--- imach/src/imach.c	2003/02/04 12:40:59	1.68
+++ imach/src/imach.c	2004/07/12 18:29:06	1.100
@@ -1,4 +1,114 @@
-/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.68 2003/02/04 12:40:59 lievre Exp $
+/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.100 2004/07/12 18:29:06 brouard Exp $
+  $State: Exp $
+  $Log: imach.c,v $
+  Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
+  Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
+
+  Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
+  *** empty log message ***
+
+  Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
+  New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
+  directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
+  state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
+  This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
+  other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
+  cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
+  from other sources like vital statistic data.
+
+  The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
+
+  Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
+  former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
+
+  The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
+  the slope with 95% confident intervals.
+
+  Current limitations:
+  A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
+  model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
+  B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
+
+  Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
+  Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
+  suppressed.
+
+  Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
+  rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
+
+  Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository):
+  (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
+  matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
+
+  Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
+  Just cleaning
+
+  Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
+  (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
+  exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
+  (Module): Version 0.96b
+
+  Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
+  (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
+  exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
+
+  Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
+  (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
+  helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
+  is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
+  concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
+
+  Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
+  (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
+  mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
+  of the covariance matrix to be input.
+
+  Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
+  (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
+  mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
+  of the covariance matrix to be input.
+
+  Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
+
+  Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
+  Version 0.96
+
+  Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
+  (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
+  routine fileappend.
+
+  Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
+  current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
+  prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
+  was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
+  assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
+  interview.
+  (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
+  we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
+  memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
+  truncation)
+  (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
+
+  Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
+  * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
+  place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
+  many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
+  parcimony.
+  Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
+
+  Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
+  *** empty log message ***
+
+  Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
+  Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
+
+*/
+/*
    Interpolated Markov Chain
 
   Short summary of the programme:
@@ -48,19 +158,63 @@
   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
+
+  Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
+  or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
+  
   **********************************************************************/
+/*
+  main
+  read parameterfile
+  read datafile
+  concatwav
+  freqsummary
+  if (mle >= 1)
+    mlikeli
+  print results files
+  if mle==1 
+     computes hessian
+  read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
+      begin-prev-date,...
+  open gnuplot file
+  open html file
+  stable prevalence
+   for age prevalim()
+  h Pij x
+  variance of p varprob
+  forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
+  health expectancies
+  Variance-covariance of DFLE
+  prevalence()
+   movingaverage()
+  varevsij() 
+  if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
+  total life expectancies
+  Variance of stable prevalence
+ end
+*/
+
+
+
  
 #include <math.h>
 #include <stdio.h>
 #include <stdlib.h>
 #include <unistd.h>
 
+/* #include <sys/time.h> */
+#include <time.h>
+#include "timeval.h"
+
+/* #include <libintl.h> */
+/* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
+
 #define MAXLINE 256
 #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
 /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
-#define FILENAMELENGTH 80
+#define FILENAMELENGTH 132
 /*#define DEBUG*/
-#define windows
+/*#define windows*/
 #define	GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH		-1	/* empty path */
 #define	GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD		-2	/* cannot get cwd */
 
@@ -75,16 +229,21 @@
 #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */
 #define AGESUP 130
 #define AGEBASE 40
-#ifdef windows
-#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
-#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
-#else
+#define AGEGOMP 10. /* Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
+#ifdef UNIX
 #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
 #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
+#else
+#define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
+#define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
 #endif
 
-char version[80]="Imach version 0.91, November 2002, INED-EUROREVES ";
-int erreur; /* Error number */
+/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.100 2004/07/12 18:29:06 brouard Exp $ */
+/* $State: Exp $ */
+
+char version[]="Imach version 0.97b, May 2004, INED-EUROREVES ";
+char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.100 $ $Date: 2004/07/12 18:29:06 $"; 
+int erreur, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
 int nvar;
 int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov;
 int npar=NPARMAX;
@@ -96,6 +255,8 @@ int popbased=0;
 int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
 int maxwav; /* Maxim number of waves */
 int jmin, jmax; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
+int gipmx, gsw; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
+		   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
 int mle, weightopt;
 int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
 int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
@@ -105,10 +266,17 @@ double jmean; /* Mean space between 2 wa
 double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
 double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
 FILE *fic,*ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres,  *ficrespl, *ficrespij, *ficrest,*ficresf,*ficrespop;
-FILE *ficlog;
+FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
+int globpr; /* Global variable for printing or not */
+double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
+long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */
+double sw; /* Sum of weights */
+char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
+char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
+FILE *ficresilk;
 FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
 FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
-FILE *fichtm; /* Html File */
+FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
 FILE *ficreseij;
 char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
 FILE  *ficresvij;
@@ -118,14 +286,26 @@ char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char title[MAXLINE];
 char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH], plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
+char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
+char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
+int  outcmd=0;
 
 char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
+
 char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
 char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
 char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
 
-char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];
+char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
+
+struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
+struct timezone tzp;
+extern int gettimeofday();
+struct tm tmg, tm, tmf, *gmtime(), *localtime();
+long time_value;
+extern long time();
+char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
 
 #define NR_END 1
 #define FREE_ARG char*
@@ -154,18 +334,21 @@ static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
 static double sqrarg;
 #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
 #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
+int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
 
 int imx; 
-int stepm;
+int stepm=1;
 /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
 
 int estepm;
 /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
 
 int m,nb;
-int *num, firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage;
+long *num;
+int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage,*cens;
 double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
 double **pmmij, ***probs;
+double *ageexmed,*agecens;
 double dateintmean=0;
 
 double *weight;
@@ -179,6 +362,9 @@ double ftolhess; /* Tolerance for comput
 /**************** split *************************/
 static	int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
 {
+  /* From a file name with full path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
+     the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
+  */ 
   char	*ss;				/* pointer */
   int	l1, l2;				/* length counters */
 
@@ -188,15 +374,9 @@ static	int split( char *path, char *dirc
   if ( ss == NULL ) {			/* no directory, so use current */
     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
-#if	defined(__bsd__)		/* get current working directory */
-    extern char	*getwd( );
-
-    if ( getwd( dirc ) == NULL ) {
-#else
-    extern char	*getcwd( );
-
+    /* get current working directory */
+    /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
     if ( getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
-#endif
       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
     }
     strcpy( name, path );		/* we've got it */
@@ -209,28 +389,31 @@ static	int split( char *path, char *dirc
     dirc[l1-l2] = 0;			/* add zero */
   }
   l1 = strlen( dirc );			/* length of directory */
-#ifdef windows
+  /*#ifdef windows
   if ( dirc[l1-1] != '\\' ) { dirc[l1] = '\\'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }
 #else
   if ( dirc[l1-1] != '/' ) { dirc[l1] = '/'; dirc[l1+1] = 0; }
 #endif
+  */
   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );		/* find last / */
-  ss++;
-  strcpy(ext,ss);			/* save extension */
-  l1= strlen( name);
-  l2= strlen(ss)+1;
-  strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
-  finame[l1-l2]= 0;
+  if (ss >0){
+    ss++;
+    strcpy(ext,ss);			/* save extension */
+    l1= strlen( name);
+    l2= strlen(ss)+1;
+    strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
+    finame[l1-l2]= 0;
+  }
   return( 0 );				/* we're done */
 }
 
 
 /******************************************/
 
-void replace(char *s, char*t)
+void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
 {
   int i;
-  int lg=20;
+  int lg=0;
   i=0;
   lg=strlen(t);
   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
@@ -311,6 +494,21 @@ void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long
   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
 }
 
+/************************lvector *******************************/
+long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
+{
+  long *v;
+  v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
+  if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
+  return v-nl+NR_END;
+}
+
+/******************free lvector **************************/
+void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
+{
+  free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
+}
+
 /******************* imatrix *******************************/
 int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
@@ -365,6 +563,8 @@ double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long
 
   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
   return m;
+  /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) 
+   */
 }
 
 /*************************free matrix ************************/
@@ -404,7 +604,10 @@ double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long
     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
   }
-  return m;
+  return m; 
+  /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
+           &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
+  */
 }
 
 /*************************free ma3x ************************/
@@ -415,6 +618,41 @@ void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, lo
   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
 }
 
+/*************** function subdirf ***********/
+char *subdirf(char fileres[])
+{
+  /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
+  strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
+  strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
+  strcat(tmpout,fileres);
+  return tmpout;
+}
+
+/*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
+char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
+{
+  
+  /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
+  strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
+  strcat(tmpout,"/");
+  strcat(tmpout,preop);
+  strcat(tmpout,fileres);
+  return tmpout;
+}
+
+/*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
+char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
+{
+  
+  /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
+  strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
+  strcat(tmpout,"/");
+  strcat(tmpout,preop);
+  strcat(tmpout,preop2);
+  strcat(tmpout,fileres);
+  return tmpout;
+}
+
 /***************** f1dim *************************/
 extern int ncom; 
 extern double *pcom,*xicom;
@@ -590,6 +828,19 @@ void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int
   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
 } 
 
+char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
+{
+  long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
+  days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
+  sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
+  hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
+  sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
+  minutes = (sec_left) /60;
+  sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
+  sprintf(ascdiff,"%d day(s) %d hour(s) %d minute(s) %d second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
+  return ascdiff;
+}
+
 /*************** powell ************************/
 void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
 	    double (*func)(double [])) 
@@ -600,6 +851,8 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
   double fp,fptt;
   double *xits;
+  int niterf, itmp;
+
   pt=vector(1,n); 
   ptt=vector(1,n); 
   xit=vector(1,n); 
@@ -610,13 +863,42 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int
     fp=(*fret); 
     ibig=0; 
     del=0.0; 
-    printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f",*iter,*fret);
-    for (i=1;i<=n;i++) 
+    last_time=curr_time;
+    (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp);
+    printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout);
+    /*    fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);
+    fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);
+    */
+   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
       printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
-    fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12f",i, p[i]);
+      fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]);
+      fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
+    }
     printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+    fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
+    if(*iter <=3){
+      tm = *localtime(&curr_time.tv_sec);
+      strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tmf));
+/*       asctime_r(&tm,strcurr); */
+      forecast_time=curr_time;
+      itmp = strlen(strcurr);
+      if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')
+	strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
+      printf("\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec);
+      fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec);
+      for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
+	forecast_time.tv_sec=curr_time.tv_sec+(niterf-*iter)*(curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec);
+	tmf = *localtime(&forecast_time.tv_sec);
+/* 	asctime_r(&tmf,strfor); */
+	strcpy(strfor,asctime(&tmf));
+	itmp = strlen(strfor);
+	if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
+	strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
+	printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s or\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
+	fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s or\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(forecast_time.tv_sec-curr_time.tv_sec,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
+      }
+    }
     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; 
       fptt=(*fret); 
@@ -779,57 +1061,57 @@ double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov,
   int i,j,j1, nc, ii, jj;
 
     for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
-    for(j=1; j<i;j++){
-      for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
-	/*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
-	s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
-	/*printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
-      }
-      ps[i][j]=s2;
-      /*printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2);*/
-    }
-    for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
-      for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
-	s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
-	/*printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2);*/
+      for(j=1; j<i;j++){
+	for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
+	  /*s2 += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
+	  s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-1)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
+/* 	 printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */
+	}
+	ps[i][j]=s2;
+/* 	printf("s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e\n",s1,s2); */
+      }
+      for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+	for (nc=1, s2=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
+	  s2 += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
+/* 	  printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, s2=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,s2,s1,s2); */
+	}
+	ps[i][j]=s2;
       }
-      ps[i][j]=s2;
     }
-  }
     /*ps[3][2]=1;*/
-
-  for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
-     s1=0;
-    for(j=1; j<i; j++)
-      s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
-    for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
-      s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
-    ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
-    for(j=1; j<i; j++)
-      ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
-    for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
-      ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
-    /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
-  } /* end i */
-
-  for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
-    for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
-      ps[ii][jj]=0;
-      ps[ii][ii]=1;
+    
+    for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
+      s1=0;
+      for(j=1; j<i; j++)
+	s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
+      for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
+	s1+=exp(ps[i][j]);
+      ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
+      for(j=1; j<i; j++)
+	ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
+      for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
+	ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
+      /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
+    } /* end i */
+    
+    for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
+      for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+	ps[ii][jj]=0;
+	ps[ii][ii]=1;
+      }
     }
-  }
-
+    
 
-  /*   for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
-    for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
-     printf("%lf ",ps[ii][jj]);
-   }
-    printf("\n ");
-    }
-    printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
-/*
-  for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
-  goto end;*/
+/*        for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
+/* 	 for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
+/* 	   printf("ddd %lf ",ps[ii][jj]); */
+/* 	 } */
+/* 	 printf("\n "); */
+/*        } */
+/*        printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]); */
+       /*
+      for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
+      goto end;*/
     return ps;
 }
 
@@ -972,19 +1254,38 @@ double func( double *x)
 	 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
 	 */
 	/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
-        /* if s2=-2 lli=out[1][1]+out[1][2];*/
-	if (s2==-2) {
-	  for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
-	    survp += out[s1][j];
-	  lli= survp;
-	}
-
-	else
-	lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));  /* linear interpolation */
+	if( s2 > nlstate){ 
+	  /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution
+	     to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current 
+	     step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh 
+	     and probability to die before dh-stepm . 
+	     In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
+	as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
+	health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
+	and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
+	to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
+	(healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
+	introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
+	the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
+	contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
+	stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
+	and month of death but the probability to survive from last
+	interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
+	probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
+	Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
+	mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
+	which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
+	lower mortality.
+	  */
+	  lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
+	}else{
+	  lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
+	  /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
+	} 
 	/*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
 	/*if(lli ==000.0)*/
 	/*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
-	ipmx +=1;
+  	ipmx +=1;
 	sw += weight[i];
 	ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
       } /* end of wave */
@@ -1010,31 +1311,10 @@ double func( double *x)
 	  oldm=newm;
 	} /* end mult */
       
-	/*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
-	/* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias and large stepm.
-	 * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
-	 * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
-	 * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
-	 * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
-	 * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. The we inter(extra)polate the
-	 * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
-	 * from savm to out if bh is neagtive or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
-	 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
-	 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
-	 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
-	 */
 	s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
 	s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
 	bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
-	/* bias is positive if real duration
-	 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
-	 */
 	lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
-	/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
-	/*lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.-+bh)*out[s1][s2])); */ /* exponential interpolation */
-	/*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
-	/*if(lli ==000.0)*/
-	/*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
 	ipmx +=1;
 	sw += weight[i];
 	ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
@@ -1061,36 +1341,51 @@ double func( double *x)
 	  oldm=newm;
 	} /* end mult */
       
-	/*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
-	/* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias and large stepm.
-	 * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
-	 * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
-	 * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
-	 * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
-	 * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. The we inter(extra)polate the
-	 * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
-	 * from savm to out if bh is neagtive or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
-	 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
-	 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
-	 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
-	 */
 	s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
 	s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
 	bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
-	/* bias is positive if real duration
-	 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
-	 */
-	/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); */ /* linear interpolation */
 	lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
-	/*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
-	/*if(lli ==000.0)*/
-	/*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
 	ipmx +=1;
 	sw += weight[i];
 	ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
       } /* end of wave */
     } /* end of individual */
-  }else{  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
+  }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
+    for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
+      for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
+      for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
+	for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
+	  for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+	    oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+	    savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+	  }
+	for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
+	  newm=savm;
+	  cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
+	  for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
+	    cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
+	  }
+	
+	  out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
+		       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
+	  savm=oldm;
+	  oldm=newm;
+	} /* end mult */
+      
+	s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
+	s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
+	if( s2 > nlstate){ 
+	  lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
+	}else{
+	  lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
+	}
+	ipmx +=1;
+	sw += weight[i];
+	ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
+/* 	printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
+      } /* end of wave */
+    } /* end of individual */
+  }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
@@ -1112,10 +1407,13 @@ double func( double *x)
 	  oldm=newm;
 	} /* end mult */
       
+	s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
+	s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
 	lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
 	ipmx +=1;
 	sw += weight[i];
 	ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
+	/*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
       } /* end of wave */
     } /* end of individual */
   } /* End of if */
@@ -1125,22 +1423,159 @@ double func( double *x)
   return -l;
 }
 
+/*************** log-likelihood *************/
+double funcone( double *x)
+{
+  /* Same as likeli but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
+  int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
+  double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX], cov[NCOVMAX];
+  double **out;
+  double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
+  double llt;
+  int s1, s2;
+  double bbh, survp;
+  /*extern weight */
+  /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
+  /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
+  /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
+    printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
+  */
+  cov[1]=1.;
+
+  for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
+
+  for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
+    for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
+    for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
+      for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
+	for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+	  oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+	  savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+	}
+      for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
+	newm=savm;
+	cov[2]=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
+	for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
+	  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
+	}
+	out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
+		     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
+	savm=oldm;
+	oldm=newm;
+      } /* end mult */
+      
+      s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
+      s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
+      bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
+      /* bias is positive if real duration
+       * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
+       */
+      if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
+	lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
+      } else if (mle==1){
+	lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
+      } else if(mle==2){
+	lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
+      } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
+	lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
+      } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
+	lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
+      } else{  /* ml>=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
+	lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
+      } /* End of if */
+      ipmx +=1;
+      sw += weight[i];
+      ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
+/*       printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
+      if(globpr){
+	fprintf(ficresilk,"%9d %6d %1d %1d %1d %1d %3d %10.6f %6.4f\
+ %10.6f %10.6f %10.6f ", \
+		num[i],i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],
+		2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);
+	for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
+	  llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
+	  fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
+	}
+	fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
+      }
+    } /* end of wave */
+  } /* end of individual */
+  for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
+  /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
+  l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
+  if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
+    gipmx=ipmx;
+    gsw=sw;
+  }
+  return -l;
+}
+
+
+/*************** function likelione ***********/
+void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
+{
+  /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
+     the selection of individuals/waves and
+     to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
+     Plotting could be done.
+   */
+  int k;
+
+  if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
+    strcpy(fileresilk,"ilk"); 
+    strcat(fileresilk,fileres);
+    if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
+    }
+    fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
+    fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight 2wlli out sav ");
+    /* 	i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
+    for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
+      fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
+    fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
+  }
+
+  *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
+  if(*globpri !=0){
+    fclose(ficresilk);
+    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
+    fflush(fichtm); 
+  } 
+  return;
+}
+
 
 /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
 
 void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
 {
   int i,j, iter;
-  double **xi,*delti;
+  double **xi;
   double fret;
+  double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
+  /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
+  strcpy(filerespow,"pow"); 
+  strcat(filerespow,fileres);
+  if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
+    printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
+  }
+  fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
+  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
+    for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+      if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
+  fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
+
   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
 
-   printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));
+  fclose(ficrespow);
+  printf("\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter,func(p));
   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));
   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations = %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f \n",iter,func(p));
 
@@ -1154,11 +1589,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
   int i, j,jk;
   int *indx;
 
-  double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]);
-  double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j);
+  double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
+  double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
-
+  double gompertz(double p[]);
   hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
 
   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
@@ -1166,9 +1601,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
     printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout);
     fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
-    hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti);
-    /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/
-    /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/
+   
+     hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
+    
+    /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
+	printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
   }
   
   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
@@ -1176,7 +1613,8 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
       if (j>i) { 
 	printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
 	fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
-	hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j);
+	hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j,func,npar);
+	
 	hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
 	/*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
       }
@@ -1247,14 +1685,14 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[]
 }
 
 /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
-double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[])
+double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
 {
   int i;
   int l=1, lmax=20;
   double k1,k2;
   double p2[NPARMAX+1];
   double res;
-  double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
+  double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
   double fx;
   int k=0,kmax=10;
   double l1;
@@ -1294,7 +1732,7 @@ double hessii( double x[], double delta,
   
 }
 
-double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj)
+double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
 {
   int i;
   int l=1, l1, lmax=20;
@@ -1404,19 +1842,19 @@ void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx
 } 
 
 /************ Frequencies ********************/
-void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int agemin, int agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2,double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1,double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2)
+void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvaraff, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint)
 {  /* Some frequencies */
   
   int i, m, jk, k1,i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
   int first;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
-  double *pp;
-  double pos, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
+  double *pp, **prop;
+  double pos,posprop, k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
   FILE *ficresp;
   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH];
   
   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
-  probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+  prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3);
   strcpy(fileresp,"p");
   strcat(fileresp,fileres);
   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
@@ -1424,7 +1862,7 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
     exit(0);
   }
-  freq= ma3x(-2,nlstate+ndeath,-2,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
+  freq= ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);
   j1=0;
   
   j=cptcoveff;
@@ -1439,8 +1877,12 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 	scanf("%d", i);*/
       for (i=-1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
 	for (jk=-1; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
-	  for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
+	  for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
 	    freq[i][jk][m]=0;
+
+    for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
+      for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
+	prop[i][m]=0;
       
       dateintsum=0;
       k2cpt=0;
@@ -1454,24 +1896,25 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 	if (bool==1){
 	  for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
 	    k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
-	    if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
-	      if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
-	      if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
+	    /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
+	      if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
+	      if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
+	      if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
 	      if (m<lastpass) {
 		freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
-		freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int) agemax+3] += weight[i];
+		freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i];
 	      }
 	      
-	      if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (agemax+3))) {
+	      if ((agev[m][i]>1) && (agev[m][i]< (iagemax+3))) {
 		dateintsum=dateintsum+k2;
 		k2cpt++;
 	      }
-	    }
+	      /*}*/
 	  }
 	}
       }
        
-      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
+      /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
 
       if  (cptcovn>0) {
 	fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
@@ -1482,8 +1925,8 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 	fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d) N(%d) N",i,i);
       fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
       
-      for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){
-	if(i==(int)agemax+3){
+      for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){
+	if(i==iagemax+3){
 	  fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
 	}else{
 	  if(first==1){
@@ -1514,10 +1957,11 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
 	  for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
 	    pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
-	}
-
-	for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++)
+	}	
+	for(jk=1,pos=0,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
 	  pos += pp[jk];
+	  posprop += prop[jk][i];
+	}
 	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
 	  if(pos>=1.e-5){
 	    if(first==1)
@@ -1528,25 +1972,25 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
 	      printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
 	    fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
 	  }
-	  if( i <= (int) agemax){
+	  if( i <= iagemax){
 	    if(pos>=1.e-5){
-	      fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos);
-	      probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
+	      fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i]/posprop, prop[jk][i],posprop);
+	      /*probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/
 	      /*printf("\ni=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",i,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[i][jk][j1]);*/
 	    }
 	    else
-	      fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,pp[jk],pos);
+	      fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",i,prop[jk][i],posprop);
 	  }
 	}
 	
-	for(jk=-2; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
-	  for(m=-2; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
+	for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)
+	  for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
 	    if(freq[jk][m][i] !=0 ) {
 	    if(first==1)
 	      printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
 	      fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][i]);
 	    }
-	if(i <= (int) agemax)
+	if(i <= iagemax)
 	  fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
 	if(first==1)
 	  printf("Others in log...\n");
@@ -1557,24 +2001,32 @@ void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int ag
   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
  
   fclose(ficresp);
-  free_ma3x(freq,-2,nlstate+ndeath,-2,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
+  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);
   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
-  
+  free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin, iagemax+3);
   /* End of Freq */
 }
 
 /************ Prevalence ********************/
-void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, double calagedate)
-{  /* Some frequencies */
+void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
+{  
+  /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
+     in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
+     We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
+  */
  
   int i, m, jk, k1, i1, j1, bool, z1,z2,j;
   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
-  double *pp;
-  double pos, k2;
-
-  pp=vector(1,nlstate);
-  
-  freq=ma3x(-2,nlstate+ndeath,-2,nlstate+ndeath,agemin,agemax+3);
+  double *pp, **prop;
+  double pos,posprop; 
+  double  y2; /* in fractional years */
+  int iagemin, iagemax;
+
+  iagemin= (int) agemin;
+  iagemax= (int) agemax;
+  /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
+  prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); 
+  /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
   j1=0;
   
   j=cptcoveff;
@@ -1584,12 +2036,11 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
     for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){
       j1++;
       
-      for (i=-2; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
-	for (jk=-2; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
-	  for(m=agemin; m <= agemax+3; m++)
-	    freq[i][jk][m]=0;
+      for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
+	for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
+	  prop[i][m]=0.0;
      
-      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
+      for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
 	bool=1;
 	if  (cptcovn>0) {
 	  for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) 
@@ -1597,55 +2048,42 @@ void prevalence(int agemin, float agemax
 	      bool=0;
 	} 
 	if (bool==1) { 
-	  for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){
-	    k2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.);
-	    if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {
-	      if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=agemax+1;
-	      if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=agemax+2;
-	      if (m<lastpass) {
-	      	if (calagedate>0) 
-		  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agev[m][i]+1-((int)calagedate %12)/12.)] += weight[i];
-		else
-		  freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
-		freq[s[m][i]][s[m+1][i]][(int)(agemax+3)] += weight[i]; 
-	      }
+	  for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*/
+	    y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
+	    if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
+	      if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
+	      if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
+	      if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+3) printf("Error on individual =%d agev[m][i]=%f m=%d\n",i, agev[m][i],m); 
+ 	      if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
+		/*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
+ 		prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];
+ 		prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
+ 	      } 
 	    }
-	  }
+	  } /* end selection of waves */
 	}
       }
-      for(i=(int)agemin; i <= (int)agemax+3; i++){ 
-	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
-	  for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
-	    pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i]; 
-	}
-	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
-	  for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
-	    pos += freq[jk][m][i];
-	}
-	
-	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
-	  for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)
-	    pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][i];
-	}
+      for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
 	
-	for(jk=1,pos=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) pos += pp[jk];
-	
-	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){	   
-	  if( i <= (int) agemax){
-	    if(pos>=1.e-5){
-	      probs[i][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;
-	    }
-	  }
-	}/* end jk */
-      }/* end i */
+ 	for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
+ 	  posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
+ 	} 
+
+ 	for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){	    
+ 	  if( i <=  iagemax){ 
+ 	    if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
+ 	      probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
+ 	    } 
+ 	  } 
+ 	}/* end jk */ 
+      }/* end i */ 
     } /* end i1 */
   } /* end k1 */
-
-  
-  free_ma3x(freq,-2,nlstate+ndeath,-2,nlstate+ndeath,(int) agemin,(int) agemax+3);
-  free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
   
-}  /* End of Freq */
+  /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
+  /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
+  free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin,iagemax+3);
+}  /* End of prevalence */
 
 /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
 
@@ -1672,7 +2110,7 @@ void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
     mi=0;
     m=firstpass;
     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){
-      if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-2)
+      if(s[m][i]>=1)
 	mw[++mi][i]=m;
       if(m >=lastpass)
 	break;
@@ -1688,31 +2126,40 @@ void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
 
     wav[i]=mi;
     if(mi==0){
+      nbwarn++;
       if(first==0){
-	printf("Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
+	printf("Warning! None valid information for:%ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
 	first=1;
       }
       if(first==1){
-	fprintf(ficlog,"Warning, no any valid information for:%d line=%d\n",num[i],i);
+	fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! None valid information for:%ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
       }
     } /* end mi==0 */
-  }
+  } /* End individuals */
 
   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
       if (stepm <=0)
 	dh[mi][i]=1;
       else{
-	if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) {
+	if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */
 	  if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
-	  j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
-	  if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
-	  k=k+1;
-	  if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
-	  if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;
-	  sum=sum+j;
-	  /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */
-	  /*	  printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
+	    j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
+	    if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
+	    else if(j<0){
+	      nberr++;
+	      printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
+	      j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
+	      printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview.\n  You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
+	      fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
+	      fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview.\n  You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
+	    }
+	    k=k+1;
+	    if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
+	    if (j <= jmin) jmin=j;
+	    sum=sum+j;
+	    /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
+	    /*	  printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
 	  }
 	}
 	else{
@@ -1722,12 +2169,18 @@ void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
 	  if (j >= jmax) jmax=j;
 	  else if (j <= jmin)jmin=j;
 	  /*	    if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
+	  /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
+	  if(j<0){
+	    nberr++;
+	    printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
+	    fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
+	  }
 	  sum=sum+j;
 	}
 	jk= j/stepm;
 	jl= j -jk*stepm;
 	ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
-	if(mle <=1){ 
+	if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
 	  if(jl==0){
 	    dh[mi][i]=jk;
 	    bh[mi][i]=0;
@@ -1750,10 +2203,10 @@ void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
 	  if(dh[mi][i]==0){
 	    dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
 	    bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
-	    printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);
+	    /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
 	  }
-	}
-      } /* end if mle */
+	} /* end if mle */
+      }
     } /* end wave */
   }
   jmean=sum/k;
@@ -1835,10 +2288,10 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
   int theta;
 
-  varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+  varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
   xp=vector(1,npar);
-  dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
-  doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
+  dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
+  doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
   
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Health expectancies\n");
   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
@@ -1884,9 +2337,9 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
     nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-    gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
-    gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
-    gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
+    gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+    gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+    gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
 
     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
@@ -1895,7 +2348,7 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
 
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
 
-    /* Computing Variances of health expectancies */
+    /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
 
      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
@@ -1923,11 +2376,12 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
 	for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
 	  cptj=cptj+1;
 	  for(h=0, gm[h][cptj]=0.; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
+
 	    gm[h][cptj] = (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.;
 	  }
 	}
       }
-      for(j=1; j<= nlstate*2; j++)
+      for(j=1; j<= nlstate*nlstate; j++)
 	for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
 	  gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
 	}
@@ -1935,26 +2389,26 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
    
 /* End theta */
 
-     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
+     trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
 
      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
-      for(j=1; j<=nlstate*2;j++)
+      for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
 	for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
 	  trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
      
 
-     for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
-      for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
+     for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++)
+      for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
 	varhe[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
 
      printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
      fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
-	matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
-	matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar,1,nlstate*2,gradg[k]);
-	for(i=1;i<=nlstate*2;i++)
-	  for(j=1;j<=nlstate*2;j++)
+	matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
+	matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
+	for(i=1;i<=nlstate*nlstate;i++)
+	  for(j=1;j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
 	    varhe[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
       }
     }
@@ -1977,19 +2431,19 @@ void evsij(char fileres[], double ***eij
       }
     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
    
-    free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
-    free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2);
-    free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*2);
-    free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
+    free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+    free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+    free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+    free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
   }
   printf("\n");
   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
 
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
-  free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*2,1,npar);
-  free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2);
-  free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*2,1,nlstate*2,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+  free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
+  free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
+  free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
 }
 
 /************ Variance ******************/
@@ -2053,23 +2507,10 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
       fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
   }  
   fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
-  if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
-    exit(0);
-  }
-  else{
-    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
-  }
-  if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
-    exit(0);
-  }
-  else{
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
-  }
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
+/*   } */
   varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
 
   fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are the stable prevalence in health states i\n");
@@ -2144,7 +2585,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
          as a weighted average of prlim.
       */
-      for(j=nlstate+1,gpp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
 	for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
 	  gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
       }    
@@ -2175,7 +2616,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
          as a weighted average of prlim.
       */
-      for(j=nlstate+1,gmp[j]=0.;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
+      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
 	for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
          gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
       }    
@@ -2200,9 +2641,9 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
 	  trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
 
     for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
-      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) {
+      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
 	trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
-      }
+  
 
     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
@@ -2218,16 +2659,13 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
 	    vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
       }
     }
-
+  
     /* pptj */
     matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
     matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
- 
-   for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
-     for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){
+    for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+      for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
 	varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
-     }
-
     /* end ppptj */
     /*  x centered again */
     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij);  
@@ -2242,7 +2680,7 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
 	  prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
       }
     }
-    
+             
     /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
        as a weighted average of prlim.
@@ -2284,14 +2722,15 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
 /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
-  fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev);
-  fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev);
-  fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev);
-  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev);
-  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,digit);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);
   /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
 */
-  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit);
+/*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.png\";replot;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"varmuptjgr",digitp),digit);
 
   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
@@ -2301,9 +2740,9 @@ void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
   free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
   if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
-  fclose(ficgp);
-  fclose(fichtm);
-}
+  fflush(ficgp);
+  fflush(fichtm); 
+}  /* end varevsij */
 
 /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
 void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int ij)
@@ -2449,37 +2888,33 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
       fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
       fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
     }  
-  fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
+ /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
   fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
-  xp=vector(1,npar);
+ */
+ xp=vector(1,npar);
   dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
   doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
   mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
   varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
   first=1;
-  if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with gnuplot file: %s\n", optionfilegnuplot);
-    exit(0);
-  }
-  else{
-    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
-  }
-  if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with html file: %s\n", optionfilehtm);
-    exit(0);
-  }
-  else{
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
-
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing matrix of variance-covariance of step probabilities</h4></li>\n");
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\nWe have drawn ellipsoids of confidence around the p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf> to understand the covariance between two incidences. They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
-    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> We have drawn x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 where x is the column vector (pij,pkl). It means that if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2X2) matrix would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 standard deviations wide on each axis. <br> When both incidences are correlated we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix and made the appropriate rotation.<br> \n");
-
-  }
+  fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
+
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4></li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
+  fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n\
+  file %s<br>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
+  fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated\
+and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
+ They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
+  fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
+It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
+would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
+standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
+ Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
+ and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
+To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
 
   cov[1]=1;
   tj=cptcoveff;
@@ -2491,23 +2926,23 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
       if  (cptcovn>0) {
 	fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
 	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-	fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#");
+	fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
 	fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
 	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-	fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#");
+	fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
 	
 	fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
-	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, "# V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-	fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");
+	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
+	fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
 	
 	
-	fprintf(fichtm, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
+	fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
 	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-	fprintf(fichtm, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
+	fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
 	
 	fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
 	for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtab[j1][z1]]);
-	fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#");    
+	fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
       }
       
       for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
@@ -2526,7 +2961,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
     
 	for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
 	  for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
-	    xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
+	    xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
 	  
 	  pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
 	  
@@ -2539,7 +2974,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
 	  }
 	  
 	  for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
-	    xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
+	    xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
     
 	  pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
 	  k=0;
@@ -2551,7 +2986,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
 	  }
      
 	  for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
-	    gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];  
+	    gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
 	}
 
 	for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
@@ -2661,10 +3096,14 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
  		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
-		    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
-		    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"> ",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
-		    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
-		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
+		    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
+ :<a href=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\">\
+%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
+			    subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,\
+			    subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
+		    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
+		    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
+		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
@@ -2672,7 +3111,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
 			    mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
 		  }else{
 		    first=0;
-		    fprintf(fichtm," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
+		    fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
 		    fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",\
@@ -2681,7 +3120,7 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
 		  }/* if first */
 		} /* age mod 5 */
 	      } /* end loop age */
-	      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varpijgr%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\";replot;",optionfilefiname, j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
+	      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.png\";replot;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"varpijgr"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
 	      first=1;
 	    } /*l12 */
 	  } /* k12 */
@@ -2695,8 +3134,8 @@ void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], do
   fclose(ficresprob);
   fclose(ficresprobcov);
   fclose(ficresprobcor);
-  fclose(ficgp);
-  fclose(fichtm);
+  fflush(ficgp);
+  fflush(fichtmcov);
 }
 
 
@@ -2708,19 +3147,20 @@ void printinghtml(char fileres[], char t
 		  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, \
 		  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2){
   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt;
-  /*char optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
-  if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"a"))==NULL)    {
-    printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
-  }
 
-   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files (first order: no variance)</h4>\n
- - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"p%s\">p%s</a> <br>\n
- - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"pij%s\">pij%s</a><br>\n
- - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"pl%s\">pl%s</a> <br>\n
- - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): 
-   <a href=\"e%s\">e%s</a> <br>\n</li>", \
-  jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,fileres,fileres,stepm,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,estepm,fileres,fileres);
+   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files (first order: no variance)</h4>\n \
+ - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n ",
+	   jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirf2(fileres,"p"),subdirf2(fileres,"p"));
+   fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
+	   stepm,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),subdirf2(fileres,"pij"));
+   fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Stable prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+	   subdirf2(fileres,"pl"),subdirf2(fileres,"pl"));
+   fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%2d months): \
+   <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
+	   estepm,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),subdirf2(fileres,"e"));
 
 fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
 
@@ -2738,44 +3178,57 @@ fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b>
        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
      }
      /* Pij */
-     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before: pe%s%d1.png<br>
-<img src=\"pe%s%d1.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);     
+     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: %s%d1.png<br> \
+<img src=\"%s%d1.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1);     
      /* Quasi-incidences */
-     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: pe%s%d2.png<br>
-<img src=\"pe%s%d2.png\">",stepm,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1); 
+     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Pij or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
+ before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too: %s%d2.png<br> \
+<img src=\"%s%d2.png\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jj1); 
        /* Stable prevalence in each health state */
        for(cpt=1; cpt<nlstate;cpt++){
-	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png<br>
-<img src=\"p%s%d%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);
+	 fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Stable prevalence in each health state : p%s%d%d.png<br> \
+<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,jj1);
        }
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
-        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): exp%s%d%d.png <br>
-<img src=\"exp%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);
+        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Health life expectancies by age and initial health state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br> \
+<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,jj1);
      }
-     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and
-health expectancies in states (1) and (2): e%s%d.png<br>
-<img src=\"e%s%d.png\">",strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),jj1);
    } /* end i1 */
  }/* End k1 */
  fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
 
 
- fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n
- - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n
- - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"prob%s\">prob%s</a> <br>\n
- - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcov%s\">probcov%s</a> <br>\n
- - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"probcor%s\">probcor%s</a> <br>\n
- - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"v%s\">v%s</a><br>\n 
- - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"t%s\">t%s</a> <br>\n
- - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"vpl%s\">vpl%s</a> <br>\n",rfileres,rfileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres, estepm, fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
-
- if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n
- - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n
- - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n
-	<br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres);
- else 
-   fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model);
-fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+\n<br><li><h4> Result files (second order: variances)</h4>\n\
+ - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n", rfileres,rfileres);
+
+ fprintf(fichtm," - Variance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+	 subdirf2(fileres,"prob"),subdirf2(fileres,"prob"));
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+	 subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcov"));
+
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+	 subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"),subdirf2(fileres,"probcor"));
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Variances and covariances of life expectancies by age and initial health status (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
+	 estepm, subdirf2(fileres,"v"),subdirf2(fileres,"v"));
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Health expectancies with their variances (no covariance): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
+	 subdirf2(fileres,"t"),subdirf2(fileres,"t"));
+ fprintf(fichtm,"\
+ - Standard deviation of stable prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
+	 subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"));
+
+/*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
+/*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
+/*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
+/* 	<br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
+/*  else  */
+/*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
+ fflush(fichtm);
+ fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
 
  m=cptcoveff;
  if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
@@ -2791,76 +3244,87 @@ fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></
        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
      }
      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
-       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed and stationary prevalence (with confident
-interval) in state (%d): v%s%d%d.png <br>
-<img src=\"v%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1,strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,jj1);  
+       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
+prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): %s%d%d.png <br>\
+<img src=\"%s%d%d.png\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,jj1);  
      }
+     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
+health expectancies in states (1) and (2): %s%d.png<br>\
+<img src=\"%s%d.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),jj1);
    } /* end i1 */
  }/* End k1 */
  fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
-fclose(fichtm);
+ fflush(fichtm);
 }
 
 /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
-void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
+void printinggnuplot(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
 
+  char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
   int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;
   int ng;
-  if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
-  }
+/*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
+/*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
+/*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
+/*   } */
 
   /*#ifdef windows */
-    fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
+  fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
     /*#endif */
-m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
-  
+  m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
+
+  strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
+  strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
  /* 1eme*/
   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
    for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) {
-     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
-     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
+     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"v"),cpt,k1);
+     fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"v%s%d%d.png\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1);
+     fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \n\
+set ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
+set ter png small\n\
+set size 0.65,0.65\n\
+plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }
-     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
+     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Stable prevalence\" w l 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1);
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      } 
-     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"vpl%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-2*$3) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1); 
+     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95\%% CI\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-1.96*$3) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"vpl"),k1-1,k1-1); 
      for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
        if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
        else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
      }  
-     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"p%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
+     fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence \" w l 2",subdirf2(fileres,"p"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
    }
   }
   /*2 eme*/
   
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
-    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"e%s%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),k1);
+    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"e"),k1);
     fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
     
     for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
       k=2*i;
-      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
 	if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
 	else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
       }   
       if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l ,");
       else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l ,",i-1);
-      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2-$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
 	if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
 	else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
       }   
       fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l 0,");
-      fprintf(ficgp,"\"t%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",fileres,k1-1,k1-1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2+$3*2) \"\%%lf",subdirf2(fileres,"t"),k1-1,k1-1);
       for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
 	if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," \%%lf (\%%lf)");
 	else fprintf(ficgp," \%%*lf (\%%*lf)");
@@ -2875,8 +3339,10 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
     for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2);
-      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"exp%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
-      fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"exp"),cpt,k1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"set ter png small\n\
+set size 0.65,0.65\n\
+plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
       /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
 	for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
 	fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
@@ -2886,25 +3352,28 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
 	
       */
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
-	fprintf(ficgp," ,\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);
+	fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);
 	
       } 
     }
   }
   
-  /* CV preval stat */
+  /* CV preval stable (period) */
   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) { 
-    for (cpt=1; cpt<nlstate ; cpt ++) {
+    for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) {
       k=3;
-      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"p%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),cpt,k1);
-      fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,fileres,k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"p"),cpt,k1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
+set ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65\n\
+unset log y\n\
+plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",ageminpar,agemaxpar,subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,k+cpt+1,k+1);
       
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++)
 	fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+i+1);
       fprintf(ficgp,")) t\"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,cpt+1);
       
       l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;
-      fprintf(ficgp,",\"pij%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",fileres,k1,l+cpt+1,l+1);
+      fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",subdirf2(fileres,"pij"),k1,l+cpt+1,l+1);
       for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
 	l=3+(nlstate+ndeath)*cpt;
 	fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",l+i+1);
@@ -2928,7 +3397,7 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
 
    for(ng=1; ng<=2;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is probabilities second is incidence per year*/
      for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++) {
-       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pe%s%d%d.png\" \n",strtok(optionfile, "."),jk,ng); 
+       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%d%d.png\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"pe"),jk,ng); 
        if (ng==2)
 	 fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
        else
@@ -2975,7 +3444,7 @@ m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
        } /* end k2 */
      } /* end jk */
    } /* end ng */
-   fclose(ficgp); 
+   fflush(ficgp); 
 }  /* end gnuplot */
 
 
@@ -3022,21 +3491,23 @@ int movingaverage(double ***probs, doubl
 
 
 /************** Forecasting ******************/
-prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1,double mproj1,double jproj1,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anproj2,double p[], int i2){
-  
-  int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
+prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
+  /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
+     agemin, agemax range of age
+     dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
+     anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
+  */
+  int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, c, cptcod, i, h, i1;
   int *popage;
-  double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
+  double agec; /* generic age */
+  double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat;
   double ***mobaverage;
   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
 
- agelim=AGESUP;
- calagedate=(anproj1+mproj1/12.+jproj1/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
-
-  prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
- 
+  agelim=AGESUP;
+  prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
  
   strcpy(fileresf,"f"); 
   strcat(fileresf,fileres);
@@ -3059,12 +3530,14 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
 
   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
-  
-  agelim=AGESUP;
-  
-  hstepm=1;
+  if(estepm < stepm){
+    printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
+  }
+  else  hstepm=estepm;   
+
   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
-  yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);
+  yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
+                               fractional in yp1 */
   anprojmean=yp;
   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
   mprojmean=yp;
@@ -3072,69 +3545,81 @@ prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
   jprojmean=yp;
   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
+
+  i1=cptcoveff;
+  if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
   
-  fprintf(ficresf,"# Estimated date of observed prevalence: %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean); 
+  fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
   
-  for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
+  fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
+
+/* 	      if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
+  for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
       k=k+1;
       fprintf(ficresf,"\n#******");
       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
-	fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%d, hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
       }
       fprintf(ficresf,"******\n");
-      fprintf(ficresf,"# StartingAge FinalAge");
-      for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficresf," P.%d",j);
-      
-      
-      for (cpt=0; cpt<=(anproj2-anproj1);cpt++) { 
+      fprintf(ficresf,"# Covariate valuofcovar yearproj age");
+      for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
+	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) 	      
+          fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
+	fprintf(ficresf," p.%d",j);
+      }
+      for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) { 
 	fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
-	fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+cpt);   
+	fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
 
-     	for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
-	  nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
+     	for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ 
+	  nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
 	  nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
-	  
 	  p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
 	  oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-	  hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
+	  hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
 	
 	  for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
-	    if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
-	      fprintf(ficresf,"\n %.f %.f ",anproj1+cpt,agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
+	    if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
+              fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
+              for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+                fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	      fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
 	    } 
 	    for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
-	      kk1=0.;kk2=0;
-	      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {	      
+	      ppij=0.;
+	      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
 		if (mobilav==1) 
-		  kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];
+		  ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod];
 		else {
-		  kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
+		  ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod];
 		}
-		
-	      }
-	      if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){
-		fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", kk1);
-	     		
+		if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) {
+		  fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
+		}
+	      } /* end i */
+	      if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) {
+		fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
 	      }
-	    }
-	  }
+	    }/* end j */
+	  } /* end h */
 	  free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-	}
-      }
-    }
-  }
+	} /* end agec */
+      } /* end yearp */
+    } /* end cptcod */
+  } /* end  cptcov */
        
   if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
 
   fclose(ficresf);
 }
-/************** Forecasting ******************/
+
+/************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
 populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){
   
   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h;
   int *popage;
-  double calagedate, agelim, kk1, kk2;
+  double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2;
   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev;
   double ***mobaverage;
@@ -3143,9 +3628,9 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   agelim=AGESUP;
-  calagedate=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
+  calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM;
   
-  prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
+  prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
   
   
   strcpy(filerespop,"pop"); 
@@ -3191,7 +3676,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i];
   }
 
-  for(cptcov=1;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
+  for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){
    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){
       k=k+1;
       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******");
@@ -3206,7 +3691,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) { 
 	fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
 	
-     	for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
+     	for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
 	  nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
 	  nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
 	  
@@ -3215,7 +3700,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 	  hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
 	
 	  for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
-	    if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
+	    if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
 	      fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
 	    } 
 	    for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
@@ -3227,7 +3712,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 		  kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod];
 		}
 	      }
-	      if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)){
+	      if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){
 		tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1;
 		  /*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1);
 		    if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*/
@@ -3238,10 +3723,10 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 		for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
 		  kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]; 
 		}
-		  tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedate+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
+		  tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)];
 	    }
 
-	    if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) 
+	    if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) 
 	      fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]);
 	  }
 	  free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
@@ -3252,7 +3737,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 
       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) { 
 	fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);   
-	for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedate %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedate %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
+	for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){ 
 	  nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); 
 	  nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
 	  
@@ -3260,7 +3745,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 	  oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
 	  hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
 	  for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
-	    if (h==(int) (calagedate+YEARM*cpt)) {
+	    if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) {
 	      fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
 	    } 
 	    for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
@@ -3268,7 +3753,7 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 	      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {	      
 		kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];	
 	      }
-	      if (h==(int)(calagedate+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);	
+	      if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);	
 	    }
 	  }
 	  free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
@@ -3287,8 +3772,220 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
   fclose(ficrespop);
+} /* End of popforecast */
+
+int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
+{
+  if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
+    printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
+    return (0);
+  }
+  fflush(fichier);
+  return (1);
+}
+
+
+/**************** function prwizard **********************/
+void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
+{
+
+  /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
+
+  char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32];
+  int i,j, k, l, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
+  int numlinepar;
+
+  printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+  fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+  for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+    jj=0;
+    for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+      if(j==i) continue;
+      jj++;
+      /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
+      printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+      fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+      for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	/* 	  printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
+	/* 	  fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
+	printf(" 0.");
+	fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
+      }
+      printf("\n");
+      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+    }
+  }
+  printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+  fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+  npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
+  for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+    jj=0;
+    for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+      if(j==i) continue;
+      jj++;
+      fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+      printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+      fflush(stdout);
+      for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	/* 	printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
+	/* 	fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
+	printf(" 0.");
+	fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
+      }
+      numlinepar++;
+      printf("\n");
+      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+    }
+  }
+  printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
+/* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
+/* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
+/* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
+/* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
+/* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
+/* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
+/* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
+/* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
+  fflush(stdout);
+  fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
+  /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
+  /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
+  /* #   ...\n\ */
+  /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
+  
+  for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
+    jj=0;
+    for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+      for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+	if(j==i) continue;
+	for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	  jj++;
+	  ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
+	  if(itimes==1){
+	    printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	    fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	  }else{
+	    printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	    fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	    /* 	printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
+	  }
+	  ll=0;
+	  for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
+	    for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
+	      if(lj==li) continue;
+	      for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
+		ll++;
+		if(ll<=jj){
+		  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
+		  if(ll<jj){
+		    if(itimes==1){
+		      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+		      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+		    }else{
+		      printf(" 0.");
+		      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
+		    }
+		  }else{
+		    if(itimes==1){
+		      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+		      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+		    }else{
+		      printf(" 0.");
+		      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
+		    }
+		  }
+		}
+	      } /* end lk */
+	    } /* end lj */
+	  } /* end li */
+	  printf("\n");
+	  fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+	  numlinepar++;
+	} /* end k*/
+      } /*end j */
+    } /* end i */
+  } /* end itimes */
+
+} /* end of prwizard */
+/******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
+double gompertz(double x[])
+{ 
+  double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
+  int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
+  for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
+    sump=sump+weight[i];
+    sump=sump+1;
+    num=num+1;
+  }
+ 
+ 
+  /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) 
+     if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
+
+  for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++)
+    {
+      if (cens[i]==1 & wav[i]>1)
+	A=-x[1]/(x[2])*
+	  (exp(x[2]/YEARM*(agecens[i]*12-agegomp*12))-exp(x[2]/YEARM*(ageexmed[i]*12-agegomp*12)));
+      
+      if (cens[i]==0 & wav[i]>1)
+	A=-x[1]/(x[2])*
+             (exp(x[2]/YEARM*(agedc[i]*12-agegomp*12))-exp(x[2]/YEARM*(ageexmed[i]*12-agegomp*12)))
+	  +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]/YEARM*(agedc[i]*12-agegomp*12)+log(YEARM);      
+      
+      if (wav[i]>1 & agecens[i]>15) {
+	L=L+A*weight[i];
+	/* 	printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
+      }
+    }
+
+ /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
+ 
+  return -2*L*num/sump;
+}
+
+/******************* Printing html file ***********/
+void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
+		  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
+		  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov){
+  int i;
+
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+  for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
+    fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.png\">");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
+  fflush(fichtm);
 }
 
+/******************* Gnuplot file **************/
+void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
+
+  char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
+  int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l;
+  int ng;
+
+
+  /*#ifdef windows */
+  fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
+    /*#endif */
+
+
+  strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
+  strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n "); 
+  fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
+  fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small\n set log y\n"); 
+  fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n");
+  fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+
+} 
+
+
+
+
 /***********************************************/
 /**************** Main Program *****************/
 /***********************************************/
@@ -3296,7 +3993,15 @@ populforecast(char fileres[], double anp
 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
 {
   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
-  int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size,cptcode, cptcod;
+  int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter,m,size=100,cptcode, cptcod;
+  int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk;
+  int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
+  int itimes;
+  int NDIM=2;
+
+  char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32];
+  /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
+  /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
   double agedeb, agefin,hf;
   double ageminpar=1.e20,agemin=1.e20, agemaxpar=-1.e20, agemax=-1.e20;
 
@@ -3308,16 +4013,19 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double ***mobaverage;
   int *indx;
   char line[MAXLINE], linepar[MAXLINE];
-  char path[80],pathc[80],pathcd[80],pathtot[80],model[80];
+  char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE],model[MAXLINE];
+  char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
   int sdeb, sfin; /* Status at beginning and end */
   int c,  h , cpt,l;
   int ju,jl, mi;
   int i1,j1, k1,k2,k3,jk,aa,bb, stepsize, ij;
   int jnais,jdc,jint4,jint1,jint2,jint3,**outcome,*tab; 
+  int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
   int hstepm, nhstepm;
-  double jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,jpyram, mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1, mpyram1,anpyram1, calagedate;
+  double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
+  double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
 
   double bage, fage, age, agelim, agebase;
   double ftolpl=FTOL;
@@ -3332,23 +4040,54 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
   double *epj, vepp;
   double kk1, kk2;
-  double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2;
-
+  double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
+  double **ximort;
   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4];
-
+  int *dcwave;
 
   char z[1]="c", occ;
-#include <sys/time.h>
-#include <time.h>
+
   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80],modelsav[80];
+  char strstart[80], *strt, strtend[80];
+  char *stratrunc;
+  int lstra;
+
+  long total_usecs;
  
-  /* long total_usecs;
-     struct timeval start_time, end_time;
-  
-     gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
+/*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
+/*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
+/*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
+/*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
+/*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
+
+  /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
+  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);
+  curr_time=start_time;
+  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec);
+  tmg = *gmtime(&start_time.tv_sec);
+  strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tm));
+
+/*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
+/*  tp.tv_sec = tp.tv_sec +86400; */
+/*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tv_sec); */
+/*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
+/*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
+/*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
+/*   tp.tv_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
+/*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
+/*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
+/*  (void) time (&time_value);
+*  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
+*  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
+*  strstart=asctime(&tm);
+*  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
+*/
+
+  nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
+  nbwarn=0;
   getcwd(pathcd, size);
 
-  printf("\n%s",version);
+  printf("\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion);
   if(argc <=1){
     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
     scanf("%s",pathtot);
@@ -3356,15 +4095,27 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   else{
     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
   }
-  /*if(getcwd(pathcd, 80)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
+  /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
 
+  split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+ /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
-  printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+  printf("pathimach=%s, pathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
   chdir(path);
-  replace(pathc,path);
+  strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
+  strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
+  if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
+    printf("Problem creating directory or it already exists %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
+    /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
+    /* fclose(ficlog); */
+/*     exit(1); */
+  }
+/*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
+/*     perror("mkdir"); */
+/*   } */
 
   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
 
@@ -3376,10 +4127,19 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     goto end;
   }
   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s",version);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
-  fprintf(ficlog,"pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s optionfilext=%s optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+  fprintf(ficlog,"\n%s\n%s",version,fullversion);
+  fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
+  fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
+ path=%s \n\
+ optionfile=%s\n\
+ optionfilext=%s\n\
+ optionfilefiname=%s\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
+
+  printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
+  fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
   fflush(ficlog);
+/*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
+/*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec,tmpout)); */
 
   /* */
   strcpy(fileres,"r");
@@ -3391,37 +4151,49 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
     printf("Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile %s\n",optionfile);
+    fflush(ficlog);
     goto end;
   }
 
+
+
   strcpy(filereso,"o");
   strcat(filereso,fileres);
-  if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) {
+  if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
+    fflush(ficlog);
     goto end;
   }
 
   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+  numlinepar=0;
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+    numlinepar++;
     puts(line);
     fputs(line,ficparo);
+    fputs(line,ficlog);
   }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);
 
   fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model);
+  numlinepar++;
   printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
+  fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol,nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
+  fflush(ficlog);
   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+    numlinepar++;
     puts(line);
     fputs(line,ficparo);
+    fputs(line,ficlog);
   }
   ungetc(c,ficpar);
-  
+
    
   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement*/
@@ -3429,126 +4201,174 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
 
   ncovmodel=2+cptcovn; /*Number of variables = cptcovn + intercept + age */
   nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */
-  
-  /* Read guess parameters */
-  /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-    ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
+  npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/
+
+  delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+  delti=delti3[1][1];
+  /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
+  if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
+    prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
+    printf(" You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
+    fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
+    free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
+    fclose (ficparo);
+    fclose (ficlog);
+    exit(0);
   }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
-  
-  param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
-  for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++)
-    for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
-      fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
-      fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
-      if(mle==1)
-	printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-      fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-      for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-	fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
-	if(mle==1){
-	  printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-	  fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-	}
-	else
-	  fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-	fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
-      }
-      fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
-      if(mle==1)
-	printf("\n");
-      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+  else if(mle==-3) {
+    prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
+    printf(" You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
+    fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
+    param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+    matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
+  }
+  else{
+    /* Read guess parameters */
+    /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      numlinepar++;
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+      fputs(line,ficlog);
     }
-  
-  npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/
+    ungetc(c,ficpar);
+    
+    param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+    for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+      j=0;
+      for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
+	if(jj==i) continue;
+	j++;
+	fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
+	if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){
+	  printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
+	  exit(1);
+	}
+	fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+	if(mle==1)
+	  printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+	fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+	for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	  fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
+	  if(mle==1){
+	    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+	    fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+	  }
+	  else
+	    fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+	  fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
+	}
+	fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+	numlinepar++;
+	if(mle==1)
+	  printf("\n");
+	fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+	fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+      }
+    }  
+    fflush(ficlog);
 
-  p=param[1][1];
-  
-  /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+
+    p=param[1][1];
+    
+    /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      numlinepar++;
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+      fputs(line,ficlog);
+    }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
 
-  delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
-  delti=vector(1,npar); /* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */
-  for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-    for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
-      fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
-      printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-      fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
-      for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-	fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
-	printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
-	fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+    for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+      for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
+	fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
+	if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){
+	  printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
+	  exit(1);
+	}
+	printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+	fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+	fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
+	for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	  fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
+	  printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+	  fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+	  fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
+	}
+	fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+	numlinepar++;
+	printf("\n");
+	fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
+	fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
       }
-      fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
-      printf("\n");
-      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
     }
-  }
-  delti=delti3[1][1];
+    fflush(ficlog);
+
+    delti=delti3[1][1];
+
+
+    /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
   
-  /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+    /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      numlinepar++;
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+      fputs(line,ficlog);
+    }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
   
-  matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
-  for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
-    fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
-    if(mle==1)
-      printf("%s",str);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
-    fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
-    for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
-      fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
-      if(mle==1){
-	printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+    matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
+    for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
+      fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str);
+      if(mle==1)
+	printf("%s",str);
+      fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str);
+      fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str);
+      for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
+	fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
+	if(mle==1){
+	  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+	}
 	fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+	fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
       }
-      else
-	fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
-      fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
+      fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+      numlinepar++;
+      if(mle==1)
+	printf("\n");
+      fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+      fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
     }
-    fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
+    for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
+      for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
+	matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
+    
     if(mle==1)
       printf("\n");
     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-    fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
-  }
-  for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
-    for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
-      matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
-   
-  if(mle==1)
-    printf("\n");
-  fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-
-
-  /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/
-  strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
-  strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
-  strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
-  strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
-  if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
-  }
-  fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
     
+    fflush(ficlog);
+    
+    /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
+    strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
+    strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
+    strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
+    strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
+    if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end;
+    }
+    fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
+  }    /* End of mle != -3 */
+
   /*-------- data file ----------*/
   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
     printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end;
@@ -3558,7 +4378,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   n= lastobs;
   severity = vector(1,maxwav);
   outcome=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n);
-  num=ivector(1,n);
+  num=lvector(1,n);
   moisnais=vector(1,n);
   annais=vector(1,n);
   moisdc=vector(1,n);
@@ -3594,10 +4414,16 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
       for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
 	cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); covar[j][i]=(double)(atoi(strb)); strcpy(line,stra);
       } 
-      num[i]=atol(stra);
+      lstra=strlen(stra);
+      if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
+	stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
+	num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
+      }
+      else
+	num[i]=atol(stra);
 	
       /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
-	printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
+	printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
 
       i=i+1;
     }
@@ -3613,9 +4439,13 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     }*/
    /*  for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
      if (s[4][i]==9)  s[4][i]=-1; 
-     printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/
+     printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/
   
+ for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)
  
+   /*if ((s[3][i]==3) ||  (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08;
+     else weight[i]=1;*/
+
   /* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/
   Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */
   Tprod=ivector(1,15); 
@@ -3707,33 +4537,48 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
 
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
-      if ((mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
+      if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
 	anint[m][i]=9999;
 	s[m][i]=-1;
       }
-      if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999 & s[m][i]>nlstate) s[m][i]=-1;
+      if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
+	nberr++;
+	printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);
+	fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results are biased\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i);
+	s[m][i]=-1;
+      }
+      if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
+	nberr++;
+	printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); 
+	fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); 
+	s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
+      }
     }
   }
 
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
-    for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
-      if(s[m][i] >0 || s[m][i]==-2){
+    for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
+      if(s[m][i] >0){
 	if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
 	  if(agedc[i]>0)
-	    if(moisdc[i]!=99 && andc[i]!=9999) agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
+	    if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999)
+	      agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
 	  /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
 	    else {
-	      if (andc[i]!=9999){
-		printf("Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
-		fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %d line:%d\n",num[i],i);
+	      if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
+		nbwarn++;
+		printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
+		fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
 		agev[m][i]=-1;
 	      }
 	    }
 	}
-	else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Should no more exist */
+	else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
+				 years but with the precision of a
+				 month */
 	  agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
-	  if(mint[m][i]==99 || anint[m][i]==9999)
+	  if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
 	    agev[m][i]=1;
 	  else if(agev[m][i] <agemin){ 
 	    agemin=agev[m][i];
@@ -3757,8 +4602,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     
   }
   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
-    for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){
+    for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
+	nberr++;
 	printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);	
 	fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);	
 	goto end;
@@ -3766,9 +4612,18 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
     }
   }
 
+  /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
+  for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
+     printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
+}
+
+}*/
+
+
   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax);
   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); 
 
+  agegomp=(int)agemin;
   free_vector(severity,1,maxwav);
   free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
@@ -3783,8 +4638,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-  
-
+   
   /* Concatenates waves */
   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
 
@@ -3821,10 +4675,72 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
      }
      scanf("%d",i);*/
     
+  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
+  strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
+  if(mle==-3)
+    strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-mort");
+  strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
+
+  if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
+    printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
+  }
+  else{
+    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); 
+    fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
+    fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
+  }
+  /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
+  /*--------- index.htm --------*/
+
+  strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
+  if(mle==-3)
+    strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort");
+  strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
+  if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
+    printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
+  }
+
+  strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
+  strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
+  if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
+    printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
+  }
+  else{
+  fprintf(fichtmcov,"<body>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title>\n <font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
+<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
+Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n",\
+	  fileres,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
+  }
+
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<body>\n<title>IMaCh %s</title>\n <font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
+<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
+Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n\
+\n\
+<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
+ <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
+ - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
+ - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
+ - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
+ - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
+	  fileres,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
+	  fileres,fileres,\
+	  filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
+  fflush(fichtm);
+
+  strcpy(pathr,path);
+  strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
+  chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
+  
   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age
      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
+  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);
 
-    pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
+  fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
+Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
+Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
+	  imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
+  pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
     oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
     newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
     savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
@@ -3835,22 +4751,115 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
 
-  if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */
-    mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
-  }
+  globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
+  if (mle==-3){
+    ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
+    cens=ivector(1,n);
+    ageexmed=vector(1,n);
+    agecens=vector(1,n);
+    dcwave=ivector(1,n);
+ 
+    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
+      dcwave[i]=-1;
+      for (j=1; j<=lastpass; j++)
+	if (s[j][i]>nlstate) {
+	  dcwave[i]=j;
+	  /*	printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
+	  break;
+	}
+    }
+
+    for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
+      if (wav[i]>0){
+	ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
+	j=wav[i];agecens[i]=1.; 
+	if (ageexmed[i]>1 & wav[i]>0) agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
+	cens[i]=1;
+	
+	if (ageexmed[i]<1) cens[i]=-1;
+	if (agedc[i]< AGESUP & agedc[i]>1 & dcwave[i]>firstpass & dcwave[i]<=lastpass) cens[i]=0 ;
+      }
+      else cens[i]=-1;
+    }
     
-  /*--------- results files --------------*/
-  fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
-  
+    for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
+      for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
+	ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
+    }
 
-  jk=1;
-  fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
-  printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
-  fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
-  for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-    for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
-      if (k != i) 
-	{
+    p[1]=0.1; p[2]=0.1;
+    /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
+    
+    
+  printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
+  strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort"); 
+  strcat(filerespow,fileres);
+  if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
+    printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
+  }
+  fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
+  /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
+    for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+      if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
+  */
+  fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
+
+    powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
+    fclose(ficrespow);
+    
+    hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM,delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
+
+    for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
+      for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
+	matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
+    
+    printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
+    for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
+      for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
+	printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
+      }
+      printf("\n ");
+    }
+    
+    printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
+    for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) 
+      printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
+    replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
+    printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
+    
+    printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
+		     stepm, weightopt,\
+		     model,imx,p,matcov);
+  } /* Endof if mle==-3 */
+
+  else{ /* For mle >=1 */
+  
+    likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
+    printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+    for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+      printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+    printf("\n");
+    globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */
+    likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
+    printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
+    for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
+      printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
+    printf("\n");
+    if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */
+      mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
+    }
+    
+    /*--------- results files --------------*/
+    fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
+    
+    
+    fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+    printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+    fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
+    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+      for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
+	if (k != i) {
 	  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
 	  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
 	  fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
@@ -3864,525 +4873,586 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[])
 	  fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
 	  fprintf(ficres,"\n");
 	}
+      }
     }
-  }
-  if(mle==1){
-    /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
-    ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
-    hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
-  }
-  fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-  printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-  fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
-  for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
-    for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
-      if (j!=i) {
-	fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-	printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
-	fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
-	for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
-	  printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
-	  fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
-	  fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
-	  jk++;
+    if(mle!=0){
+      /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */
+      ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
+      hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
+    }
+    fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+    printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+    fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
+    for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+      for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+	if (j!=i) {
+	  fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+	  printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
+	  fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
+	  for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	    printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
+	    fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
+	    fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
+	    jk++;
+	  }
+	  printf("\n");
+	  fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+	  fprintf(ficres,"\n");
 	}
-	printf("\n");
-	fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-	fprintf(ficres,"\n");
       }
     }
-  }
-   
-  fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-  if(mle==1)
-    printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-  fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
-  for(i=1,k=1;i<=npar;i++){
-    /*  if (k>nlstate) k=1;
-	i1=(i-1)/(ncovmodel*nlstate)+1; 
-	fprintf(ficres,"%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
-	printf("%s%d%d",alph[k],i1,tab[i]);
+    
+    fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+    if(mle>=1)
+      printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+    fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
+    /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
+    /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
+    /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
+    /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
+    /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
+    /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
+    /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
+    /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
+    
+    
+    /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
+       even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
     */
-    fprintf(ficres,"%3d",i);
-    if(mle==1)
-      printf("%3d",i);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"%3d",i);
-    for(j=1; j<=i;j++){
-      fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
-      if(mle==1)
-	printf(" %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
-      fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[i][j]);
+    for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
+      jj=0;
+      for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
+	for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
+	  if(j==i) continue;
+	  for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
+	    jj++;
+	    ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
+	    if(itimes==1){
+	      if(mle>=1)
+		printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	      fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	      fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	    }else{
+	      if(mle>=1)
+		printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	      fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	      fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
+	    }
+	    ll=0;
+	    for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
+	      for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
+		if(lj==li) continue;
+		for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
+		  ll++;
+		  if(ll<=jj){
+		    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
+		    if(ll<jj){
+		      if(itimes==1){
+			if(mle>=1)
+			  printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+			fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+			fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
+		      }else{
+			if(mle>=1)
+			  printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+			fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+			fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+		      }
+		    }else{
+		      if(itimes==1){
+			if(mle>=1)
+			  printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+			fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+			fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
+		      }else{
+			if(mle>=1)
+			  printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+			fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+			fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
+		      }
+		    }
+		  }
+		} /* end lk */
+	      } /* end lj */
+	    } /* end li */
+	    if(mle>=1)
+	      printf("\n");
+	    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
+	    fprintf(ficres,"\n");
+	    numlinepar++;
+	  } /* end k*/
+	} /*end j */
+      } /* end i */
+    } /* end itimes */
+    
+    fflush(ficlog);
+    fflush(ficres);
+    
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
     }
-    fprintf(ficres,"\n");
-    if(mle==1)
-      printf("\n");
-    fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
-    k++;
-  }
-   
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
-
-  estepm=0;
-  fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
-  if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
-  if (fage <= 2) {
-    bage = ageminpar;
-    fage = agemaxpar;
-  }
-   
-  fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
-  fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
-  fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
-   
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
-    ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
-  
-  fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
-  fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-  fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
-   
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+    
+    estepm=0;
+    fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm);
+    if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
+    if (fage <= 2) {
+      bage = ageminpar;
+      fage = agemaxpar;
+    }
+    
+    fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
+    fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
+    fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm);
+    
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+    }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
- 
-
-  dateprev1=anprev1+mprev1/12.+jprev1/365.;
-  dateprev2=anprev2+mprev2/12.+jprev2/365.;
-
-  fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
-  fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
-  fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
-  
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+    
+    fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
+    fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
+    fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
+    printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
+    
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+    }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
-
-  fscanf(ficpar,"starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2);
-  fprintf(ficparo,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);
-  fprintf(ficres,"starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2);
-
-
-  while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+    
+    
+    dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
+    dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
+    
+    fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
+    fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
+    fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
+    
+    while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
+      ungetc(c,ficpar);
+      fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
+      puts(line);
+      fputs(line,ficparo);
+    }
     ungetc(c,ficpar);
-    fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
-    puts(line);
-    fputs(line,ficparo);
-  }
-  ungetc(c,ficpar);
-
-  fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1);
-  fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
-  fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);
-
-
-  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);
-
-  /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/
-  strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
-  strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
-  if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
-  }
-  else{
-    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# %s\n", version); 
-    fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
-    fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
-  }
-  fclose(ficgp);
-  printinggnuplot(fileres, ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
-  /*--------- index.htm --------*/
-
-  strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfile);
-  strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
-  if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
-    printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0);
-  }
-
-  fprintf(fichtm,"<body> <font size=\"2\">%s </font> <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n
-Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=%s<br>\n
-\n
-Total number of observations=%d <br>\n
-Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n
-<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">
- <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n
- - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n
- - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n
- - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a></ul>\n",version,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,fileres,fileres,filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot);
-  fclose(fichtm);
-
-  printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
- 
-  /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
-  chdir(path);
+    
+    fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
+    fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+    printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+    fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
+    /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
+    
+    
+    
+    /*  freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/
+    /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
+    
+    replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
+    printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
+    
+    printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\
+		 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\
+		 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2);
+      
+   /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
+   /*  chdir(path); */
  
-  free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
-  free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-  free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
-  free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);   
-  free_ivector(num,1,n);
-  free_vector(agedc,1,n);
-  /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
-  /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
-  fclose(ficparo);
-  fclose(ficres);
-
-
-  /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (stable prevalence) --------------*/
-  
-  strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
-  strcat(filerespl,fileres);
-  if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
-  }
-  printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
-  fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n");
-  fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
-  for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
-  fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
-  
-  prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
-
-  agebase=ageminpar;
-  agelim=agemaxpar;
-  ftolpl=1.e-10;
-  i1=cptcoveff;
-  if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
-
-  for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-      k=k+1;
-      /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
-      fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
-      printf("\n#******");
-      fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
-	fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-	printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-	fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      }
-      fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
-      printf("******\n");
-      fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
+    free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
+    free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
+    free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);
+    free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx);   
+    free_lvector(num,1,n);
+    free_vector(agedc,1,n);
+    /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
+    /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
+    fclose(ficparo);
+    fclose(ficres);
+
+
+    /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (stable prevalence) --------------*/
+  
+    strcpy(filerespl,"pl");
+    strcat(filerespl,fileres);
+    if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end;
+    }
+    printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
+    fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n");
+    fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
+    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
+    fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+  
+    prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
+
+    agebase=ageminpar;
+    agelim=agemaxpar;
+    ftolpl=1.e-10;
+    i1=cptcoveff;
+    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
+
+    for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+	k=k+1;
+	/*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/
+	fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******");
+	printf("\n#******");
+	fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
+	  fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	  printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	  fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	}
+	fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
+	printf("******\n");
+	fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
 	
-      for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
-	prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
-	fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f",age );
-	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-	  fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
-	fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+	for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
+	  prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
+	  fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
+	  for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
+	    fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	  for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+	    fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
+	  fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
+	}
       }
     }
-  }
-  fclose(ficrespl);
+    fclose(ficrespl);
 
-  /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
+    /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
   
-  strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
-  if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
-  }
-  printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
+    strcpy(filerespij,"pij");  strcat(filerespij,fileres);
+    if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end;
+    }
+    printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
   
-  stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
-  /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
+    stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
+    /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
 
-  agelim=AGESUP;
-  hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
-  hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
+    agelim=AGESUP;
+    hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
+    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
 
-  /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
+    /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
 
-  for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-      k=k+1;
-      fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
-	fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
+    fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
+    for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+	k=k+1;
+	fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+	  fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
 	
-      for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
-	nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
-	nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
+	for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
+	  nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
+	  nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
 
-	/*	  nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
+	  /*	  nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
 
-	p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-	hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
-	fprintf(ficrespij,"# Age");
-	for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-	  for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
-	    fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
-	fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
-	for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
-	  fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %f %f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
+	  p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
+	  oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+	  hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);  
+	  fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
 	  for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
 	    for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
-	      fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
+	      fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
+	  fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
+	  for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
+	    fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
+	    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+	      for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
+		fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
+	    fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
+	  }
+	  free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
 	  fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
 	}
-	free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
-	fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
       }
     }
-  }
 
-  varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, (int) bage, (int) fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
+    varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax);
 
-  fclose(ficrespij);
+    fclose(ficrespij);
 
-
-  /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
-   if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){
-    prevforecast(fileres, anproj1,mproj1,jproj1, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anproj2,p, i1);
-    if (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);
-  } 
-  else{
-    erreur=108;
-    printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model);
+    probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+    for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
+      for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++)
+	for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++)
+	  probs[i][j][k]=0.;
+
+    /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
+    /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
+    if(prevfcast==1){
+      /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
+      prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
+      /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/
+      /*      }  */
+      /*      else{ */
+      /*        erreur=108; */
+      /*        printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
+      /*        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n  has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */
+      /*      } */
     }
   
 
-  /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
-
-  strcpy(filerest,"t");
-  strcat(filerest,fileres);
-  if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
-  }
-  printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
-  fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
-
-
-  strcpy(filerese,"e");
-  strcat(filerese,fileres);
-  if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
-  }
-  printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
-
-
-  strcpy(fileresv,"v");
-  strcat(fileresv,fileres);
-  if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
-  }
-  printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
-  fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
-
-  calagedate=-1;
-
-  prevalence(ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,dateprev1,dateprev2, calagedate);
+    /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/
+
+    strcpy(filerest,"t");
+    strcat(filerest,fileres);
+    if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
+    }
+    printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); 
+
+
+    strcpy(filerese,"e");
+    strcat(filerese,fileres);
+    if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
+    }
+    printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese);
+
+    strcpy(fileresv,"v");
+    strcat(fileresv,fileres);
+    if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
+      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
+    }
+    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv);
+
+    /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */
+    prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
+    /*  printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d,  mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\
+	ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
+    */
 
-  if (mobilav!=0) {
-    mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-    if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
-      fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
-      printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+    if (mobilav!=0) {
+      mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+      if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){
+	fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+	printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
+      }
     }
-  }
 
-  for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-      k=k+1; 
-      fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
-	fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
-
-      fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
-	fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
-
-      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
-	fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
-
-      eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-      oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-      evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);  
+    for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+	k=k+1; 
+	fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** ");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+	  fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
+
+	fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+	  fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
+
+	fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+	  fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
+
+	eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+	evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov);  
  
-      vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-      oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-      varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav);
-      if(popbased==1){
-	varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav);
-      }
+	vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+	varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav);
+	if(popbased==1){
+	  varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav);
+	}
 
  
-      fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
-      for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
-      fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
-
-      epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
-      for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
-	prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
-	if (popbased==1) {
-	  if(mobilav ==0){
-	    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-	      prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
-	  }else{ /* mobilav */ 
-	    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
-	      prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
+	fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) ");
+	for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
+	fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
+
+	epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
+	for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
+	  prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k);
+	  if (popbased==1) {
+	    if(mobilav ==0){
+	      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+		prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
+	    }else{ /* mobilav */ 
+	      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
+		prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
+	    }
 	  }
-	}
 	
-	fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
-	for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
-	  for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
-	    epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
-	    /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
+	  fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age);
+	  for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
+	    for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
+	      epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
+	      /*  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
+	    }
+	    epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
 	  }
-	  epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
-	}
 
-	for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
-	  for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
-	    vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
-	fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
-	for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
-	  fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
+	  for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
+	    for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
+	      vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
+	  fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
+	  for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
+	    fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
+	  }
+	  fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
 	}
-	fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
-      }
-      free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
-      free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
-      free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
-    }
-  }
-  free_vector(weight,1,n);
-  free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2);
-  free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
-  free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
-  free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
-  free_ivector(cod,1,n);
-  free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
-  fclose(ficreseij);
-  fclose(ficresvij);
-  fclose(ficrest);
-  fclose(ficpar);
-  
-  /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/   
-
-  strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
-  strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
-  if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
-    printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
-    exit(0);
-  }
-  printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
-
-  for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
-    for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
-      k=k+1;
-      fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
-      for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
-	fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
-      fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
+	free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+	free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+	free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
+      }
+    }
+    free_vector(weight,1,n);
+    free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2);
+    free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
+    free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
+    free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
+    free_ivector(cod,1,n);
+    free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
+    fclose(ficreseij);
+    fclose(ficresvij);
+    fclose(ficrest);
+    fclose(ficpar);
+  
+    /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/   
+
+    strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl");
+    strcat(fileresvpl,fileres);
+    if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
+      printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
+      exit(0);
+    }
+    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl);
+
+    for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
+      for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
+	k=k+1;
+	fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
+	for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
+	  fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]);
+	fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
       
-      varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
-      oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
-      varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
-      free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+	varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
+	oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
+	varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k);
+	free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
+      }
     }
-  }
 
-  fclose(ficresvpl);
-
-  /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
-  free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-  free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-  free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-  free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
-  
-  free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
-  free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
-  free_vector(delti,1,npar);
-  free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
-  free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
-  if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
-  free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8);
-  free_ivector(Tvar,1,15);
-  free_ivector(Tprod,1,15);
-  free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15);
-  free_ivector(Tage,1,15);
-  free_ivector(Tcode,1,100);
+    fclose(ficresvpl);
 
-  fprintf(fichtm,"\n</body>");
-  fclose(fichtm);
-  fclose(ficgp);
+    /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
+    if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+    free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX);
+
+  }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
+    free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+    free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+    free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
+    free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
   
+    free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
+    free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
+    /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
+    free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
+    free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
+    free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
+
+    free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8);
+    free_ivector(Tvar,1,15);
+    free_ivector(Tprod,1,15);
+    free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15);
+    free_ivector(Tage,1,15);
+    free_ivector(Tcode,1,100);
 
-  if(erreur >0){
-    printf("End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);
-    fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with error or warning %d\n",erreur);
+
+  fflush(fichtm);
+  fflush(ficgp);
+  
+
+  if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
+    printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings\n",nberr,nbwarn);
+    fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d\n",nberr,nbwarn);
   }else{
-   printf("End of Imach\n");
-   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
+    printf("End of Imach\n");
+    fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
   }
   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
-  fclose(ficlog);
   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
-  
-  /* printf("Total time was %d Sec. %d uSec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec, end_time.tv_usec -start_time.tv_usec);*/
-  /*printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
+  (void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);
+  tm = *localtime(&end_time.tv_sec);
+  tmg = *gmtime(&end_time.tv_sec);
+  strcpy(strtend,asctime(&tm));
+  printf("Local time at start %s\nLocaltime at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
+  fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
+  printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));
+
+  printf("Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);
+  fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec,tmpout));
+  fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %d Sec.\n", end_time.tv_sec -start_time.tv_sec);
+  /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
+/*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
+  fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>",strstart, strtend);
+  fclose(fichtm);
+  fclose(fichtmcov);
+  fclose(ficgp);
+  fclose(ficlog);
   /*------ End -----------*/
 
-  end:
-#ifdef windows
-  /* chdir(pathcd);*/
-#endif 
- /*system("wgnuplot graph.plt");*/
- /*system("../gp37mgw/wgnuplot graph.plt");*/
- /*system("cd ../gp37mgw");*/
- /* system("..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot graph.plt");*/
-  strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
+  chdir(path);
+  strcpy(plotcmd,"\"");
+  strcat(plotcmd,pathimach);
+  strcat(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
+  strcat(plotcmd,"\"");
   strcat(plotcmd," ");
   strcat(plotcmd,optionfilegnuplot);
-  printf("Starting: %s\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
-  system(plotcmd);
-
- /*#ifdef windows*/
+  printf("Starting graphs with: %s",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
+  if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
+    printf(" Problem with gnuplot\n");
+  }
+  printf(" Wait...");
   while (z[0] != 'q') {
     /* chdir(path); */
-    printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again, c to start again, and q for exiting: ");
+    printf("\nType e to edit output files, g to graph again and q for exiting: ");
     scanf("%s",z);
-    if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach");
-    else if (z[0] == 'e') system(optionfilehtm);
+/*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
+    if (z[0] == 'e') {
+      printf("Starting browser with: %s",optionfilehtm);fflush(stdout);
+      system(optionfilehtm);
+    }
     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
   }
-  /*#endif */
+  end:
+  while (z[0] != 'q') {
+    printf("\nType  q for exiting: ");
+    scanf("%s",z);
+  }
 }
 
 
+