--- imach/src/imach.c	2017/06/27 10:17:50	1.271
+++ imach/src/imach.c	2017/06/29 09:47:08	1.274
@@ -1,6 +1,15 @@
-/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.271 2017/06/27 10:17:50 brouard Exp $
+/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.274 2017/06/29 09:47:08 brouard Exp $
   $State: Exp $
   $Log: imach.c,v $
+  Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
+  Summary: Version 0.99r14
+
+  Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
+  Summary: More documentation on projections
+
+  Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
+  Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
+
   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
   Summary: Some bug with rint
 
@@ -1016,12 +1025,12 @@ typedef struct {
 #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
 #endif
 
-/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.271 2017/06/27 10:17:50 brouard Exp $ */
+/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.274 2017/06/29 09:47:08 brouard Exp $ */
 /* $State: Exp $ */
 #include "version.h"
 char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
 char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
-char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.271 $ $Date: 2017/06/27 10:17:50 $"; 
+char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.274 $ $Date: 2017/06/29 09:47:08 $"; 
 char strstart[80];
 char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
 int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
@@ -3848,7 +3857,7 @@ void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[],
     else if(mle >=1)
       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
-    
+    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
       
     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
@@ -6661,8 +6670,8 @@ void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char
 		  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
 		  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
 		  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
-		  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, \
-		  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2){
+		  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
+		  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
 
    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
@@ -6816,15 +6825,18 @@ divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>
      if(prevfcast==1){
        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
-	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
-<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
+	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
+<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }
      }
      if(backcast==1){
       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
-	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d) up to stable (mixed) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) with weights corresponding to observed prevalence  at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
-<img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
+	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
+ from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
+ account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
+with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
+ <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
        }
      }
 	 
@@ -6954,6 +6966,20 @@ void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
   /*#endif */
   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
 
+  /* diagram of the model */
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
+
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
+  fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
+
   /* Contribution to likelihood */
   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
@@ -7108,12 +7134,12 @@ void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch
 	      if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
 	      else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
 	    } 
-	    fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 6,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
+	    fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 5,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
 	    for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
 	      if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
 	      else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
 	    } 
-	    fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 6");
+	    fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
 	  } /* end if backprojcast */
 	} /* end if backcast */
 	fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n");
@@ -8348,7 +8374,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n
       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
-      printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
+      /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
 	/* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
@@ -10577,6 +10603,8 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   int nres=0;
   int endishere=0;
 
+  int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
+  
   char ca[32], cb[32];
   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
@@ -10631,8 +10659,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
 
   double *epj, vepp;
 
-  double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
-  double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000;
+  double dateprev1, dateprev2;
+  double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
+  double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
 
   double **ximort;
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
@@ -11460,10 +11489,31 @@ Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d La
 	      firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
 
   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
-  fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
+	  ftol, stepm);
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
+  ncurrv=1;
+  for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
+  ncurrv=i;
+  for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
+  ncurrv=i;
+  for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
+  ncurrv=i;
+  for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
+	   nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
+
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
+<img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
+
+  
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
 Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
 Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
-	  imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
+  imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
@@ -12023,6 +12073,9 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
 	  fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
 	  fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
 	  /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
+	  dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
+	  dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
+
 	}
 	break;
       case 12:
@@ -12038,6 +12091,8 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
 	  fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
 	  fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
 	  /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
+	  dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
+	  dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
 	}
 	break;
       case 13:
@@ -12093,7 +12148,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct
     }
     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
 		 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
-		 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2);
+		 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
 		
     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
     /*  chdir(path); */