Diff for /imach/src/imach.c between versions 1.31 and 1.52

version 1.31, 2002/03/10 13:43:02 version 1.52, 2002/07/19 18:49:30
Line 14 Line 14
   model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the    model. More health states you consider, more time is necessary to reach the
   Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The    Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved in the model.  The
   simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the    simplest model is the multinomial logistic model where pij is the
   probabibility to be observed in state j at the second wave    probability to be observed in state j at the second wave
   conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore    conditional to be observed in state i at the first wave. Therefore
   the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where    the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex + etc , where
   'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more    'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to have a more
Line 56 Line 56
 #include <unistd.h>  #include <unistd.h>
   
 #define MAXLINE 256  #define MAXLINE 256
 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"  #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
   /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
 #define FILENAMELENGTH 80  #define FILENAMELENGTH 80
 /*#define DEBUG*/  /*#define DEBUG*/
 #define windows  #define windows
Line 74 Line 75
 #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */  #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */
 #define AGESUP 130  #define AGESUP 130
 #define AGEBASE 40  #define AGEBASE 40
   #ifdef windows
   #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
   #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
   #else
   #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
   #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
   #endif
   
   char version[80]="Imach version 0.8i, June 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";
 int erreur; /* Error number */  int erreur; /* Error number */
 int nvar;  int nvar;
 int cptcovn, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;  int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;
 int npar=NPARMAX;  int npar=NPARMAX;
 int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */  int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
 int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */  int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
 int ncovmodel, ncov;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */  int ncovmodel, ncovcol;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
 int popbased=0;  int popbased=0;
   
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */  int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
Line 95  double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 wa Line 103  double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 wa
 double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */  double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
 double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */  double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
 FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;  FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;
 FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop;  FILE *ficlog;
   FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
   FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
   FILE *fichtm; /* Html File */
 FILE *ficreseij;  FILE *ficreseij;
   char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];  char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
  FILE  *ficresvij;  FILE  *ficresvij;
   char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];  char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
  FILE  *ficresvpl;  FILE  *ficresvpl;
   char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char title[MAXLINE];
   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
   char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
 #define NR_END 1  #define NR_END 1
 #define FREE_ARG char*  #define FREE_ARG char*
Line 135  int imx; Line 157  int imx;
 int stepm;  int stepm;
 /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/  /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
   
   int estepm;
   /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
   
 int m,nb;  int m,nb;
 int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;  int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;
 double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;  double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
Line 157  static int split( char *path, char *dirc Line 182  static int split( char *path, char *dirc
   
    l1 = strlen( path );                 /* length of path */     l1 = strlen( path );                 /* length of path */
    if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );     if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
 #ifdef windows     s= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );            /* find last / */
    s = strrchr( path, '\\' );           /* find last / */  
 #else  
    s = strrchr( path, '/' );            /* find last / */  
 #endif  
    if ( s == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so use current */     if ( s == NULL ) {                   /* no directory, so use current */
        /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
          printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
 #if     defined(__bsd__)                /* get current working directory */  #if     defined(__bsd__)                /* get current working directory */
       extern char       *getwd( );        extern char       *getwd( );
   
Line 228  int nbocc(char *s, char occ) Line 251  int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
   
 void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)  void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ)
 {  {
     /* cuts string t into u and v where u is ended by char occ excluding it
        and v is after occ excluding it too : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",2)
        gives u="abcedf" and v="ghi2j" */
   int i,lg,j,p=0;    int i,lg,j,p=0;
   i=0;    i=0;
   for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {    for(j=0; j<=strlen(t)-1; j++) {
Line 424  double brent(double ax, double bx, doubl Line 450  double brent(double ax, double bx, doubl
     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS);      tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS);
     /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/      /*          if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
     printf(".");fflush(stdout);      printf(".");fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);      printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
       fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
     /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */      /*          if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
 #endif  #endif
     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){      if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){
Line 550  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int Line 578  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int
   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin);    *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin);
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
   printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);    printf("retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
     fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent fret=%.12e xmin=%.12e\n",*fret,xmin);
 #endif  #endif
   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {    for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
     xi[j] *= xmin;      xi[j] *= xmin;
Line 580  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 609  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
     ibig=0;      ibig=0;
     del=0.0;      del=0.0;
     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);      printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);
       fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++)      for (i=1;i<=n;i++)
       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);        printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
       fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
     printf("\n");      printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {      for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i];        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i];
       fptt=(*fret);        fptt=(*fret);
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
       printf("fret=%lf \n",*fret);        printf("fret=%lf \n",*fret);
         fprintf(ficlog,"fret=%lf \n",*fret);
 #endif  #endif
       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);        printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func);
       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) {        if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) {
         del=fabs(fptt-(*fret));          del=fabs(fptt-(*fret));
Line 597  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 631  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
       }        }
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));        printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
         fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
         xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);          xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
         printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);          printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
           fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
       }        }
       for(j=1;j<=n;j++)        for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
         printf(" p=%.12e",p[j]);          printf(" p=%.12e",p[j]);
           fprintf(ficlog," p=%.12e",p[j]);
         }
       printf("\n");        printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
 #endif  #endif
     }      }
     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) {      if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) {
Line 612  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 651  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
       k[0]=1;        k[0]=1;
       k[1]=-1;        k[1]=-1;
       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));        printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++)        fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
         printf(" %.12e",p[j]);          printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
           fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
         }
       printf("\n");        printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {        for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
         for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
           ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];            ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
           printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);            printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
             fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
         }          }
         printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));          printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
           fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
       }        }
 #endif  #endif
   
Line 648  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int Line 693  void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
         }          }
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
         printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);          printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
         for(j=1;j<=n;j++)          fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
           for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
           printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);            printf(" %.12e",xit[j]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",xit[j]);
           }
         printf("\n");          printf("\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
 #endif  #endif
       }        }
     }      }
Line 686  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl Line 735  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nl
     
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
         cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];          cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]];
         /*printf("ij=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf\n",ij, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k]);*/          /*      printf("ij=%d k=%d Tvar[k]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]=%d \n",ij,k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]],cov[2+k], codtab[ij][Tvar[k]]);*/
       }        }
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
         cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];  
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
         cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];          cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
   
       /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/        /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
       /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/        /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
         /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);      out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
   
     savm=oldm;      savm=oldm;
Line 922  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in Line 970  void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);        xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   printf("Powell\n");    printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);    powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
   
    printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));     printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));
     fprintf(ficlog,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));
   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));    fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));
   
 }  }
Line 946  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] Line 995  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
   hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   
   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");    printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
     printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);      printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);
     /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/      /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/
     /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/      /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/
Line 957  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] Line 1008  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
       if (j>i) {        if (j>i) {
         printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);          printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
           fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
         hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);          hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);
         hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];              hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
         /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/          /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
Line 964  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] Line 1016  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
     }      }
   }    }
   printf("\n");    printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");    printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
     
   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
Line 985  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] Line 1039  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
   }    }
   
   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");    printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {    for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {      for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
       printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);        printf("%.3e ",hess[i][j]);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",hess[i][j]);
     }      }
     printf("\n");      printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   }    }
   
   /* Recompute Inverse */    /* Recompute Inverse */
Line 1006  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] Line 1063  void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){      for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
       y[i][j]=x[i];        y[i][j]=x[i];
       printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);        printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]);
     }      }
     printf("\n");      printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   }    }
   */    */
   
Line 1049  double hessii( double x[], double delta, Line 1108  double hessii( double x[], double delta,
             
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);        printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
 #endif  #endif
       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */        /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){        if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
Line 1096  double hessij( double x[], double delti[ Line 1156  double hessij( double x[], double delti[
     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */      res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
 #ifdef DEBUG  #ifdef DEBUG
     printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);      printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
 #endif  #endif
   }    }
   return res;    return res;
Line 1178  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx Line 1239  void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx
 /************ Frequencies ********************/  /************ Frequencies ********************/
 void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)  void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)
 {  /* Some frequencies */  {  /* Some frequencies */
     
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;    int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
     int first;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */    double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
   double *pp;    double *pp;
   double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;    double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
   FILE *ficresp;    FILE *ficresp;
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
     
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);    pp=vector(1,nlstate);
   probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);    probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   strcpy(fileresp,"p");    strcpy(fileresp,"p");
   strcat(fileresp,fileres);    strcat(fileresp,fileres);
   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);      printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
     exit(0);      exit(0);
   }    }
   freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);    freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
   j1=0;    j1=0;
    
   j=cptcoveff;    j=cptcoveff;
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
   for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    first=1;
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){  
        j1++;  
        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);  
          scanf("%d", i);*/  
         for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)    
          for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    
            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)  
              freq[i][jk][m]=0;  
   
         dateintsum=0;  
         k2cpt=0;  
        for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {  
          bool=1;  
          if  (cptcovn>0) {  
            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)  
              if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])  
                bool=0;  
          }  
          if (bool==1) {  
            for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){  
              k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);  
              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {  
                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;  
                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;  
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];  
                freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];  
                if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {  
                  dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;  
                  k2cpt++;  
                }  
   
              }  
            }  
          }  
        }  
          
        fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);  
   
         if  (cptcovn>0) {    for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){
          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");      for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);        j1++;
        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");        /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
         }          scanf("%d", i);*/
        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
          fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);          for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
        fprintf(ficresp, "\n");            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
               freq[i][jk][m]=0;
        
         dateintsum=0;
         k2cpt=0;
         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
           bool=1;
           if  (cptcovn>0) {
             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++)
               if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]])
                 bool=0;
           }
           if (bool==1) {
             for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
               k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
               if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
                 if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
                 if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
                 if (m<lastpass) {
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];
                 }
                
                 if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {
                   dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
                   k2cpt++;
                 }
               }
             }
           }
         }
                 
   for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){        fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
     if(i==(int)agemax+3)  
       printf("Total");  
     else  
       printf("Age %d", i);  
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  
       for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)  
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];  
     }  
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){  
       for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)  
         pos += freq[jk][m][i];  
       if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10)  
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);  
       else  
         printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);  
     }  
   
      for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){        if  (cptcovn>0) {
       for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)          fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable ");
         pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
      }          fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
         }
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
           fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
         fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
        
         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
           if(i==(int)agemax+3){
             fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
           }else{
             if(first==1){
               first=0;
               printf("See log file for details...\n");
             }
             fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", i);
           }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
           }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
               pos += freq[jk][m][i];
             if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){
               if(first==1){
               printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
               }
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
             }else{
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             }
           }
   
     for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
       pos += pp[jk];            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
       if(pos>=1.e-5)          }
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);  
       else          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)
         printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);            pos += pp[jk];
       if( i <= (int) agemax){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
         if(pos>=1.e-5){            if(pos>=1.e-5){
           fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);              if(first==1)
           probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;                printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
           /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/              fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
             }else{
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
               fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
             }
             if( i <= (int) agemax){
               if(pos>=1.e-5){
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);
                 probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
                 /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
               }
               else
                 fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);
             }
         }          }
       else         
           fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);          for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
             for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
               if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) {
               if(first==1)
                 printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
                 fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
               }
           if(i <= (int) agemax)
             fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
           if(first==1)
             printf("Others in log...\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       }        }
     }      }
     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)    }
       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)  
         if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);  
     if(i <= (int) agemax)  
       fprintf(ficresp,"\n");  
     printf("\n");  
     }  
     }  
  }  
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;    dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt;
     
   fclose(ficresp);    fclose(ficresp);
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);    free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);    free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
    
   /* End of Freq */    /* End of Freq */
 }  }
   
Line 1324  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax Line 1414  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
   j=cptcoveff;    j=cptcoveff;
   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}    if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
     
  for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){    for(k1=1; k1<=j;k1++){
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){      for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
       j1++;        j1++;
         
       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)          for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
         for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)            for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
           for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)            for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
Line 1346  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax Line 1436  void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
             if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {              if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
               if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;                if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
               if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;                if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
               freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];                if (m<lastpass) {
               /* freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3+1)] += weight[i];  */                  if (calagedate>0)
                     freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];
                   else
                     freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
                   freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i];
                 }
             }              }
           }            }
         }          }
       }        }
         for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){        for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)            for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
               pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
           }          }
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
             for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)            for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
             pos += freq[jk][m][i];              pos += freq[jk][m][i];
         }          }
                 
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)            for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];              pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
          }  
            
          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];  
   
          for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){            
            if( i <= (int) agemax){  
              if(pos>=1.e-5){  
                probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;  
              }  
            }  
          }  
            
         }          }
     }         
   }          for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];
           
           for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){    
             if( i <= (int) agemax){
               if(pos>=1.e-5){
                 probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
               }
             }
           }/* end jk */
         }/* end i */
       } /* end i1 */
     } /* end k1 */
   
     
   free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);    free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);    free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
Line 1401  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1495  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   int i, mi, m;    int i, mi, m;
   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;    /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/       double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
     int first;
   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;    int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
   double sum=0.;    double sum=0.;
     first=0;
   jmin=1e+5;    jmin=1e+5;
   jmax=-1;    jmax=-1;
   jmean=0.;    jmean=0.;
Line 1426  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1521  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
     }      }
   
     wav[i]=mi;      wav[i]=mi;
     if(mi==0)      if(mi==0){
       printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);        if(first==0){
           printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
           first=1;
         }
         if(first==1){
           fprintf(ficlog,"Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);
         }
       } /* end mi==0 */
   }    }
   
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){    for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
Line 1468  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int Line 1570  void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
   }    }
   jmean=sum/k;    jmean=sum/k;
   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);    printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, jmax,jmean);
  }   }
   
 /*********** Tricode ****************************/  /*********** Tricode ****************************/
 void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx)
 {  {
Line 1497  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in Line 1601  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in
       for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {        for (k=0; k<=19; k++) {
         if (Ndum[k] != 0) {          if (Ndum[k] != 0) {
           nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;            nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k;
            
           ij++;            ij++;
         }          }
         if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;          if (ij > ncodemax[j]) break;
Line 1507  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in Line 1612  void tricode(int *Tvar, int **nbcode, in
  for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;   for (k=0; k<19; k++) Ndum[k]=0;
   
  for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {   for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2; i++) {
       ij=Tvar[i];     ij=Tvar[i];
       Ndum[ij]++;     Ndum[ij]++;
     }   }
   
  ij=1;   ij=1;
  for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {   for (i=1; i<=10; i++) {
    if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncov)){     if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){
      Tvaraff[ij]=i;       Tvaraff[ij]=i;
      ij++;       ij++;
    }     }
  }   }
     
     cptcoveff=ij-1;   cptcoveff=ij-1;
 }  }
   
 /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/  /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
   
 void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij)  void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov )
   
 {  {
   /* Health expectancies */    /* Health expectancies */
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k;    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj;
   double age, agelim,hf;    double age, agelim, hf;
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat,***varhe;
     double **dnewm,**doldm;
     double *xp;
     double **gp, **gm;
     double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
     int theta;
   
     varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage);
     xp=vector(1,npar);
     dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
     
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");    fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
       fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d",i,j);        fprintf(ficreseij," %1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");    fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
   
   k=1;             /* For example stepm=6 months */    if(estepm < stepm){
   hstepm=k*YEARM; /* (a) Every k years of age (in months), for example every k=2 years 24 m */      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
   hstepm=1;   /* or (b) We decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */    }
     else  hstepm=estepm;  
     /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
      * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
      * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
      * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear
      * progression inbetween and thus overestimating or underestimating according
      * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we
      * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
      * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear
      * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
      * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
   
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.
      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim
      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.
      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size       Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
      and note for a fixed period like k years */       and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the    /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
      survival function given par stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if       means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same
      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
   */    */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if k= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */
   
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
     /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */      /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
     nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm);
     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */      /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;      /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
       gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
       gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
   
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored      /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */         in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, ij);  
     hf=hstepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */   
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
   
       /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */
   
        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){
           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         }
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
    
         cptj=0;
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
             cptj=cptj+1;
             for(h=0, gp[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gp[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
        
        
         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
         hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
        
         cptj=0;
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
             cptj=cptj+1;
             for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
               gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;
             }
           }
         }
         for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++)
           for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
             gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
           }
        }
      
   /* End theta */
   
        trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
   
        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
         for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++)
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
             trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
        
   
        for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
         for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
           varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
        printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
        fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
        for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
         for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
           matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]);
           for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
             for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
               varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
         }
       }
       /* Computing expectancies */
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){          for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
           eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;            eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
           /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/           
   /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
   
         }          }
   
     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );      fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
       cptj=0;
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age]);          cptj++;
           fprintf(ficreseij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[cptj][cptj][(int)age]) );
       }        }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");      fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
      
       free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
       free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
       free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   }    }
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
     free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage);
 }  }
   
 /************ Variance ******************/  /************ Variance ******************/
 void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased)
 {  {
   /* Variance of health expectancies */    /* Variance of health expectancies */
   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
   double **newm;    /* double **newm;*/
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h;    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
     int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
   int k, cptcode;    int k, cptcode;
   double *xp;    double *xp;
   double **gp, **gm;    double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */
     double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */
     double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */
     double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   double age,agelim;    double age,agelim, hf;
   int theta;    int theta;
     char digit[4];
     char digitp[16];
   
     char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Covariances of life expectancies\n");    if(popbased==1)
       strcpy(digitp,"-populbased-");
     else
       strcpy(digitp,"-stablbased-");
   
     strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"prmorprev");
     sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
     /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not */
     strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileres);
     if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
     }
     printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying during a year and weighted mean w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
     }  
     fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
     if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
       exit(0);
     }
     else{
       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
     }
     if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
       exit(0);
     }
     else{
       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
     }
     varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
     fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are the stable prevalence in health states i\n");
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
Line 1608  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 1876  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
   xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
     dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
     gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     
   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    if(estepm < stepm){
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
     }
     else  hstepm=estepm;  
     /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
     /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm.
        nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim
        nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin.
        Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
        and note for a fixed period like k years */
     /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
        survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
        means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
        you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same
        results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
     */
     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */
   agelim = AGESUP;    agelim = AGESUP;
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */  
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
     gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
     gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
     gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
   
   
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
Line 1639  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 1929  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];              gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
         }          }
       }        }
            /* This for computing forces of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */
         for(j=nlstate+1,gpp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)
             gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end force of mortality */
   
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);          xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);          hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
Line 1656  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 1952  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];              gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
         }          }
       }        }
         /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */
         for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
           for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)
             gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
         }    
         /* end force of mortality */
   
       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++)        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];            gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
         }          }
         for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
           gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
         }
   
     } /* End theta */      } /* End theta */
   
     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
   
     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++)      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)          for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];            trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
   
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
           trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
   
       hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;          vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
   
     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);          matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)          for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)            for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j];              vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
       }        }
     }      }
     h=1;  
     if (stepm >= YEARM) h=stepm/YEARM;      /* pptj */
       matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
       matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
       for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
         for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
           varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
       /* end ppptj */
       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
       prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ij);
    
       if (popbased==1) {
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
       }
      
       /* This for computing force of mortality (h=1)as a weighted average */
       for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
         for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++)
           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
       }    
       /* end force of mortality */
   
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
       for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
           fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
         }
       }
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
   
     fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", h*vareij[i][j][(int)age]);          fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
       }        }
     fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
     free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
Line 1696  void varevsij(char fileres[], double *** Line 2038  void varevsij(char fileres[], double ***
     free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   } /* End age */    } /* End age */
      free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;set nolabel; set ter png small;set size 0.65, 0.65");
     /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; set nolog x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);
     fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev);
     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,digitp,digit);
     /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
   */
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit);
   
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
     free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
     free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
     fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
     fclose(ficgp);
     fclose(fichtm);
   
 }  }
   
Line 1718  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * Line 2081  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double *
   double age,agelim;    double age,agelim;
   int theta;    int theta;
         
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of prevalences limit\n");    fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of prevalence's limit\n");
   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");    fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);        fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
Line 1787  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double * Line 2150  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double *
 }  }
   
 /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/  /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
 void varprob(char fileres[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij)  void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax)
 {  {
   int i, j;    int i, j=0,  i1, k1, l1, t, tj;
   int k=0, cptcode;    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
     int k=0,l, cptcode;
     int first=1, first1;
     double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
   double **dnewm,**doldm;    double **dnewm,**doldm;
   double *xp;    double *xp;
   double *gp, *gm;    double *gp, *gm;
   double **gradg, **trgradg;    double **gradg, **trgradg;
     double **mu;
   double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];    double age,agelim, cov[NCOVMAX];
     double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
   int theta;    int theta;
   char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
     char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
     double ***varpij;
   
   strcpy(fileresprob,"prob");    strcpy(fileresprob,"prob");
   strcat(fileresprob,fileres);    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
   if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
   }    }
   printf("Computing variance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"probcov");
      strcat(fileresprobcov,fileres);
     if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
     }
     strcpy(fileresprobcor,"probcor");
     strcat(fileresprobcor,fileres);
     if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
     }
     printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
     printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
     printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
     fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
    
     fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
     fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
   
   
     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
       for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
         fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
         fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
       }  
     fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
     fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
   xp=vector(1,npar);    xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
      mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
   cov[1]=1;    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){    first=1;
     cov[2]=age;    if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,9);      printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
     trgradg=matrix(1,9,1,npar);      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
     gp=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      exit(0);
     gm=vector(1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));    }
        else{
     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){      fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)    }
         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);    if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) {
            printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
          exit(0);
       k=0;    }
       for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath); i++){    else{
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
            k=k+1;      fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
           gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];  
         }  
       }  
   
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing matrix of variance-covariance of step probabilities</h4></li>\n");
         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);      fprintf(fichtm,"\nWe have drawn ellipsoids of confidence around the p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf> to understand the covariance between two incidences. They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> We have drawn x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 where x is the column vector (pij,pkl). It means that if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2X2) matrix would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 standard deviations wide on each axis. <br> When both incidences are correlated we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix and made the appropriate rotation.<br> \n");
   
       pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);    }
       k=0;  
       for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){  
         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){  
           k=k+1;  
           gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];  
         }  
       }  
        
        for(i=1; i<= (nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)  
            gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];    
     }  
   
      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)  
       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)  
       trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];  
     
      matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,9,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);    cov[1]=1;
      matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,9,1,npar,1,9,gradg);    tj=cptcoveff;
     if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
      pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);    j1=0;
     for(t=1; t<=tj;t++){
       for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[t];i1++){
         j1++;
        
         if  (cptcovn>0) {
           fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable ");
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#");
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable ");
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#");
          
           fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable ");
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, "# V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");
          
          
           fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable ");
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(fichtm, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
          
           fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
           for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
           fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");    
         }
        
         for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){
           cov[2]=age;
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
             cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtab[j1][Tvar[k]]];
           }
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2];
           for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
             cov[2+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][1]]]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtab[ij][Tvard[k][2]]];
          
           gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
           trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
           gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
           gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
      
           for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
            
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
            
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
            
             for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
               xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
      
             pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
             k=0;
             for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
               for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                 k=k+1;
                 gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
               }
             }
        
             for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++)
               gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];  
           }
   
      k=0;          for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
      for(i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath); i++){            for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){              trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
          k=k+1;         
          gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];          matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
           matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
          
           pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
          
           k=0;
           for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
             for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
               k=k+1;
               mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
             }
         }          }
      }          for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                  for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
      /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);              varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
      for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){  
          
   
           /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
        printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
          fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
      }*/       }*/
   
   fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);          fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
   for (i=1; i<=(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath-1);i++){          fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
     if (i== 2) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);  
 if (i== 4) fprintf(ficresprob,"%.3e %.3e ",gm[i],doldm[i][i]);          for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
   }            fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
           for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
             fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
             fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
           }
           i=0;
           for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
             for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){
               i=i++;
               fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
               for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                 fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                 fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
               }
             }
           }/* end of loop for state */
         } /* end of loop for age */
   
         /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
         /*
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset noparametric;unset label");
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
         fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
         */
   
         /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
         first1=1;
         for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
           for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){
             if(l2==k2) continue;
             j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
             for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
               for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){
                 if(l1==k1) continue;
                 i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                 if(i<=j) continue;
                 for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){
                   if ((int)age %5==0){
                     v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                     mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                     mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                     c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                     /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                     /* Eigen vectors */
                     v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                     /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                     v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                     v12=-v21;
                     v22=v11;
                     tnalp=v21/v11;
                     if(first1==1){
                       first1=0;
                       printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     }
                     fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                     /*printf(fignu*/
                     /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                     /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                     if(first==1){
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"> ",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }else{
                       first=0;
                       fprintf(fichtm," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                       fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
                               mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),\
                               mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                     }/* if first */
                   } /* age mod 5 */
                 } /* end loop age */
                 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\";replot;",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                 first=1;
               } /*l12 */
             } /* k12 */
           } /*l1 */
         }/* k1 */
       } /* loop covariates */
       free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
     free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
       free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
     free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
     }
     free_vector(xp,1,npar);
     fclose(ficresprob);
     fclose(ficresprobcov);
     fclose(ficresprobcor);
     fclose(ficgp);
     fclose(fichtm);
 }  }
  free_vector(xp,1,npar);  
 fclose(ficresprob);  
   
 }  
   
 /******************* Printing html file ***********/  /******************* Printing html file ***********/
 void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char optionfile[],char optionfilehtm[],char rfileres[] ){  void printinghtml(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
                     int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                     int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
                     int popforecast, int estepm ,\
                     double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \
                     double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;    int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
   FILE *fichtm;  
   /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/    /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
     if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL)    {
   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);  
   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");  
   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {  
     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);      printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
   }    }
   
  fprintf(fichtm,"<body><ul> <font size=\"6\">Imach, Version 0.71a </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">     fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files (first order: no variance)</h4>\n
 Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>   - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n
    - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>\n
    - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>\n
    - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months):
      <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>\n</li>", \
     jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,fileres,fileres,stepm,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres);
   
 Total number of observations=%d <br>  fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>  
 <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">  
 <li>Outputs files<br><br>\n  
         - Observed prevalence in each state: <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n  
 - Estimated parameters and the covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>  
         - Stationary prevalence in each state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>  
         - Transition probabilities: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>  
         - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>  
         - Life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>  
         - Variances of life expectancies by age and initial health status: <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>  
         - Health expectancies with their variances: <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>  
         - Standard deviation of stationary prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>  
         - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>  
         - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>  
         <br>",title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);  
    
 fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");  
   
  m=cptcoveff;   m=cptcoveff;
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}   if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
Line 1931  fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>"); Line 2493  fprintf(fichtm," <li>Graphs</li><p>");
  jj1=0;   jj1=0;
  for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){   for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
    for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
        jj1++;       jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {       if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");         fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)         for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[jj1][cpt]]);           fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[jj1][cpt]]);
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");         fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }       }
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probabilities: pe%s%d.gif<br>       /* Pij */
 <img src=\"pe%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before: pe%s%d1.png<br>
   <img src=\"pe%s%d1.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);    
        /* Quasi-incidences */
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: pe%s%d2.png<br>
   <img src=\"pe%s%d2.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);
          /* Stable prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){         for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Prevalence of disability : p%s%d%d.gif<br>           fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png<br>
 <img src=\"p%s%d%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);  <img src=\"p%s%d%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);
        }         }
     for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {  
        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident  
 interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.gif <br>  
 <img src=\"v%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);    
      }  
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {       for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.gif <br>          fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.png <br>
 <img src=\"exp%s%d%d.gif\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);  <img src=\"exp%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);
      }       }
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and
 health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.gif<br>  health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.png<br>
 <img src=\"e%s%d.gif\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);  <img src=\"e%s%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);
 fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");     } /* end i1 */
    }   }/* End k1 */
    }   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
   
   
    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n
    - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n
    - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"prob%s\">prob%s</a> <br>\n
    - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcov%s\">probcov%s</a> <br>\n
    - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcor%s\">probcor%s</a> <br>\n
    - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>\n
    - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>\n
    - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>\n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
   
    if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n
    - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n
    - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n
           <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
    else
      fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model);
   fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
   
    m=cptcoveff;
    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
   
    jj1=0;
    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
      for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
        jj1++;
        if (cptcovn > 0) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
          for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)
            fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtab[jj1][cpt]]);
          fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
        }
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
          fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident
   interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.png <br>
   <img src=\"v%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);  
        }
      } /* end i1 */
    }/* End k1 */
    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
 fclose(fichtm);  fclose(fichtm);
 }  }
   
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/  /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
 void printinggnuplot(char fileres[],char optionfilefiname[],char optionfile[],char optionfilegnuplot[], double agemin, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){  void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
   
   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;    int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;
     int ng;
   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);    if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".plt");  
   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {  
     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);      printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
   }    }
   
 #ifdef windows  #ifdef windows
Line 1983  m=pow(2,cptcoveff); Line 2584  m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
   
 #ifdef windows  #ifdef windows
     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
 #endif  #endif
 #ifdef unix  #ifdef unix
 fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",agemin,fage,fileres);  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres);
 #endif  #endif
   
 for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {  for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
Line 2005  for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { Line 2608  for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
 }    }  
      fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
 #ifdef unix  #ifdef unix
 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300");  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\n");
 #endif  #endif
 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);  
    }     }
   }    }
   /*2 eme*/    /*2 eme*/
   
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,fage);      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
         
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {      for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
       k=2*i;        k=2*i;
Line 2038  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2641  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
       if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");        if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0");
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");        else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");
     }      }
     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);  
   }    }
     
   /*3eme*/    /*3eme*/
   
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=2+nlstate*(cpt-1);        k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2);
       fprintf(ficgp,"set ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",agemin,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
         /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
    for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
   fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
    for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
   fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
   
   */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
         fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);
   
       }        }
       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);  
     }  
     }      }
     }
     
   /* CV preval stat */    /* CV preval stat */
     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {      for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
     for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {      for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=3;        k=3;
       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter gif small size 400,300\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",agemin,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"p%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
         fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
   
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);
Line 2071  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2683  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
         fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);
       }        }
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l\n",cpt+1,cpt+1);          fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l\n",cpt+1,cpt+1);  
       fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"p%s%d%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);  
     }      }
   }      }  
     
Line 2080  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\" Line 2691  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.gif\"
     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
       if (k != i) {        if (k != i) {
         for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
          
           fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f ",jk,p[jk]);            fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f ",jk,p[jk]);
           jk++;            jk++;
           fprintf(ficgp,"\n");            fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
         }          }
       }        }
     }      }
     }  
   
     for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {  
   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter gif small size 400,300\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",agemin,agemaxpar);  
    i=1;  
    for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {  
      k3=i;  
      for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {  
        if (k != k2){  
         fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);  
 ij=1;  
         for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {  
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {  
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);  
             ij++;  
           }  
           else  
           fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);  
         }  
           fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");  
          
         for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){    
           fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);  
 ij=1;  
           for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){  
           if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {  
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);  
             ij++;  
           }  
           else  
             fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);  
           }  
           fprintf(ficgp,")");  
         }  
         fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);  
         if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");  
         i=i+ncovmodel;  
        }  
      }  
    }  
    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d.gif\" \nreplot\n\n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk);  
    }     }
      
   fclose(ficgp);     for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/
        for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk,ng);
          if (ng==2)
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
          else
            fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"Probability\"\n");
          fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nset log y\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
          i=1;
          for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
            k3=i;
            for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
              if (k != k2){
                if(ng==2)
                  fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                else
                  fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                ij=1;
                for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++) {
                  if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);
                    ij++;
                  }
                  else
                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
                }
                fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
                
                for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){  
                  fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
                  ij=1;
                  for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                    if(((j-2)==Tage[ij]) &&(ij <=cptcovage)) {
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][Tvar[j-2]]]);
                      ij++;
                    }
                    else
                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtab[jk][j-2]]);
                  }
                  fprintf(ficgp,")");
                }
                fprintf(ficgp,") t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath)) fprintf(ficgp,",");
                i=i+ncovmodel;
              }
            } /* end k */
          } /* end k2 */
        } /* end jk */
      } /* end ng */
      fclose(ficgp);
 }  /* end gnuplot */  }  /* end gnuplot */
   
   
 /*************** Moving average **************/  /*************** Moving average **************/
 void movingaverage(double agedeb, double fage,double agemin, double ***mobaverage){  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double fage,double ageminpar, double ***mobaverage){
   
   int i, cpt, cptcod;    int i, cpt, cptcod;
     for (agedeb=agemin; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++)      for (agedeb=ageminpar; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++)
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)          for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++)
           mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;            mobaverage[(int)agedeb][i][cptcod]=0.;
         
     for (agedeb=agemin+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){      for (agedeb=ageminpar+4; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){
       for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){          for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
           for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){            for (cpt=0;cpt<=4;cpt++){
Line 2158  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double Line 2776  void movingaverage(double agedeb, double
   
   
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double agemin, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){
     
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;    int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
Line 2170  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr Line 2788  prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
  agelim=AGESUP;   agelim=AGESUP;
 calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
   
   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);    prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
     
     
   strcpy(fileresf,"f");    strcpy(fileresf,"f");
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);    strcat(fileresf,fileres);
   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);      printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
   }    }
   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);    printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", fileresf);
   
   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;    if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
   if (mobilav==1) {    if (mobilav==1) {
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage);      movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);
   }    }
   
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
Line 2221  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2841  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n");          fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
         fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);            fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);  
   
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2231  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2851  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
                 
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){            for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {              if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
               fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);                fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
             }              }
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
               kk1=0.;kk2=0;                kk1=0.;kk2=0;
Line 2260  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36 Line 2880  calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/36
   fclose(ficresf);    fclose(ficresf);
 }  }
 /************** Forecasting ******************/  /************** Forecasting ******************/
 populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double agemin, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){  populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){
     
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;    int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;    int *popage;
Line 2274  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 2894  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;    calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
     
   prevalence(agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);    prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
     
     
   strcpy(filerespop,"pop");    strcpy(filerespop,"pop");
   strcat(filerespop,fileres);    strcat(filerespop,fileres);
   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);      printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop);
   }    }
   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);    printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop);
   
   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;    if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
   
   if (mobilav==1) {    if (mobilav==1) {
     mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
     movingaverage(agedeb, fage, agemin, mobaverage);      movingaverage(agedeb, fage, ageminpar, mobaverage);
   }    }
   
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
Line 2302  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 2924  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   if (popforecast==1) {    if (popforecast==1) {
     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) {      if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);        printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0);
     }      }
     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);      popage=ivector(0,AGESUP);
     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);      popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP);
Line 2329  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 2952  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {        for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);            fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);  
                 
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2375  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp Line 2998  populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {        for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {
         fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);            fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);  
         for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(agemin-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){          for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                     
Line 2421  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3044  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   
   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;    int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;    double agedeb, agefin,hf;
   double agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;    double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;
   
   double fret;    double fret;
   double **xi,tmp,delta;    double **xi,tmp,delta;
Line 2430  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3053  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double ***p3mat;    double ***p3mat;
   int *indx;    int *indx;
   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];    char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];
   char title[MAXLINE];    char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[80];
   char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
   char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];  
    
   char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];  
   
   char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];  
   char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];  
   char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];  
   char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[20];  
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;    int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */    int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */
   int c,  h , cpt,l;    int c,  h , cpt,l;
Line 2448  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3062  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;    int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,**adl,*tab;
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;    int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
   int hstepm, nhstepm;    int hstepm, nhstepm;
   double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1;    double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate;
   
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;    double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;    double ftolpl=FTOL;
Line 2466  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3080  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;    double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;
     
   
   char version[80]="Imach version 0.71a, March 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";  
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];    char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];
   
   
Line 2479  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3092  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   struct timeval start_time, end_time;    struct timeval start_time, end_time;
     
   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */    gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
     getcwd(pathcd, size);
   
   printf("\n%s",version);    printf("\n%s",version);
   if(argc <=1){    if(argc <=1){
Line 2501  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3114  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   
 /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/  /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
   
     /* Log file */
     strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
     strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
     if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
       goto end;
     }
     fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s",version);
     fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
     fprintf(ficlog,"pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
     fflush(ficlog);
   
     /* */
   strcpy(fileres,"r");    strcpy(fileres,"r");
   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);    strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */    strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
Line 2509  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3136  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   
   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {    if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
     printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);      printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);
     goto end;      goto end;
   }    }
   
   strcpy(filereso,"o");    strcpy(filereso,"o");
   strcat(filereso,fileres);    strcat(filereso,fileres);
   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);goto end;      printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
       goto end;
   }    }
   
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */    /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
Line 2527  int main(int argc, char *argv[]) Line 3157  int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   }    }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);    ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncov, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);    fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);
   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncov,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);    fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
 while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
Line 2561  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3191  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){      for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
       fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);        if(mle==1)
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
         fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
         fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
         printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);          if(mle==1){
             printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
             fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
           }
           else
             fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
         fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
       }        }
       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
       printf("\n");        if(mle==1)
           printf("\n");
         fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
     }      }
     
Line 2616  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3255  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
   matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);    matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){    for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
     fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);      fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
     printf("%s",str);      if(mle==1)
         printf("%s",str);
       fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
     fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);      fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
     for(j=1; j <=i; j++){      for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
       fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
       printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);        if(mle==1){
           printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
           fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
         }
         else
           fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
       fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
     }      }
     fscanf(ficpar,"\n");      fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
     printf("\n");      if(mle==1)
         printf("\n");
       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     fprintf(ficparo,"\n");      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
   }    }
   for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)    for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
     for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)      for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
       matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
         
   printf("\n");    if(mle==1)
       printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
   
   
     /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/      /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/
Line 2641  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3291  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
      strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */       strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {      if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;        printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
     }      }
     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);      fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
         
     /*-------- data file ----------*/      /*-------- data file ----------*/
     if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {      if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;        printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
         fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
     }      }
   
     n= lastobs;      n= lastobs;
Line 2686  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3338  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); moisnais[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
   
         cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);          cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); weight[i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
         for (j=ncov;j>=1;j--){          for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
           cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);            cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
         }          }
         num[i]=atol(stra);          num[i]=atol(stra);
Line 2705  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3357  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;      if ((s[1][i]==3) && (s[2][i]==2)) s[2][i]=3;
     if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;      if ((s[2][i]==3) && (s[3][i]==2)) s[3][i]=3;
     if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;      if ((s[3][i]==3) && (s[4][i]==2)) s[4][i]=3;
     }      }*/
      /*  for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)       if (s[4][i]==9)  s[4][i]=-1;
     if (covar[1][i]==0) printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));*/       printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/
    
    
   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/    /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/
   Tvar=ivector(1,15);    Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */
   Tprod=ivector(1,15);    Tprod=ivector(1,15);
   Tvaraff=ivector(1,15);    Tvaraff=ivector(1,15);
   Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);    Tvard=imatrix(1,15,1,2);
Line 2724  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3377  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     cptcovn=j+1;      cptcovn=j+1;
     cptcovprod=j1;      cptcovprod=j1;
         
      
     strcpy(modelsav,model);      strcpy(modelsav,model);
     if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){      if ((strcmp(model,"age")==0) || (strcmp(model,"age*age")==0)){
       printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);        printf("Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);
         fprintf(ficlog,"Error. Non available option model=%s ",model);
       goto end;        goto end;
     }      }
         
     for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){      for(i=(j+1); i>=1;i--){
       cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+');        cutv(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the last + */
       if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav);        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyze it */
       /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
       /*scanf("%d",i);*/        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
       if (strchr(strb,'*')) {        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /* Model includes a product */
         cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*');          cutv(strd,strc,strb,'*'); /* strd*strc  Vm*Vn (if not *age)*/
         if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) {          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /* Vn*age */
           cptcovprod--;            cptcovprod--;
           cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');            cutv(strb,stre,strd,'V');
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);            Tvar[i]=atoi(stre); /* computes n in Vn and stores in Tvar*/
           cptcovage++;            cptcovage++;
             Tage[cptcovage]=i;              Tage[cptcovage]=i;
             /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/              /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
         }          }
         else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) {          else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
           cptcovprod--;            cptcovprod--;
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');            cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');
           Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);            Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);
           cptcovage++;            cptcovage++;
           Tage[cptcovage]=i;            Tage[cptcovage]=i;
         }          }
         else {          else {  /* Age is not in the model */
           cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V');            cutv(strb,stre,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n*/
           Tvar[i]=ncov+k1;            Tvar[i]=ncovcol+k1;
           cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V');            cutv(strb,strc,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
           Tprod[k1]=i;            Tprod[k1]=i;
           Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc);            Tvard[k1][1]=atoi(strc); /* m*/
           Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre);            Tvard[k1][2]=atoi(stre); /* n */
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];            Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];
           Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];            Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
           for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)            for (k=1; k<=lastobs;k++)
             covar[ncov+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];              covar[ncovcol+k1][k]=covar[atoi(stre)][k]*covar[atoi(strc)][k];
           k1++;            k1++;
           k2=k2+2;            k2=k2+2;
         }          }
       }        }
       else {        else { /* no more sum */
         /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
        /*  scanf("%d",i);*/         /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
       cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');        cutv(strd,strc,strb,'V');
Line 2777  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3430  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
       strcpy(modelsav,stra);          strcpy(modelsav,stra);  
       /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);        /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
         scanf("%d",i);*/          scanf("%d",i);*/
     }      } /* end of loop + */
 }    } /* end model */
     
   /*printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);    /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
   printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);    printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
     fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
   scanf("%d ",i);*/    scanf("%d ",i);*/
     fclose(fic);      fclose(fic);
   
Line 2792  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3446  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/      /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
     agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);      agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
   
    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
      for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++)        for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
        if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){         if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
          anint[m][i]=9999;           anint[m][i]=9999;
          s[m][i]=-1;           s[m][i]=-1;
        }         }
           if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1;
         }
       }
   
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);        agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){        for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
         if(s[m][i] >0){          if(s[m][i] >0){
           if (s[m][i] == nlstate+1) {            if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
             if(agedc[i]>0)              if(agedc[i]>0)
               if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)                if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999)
               agev[m][i]=agedc[i];                  agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
             else {              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
              else {
               if (andc[i]!=9999){                if (andc[i]!=9999){
               printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);                printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                 fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
               agev[m][i]=-1;                agev[m][i]=-1;
               }                }
             }              }
Line 2842  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3501  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
       for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){        for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
         if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {          if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
           printf("Error: Wrong value in nlstate or ndeath\n");              printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);  
             fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);  
           goto end;            goto end;
         }          }
       }        }
     }      }
   
 printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
    fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
   
     free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);      free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);
     free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);      free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
Line 2882  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3543  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
        for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){         for(j=1; j <= ncodemax[k]; j++){
          for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){           for(cpt=1; cpt <=(m/pow(2,cptcoveff+1-k)); cpt++){
            h++;             h++;
            if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;             if (h>m) h=1;codtab[h][k]=j;codtab[h][Tvar[k]]=j;
              /*  printf("h=%d k=%d j=%d codtab[h][k]=%d tvar[k]=%d \n",h, k,j,codtab[h][k],Tvar[k]);*/
          }           }
        }         }
      }       }
    }     }
      /* printf("codtab[1][2]=%d codtab[2][2]=%d",codtab[1][2],codtab[2][2]);
         codtab[1][2]=1;codtab[2][2]=2; */
    /*for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){     /* for(i=1; i <=m ;i++){
      for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){        for(k=1; k <=cptcovn; k++){
        printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);        printf("i=%d k=%d %d %d ",i,k,codtab[i][k], cptcoveff);
      }        }
      printf("\n");        printf("\n");
    }        }
    scanf("%d",i);*/        scanf("%d",i);*/
         
    /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age     /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
        and prints on file fileres'p'. */         and prints on file fileres'p'. */
Line 2917  printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Line 3579  printf("Total number of individuals= %d,
     }      }
         
     /*--------- results files --------------*/      /*--------- results files --------------*/
     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncov=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncov, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);      fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
     
   
    jk=1;     jk=1;
    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters\n");     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
    printf("# Parameters\n");     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
      fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
        if (k != i)         if (k != i)
          {           {
            printf("%d%d ",i,k);             printf("%d%d ",i,k);
              fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
            fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);             fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){             for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
              printf("%f ",p[jk]);               printf("%f ",p[jk]);
                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",p[jk]);
              fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);               fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]);
              jk++;               jk++;
            }             }
            printf("\n");             printf("\n");
              fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
            fprintf(ficres,"\n");             fprintf(ficres,"\n");
          }           }
      }       }
    }     }
  if(mle==1){     if(mle==1){
     /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
     ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
     hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);       hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
  }     }
     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales\n");     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
     printf("# Scales\n");     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
      for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
         if (j!=i) {       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);         if (j!=i) {
           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);           fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){           printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
             printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);           fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
             fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);           for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
             jk++;             printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
           }             fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
           printf("\n");             fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
           fprintf(ficres,"\n");             jk++;
         }           }
       }           printf("\n");
            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
          }
      }       }
         }
     k=1;     
     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance\n");     k=1;
     printf("# Covariance\n");     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){     if(mle==1)
       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
       fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);     for(i=1;i<=npar;i++){
       printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);*/       /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;
       fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);           i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1;
       printf("%3d",i);           fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
       for(j=1; j<=i;j++){           printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);*/
         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);       fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);
         printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);       if(mle==1)
       }         printf("%3d",i);
       fprintf(ficres,"\n");       fprintf(ficlog,"%3d",i);
       printf("\n");       for(j=1; j<=i;j++){
       k++;         fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
     }         if(mle==1)
               printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){         fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
       ungetc(c,ficpar);       }
       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);       fprintf(ficres,"\n");
       puts(line);       if(mle==1)
       fputs(line,ficparo);         printf("\n");
     }       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
     ungetc(c,ficpar);       k++;
       }
     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf\n",&agemin,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage);     
         while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     if (fage <= 2) {       ungetc(c,ficpar);
       bage = agemin;       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
       fage = agemaxpar;       puts(line);
     }       fputs(line,ficparo);
         }
     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");     ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemaxpar,bage,fage);     estepm=0;
     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f\n",agemin,agemaxpar,bage,fage);     fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
       if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){     if (fage <= 2) {
     ungetc(c,ficpar);       bage = ageminpar;
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);       fage = agemaxpar;
     puts(line);     }
     fputs(line,ficparo);     
   }     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
   ungetc(c,ficpar);     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
      fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
      
      while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
        ungetc(c,ficpar);
        fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
        puts(line);
        fputs(line,ficparo);
      }
      ungetc(c,ficpar);
     
   fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2);     fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2);
   fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);     fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
  fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);     fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
           
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);       ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
     puts(line);       puts(line);
     fputs(line,ficparo);       fputs(line,ficparo);
   }     }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);     ungetc(c,ficpar);
     
   
    dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;     dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;
Line 3056  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3734  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);   freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
   
 /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
  printinggnuplot(fileres,optionfilefiname,optionfile,optionfilegnuplot, agemin,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);    strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
     if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
       printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
     }
     fclose(ficgp);
    printinggnuplot(fileres, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
   /*--------- index.htm --------*/
   
     strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);
     strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
     if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
       printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
     }
   
     fprintf(fichtm,"<body> <font size=\"2\">%s </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n
   Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n
   \n
   Total number of observations=%d <br>\n
   Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n
   <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">
    <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n
    - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n
    - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n
    - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a></ul>\n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot);
     fclose(fichtm);
   
    printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
     
 /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/  /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
  chdir(path);   chdir(path);
Line 3070  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3775  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
  fclose(ficparo);   fclose(ficparo);
  fclose(ficres);   fclose(ficres);
   
 /*--------- index.htm --------*/  
   
   printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,optionfile,optionfilehtm,rfileres);  
   
    
   /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/    /*--------------- Prevalence limit --------------*/
     
   strcpy(filerespl,"pl");    strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
   strcat(filerespl,fileres);    strcat(filerespl,fileres);
   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;      printf("Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Prev limit resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
   }    }
   printf("Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);    printf("Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing prevalence limit: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Prevalence limit\n");    fprintf(ficrespl,"#Prevalence limit\n");
   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");    fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
Line 3095  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3798  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */    savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */    oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
   k=0;    k=0;
   agebase=agemin;    agebase=ageminpar;
   agelim=agemaxpar;    agelim=agemaxpar;
   ftolpl=1.e-10;    ftolpl=1.e-10;
   i1=cptcoveff;    i1=cptcoveff;
Line 3106  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3809  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         k=k+1;          k=k+1;
         /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/          /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
         fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");          fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
         for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)          printf("\n#******");
           fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
           for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
           fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);            fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
             printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
             fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
           }
         fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");          fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
           printf("******\n");
           fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                 
         for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){          for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
           prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);            prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
Line 3126  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3836  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
   strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);    strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
   if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;      printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
   }    }
   printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);    printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
     
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/    /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
Line 3135  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3847  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
   agelim=AGESUP;    agelim=AGESUP;
   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */    hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
    
     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
   
   k=0;    k=0;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
Line 3148  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3862  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
         for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */          for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
           nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */            nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
           nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */            nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
   
             /*      nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
   
           p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           oldm=oldms;savm=savms;            oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
           hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);              hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
Line 3156  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ Line 3873  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)              for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
               fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);                fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){             for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
             fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %.0f %.0f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );              fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %f %f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
               for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)                for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                 fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);                  fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
             fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");              fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
           }               }
           free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);            free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
           fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");            fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
         }          }
     }      }
   }    }
   
   /* varprob(fileres, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k);*/    varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
   
   fclose(ficrespij);    fclose(ficrespij);
   
   
   /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/    /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
   if((stepm == 1) && (model==".")){    if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){
     prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);      prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);
 if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);      if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);
     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);    }
     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);  
     free_vector(weight,1,n);}  
   else{    else{
     erreur=108;      erreur=108;
     printf("Error %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d\n", erreur, stepm);      printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
   }    }
     
   
Line 3193  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere Line 3909  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere
   strcat(filerest,fileres);    strcat(filerest,fileres);
   if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;      printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
   }    }
   printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);    printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest);
   
   
   strcpy(filerese,"e");    strcpy(filerese,"e");
   strcat(filerese,fileres);    strcat(filerese,fileres);
   if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);      printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
   }    }
   printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);    printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
   
  strcpy(fileresv,"v");    strcpy(fileresv,"v");
   strcat(fileresv,fileres);    strcat(fileresv,fileres);
   if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {    if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
     printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);      printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
   }    }
   printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
     calagedate=-1;
     prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
   
   k=0;    k=0;
   for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){    for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
       k=k+1;        k=k+1;
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");        fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
         fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
Line 3222  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere Line 3946  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere
   
       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");        fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
         fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");        fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
   
       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");        fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
         fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",j,nbcode[j][codtab[k][j]]);          fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");        fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
   
       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);        eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
       evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k);          evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);  
    
       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);        vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
        varevsij(fileres, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0);
            if(popbased==1){
           varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased);
          }
   
     
       fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");        fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
       for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
       fprintf(ficrest,"\n");        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
   
       hf=1;  
       if (stepm >= YEARM) hf=stepm/YEARM;  
       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);        epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
       for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
         prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
Line 3253  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere Line 3978  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere
             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];              prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
         }          }
                 
         fprintf(ficrest," %.0f",age);          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
         for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
           for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
             epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*hf*eij[i][j][(int)age];              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
               /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
           }            }
           epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
         }          }
   
         for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
           for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
             vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
         fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[nlstate+1],hf*sqrt(vepp));          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
         for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
           fprintf(ficrest," %.2f (%.2f)", epj[j],hf*sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
         }          }
         fprintf(ficrest,"\n");          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
       }        }
     }      }
   }    }
   free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
       free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
       free_vector(weight,1,n);
   fclose(ficreseij);    fclose(ficreseij);
   fclose(ficresvij);    fclose(ficresvij);
   fclose(ficrest);    fclose(ficrest);
Line 3322  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere Line 4051  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere
   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);    free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);    free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
   
   if(erreur >0)    fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");
     printf("End of Imach with error %d\n",erreur);    fclose(fichtm);
   else   printf("End of Imach\n");    fclose(ficgp);
    
   
     if(erreur >0){
       printf("End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);
       fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);
     }else{
      printf("End of Imach\n");
      fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
     }
     printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
     fclose(ficlog);
   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */    /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
     
   /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/    /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/
Line 3347  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere Line 4087  if (popforecast==1) populforecast(filere
   
 #ifdef windows  #ifdef windows
   while (z[0] != 'q') {    while (z[0] != 'q') {
     chdir(path);      /* chdir(path); */
     printf("\nType e to edit output files, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");      printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");
     scanf("%s",z);      scanf("%s",z);
     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");      if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");
     else if (z[0] == 'e') {      else if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm);
       chdir(path);      else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
       system(optionfilehtm);  
     }  
     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);      else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
   }    }
 #endif  #endif

Removed from v.1.31  
changed lines
  Added in v.1.52


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