Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.249

1.249   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.248 2016/09/07 14:10:18 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.249   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
        !             5:   *** empty log message ***
        !             6: 
1.248     brouard     7:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                      8:   *** empty log message ***
                      9: 
1.247     brouard    10:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                     11:   *** empty log message ***
                     12: 
1.246     brouard    13:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                     14:   *** empty log message ***
                     15: 
1.245     brouard    16:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                     17:   *** empty log message ***
                     18: 
1.244     brouard    19:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                     20:   *** empty log message ***
                     21: 
1.243     brouard    22:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                     23:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                     24: 
1.242     brouard    25:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                     26:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                     27: 
1.241     brouard    28:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                     29:   Summary: Better
                     30: 
1.240     brouard    31:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                     32:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                     33: 
                     34:   Author:
                     35: 
1.239     brouard    36:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                     37:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                     38: 
1.238     brouard    39:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                     40:   Summary: to valgrind
                     41: 
1.237     brouard    42:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                     43:   *** empty log message ***
                     44: 
1.236     brouard    45:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                     46:   *** empty log message ***
                     47: 
1.235     brouard    48:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                     49:   *** empty log message ***
                     50: 
1.234     brouard    51:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                     52:   Summary: not working
                     53: 
1.233     brouard    54:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                     55:   Summary: not working
                     56: 
1.232     brouard    57:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                     58:   Summary: not working
                     59: 
1.231     brouard    60:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                     61:   Summary: Not working
                     62: 
1.230     brouard    63:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                     64:   Summary: Completing for func too
                     65: 
1.229     brouard    66:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                     67:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                     68: 
1.227     brouard    69:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                     70:   Summary: temp
                     71: 
1.226     brouard    72:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                     73:   Summary: saving but not running
                     74: 
1.225     brouard    75:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                     76:   Summary: Fixes
                     77: 
1.224     brouard    78:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                     79:   Summary: temporary
                     80: 
1.223     brouard    81:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                     82:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                     83: 
1.222     brouard    84:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                     85:   Summary: minor bug
                     86: 
1.220     brouard    87:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                     88:   *** empty log message ***
                     89: 
1.219     brouard    90:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                     91:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                     92: 
1.218     brouard    93:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                     94:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                     95: 
1.217     brouard    96:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                     97:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                     98: 
                     99:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    100:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    101:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    102:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    103: 
1.216     brouard   104:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    105:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    106: 
1.215     brouard   107:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    108:   Summary: temporary not working
                    109: 
1.214     brouard   110:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    111:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    112: 
1.213     brouard   113:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    114:   Summary: minor typo
                    115: 
1.212     brouard   116:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    117:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    118: 
                    119:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    120: 
1.211     brouard   121:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
                    122:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences
                    123: 
1.210     brouard   124:   Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
                    125:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    126:   Author: N Brouard
                    127: 
                    128:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    129:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    130:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    131:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    132:   computation are long.
                    133: 
1.209     brouard   134:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    135:   Summary: temporary
                    136: 
1.208     brouard   137:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    138:   *** empty log message ***
                    139: 
1.207     brouard   140:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    141:   *** empty log message ***
                    142: 
1.206     brouard   143:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    144:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    145: 
1.205     brouard   146:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    147:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    148: 
1.204     brouard   149:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    150:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    151: 
                    152:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    153:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    154:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    155: 
1.203     brouard   156:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    157:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    158: 
1.202     brouard   159:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    160:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    161: 
                    162:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    163:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    164: 
1.201     brouard   165:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    166:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    167: 
                    168:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    169: 
1.200     brouard   170:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    171:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    172: 
1.199     brouard   173:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    174:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    175: 
1.198     brouard   176:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    177:   *** empty log message ***
                    178: 
1.197     brouard   179:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    180:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    181: 
1.196     brouard   182:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    183:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    184: 
                    185:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    186:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    187:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    188:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    189: 
1.195     brouard   190:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    191:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    192: 
1.194     brouard   193:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    194:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    195: 
1.193     brouard   196:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    197:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    198: 
1.192     brouard   199:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    200:   Summary: Some fixes
                    201: 
1.191     brouard   202:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    203:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    204: 
                    205:   Fix 1+age+.
                    206: 
1.190     brouard   207:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    208:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    209: 
1.189     brouard   210:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    211:   *** empty log message ***
                    212: 
1.188     brouard   213:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    214:   *** empty log message ***
                    215: 
1.187     brouard   216:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    217:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    218: 
                    219:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    220:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    221:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    222: 
1.186     brouard   223:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    224:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    225: 
1.185     brouard   226:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    227:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    228: 
1.184     brouard   229:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    230:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    231: 
                    232:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    233:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    234:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    235:   wrong results.
                    236: 
1.183     brouard   237:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    238:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    239:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    240: 
1.182     brouard   241:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    242:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    243: 
                    244:   Author:
                    245: 
1.181     brouard   246:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    247:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    248: 
1.180     brouard   249:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    250:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    251: 
1.179     brouard   252:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    253:   *** empty log message ***
                    254: 
1.178     brouard   255:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    256:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    257: 
1.177     brouard   258:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    259:   *** empty log message ***
                    260: 
1.176     brouard   261:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    262:   *** empty log message ***
                    263: 
1.175     brouard   264:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    265:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    266: 
1.174     brouard   267:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    268:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    269: 
1.173     brouard   270:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    271:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    272: 
1.172     brouard   273:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    274:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    275: 
                    276:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    277: 
1.171     brouard   278:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    279:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    280: 
                    281:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    282: 
1.170     brouard   283:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    284:   Summary: 0.98p
                    285: 
                    286:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    287: 
1.169     brouard   288:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   289:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   290: 
1.168     brouard   291:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    292:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    293: 
                    294:   Testing on Linux 64
                    295: 
1.167     brouard   296:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    297:   *** empty log message ***
                    298: 
1.166     brouard   299:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    300:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    301: 
                    302:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    303: 
1.165     brouard   304:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    305:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    306: 
                    307:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    308: 
1.164     brouard   309:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    310:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    311: 
1.163     brouard   312:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    313:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    314: 
1.162     brouard   315:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    316:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    317: 
                    318:   Author:
                    319: 
                    320:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    321:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    322: 
1.161     brouard   323:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    324:   *** empty log message ***
                    325: 
1.160     brouard   326:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    327:   Summary: WIN32
                    328:   Author: Brouard
                    329: 
1.159     brouard   330:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    331:   *** empty log message ***
                    332: 
1.158     brouard   333:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    334:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    335:   Author: Brouard
                    336: 
                    337:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    338:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    339:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    340:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    341:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    342: 
1.157     brouard   343:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    344:   *** empty log message ***
                    345: 
1.156     brouard   346:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    347:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    348:   Author: Brouard
                    349: 
1.155     brouard   350:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    351:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    352: 
1.154     brouard   353:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    354:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    355:   Author: Brouard
                    356: 
1.153     brouard   357:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    358:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    359: 
1.152     brouard   360:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    361:   *** empty log message ***
                    362: 
1.151     brouard   363:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    364:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    365:   Author: brouard
                    366: 
1.150     brouard   367:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    368:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    369:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    370: 
1.149     brouard   371:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    372:   Summary: Nothing new
                    373:   Author: Brouard
                    374: 
                    375:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    376: 
1.148     brouard   377:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    378:   *** empty log message ***
                    379: 
1.147     brouard   380:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    381:   Summary: Merge
                    382:   Author: Brouard
                    383: 
                    384:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    385: 
1.146     brouard   386:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    387:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    388:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    389: 
                    390:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    391:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    392:   improve the code.
                    393:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    394:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    395:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    396:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    397:   the source code.
                    398: 
1.144     brouard   399:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    400:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    401: 
                    402:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    403:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    404: 
1.143     brouard   405:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    406:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    407: 
                    408:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    409: 
1.142     brouard   410:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    411:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    412: 
1.141     brouard   413:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    414:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    415: 
1.140     brouard   416:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    417:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    418:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    419: 
1.139     brouard   420:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    421:   *** empty log message ***
                    422: 
1.138     brouard   423:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    424:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    425:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    426: 
1.137     brouard   427:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    428:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    429:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    430:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    431:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    432: 
1.136     brouard   433:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    434:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    435: 
1.135     brouard   436:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    437:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    438: 
1.134     brouard   439:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    440:   just nforces
                    441: 
1.133     brouard   442:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    443:   Many tings
                    444: 
1.132     brouard   445:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    446:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    447: 
1.131     brouard   448:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    449:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    450:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    451:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    452: 
1.130     brouard   453:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    454:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    455: 
1.129     lievre    456:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    457:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    458: 
1.128     brouard   459:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    460:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    461:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    462:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    463:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    464:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    465:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    466:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    467:   computation.
                    468:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    469:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    470: 
1.127     brouard   471:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    472:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    473:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    474:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    475:   Version 0.98h
                    476: 
1.126     brouard   477:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    478:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    479:   Forecasting file added.
                    480: 
                    481:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    482:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    483:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    484: 
                    485:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    486:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    487:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    488: 
                    489:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    490:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    491:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    492:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    493:   1.
                    494:   Version 0.98g
                    495: 
                    496:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    497:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    498:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    499:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    500:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    501:   1.
                    502:   Version 0.98g
                    503: 
                    504:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    505:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    506: 
                    507:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    508:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    509:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    510: 
                    511:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    512:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    513:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    514:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    515: 
                    516:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    517:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    518:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    519: 
                    520:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    521:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    522:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    523:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    524:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    525:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    526: 
                    527:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    528:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    529:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    530:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    531:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    532:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    533: 
                    534:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    535:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    536:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    537: 
                    538:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    539:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    540: 
                    541:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    542:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    543:   filename with strsep.
                    544: 
                    545:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    546:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    547:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    548:   allocation too.
                    549: 
                    550:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    551:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    552: 
                    553:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    554:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    555:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    556:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    557: 
                    558:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    559:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    560: 
                    561:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    562:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    563: 
                    564:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    565:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    566:   To be fixed
                    567: 
                    568:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    569:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    570: 
                    571:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    572:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    573: 
                    574:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    575:   *** empty log message ***
                    576: 
                    577:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    578:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    579:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    580:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    581:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    582:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    583:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    584:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    585: 
                    586:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    587:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    588: 
                    589:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    590:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    591: 
                    592:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    593:   Fix on curr_time
                    594: 
                    595:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    596:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    597: 
                    598:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    599:   *** empty log message ***
                    600: 
                    601:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    602:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    603:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    604:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    605:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    606:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    607:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    608:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    609: 
                    610:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    611: 
1.133     brouard   612:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   613:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    614: 
                    615:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    616:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    617: 
                    618:   Current limitations:
                    619:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    620:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    621:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    622: 
                    623:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    624:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    625:   suppressed.
                    626: 
                    627:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    628:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    629:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    630: 
                    631:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    632:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    633:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    634:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    635: 
                    636:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    637:   Just cleaning
                    638: 
                    639:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    640:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    641:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    642:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    643: 
                    644:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    645:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    646:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    647: 
                    648:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    649:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    650:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    651:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    652:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    653:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    654: 
                    655:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    656:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    657:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    658:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    659: 
                    660:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    661:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    662:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    663:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    664: 
                    665:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    666:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    667: 
                    668:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    669:   Version 0.96
                    670: 
                    671:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    672:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    673:   routine fileappend.
                    674: 
                    675:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    676:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    677:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    678:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    679:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    680:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    681:   interview.
                    682:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    683:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    684:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    685:   truncation)
                    686:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    687: 
                    688:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    689:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    690:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    691:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    692:   parcimony.
                    693:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    694: 
                    695:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    696:   *** empty log message ***
                    697: 
                    698:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    699:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    700: 
                    701: */
                    702: /*
                    703:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    704: 
                    705:   Short summary of the programme:
                    706:   
1.227     brouard   707:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    708:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    709:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    710: 
                    711:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    712:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    713:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    714: 
                    715:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    716:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    717:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    718:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    719:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    720:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    721:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    722:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    723:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    724:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    725:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    726:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    727:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   728:   convergence.
                    729: 
                    730:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    731:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    732:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    733:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    734:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    735: 
                    736:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    737:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    738:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    739:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    740:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    741:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    742:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    743:   hPijx.
                    744: 
                    745:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   746:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    747: 
                    748: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   749: 
                    750:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    751:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    752:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    753:    mobilavproj)
                    754: 
                    755:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    756:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    757:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    758: 
                    759:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    760:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    761: 
                    762:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   763:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    764:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    765:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   766: 
                    767:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);
1.218     brouard   768:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    769:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    770:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   771:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    772: 
                    773:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    774:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    775:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    776:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    777:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   778: 
                    779: Important routines
                    780: 
                    781: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    782:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    783:   o varying variables by:
                    784:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    785:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    786:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    787:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    788: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    789:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    790: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    791:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    792:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   793: 
1.226     brouard   794: 
                    795:   
1.133     brouard   796:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    797:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   798:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    799:   from the European Union.
                    800:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    801:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    802:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    803: 
                    804:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    805:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    806:   
                    807:   **********************************************************************/
                    808: /*
                    809:   main
                    810:   read parameterfile
                    811:   read datafile
                    812:   concatwav
                    813:   freqsummary
                    814:   if (mle >= 1)
                    815:     mlikeli
                    816:   print results files
                    817:   if mle==1 
                    818:      computes hessian
                    819:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    820:       begin-prev-date,...
                    821:   open gnuplot file
                    822:   open html file
1.145     brouard   823:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    824:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    825:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    826:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    827: 
                    828:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    829:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    830:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    831:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    832: 
                    833:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    834:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    835:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    836:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    837:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    838: 
1.126     brouard   839:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    840:   health expectancies
                    841:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    842:   prevalence()
                    843:    movingaverage()
                    844:   varevsij() 
                    845:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    846:   total life expectancies
                    847:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    848:  end
                    849: */
                    850: 
1.187     brouard   851: /* #define DEBUG */
                    852: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   853: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    854: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    855: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   856: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   857: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   858: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   859: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    860: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   861: 
                    862: #include <math.h>
                    863: #include <stdio.h>
                    864: #include <stdlib.h>
                    865: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   866: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   867: 
                    868: #ifdef _WIN32
                    869: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   870: #include <windows.h>
                    871: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   872: #else
1.126     brouard   873: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   874: #endif
1.126     brouard   875: 
                    876: #include <limits.h>
                    877: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   878: 
                    879: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    880: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    881: #endif
                    882: 
1.126     brouard   883: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    884: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   885: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   886: 
1.157     brouard   887: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    888: /* #include <time.h> */
                    889: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    890: /* #else */
                    891: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    892: /* #endif */
                    893: 
1.126     brouard   894: #include <time.h>
                    895: 
1.136     brouard   896: #ifdef GSL
                    897: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    898: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                    899: #endif
                    900: 
1.167     brouard   901: 
1.162     brouard   902: #ifdef NLOPT
                    903: #include <nlopt.h>
                    904: typedef struct {
                    905:   double (* function)(double [] );
                    906: } myfunc_data ;
                    907: #endif
                    908: 
1.126     brouard   909: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                    910: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                    911: 
1.141     brouard   912: #define MAXLINE 1024 /* Was 256. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard   913: 
                    914: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                    915: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                    916: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                    917: 
                    918: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                    919: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                    920: 
1.144     brouard   921: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                    922: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard   923: 
                    924: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard   925: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                    926: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                    927: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard   928: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard   929: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                    930: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard   931: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard   932: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard   933: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                    934: #define AGESUP 150
                    935: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard   936: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard   937: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard   938: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard   939: #ifdef _WIN32
                    940: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                    941: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                    942: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                    943: #else
1.126     brouard   944: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                    945: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                    946: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                    947: #endif
                    948: 
1.249   ! brouard   949: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.248 2016/09/07 14:10:18 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard   950: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard   951: #include "version.h"
                    952: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard   953: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.249   ! brouard   954: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.248 $ $Date: 2016/09/07 14:10:18 $"; 
1.126     brouard   955: char strstart[80];
                    956: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard   957: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard   958: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard   959: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                    960: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                    961: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard   962: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                    963: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard   964: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                    965: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                    966: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard   967: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                    968: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard   969: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard   970: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                    971: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard   972: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard   973: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard   974: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                    975: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard   976: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard   977: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard   978: int npar=NPARMAX;
                    979: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                    980: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard   981: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard   982: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard   983: int popbased=0;
                    984: 
                    985: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard   986: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                    987: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                    988: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                    989: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard   990:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard   991: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard   992: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                    993: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                    994: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                    995:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard   996: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard   997: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                    998: 
1.130     brouard   999: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1000: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1001: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1002: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1003: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1004: 
1.136     brouard  1005: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1006: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1007: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1008: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1009: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1010: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1011: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1012: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1013: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1014: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1015: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1016: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1017: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1018: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1019: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1020: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1021: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1022: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1023: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1024: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1025: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1026: FILE  *ficresvpl;
                   1027: char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1028: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1029: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1030: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1031: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1032: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1033: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1034: int  outcmd=0;
                   1035: 
1.217     brouard  1036: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1037: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1038: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1039: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1040: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1041: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1042: 
                   1043: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1044: 
1.157     brouard  1045: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1046: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1047: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1048: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1049: 
                   1050: extern time_t time();
                   1051: 
                   1052: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1053: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1054: struct tm tm;
                   1055: 
1.126     brouard  1056: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1057: 
                   1058: char *endptr;
                   1059: long lval;
                   1060: double dval;
                   1061: 
                   1062: #define NR_END 1
                   1063: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1064: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1065: 
                   1066: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1067: #define ITMAX 200
                   1068: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1069: 
                   1070: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1071: 
                   1072: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1073: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1074: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1075: 
                   1076: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1077: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1078: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1079: 
                   1080: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1081: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1082: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1083:   
                   1084: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1085: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1086: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1087: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1088: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1089: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1090: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1091: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1092: static double sqrarg;
                   1093: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1094: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1095: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1096: 
                   1097: int imx; 
                   1098: int stepm=1;
                   1099: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1100: 
                   1101: int estepm;
                   1102: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1103: 
                   1104: int m,nb;
                   1105: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1106: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1107: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1108:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1109:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1110: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1111:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1112:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1113: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1114: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1115: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1116: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1117: double dateintmean=0;
                   1118: 
                   1119: double *weight;
                   1120: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1121: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1122: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1123:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1124:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.225     brouard  1125: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate iqv */
                   1126: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate itv */
                   1127: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1128: double  idx; 
                   1129: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1130: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1131: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1132: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1133: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1134: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1135: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1136: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1137: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1138: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1139: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1140: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1141: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1142: /* */
                   1143: /* Type                    */
                   1144: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1145: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1146: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1147: /*                         */
                   1148: int *TvarsD;
                   1149: int *TvarsDind;
                   1150: int *TvarsQ;
                   1151: int *TvarsQind;
                   1152: 
1.235     brouard  1153: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1154: int nresult=0;
                   1155: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1156: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1157: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1158: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1159: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1160: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1161: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1162: 
1.234     brouard  1163: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1164: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1165: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1166: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1167: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1168: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1169: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1170: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1171: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1172: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1173: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1174: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1175: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1176: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1177: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1178: 
1.230     brouard  1179: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1180: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1181: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1182: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1183: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1184: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1185: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1186: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1187: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1188: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1189: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1190: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1191: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1192: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1193: int **Tvard;
                   1194: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1195: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1196: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1197:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1198:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1199: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1200: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1201: 
1.231     brouard  1202: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1203: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1204: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1205: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1206: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1207: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1208: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1209: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1210: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1211: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1212: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1213: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1214: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1215: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1216: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1217: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1218: 
                   1219: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1220: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1221: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1222: 
                   1223: struct kmodel{
                   1224:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1225:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1226: };
                   1227: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1228: 
1.143     brouard  1229: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1230: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1231: 
                   1232: /**************** split *************************/
                   1233: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1234: {
                   1235:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1236:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1237:   */ 
                   1238:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1239:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1240: 
                   1241:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1242:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1243:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1244:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1245:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1246:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1247:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1248:     /* get current working directory */
                   1249:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1250: #ifdef WIN32
                   1251:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1252: #else
                   1253:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1254: #endif
1.126     brouard  1255:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1256:     }
                   1257:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1258:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1259:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1260:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1261:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1262:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1263:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1264:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1265:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1266:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1267:   }
                   1268:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1269:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1270:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1271:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1272:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1273:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1274:   }
                   1275:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1276:   if (ss >0){
                   1277:     ss++;
                   1278:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1279:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1280:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1281:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1282:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1283:   }
                   1284: 
                   1285:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1286: }
                   1287: 
                   1288: 
                   1289: /******************************************/
                   1290: 
                   1291: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1292: {
                   1293:   int i;
                   1294:   int lg=0;
                   1295:   i=0;
                   1296:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1297:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1298:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1299:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1300:   }
                   1301: }
                   1302: 
1.132     brouard  1303: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1304: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1305:   char *s;
                   1306:   s=out;
                   1307:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1308:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1309:       in++;
                   1310:     }
                   1311:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1312:   }
                   1313:   *out='\0';
                   1314:   return s;
                   1315: }
                   1316: 
1.187     brouard  1317: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1318: /* { */
                   1319: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1320: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1321: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1322: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1323: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1324: /*   } */
                   1325: 
                   1326: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1327: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1328: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1329: /*   } */
                   1330: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1331: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1332: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1333: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1334: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1335: /*   } */
                   1336: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1337: /*   out=s; */
                   1338: /*   return out; */
                   1339: /* } */
                   1340: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1341: {
                   1342:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1343:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1344: 
                   1345:   char *strloc;
                   1346: 
                   1347:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1348:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1349:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1350:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1351:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1352:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1353:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1354:   }
                   1355:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1356:   return out;
                   1357: }
                   1358: 
                   1359: 
1.145     brouard  1360: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1361: {
1.187     brouard  1362:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1363:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1364:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1365:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1366:   */
1.160     brouard  1367:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1368:   t=in;s=in;
                   1369:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1370:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1371:   }
                   1372:   if( *in == occ){
                   1373:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1374:     s=++in;
                   1375:   }
                   1376:  
                   1377:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1378:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1379:     in=s;
                   1380:   }
                   1381:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1382:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1383:   }
                   1384: 
                   1385:   *blocc='\0';
                   1386:   return t;
                   1387: }
1.137     brouard  1388: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1389: {
1.187     brouard  1390:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1391:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1392:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1393:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1394:   */
                   1395:   char *s, *t;
                   1396:   t=in;s=in;
                   1397:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1398:     while( *in == occ){
                   1399:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1400:       s=in;
                   1401:     }
                   1402:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1403:   }
                   1404:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1405:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1406:   else
                   1407:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1408:   in=s;
                   1409:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1410:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1411:   }
                   1412: 
                   1413:   *alocc='\0';
                   1414:   return s;
                   1415: }
                   1416: 
1.126     brouard  1417: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1418: {
                   1419:   int i,j=0;
                   1420:   int lg=20;
                   1421:   i=0;
                   1422:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1423:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1424:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1425:   }
                   1426:   return j;
                   1427: }
                   1428: 
1.137     brouard  1429: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1430: /* { */
                   1431: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1432: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1433: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1434: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1435: /*   i=0; */
                   1436: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1437: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1438: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1439: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1440: 
1.137     brouard  1441: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1442: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1443: /*   } */
                   1444: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1445: 
1.137     brouard  1446: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1447: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1448: /*   } */
                   1449: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1450: 
1.160     brouard  1451: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1452: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1453: {
                   1454:   char *p, *q;
                   1455:          
                   1456:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1457:     return 0;
                   1458:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1459:   {
                   1460:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1461:     *q = '\0';
                   1462:   }
                   1463:   else
                   1464:     *pp = 0;
                   1465:   return p;
                   1466: }
                   1467: #endif
                   1468: 
1.126     brouard  1469: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1470: 
                   1471: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1472: {
                   1473:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1474:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1475:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1476: }
                   1477: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1478: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1479: {
                   1480:   double *v;
                   1481:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1482:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1483:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1484: }
                   1485: 
                   1486: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1487: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1488: {
                   1489:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1490: }
                   1491: 
                   1492: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1493: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1494: {
                   1495:   int *v;
                   1496:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1497:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1498:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1499: }
                   1500: 
                   1501: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1502: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1503: {
                   1504:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1505: }
                   1506: 
                   1507: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1508: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1509: {
                   1510:   long *v;
                   1511:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1512:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1513:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1514: }
                   1515: 
                   1516: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1517: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1518: {
                   1519:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1520: }
                   1521: 
                   1522: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1523: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1524:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1525: { 
                   1526:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1527:   int **m; 
                   1528:   
                   1529:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1530:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1531:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1532:   m += NR_END; 
                   1533:   m -= nrl; 
                   1534:   
                   1535:   
                   1536:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1537:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1538:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1539:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1540:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1541:   
                   1542:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1543:   
                   1544:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1545:   return m; 
                   1546: } 
                   1547: 
                   1548: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1549: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1550:       int **m;
                   1551:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1552:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1553: { 
                   1554:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1555:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1556: } 
                   1557: 
                   1558: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1559: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1560: {
                   1561:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1562:   double **m;
                   1563: 
                   1564:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1565:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1566:   m += NR_END;
                   1567:   m -= nrl;
                   1568: 
                   1569:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1570:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1571:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1572:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1573: 
                   1574:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1575:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1576:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1577: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1578: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1579:    */
                   1580: }
                   1581: 
                   1582: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1583: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1584: {
                   1585:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1586:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1587: }
                   1588: 
                   1589: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1590: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1591: {
                   1592:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1593:   double ***m;
                   1594: 
                   1595:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1596:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1597:   m += NR_END;
                   1598:   m -= nrl;
                   1599: 
                   1600:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1601:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1602:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1603:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1604: 
                   1605:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1606: 
                   1607:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1608:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1609:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1610:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1611:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1612:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1613:   
                   1614:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1615:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1616:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1617:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1618:   }
                   1619:   return m; 
                   1620:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1621:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1622:   */
                   1623: }
                   1624: 
                   1625: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1626: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1627: {
                   1628:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1629:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1630:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1631: }
                   1632: 
                   1633: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1634: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1635: {
                   1636:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1637:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1638:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1639:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1640:   return tmpout;
                   1641: }
                   1642: 
                   1643: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1644: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1645: {
                   1646:   
                   1647:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1648:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1649:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1650:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1651:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1652:   return tmpout;
                   1653: }
                   1654: 
                   1655: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1656: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1657: {
                   1658:   
                   1659:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1660:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1661:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1662:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1663:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1664:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1665:   return tmpout;
                   1666: }
1.213     brouard  1667:  
                   1668: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1669: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1670: {
                   1671:   
                   1672:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1673:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1674:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1675:   return tmpout;
                   1676: }
1.126     brouard  1677: 
1.213     brouard  1678: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1679: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1680: {
                   1681:   
                   1682:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1683:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1684:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1685:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1686:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1687:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1688:   return tmpout;
                   1689: }
                   1690:  
1.162     brouard  1691: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1692: {
                   1693:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1694:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1695:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1696:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1697:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1698:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1699:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1700:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1701:   return ascdiff;
                   1702: }
                   1703: 
1.126     brouard  1704: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1705: extern int ncom; 
                   1706: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1707: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1708:  
                   1709: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1710: { 
                   1711:   int j; 
                   1712:   double f;
                   1713:   double *xt; 
                   1714:  
                   1715:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1716:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1717:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1718:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1719:   return f; 
                   1720: } 
                   1721: 
                   1722: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1723: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1724: {
                   1725:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1726:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1727:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1728:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1729:    * returned function value. 
                   1730:   */
1.126     brouard  1731:   int iter; 
                   1732:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1733:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1734:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1735:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1736:   double e=0.0; 
                   1737:  
                   1738:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1739:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1740:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1741:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1742:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1743:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1744:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1745:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1746:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1747:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1748: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1749:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1750:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1751:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1752: #endif
                   1753:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1754:       *xmin=x; 
                   1755:       return fx; 
                   1756:     } 
                   1757:     ftemp=fu;
                   1758:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1759:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1760:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1761:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1762:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1763:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1764:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1765:       etemp=e; 
                   1766:       e=d; 
                   1767:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1768:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1769:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1770:                                d=p/q; 
                   1771:                                u=x+d; 
                   1772:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1773:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1774:       } 
                   1775:     } else { 
                   1776:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1777:     } 
                   1778:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1779:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1780:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1781:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1782:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1783:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1784:     } else { 
                   1785:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1786:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1787:                                v=w; 
                   1788:                                w=u; 
                   1789:                                fv=fw; 
                   1790:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1791:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1792:                                v=u; 
                   1793:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1794:       } 
                   1795:     } 
1.126     brouard  1796:   } 
                   1797:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1798:   *xmin=x; 
                   1799:   return fx; 
                   1800: } 
                   1801: 
                   1802: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1803: 
                   1804: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1805:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1806: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1807: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1808: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1809: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1810:    */
1.126     brouard  1811:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1812:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1813: 
                   1814:   double scale=10.;
                   1815:   int iterscale=0;
                   1816: 
                   1817:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1818:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1819: 
                   1820: 
                   1821:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1822:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1823:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1824:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1825:   /* } */
                   1826: 
1.126     brouard  1827:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1828:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1829:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1830:   } 
1.126     brouard  1831:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1832:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1833: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1834:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1835:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1836: #endif
1.224     brouard  1837:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1838:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1839:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1840:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1841:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1842:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1843:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1844:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1845: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1846:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1847:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1848:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1849:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1850:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1851:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1852:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1853:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1854:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1855:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1856: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1857: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1858: #else
1.191     brouard  1859: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1860: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1861: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1862: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1863: /* #endif */
                   1864: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1865: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1866: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1867: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1868: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1869: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1870: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1871: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1872: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1873: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1874: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1875: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1876: /* #endif */
                   1877: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1878: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1879: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1880: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1881: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1882: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1883: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1884: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1885:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1886:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1887:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1888:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1889:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1890: #endif
1.191     brouard  1891:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1892:       u = *cx;
                   1893:       *cx = dum;
                   1894:       dum = fu;
                   1895:       fu = *fc;
                   1896:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1897: #endif
1.162     brouard  1898:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  1899: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1900:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   1901:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  1902: #endif
1.126     brouard  1903:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   1904:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  1905: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1906:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1907:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1908: #endif
                   1909:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   1910:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   1911: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1912:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  1913: #endif
                   1914:       } 
1.162     brouard  1915:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  1916: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1917:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   1918:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  1919: #endif
1.126     brouard  1920:       u=ulim; 
                   1921:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  1922:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   1923: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1924:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   1925:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  1926: #endif
1.126     brouard  1927:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   1928:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  1929: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1930:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   1931:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   1932: #endif
1.183     brouard  1933:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  1934:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  1935:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   1936: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1937:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   1938:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  1939: #endif
                   1940:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  1941: } 
                   1942: 
                   1943: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  1944: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   1945: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   1946: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   1947: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   1948: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  1949: int ncom; 
                   1950: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1951: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1952:  
1.224     brouard  1953: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  1954: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  1955: #else
                   1956: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   1957: #endif
1.126     brouard  1958: { 
                   1959:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   1960:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   1961:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   1962:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   1963:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   1964:   int j; 
                   1965:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   1966:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  1967: 
1.203     brouard  1968: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   1969: #else
                   1970:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   1971: #endif
                   1972:   
1.126     brouard  1973:   ncom=n; 
                   1974:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   1975:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   1976:   nrfunc=func; 
                   1977:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   1978:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  1979:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  1980:   } 
1.187     brouard  1981: 
1.203     brouard  1982: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   1983:   xx=1.;
                   1984: #else
                   1985:   axs=0.0;
                   1986:   xxs=1.;
                   1987:   do{
                   1988:     xx= xxs;
                   1989: #endif
1.187     brouard  1990:     ax=0.;
                   1991:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   1992:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   1993:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   1994:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   1995:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   1996:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   1997:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  1998: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   1999: #else
                   2000:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2001:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2002:                        printf("|");
                   2003:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2004: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2005:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2006: #endif
                   2007:     }
1.224     brouard  2008:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2009: #endif
                   2010:   
1.191     brouard  2011: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2012:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2013:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2014: #endif
1.224     brouard  2015: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2016: #else
                   2017:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2018:                xmin=xx;
                   2019:     *flat=1;
                   2020:        }else{
                   2021:     *flat=0;
                   2022: #endif
                   2023:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2024:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2025:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2026:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2027:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2028:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2029: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2030:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2031:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2032: #endif
                   2033: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2034: #else
                   2035:                        }
1.126     brouard  2036: #endif
1.191     brouard  2037: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2038:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2039:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2040: #endif
1.126     brouard  2041:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2042: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2043:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2044: #else
                   2045: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2046:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2047:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2048: #endif
                   2049:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2050: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2051:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2052:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2053: #endif
                   2054: #endif
1.187     brouard  2055:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2056:   } 
1.191     brouard  2057: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2058:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2059:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2060:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2061:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2062:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2063:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2064:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2065:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2066:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2067:     }
1.191     brouard  2068:   }
1.203     brouard  2069: #else
1.191     brouard  2070: #endif
1.126     brouard  2071:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2072:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2073: } 
                   2074: 
                   2075: 
                   2076: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2077: /*
                   2078: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2079: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2080: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2081: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2082: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2083: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2084:  */
1.224     brouard  2085: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2086: #else
                   2087:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2088:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2089: #endif
1.126     brouard  2090: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2091:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2092: { 
1.224     brouard  2093: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2094:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2095:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2096: #else 
1.241     brouard  2097:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2098:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2099: #endif
1.239     brouard  2100:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2101:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2102:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2103:   double fp,fptt;
                   2104:   double *xits;
                   2105:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2106: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2107: #else
                   2108: 
                   2109:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2110:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2111: #endif
1.126     brouard  2112: 
                   2113:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2114:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2115:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2116:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2117:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2118:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2119:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2120:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2121:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2122:     ibig=0; 
                   2123:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2124:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2125:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2126:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2127:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2128:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2129:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2130: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2131:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2132:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2133:     }
1.239     brouard  2134:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2135:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2136:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2137:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2138:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2139:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2140:     }
                   2141:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2142:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2143:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2144:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2145:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2146:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2147:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2148:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2149:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2150:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2151:       }
                   2152:     }
1.126     brouard  2153:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2154: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2155: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2156:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2157:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2158:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2159:        if (k != i) {
                   2160:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2161:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2162:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2163:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2164:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2165:            jk++; 
                   2166:          }
                   2167:          printf("\n");
                   2168:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2169:        }
                   2170:       }
                   2171:     }
1.241     brouard  2172:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2173:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2174:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2175:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2176:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2177:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2178:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2179:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2180:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2181:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2182:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2183:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2184:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2185:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2186:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2187:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2188:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2189:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2190:       }
                   2191:     }
1.187     brouard  2192:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2193:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2194:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2195: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2196:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2197:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2198: #endif
1.203     brouard  2199:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2200:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2201: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2202:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2203: #else
                   2204:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2205:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2206: #endif
                   2207:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2208:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2209:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2210:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2211:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2212:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2213:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2214:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2215:       } 
                   2216: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2217:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2218:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2219:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2220:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2221:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2222:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2223:       }
                   2224:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2225:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2226:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2227:       }
                   2228:       printf("\n");
                   2229:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2230: #endif
1.187     brouard  2231:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2232:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2233:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2234:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2235:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2236:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2237:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2238:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2239:                                }
                   2240:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2241:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2242:                        }
1.243     brouard  2243:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2244:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2245:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2246:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2247:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2248:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2249:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2250:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2251:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2252:                        
1.188     brouard  2253:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2254:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2255:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2256:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2257: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2258:       int k[2],l;
                   2259:       k[0]=1;
                   2260:       k[1]=-1;
                   2261:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2262:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2263:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2264:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2265:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2266:       }
                   2267:       printf("\n");
                   2268:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2269:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2270:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2271:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2272:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2273:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2274:        }
                   2275:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2276:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2277:       }
                   2278: #endif
                   2279: 
1.224     brouard  2280: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2281: #else
                   2282:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2283: #endif
1.126     brouard  2284:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2285:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2286:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2287:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2288:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2289:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2290:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2291:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2292:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2293:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2294:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2295:     } 
1.181     brouard  2296:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2297: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2298:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2299: #else
                   2300: #endif
1.224     brouard  2301: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2302: #else
1.161     brouard  2303:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2304: #endif
1.162     brouard  2305:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2306:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2307:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2308:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2309:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2310:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2311:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2312:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2313:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2314:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2315:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2316:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2317:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2318:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2319:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2320: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2321:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2322: #else
                   2323:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2324:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2325: #endif
1.202     brouard  2326:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2327: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2328:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2329:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2330:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2331:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2332:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2333:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2334:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2335:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2336: #endif
1.183     brouard  2337: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2338:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2339: #else
1.182     brouard  2340:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2341:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2342:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2343:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2344:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2345:       } 
1.181     brouard  2346:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2347: #endif
1.191     brouard  2348: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2349:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2350:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2351:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2352:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2353:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2354:            printf("\n");
                   2355:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2356:          }
                   2357:        }
1.224     brouard  2358: #endif
                   2359: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2360:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2361: #else
1.234     brouard  2362:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2363:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2364: #endif
1.234     brouard  2365:        
1.191     brouard  2366: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2367:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2368:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2369:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2370:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2371:            printf("\n");
                   2372:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2373:          }
                   2374:        }
1.224     brouard  2375: #endif
1.234     brouard  2376:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2377:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2378:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2379:        }
1.224     brouard  2380: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2381: #else
1.234     brouard  2382:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2383:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2384:            flatd++;
                   2385:        }
                   2386:        if(flatd >0){
                   2387:          printf("%d flat directions\n",flatd);
                   2388:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions\n",flatd);
                   2389:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2390:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2391:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2392:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2393:            }
                   2394:          }
                   2395:          printf("\n");
                   2396:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2397:        }
1.191     brouard  2398: #endif
1.234     brouard  2399:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2400:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2401:        
1.126     brouard  2402: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2403:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2404:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2405:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2406:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2407:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2408:        }
                   2409:        printf("\n");
                   2410:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2411: #endif
1.192     brouard  2412:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2413: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2414: #else
1.234     brouard  2415:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2416: #endif
1.225     brouard  2417: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2418:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2419: #else
1.224     brouard  2420: #endif
1.234     brouard  2421:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2422: } 
1.234     brouard  2423:   
1.126     brouard  2424: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2425:   
1.235     brouard  2426:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2427:   {
1.235     brouard  2428:     /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2429:        (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2430:        by left multiplying the unit
1.234     brouard  2431:        matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
1.206     brouard  2432:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2433:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2434:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2435:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2436:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2437:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2438:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2439:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2440:   /*
                   2441:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2442:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2443:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2444:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2445:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2446:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2447:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2448:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2449:     
1.126     brouard  2450:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2451:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2452:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2453:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2454:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2455:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2456:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2457:   
1.209     brouard  2458:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2459:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2460:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2461: 
1.218     brouard  2462:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2463:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2464:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2465:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2466:     }
1.169     brouard  2467:   
                   2468:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2469:   
                   2470:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2471:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2472:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2473:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2474:     newm=savm;
                   2475:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2476:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2477:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2478:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2479:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2480:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2481:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2482:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2483:     }
                   2484:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2485:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2486:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2487:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2488:     }
1.237     brouard  2489:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2490:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2491:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2492:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2493:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2494:       }
1.235     brouard  2495:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2496:     }
1.237     brouard  2497:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2498:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2499:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2500:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2501:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2502:        }else{
                   2503:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2504:        }
                   2505:       }else{
                   2506:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2507:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2508:        }else{
                   2509:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2510:        }
                   2511:       }
1.234     brouard  2512:     }
1.138     brouard  2513:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2514:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2515:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2516:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2517:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2518:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2519:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2520:     
1.126     brouard  2521:     savm=oldm;
                   2522:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2523: 
                   2524:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2525:       max[j]=0.;
                   2526:       min[j]=1.;
                   2527:     }
                   2528:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2529:       sumnew=0;
                   2530:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2531:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2532:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2533:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2534:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2535:       }
                   2536:     }
                   2537: 
1.126     brouard  2538:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2539:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2540:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2541:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2542:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2543:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2544:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2545:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2546:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2547:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2548:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2549:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2550:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2551:       return prlim;
                   2552:     }
1.169     brouard  2553:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2554:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2555:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2556: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2557:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2558:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2559:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2560:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2561:   
1.169     brouard  2562:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2563: }
                   2564: 
1.217     brouard  2565: 
                   2566:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2567: 
1.218     brouard  2568:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2569:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2570:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2571: {
1.218     brouard  2572:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and covariate ij by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2573:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2574:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2575:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2576:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2577:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2578:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2579:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2580:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2581:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2582:   /*
                   2583:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2584:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2585:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2586:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2587:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2588:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2589:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2590:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2591: 
                   2592:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2593:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2594:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2595:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2596:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2597:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2598:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2599:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2600: 
1.217     brouard  2601:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2602:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2603:   
                   2604:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2605:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2606:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2607: 
1.218     brouard  2608:        dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2609:        oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2610: 
                   2611:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2612:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2613:                for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2614:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2615:     }
                   2616:   
                   2617:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2618:   
                   2619:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2620:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2621:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2622:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2623:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2624:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2625:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2626:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2627:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2628:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2629:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2630:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2631:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2632:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2633:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   2634:     }
                   2635:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2636:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2637:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2638:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2639:     /* } */
                   2640:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2641:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2642:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2643:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2644:     }
                   2645:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2646:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2647:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2648:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2649:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2650:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2651:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2652:       } else{
                   2653:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2654:       }
                   2655:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2656:     }
                   2657:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2658:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2659:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2660:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2661:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2662:        }else{
                   2663:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2664:        }
                   2665:       }else{
                   2666:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2667:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2668:        }else{
                   2669:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2670:        }
                   2671:       }
1.217     brouard  2672:     }
                   2673:     
                   2674:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2675:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2676:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2677:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2678:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2679:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2680:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2681:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2682:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2683:                 */
                   2684:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2685:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2686:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.217     brouard  2687:     savm=oldm;
                   2688:     oldm=newm;
                   2689:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2690:       max[j]=0.;
                   2691:       min[j]=1.;
                   2692:     }
                   2693:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2694:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2695:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2696:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2697:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2698:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2699:       }
                   2700:     }
1.218     brouard  2701:                
1.217     brouard  2702:     maxmax=0.;
                   2703:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2704:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2705:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2706:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
                   2707:     } /* j loop */
                   2708:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.218     brouard  2709:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear);*/
1.217     brouard  2710:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2711:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2712:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2713:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2714:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2715:       return bprlim;
                   2716:     }
                   2717:   } /* age loop */
                   2718:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2719:   if(first){
                   2720:     first=1;
                   2721:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2722: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2723:   }
                   2724:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2725: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2726:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2727:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2728:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2729:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2730:   
                   2731:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2732: }
                   2733: 
1.126     brouard  2734: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2735: 
                   2736: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2737: {
1.138     brouard  2738:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   2739:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   2740:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2741:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2742:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2743:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2744:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2745:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2746:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2747:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   2748:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   2749:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   2750:   */
                   2751:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2752:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2753:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2754: 
1.223     brouard  2755:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2756:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2757:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2758:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2759:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2760:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2761:       }
                   2762:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2763:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2764:     }
                   2765:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2766:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2767:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2768:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2769:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2770:       }
                   2771:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2772:     }
                   2773:   }
1.218     brouard  2774:   
1.223     brouard  2775:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2776:     s1=0;
                   2777:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2778:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2779:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2780:     }
                   2781:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2782:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2783:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2784:     }
                   2785:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2786:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2787:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2788:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2789:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2790:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2791:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2792:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2793:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2794:   
1.223     brouard  2795:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2796:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2797:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2798:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2799:     }
                   2800:   }
1.218     brouard  2801:   
                   2802:   
1.223     brouard  2803:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2804:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2805:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2806:   /*   } */
                   2807:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2808:   /* } */
                   2809:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2810:   /*
                   2811:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2812:                goto end;*/
1.223     brouard  2813:   return ps;
1.126     brouard  2814: }
                   2815: 
1.218     brouard  2816: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2817: 
                   2818:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2819: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2820:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2821: {
1.222     brouard  2822:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate ij
                   2823:    * and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
                   2824:    */
1.218     brouard  2825:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2826:   
                   2827:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2828:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2829:   double agefin;
1.222     brouard  2830:   
                   2831:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2832:   double **bbmij;
                   2833:   
1.218     brouard  2834:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2835:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2836:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2837:   
                   2838:   agefin=cov[2];
                   2839:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
                   2840:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) */
                   2841:   dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
                   2842:   /* We do have the matrix Px in savm  and we need pij */
                   2843:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2844:     sumnew=0.; /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states */
                   2845:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
                   2846:       sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2847:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
                   2848:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2849:       if(sumnew >= 1.e-10){
                   2850:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
                   2851:        /*      doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
                   2852:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
                   2853:        /*      doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
                   2854:        /* }else */
                   2855:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   2856:       }else{
1.242     brouard  2857:        ;
                   2858:        /* printf("ii=%d, i=%d, doldm=%lf dsavm=%lf, probs=%lf, sumnew=%lf,agefin=%d\n",ii,j,doldm[ii][j],dsavm[ii][j],prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij],sumnew, (int)agefin); */
1.222     brouard  2859:       }
                   2860:     } /*End ii */
                   2861:   } /* End j, At the end doldm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
                   2862:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by dsavm=Px (newm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   2863:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, dsavm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, doldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   2864:   /* dsavm=doldm; /\* dsavm is now diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] but can be overwritten*\/ */
                   2865:   /* doldm=dnewm; /\* doldm is now Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] *\/ */
                   2866:   /* dnewm=dsavm; /\* doldm is now Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] *\/ */
                   2867:   /* left Product of this matrix by diag matrix of prevalences (savm) */
                   2868:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2869:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2870:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij] : 0.0);
                   2871:     }
                   2872:   } /* End j, At the end oldm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
                   2873:   ps=matprod2(doldm, dsavm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dnewm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   2874:   /* newm or out is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
                   2875:   /* end bmij */
                   2876:   return ps; 
1.218     brouard  2877: }
1.217     brouard  2878: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2879: 
1.218     brouard  2880: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  2881: {
                   2882:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   2883:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   2884:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2885:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2886:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2887:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2888:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2889:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2890:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2891:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   2892:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   2893:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   2894:   */
                   2895:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   2896:   /*double t34;*/
                   2897:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   2898: 
1.234     brouard  2899:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2900:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2901:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2902:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2903:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2904:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2905:       }
                   2906:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2907:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2908:     }
                   2909:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2910:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2911:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2912:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2913:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2914:       }
                   2915:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2916:     }
                   2917:   }
                   2918:   
                   2919:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2920:     s1=0;
                   2921:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2922:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2923:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2924:     }
                   2925:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2926:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2927:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2928:     }
                   2929:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2930:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2931:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2932:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2933:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2934:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2935:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2936:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2937:   } /* end i */
                   2938:   
                   2939:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2940:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2941:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2942:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2943:     }
                   2944:   }
                   2945:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   2946:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2947:     s1=0.;
                   2948:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2949:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   2950:     }
                   2951:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   2952:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   2953:     }
                   2954:   }
                   2955:   /* Transposition */
                   2956:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2957:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2958:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   2959:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   2960:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   2961:     }
                   2962:   }
                   2963:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2964:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2965:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2966:   /*   } */
                   2967:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2968:   /* } */
                   2969:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2970:   /*
                   2971:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   2972:     goto end;*/
                   2973:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  2974: }
                   2975: 
                   2976: 
1.126     brouard  2977: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   2978: 
1.145     brouard  2979: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  2980: {
                   2981:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   2982:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   2983:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   2984:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   2985:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  2986:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  2987:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  2988:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   2989:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   2990:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   2991:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   2992:     }
1.126     brouard  2993:   return out;
                   2994: }
                   2995: 
                   2996: 
                   2997: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   2998: 
1.235     brouard  2999: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3000: {
1.218     brouard  3001:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3002:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3003:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3004:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3005:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3006:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3007:      for the memory).
                   3008:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3009:      included manually here. 
                   3010: 
                   3011:      */
                   3012: 
                   3013:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3014:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3015:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3016:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3017:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3018: 
                   3019:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3020:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3021:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3022:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3023:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3024:     }
                   3025:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3026:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3027:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3028:       newm=savm;
                   3029:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3030:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3031:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3032:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3033:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3034:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3035:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3036:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3037:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3038:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3039:       }
                   3040:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3041:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3042:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3043:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3044:       }
                   3045:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3046:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3047:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3048:        } else{
                   3049:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3050:        }
                   3051:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3052:       }
                   3053:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3054:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3055:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3056:       }
                   3057:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3058:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3059:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3060:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3061:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3062:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3063:       
                   3064:       
1.126     brouard  3065:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3066:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3067:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3068:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3069:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3070:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3071:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3072:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3073:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3074:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3075:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3076:       /*         } */
                   3077:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3078:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3079:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3080:       /*         } */
                   3081:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3082:       /*       } */
                   3083:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3084:       savm=oldm;
                   3085:       oldm=newm;
                   3086:     }
                   3087:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3088:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.218     brouard  3089:                                po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3090:                                /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3091:       }
1.128     brouard  3092:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3093:   } /* end h */
1.218     brouard  3094:        /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3095:   return po;
                   3096: }
                   3097: 
1.217     brouard  3098: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3099: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.222     brouard  3100: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij )
1.217     brouard  3101: {
1.218     brouard  3102:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3103:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3104:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3105:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3106:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3107:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3108:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3109:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
                   3110:      included manually here.
1.217     brouard  3111: 
1.222     brouard  3112:   */
1.217     brouard  3113: 
                   3114:   int i, j, d, h, k;
                   3115:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3116:   double **newm;
                   3117:   double agexact;
                   3118:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3119:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3120: 
1.222     brouard  3121:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.217     brouard  3122:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3123:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3124:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3125:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3126:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3127:     }
                   3128:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3129:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3130:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3131:       newm=savm;
                   3132:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3133:       cov[1]=1.;
                   3134:       agexact=age-((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
                   3135:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3136:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3137:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3138:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.218     brouard  3139:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)
1.222     brouard  3140:        cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3141:       /* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.217     brouard  3142:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
1.222     brouard  3143:        /* cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   3144:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3145:       /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k]])]*cov[2]; */
1.217     brouard  3146:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3147:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3148:       /* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; */
1.218     brouard  3149:                        
                   3150:                        
1.217     brouard  3151:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3152:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3153:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.222     brouard  3154:       /* age is in cov[2] */
1.218     brouard  3155:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3156:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3157:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3158:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3159:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3160:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3161:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3162:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3163:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3164:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3165:       /*         } */
                   3166:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3167:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3168:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3169:       /*         } */
                   3170:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3171:       /*       } */
                   3172:       /* } */
                   3173:       savm=oldm;
                   3174:       oldm=newm;
                   3175:     }
                   3176:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3177:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3178:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3179:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.217     brouard  3180:       }
                   3181:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
                   3182:   } /* end h */
1.222     brouard  3183:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.217     brouard  3184:   return po;
                   3185: }
                   3186: 
                   3187: 
1.162     brouard  3188: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3189:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3190:   double fret;
                   3191:   double *xt;
                   3192:   int j;
                   3193:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3194: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3195:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3196:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3197: 
                   3198:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3199:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3200:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3201:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3202:   printf("\n");
                   3203:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3204:   return fret;
                   3205: }
                   3206: #endif
1.126     brouard  3207: 
                   3208: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3209: double func( double *x)
                   3210: {
1.226     brouard  3211:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3212:   int ioffset=0;
                   3213:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3214:   double **out;
                   3215:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3216:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3217:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3218:   double bbh, survp;
                   3219:   long ipmx;
                   3220:   double agexact;
                   3221:   /*extern weight */
                   3222:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3223:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3224:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3225:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3226:   */
1.162     brouard  3227: 
1.226     brouard  3228:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3229: 
1.226     brouard  3230:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3231: 
1.226     brouard  3232:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3233:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3234:   if(mle==1){
                   3235:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3236:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3237:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3238:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3239:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3240:       */
1.243     brouard  3241:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3242:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3243:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3244:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3245:       }
1.226     brouard  3246:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3247:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3248:         has been calculated etc */
                   3249:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3250:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3251:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3252:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3253:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3254:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3255:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3256:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3257:       */
                   3258:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3259:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3260:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3261:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3262:        }
                   3263:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3264:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3265:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3266:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3267:          }
                   3268:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3269:          newm=savm;
                   3270:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3271:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3272:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3273:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3274:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3275:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3276:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3277:          else
                   3278:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3279:          }
                   3280:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3281:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3282:          savm=oldm;
                   3283:          oldm=newm;
                   3284:        } /* end mult */
                   3285:        
                   3286:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3287:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3288:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3289:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3290:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3291:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3292:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3293:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3294:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3295:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3296:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3297:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3298:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3299:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3300:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3301:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3302:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3303:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3304:         */
                   3305:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3306:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3307:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3308:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3309:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3310:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3311:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3312:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3313:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3314:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3315:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3316:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3317:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3318:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3319:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3320:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3321:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3322:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3323:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3324:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3325:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3326:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3327:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3328:             lower mortality.
                   3329:          */
                   3330:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3331:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3332:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3333:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3334:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3335:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3336:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3337:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3338:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3339:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3340:             infinity.
                   3341:          */
1.183     brouard  3342: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3343: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3344: /* #else */
                   3345: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3346: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3347: /*       else */
                   3348: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3349: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3350:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3351:          
1.226     brouard  3352:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3353:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3354:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3355:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3356:          lli= log(survp);
                   3357:        }
                   3358:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3359:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3360:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3361:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3362:        } 
                   3363:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3364:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3365:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3366:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3367:        } 
                   3368:        else{
                   3369:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3370:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3371:        } 
                   3372:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3373:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3374:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3375:        ipmx +=1;
                   3376:        sw += weight[i];
                   3377:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3378:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3379:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3380:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3381:        /* } */
                   3382:       } /* end of wave */
                   3383:     } /* end of individual */
                   3384:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3385:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3386:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3387:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3388:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3389:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3390:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3391:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3392:          }
                   3393:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3394:          newm=savm;
                   3395:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3396:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3397:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3398:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3399:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3400:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3401:          }
                   3402:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3403:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3404:          savm=oldm;
                   3405:          oldm=newm;
                   3406:        } /* end mult */
                   3407:       
                   3408:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3409:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3410:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3411:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3412:        ipmx +=1;
                   3413:        sw += weight[i];
                   3414:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3415:       } /* end of wave */
                   3416:     } /* end of individual */
                   3417:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3418:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3419:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3420:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3421:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3422:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3423:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3424:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3425:          }
                   3426:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3427:          newm=savm;
                   3428:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3429:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3430:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3431:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3432:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3433:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3434:          }
                   3435:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3436:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3437:          savm=oldm;
                   3438:          oldm=newm;
                   3439:        } /* end mult */
                   3440:       
                   3441:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3442:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3443:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3444:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3445:        ipmx +=1;
                   3446:        sw += weight[i];
                   3447:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3448:       } /* end of wave */
                   3449:     } /* end of individual */
                   3450:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3451:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3452:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3453:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3454:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3455:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3456:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3457:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3458:          }
                   3459:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3460:          newm=savm;
                   3461:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3462:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3463:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3464:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3465:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3466:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3467:          }
1.126     brouard  3468:        
1.226     brouard  3469:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3470:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3471:          savm=oldm;
                   3472:          oldm=newm;
                   3473:        } /* end mult */
                   3474:       
                   3475:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3476:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3477:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3478:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3479:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3480:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3481:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3482:          lli= log(survp);
                   3483:        }else{
                   3484:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3485:        }
                   3486:        ipmx +=1;
                   3487:        sw += weight[i];
                   3488:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3489: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3490:       } /* end of wave */
                   3491:     } /* end of individual */
                   3492:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3493:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3494:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3495:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3496:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3497:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3498:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3499:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3500:          }
                   3501:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3502:          newm=savm;
                   3503:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3504:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3505:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3506:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3507:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3508:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3509:          }
1.126     brouard  3510:        
1.226     brouard  3511:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3512:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3513:          savm=oldm;
                   3514:          oldm=newm;
                   3515:        } /* end mult */
                   3516:       
                   3517:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3518:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3519:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3520:        ipmx +=1;
                   3521:        sw += weight[i];
                   3522:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3523:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3524:       } /* end of wave */
                   3525:     } /* end of individual */
                   3526:   } /* End of if */
                   3527:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3528:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3529:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3530:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3531: }
                   3532: 
                   3533: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3534: double funcone( double *x)
                   3535: {
1.228     brouard  3536:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3537:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3538:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3539:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3540:   double **out;
                   3541:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3542:   double llt;
                   3543:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3544:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3545: 
1.126     brouard  3546:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3547:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3548:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3549:   /*extern weight */
                   3550:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3551:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3552:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3553:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3554:   */
                   3555:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3556: 
                   3557:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3558:   ioffset=0;
                   3559:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3560:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3561:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3562:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3563:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3564:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3565:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3566:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3567: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3568: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3569: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3570: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3571: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3572: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3573: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3574: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3575: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3576:     }
1.232     brouard  3577:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3578:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3579:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3580:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3581:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3582:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3583:     
1.233     brouard  3584: 
                   3585:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3586:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3587:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3588:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3589:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3590:       }
1.232     brouard  3591:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3592:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3593:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3594:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3595:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3596:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3597:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3598:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3599:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3600:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3601:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3602:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3603:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3604:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3605:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3606:        }
1.214     brouard  3607:       
                   3608:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3609:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3610:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3611:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3612:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3613:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3614:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3615:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3616:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3617:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3618:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3619:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3620:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3621:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3622:          else
                   3623:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3624:        }
                   3625:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3626:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3627:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3628:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3629:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3630:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3631:        savm=oldm;
                   3632:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3633:       } /* end mult */
                   3634:       
                   3635:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3636:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3637:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
                   3638:       /*       printf(" s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
                   3639:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3640:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3641:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3642:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3643:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3644:        */
                   3645:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3646:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3647:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3648:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3649:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3650:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3651:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3652:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3653:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3654:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3655:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3656:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3657:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3658:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3659:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3660:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3661:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3662:       } /* End of if */
                   3663:       ipmx +=1;
                   3664:       sw += weight[i];
                   3665:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3666:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3667:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3668:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3669:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3670:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
                   3671:                2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);
                   3672:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3673:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3674:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3675:        }
                   3676:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3677:       }
1.232     brouard  3678:        } /* end of wave */
                   3679: } /* end of individual */
                   3680: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3681: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3682: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3683: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3684:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3685:        gsw=sw;
                   3686: }
                   3687: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3688: }
                   3689: 
                   3690: 
                   3691: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3692: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3693: {
                   3694:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3695:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3696:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3697:      Plotting could be done.
                   3698:    */
                   3699:   int k;
                   3700: 
                   3701:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3702:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3703:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3704:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3705:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3706:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3707:     }
1.214     brouard  3708:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3709:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3710:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3711:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3712:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3713:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3714:   }
                   3715: 
                   3716:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3717:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3718:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3719:     if (mle ==0)
                   3720:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3721:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3722:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3723:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.207     brouard  3724:     
1.208     brouard  3725:       
                   3726:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3727:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3728: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3729:     }
1.207     brouard  3730:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3731: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3732:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3733: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3734:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3735:   }
1.126     brouard  3736:   return;
                   3737: }
                   3738: 
                   3739: 
                   3740: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3741: 
                   3742: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3743: {
1.165     brouard  3744:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3745:   double **xi;
                   3746:   double fret;
                   3747:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3748:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3749: 
                   3750: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3751:   int creturn;
                   3752:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3753:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3754:   double *lb;
                   3755:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3756:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3757:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3758: #endif
                   3759: 
                   3760: 
1.126     brouard  3761:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3762:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3763:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3764:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3765:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3766:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3767:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3768:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3769:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3770:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3771:   }
                   3772:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3773:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3774:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3775:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3776:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3777: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3778:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3779: #endif
1.126     brouard  3780: 
1.162     brouard  3781: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3782: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3783:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3784: #else
                   3785:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3786: #endif
                   3787:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3788:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3789:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3790:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3791:   
                   3792:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3793:   d->function = func;
                   3794:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3795:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3796:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3797:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3798:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3799:   }
                   3800:   else {
                   3801:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3802:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3803:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3804:   }
                   3805:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3806: #endif
1.126     brouard  3807:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3808:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3809:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3810:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3811:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3812: 
                   3813: }
                   3814: 
                   3815: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3816: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3817: {
                   3818:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3819:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3820:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3821:   int *indx;
                   3822: 
                   3823:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3824:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3825:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3826:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3827:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3828:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3829: 
                   3830:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3831:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3832:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3833:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3834:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3835:    
                   3836:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3837:     
                   3838:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   3839:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   3840:   }
                   3841:   
                   3842:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   3843:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   3844:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  3845:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   3846:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   3847:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  3848:        
                   3849:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   3850:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   3851:       }
                   3852:     }
                   3853:   }
                   3854:   printf("\n");
                   3855:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   3856: 
                   3857:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3858:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3859:   
                   3860:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3861:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3862:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   3863:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   3864:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3865:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   3866:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   3867: 
                   3868:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   3869:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   3870:     x[j]=1;
                   3871:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   3872:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   3873:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   3874:     }
                   3875:   }
                   3876: 
                   3877:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   3878:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   3879:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   3880:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  3881:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   3882:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  3883:     }
                   3884:     printf("\n");
                   3885:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   3886:   }
                   3887: 
1.203     brouard  3888:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   3889:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   3890:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   3891:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   3892:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   3893:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   3894:   /*   } */
                   3895:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   3896:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   3897:   /* } */
                   3898: 
1.126     brouard  3899:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  3900:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   3901:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   3902:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   3903: 
                   3904:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   3905: 
                   3906:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   3907:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   3908:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   3909:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   3910:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   3911:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   3912:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   3913:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   3914:   /*   } */
                   3915:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   3916:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   3917:   /* } */
                   3918: 
                   3919:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   3920: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   3921:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  3922: 
1.203     brouard  3923:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   3924:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  3925: 
                   3926:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   3927:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  3928:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   3929:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  3930:     }
                   3931:     printf("\n");
                   3932:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   3933:   }
1.203     brouard  3934: #endif
1.126     brouard  3935: 
                   3936:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3937:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3938:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   3939:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  3940:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3941: 
                   3942: 
                   3943: }
                   3944: 
                   3945: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   3946: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  3947: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  3948:   int i;
                   3949:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  3950:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  3951:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  3952:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   3953:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   3954:   double l1;
                   3955: 
                   3956:   fx=func(x);
                   3957:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  3958:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  3959:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   3960:     delts=delt;
                   3961:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   3962:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   3963:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  3964:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  3965:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   3966:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   3967:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  3968:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  3969:       
1.203     brouard  3970: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  3971:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   3972:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   3973: #endif
                   3974:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   3975:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   3976:        k=kmax;
                   3977:       }
                   3978:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  3979:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  3980:       }
                   3981:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   3982:        delts=delt;
                   3983:       }
1.203     brouard  3984:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  3985:   }
                   3986:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   3987:   return res; 
                   3988:   
                   3989: }
                   3990: 
1.203     brouard  3991: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  3992: {
                   3993:   int i;
1.164     brouard  3994:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  3995:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  3996:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  3997:   int k, kmax=1;
                   3998:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  3999: 
                   4000:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4001:   
1.126     brouard  4002:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4003:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4004:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4005:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4006:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4007:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4008:   
1.203     brouard  4009:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4010:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4011:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4012:   
1.203     brouard  4013:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4014:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4015:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4016:   
1.203     brouard  4017:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4018:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4019:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4020:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4021:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4022:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4023:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4024:     }
                   4025:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4026:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4027:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4028:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4029:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4030:     }
                   4031: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4032:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4033:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4034:     cv12=res;
                   4035:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4036:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4037:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4038:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4039:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4040:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4041:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4042:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4043:     }
1.126     brouard  4044: #endif
                   4045:   }
                   4046:   return res;
                   4047: }
                   4048: 
1.203     brouard  4049:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4050: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4051: /* { */
                   4052: /*   int i; */
                   4053: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4054: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4055: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4056: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4057: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4058: /*   double l1; */
                   4059:   
                   4060: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4061: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4062: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4063: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4064: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4065: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4066: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4067: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4068: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4069: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4070:       
                   4071: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4072: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4073: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4074:       
                   4075: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4076: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4077: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4078:       
                   4079: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4080: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4081: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4082: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4083: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4084: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4085: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4086: /* #endif */
                   4087: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4088: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4089: /*       } */
                   4090: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4091: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4092: /*       } */
                   4093: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4094: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4095: /*       } */
                   4096: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4097: /*   } */
                   4098: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4099: /*   return res;  */
                   4100: /* } */
                   4101: 
                   4102: 
1.126     brouard  4103: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4104: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4105: { 
                   4106:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4107:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4108:   double *vv; 
                   4109:  
                   4110:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4111:   *d=1.0; 
                   4112:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4113:     big=0.0; 
                   4114:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4115:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
                   4116:     if (big == 0.0) nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4117:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4118:   } 
                   4119:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4120:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4121:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4122:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4123:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4124:     } 
                   4125:     big=0.0; 
                   4126:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4127:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4128:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4129:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4130:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4131:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4132:        big=dum; 
                   4133:        imax=i; 
                   4134:       } 
                   4135:     } 
                   4136:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4137:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4138:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4139:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4140:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4141:       } 
                   4142:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4143:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4144:     } 
                   4145:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4146:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4147:     if (j != n) { 
                   4148:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4149:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4150:     } 
                   4151:   } 
                   4152:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4153: ;
                   4154: } 
                   4155: 
                   4156: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4157: { 
                   4158:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4159:   double sum; 
                   4160:  
                   4161:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4162:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4163:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4164:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4165:     if (ii) 
                   4166:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4167:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4168:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4169:   } 
                   4170:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4171:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4172:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4173:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4174:   } 
                   4175: } 
                   4176: 
                   4177: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4178: {
1.196     brouard  4179:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4180: }
                   4181: 
                   4182: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.226     brouard  4183: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
                   4184:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4185:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
                   4186: {  /* Some frequencies */
                   4187:   
1.227     brouard  4188:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, k, iv;
1.226     brouard  4189:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4190:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4191:   int first;
                   4192:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
                   4193:   double *meanq;
                   4194:   double **meanqt;
                   4195:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4196:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4197:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4198:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4199:     
                   4200:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   4201:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); 
                   4202:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4203:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4204:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4205:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4206:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4207:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4208:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4209:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4210:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4211:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4212:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4213:     exit(0);
                   4214:   }
1.240     brouard  4215:   
1.226     brouard  4216:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4217:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4218:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4219:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4220:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4221:     exit(70); 
                   4222:   }
                   4223:   else{
                   4224:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4225: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4226: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4227:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4228:   }
1.237     brouard  4229:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4230:   
1.226     brouard  4231:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4232:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4233:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4234:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4235:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4236:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4237:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4238:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4239: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4240: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4241:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4242:   }
1.240     brouard  4243:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4244:   
1.226     brouard  4245:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE);
                   4246:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4247:   
1.227     brouard  4248:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4249:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4250:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4251:   
                   4252:   
1.226     brouard  4253:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4254:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4255:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4256:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4257:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4258:   */
1.249   ! brouard  4259:   dateintsum=0;
        !          4260:   k2cpt=0;
        !          4261: 
        !          4262:   for (j = 0; j <= cptcoveff; j+=cptcoveff){   
        !          4263:   first=1;
1.227     brouard  4264:   for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on covariates combination in order of model, excluding quantitatives V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  4265:     posproptt=0.;
                   4266:     /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4267:       scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4268:     for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
                   4269:       for (jk=-5; jk<=nlstate+ndeath; jk++)  
1.240     brouard  4270:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
                   4271:          freq[i][jk][m]=0;
                   4272:     
1.226     brouard  4273:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
                   4274:       for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.240     brouard  4275:        prop[i][m]=0;
1.226     brouard  4276:       posprop[i]=0;
                   4277:       pospropt[i]=0;
                   4278:     }
1.227     brouard  4279:     /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4280:     /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4281:     /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4282:     /*         meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4283:     /*   } */
                   4284:     /* } */
1.240     brouard  4285:     
1.249   ! brouard  4286:     /* dateintsum=0; */
        !          4287:     /* k2cpt=0; */
        !          4288: 
1.227     brouard  4289:     /* For that combination of covariate j1, we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.226     brouard  4290:     for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4291:       bool=1;
1.249   ! brouard  4292:       if(j !=0){
1.227     brouard  4293:       if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
1.234     brouard  4294:        if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
1.227     brouard  4295:          /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4296:          /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4297:          /* } */
1.234     brouard  4298:          for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {  
                   4299:            /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4300:            /*   /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4301:            /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4302:            /*   /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4303:            /* }else  */
                   4304:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){
                   4305:              /* Tests if this individual iind responded to j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
                   4306:              bool=0;
                   4307:              /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4308:                 bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4309:                 j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4310:              /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4311:            } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4312:          } /* end z1 */
                   4313:        } /* cptcovn > 0 */
1.227     brouard  4314:       } /* end any */
1.249   ! brouard  4315:       }/* end j==0 */
1.227     brouard  4316:       if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 or all fixed */
1.234     brouard  4317:        /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4318:        for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4319:          m=mw[mi][iind];
1.249   ! brouard  4320:          if(j!=0){
1.234     brouard  4321:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4322:            for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4323:              if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4324:                iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4325:                if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
1.249   ! brouard  4326:                  bool=0; /* not selected */
1.234     brouard  4327:              }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4328:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4329:                  bool=0;
                   4330:                }
                   4331:              }
                   4332:            }
                   4333:          }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
1.249   ! brouard  4334:          } /* end j==0 */
1.234     brouard  4335:          /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4336:          if(bool==1){
                   4337:            /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4338:               and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4339:            agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4340:            ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4341:            if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4342:              k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4343:              /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4344:              if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4345:              if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4346:              if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4347:                prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4348:              if (m<lastpass) {
                   4349:                /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4350:                /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4351:                if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4352:                  printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4353:                freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4354:                /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4355:                freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4356:              }
                   4357:            } /* end if between passes */  
1.249   ! brouard  4358:            if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
        !          4359:              dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
1.234     brouard  4360:              k2cpt++;
                   4361:              /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
                   4362:            }
                   4363:          } /* end bool 2 */
                   4364:        } /* end m */
1.226     brouard  4365:       } /* end bool */
                   4366:     } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4367:     /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4368:        freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
1.240     brouard  4369:     
                   4370:     
1.226     brouard  4371:     /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
                   4372:     pstamp(ficresp);
1.249   ! brouard  4373:     if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.226     brouard  4374:       fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4375:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4376:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
1.240     brouard  4377:       fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.227     brouard  4378:       for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
1.240     brouard  4379:        if(DummyV[z1]){
                   4380:          fprintf(ficresp, "V%d (fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4381:          fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d (fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4382:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d (fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4383:          fprintf(ficlog, "V%d (fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4384:        }else{
                   4385:          fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4386:          fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4387:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4388:          fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4389:        }
1.226     brouard  4390:       }
                   4391:       fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4392:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4393:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4394:       fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4395:     }
                   4396:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4397:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.240     brouard  4398:       fprintf(ficresp, " Age Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.226     brouard  4399:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4400:     }
                   4401:     fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
                   4402:     fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
1.240     brouard  4403:     
1.226     brouard  4404:     /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4405:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4406:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
                   4407:     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++){
                   4408:       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.234     brouard  4409:        if(jk!=0 && m!=0)
                   4410:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",jk,m);
1.226     brouard  4411:       }
                   4412:     }
                   4413:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
1.240     brouard  4414:     
1.226     brouard  4415:     /* For each age */
                   4416:     for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4417:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4418:       if(iage==iagemax+1){
1.240     brouard  4419:        fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4420:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
1.226     brouard  4421:       }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
1.240     brouard  4422:        fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4423:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
1.226     brouard  4424:       }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
1.240     brouard  4425:        fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4426:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
1.226     brouard  4427:       }else{
1.240     brouard  4428:        if(first==1){
                   4429:          first=0;
                   4430:          printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4431:        }
                   4432:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4433:        fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
1.226     brouard  4434:       }
                   4435:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4436:        for(m=-1, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4437:          pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][iage]; 
1.226     brouard  4438:       }
                   4439:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4440:        for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
                   4441:          pos += freq[jk][m][iage];
                   4442:        if(pp[jk]>=1.e-10){
                   4443:          if(first==1){
                   4444:            printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
                   4445:          }
                   4446:          fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pos/pp[jk]);
                   4447:        }else{
                   4448:          if(first==1)
                   4449:            printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   4450:          fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   4451:        }
1.226     brouard  4452:       }
1.240     brouard  4453:       
1.226     brouard  4454:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){ 
1.240     brouard  4455:        /* posprop[jk]=0; */
                   4456:        for(m=0, pp[jk]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4457:          pp[jk] += freq[jk][m][iage];
1.226     brouard  4458:       }        /* pp[jk] is the total number of transitions starting from state jk and any ending status until this age */
1.240     brouard  4459:       
1.226     brouard  4460:       for(jk=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4461:        pos += pp[jk]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4462:        posprop[jk] += prop[jk][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4463:                                          from jk at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4464:        pospropta += prop[jk][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4465:                                        from jk at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
1.226     brouard  4466:       }
                   4467:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4468:        if(pos>=1.e-5){
                   4469:          if(first==1)
                   4470:            printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
                   4471:          fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",jk,pp[jk],jk,100*pp[jk]/pos);
                   4472:        }else{
                   4473:          if(first==1)
                   4474:            printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   4475:          fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",jk,pp[jk],jk);
                   4476:        }
                   4477:        if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4478:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
                   4479:            fprintf(ficresp," %d %.5f %.0f %.0f",iage,prop[jk][iage]/pospropta, prop[jk][iage],pospropta);
                   4480:            fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[jk][iage]/pospropta, prop[jk][iage],pospropta);
                   4481:            /*probs[iage][jk][j1]= pp[jk]/pos;*/
                   4482:            /*printf("\niage=%d jk=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,jk,j1,pp[jk]/pos, pp[jk],pos,probs[iage][jk][j1]);*/
                   4483:          }
                   4484:          else{
                   4485:            fprintf(ficresp," %d NaNq %.0f %.0f",iage,prop[jk][iage],pospropta);
                   4486:            fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[jk][iage],pospropta);
                   4487:          }
                   4488:        }
                   4489:        pospropt[jk] +=posprop[jk];
1.226     brouard  4490:       } /* end loop jk */
                   4491:       /* pospropt=0.; */
                   4492:       for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4493:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
                   4494:          if(freq[jk][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
                   4495:            if(first==1){
                   4496:              printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][iage]);
                   4497:            }
                   4498:            fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][iage]);
                   4499:          }
                   4500:          if(jk!=0 && m!=0)
                   4501:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[jk][m][iage]);
                   4502:        }
1.226     brouard  4503:       } /* end loop jk */
                   4504:       posproptt=0.; 
                   4505:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate; jk++){
1.240     brouard  4506:        posproptt += pospropt[jk];
1.226     brouard  4507:       }
                   4508:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
                   4509:       if(iage <= iagemax){
1.240     brouard  4510:        fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
                   4511:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
1.226     brouard  4512:       }
                   4513:       if(first==1)
1.240     brouard  4514:        printf("Others in log...\n");
1.226     brouard  4515:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4516:     } /* end loop age iage */
                   4517:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
                   4518:     for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){
                   4519:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.240     brouard  4520:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[jk],posproptt);   
1.226     brouard  4521:       }else{
1.240     brouard  4522:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[jk]/posproptt,pospropt[jk],posproptt);    
1.226     brouard  4523:       }
                   4524:     }
                   4525:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4526:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4527:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4528:     if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
                   4529:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4530:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4531:       fprintf(ficres,"\n  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n\n",j1);
                   4532:       invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
                   4533:     }else{
                   4534:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4535:       invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
                   4536:     }
                   4537:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4538:   } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
1.249   ! brouard  4539:   if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
        !          4540:     for(jk=-1; jk <=nlstate+ndeath; jk++){
        !          4541:       for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
        !          4542:        /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[jk][m][iagemax+3] */
        !          4543:        if(freq[jk][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
        !          4544:          if(first==1){
        !          4545:            printf(" %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][iage]);
        !          4546:          }
        !          4547:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",jk,m,freq[jk][m][iage]);
        !          4548:        }
        !          4549:       }
        !          4550:     } /* end loop jk */
        !          4551:   }
        !          4552:   } /* end j */
1.226     brouard  4553:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4554:   
1.226     brouard  4555:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4556:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4557:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4558:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4559:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4560:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+3+AGEMARGE);
                   4561:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4562:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
                   4563:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+3+AGEMARGE);
                   4564:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4565:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4566: }
1.126     brouard  4567: 
                   4568: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4569: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4570: {  
                   4571:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4572:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4573:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4574:   */
1.126     brouard  4575:  
1.227     brouard  4576:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4577:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4578:   int iage;
                   4579:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4580: 
                   4581:   double **prop;
                   4582:   double posprop; 
                   4583:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4584:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4585:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4586: 
                   4587:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4588:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4589:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
                   4590:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE); 
                   4591:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   4592:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  4593:   
1.227     brouard  4594:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   4595:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  4596:   
1.227     brouard  4597:   first=1;
                   4598:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   4599:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
                   4600:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++)
                   4601:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   4602:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   4603:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   4604:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   4605:     
                   4606:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   4607:       bool=1;
                   4608:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   4609:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   4610:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   4611:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   4612:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   4613:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4614:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4615:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4616:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   4617:              bool=0;
                   4618:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   4619:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4620:              bool=0;
                   4621:            }
                   4622:        }
                   4623:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   4624:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4625:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   4626:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4627:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   4628:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   4629:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   4630:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
                   4631:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+3+AGEMARGE){
                   4632:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   4633:                exit(1);
                   4634:              }
                   4635:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   4636:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   4637:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4638:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   4639:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   4640:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   4641:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   4642:        } /* end bool */
                   4643:       } /* end wave */
                   4644:     } /* end individual */
                   4645:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   4646:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   4647:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   4648:       } 
                   4649:       
                   4650:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   4651:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   4652:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   4653:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   4654:          } else{
                   4655:            if(first==1){
                   4656:              first=0;
                   4657:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   4658:            }
                   4659:          }
                   4660:        } 
                   4661:       }/* end jk */ 
                   4662:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  4663:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  4664:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  4665:   
1.227     brouard  4666:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   4667:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
                   4668:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+3+AGEMARGE);
                   4669: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  4670: 
                   4671: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   4672: 
                   4673: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   4674: {
                   4675:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   4676:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   4677:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   4678:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   4679:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  4680:   */
1.126     brouard  4681: 
1.224     brouard  4682:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  4683:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   4684:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  4685:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  4686:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   4687:   double sum=0.;
                   4688:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  4689:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  4690:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  4691:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  4692:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  4693:   jmax=-1;
                   4694:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  4695: 
                   4696: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  4697:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  4698:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  4699:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  4700:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  4701:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  4702:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   4703:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   4704:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   4705:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   4706:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  4707:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   4708:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  4709:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  4710:       }
1.227     brouard  4711:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  4712: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  4713:        break;
1.224     brouard  4714: #else
1.227     brouard  4715:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   4716:          if(firsthree == 0){
                   4717:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as pi. .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m);
                   4718:            firsthree=1;
                   4719:          }
                   4720:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as pi. .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m);
                   4721:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   4722:          mli=m;
                   4723:        }
                   4724:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   4725:          nbwarn++;
                   4726:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   4727:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   4728:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   4729:          }
                   4730:          break;
                   4731:        }
                   4732:        break;
1.224     brouard  4733: #endif
1.227     brouard  4734:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  4735:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  4736: 
1.227     brouard  4737:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  4738:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  4739: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  4740:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  4741:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   4742:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  4743:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   4744:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  4745:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  4746:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.224     brouard  4747:     }
                   4748: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.227     brouard  4749:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) { /* Status is negative. A death occured after lastpass, we can't take it into account because of potential bias */
1.216     brouard  4750:       /* m++; */
                   4751:       /* mi++; */
                   4752:       /* s[m][i]=nlstate+1;  /\* We are setting the status to the last of non live state *\/ */
                   4753:       /* mw[mi][i]=m; */
1.218     brouard  4754:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  4755:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   4756:          nbwarn++;
                   4757:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   4758:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   4759:            firstfiv=1;
                   4760:          }else{
                   4761:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   4762:          }
                   4763:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   4764:          nberr++;
                   4765:          if(firstwo==0){
                   4766:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   4767:            firstwo=1;
                   4768:          }
                   4769:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   4770:        }
1.218     brouard  4771:       }else{ /* end date of interview is known */
1.227     brouard  4772:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   4773:        if(firstfour==0){
                   4774:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   4775:          firstfour=1;
                   4776:        }
                   4777:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  4778:       }
1.224     brouard  4779:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   4780: #endif
                   4781:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   4782:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  4783:     if(mi==0){
                   4784:       nbwarn++;
                   4785:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  4786:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   4787:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  4788:       }
                   4789:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  4790:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  4791:       }
                   4792:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   4793:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  4794:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  4795:        
1.214     brouard  4796:   
1.126     brouard  4797:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   4798:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   4799:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  4800:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  4801:       else{
1.227     brouard  4802:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death */
                   4803:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   4804:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   4805:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   4806:            else if(j<0){
                   4807:              nberr++;
                   4808:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   4809:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   4810:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   4811:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   4812:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   4813:            }
                   4814:            k=k+1;
                   4815:            if (j >= jmax){
                   4816:              jmax=j;
                   4817:              ijmax=i;
                   4818:            }
                   4819:            if (j <= jmin){
                   4820:              jmin=j;
                   4821:              ijmin=i;
                   4822:            }
                   4823:            sum=sum+j;
                   4824:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   4825:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   4826:          }
                   4827:        }
                   4828:        else{
                   4829:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  4830: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  4831:                                        
1.227     brouard  4832:          k=k+1;
                   4833:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   4834:            jmax=j;
                   4835:            ijmax=i;
                   4836:          }
                   4837:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   4838:            jmin=j;
                   4839:            ijmin=i;
                   4840:          }
                   4841:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   4842:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   4843:          if(j<0){
                   4844:            nberr++;
                   4845:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   4846:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   4847:          }
                   4848:          sum=sum+j;
                   4849:        }
                   4850:        jk= j/stepm;
                   4851:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   4852:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   4853:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   4854:          if(jl==0){
                   4855:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   4856:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   4857:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   4858:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   4859:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   4860:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   4861:          }
                   4862:        }else{
                   4863:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   4864:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   4865:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   4866:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   4867:                                 */
                   4868:          }
                   4869:          else{
                   4870:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   4871:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   4872:          }
                   4873:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   4874:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   4875:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   4876:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   4877:          }
                   4878:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  4879:       }
                   4880:     } /* end wave */
                   4881:   }
                   4882:   jmean=sum/k;
                   4883:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  4884:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  4885: }
1.126     brouard  4886: 
                   4887: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  4888:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  4889:  {
                   4890:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   4891:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   4892:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   4893:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   4894:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   4895:     */
1.130     brouard  4896: 
1.242     brouard  4897:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   4898:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   4899:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   4900:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  4901: 
                   4902: 
1.242     brouard  4903:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   4904:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  4905:  
1.242     brouard  4906:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  4907: 
1.242     brouard  4908:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   4909:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   4910:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   4911:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   4912:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   4913:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   4914:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   4915:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   4916:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   4917:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   4918:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   4919:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   4920:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   4921:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   4922:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   4923:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   4924:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   4925:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   4926:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   4927:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   4928:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   4929:             exit(1);
                   4930:           }else
                   4931:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   4932:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   4933:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   4934:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   4935:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   4936:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   4937:           */
                   4938:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   4939:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   4940:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   4941:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   4942:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   4943:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   4944:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   4945:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   4946:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   4947:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   4948:             if( j != -1){
                   4949:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   4950:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   4951:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   4952:             }
                   4953:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   4954:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   4955:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   4956:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   4957:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   4958:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  4959:                        
1.242     brouard  4960:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   4961:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   4962:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   4963:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   4964:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   4965:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   4966:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   4967:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   4968:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   4969:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   4970:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   4971:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   4972:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   4973:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   4974:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   4975:             break;
                   4976:           }
                   4977:           ij++;
                   4978:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   4979:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   4980:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   4981:         break;
                   4982:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   4983:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   4984:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   4985:         ij=0;
                   4986:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   4987:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   4988:         }
                   4989:         break;
                   4990:        default:
                   4991:         break;
                   4992:        } /* end switch */
                   4993:      } /* end dummy test */
                   4994:     
                   4995:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   4996:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   4997:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   4998:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   4999:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5000:      /*        } */
                   5001:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5002:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5003:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5004:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5005:      /*          break; */
                   5006:      /*        } */
                   5007:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5008:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5009:   
                   5010:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5011:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5012:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5013:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5014:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5015:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5016:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5017:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5018:   
                   5019:    ij=0;
                   5020:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5021:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5022:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5023:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5024:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5025:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5026:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5027:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5028:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5029:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5030:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5031:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5032:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5033:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5034:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5035:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5036:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5037:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5038:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5039:      } 
                   5040:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5041:    /* ij--; */
                   5042:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5043:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5044:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5045:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5046:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5047:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5048:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5049:    }
                   5050:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5051:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5052:    }
                   5053:    /* To be sorted */
                   5054:    ;
                   5055:  }
1.126     brouard  5056: 
1.145     brouard  5057: 
1.126     brouard  5058: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5059: 
1.235     brouard  5060:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5061: 
                   5062: {
                   5063:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5064:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5065:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5066:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5067:   double ***p3mat;
                   5068:   double eip;
                   5069: 
1.238     brouard  5070:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5071:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5072:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5073:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5074:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5075:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5076:     }
                   5077:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5078:   }
                   5079:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5080: 
                   5081:   
                   5082:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5083:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5084:   }
                   5085:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5086:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5087:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5088:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5089:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5090:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5091:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5092:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5093:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5094:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5095:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5096: 
                   5097:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5098:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5099:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5100:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5101:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5102:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5103:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5104:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5105:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5106:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5107:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5108:   */
                   5109:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5110: 
                   5111:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5112:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5113:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5114:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5115:     
                   5116: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5117:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5118:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5119:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5120:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5121:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5122: 
                   5123:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5124:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5125:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5126:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5127:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5128: 
                   5129:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5130:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5131:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5132:     
1.235     brouard  5133:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5134:     
                   5135:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5136:     
                   5137:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5138:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5139:     
                   5140:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5141:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5142:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5143:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5144:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5145:          
                   5146:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5147: 
                   5148:        }
                   5149: 
                   5150:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5151:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5152:       eip=0;
                   5153:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5154:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5155:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5156:       }
                   5157:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5158:     }
                   5159:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5160:     
                   5161:   }
                   5162:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5163:   printf("\n");
                   5164:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5165:   
                   5166: }
                   5167: 
1.235     brouard  5168:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5169: 
                   5170: {
                   5171:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5172:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5173:   */
                   5174:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5175:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5176:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5177:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5178:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5179:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5180:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5181:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5182:   int theta;
                   5183: 
                   5184:   double eip, vip;
                   5185: 
                   5186:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5187:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5188:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5189:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5190:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5191:   
                   5192:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5193:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5194:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5195:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5196:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5197:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5198:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5199:   }
                   5200:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5201: 
                   5202:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5203:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5204:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5205:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5206:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5207:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5208:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5209:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5210:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5211:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5212:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5213:        }
                   5214:     }
                   5215:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5216:   
                   5217:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5218:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5219:   }
                   5220:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5221:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5222:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5223:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5224:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5225:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5226:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5227:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5228:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5229:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5230:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5231: 
                   5232:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5233:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5234:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5235:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5236:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5237:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5238:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5239:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5240:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5241:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5242:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5243:   */
                   5244:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5245: 
                   5246:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5247:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5248:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5249:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5250:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5251:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5252:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5253:   
                   5254:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5255:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5256:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5257:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5258:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5259:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5260: 
                   5261:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5262:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5263:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5264:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5265:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5266:                
1.126     brouard  5267:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5268:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5269:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5270:     
                   5271:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5272:                
1.126     brouard  5273:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5274:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5275:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5276:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5277:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5278:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5279:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5280:       }
1.235     brouard  5281:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5282:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5283:                        
1.126     brouard  5284:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5285:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5286:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5287:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5288:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5289:          }
                   5290:        }
1.126     brouard  5291:       }
1.218     brouard  5292:                        
1.126     brouard  5293:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5294:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5295:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5296:        }
1.126     brouard  5297:     }/* End theta */
                   5298:     
                   5299:     
                   5300:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5301:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5302:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5303:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5304:     
1.218     brouard  5305:                
1.222     brouard  5306:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5307:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5308:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5309:                
1.222     brouard  5310:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5311:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5312:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5313:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5314:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5315:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5316:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5317:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5318:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5319:       }
                   5320:     }
1.218     brouard  5321:                
1.126     brouard  5322:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5323:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5324:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5325:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5326:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5327:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5328:                                        
1.222     brouard  5329:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5330:                                        
1.222     brouard  5331:        }
1.218     brouard  5332:                
1.126     brouard  5333:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5334:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5335:       eip=0.;
                   5336:       vip=0.;
                   5337:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5338:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5339:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5340:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5341:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5342:       }
                   5343:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5344:     }
                   5345:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5346:                
1.126     brouard  5347:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5348:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5349:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5350:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5351:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5352:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5353:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5354:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5355:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5356:          }
1.126     brouard  5357:       }
                   5358:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5359:                
1.126     brouard  5360:   }
                   5361:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5362:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5363:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5364:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5365:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5366:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5367:   printf("\n");
                   5368:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5369:        
1.126     brouard  5370:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5371:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5372:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5373:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5374:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5375: }
1.218     brouard  5376:  
1.126     brouard  5377: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5378:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5379:  {
                   5380:    /* Variance of health expectancies */
                   5381:    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   5382:    /* double **newm;*/
                   5383:    /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/
                   5384:   
                   5385:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5386:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5387:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5388:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5389:    int k;
                   5390:    double *xp;
                   5391:    double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */
                   5392:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */
                   5393:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */
                   5394:    double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */
                   5395:    double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
                   5396:    double ***p3mat;
                   5397:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5398:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5399:    int theta;
                   5400:    char digit[4];
                   5401:    char digitp[25];
                   5402: 
                   5403:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5404: 
                   5405:    if(popbased==1){
                   5406:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5407:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5408:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5409:    }
                   5410:    else 
                   5411:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5412: 
1.218     brouard  5413:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5414:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5415:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5416:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5417:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5418:    /*   } */
                   5419:    /* } */
                   5420: 
                   5421:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5422:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5423:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5424:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5425:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5426:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5427:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5428:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5429:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5430:    }
                   5431:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5432:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5433:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5434:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5435:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5436:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5437:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5438:    }
                   5439:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5440:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5441:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5442: 
1.218     brouard  5443:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5444:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5445:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5446:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5447:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5448:    }  
                   5449:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5450:   
                   5451:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5452:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5453:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5454:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5455:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
                   5456:    /*   } */
                   5457:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5458:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5459:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5460:    if(popbased==1)
                   5461:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5462:    else
                   5463:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5464:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5465:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5466:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5467:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5468:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5469: 
                   5470:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5471:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5472:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5473:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5474:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5475: 
                   5476:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5477:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5478:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5479:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5480:   
1.218     brouard  5481:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5482:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5483:    }
                   5484:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5485:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5486:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5487:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5488:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5489:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5490:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5491:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5492:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5493:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5494:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5495:    */
                   5496:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5497:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5498:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5499:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5500:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5501:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5502:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5503:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5504:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5505:                
                   5506:                
                   5507:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5508:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5509:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5510:        }
                   5511:                        
1.242     brouard  5512:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5513:                        
                   5514:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5515:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5516:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5517:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5518:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5519:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5520:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5521:         }
                   5522:        }
                   5523:                        
1.235     brouard  5524:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */
1.218     brouard  5525:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5526:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5527:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5528:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5529:         }
                   5530:        }
                   5531:        /* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5532:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5533:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5534:        */
                   5535:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5536:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5537:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5538:        }    
                   5539:        /* end probability of death */
                   5540:                        
                   5541:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5542:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5543:                        
1.242     brouard  5544:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5545:                        
                   5546:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5547:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5548:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5549:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5550:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5551:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5552:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5553:         }
                   5554:        }
                   5555:                        
1.235     brouard  5556:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5557:                        
                   5558:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5559:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5560:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5561:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5562:         }
                   5563:        }
                   5564:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5565:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5566:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5567:        */
                   5568:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5569:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5570:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5571:        }    
                   5572:        /* end probability of death */
                   5573:                        
                   5574:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5575:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5576:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5577:         }
                   5578:                        
                   5579:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
                   5580:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5581:        }
                   5582:                        
                   5583:      } /* End theta */
                   5584:                
                   5585:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   5586:                
                   5587:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   5588:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5589:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5590:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   5591:                
                   5592:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   5593:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5594:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
                   5595:                
                   5596:                
                   5597:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5598:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5599:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5600:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
                   5601:                
                   5602:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   5603:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   5604:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5605:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5606:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5607:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5608:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   5609:        }
                   5610:      }
                   5611:                
                   5612:      /* pptj */
                   5613:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5614:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   5615:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   5616:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   5617:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   5618:      /* end ppptj */
                   5619:      /*  x centered again */
                   5620:                
1.242     brouard  5621:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5622:                
                   5623:      if (popbased==1) {
                   5624:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   5625:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5626:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5627:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5628:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5629:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5630:        }
                   5631:      }
                   5632:                
                   5633:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5634:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5635:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5636:      */
1.235     brouard  5637:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5638:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5639:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   5640:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   5641:      }    
                   5642:      /* end probability of death */
                   5643:                
                   5644:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   5645:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5646:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   5647:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5648:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   5649:        }
                   5650:      } 
                   5651:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5652:                
                   5653:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   5654:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5655:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5656:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   5657:        }
                   5658:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5659:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5660:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5661:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5662:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5663:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5664:    } /* End age */
                   5665:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5666:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5667:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5668:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   5669:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   5670:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   5671:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   5672:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   5673:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   5674:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   5675:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   5676:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   5677:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   5678:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   5679:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   5680:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   5681:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   5682:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  5683:     */
1.218     brouard  5684:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   5685:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  5686: 
1.218     brouard  5687:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5688:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5689:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5690:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5691:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5692:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5693:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5694:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5695:    fflush(ficgp);
                   5696:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   5697:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  5698: 
                   5699: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.235     brouard  5700:  void varprevlim(char fileres[], double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  5701: {
1.205     brouard  5702:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  5703:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  5704: 
1.126     brouard  5705:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5706:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   5707:   double *xp;
                   5708:   double *gp, *gm;
                   5709:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  5710:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  5711:   double age,agelim;
                   5712:   int theta;
                   5713:   
                   5714:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   5715:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  5716:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   5717:   if(nresult >=1)
                   5718:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  5719:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5720:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   5721:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   5722: 
                   5723:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5724:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5725:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5726:   
                   5727:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   5728:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5729:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   5730:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5731:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5732:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   5733:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   5734:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  5735:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5736:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  5737:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   5738:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   5739: 
                   5740:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5741:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   5742:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5743:       }
1.209     brouard  5744:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  5745:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  5746:       else
1.235     brouard  5747:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  5748:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  5749:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  5750:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   5751:       }
1.126     brouard  5752:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   5753:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  5754:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  5755:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  5756:       else
1.235     brouard  5757:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  5758:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  5759:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  5760:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   5761:       }
1.126     brouard  5762:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5763:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  5764:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  5765:     } /* End theta */
                   5766: 
                   5767:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5768: 
                   5769:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5770:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5771:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  5772:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   5773:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   5774:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   5775:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   5776:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   5777:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   5778:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   5779:     /*   } */
                   5780:     /* } */
                   5781:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   5782:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   5783:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   5784:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   5785:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   5786:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   5787:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   5788:     /*   } */
                   5789:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  5790: 
                   5791:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5792:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  5793:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.205     brouard  5794:     matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5795:     matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   5796:     }else{
1.126     brouard  5797:     matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5798:     matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  5799:     }
1.126     brouard  5800:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5801:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   5802: 
                   5803:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  5804:     if(nresult >=1)
                   5805:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  5806:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5807:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   5808:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   5809:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   5810:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  5811:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5812:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  5813:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5814:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5815:   } /* End age */
                   5816: 
                   5817:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5818:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5819:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5820: 
                   5821: }
                   5822: 
                   5823: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   5824: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  5825:  {
                   5826:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   5827:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   5828:    int k=0, l;
                   5829:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   5830:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   5831:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5832:    double *xp;
                   5833:    double *gp, *gm;
                   5834:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   5835:    double **mu;
                   5836:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   5837:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   5838:    int theta;
                   5839:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5840:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5841:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5842:    double ***varpij;
                   5843: 
                   5844:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   5845:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   5846:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5847:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   5848:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   5849:    }
                   5850:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   5851:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   5852:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5853:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   5854:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   5855:    }
                   5856:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   5857:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   5858:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5859:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   5860:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   5861:    }
                   5862:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   5863:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   5864:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   5865:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   5866:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   5867:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   5868:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   5869:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   5870:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   5871:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   5872:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   5873:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   5874:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   5875:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   5876:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  5877: 
                   5878: 
1.222     brouard  5879:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5880:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5881:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5882:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   5883:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   5884:      }  
                   5885:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   5886:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   5887:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   5888:    */
                   5889:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5890:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   5891:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   5892:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5893:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5894:    first=1;
                   5895:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   5896:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   5897:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   5898: 
                   5899:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back.</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov);
                   5900:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   5901:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  5902: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   5903:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  5904:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  5905: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   5906: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   5907: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   5908:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   5909:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   5910: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   5911: 
1.222     brouard  5912:    cov[1]=1;
                   5913:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  5914:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  5915:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   5916:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  5917:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  5918:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   5919:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  5920:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  5921:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   5922:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  5923:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  5924:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  5925:                        
1.222     brouard  5926:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  5927:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  5928:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  5929:                        
                   5930:                        
1.222     brouard  5931:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  5932:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  5933:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  5934:                        
1.222     brouard  5935:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  5936:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  5937:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   5938:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   5939:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   5940:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   5941:         continue;
                   5942:        }
                   5943:      }
                   5944:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   5945:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   5946:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   5947:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   5948:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5949:        cov[2]=age;
                   5950:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   5951:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   5952:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   5953:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   5954:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   5955:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   5956:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   5957:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   5958:                                                                    */
                   5959:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   5960:        }
                   5961:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   5962:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   5963:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   5964:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  5965:                        
                   5966:                        
1.222     brouard  5967:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5968:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   5969:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  5970:                                
1.222     brouard  5971:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  5972:                                
1.222     brouard  5973:         k=0;
                   5974:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   5975:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5976:             k=k+1;
                   5977:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   5978:           }
                   5979:         }
1.220     brouard  5980:                                
1.222     brouard  5981:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   5982:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  5983:                                
1.222     brouard  5984:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   5985:         k=0;
                   5986:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   5987:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5988:             k=k+1;
                   5989:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   5990:           }
                   5991:         }
1.220     brouard  5992:                                
1.222     brouard  5993:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   5994:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   5995:        }
1.126     brouard  5996: 
1.222     brouard  5997:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   5998:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5999:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6000:                        
1.222     brouard  6001:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6002:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6003:                        
1.222     brouard  6004:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6005:                        
1.222     brouard  6006:        k=0;
                   6007:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6008:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6009:           k=k+1;
                   6010:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6011:         }
                   6012:        }
                   6013:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6014:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6015:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6016:                        
1.222     brouard  6017:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6018:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6019:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6020:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6021:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6022:                        
1.222     brouard  6023:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6024:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6025:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6026:                        
1.222     brouard  6027:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6028:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6029:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6030:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6031:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6032:        }
                   6033:        i=0;
                   6034:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6035:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6036:           i++;
                   6037:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6038:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6039:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6040:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6041:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6042:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6043:           }
                   6044:         }
                   6045:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6046:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6047:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6048:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6049:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6050:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6051:     
                   6052:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6053:      /*
                   6054:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6055:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6056:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6057:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6058:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6059:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6060:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6061:      */
                   6062:                
                   6063:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6064:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6065:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6066:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6067:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6068:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6069:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6070:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6071:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6072:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6073:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6074:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6075:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6076:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6077:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6078:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6079:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6080:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6081:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6082:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6083:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6084:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6085:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6086:                   if(first2==1){
                   6087:                     first1=0;
                   6088:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6089:                   }
                   6090:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6091:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6092:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6093:                 }
1.220     brouard  6094:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6095:                 /* Eigen vectors */
                   6096:                 v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                   6097:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6098:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6099:                 v12=-v21;
                   6100:                 v22=v11;
                   6101:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6102:                 if(first1==1){
                   6103:                   first1=0;
                   6104:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6105:                 }
                   6106:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6107:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6108:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6109:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6110:                 if(first==1){
                   6111:                   first=0;
                   6112:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6113:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6114:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6115:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6116:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6117:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6118: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6119:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6120:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6121:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6122:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6123:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6124:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6125:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6126:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
                   6127:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),                                                                         \
                   6128:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                   6129:                 }else{
                   6130:                   first=0;
                   6131:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6132:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6133:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6134:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
                   6135:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(lc2),                                 \
                   6136:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(lc2));
                   6137:                 }/* if first */
                   6138:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6139:             } /* end loop age */
                   6140:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6141:             first=1;
                   6142:           } /*l12 */
                   6143:         } /* k12 */
                   6144:        } /*l1 */
                   6145:      }/* k1 */
                   6146:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6147:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6148:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6149:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6150:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6151:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6152:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6153:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6154:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6155:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6156:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6157:  }
1.126     brouard  6158: 
                   6159: 
                   6160: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6161: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6162:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6163:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.217     brouard  6164:                  int popforecast, int prevfcast, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.213     brouard  6165:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, \
                   6166:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2){
1.237     brouard  6167:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6168: 
                   6169:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6170:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6171: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6172:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6173: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6174:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6175:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6176:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6177:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6178:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6179:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6180:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6181:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6182:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6183:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6184:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6185:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6186:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6187:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6188:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6189:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6190:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6191:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6192:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6193:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6194:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6195:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6196:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6197:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6198:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6199:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6200:    }
1.126     brouard  6201: 
1.222     brouard  6202:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6203: 
1.225     brouard  6204:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6205:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6206: 
1.222     brouard  6207:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6208: 
                   6209:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6210:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  6211:      if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6212:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6213: 
1.222     brouard  6214:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6215:      jj1++;
                   6216:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6217:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6218:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6219:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6220:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6221:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6222:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6223:        }
1.237     brouard  6224:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6225:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6226:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6227:       }
                   6228:        
1.230     brouard  6229:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6230:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6231:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6232:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6233:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6234:         continue;
                   6235:        }
                   6236:      }
                   6237:      /* aij, bij */
1.241     brouard  6238:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: 1+age+%s), for example: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age + V1 age + etc. as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6239: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6240:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6241:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6242: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6243:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6244:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6245:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6246:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6247: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6248: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6249:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6250:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6251:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6252: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6253:      }
                   6254:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6255:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6256:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6257:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6258:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6259:      }
                   6260:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6261:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6262:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6263: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6264:      }
                   6265:      if(backcast==1){
                   6266:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6267:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6268:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6269: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6270:        }
1.217     brouard  6271:      }
1.222     brouard  6272:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6273:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6274:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6275:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f) up to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6276: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6277:        }
                   6278:      }
1.220     brouard  6279:         
1.222     brouard  6280:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6281:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6282: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6283:      }
                   6284:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6285:    }/* End k1 */
                   6286:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6287: 
1.222     brouard  6288:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6289: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6290:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6291:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6292: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6293: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6294: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6295: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6296: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6297: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6298: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6299: 
1.222     brouard  6300:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6301:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6302:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6303:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6304:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6305: 
1.222     brouard  6306:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6307:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6308:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6309:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6310:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6311:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6312:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6313:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6314:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6315:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6316:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6317:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6318:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6319:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6320:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6321:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6322:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6323:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6324:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6325:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6326: 
                   6327: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6328: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6329: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6330: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6331: /*  else  */
                   6332: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6333:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6334:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6335: 
1.225     brouard  6336:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6337:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6338: 
1.222     brouard  6339:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6340: 
1.241     brouard  6341:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6342:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.237     brouard  6343:      if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6344:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6345:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6346:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6347:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6348:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6349:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6350:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6351:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6352:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6353:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6354:       }
                   6355: 
1.126     brouard  6356:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6357: 
1.222     brouard  6358:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6359:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6360:         continue;
                   6361:        }
1.126     brouard  6362:      }
                   6363:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.218     brouard  6364:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6365: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
                   6366: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6367:      }
                   6368:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6369: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6370: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6371:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6372:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6373: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6374:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6375:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6376:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6377:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6378:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6379: }
                   6380: 
                   6381: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.223     brouard  6382: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  6383: 
                   6384:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.223     brouard  6385:   char gplotcondition[132];
1.237     brouard  6386:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  6387:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  6388:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  6389:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  6390:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.235     brouard  6391:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.219     brouard  6392: 
1.126     brouard  6393: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   6394: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   6395: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   6396: /*   } */
                   6397: 
                   6398:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   6399:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  6400:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  6401:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  6402: 
1.202     brouard  6403:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   6404:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  6405:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   6406:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   6407:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   6408:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  6409: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  6410:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   6411: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  6412:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   6413:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   6414:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   6415:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   6416:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   6417:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   6418:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   6419:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   6420:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   6421:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   6422:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   6423:     }
                   6424:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   6425:   }
                   6426:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   6427:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   6428:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   6429:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   6430:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  6431: 
1.126     brouard  6432:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   6433:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  6434:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  6435:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   6436:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  6437:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  6438:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
                   6439:        if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6440:          continue;
                   6441:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  6442:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  6443:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
                   6444:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   6445:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6446:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6447:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6448:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6449:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   6450:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  6451:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  6452:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6453:        }
                   6454:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  6455:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  6456:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6457:        }       
1.246     brouard  6458:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  6459:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6460:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6461:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6462:          continue;
                   6463:        }
1.235     brouard  6464:       
1.241     brouard  6465:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   6466:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
                   6467:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres);
1.235     brouard  6468:       
1.238     brouard  6469:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   6470:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6471:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6472:        }
1.242     brouard  6473:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  6474:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   6475:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6476:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6477:        } 
1.242     brouard  6478:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  6479:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   6480:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6481:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6482:        }  
                   6483:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1));
                   6484:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   6485:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  6486:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  6487:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  6488:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  6489:          }else{
                   6490:            kl=0;
                   6491:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   6492:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   6493:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6494:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6495:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6496:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  6497:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  6498:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   6499:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   6500:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   6501:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   6502:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  6503:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  6504:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  6505:              }else{
                   6506:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   6507:                kl++;
                   6508:              }
                   6509:            } /* end covariate */
                   6510:          } /* end if no covariate */
                   6511:        } /* end if backcast */
                   6512:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \n");
                   6513:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  6514:     } /* k1 */
                   6515:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  6516: 
                   6517:   
1.126     brouard  6518:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  6519:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   6520:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6521:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6522:        continue;
                   6523:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
                   6524:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  6525:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  6526:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6527:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6528:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6529:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6530:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  6531:       }
1.237     brouard  6532:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  6533:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  6534:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  6535:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  6536:       }
1.211     brouard  6537:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  6538:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6539:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6540:        continue;
                   6541:       }
1.219     brouard  6542:                        
1.241     brouard  6543:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  6544:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
                   6545:        if(vpopbased==0)
                   6546:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
                   6547:        else
                   6548:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   6549:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   6550:          k=2*i;
                   6551:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1, vpopbased);
                   6552:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   6553:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6554:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6555:          }   
                   6556:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   6557:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
                   6558:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased);
                   6559:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   6560:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6561:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6562:          }   
                   6563:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
                   6564:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),k1-1,k1-1,vpopbased);
                   6565:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   6566:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   6567:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   6568:          }   
                   6569:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   6570:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   6571:        } /* state */
                   6572:       } /* vpopbased */
1.244     brouard  6573:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  6574:     } /* end nres */
                   6575:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   6576:        
                   6577:        
                   6578:   /*3eme*/
                   6579:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   6580:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.240     brouard  6581:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  6582:        continue;
                   6583: 
                   6584:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
                   6585:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   6586:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   6587:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6588:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6589:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6590:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6591:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6592:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6593:        }
                   6594:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6595:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6596:        }       
                   6597:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6598:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6599:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6600:          continue;
                   6601:        }
                   6602:                        
                   6603:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   6604:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  6605:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  6606:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.201     brouard  6607: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  6608:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   6609:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   6610:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   6611:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   6612:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   6613:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  6614:                                
1.238     brouard  6615:        */
                   6616:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
                   6617:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
                   6618:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  6619:                                
1.238     brouard  6620:        } 
                   6621:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),k1-1,k1-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
                   6622:       }
                   6623:     } /* end nres */
                   6624:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  6625:   
1.223     brouard  6626:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  6627:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  6628:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   6629:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6630:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  6631:        continue;
1.238     brouard  6632:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
                   6633:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   6634:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   6635:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6636:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6637:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6638:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6639:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6640:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6641:        }
                   6642:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6643:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6644:        }       
                   6645:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6646:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6647:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6648:          continue;
1.223     brouard  6649:        }
1.238     brouard  6650:       
1.241     brouard  6651:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  6652:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   6653: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   6654:        k=3;
                   6655:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   6656:          if(i==1){
                   6657:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   6658:          }else{
                   6659:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   6660:          }
                   6661:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   6662:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   6663:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   6664:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   6665:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   6666:        } /* nlstate */
                   6667:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
                   6668:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   6669:     } /* end nres */
                   6670:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   6671: 
1.220     brouard  6672: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  6673:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  6674:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   6675:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6676:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  6677:        continue;
1.238     brouard  6678:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
                   6679:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   6680:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   6681:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6682:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6683:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6684:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6685:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6686:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6687:        }
                   6688:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6689:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6690:        }       
                   6691:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6692:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6693:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6694:          continue;
                   6695:        }
1.227     brouard  6696:       
1.241     brouard  6697:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  6698:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   6699: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   6700:        k=3;
                   6701:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   6702:          if(j==1)
                   6703:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   6704:          else
                   6705:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   6706:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   6707:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   6708:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   6709:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   6710:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   6711:        } /* nlstate */
                   6712:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   6713:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   6714:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   6715:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   6716:          if(j < nlstate)
                   6717:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   6718:          else
                   6719:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   6720:        }
                   6721:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
                   6722:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   6723:     } /* end covariate */  
                   6724:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  6725:   
1.220     brouard  6726: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  6727:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  6728:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   6729:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6730:     if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6731:       continue;
1.153     brouard  6732:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.227     brouard  6733:       
1.211     brouard  6734:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  6735:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  6736:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6737:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6738:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6739:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6740:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6741:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  6742:       }
1.237     brouard  6743:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6744:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6745:       }        
1.211     brouard  6746:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  6747:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  6748:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6749:        continue;
1.223     brouard  6750:       }
1.227     brouard  6751:       
1.241     brouard  6752:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.126     brouard  6753:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  6754: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  6755:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.153     brouard  6756:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
1.227     brouard  6757:        if(i==1)
                   6758:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   6759:        else
                   6760:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   6761:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   6762:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   6763:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   6764:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   6765:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  6766:       } /* nlstate */
1.201     brouard  6767:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
1.153     brouard  6768:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   6769:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  6770:   
                   6771:   
1.220     brouard  6772: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  6773:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  6774:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  6775:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   6776:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6777:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6778:        continue;
1.218     brouard  6779:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.227     brouard  6780:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   6781:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   6782:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   6783:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6784:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  6785:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  6786:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6787:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6788:        }
1.237     brouard  6789:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6790:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6791:        }       
1.227     brouard  6792:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6793:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6794:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6795:          continue;
                   6796:        }
                   6797:        
1.241     brouard  6798:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.227     brouard  6799:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  6800: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  6801:        k=3; /* Offset */
                   6802:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   6803:          if(i==1)
                   6804:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6805:          else
                   6806:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   6807:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
                   6808:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1;
                   6809:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   6810:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   6811:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /* a vérifier */
                   6812:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   6813:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   6814:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
                   6815:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   6816:        } /* nlstate */
                   6817:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
1.218     brouard  6818:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   6819:     } /* end covariate */  
                   6820:   } /* End if backcast */
                   6821:   
1.223     brouard  6822:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  6823:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   6824:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   6825:     
1.237     brouard  6826:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   6827:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6828:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6829:        continue;
1.211     brouard  6830:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.227     brouard  6831:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   6832:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   6833:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   6834:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6835:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6836:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6837:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   6838:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   6839:        }
1.237     brouard  6840:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6841:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6842:        }       
1.227     brouard  6843:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   6844:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6845:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6846:          continue;
                   6847:        }
                   6848:        
                   6849:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  6850:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.227     brouard  6851:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  6852: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  6853:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   6854:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   6855:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   6856:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   6857:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   6858:          if(i==1){
                   6859:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   6860:          }else{
                   6861:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   6862:          }
                   6863:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   6864:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   6865:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   6866:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   6867:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   6868:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   6869:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   6870:            if(i==nlstate+1)
                   6871:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'pw.%d' with line ",      \
                   6872:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   6873:            else
                   6874:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   6875:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   6876:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
                   6877:            if(cptcoveff ==1){
                   6878:              ioffset=4; /* Age is in 4 */
                   6879:            }else{
                   6880:              ioffset=6; /* Age is in 6 */
                   6881:              /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   6882:              /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   6883:            }   
                   6884:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   6885:            kl=0;
                   6886:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   6887:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   6888:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   6889:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   6890:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   6891:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   6892:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   6893:              kl++;
                   6894:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   6895:              kl++;
                   6896:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   6897:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   6898:            }
                   6899:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   6900:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   6901:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   6902:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   6903:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   6904:            if(i==nlstate+1){
                   6905:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p.%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   6906:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   6907:            }else{
                   6908:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   6909:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   6910:            }
                   6911:          } /* end if covariate */
                   6912:        } /* nlstate */
                   6913:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out\n");
1.223     brouard  6914:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   6915:     } /* end covariate */
                   6916:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  6917:   
                   6918:   
1.238     brouard  6919:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   6920:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  6921:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  6922:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  6923:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   6924:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  6925:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   6926:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   6927:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   6928:          jk++; 
                   6929:        }
                   6930:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  6931:       }
                   6932:     }
1.223     brouard  6933:   }
1.187     brouard  6934:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  6935:   
1.145     brouard  6936:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  6937:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   6938:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  6939:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   6940:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   6941:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   6942:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   6943:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   6944:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   6945:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   6946:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   6947:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   6948:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   6949:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   6950:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   6951:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  6952:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  6953:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  6954:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  6955:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.237     brouard  6956:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   jk=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   6957:     for(jk=1; jk <=m; jk++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6958:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   6959:       if(TKresult[nres]!= jk)
                   6960:        continue;
                   6961:       fprintf(ficgp,"# Combination of dummy  jk=%d and ",jk);
                   6962:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6963:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6964:       }        
                   6965:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.241     brouard  6966:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),jk,ng,nres);
1.223     brouard  6967:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   6968:       if (ng==1){
                   6969:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   6970:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   6971:       }else if (ng==2){
                   6972:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   6973:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   6974:       }else if (ng==3){
                   6975:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   6976:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   6977:       }else
                   6978:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   6979:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   6980:       i=1;
                   6981:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   6982:        k3=i;
                   6983:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   6984:          if (k != k2){
                   6985:            switch( ng) {
                   6986:            case 1:
                   6987:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   6988:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   6989:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   6990:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   6991:              break;
                   6992:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   6993:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   6994:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   6995:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   6996:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   6997:              break;
                   6998:            case 3:
                   6999:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7000:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7001:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7002:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7003:              break;
                   7004:            }
                   7005:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7006:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7007:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7008:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7009:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.237     brouard  7010:              if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age */
                   7011:                if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
1.238     brouard  7012:                  if(DummyV[j]==0){
1.237     brouard  7013:                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7014:                  }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7015:                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7016:                    /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7017:                  }
                   7018:                  ij++;
                   7019:                }
                   7020:              }else if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7021:                /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7022:                if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
1.238     brouard  7023:                  if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7024:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
1.237     brouard  7025:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(jk,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(jk,j)]); */
                   7026:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7027:                    }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7028:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(jk,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7029:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7030:                    }
                   7031:                  }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
1.238     brouard  7032:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
1.237     brouard  7033:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7034:                    }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7035:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7036:                    }
                   7037:                  }
1.238     brouard  7038:                  ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7039:                }
                   7040:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
                   7041:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(jk,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
                   7042:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7043:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7044:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7045:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.223     brouard  7046:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7047:                }
1.237     brouard  7048:              } /* end simple */
                   7049:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7050:          }else{
                   7051:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7052:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7053:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7054:          }
1.227     brouard  7055:          
1.223     brouard  7056:          if(ng != 1){
                   7057:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7058:            
1.223     brouard  7059:            for(k1=1; k1 <=nlstate; k1++){ 
                   7060:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7061:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1);
                   7062:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7063:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7064:               
1.223     brouard  7065:              ij=1;
                   7066:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.237     brouard  7067:                if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7068:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
1.223     brouard  7069:                    fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);
                   7070:                    /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7071:                    ij++;
                   7072:                  }
                   7073:                }
                   7074:                else
1.225     brouard  7075:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(k1-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(jk,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7076:              }
                   7077:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7078:            }
                   7079:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7080:            if(ng ==2)
                   7081:              fprintf(ficgp," t \"p%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                   7082:            else /* ng= 3 */
                   7083:              fprintf(ficgp," t \"i%d%d\" ", k2,k);
                   7084:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7085:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
                   7086:              fprintf(ficgp," t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ", k2,k);
                   7087:          }
                   7088:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7089:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7090:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7091:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7092:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7093:        } /* end k */
                   7094:       } /* end k2 */
                   7095:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out\n");
                   7096:     } /* end jk */
                   7097:   } /* end ng */
                   7098:   /* avoid: */
                   7099:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7100: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7101: 
                   7102: 
                   7103: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7104: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7105:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7106:    
1.222     brouard  7107:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7108:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7109:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7110:    int iage=0;
                   7111: 
                   7112:    double sum=0.;
                   7113:    double age;
                   7114:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm;
                   7115:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; /* Currently identical for all covariates */
                   7116:   
                   7117:   
1.225     brouard  7118:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/\* Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
1.222     brouard  7119:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax  *\/ */
                   7120: 
                   7121:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7122:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7123:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
                   7124:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7125: 
                   7126:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   7127:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   7128:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   7129:      agemingood[cptcod]=0;
                   7130:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0;
                   7131:    }
                   7132:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   7133:   
                   7134:    if(mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   7135:      if(mobilav==1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
                   7136:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   7137:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   7138:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   7139:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   7140:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7141:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   7142:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   7143:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   7144:      */ 
                   7145:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   7146:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
                   7147:         for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7148:           for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   7149:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7150:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   7151:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   7152:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   7153:             }
                   7154:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
                   7155:           }
                   7156:         }
                   7157:        }/* end age */
                   7158:      }/* end mob */
                   7159:    }else
                   7160:      return -1;
                   7161:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   7162:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   7163:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   7164:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   7165:        continue;
                   7166:      }
1.219     brouard  7167: 
1.222     brouard  7168:      agemingood[cptcod]=fage-(mob-1)/2;
                   7169:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, finding the youngest wrong */
                   7170:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   7171:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7172:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7173:        }
                   7174:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   7175:         agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   7176:        }else{ /* bad */
                   7177:         for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7178:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7179:         } /* i */
                   7180:        } /* end bad */
                   7181:      }/* age */
                   7182:      sum=0.;
                   7183:      for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7184:        sum+=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7185:      }
                   7186:      if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
                   7187:        printf("For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one at any descending age!\n",cptcod);
                   7188:        /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   7189:        /*   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   7190:        /* } /\* i *\/ */
                   7191:      } /* end bad */
                   7192:      /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   7193:      /* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
                   7194:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=bage+(mob-1)/2;
                   7195:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){
                   7196:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   7197:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7198:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7199:        }
                   7200:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   7201:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   7202:        }else{ /* bad */
                   7203:         for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7204:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7205:         } /* i */
                   7206:        } /* end bad */
                   7207:      }/* age */
                   7208:      sum=0.;
                   7209:      for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7210:        sum+=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7211:      }
                   7212:      if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
                   7213:        printf("For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one at any ascending age!\n",cptcod);
                   7214:        /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   7215:        /*   mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   7216:        /* } /\* i *\/ */
                   7217:      } /* end bad */
                   7218:                
                   7219:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  7220:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  7221:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   7222:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   7223:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7224:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7225:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7226:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   7227:        }
                   7228:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   7229:      }
                   7230:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   7231:      /* } */
                   7232:      /* brutal averaging */
                   7233:      for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   7234:        for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){
                   7235:         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7236:         /* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   7237:        }       
                   7238:        for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){
                   7239:         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   7240:         /* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   7241:        }
                   7242:      } /* end i status */
                   7243:      for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){
                   7244:        for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){
                   7245:         /*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*/
                   7246:         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.;
                   7247:        }
                   7248:      }
                   7249:    }/* end cptcod */
                   7250:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   7251:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   7252:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   7253:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   7254:    return 0;
                   7255:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  7256:  
1.126     brouard  7257: 
                   7258: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.235     brouard  7259:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  7260:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   7261:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   7262:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   7263:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   7264:   */
1.235     brouard  7265:    int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  7266:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   7267:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   7268:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   7269:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  7270:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  7271:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   7272: 
                   7273:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  7274:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   7275:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   7276:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   7277:   */
1.214     brouard  7278:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   7279:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  7280:  
1.201     brouard  7281:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   7282:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  7283:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   7284:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   7285:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   7286:   }
1.235     brouard  7287:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   7288:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  7289: 
1.225     brouard  7290:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  7291: 
                   7292: 
                   7293:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   7294:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   7295:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   7296:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   7297:   }
                   7298:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   7299: 
                   7300:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   7301:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   7302:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   7303:   anprojmean=yp;
                   7304:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   7305:   mprojmean=yp;
                   7306:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   7307:   jprojmean=yp;
                   7308:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   7309:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   7310: 
1.227     brouard  7311:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7312:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   7313:   
                   7314:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   7315:   
                   7316:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  7317:   
1.126     brouard  7318: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  7319:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   7320:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   7321:     if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   7322:       continue;
1.227     brouard  7323:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   7324:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   7325:       continue;
                   7326:     }
                   7327:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   7328:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   7329:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   7330:     }
1.235     brouard  7331:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7332:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  7333:     }
1.227     brouard  7334:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   7335:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   7336:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   7337:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   7338:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   7339:     }
                   7340:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   7341:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   7342:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
                   7343:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ 
                   7344:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   7345:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   7346:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   7347:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  7348:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.227     brouard  7349:        
                   7350:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   7351:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
                   7352:            fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   7353:            for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   7354:              fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   7355:            fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   7356:          } 
                   7357:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   7358:            ppij=0.;
                   7359:            for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
                   7360:              if (mobilav==1) 
                   7361:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][k];
                   7362:              else {
                   7363:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   7364:              }
                   7365:              if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) {
                   7366:                fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   7367:              }
                   7368:            } /* end i */
                   7369:            if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) {
                   7370:              fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   7371:            }
                   7372:          }/* end j */
                   7373:        } /* end h */
                   7374:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   7375:       } /* end agec */
                   7376:     } /* end yearp */
                   7377:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  7378:        
1.126     brouard  7379:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  7380:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   7381:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   7382: 
1.126     brouard  7383: }
                   7384: 
1.218     brouard  7385: /* /\************** Back Forecasting ******************\/ */
1.225     brouard  7386: /* void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){ */
1.218     brouard  7387: /*   /\* back1, year, month, day of starting backection  */
                   7388: /*      agemin, agemax range of age */
                   7389: /*      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed */
                   7390: /*      anback2 year of en of backection (same day and month as back1). */
                   7391: /*   *\/ */
                   7392: /*   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1; */
                   7393: /*   double agec; /\* generic age *\/ */
                   7394: /*   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean; */
                   7395: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   7396: /*   double ***p3mat; */
                   7397: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   7398: /*   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
                   7399:        
                   7400: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   7401: /*   /\* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people */
                   7402: /*      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2). */
                   7403: /*      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection. */
                   7404: /*   *\/ */
                   7405: /*   /\* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ *\/ */
                   7406: /*   /\*             firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); *\/ */
                   7407: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   7408:        
                   7409: /*   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");  */
                   7410: /*   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu); */
                   7411: /*   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   7412: /*     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb); */
                   7413: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb); */
                   7414: /*   } */
                   7415: /*   printf("Computing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb); */
                   7416: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb); */
                   7417:        
1.225     brouard  7418: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.218     brouard  7419:        
                   7420: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   7421: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   7422: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   7423: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   7424: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   7425: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   7426: /*   /\* } *\/ */
                   7427:        
                   7428: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   7429: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
                   7430: /*   if(estepm < stepm){ */
                   7431: /*     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm); */
                   7432: /*   } */
                   7433: /*   else  hstepm=estepm;    */
                   7434:        
                   7435: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
                   7436: /*   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/\* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and */
                   7437: /*                                fractional in yp1 *\/ */
                   7438: /*   anprojmean=yp; */
                   7439: /*   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp); */
                   7440: /*   mprojmean=yp; */
                   7441: /*   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp); */
                   7442: /*   jprojmean=yp; */
                   7443: /*   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; */
                   7444: /*   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1; */
                   7445:        
1.225     brouard  7446: /*   i1=cptcoveff; */
1.218     brouard  7447: /*   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;} */
1.217     brouard  7448:   
1.218     brouard  7449: /*   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);  */
1.217     brouard  7450:   
1.218     brouard  7451: /*   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n"); */
                   7452:        
                   7453: /*     /\*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ *\/ */
                   7454: /*   for(cptcov=1, k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
1.225     brouard  7455: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
1.218     brouard  7456: /*       k=k+1; */
                   7457: /*       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#"); */
1.225     brouard  7458: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
1.218     brouard  7459: /*                             fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   7460: /*       } */
                   7461: /*       fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age"); */
                   7462: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){  */
                   7463: /*                             for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               */
                   7464: /*           fprintf(ficresfb," p%d%d",i,j); */
                   7465: /*                             fprintf(ficresfb," p.%d",j); */
                   7466: /*       } */
                   7467: /*       for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {  */
                   7468: /*                             /\* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  *\/ */
                   7469: /*                             fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); */
                   7470: /*                             fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);    */
                   7471: /*                             for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   7472: /*                                     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   7473: /*                                     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
                   7474: /*                                     p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7475: /*                                     oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   7476: /*                                     hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k);       */
                   7477: /*                                     for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   7478: /*                                             if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) { */
                   7479: /*               fprintf(ficresfb,"\n"); */
1.225     brouard  7480: /*               for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)  */
1.218     brouard  7481: /*                 fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   7482: /*                                                     fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   7483: /*                                             }  */
                   7484: /*                                             for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   7485: /*                                                     ppij=0.; */
                   7486: /*                                                     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { */
                   7487: /*                                                             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   7488: /*                                                                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; */
                   7489: /*                                                             else { */
                   7490: /*                                                                     ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; */
                   7491: /*                                                             } */
                   7492: /*                                                             if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm== yearp) { */
                   7493: /*                                                                     fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); */
                   7494: /*                                                             } */
                   7495: /*                                                     } /\* end i *\/ */
                   7496: /*                                                     if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm==yearp) { */
                   7497: /*                                                             fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij); */
                   7498: /*                                                     } */
                   7499: /*                                             }/\* end j *\/ */
                   7500: /*                                     } /\* end h *\/ */
                   7501: /*                                     free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7502: /*                             } /\* end agec *\/ */
                   7503: /*       } /\* end yearp *\/ */
                   7504: /*     } /\* end cptcod *\/ */
                   7505: /*   } /\* end  cptcov *\/ */
                   7506:        
                   7507: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   7508:        
                   7509: /*   fclose(ficresfb); */
                   7510: /*   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n"); */
                   7511: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n"); */
1.217     brouard  7512:        
1.218     brouard  7513: /* } */
1.217     brouard  7514: 
1.126     brouard  7515: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  7516: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  7517:   
1.227     brouard  7518: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   7519: /*   int *popage; */
                   7520: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   7521: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   7522: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   7523: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   7524: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  7525: 
1.227     brouard  7526: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   7527: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   7528: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   7529: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  7530:   
1.227     brouard  7531: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  7532:   
                   7533:   
1.227     brouard  7534: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   7535: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   7536: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   7537: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   7538: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   7539: /*   } */
                   7540: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   7541: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  7542: 
1.227     brouard  7543: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  7544: 
1.227     brouard  7545: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   7546: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   7547: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   7548: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   7549: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   7550: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   7551: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  7552: 
1.227     brouard  7553: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   7554: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  7555:   
1.227     brouard  7556: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  7557:   
1.227     brouard  7558: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   7559: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  7560:        
1.227     brouard  7561: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   7562: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   7563: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   7564: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   7565: /*     }  */
                   7566: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   7567: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   7568: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  7569:     
1.227     brouard  7570: /*     i=1;    */
                   7571: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  7572:     
1.227     brouard  7573: /*     imx=i; */
                   7574: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   7575: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  7576:   
1.227     brouard  7577: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   7578: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   7579: /*       k=k+1; */
                   7580: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   7581: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   7582: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   7583: /*       } */
                   7584: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   7585: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   7586: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   7587: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  7588:       
1.227     brouard  7589: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   7590: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  7591:        
1.227     brouard  7592: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   7593: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   7594: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  7595:          
1.227     brouard  7596: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7597: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   7598: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  7599:          
1.227     brouard  7600: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   7601: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   7602: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   7603: /*         }  */
                   7604: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   7605: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   7606: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   7607: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   7608: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   7609: /*             else { */
                   7610: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   7611: /*             } */
                   7612: /*           } */
                   7613: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   7614: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   7615: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   7616: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   7617: /*           } */
                   7618: /*         } */
                   7619: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   7620: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   7621: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   7622: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   7623: /*           } */
                   7624: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   7625: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  7626:            
1.227     brouard  7627: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   7628: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   7629: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   7630: /*       } */
                   7631: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7632: /*     } */
                   7633: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  7634:       
1.227     brouard  7635: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  7636:       
1.227     brouard  7637: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   7638: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   7639: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   7640: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   7641: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  7642:          
1.227     brouard  7643: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7644: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   7645: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   7646: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   7647: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   7648: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   7649: /*         }  */
                   7650: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   7651: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   7652: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   7653: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   7654: /*           } */
                   7655: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   7656: /*         } */
                   7657: /*       } */
                   7658: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   7659: /*     } */
                   7660: /*       } */
                   7661: /*     }  */
                   7662: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  7663:   
1.227     brouard  7664: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  7665:   
1.227     brouard  7666: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   7667: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   7668: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   7669: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   7670: /*   } */
                   7671: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   7672: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   7673: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   7674: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  7675:  
1.126     brouard  7676: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   7677: {
                   7678:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   7679:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   7680:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   7681:     return (0);
                   7682:   }
                   7683:   fflush(fichier);
                   7684:   return (1);
                   7685: }
                   7686: 
                   7687: 
                   7688: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   7689: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   7690: {
                   7691: 
                   7692:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   7693: 
1.164     brouard  7694:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   7695:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  7696:   int numlinepar;
                   7697: 
                   7698:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   7699:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   7700:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   7701:     jj=0;
                   7702:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   7703:       if(j==i) continue;
                   7704:       jj++;
                   7705:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   7706:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   7707:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   7708:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   7709:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   7710:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   7711:        printf(" 0.");
                   7712:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   7713:       }
                   7714:       printf("\n");
                   7715:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   7716:     }
                   7717:   }
                   7718:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   7719:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   7720:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   7721:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   7722:     jj=0;
                   7723:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   7724:       if(j==i) continue;
                   7725:       jj++;
                   7726:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   7727:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   7728:       fflush(stdout);
                   7729:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   7730:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   7731:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   7732:        printf(" 0.");
                   7733:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   7734:       }
                   7735:       numlinepar++;
                   7736:       printf("\n");
                   7737:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   7738:     }
                   7739:   }
                   7740:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   7741: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   7742: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   7743: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   7744: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   7745: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   7746: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   7747: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   7748: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   7749:   fflush(stdout);
                   7750:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   7751:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   7752:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   7753:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   7754:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   7755:   
                   7756:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   7757:     jj=0;
                   7758:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   7759:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   7760:        if(j==i) continue;
                   7761:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   7762:          jj++;
                   7763:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   7764:          if(itimes==1){
                   7765:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   7766:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   7767:          }else{
                   7768:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   7769:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   7770:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   7771:          }
                   7772:          ll=0;
                   7773:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   7774:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   7775:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   7776:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   7777:                ll++;
                   7778:                if(ll<=jj){
                   7779:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   7780:                  if(ll<jj){
                   7781:                    if(itimes==1){
                   7782:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   7783:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   7784:                    }else{
                   7785:                      printf(" 0.");
                   7786:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   7787:                    }
                   7788:                  }else{
                   7789:                    if(itimes==1){
                   7790:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   7791:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   7792:                    }else{
                   7793:                      printf(" 0.");
                   7794:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   7795:                    }
                   7796:                  }
                   7797:                }
                   7798:              } /* end lk */
                   7799:            } /* end lj */
                   7800:          } /* end li */
                   7801:          printf("\n");
                   7802:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   7803:          numlinepar++;
                   7804:        } /* end k*/
                   7805:       } /*end j */
                   7806:     } /* end i */
                   7807:   } /* end itimes */
                   7808: 
                   7809: } /* end of prwizard */
                   7810: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   7811: double gompertz(double x[])
                   7812: { 
                   7813:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   7814:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   7815: 
1.220     brouard  7816:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  7817:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   7818:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   7819:     num=num+1;
                   7820:   }
                   7821:  
                   7822:  
                   7823:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   7824:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   7825: 
                   7826:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   7827:     {
                   7828:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   7829:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   7830:       
                   7831:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   7832:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   7833:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   7834:       
                   7835:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   7836:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   7837:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   7838:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   7839:       }
                   7840:     }
                   7841: 
                   7842:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   7843:  
                   7844:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   7845: }
                   7846: 
1.136     brouard  7847: #ifdef GSL
                   7848: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   7849: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   7850: { 
                   7851:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   7852:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   7853:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   7854: 
                   7855:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   7856:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   7857:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   7858:     num=num+1;
                   7859:   }
                   7860:  
                   7861:  
                   7862:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   7863:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   7864:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   7865:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   7866:     {
                   7867:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   7868:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   7869:       
                   7870:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   7871:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   7872:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   7873:       
                   7874:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   7875:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   7876:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   7877:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   7878:       }
                   7879:     }
                   7880: 
                   7881:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   7882:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   7883:  
                   7884:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   7885: }
                   7886: #endif
                   7887: 
1.126     brouard  7888: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  7889: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  7890:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   7891:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   7892:   int i,k;
                   7893: 
                   7894:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   7895:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   7896:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   7897:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  7898:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  7899:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   7900: 
                   7901: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   7902: 
                   7903:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   7904: 
                   7905:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   7906:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   7907: 
                   7908:  
                   7909:   fflush(fichtm);
                   7910: }
                   7911: 
                   7912: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  7913: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  7914: 
                   7915:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  7916: 
1.126     brouard  7917:   int ng;
                   7918: 
                   7919: 
                   7920:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7921:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   7922:     /*#endif */
                   7923: 
                   7924: 
                   7925:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7926:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  7927:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  7928:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  7929:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  7930:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  7931:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   7932: 
                   7933: } 
                   7934: 
1.136     brouard  7935: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   7936: {
1.126     brouard  7937: 
1.136     brouard  7938:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   7939:   FILE *fic;
                   7940:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  7941:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  7942:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  7943:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   7944:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  7945:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  7946:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  7947: 
1.240     brouard  7948:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   7949:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  7950: 
1.240     brouard  7951:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   7952:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   7953:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   7954:   }
                   7955:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   7956:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   7957:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   7958:   }
                   7959:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   7960:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   7961:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   7962:   }
                   7963:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   7964:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   7965:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   7966:   }
                   7967:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   7968:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   7969:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   7970:   }
1.126     brouard  7971: 
1.136     brouard  7972:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  7973:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   7974:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  7975:   }
1.126     brouard  7976: 
1.136     brouard  7977:   i=1;
                   7978:   linei=0;
                   7979:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   7980:     linei=linei+1;
                   7981:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   7982:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   7983:        line[j] = ' ';
                   7984:     }
                   7985:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   7986:       ;
                   7987:     };
                   7988:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   7989:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   7990:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   7991:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   7992:       continue;
                   7993:     }
                   7994:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  7995:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  7996:     
                   7997:     /* Loops on waves */
                   7998:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   7999:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  8000:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   8001:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   8002:          lval=-1;
                   8003:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   8004:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   8005:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   8006:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   8007:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   8008:            return 1;
                   8009:          }
                   8010:        }else{
                   8011:          errno=0;
                   8012:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   8013:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   8014:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   8015:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   8016:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   8017:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   8018:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   8019:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   8020:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   8021:            return 1;
                   8022:          }
                   8023:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   8024:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   8025:        }
                   8026:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  8027:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  8028:       
1.223     brouard  8029:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  8030:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   8031:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   8032:          lval=-1;
                   8033:        }else{
                   8034:          errno=0;
                   8035:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   8036:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   8037:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   8038:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   8039:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   8040:            return 1;
                   8041:          }
                   8042:        }
                   8043:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   8044:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  8045:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   8046:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  8047:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   8048:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   8049:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  8050:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  8051:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  8052:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  8053:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  8054:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   8055:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  8056:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   8057:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   8058:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  8059:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  8060:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  8061:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  8062:          return 1;
                   8063:        }
                   8064:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   8065:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  8066:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  8067:       
1.223     brouard  8068:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  8069:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  8070:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  8071:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  8072:       }else{
1.238     brouard  8073:        errno=0;
                   8074:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   8075:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   8076:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   8077:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   8078:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   8079:          return 1;
                   8080:        }
1.136     brouard  8081:       }
1.225     brouard  8082:       
1.136     brouard  8083:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  8084:       
1.223     brouard  8085:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  8086:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   8087:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  8088:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  8089:       }
1.169     brouard  8090:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  8091:        month=99;
                   8092:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  8093:       }else{
1.225     brouard  8094:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   8095:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   8096:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  8097:       }
                   8098:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   8099:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   8100:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  8101:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  8102:     
1.223     brouard  8103:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  8104:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  8105:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  8106:     }
1.169     brouard  8107:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  8108:       month=99;
                   8109:       year=9999;
                   8110:     }else{
1.141     brouard  8111:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  8112:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   8113:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  8114:     }
                   8115:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   8116:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   8117:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   8118:     
1.223     brouard  8119:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  8120:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  8121:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  8122:     }
1.169     brouard  8123:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  8124:       month=99;
                   8125:       year=9999;
                   8126:     }else{
1.141     brouard  8127:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   8128:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  8129:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  8130:     }
                   8131:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  8132:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   8133:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  8134:       return 1;
                   8135:       
1.136     brouard  8136:     }
                   8137:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   8138:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   8139:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  8140:     
1.223     brouard  8141:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  8142:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   8143:     errno=0;
                   8144:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   8145:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  8146:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   8147:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  8148:       fflush(ficlog);
                   8149:       return 1;
                   8150:     }
                   8151:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   8152:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  8153:     
1.223     brouard  8154:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   8155:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   8156:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  8157:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  8158:       }else{
1.225     brouard  8159:        errno=0;
                   8160:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   8161:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   8162:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   8163:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   8164:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   8165:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   8166:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   8167:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   8168:          return 1;
                   8169:        }
                   8170:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  8171:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  8172:       }
                   8173:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   8174:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  8175:     
1.223     brouard  8176:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  8177:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   8178:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  8179:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  8180:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  8181:       }else{
1.225     brouard  8182:        errno=0;
                   8183:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   8184:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   8185:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   8186:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   8187:          return 1;
                   8188:        }
1.136     brouard  8189:       }
                   8190:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  8191:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  8192:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   8193:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  8194:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   8195:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   8196:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  8197:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  8198:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  8199:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  8200:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  8201:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   8202:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  8203:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   8204:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   8205:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  8206:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  8207:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  8208:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  8209:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  8210:       }
                   8211:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   8212:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   8213:     }  
                   8214:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  8215:     
1.136     brouard  8216:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   8217:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   8218:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   8219:     }
                   8220:     else
                   8221:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   8222:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   8223:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   8224:     
                   8225:     i=i+1;
                   8226:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  8227:   
1.136     brouard  8228:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   8229:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  8230:   
1.136     brouard  8231:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  8232:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  8233:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   8234:   fclose(fic);
                   8235:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  8236: }
1.126     brouard  8237: 
1.234     brouard  8238: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  8239:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  8240:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  8241:     p2++; 
                   8242:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   8243:   /*   ; */
                   8244:   /* do */
                   8245:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   8246:   /*     p2++; */
                   8247:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   8248:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  8249: }
                   8250: 
1.235     brouard  8251: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  8252: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   8253: {
1.235     brouard  8254:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  8255:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  8256:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   8257:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  8258:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   8259: 
1.234     brouard  8260:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  8261:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  8262: 
                   8263:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   8264:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   8265:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   8266:     return 1;
                   8267:   }
                   8268:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   8269:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   8270:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   8271:   }
1.234     brouard  8272:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   8273:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   8274:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   8275:   }
                   8276:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   8277:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   8278:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   8279:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   8280:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   8281:     }else
                   8282:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  8283:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  8284:     
1.230     brouard  8285:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   8286:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   8287:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   8288:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   8289:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   8290:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   8291:   }
1.235     brouard  8292:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  8293:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   8294:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  8295:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  8296:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  8297:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  8298:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  8299:          match=1;
                   8300:          break;
                   8301:        }
                   8302:       }
                   8303:       if(match == 0){
                   8304:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   8305:       }
                   8306:     }
                   8307:   }
1.235     brouard  8308:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   8309:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  8310:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  8311:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   8312:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  8313:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  8314:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  8315:          ++match;
                   8316:        }
                   8317:       }
                   8318:     }
                   8319:     if(match == 0){
                   8320:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   8321:     }else if(match > 1){
                   8322:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   8323:     }
                   8324:   }
1.235     brouard  8325:       
1.234     brouard  8326:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  8327:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   8328:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   8329:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   8330:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   8331:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   8332:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   8333:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   8334:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   8335:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   8336:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   8337:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   8338:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   8339:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  8340:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   8341:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   8342:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   8343:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  8344:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   8345:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  8346:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  8347:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   8348:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  8349:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   8350:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   8351:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  8352:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   8353:       k4++;;
                   8354:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   8355:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   8356:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  8357:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   8358:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   8359:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  8360:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   8361:       k4q++;;
                   8362:     }
                   8363:   }
1.234     brouard  8364:   
1.235     brouard  8365:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  8366:   return (0);
                   8367: }
1.235     brouard  8368: 
1.230     brouard  8369: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   8370:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  8371:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   8372:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   8373:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   8374:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   8375:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   8376:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   8377:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   8378:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   8379:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   8380:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   8381:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   8382:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   8383:        */
1.136     brouard  8384: {
1.238     brouard  8385:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  8386:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  8387:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  8388:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  8389:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  8390: 
1.145     brouard  8391:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  8392:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  8393:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  8394:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  8395:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   8396:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  8397:       return 1;
                   8398:     }
1.141     brouard  8399:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   8400:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   8401:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   8402:       return 1;
                   8403:     }
1.187     brouard  8404:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   8405:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   8406:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   8407:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  8408:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  8409:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  8410:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  8411:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  8412:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  8413:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  8414:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  8415:       }
1.187     brouard  8416:       nagesqr=1;
                   8417:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  8418:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  8419:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  8420:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  8421:       else 
1.234     brouard  8422:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  8423:     }else
                   8424:       nagesqr=0;
                   8425:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   8426:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   8427:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  8428:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  8429:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  8430:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   8431:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   8432:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   8433:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   8434:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  8435:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   8436:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  8437:       
                   8438:       
1.187     brouard  8439:       /*   Design
                   8440:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   8441:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   8442:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   8443:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   8444:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   8445:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  8446:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   8447:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  8448:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   8449:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   8450:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   8451:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   8452:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   8453:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   8454:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   8455:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   8456:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   8457:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   8458:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   8459:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   8460:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   8461:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   8462:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   8463:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   8464:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   8465:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   8466:        *How to reorganize?
                   8467:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   8468:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   8469:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   8470:        * Struct []
                   8471:        */
1.225     brouard  8472:       
1.187     brouard  8473:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   8474:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   8475:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   8476:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   8477:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   8478:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   8479:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   8480:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   8481:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  8482:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  8483:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  8484:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  8485:       /*
                   8486:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  8487:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   8488:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   8489:       }
1.187     brouard  8490:       cptcovage=0;
                   8491:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  8492:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  8493:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  8494:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   8495:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   8496:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   8497:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   8498:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   8499:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   8500:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   8501:            cptcovprod--;
                   8502:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   8503:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   8504:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   8505:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   8506:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   8507:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   8508:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   8509:            cptcovprod--;
                   8510:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   8511:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   8512:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   8513:            cptcovage++;
                   8514:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   8515:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   8516:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   8517:            cptcovn++;
                   8518:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   8519:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   8520:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   8521:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   8522:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   8523:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   8524:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   8525:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   8526:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   8527:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   8528:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   8529:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   8530:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   8531:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   8532:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   8533:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  8534:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  8535:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   8536:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   8537:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   8538:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   8539:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   8540:            }
                   8541:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   8542:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   8543:        else { /* no more sum */
                   8544:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   8545:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   8546:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   8547:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   8548:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   8549:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   8550:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   8551:        }
                   8552:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  8553:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  8554:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  8555:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   8556:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   8557:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  8558:   
                   8559:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   8560:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  8561:   
1.136     brouard  8562:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  8563:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   8564:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   8565:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   8566: 
                   8567: 
1.230     brouard  8568: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   8569:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  8570: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   8571:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   8572:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   8573:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   8574:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  8575:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   8576:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   8577:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  8578: */  
                   8579: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  8580:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  8581:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  8582:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  8583:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   8584: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   8585: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   8586: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   8587:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   8588: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   8589: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   8590: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  8591:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  8592:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   8593:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  8594:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   8595:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  8596:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  8597:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  8598:       nsd++;
                   8599:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8600:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   8601:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   8602:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8603:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   8604:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   8605:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   8606:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   8607:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   8608:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   8609:       ncoveff++;
                   8610:       ncovf++;
                   8611:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8612:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8613:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  8614:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  8615:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  8616:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  8617:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   8618:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  8619:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  8620:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8621:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   8622:       nsq++;
                   8623:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   8624:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  8625:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  8626:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8627:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  8628:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  8629:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  8630:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  8631:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8632:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  8633:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  8634:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8635:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   8636:       nsd++;
                   8637:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   8638:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   8639:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   8640:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  8641:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  8642:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   8643:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  8644:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   8645:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  8646:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  8647:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8648:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8649:       nqtveff++;
                   8650:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8651:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   8652:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   8653:       nsq++;
                   8654:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   8655:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   8656:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  8657:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  8658:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   8659:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  8660:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   8661:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   8662:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  8663:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  8664:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  8665:       ncova++;
                   8666:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   8667:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  8668:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  8669:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   8670:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   8671:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   8672:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   8673:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  8674:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  8675:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   8676:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   8677:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   8678:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   8679:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  8680:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  8681:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   8682:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   8683:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   8684:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   8685:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  8686:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  8687:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   8688:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   8689:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   8690:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   8691:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  8692:       }
                   8693:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   8694:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   8695:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  8696:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   8697:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8698:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   8699:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8700:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   8701:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   8702:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8703:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   8704:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   8705:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   8706:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8707:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8708:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   8709:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8710:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8711:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   8712:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   8713:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8714:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   8715:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8716:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   8717:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8718:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8719:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8720:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   8721:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8722:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8723:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8724:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   8725:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8726:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8727:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8728:        }
1.227     brouard  8729:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  8730:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   8731:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   8732:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8733:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   8734:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   8735:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   8736:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   8737:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   8738:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   8739:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8740:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8741:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8742:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   8743:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8744:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8745:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8746:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   8747:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8748:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8749:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8750:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   8751:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8752:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8753:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8754:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8755:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8756:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8757:        }
1.227     brouard  8758:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  8759:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   8760:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8761:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8762:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8763:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   8764:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8765:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8766:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8767:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   8768:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8769:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8770:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8771:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   8772:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8773:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8774:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8775:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   8776:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8777:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   8778:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8779:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   8780:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8781:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8782:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8783:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   8784:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8785:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8786:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8787:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   8788:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8789:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8790:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8791:        }
1.227     brouard  8792:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  8793:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   8794:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8795:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8796:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8797:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   8798:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8799:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8800:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8801:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   8802:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8803:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8804:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8805:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   8806:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8807:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8808:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8809:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   8810:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8811:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8812:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8813:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   8814:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8815:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8816:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8817:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   8818:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   8819:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   8820:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   8821:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   8822:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   8823:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   8824:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   8825:        }
1.227     brouard  8826:       }else{
1.240     brouard  8827:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   8828:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   8829:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  8830:     }else{
1.226     brouard  8831:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   8832:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  8833:     }
1.227     brouard  8834:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  8835:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  8836:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   8837:   }
                   8838:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   8839:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   8840:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   8841:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  8842:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   8843:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   8844:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   8845:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   8846:            return(1);
                   8847:          }
                   8848:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   8849:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   8850:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   8851:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   8852:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   8853:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   8854:            return(1);
                   8855:          }
                   8856:        }
1.227     brouard  8857:       }
                   8858:     }
1.225     brouard  8859:   }
                   8860:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   8861:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  8862:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   8863:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  8864:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  8865:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  8866:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   8867:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  8868: }
                   8869: 
1.169     brouard  8870: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  8871: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  8872:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  8873:   int firstone=0;
                   8874:   
1.136     brouard  8875:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   8876:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   8877:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   8878:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  8879:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   8880:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  8881:       }
                   8882:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  8883:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  8884:        if(firstone == 0){
                   8885:          firstone=1;
                   8886:        printf("Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results can be biased (%d) because status is a death state %d at wave %d. Wave dropped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr,s[m][i],m);
                   8887:        }
                   8888:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown, you must set an arbitrary year of death or he/she is skipped and results can be biased (%d) because status is a death state %d at wave %d. Wave dropped.\n",(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i, *nberr,s[m][i],m);
1.136     brouard  8889:        s[m][i]=-1;
                   8890:       }
                   8891:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  8892:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  8893:        printf("Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %2d, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i]); 
                   8894:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown %f, you should set it otherwise the information on the death is skipped and results are biased.\n",num[i],i,moisdc[i]); 
                   8895:        s[m][i]=-1; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
                   8896:       }
                   8897:     }
                   8898:   }
                   8899: 
                   8900:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   8901:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   8902:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  8903:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  8904:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  8905:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   8906:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  8907:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  8908:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  8909:            }else {
1.136     brouard  8910:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   8911:                nbwarn++;
                   8912:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   8913:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   8914:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   8915:              }
                   8916:            }
1.169     brouard  8917:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  8918:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  8919:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   8920:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   8921:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   8922:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   8923:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   8924:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   8925:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   8926:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   8927:          }
                   8928:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   8929:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  8930:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  8931:          }
                   8932:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   8933:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  8934:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  8935:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  8936:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  8937:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   8938:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   8939:        }
                   8940:       }
1.214     brouard  8941:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  8942:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  8943:       else{
                   8944:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   8945:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   8946:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   8947:       }
                   8948:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   8949:   }
1.136     brouard  8950:     
                   8951:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   8952:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   8953:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  8954:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  8955:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   8956:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   8957:        return 1;
                   8958:       }
                   8959:     }
                   8960:   }
                   8961: 
                   8962:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   8963:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   8964:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   8965: }
                   8966: 
                   8967: }*/
                   8968: 
                   8969: 
1.139     brouard  8970:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   8971:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  8972: 
                   8973:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  8974:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  8975:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   8976:     return (1);
                   8977: }
                   8978: 
1.172     brouard  8979: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   8980: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   8981: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   8982: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   8983: //#include <stdio.h>
                   8984: //#include <tchar.h>
                   8985: //#include <windows.h>
                   8986: //#include <iostream>
                   8987: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   8988: 
                   8989: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   8990: 
                   8991: BOOL IsWow64()
                   8992: {
                   8993:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   8994: 
                   8995:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   8996:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   8997: 
                   8998:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   8999: 
                   9000:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   9001:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   9002:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   9003:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   9004: 
                   9005:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   9006:        {
                   9007:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   9008:                        &bIsWow64))
                   9009:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   9010:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   9011:        }
                   9012:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   9013: }
                   9014: #endif
1.177     brouard  9015: 
1.191     brouard  9016: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  9017:  {
                   9018:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  9019:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   9020:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   9021:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   9022:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   9023:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  9024:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   9025:    */ 
                   9026:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  9027:    /*
                   9028:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   9029:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   9030:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   9031:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   9032:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   9033:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   9034:    /*
                   9035:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   9036:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   9037:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   9038:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   9039:    */
1.186     brouard  9040:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  9041:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   9042:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   9043:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   9044:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   9045:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   9046:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   9047:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   9048:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   9049:       uiAccess='false'"
                   9050:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   9051:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   9052:    */
1.177     brouard  9053: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  9054: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   9055:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   9056: #endif
1.177     brouard  9057: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  9058: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  9059: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  9060: #endif
1.177     brouard  9061:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  9062:    int cross = CROSS;
                   9063:    if (cross){
                   9064:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  9065:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  9066:    }
1.174     brouard  9067: #endif
                   9068: 
1.171     brouard  9069: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  9070: 
1.191     brouard  9071:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  9072: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  9073:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9074: #endif
                   9075: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  9076:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  9077: #endif
                   9078: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  9079:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9080: #endif
                   9081: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  9082:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9083: #endif
                   9084: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  9085:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9086: #endif
                   9087: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  9088:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9089: #endif
                   9090: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  9091:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  9092: #endif
                   9093: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  9094:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  9095: #endif
1.191     brouard  9096:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  9097:    
1.167     brouard  9098: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   9099: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   9100:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  9101:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  9102: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   9103:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  9104:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  9105: #elif __linux__
                   9106:     // linux
1.191     brouard  9107:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  9108: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  9109:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  9110:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  9111: #endif
                   9112: 
                   9113: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   9114: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   9115: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   9116: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   9117: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   9118: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   9119: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   9120: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   9121: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  9122: 
1.167     brouard  9123: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  9124:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  9125: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  9126:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  9127: #else
1.191     brouard  9128:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  9129: #endif
                   9130: 
1.169     brouard  9131: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   9132: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   9133: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   9134:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   9135:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   9136: # else
                   9137: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   9138:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   9139: # endif
1.174     brouard  9140:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  9141:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  9142: 
                   9143:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   9144:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  9145:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  9146:    }
                   9147:    else
                   9148:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  9149:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   9150: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  9151:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  9152:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  9153: #endif
1.169     brouard  9154: #endif
1.172     brouard  9155: 
                   9156:    //   void main()
                   9157:    //   {
1.169     brouard  9158: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  9159:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  9160:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   9161:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  9162:    }
                   9163:    else{
1.191     brouard  9164:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   9165:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  9166:    }
1.172     brouard  9167:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   9168:    //     getchar();
                   9169:    //   }
                   9170: 
1.169     brouard  9171: #endif
                   9172:    
1.167     brouard  9173: 
1.219     brouard  9174: }
1.136     brouard  9175: 
1.219     brouard  9176: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  9177:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  9178:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  9179:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  9180:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  9181:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  9182: 
1.202     brouard  9183:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   9184:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   9185:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   9186:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   9187:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   9188:   }
1.227     brouard  9189:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   9190:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  9191:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  9192:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  9193:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   9194:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   9195:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  9196:   
1.219     brouard  9197:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  9198: 
1.219     brouard  9199:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   9200:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  9201: 
1.227     brouard  9202:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  9203:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  9204:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  9205: 
1.238     brouard  9206:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   9207:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   9208:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9209:        continue;
1.235     brouard  9210: 
1.238     brouard  9211:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   9212:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   9213:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   9214:       /* k=k+1; */
                   9215:       /* to clean */
                   9216:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   9217:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   9218:       printf("#******");
                   9219:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   9220:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   9221:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   9222:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9223:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9224:       }
                   9225:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9226:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   9227:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   9228:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   9229:       }
                   9230:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   9231:       printf("******\n");
                   9232:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   9233:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   9234:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   9235:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   9236:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   9237:        continue;
                   9238:       }
1.219     brouard  9239: 
1.238     brouard  9240:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   9241:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   9242:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9243:       }
                   9244:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   9245:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  9246:     
1.238     brouard  9247:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   9248:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   9249:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   9250:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   9251:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   9252:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9253:        tot=0.;
                   9254:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   9255:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   9256:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   9257:        }
                   9258:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   9259:       } /* Age */
                   9260:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   9261:     } /* cptcov */
                   9262:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  9263:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  9264: }
                   9265: 
1.218     brouard  9266: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   9267:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   9268:        
                   9269:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   9270:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   9271:         */
1.235     brouard  9272:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  9273:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   9274:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   9275:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  9276:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   9277:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  9278: 
                   9279:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   9280:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   9281:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   9282:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   9283:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   9284:   }
                   9285:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   9286:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   9287:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   9288:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   9289:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   9290:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   9291:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   9292:   
1.218     brouard  9293:   
                   9294:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   9295:   
                   9296:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   9297:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   9298:   
                   9299:   
1.227     brouard  9300:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  9301:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  9302:   
1.238     brouard  9303:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   9304:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
                   9305:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9306:        continue;
                   9307:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   9308:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   9309:       printf("#******");
                   9310:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   9311:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   9312:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9313:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9314:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9315:       }
                   9316:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9317:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9318:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9319:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9320:       }
                   9321:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   9322:       printf("******\n");
                   9323:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   9324:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   9325:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   9326:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   9327:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   9328:        continue;
                   9329:       }
1.218     brouard  9330:     
1.238     brouard  9331:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   9332:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   9333:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9334:       }
                   9335:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   9336:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  9337:     
                   9338:     
1.238     brouard  9339:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   9340:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   9341:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   9342:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   9343:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  9344:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  9345:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   9346:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   9347:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   9348:          exit(1);
                   9349:        }else{
                   9350:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  9351:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.238     brouard  9352:        }
                   9353:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   9354:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   9355:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9356:        tot=0.;
                   9357:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   9358:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   9359:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   9360:        }
                   9361:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   9362:       } /* Age */
                   9363:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   9364:     } /* end of any combination */
                   9365:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  9366:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   9367:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   9368:   
                   9369:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  9370: }
1.218     brouard  9371:  
1.180     brouard  9372: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   9373:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   9374: 
                   9375:   int stepsize;
                   9376:   int agelim;
                   9377:   int hstepm;
                   9378:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  9379:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  9380: 
                   9381:   double agedeb;
                   9382:   double ***p3mat;
                   9383: 
1.201     brouard  9384:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  9385:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   9386:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   9387:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   9388:     }
                   9389:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   9390:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   9391:   
                   9392:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   9393:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   9394: 
                   9395:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   9396:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   9397:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  9398:                
1.180     brouard  9399:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   9400:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   9401:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  9402:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  9403:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   9404:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   9405:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  9406:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   9407:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   9408:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9409:        continue;
1.183     brouard  9410:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  9411:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  9412:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  9413:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9414:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   9415:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   9416:       }
1.183     brouard  9417:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   9418:       
                   9419:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   9420:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   9421:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   9422:        
                   9423:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  9424:        
1.183     brouard  9425:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   9426:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  9427:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  9428:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   9429:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   9430:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   9431:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   9432:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   9433:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   9434:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   9435:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  9436:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   9437:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  9438:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  9439:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   9440:        }
1.183     brouard  9441:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   9442:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   9443:       }
1.180     brouard  9444:       /*}*/
                   9445:     }
1.218     brouard  9446:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  9447: }
1.218     brouard  9448:  
                   9449:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  9450:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   9451: 
                   9452:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  9453:   /* int agelim; */
                   9454:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  9455:   int hstepm;
                   9456:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  9457:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  9458:        
1.217     brouard  9459:   double agedeb;
                   9460:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  9461:        
                   9462:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   9463:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   9464:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   9465:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   9466:   }
                   9467:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   9468:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   9469:   
                   9470:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   9471:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  9472:   
1.218     brouard  9473:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   9474:   ageminl=30;
                   9475:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   9476:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   9477:   
                   9478:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   9479:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
                   9480:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Pij x Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x ");
1.227     brouard  9481:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  9482:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   9483:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   9484:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  9485:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   9486:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
                   9487:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   9488:        continue;
                   9489:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   9490:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   9491:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   9492:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   9493:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   9494:       }
                   9495:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
                   9496:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   9497:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   9498:        continue;
                   9499:       }
                   9500:       
                   9501:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   9502:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   9503:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   9504:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   9505:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   9506:        
                   9507:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   9508:        
                   9509:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   9510:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   9511:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   9512:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k);
                   9513:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
                   9514:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hpijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  9515:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   9516:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  9517:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  9518:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  9519:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   9520:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   9521:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   9522:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   9523:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   9524:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   9525:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   9526:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   9527:        }
                   9528:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   9529:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   9530:       } /* end age deb */
                   9531:     } /* end combination */
                   9532:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  9533:   return 0;
                   9534:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  9535: 
1.180     brouard  9536: 
1.136     brouard  9537: /***********************************************/
                   9538: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   9539: /***********************************************/
                   9540: 
                   9541: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   9542: {
                   9543: #ifdef GSL
                   9544:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   9545:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   9546:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   9547:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   9548:   double ssval;
                   9549: #endif
                   9550:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  9551:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  9552:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  9553:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  9554:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  9555:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  9556:   int itimes;
                   9557:   int NDIM=2;
                   9558:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  9559:   int nres=0;
1.136     brouard  9560: 
1.164     brouard  9561:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  9562:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   9563:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   9564:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  9565:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  9566: 
                   9567:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  9568:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  9569: 
1.165     brouard  9570:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  9571:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  9572:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  9573:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  9574: 
                   9575:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  9576:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   9577: 
1.234     brouard  9578:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9579:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   9580:   
1.136     brouard  9581:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  9582:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  9583:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  9584:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  9585:   int jl=0;
                   9586:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  9587:   int count=0;
                   9588: 
1.164     brouard  9589:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  9590:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  9591:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  9592:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  9593:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  9594:   int agemortsup;
                   9595:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   9596:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   9597:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   9598: 
1.191     brouard  9599:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  9600:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   9601:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  9602:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  9603:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
                   9604:   double  *p;
                   9605:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  9606:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  9607:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   9608:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   9609:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   9610:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
                   9611:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  9612: 
1.136     brouard  9613:   double dateprev1, dateprev2,jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000;
1.217     brouard  9614:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000;
                   9615: 
1.136     brouard  9616:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  9617:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  9618:   int *dcwave;
                   9619: 
1.164     brouard  9620:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  9621: 
                   9622:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   9623:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  9624: 
1.164     brouard  9625: 
1.126     brouard  9626: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   9627: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   9628: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   9629: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   9630: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   9631: 
                   9632:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  9633:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   9634:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   9635:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  9636:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  9637:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   9638:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   9639:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  9640: 
                   9641: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  9642: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   9643: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  9644: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   9645: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   9646: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  9647: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  9648: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   9649: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   9650: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   9651: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   9652: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   9653: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   9654: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   9655: */
                   9656: 
                   9657:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   9658:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  9659: #ifdef WIN32
                   9660:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   9661: #else
1.126     brouard  9662:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  9663: #endif
1.191     brouard  9664:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  9665:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  9666:   if(argc <=1){
                   9667:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  9668:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   9669:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   9670:       goto end;
                   9671:     }
1.126     brouard  9672:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   9673:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   9674:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  9675:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  9676:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  9677:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  9678:     }
                   9679:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   9680:     if( i==0 ){
                   9681:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   9682:       goto end;
                   9683:     }
                   9684:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  9685:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   9686:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   9687:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   9688:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   9689:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   9690:     }
                   9691:   }
                   9692:   else{
                   9693:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   9694:   }
                   9695:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   9696:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   9697:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   9698:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   9699: 
                   9700:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   9701:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   9702:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   9703:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   9704:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   9705:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   9706:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   9707:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  9708: #ifdef WIN32
                   9709:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   9710:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   9711: #else
1.126     brouard  9712:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  9713:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   9714: #endif
                   9715:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  9716:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   9717:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   9718:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  9719:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  9720:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   9721:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   9722: /*     exit(1); */
                   9723:   }
                   9724: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   9725: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   9726: /*   } */
                   9727: 
                   9728:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   9729: 
1.186     brouard  9730:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  9731:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   9732:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   9733:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   9734:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   9735:     goto end;
                   9736:   }
                   9737:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  9738:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  9739:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   9740:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   9741:  path=%s \n\
                   9742:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   9743:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  9744:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  9745: 
1.197     brouard  9746:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  9747: 
1.126     brouard  9748:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   9749:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   9750:   fflush(ficlog);
                   9751: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  9752: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  9753: 
                   9754:   /* */
                   9755:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   9756:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  9757:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  9758:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  9759:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  9760: 
1.186     brouard  9761:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  9762: 
                   9763:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  9764:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   9765:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  9766:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  9767:     /* goto end; */
                   9768:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  9769:   }
                   9770: 
                   9771: 
                   9772: 
                   9773:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  9774:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  9775:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   9776:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   9777:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   9778:     fflush(ficlog);
                   9779:     goto end;
                   9780:   }
                   9781: 
                   9782:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   9783:   numlinepar=0;
1.197     brouard  9784: 
                   9785:     /* First parameter line */
                   9786:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   9787:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   9788:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   9789:       numlinepar++;
                   9790:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   9791:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   9792:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   9793:       continue;
                   9794:     }else
                   9795:       break;
                   9796:   }
                   9797:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   9798:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   9799:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   9800:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   9801:     }
1.126     brouard  9802:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  9803:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   9804:   }
                   9805:   /* Second parameter line */
                   9806:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   9807:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   9808:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   9809:       numlinepar++;
                   9810:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   9811:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   9812:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   9813:       continue;
                   9814:     }else
                   9815:       break;
                   9816:   }
1.223     brouard  9817:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   9818:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   9819:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   9820:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  9821:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  9822:     }
1.223     brouard  9823:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  9824:   }
1.203     brouard  9825:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  9826:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  9827:   /* Third parameter line */
                   9828:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   9829:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   9830:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   9831:       numlinepar++;
                   9832:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   9833:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   9834:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   9835:       continue;
                   9836:     }else
                   9837:       break;
                   9838:   }
1.201     brouard  9839:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
                   9840:     if (num_filled == 0)
                   9841:             model[0]='\0';
                   9842:     else if (num_filled != 1){
1.197     brouard  9843:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   9844:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   9845:       model[0]='\0';
                   9846:       goto end;
                   9847:     }
                   9848:     else{
                   9849:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   9850:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   9851:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  9852:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  9853:       }
                   9854:     }
1.199     brouard  9855:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  9856:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  9857:   }
                   9858:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   9859:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   9860:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  9861:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   9862:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  9863:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  9864:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   9865:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.187     brouard  9866:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \
                   9867:  'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.' or \n \
                   9868:  'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n");         \
                   9869:     if(mle != -1){
                   9870:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");
                   9871:       exit(1);
                   9872:     }
                   9873:   }
1.126     brouard  9874:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   9875:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   9876:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   9877:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  9878:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   9879:       z[0]=line[1];
                   9880:     }
                   9881:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  9882:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   9883:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  9884:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   9885:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   9886:   }
                   9887:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   9888: 
                   9889:    
1.145     brouard  9890:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.225     brouard  9891:   coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
1.233     brouard  9892:   cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.225     brouard  9893:   cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
1.136     brouard  9894:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   9895:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   9896:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   9897:   */
                   9898:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  9899:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  9900:   else
1.187     brouard  9901:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  9902:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   9903:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  9904:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   9905:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   9906:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   9907:     fflush(stdout);
                   9908:     fclose (ficlog);
                   9909:     goto end;
                   9910:   }
1.126     brouard  9911:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   9912:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   9913:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   9914:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  9915: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   9916:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   9917:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   9918:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   9919:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   9920:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  9921:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  9922:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   9923:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  9924:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   9925:     fclose (ficparo);
                   9926:     fclose (ficlog);
                   9927:     goto end;
                   9928:     exit(0);
1.248     brouard  9929:   } else if(mle==-2) { /* Guessing from means */
                   9930:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
                   9931:     printf(" You chose mle=-2, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   9932:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-2, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   9933:    
1.220     brouard  9934:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  9935:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  9936:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   9937:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  9938:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   9939:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  9940:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  9941:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  9942:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  9943:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   9944:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   9945:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   9946:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   9947:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  9948:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  9949:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   9950:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   9951:     }
                   9952:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   9953:     
                   9954:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   9955:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  9956:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  9957:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  9958:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   9959:        j++;
                   9960:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   9961:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   9962:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  9963: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   9964: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  9965:          exit(1);
                   9966:        }
                   9967:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   9968:        if(mle==1)
                   9969:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   9970:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   9971:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   9972:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   9973:          if(mle==1){
                   9974:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   9975:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   9976:          }
                   9977:          else
                   9978:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   9979:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   9980:        }
                   9981:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   9982:        numlinepar++;
                   9983:        if(mle==1)
                   9984:          printf("\n");
                   9985:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   9986:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  9987:       }
                   9988:     }  
                   9989:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9990:     
1.145     brouard  9991:     /* Reads scales values */
1.126     brouard  9992:     p=param[1][1];
                   9993:     
                   9994:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   9995:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   9996:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   9997:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   9998:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  9999:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  10000:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10001:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10002:     }
                   10003:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10004: 
                   10005:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   10006:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  10007:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   10008:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   10009:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   10010:          exit(1);
                   10011:        }
                   10012:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   10013:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   10014:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   10015:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   10016:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   10017:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   10018:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   10019:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   10020:        }
                   10021:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   10022:        numlinepar++;
                   10023:        printf("\n");
                   10024:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   10025:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  10026:       }
                   10027:     }
                   10028:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  10029:     
1.145     brouard  10030:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  10031:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  10032:                
                   10033:                
1.126     brouard  10034:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  10035:                
1.126     brouard  10036:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10037:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10038:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10039:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   10040:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  10041:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  10042:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10043:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10044:     }
                   10045:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  10046:                
1.126     brouard  10047:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  10048:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  10049:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   10050:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  10051:                
1.194     brouard  10052:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  10053:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  10054:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  10055:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  10056:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  10057: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   10058: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  10059:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  10060: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   10061: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  10062:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  10063:       }else{
1.226     brouard  10064:        if(mle==1)
                   10065:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   10066:       }
                   10067:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   10068:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  10069:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  10070:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   10071:        if(mle==1){
                   10072:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   10073:        }
                   10074:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   10075:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  10076:       }
                   10077:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   10078:       numlinepar++;
                   10079:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  10080:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  10081:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10082:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   10083:     }
1.194     brouard  10084:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  10085:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   10086:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  10087:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  10088:     
                   10089:     if(mle==1)
                   10090:       printf("\n");
                   10091:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10092:     
                   10093:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10094:     
                   10095:     /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   10096:     strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   10097:     strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
                   10098:     strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   10099:     strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   10100:     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
1.201     brouard  10101:       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10102:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
1.126     brouard  10103:     }
                   10104:     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
                   10105:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  10106:   
1.186     brouard  10107:   /*  Main data
                   10108:    */
1.126     brouard  10109:   n= lastobs;
                   10110:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   10111:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   10112:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   10113:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   10114:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  10115:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  10116:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   10117:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  10118:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  10119:     num[i]=0;
                   10120:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   10121:     annais[i]=0;
                   10122:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   10123:     andc[i]=0;
                   10124:     agedc[i]=0;
                   10125:     cod[i]=0;
                   10126:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   10127:   }
1.126     brouard  10128:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   10129:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  10130:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  10131:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  10132:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  10133:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  10134: 
1.136     brouard  10135:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   10136:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   10137:     goto end;
                   10138: 
                   10139:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  10140:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  10141:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   10142:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   10143:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   10144:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  10145:   */
                   10146:   
                   10147:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   10148:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10149:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10150:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10151:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  10152:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10153:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10154:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10155:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10156:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10157:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  10158:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10159:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10160:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10161:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10162:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10163:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10164:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10165:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   10166: 
1.230     brouard  10167:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  10168:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  10169:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   10170:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   10171:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  10172:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   10173:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   10174:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   10175:   */
                   10176:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   10177:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   10178:     ncovcol + k1
                   10179:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   10180:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  10181:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   10182:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  10183:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   10184:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  10185:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  10186:   */
1.145     brouard  10187:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   10188:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  10189:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   10190:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  10191:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  10192:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   10193:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   10194:                      */  
1.230     brouard  10195:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  10196:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   10197:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   10198:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  10199:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   10200:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   10201:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   10202:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   10203:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  10204:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   10205:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   10206:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   10207:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  10208: /* Main decodemodel */
                   10209: 
1.187     brouard  10210: 
1.223     brouard  10211:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  10212:     goto end;
                   10213: 
1.137     brouard  10214:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   10215:     nbwarn++;
                   10216:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   10217:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   10218:   }
1.136     brouard  10219:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  10220:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   10221:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  10222:   }
                   10223: 
                   10224:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   10225:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   10226: 
                   10227:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   10228:     goto end;
                   10229: 
1.126     brouard  10230: 
1.136     brouard  10231:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   10232:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   10233:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  10234:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   10235:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  10236:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   10237:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  10238:   /* */
                   10239:   
1.126     brouard  10240:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  10241:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   10242:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   10243:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   10244:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   10245:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   10246:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  10247:    
                   10248:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  10249:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   10250:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   10251:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   10252:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   10253:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   10254:   */
                   10255: 
1.126     brouard  10256:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  10257:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  10258:  
1.215     brouard  10259:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   10260:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   10261: 
1.126     brouard  10262:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   10263:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   10264:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  10265:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  10266:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  10267:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   10268:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  10269:   }
                   10270:   
                   10271:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   10272:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   10273:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   10274:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   10275:   
1.211     brouard  10276:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  10277:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  10278:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  10279:   
1.200     brouard  10280:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  10281:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  10282:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  10283:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   10284:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   10285:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   10286:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   10287:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   10288:    */
                   10289: 
1.145     brouard  10290:   h=0;
                   10291:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  10292:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   10293:  
1.144     brouard  10294:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  10295:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   10296:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   10297:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  10298:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  10299:           *______________________________  
                   10300:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   10301:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   10302:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   10303:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   10304:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   10305:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   10306:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   10307:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  10308:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   10309:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   10310:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   10311:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   10312:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   10313:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   10314:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   10315:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  10316:           */
1.212     brouard  10317:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  10318:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   10319:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   10320:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   10321:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   10322:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   10323:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   10324:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   10325:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   10326:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   10327:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   10328:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   10329:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   10330:      *              76543210     
                   10331:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  10332:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  10333:      *           &
                   10334:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  10335:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   10336:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  10337:      *
                   10338:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   10339:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   10340:      *    >>k'            11
                   10341:      *          &   00000001
                   10342:      *            = 00000001
                   10343:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   10344:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   10345:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   10346:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   10347:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   10348:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   10349:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   10350:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   10351:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   10352:      *          &1 000000001
                   10353:      *           = 000000001
                   10354:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   10355:      *                  2211
                   10356:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   10357:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  10358:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  10359:      */
                   10360: 
1.145     brouard  10361: 
                   10362:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   10363: 
                   10364: 
1.126     brouard  10365:     
1.186     brouard  10366:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  10367:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   10368:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  10369:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  10370:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   10371: 
                   10372:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10373:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   10374:   }
                   10375:   else{
1.204     brouard  10376:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  10377:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  10378:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   10379:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  10380:   }
                   10381:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  10382: 
                   10383: 
                   10384:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  10385: 
                   10386:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   10387:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  10388:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  10389:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   10390:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  10391:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   10392:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  10393:   }
                   10394: 
                   10395:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   10396:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   10397:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10398:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   10399:   }
                   10400:   else{
                   10401:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   10402: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  10403: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  10404:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   10405:   }
                   10406: 
1.213     brouard  10407:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  10408: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   10409: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  10410: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  10411: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  10412: \n\
                   10413: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   10414:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   10415:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   10416:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   10417:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   10418:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   10419:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   10420:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   10421:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   10422:          fileres,fileres,\
                   10423:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   10424:   fflush(fichtm);
                   10425: 
                   10426:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   10427:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10428: #ifdef WIN32
                   10429:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   10430: #else
1.126     brouard  10431:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  10432: #endif
                   10433:          
1.126     brouard  10434:   
1.220     brouard  10435:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   10436:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  10437:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.227     brouard  10438:   freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
                   10439:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  10440: 
                   10441:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   10442:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
                   10443: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   10444: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
                   10445:          imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
                   10446:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.220     brouard  10447:        oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   10448:        newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   10449:        savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   10450:        oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  10451: 
1.126     brouard  10452:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   10453:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   10454:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   10455: 
                   10456:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  10457:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  10458:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  10459:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  10460:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   10461:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   10462:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  10463:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  10464:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   10465:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   10466:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   10467:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  10468:                
1.126     brouard  10469:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10470:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   10471:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  10472:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   10473:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   10474:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   10475:          break;
                   10476:        }
1.126     brouard  10477:     }
1.226     brouard  10478:     
1.126     brouard  10479:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   10480:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  10481:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   10482:        j=wav[i];
                   10483:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   10484:        
                   10485:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   10486:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   10487:          cens[i]= 1;
                   10488:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   10489:          cens[i]= -1;
                   10490:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   10491:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  10492:       }
                   10493:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   10494:     }
                   10495:     
                   10496:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   10497:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  10498:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  10499:     }
                   10500:     
1.145     brouard  10501:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  10502:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   10503:     
                   10504:     
1.136     brouard  10505: #ifdef GSL
                   10506:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  10507: #else
1.126     brouard  10508:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  10509: #endif
1.201     brouard  10510:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   10511:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10512:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10513:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   10514:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   10515:     }
1.136     brouard  10516: #ifdef GSL
                   10517:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  10518: #else
1.126     brouard  10519:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  10520: #endif
1.126     brouard  10521:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10522:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10523:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   10524:     */
                   10525:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  10526: #ifdef GSL
                   10527:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   10528:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   10529:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   10530:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   10531:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   10532: 
                   10533:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   10534:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   10535:     
                   10536:     if (ss == NULL){
                   10537:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   10538:     }
                   10539:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   10540:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   10541: 
                   10542:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  10543:     
1.136     brouard  10544:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   10545:     
                   10546:     if (x == NULL){
                   10547:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   10548:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   10549:     }
                   10550:   
                   10551:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   10552:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  10553:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   10554:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  10555:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   10556:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   10557: 
                   10558:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   10559:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   10560:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   10561:     
                   10562:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   10563:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   10564:     
                   10565:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   10566:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   10567: 
                   10568:     iteri=0;
                   10569:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   10570:       iteri++;
                   10571:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   10572:       
                   10573:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   10574:       fflush(0);
                   10575:       
                   10576:       if (status) 
                   10577:         break;
                   10578:       
                   10579:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   10580:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   10581:       
                   10582:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   10583:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   10584:       
                   10585:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   10586:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   10587:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   10588:       }
                   10589:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   10590:     }
                   10591:     
                   10592:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   10593:     
                   10594:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   10595:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   10596:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   10597:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   10598:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   10599:     }
                   10600:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   10601: #endif
                   10602: #ifdef POWELL
                   10603:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   10604: #endif  
1.126     brouard  10605:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   10606:     
1.203     brouard  10607:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  10608: 
                   10609:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   10610:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  10611:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  10612:     
                   10613:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  10614:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  10615:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   10616:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  10617:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   10618:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  10619:       }
1.203     brouard  10620:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  10621:     }
                   10622:     
                   10623:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  10624:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  10625:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  10626:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   10627:     }
1.126     brouard  10628:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   10629:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   10630:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   10631:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   10632:     
                   10633:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   10634:       agemortsup=k;
                   10635:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   10636:     }
                   10637:     
                   10638:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   10639:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   10640:     
                   10641:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   10642:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   10643:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   10644:     }
                   10645:     
                   10646:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   10647:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   10648:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   10649:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   10650:     }
                   10651:     
                   10652:     
                   10653:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   10654:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   10655:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   10656:     
                   10657:     
                   10658:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  10659:                ageminpar=50;
                   10660:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  10661:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   10662:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   10663: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   10664: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   10665:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   10666: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   10667: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  10668:     }else{
                   10669:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   10670:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  10671:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  10672:                }
1.201     brouard  10673:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  10674:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   10675:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   10676:     
                   10677:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   10678:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   10679:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  10680:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  10681:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   10682:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   10683:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  10684: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  10685: #endif
1.186     brouard  10686:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  10687:   /* Standard  */
                   10688:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   10689:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   10690:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  10691:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  10692:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   10693:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   10694:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   10695:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  10696:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   10697:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  10698:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   10699:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   10700:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   10701:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  10702:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   10703:     }
                   10704:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   10705:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   10706:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   10707:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   10708:     }
                   10709:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  10710:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   10711:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   10712:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   10713:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   10714:     printf("\n");
                   10715:     
                   10716:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  10717:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  10718:     
                   10719:     
                   10720:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   10721:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   10722:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   10723:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   10724:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  10725:        if (k != i) {
                   10726:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   10727:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   10728:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   10729:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   10730:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   10731:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   10732:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   10733:            jk++; 
                   10734:          }
                   10735:          printf("\n");
                   10736:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10737:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   10738:        }
1.126     brouard  10739:       }
                   10740:     }
1.203     brouard  10741:     if(mle != 0){
                   10742:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  10743:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  10744:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   10745:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   10746:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   10747:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  10748:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   10749:          if (k != i) {
                   10750:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   10751:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   10752:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   10753:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   10754:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   10755:              jk++; 
                   10756:            }
                   10757:            printf("\n");
                   10758:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10759:          }
                   10760:        }
1.193     brouard  10761:       }
1.203     brouard  10762:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  10763:     
1.203     brouard  10764:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  10765:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   10766:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   10767:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   10768:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   10769:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  10770:        if (j!=i) {
                   10771:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   10772:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   10773:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   10774:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   10775:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   10776:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   10777:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   10778:            jk++;
                   10779:          }
                   10780:          printf("\n");
                   10781:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10782:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   10783:        }
1.126     brouard  10784:       }
                   10785:     }
                   10786:     
                   10787:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  10788:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  10789:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   10790:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   10791:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   10792:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   10793:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   10794:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   10795:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   10796:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   10797:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   10798:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   10799:     
                   10800:     
                   10801:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   10802:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   10803:     */
                   10804:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   10805:       jj=0;
                   10806:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  10807:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   10808:          if(j==i) continue;
                   10809:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   10810:            jj++;
                   10811:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   10812:            if(itimes==1){
                   10813:              if(mle>=1)
                   10814:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10815:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10816:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10817:            }else{
                   10818:              if(mle>=1)
                   10819:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10820:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10821:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   10822:            }
                   10823:            ll=0;
                   10824:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   10825:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   10826:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   10827:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   10828:                  ll++;
                   10829:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   10830:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   10831:                    if(ll<jj){
                   10832:                      if(itimes==1){
                   10833:                        if(mle>=1)
                   10834:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   10835:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   10836:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   10837:                      }else{
                   10838:                        if(mle>=1)
                   10839:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10840:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10841:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10842:                      }
                   10843:                    }else{
                   10844:                      if(itimes==1){
                   10845:                        if(mle>=1)
                   10846:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   10847:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   10848:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   10849:                      }else{
                   10850:                        if(mle>=1)
                   10851:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10852:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10853:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   10854:                      }
                   10855:                    }
                   10856:                  }
                   10857:                } /* end lk */
                   10858:              } /* end lj */
                   10859:            } /* end li */
                   10860:            if(mle>=1)
                   10861:              printf("\n");
                   10862:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   10863:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   10864:            numlinepar++;
                   10865:          } /* end k*/
                   10866:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  10867:       } /* end i */
                   10868:     } /* end itimes */
                   10869:     
                   10870:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10871:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  10872:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10873:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10874:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10875:        numlinepar++;
                   10876:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   10877:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10878:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10879:        continue;
                   10880:       }else
                   10881:        break;
                   10882:     }
                   10883:     
1.209     brouard  10884:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   10885:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   10886:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   10887:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   10888:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   10889:     /* } */
                   10890:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  10891:     
                   10892:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  10893:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  10894:       
                   10895:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   10896:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   10897:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   10898:        goto end;
                   10899:       }
                   10900:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   10901:     }
                   10902:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   10903:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   10904:     
1.209     brouard  10905:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  10906:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   10907:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   10908:       bage = ageminpar;
                   10909:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   10910:     }
                   10911:     
                   10912:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  10913:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   10914:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  10915:                
1.186     brouard  10916:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.126     brouard  10917:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10918:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10919:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
1.141     brouard  10920:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  10921:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10922:     }
                   10923:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10924:     
                   10925:     fscanf(ficpar,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav);
                   10926:     fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   10927:     fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   10928:     printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   10929:     fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   10930:     
                   10931:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10932:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10933:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
1.141     brouard  10934:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  10935:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10936:     }
                   10937:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10938:     
                   10939:     
                   10940:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   10941:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   10942:     
                   10943:     fscanf(ficpar,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased);
1.193     brouard  10944:     fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
1.126     brouard  10945:     fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   10946:     fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   10947:     
                   10948:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10949:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10950:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
1.141     brouard  10951:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.238     brouard  10952:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.126     brouard  10953:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10954:     }
                   10955:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10956:     
                   10957:     fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj);
                   10958:     fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   10959:     printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   10960:     fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   10961:     fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   10962:     /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
                   10963:     
1.217     brouard  10964:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10965:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10966:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   10967:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10968:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.238     brouard  10969:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.217     brouard  10970:     }
                   10971:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10972:     
                   10973:     fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);
1.223     brouard  10974:     fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   10975:     fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   10976:     fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
1.217     brouard  10977:     /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.126     brouard  10978:     
1.230     brouard  10979:     /* Results */
1.235     brouard  10980:     nresult=0;
1.230     brouard  10981:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10982:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10983:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10984:        numlinepar++;
                   10985:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   10986:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10987:        fputs(line,ficlog);
1.238     brouard  10988:        fputs(line,ficres);
1.230     brouard  10989:        continue;
                   10990:       }else
                   10991:        break;
                   10992:     }
1.240     brouard  10993:     if (!feof(ficpar))
1.230     brouard  10994:     while((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
1.240     brouard  10995:       if (num_filled == 0){
1.230     brouard  10996:        resultline[0]='\0';
1.240     brouard  10997:       break;
                   10998:       } else if (num_filled != 1){
1.230     brouard  10999:        printf("ERROR %d: result line should be at minimum 'result=' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   11000:       }
1.235     brouard  11001:       nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   11002:       printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   11003:       if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   11004:        printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   11005:        fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   11006:        goto end;
                   11007:       }
                   11008:       decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
1.238     brouard  11009:       fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   11010:       fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   11011:       fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  11012:       while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   11013:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   11014:        if (line[0] == '#') {
                   11015:          numlinepar++;
                   11016:          fputs(line,stdout);
                   11017:          fputs(line,ficparo);
1.238     brouard  11018:          fputs(line,ficres);
1.230     brouard  11019:          fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11020:          continue;
                   11021:        }else
                   11022:          break;
                   11023:       }
                   11024:       if (feof(ficpar))
                   11025:        break;
                   11026:       else{ /* Processess output results for this combination of covariate values */
                   11027:       }                                   
1.240     brouard  11028:     } /* end while */
1.230     brouard  11029: 
                   11030: 
1.126     brouard  11031:     
1.230     brouard  11032:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  11033:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  11034:     
                   11035:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  11036:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  11037:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  11038: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11039: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  11040:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  11041: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11042: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11043:     }else{
1.218     brouard  11044:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11045:     }
                   11046:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.225     brouard  11047:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,prevfcast,backcast, estepm, \
                   11048:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2);
1.220     brouard  11049:                
1.225     brouard  11050:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   11051:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  11052:                
1.215     brouard  11053:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   11054:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   11055:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   11056:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  11057:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   11058:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   11059:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   11060:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   11061:     fclose(ficparo);
                   11062:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  11063:                
                   11064:                
1.186     brouard  11065:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  11066:                
                   11067:                
1.126     brouard  11068:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  11069:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   11070:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  11071:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  11072:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   11073: 
                   11074:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  11075:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   11076:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  11077:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  11078:     
1.220     brouard  11079:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  11080:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  11081:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  11082:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  11083:     
1.219     brouard  11084:     /* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] */
1.218     brouard  11085:     probs= ma3x(1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.126     brouard  11086:     for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  11087:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  11088:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   11089:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  11090:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
                   11091:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
                   11092:       mobaverages= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.227     brouard  11093:       for(i=1;i<=AGESUP;i++)
                   11094:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   11095:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   11096:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  11097:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   11098:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  11099:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  11100:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   11101:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   11102:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   11103:        }
1.219     brouard  11104:       }
                   11105:       /* /\* Prevalence for each covariates in probs[age][status][cov] *\/ */
                   11106:       /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   11107:       else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  11108:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  11109:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   11110:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   11111:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   11112:        }
1.219     brouard  11113:       }
                   11114:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  11115:     
1.126     brouard  11116:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   11117:     /*if((stepm == 1) && (strcmp(model,".")==0)){*/
                   11118:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   11119:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.225     brouard  11120:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  11121:     }
1.217     brouard  11122:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  11123:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   11124:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   11125:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   11126: 
                   11127:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   11128: 
                   11129:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   11130:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   11131:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   11132: 
1.222     brouard  11133:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   11134:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  11135:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   11136: 
                   11137:       /* prevbackforecast(fileresu, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj,
1.225     brouard  11138:         bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  11139:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   11140:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   11141:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   11142:     }
1.217     brouard  11143:     
1.186     brouard  11144:  
                   11145:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  11146: 
1.215     brouard  11147:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   11148:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11149:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11150:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  11151:                
                   11152:                
1.127     brouard  11153:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  11154:                
1.201     brouard  11155:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   11156:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11157:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11158:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   11159:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   11160:     }
1.208     brouard  11161:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   11162:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  11163: 
                   11164:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  11165:                
1.235     brouard  11166:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   11167:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   11168:     
                   11169:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   11170:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
                   11171:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   11172:        continue;
1.219     brouard  11173:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  11174:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  11175:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  11176:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  11177:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11178:       }
                   11179:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11180:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11181:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  11182:       }
                   11183:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  11184:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  11185:       
                   11186:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   11187:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  11188:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  11189:       
1.219     brouard  11190:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  11191:     }
                   11192:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  11193:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   11194:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.218     brouard  11195:                
1.227     brouard  11196:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  11197:                
                   11198:                
1.201     brouard  11199:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   11200:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  11201:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11202:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   11203:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   11204:     }
1.208     brouard  11205:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   11206:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.218     brouard  11207:                
1.126     brouard  11208: 
1.201     brouard  11209:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   11210:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11211:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  11212:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   11213:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11214:     }
1.227     brouard  11215:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   11216:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  11217: 
1.201     brouard  11218:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   11219:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11220:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  11221:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   11222:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11223:     }
1.227     brouard  11224:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   11225:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  11226: 
1.201     brouard  11227:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   11228:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11229:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11230:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   11231:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   11232:     }
1.227     brouard  11233:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   11234:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  11235: 
1.145     brouard  11236:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   11237:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   11238:           
1.235     brouard  11239:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   11240:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   11241:     
                   11242:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   11243:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
                   11244:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   11245:        continue;
1.242     brouard  11246:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   11247:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   11248:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  11249:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   11250:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11251:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11252:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11253:       }
1.235     brouard  11254:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11255:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11256:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11257:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11258:       }        
1.208     brouard  11259:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  11260:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   11261:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  11262:       
                   11263:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   11264:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  11265:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  11266:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11267:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  11268:       }
1.235     brouard  11269:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11270:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11271:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11272:       }        
1.208     brouard  11273:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   11274:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   11275:       
                   11276:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  11277:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  11278:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  11279:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  11280:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11281:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11282:       }        
1.208     brouard  11283:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   11284:       
                   11285:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   11286:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  11287:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   11288:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   11289:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  11290:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   11291:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   11292:       
                   11293:       /*
                   11294:        */
                   11295:       /* goto endfree; */
                   11296:       
                   11297:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   11298:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   11299:       
                   11300:       
                   11301:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  11302:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   11303:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   11304:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   11305:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  11306:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  11307:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   11308:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   11309:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   11310:        else
                   11311:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   11312:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   11313:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   11314:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   11315:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   11316:        epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
                   11317:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   11318:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   11319:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  11320:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  11321:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   11322:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   11323:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11324:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   11325:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   11326:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11327:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   11328:            }
                   11329:          }
1.219     brouard  11330:          
1.227     brouard  11331:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   11332:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   11333:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   11334:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   11335:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   11336:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   11337:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   11338:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   11339:            }
                   11340:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   11341:          }
                   11342:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  11343:          
1.227     brouard  11344:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   11345:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   11346:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   11347:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   11348:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   11349:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   11350:          }
                   11351:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   11352:        }
1.208     brouard  11353:       } /* End vpopbased */
                   11354:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   11355:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   11356:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.235     brouard  11357:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   11358:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  11359:       
1.145     brouard  11360:       /*}*/
1.235     brouard  11361:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  11362: 
                   11363:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   11364:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   11365: 
1.126     brouard  11366:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
1.227     brouard  11367:     
1.201     brouard  11368:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   11369:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11370:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11371:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   11372:       exit(0);
                   11373:     }
1.208     brouard  11374:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   11375:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
1.227     brouard  11376:     
1.145     brouard  11377:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   11378:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
1.227     brouard  11379:     
1.235     brouard  11380:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11381:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   11382: 
                   11383:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   11384:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   11385:       if(TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   11386:        continue;
1.227     brouard  11387:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   11388:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   11389:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   11390:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   11391:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11392:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11393:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   11394:       }
1.235     brouard  11395:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   11396:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11397:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11398:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   11399:       }        
1.227     brouard  11400:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   11401:       printf("******\n");
                   11402:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   11403:       
                   11404:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   11405:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  11406:       varprevlim(fileres, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, strstart, nres);
1.227     brouard  11407:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.145     brouard  11408:       /*}*/
1.126     brouard  11409:     }
1.227     brouard  11410:     
1.126     brouard  11411:     fclose(ficresvpl);
1.208     brouard  11412:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   11413:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.227     brouard  11414:     
                   11415:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   11416:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   11417:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   11418:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   11419:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11420:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   11421:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11422:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   11423:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   11424:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   11425:     fclose(ficrest);
                   11426:     fclose(ficpar);
                   11427:     
                   11428:     
1.126     brouard  11429:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  11430:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
                   11431:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,1, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
1.218     brouard  11432:     free_ma3x(probs,1,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  11433:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   11434:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  11435:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  11436:   /* endfree:*/
                   11437:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   11438:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   11439:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   11440:   free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
1.233     brouard  11441:   free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  11442:   free_matrix(coqvar,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11443:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   11444:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   11445:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   11446:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   11447:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11448:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11449:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11450:   
                   11451:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11452:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11453:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11454:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  11455:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11456:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  11457:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11458:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  11459:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11460:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11461:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11462:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  11463:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11464:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  11465:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11466:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11467:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11468:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11469:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11470:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  11471:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11472:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11473:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11474:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11475:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11476:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  11477:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11478:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  11479:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11480:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11481:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11482:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   11483:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11484:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  11485:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   11486:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  11487:   
                   11488:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   11489:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  11490:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11491:   fflush(ficgp);
                   11492:   
1.227     brouard  11493:   
1.126     brouard  11494:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  11495:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   11496:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  11497:   }else{
                   11498:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   11499:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   11500:   }
                   11501:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   11502:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  11503:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   11504:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   11505:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   11506:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   11507:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  11508:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   11509:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  11510:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  11511:   
1.157     brouard  11512:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   11513:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   11514:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  11515:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   11516: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   11517:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   11518:   fclose(fichtm);
                   11519:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   11520:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   11521:   fclose(ficgp);
                   11522:   fclose(ficlog);
                   11523:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  11524:   
                   11525:   
                   11526:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  11527: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  11528:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   11529:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   11530:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  11531: #else
1.227     brouard  11532:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   11533:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   11534:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  11535: #endif 
1.126     brouard  11536:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   11537:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   11538:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  11539: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  11540:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   11541: #endif
                   11542:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  11543:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  11544:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  11545:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  11546:     }else
                   11547:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  11548: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  11549:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   11550:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  11551:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  11552:     }else
                   11553:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   11554: #endif
                   11555:   }else
                   11556:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   11557:   
                   11558:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  11559:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  11560:   
1.126     brouard  11561:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  11562:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  11563:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  11564:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  11565:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  11566:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  11567:   }
1.158     brouard  11568:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  11569:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   11570:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  11571:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  11572:     scanf("%s",z);
                   11573: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   11574:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  11575: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  11576:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  11577: #elif __linux
                   11578:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  11579: #else
1.152     brouard  11580:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  11581: #endif
                   11582:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   11583:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  11584:     }
                   11585:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   11586:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   11587:   }
1.227     brouard  11588: end:
1.126     brouard  11589:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  11590:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  11591:     scanf("%s",z);
                   11592:   }
                   11593: }

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