1)
           fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);            fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
         else          else
           fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");            fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");          fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
         for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);          for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
         /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */          /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
         printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");          printf("Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");          fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific forward period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
         for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){          for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */            prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
           if (vpopbased==1) {            if (vpopbased==1) {
Line 12623  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12822  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);      printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);      fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
   
     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/      /* variance-covariance of forward period prevalence*/
     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);      varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
   
           
     free_vector(weight,1,n);      free_vector(weight,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);      free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);      free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs); 
     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);      free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_ivector(cod,1,n);      free_ivector(cod,firstobs,lastobs);
     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);      free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
     fclose(ficresstdeij);      fclose(ficresstdeij);
     fclose(ficrescveij);      fclose(ficrescveij);
Line 12652  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12851  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);    free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);    free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);    free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);    if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);    if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,firstobs,lastobs);
   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);    if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,firstobs,lastobs);
   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);    free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,firstobs,lastobs);
   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);    free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);    free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/    /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
Line 12775  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct Line 12974  Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
       
   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);    sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);    printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
       
   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){    if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);      printf("Error in gnuplot, command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");      printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);      sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)      if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);        printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
         strcpy(plotcmd,pplotcmd);
       }
   }    }
   printf(" Successful, please wait...");    printf(" Successful, please wait...");
   while (z[0] != 'q') {    while (z[0] != 'q') {

Removed from v.1.287  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.300


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