\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. %s_%d-%d-%d.svg
\
![](\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\")
", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}
- if(backcast==1){
+ if(prevbcast==1){
/* Backward prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. %s_%d-%d-%d.svg
\ @@ -6959,10 +6988,10 @@ divided by h: hPij /* Projection of prevalence up to period (forward stable) prevalence in each health state */ for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){ fprintf(fichtm,"
\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) forward prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). %s_%d-%d-%d.svg
\ -
", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
+", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateprojd, dateprojf, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
}
}
- if(backcast==1){
+ if(prevbcast==1){
/* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
fprintf(fichtm,"\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \ @@ -7075,7 +7104,7 @@ true period expectancies (those weighted } /******************* Gnuplot file **************/ -void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){ +void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int prevbcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){ char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132]; char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132]; @@ -7229,7 +7258,7 @@ void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch } /* end covariate */ } /* end if no covariate */ - if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */ + if(prevbcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */ /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */ fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */ if(cptcoveff ==0){ @@ -7256,7 +7285,7 @@ void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch } } /* end covariate */ } /* end if no covariate */ - if(backcast == 1){ + if(prevbcast == 1){ fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/ for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) { @@ -7275,7 +7304,7 @@ void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], ch } fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4"); } /* end if backprojcast */ - } /* end if backcast */ + } /* end if prevbcast */ /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */ fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n"); } /* nres */ @@ -7563,7 +7592,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n /* 7eme */ - if(backcast == 1){ + if(prevbcast == 1){ /* CV backward prevalence for each covariate */ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */ for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */ @@ -7615,7 +7644,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n"); } /* end cpt state*/ } /* end covariate */ - } /* End if backcast */ + } /* End if prevbcast */ /* 8eme */ if(prevfcast==1){ @@ -7731,7 +7760,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n } /* end covariate */ } /* End if prevfcast */ - if(backcast==1){ + if(prevbcast==1){ /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */ for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */ @@ -7844,7 +7873,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n"); } /* end cpt state*/ } /* end covariate */ - } /* End if backcast */ + } /* End if prevbcast */ /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */ @@ -8292,16 +8321,35 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n }/* End movingaverage */ + int date2dmy(double date,double *day, double *month, double *year){ + double yp=0., yp1=0., yp2=0.; + + yp1=modf(date,&yp);/* extracts integral of date in yp and + fractional in yp1 */ + *year=yp; + yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); + *month=yp; + yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); + *day=yp; + if(*day==0) *day=1; + if(*month==0) *month=1; + return; + } + /************** Forecasting ******************/ - void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ - /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection +/* void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double anprojd, double mprojd, double jprojd, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anprojf, double p[], int cptcoveff)*/ +void prevforecast(char fileres[], double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){ + /* dateintemean, mean date of interviews + dateprojd, year, month, day of starting projection + dateprojf date of end of projection;year of end of projection (same day and month as proj1). agemin, agemax range of age dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed - anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1). */ + /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; */ + /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */ int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0; double agec; /* generic age */ - double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; + double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat; /* double ***mobaverage; */ @@ -8338,22 +8386,27 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */ stepsize=2; } + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; + + + /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp and */ + /* fractional in yp1 *\/ */ + /* aintmean=yp; */ + /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */ + /* mintmean=yp; */ + /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */ + /* jintmean=yp; */ + /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */ + /* if(mintmean==0) mintmean=1; */ - hstepm=hstepm/stepm; - yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and - fractional in yp1 */ - anprojmean=yp; - yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); - mprojmean=yp; - yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); - jprojmean=yp; - if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; - if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; + /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */ + /* date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd); */ + /* date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf); */ i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); + fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n"); @@ -8379,9 +8432,9 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j); fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j); } - for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { + for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anprojf-anprojd);yearp +=stepsize) { fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); - fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); + fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojd,mprojd,anprojd+yearp); /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ */ for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); @@ -8399,7 +8452,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anprojd+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { ppij=0.; @@ -8427,8 +8480,9 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n } /************** Back Forecasting ******************/ - void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ - /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection + /* void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ */ + void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double dateintmean, double dateprojd, double dateprojf, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double p[], int cptcoveff){ + /* back1, year, month, day of starting backprojection agemin, agemax range of age dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1). @@ -8436,7 +8490,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n */ int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0; double agec; /* generic age */ - double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; + double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jintmean,mintmean,aintmean; double *popeffectif,*popcount; double ***p3mat; /* double ***mobaverage; */ @@ -8479,21 +8533,21 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n } hstepm=hstepm/stepm; - yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp and - fractional in yp1 */ - anprojmean=yp; - yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); - mprojmean=yp; - yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); - jprojmean=yp; - if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; - if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; + /* yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp and */ + /* fractional in yp1 *\/ */ + /* aintmean=yp; */ + /* yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */ + /* mintmean=yp; */ + /* yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */ + /* jintmean=yp; */ + /* if(jintmean==0) jintmean=1; */ + /* if(mintmean==0) jintmean=1; */ i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); - printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); + fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); + printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jintmean,mintmean,aintmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n"); @@ -8518,10 +8572,10 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j); fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j); } - for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) { + for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anbackf-anbackd);yearp -=stepsize) { /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { */ fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); - fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); + fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jbackd,mbackd,anbackd+yearp); /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */ /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){ /\* testing *\/ */ for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){ /* testing */ @@ -8544,7 +8598,7 @@ set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\n fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); - fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); + fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anbackd+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) { ppij=0.;ppi=0.; for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) { @@ -10787,7 +10841,14 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int *tab; int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */ - /* int backcast=0; */ /* defined as global for mlikeli and mle */ + /* double anprojd, mprojd, jprojd; /\* For eventual projections *\/ */ + /* double anprojf, mprojf, jprojf; */ + /* double jintmean,mintmean,aintmean; */ + int prvforecast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */ + int prvbackcast = 0; /* Might be 1 (date of beginning of projection is a choice or 2 is the dateintmean */ + double yrfproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of forward projections */ + double yrbproj= 10.0; /* Number of years of backward projections */ + int prevbcast=0; /* defined as global for mlikeli and mle, replacing backcast */ int mobilav=0,popforecast=0; int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0; int agemortsup; @@ -10812,8 +10873,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double *epj, vepp; double dateprev1, dateprev2; - double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0; - double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0; + double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0, dateprojd=0, dateprojf=0; + double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0, datebackd=0, datebackf=0; + double **ximort; char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234"; @@ -12268,7 +12330,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct continue; }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp)) parameterline=11; - else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp)) + else if(sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp)) parameterline=12; else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp)) parameterline=13; @@ -12277,39 +12339,63 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct } switch (parameterline){ case 11: - if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){ - if (num_filled != 8) { - printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); - fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); - goto end; - } - fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){ + fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.; dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.; - + prvforecast = 1; + } + else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d yearsfproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&yrfproj,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/ + printf(" Num_filled=%d, yearsfproj=%lf, mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,yrfproj,mobilavproj); + prvforecast = 2; + } + else { + printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearsfproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevforecast=1 yearproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line); + goto end; } break; case 12: - /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/ - if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){ - if (num_filled != 8) { - printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); - fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); - goto end; - } - printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); - /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ + if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF && (num_filled == 8)){ + fprintf(ficparo,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + printf("prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficres,"prevbackcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); + /* day and month of back2 are not used but only year anback2.*/ dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.; dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.; + prvbackcast = 1; + } + else if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevbackcast=%d yearsbproj=%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevbcast,&yrbproj,&mobilavproj)) ==3){/* && (num_filled == 3))*/ + printf(" Num_filled=%d, yearsbproj=%lf, mobil_average=%d\n",prevbcast,yrbproj,mobilavproj); + prvbackcast = 2; + } + else { + printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearsbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line); + fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevbackcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\nnor 3 (data)parameters, for example:prevbackcast=1 yearbproj=10 mobil_average=0. Your line=%s . You are running probably an older format.\n, ",num_filled,line); + goto end; } break; + /* /\*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*\/ */ + /* if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){ */ + /* if (num_filled != 8) { */ + /* printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); */ + /* fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line); */ + /* goto end; */ + /* } */ + /* printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); */ + /* fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); */ + /* fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); */ + /* fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj); */ + /* /\* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*\/ */ + /* dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.; */ + /* dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.; */ + /* } */ + /* break; */ case 13: if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){ if (num_filled == 0){ @@ -12359,11 +12445,44 @@ This is probably because your parameter Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar); }else{ /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */ - printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage); + /* It seems that anprojd which is computed from the mean year at interview which is known yet because of freqsummary */ + /* date2dmy(dateintmean,&jintmean,&mintmean,&aintmean); */ /* Done in freqsummary */ + if(prvforecast==1){ + dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365; + jprojd=jproj1; + mprojd=mproj1; + anprojd=anproj1; + dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365; + jprojf=jproj2; + mprojf=mproj2; + anprojf=anproj2; + } else if(prvforecast == 2){ + dateprojd=dateintmean; + date2dmy(dateprojd,&jprojd, &mprojd, &anprojd); + dateprojf=dateintmean+yrfproj; + date2dmy(dateprojf,&jprojf, &mprojf, &anprojf); + } + if(prvbackcast==1){ + datebackd=(jback1+12*mback1+365*anback1)/365; + jbackd=jback1; + mbackd=mback1; + anbackd=anback1; + datebackf=(jback2+12*mback2+365*anback2)/365; + jbackf=jback2; + mbackf=mback2; + anbackf=anback2; + } else if(prvbackcast == 2){ + datebackd=dateintmean; + date2dmy(datebackd,&jbackd, &mbackd, &anbackd); + datebackf=dateintmean-yrbproj; + date2dmy(datebackf,&jbackf, &mbackf, &anbackf); + } + + printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, prevbcast, pathc,p, (int)anprojd-bage, (int)anbackd-fage); } printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \ - model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \ - jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2); + model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,prevbcast, estepm, \ + jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateprojd, datebackd,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateprojf, datebackf); /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ /* chdir(path); */ @@ -12436,13 +12555,23 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct }/* end if moving average */ /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ - if(prevfcast==1){ - /* if(stepm ==1){*/ - prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff); + if(prevfcast==1){ + /* /\* if(stepm ==1){*\/ */ + /* /\* anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */ + /*This done previously after freqsummary.*/ + /* dateprojd=(jproj1+12*mproj1+365*anproj1)/365; */ + /* dateprojf=(jproj2+12*mproj2+365*anproj2)/365; */ + + /* } else if (prvforecast==2){ */ + /* /\* if(stepm ==1){*\/ */ + /* /\* anproj1, mproj1, jproj1 either read explicitly or yrfproj *\/ */ + /* } */ + /*prevforecast(fileresu, dateintmean, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);*/ + prevforecast(fileresu,dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff); } - /* Backcasting */ - if(backcast==1){ + /* Prevbcasting */ + if(prevbcast==1){ ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); @@ -12457,8 +12586,14 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage); fclose(ficrespijb); - prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, - mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); + /* /\* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, *\/ */ + /* /\* mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); *\/ */ + /* prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, */ + /* mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); */ + prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, dateintmean, dateprojd, dateprojf, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, + mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, p, cptcoveff); + + varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff); @@ -12466,7 +12601,7 @@ Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath); - } /* end Backcasting */ + } /* end Prevbcasting */ /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */