--- imach/src/imach.c 2004/02/20 13:25:42 1.97 +++ imach/src/imach.c 2004/05/16 15:05:56 1.98 @@ -1,6 +1,28 @@ -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.97 2004/02/20 13:25:42 lievre Exp $ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.98 2004/05/16 15:05:56 brouard Exp $ $State: Exp $ $Log: imach.c,v $ + Revision 1.98 2004/05/16 15:05:56 brouard + New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality + directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health + state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age . + This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any + other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the + cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated + from other sources like vital statistic data. + + The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3. + + Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the + former routines in order to include the new code within the former code. + + The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of + the slope with 95% confident intervals. + + Current limitations: + A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the + model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates. + B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table. + Revision 1.97 2004/02/20 13:25:42 lievre Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily) suppressed. @@ -201,6 +223,7 @@ #define YEARM 12. /* Number of months per year */ #define AGESUP 130 #define AGEBASE 40 +#define AGEGOMP 10. /* Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */ #ifdef unix #define DIRSEPARATOR '/' #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\' @@ -209,11 +232,11 @@ #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/' #endif -/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.97 2004/02/20 13:25:42 lievre Exp $ */ +/* $Id: imach.c,v 1.98 2004/05/16 15:05:56 brouard Exp $ */ /* $State: Exp $ */ -char version[]="Imach version 0.96d, February 2004, INED-EUROREVES "; -char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.97 $ $Date: 2004/02/20 13:25:42 $"; +char version[]="Imach version 0.70, May 2004, INED-EUROREVES "; +char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.98 $ $Date: 2004/05/16 15:05:56 $"; int erreur, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings */ int nvar; int cptcovn=0, cptcovage=0, cptcoveff=0,cptcov; @@ -242,6 +265,7 @@ int globpr; /* Global variable for print double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ long ipmx; /* Number of contributions */ double sw; /* Sum of weights */ +char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH]; char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */ FILE *ficresilk; FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor; @@ -304,9 +328,10 @@ static double maxarg1,maxarg2; static double sqrarg; #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg) #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} +int agegomp= AGEGOMP; int imx; -int stepm; +int stepm=1; /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/ int estepm; @@ -314,9 +339,10 @@ int estepm; int m,nb; long *num; -int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage; +int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *ncodemax, *Tage,*cens; double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint; double **pmmij, ***probs; +double *ageexmed,*agecens; double dateintmean=0; double *weight; @@ -829,9 +855,10 @@ void powell(double p[], double **xi, int last_time=curr_time; (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec);fflush(stdout); - fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); + /* fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, curr_time.tv_sec-last_time.tv_sec, curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tv_sec-start_time.tv_sec); - for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { + */ + for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { printf(" %d %.12f",i, p[i]); fprintf(ficlog," %d %.12lf",i, p[i]); fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]); @@ -1516,7 +1543,7 @@ void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], in double **xi; double fret; double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */ - char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH]; + /* char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/ xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) @@ -1551,11 +1578,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] int i, j,jk; int *indx; - double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]); - double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j); + double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar); + double hessij(double p[], double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar); void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ; void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ; - + double gompertz(double p[]); hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n"); @@ -1563,9 +1590,11 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog); - hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti); - /*printf(" %f ",p[i]);*/ - /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][i]);*/ + + hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar); + + /* printf(" %f ",p[i]); + printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/ } for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { @@ -1573,7 +1602,8 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] if (j>i) { printf(".%d%d",i,j);fflush(stdout); fprintf(ficlog,".%d%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog); - hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j); + hess[i][j]=hessij(p,delti,i,j,func,npar); + hess[j][i]=hess[i][j]; /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/ } @@ -1644,14 +1674,14 @@ void hesscov(double **matcov, double p[] } /*************** hessian matrix ****************/ -double hessii( double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[]) +double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar) { int i; int l=1, lmax=20; double k1,k2; double p2[NPARMAX+1]; double res; - double delt, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; + double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; double fx; int k=0,kmax=10; double l1; @@ -1691,7 +1721,7 @@ double hessii( double x[], double delta, } -double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj) +double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) { int i; int l=1, l1, lmax=20; @@ -3867,6 +3897,82 @@ void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate } /* end itimes */ } /* end of prwizard */ +/******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/ +double gompertz(double x[]) +{ + double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.; + int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */ + for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) { + sump=sump+weight[i]; + sump=sump+1; + num=num+1; + } + + + /* for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) + if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/ + + for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) + { + if (cens[i]==1 & wav[i]>1) + A=-x[1]/(x[2])* + (exp(x[2]/YEARM*(agecens[i]*12-agegomp*12))-exp(x[2]/YEARM*(ageexmed[i]*12-agegomp*12))); + + if (cens[i]==0 & wav[i]>1) + A=-x[1]/(x[2])* + (exp(x[2]/YEARM*(agedc[i]*12-agegomp*12))-exp(x[2]/YEARM*(ageexmed[i]*12-agegomp*12))) + +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]/YEARM*(agedc[i]*12-agegomp*12)+log(YEARM); + + if (wav[i]>1 & agecens[i]>15) { + L=L+A*weight[i]; + /* printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/ + } + } + + /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/ + + return -2*L*num/sump; +} + +/******************* Printing html file ***********/ +void printinghtmlmort(char fileres[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \ + int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\ + int imx, double p[],double **matcov){ + int i; + + fprintf(fichtm,""); + fflush(fichtm); +} + +/******************* Gnuplot file **************/ +void printinggnuplotmort(char fileres[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){ + + char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132]; + int m,cpt,k1,i,k,j,jk,k2,k3,ij,l; + int ng; + + + /*#ifdef windows */ + fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc); + /*#endif */ + + + strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname); + strcpy(optfileres,"vpl"); + fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.png\"\n "); + fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); + fprintf(ficgp, "set ter png small\n set log y\n"); + fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); + fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp); + +} + + /***********************************************/ @@ -3880,6 +3986,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) int jj, ll, li, lj, lk, imk; int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */ int itimes; + int NDIM=2; char ca[32], cb[32], cc[32]; /* FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */ @@ -3923,9 +4030,9 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) double *epj, vepp; double kk1, kk2; double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000; - + double **ximort; char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]; - + int *dcwave; char z[1]="c", occ; @@ -4081,163 +4188,174 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) ncovmodel=2+cptcovn; /*Number of variables = cptcovn + intercept + age */ nvar=ncovmodel-1; /* Suppressing age as a basic covariate */ - + npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ + + delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + delti=delti3[1][1]; + /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/ if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */ prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo); printf(" You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); fclose (ficparo); fclose (ficlog); exit(0); } - /* Read guess parameters */ - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ - ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - numlinepar++; - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - fputs(line,ficlog); + else if(mle==-3) { + prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo); + printf(" You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + fprintf(ficlog," You choose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso); + param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - j=0; - for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ - if(jj==i) continue; - j++; - fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); - if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){ - printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); - exit(1); - } - fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); - if(mle==1) - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - fscanf(ficpar," %lf",¶m[i][j][k]); - if(mle==1){ - printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - } - else - fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); - } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + else{ + /* Read guess parameters */ + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); numlinepar++; - if(mle==1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); } - } - fflush(ficlog); + ungetc(c,ficpar); + + param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + j=0; + for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ + if(jj==i) continue; + j++; + fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1 != i) && (j1 != j)){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + if(mle==1) + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + fscanf(ficpar," %lf",¶m[i][j][k]); + if(mle==1){ + printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + } + else + fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); + } + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + if(mle==1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + } + } + fflush(ficlog); - npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ - p=param[1][1]; - - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + p=param[1][1]; + + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - numlinepar++; - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - fputs(line,ficlog); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - /* delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov) */ - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); - if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){ - printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); - exit(1); - } - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]); - printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); - fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1); + if ((i1-i)*(j1-j)!=0){ + printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1); + exit(1); + } + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]); + printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); + } + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); - numlinepar++; - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); } - } - fflush(ficlog); + fflush(ficlog); - delti=delti3[1][1]; + delti=delti3[1][1]; - /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */ + /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */ - /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */ + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + numlinepar++; + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + fputs(line,ficlog); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - numlinepar++; - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - fputs(line,ficlog); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); - for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){ - fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str); - if(mle==1) - printf("%s",str); - fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str); - fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str); - for(j=1; j <=i; j++){ - fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]); - if(mle==1){ - printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); + for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){ + fscanf(ficpar,"%s",&str); + if(mle==1) + printf("%s",str); + fprintf(ficlog,"%s",str); + fprintf(ficparo,"%s",str); + for(j=1; j <=i; j++){ + fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]); + if(mle==1){ + printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + } + fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); } - fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); - fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]); + fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + if(mle==1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); } - fscanf(ficpar,"\n"); - numlinepar++; + for(i=1; i <=npar; i++) + for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++) + matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; + if(mle==1) printf("\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficparo,"\n"); - } - for(i=1; i <=npar; i++) - for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++) - matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; - - if(mle==1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - - fflush(ficlog); - - /*-------- Rewriting paramater file ----------*/ - strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */ - strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name*/ - strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */ - strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */ - if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; - } - fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version); + fflush(ficlog); + + /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/ + strcpy(rfileres,"r"); /* "Rparameterfile */ + strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname); /* Parameter file first name*/ + strcat(rfileres,"."); /* */ + strcat(rfileres,optionfilext); /* Other files have txt extension */ + if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", fileres);goto end; + } + fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version); + } /* End of mle != -3 */ + /*-------- data file ----------*/ if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with datafile: %s\n", datafile);goto end; @@ -4492,6 +4610,7 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); + agegomp=(int)agemin; free_vector(severity,1,maxwav); free_imatrix(outcome,1,maxwav+1,1,n); free_vector(moisnais,1,n); @@ -4545,7 +4664,10 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) /*------------ gnuplot -------------*/ strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname); + if(mle==-3) + strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-mort"); strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp"); + if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); } @@ -4558,6 +4680,8 @@ int main(int argc, char *argv[]) /*--------- index.htm --------*/ strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */ + if(mle==-3) + strcat(optionfilehtm,"-mort"); strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm"); if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL) { printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm), exit(0); @@ -4615,567 +4739,643 @@ Interval (in months) between two waves: p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */ globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/ - likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ - printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); - for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) - printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); - printf("\n"); - globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */ - likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ - printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); - for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) - printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); - printf("\n"); - if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */ - mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func); + if (mle==-3){ + ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); + cens=ivector(1,n); + ageexmed=vector(1,n); + agecens=vector(1,n); + dcwave=ivector(1,n); + + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ + dcwave[i]=-1; + for (j=1; j<=lastpass; j++) + if (s[j][i]>nlstate) { + dcwave[i]=j; + /* printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/ + break; + } + } + + for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { + if (wav[i]>0){ + ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i]; + j=wav[i];agecens[i]=1.; + if (ageexmed[i]>1 & wav[i]>0) agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i]; + cens[i]=1; + + if (ageexmed[i]<1) cens[i]=-1; + if (agedc[i]< AGESUP & agedc[i]>1 & dcwave[i]>firstpass & dcwave[i]<=lastpass) cens[i]=0 ; + } + else cens[i]=-1; + } + + for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) { + for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++) + ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0); + } + + p[1]=0.1; p[2]=0.1; + /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/ + + + printf("Powell\n"); fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n"); + strcpy(filerespow,"pow-mort"); + strcat(filerespow,fileres); + if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow); } + fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL"); + /* for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j); + */ + fprintf(ficrespow,"\n"); + + powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz); + fclose(ficrespow); - /*--------- results files --------------*/ - fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); - + hesscov(matcov, p, NDIM,delti, 1e-4, gompertz); - fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); - for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){ - if (k != i) { - printf("%d%d ",i,k); - fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k); - fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k); - for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){ - printf("%f ",p[jk]); - fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",p[jk]); - fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]); - jk++; - } - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"\n"); + for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) + for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++) + matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i]; + + printf("\nCovariance matrix\n "); + for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) { + for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ + printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]); } + printf("\n "); } - } - if(mle!=0){ - /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */ - ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */ - hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func); - } - fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); - for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ - for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ - if (j!=i) { - fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j); - printf("%1d%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]); - fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]); - jk++; + + printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp); + for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) + printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i])); + replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */ + printinggnuplotmort(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); + + printinghtmlmort(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \ + stepm, weightopt,\ + model,imx,p,matcov); + } /* Endof if mle==-3 */ + + else{ /* For mle >=1 */ + + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); + globpr=1; /* to print the contributions */ + likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */ + printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw); + for (k=1; k<=npar;k++) + printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]); + printf("\n"); + if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2 */ + mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func); + } + + /*--------- results files --------------*/ + fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model); + + + fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n"); + for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){ + if (k != i) { + printf("%d%d ",i,k); + fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k); + fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k); + for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){ + printf("%f ",p[jk]); + fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",p[jk]); + fprintf(ficres,"%f ",p[jk]); + jk++; + } + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"\n"); } - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"\n"); } } - } - - fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); - if(mle>=1) - printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); -/* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */ -/* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */ -/* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */ -/* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */ -/* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */ -/* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */ -/* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */ -/* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */ - - -/* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable - even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables -*/ - for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){ - jj=0; - for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + if(mle!=0){ + /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix */ + ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */ + hesscov(matcov, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func); + } + fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n"); + for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ - if(j==i) continue; - for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ - jj++; - ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0'; - if(itimes==1){ - if(mle>=1) - printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); - fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); - fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); - }else{ - if(mle>=1) - printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); - fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); - fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + if (j!=i) { + fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j); + printf("%1d%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j); + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]); + jk++; } - ll=0; - for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){ - for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){ - if(lj==li) continue; - for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){ - ll++; - if(ll<=jj){ - cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0'; - if(ll=1) - printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); - fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); - fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); - }else{ - if(mle>=1) - printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); - fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); - } - }else{ - if(itimes==1){ - if(mle>=1) - printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); - fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); - fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"\n"); + } + } + } + + fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + if(mle>=1) + printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n# ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n"); + /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */ + /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */ + /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */ + /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */ + /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */ + /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */ + /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */ + /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */ + + + /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable + even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables + */ + for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){ + jj=0; + for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){ + for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){ + if(j==i) continue; + for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){ + jj++; + ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0'; + if(itimes==1){ + if(mle>=1) + printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k); + } + ll=0; + for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){ + for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){ + if(lj==li) continue; + for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){ + ll++; + if(ll<=jj){ + cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0'; + if(ll=1) + printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + } }else{ - if(mle>=1) - printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); - fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); - fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + if(itimes==1){ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j); + }else{ + if(mle>=1) + printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); + } } } - } - } /* end lk */ - } /* end lj */ - } /* end li */ - if(mle>=1) - printf("\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"\n"); - numlinepar++; - } /* end k*/ - } /*end j */ - } /* end i */ - } /* end itimes */ - - fflush(ficlog); - fflush(ficres); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ - ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - estepm=0; - fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); - if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm; - if (fage <= 2) { - bage = ageminpar; - fage = agemaxpar; - } - - fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n"); - fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); - fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + } /* end lk */ + } /* end lj */ + } /* end li */ + if(mle>=1) + printf("\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"\n"); + numlinepar++; + } /* end k*/ + } /*end j */ + } /* end i */ + } /* end itimes */ + + fflush(ficlog); + fflush(ficres); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav); - fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + estepm=0; + fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); + if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm; + if (fage <= 2) { + bage = ageminpar; + fage = agemaxpar; + } + + fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n"); + fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); + fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - - dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.; - dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.; - - fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased); - fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav); + fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); - /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ - - while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + + + dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.; + dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.; + + fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased); + fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased); + + while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ + ungetc(c,ficpar); + fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); + puts(line); + fputs(line,ficparo); + } ungetc(c,ficpar); - fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); - puts(line); - fputs(line,ficparo); - } - ungetc(c,ficpar); - - /* fscanf(ficpar,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf last-popfiledate=%lf/%lf/%lf\n",&popforecast,popfile,&jpyram,&mpyram,&anpyram,&jpyram1,&mpyram1,&anpyram1); - fprintf(ficparo,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1); - fprintf(ficres,"popforecast=%d popfile=%s popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf last-popfiledate=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",popforecast,popfile,jpyram,mpyram,anpyram,jpyram1,mpyram1,anpyram1);*/ - - /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/ - /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ - - replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */ - printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); - - printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\ - model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\ - jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); - - /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ - /* chdir(path); */ + + fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); + /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ + + + + /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint);*/ + /*,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/ + + replace_back_to_slash(pathc,path); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */ + printinggnuplot(fileres, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p); + + printinghtml(fileres,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt,\ + model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,estepm,\ + jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2); + + /*------------ free_vector -------------*/ + /* chdir(path); */ - free_ivector(wav,1,imx); - free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); - free_lvector(num,1,n); - free_vector(agedc,1,n); - /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ - /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ - fclose(ficparo); - fclose(ficres); - - - /*--------------- Prevalence limit (stable prevalence) --------------*/ - - strcpy(filerespl,"pl"); - strcat(filerespl,fileres); - if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; - } - printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); - fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n"); - fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i); - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); - - prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); - - agebase=ageminpar; - agelim=agemaxpar; - ftolpl=1.e-10; - i1=cptcoveff; - if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} - - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/ - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******"); - printf("\n#******"); - fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******"); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { - fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - } - fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); - printf("******\n"); - fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); + free_ivector(wav,1,imx); + free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); + free_lvector(num,1,n); + free_vector(agedc,1,n); + /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ + /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/ + fclose(ficparo); + fclose(ficres); + + + /*--------------- Prevalence limit (stable prevalence) --------------*/ + + strcpy(filerespl,"pl"); + strcat(filerespl,fileres); + if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);goto end; + } + printf("Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing stable prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl); + fprintf(ficrespl,"#Stable prevalence \n"); + fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age "); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i); + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + + prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate); + + agebase=ageminpar; + agelim=agemaxpar; + ftolpl=1.e-10; + i1=cptcoveff; + if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} + + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + /*printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d nbcode=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,Tcode[cptcode],codtab[cptcod][cptcov]);*/ + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n#******"); + printf("\n#******"); + fprintf(ficlog,"\n#******"); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { + fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + } + fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n"); + printf("******\n"); + fprintf(ficlog,"******\n"); - for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ - prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); - fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age ); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); - fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){ + prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); + fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age ); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]); + fprintf(ficrespl,"\n"); + } } } - } - fclose(ficrespl); + fclose(ficrespl); - /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ + /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/ - strcpy(filerespij,"pij"); strcat(filerespij,fileres); - if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; - } - printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); + strcpy(filerespij,"pij"); strcat(filerespij,fileres); + if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij);goto end; + } + printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij); - stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; - /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/ + stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; + /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/ - agelim=AGESUP; - hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ - hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ + agelim=AGESUP; + hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */ + hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ - /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ + /* hstepm=1; aff par mois*/ - fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x "); - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n"); + fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x "); + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n"); - for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */ - nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ - nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */ + for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */ + nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ + nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */ - /* nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/ + /* nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/ - p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); - fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j="); - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j); - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); - for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ - fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); + p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k); + fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j="); for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) - fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j); + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); + for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ + fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k,agedeb, agedeb+ h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) + fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]); + fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); + } + free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); } - free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); - fprintf(ficrespij,"\n"); } } - } - - varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax); - fclose(ficrespij); + varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax); - probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) - for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++) - for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++) - probs[i][j][k]=0.; + fclose(ficrespij); - /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ - /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/ - if(prevfcast==1){ - /* if(stepm ==1){*/ + probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++) + for(j=1;j<=NCOVMAX;j++) + for(k=1;k<=NCOVMAX;k++) + probs[i][j][k]=0.; + + /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/ + /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/ + if(prevfcast==1){ + /* if(stepm ==1){*/ prevforecast(fileres, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff); /* (popforecast==1) populforecast(fileres, anpyram,mpyram,jpyram, agemin,agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,mobilav, agedeb, fage, popforecast, popfile, anpyram1,p, i1);*/ -/* } */ -/* else{ */ -/* erreur=108; */ -/* printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ -/* fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ -/* } */ - } + /* } */ + /* else{ */ + /* erreur=108; */ + /* printf("Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ + /* fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d!! You can only forecast the prevalences if the optimization\n has been performed with stepm = 1 (month) instead of %d or model=. instead of '%s'\n", erreur, stepm, model); */ + /* } */ + } - /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ + /*---------- Health expectancies and variances ------------*/ - strcpy(filerest,"t"); - strcat(filerest,fileres); - if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; - } - printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); + strcpy(filerest,"t"); + strcat(filerest,fileres); + if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end; + } + printf("Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total LEs with variances: file '%s' \n", filerest); - strcpy(filerese,"e"); - strcat(filerese,fileres); - if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); + strcpy(filerese,"e"); + strcat(filerese,fileres); + if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerese); - strcpy(fileresv,"v"); - strcat(fileresv,fileres); - if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); - fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); - fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); + strcpy(fileresv,"v"); + strcat(fileresv,fileres); + if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); + fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); + fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Variance-covariance of DFLEs: file '%s' \n", fileresv); - /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */ - prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); - /* printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d, mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\ -ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); - */ + /* Computes prevalence between agemin (i.e minimal age computed) and no more ageminpar */ + prevalence(probs, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + /* printf("ageminpar=%f, agemax=%f, s[lastpass][imx]=%d, agev[lastpass][imx]=%f, nlstate=%d, imx=%d, mint[lastpass][imx]=%f, anint[lastpass][imx]=%f,dateprev1=%f, dateprev2=%f, firstpass=%d, lastpass=%d\n",\ + ageminpar, agemax, s[lastpass][imx], agev[lastpass][imx], nlstate, imx, mint[lastpass][imx],anint[lastpass][imx], dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); + */ - if (mobilav!=0) { - mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ - fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); - printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + if (mobilav!=0) { + mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ + fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); + } } - } - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficrest,"******\n"); - - fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); - - fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n"); - - eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov); + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficrest,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n"); + + fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n"); + + eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + evsij(fileres, eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov); - vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav); - if(popbased==1){ - varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav); - } + vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,0, mobilav); + if(popbased==1){ + varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,popbased,mobilav); + } - fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) "); - for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i); - fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); - - epj=vector(1,nlstate+1); - for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){ - prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); - if (popbased==1) { - if(mobilav ==0){ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k]; - }else{ /* mobilav */ - for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) - prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k]; + fprintf(ficrest,"#Total LEs with variances: e.. (std) "); + for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i); + fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); + + epj=vector(1,nlstate+1); + for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){ + prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm,ftolpl,k); + if (popbased==1) { + if(mobilav ==0){ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k]; + }else{ /* mobilav */ + for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) + prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k]; + } } - } - fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age); - for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){ - for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) { - epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age]; - /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ + fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f",age); + for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){ + for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) { + epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age]; + /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/ + } + epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j]; } - epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j]; - } - for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) - for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++) - vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age]; - fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp)); - for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){ - fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age])); + for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) + for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++) + vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age]; + fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp)); + for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){ + fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age])); + } + fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); } - fprintf(ficrest,"\n"); - } - free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); - free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); - free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1); - } - } - free_vector(weight,1,n); - free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2); - free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); - free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); - free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); - free_ivector(cod,1,n); - free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX); - fclose(ficreseij); - fclose(ficresvij); - fclose(ficrest); - fclose(ficpar); - - /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/ - - strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); - strcat(fileresvpl,fileres); - if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) { - printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl); - exit(0); - } - printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl); - - for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ - for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ - k=k+1; - fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); - for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) - fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); - fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); + free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1); + } + } + free_vector(weight,1,n); + free_imatrix(Tvard,1,15,1,2); + free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n); + free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); + free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n); + free_ivector(cod,1,n); + free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX); + fclose(ficreseij); + fclose(ficresvij); + fclose(ficrest); + fclose(ficpar); + + /*------- Variance of stable prevalence------*/ + + strcpy(fileresvpl,"vpl"); + strcat(fileresvpl,fileres); + if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) { + printf("Problem with variance of stable prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl); + exit(0); + } + printf("Computing Variance-covariance of stable prevalence: file '%s' \n", fileresvpl); + + for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ + for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){ + k=k+1; + fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** "); + for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) + fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtab[k][j]]); + fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n"); - varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); - oldm=oldms;savm=savms; - varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k); - free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage); + oldm=oldms;savm=savms; + varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl,k); + free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage); + } } - } - fclose(ficresvpl); - - /*---------- End : free ----------------*/ - free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); - - free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n); - free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar); - /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/ - free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx); - free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); - if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); - free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + fclose(ficresvpl); + + /*---------- End : free ----------------*/ + if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); + + } /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */ + free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); + + free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n); + free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar); + /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/ + free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx); + free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); + + free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8); + free_ivector(Tvar,1,15); + free_ivector(Tprod,1,15); + free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15); + free_ivector(Tage,1,15); + free_ivector(Tcode,1,100); - free_ivector(ncodemax,1,8); - free_ivector(Tvar,1,15); - free_ivector(Tprod,1,15); - free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,15); - free_ivector(Tage,1,15); - free_ivector(Tcode,1,100); fflush(fichtm); fflush(ficgp);