Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.276

1.276   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.275 2017/06/30 13:39:33 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.276   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: Saito's color
        !             6: 
1.275     brouard     7:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                      8:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                      9: 
1.274     brouard    10:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                     11:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                     12: 
1.273     brouard    13:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                     14:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                     15: 
1.272     brouard    16:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                     17:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                     18: 
1.271     brouard    19:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                     20:   *** empty log message ***
                     21: 
1.270     brouard    22:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                     23:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                     24: 
1.269     brouard    25:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                     26:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                     27: 
1.268     brouard    28:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                     29:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                     30: 
1.267     brouard    31:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                     32:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                     33: 
1.266     brouard    34:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                     35:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                     36: 
1.265     brouard    37:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                     38:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                     39: 
1.264     brouard    40:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                     41:   Summary: to save
                     42: 
1.263     brouard    43:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                     44:   *** empty log message ***
                     45: 
1.262     brouard    46:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                     47:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                     48: 
1.261     brouard    49:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                     50:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                     51: 
1.260     brouard    52:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                     53:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                     54: 
1.259     brouard    55:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                     56:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                     57: 
                     58:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                     59: 
1.258     brouard    60:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                     61:   Summary: Temp
                     62: 
1.257     brouard    63:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                     64:   Summary: Temporary
                     65: 
1.256     brouard    66:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                     67:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                     68: 
1.255     brouard    69:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                     70:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                     71: 
1.254     brouard    72:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                     73:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                     74: 
1.253     brouard    75:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                     76:   *** empty log message ***
                     77: 
1.252     brouard    78:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                     79:   Summary: not working
                     80: 
1.251     brouard    81:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                     82:   Summary: continue
                     83: 
1.250     brouard    84:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                     85:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                     86: 
1.249     brouard    87:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                     88:   *** empty log message ***
                     89: 
1.248     brouard    90:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                     91:   *** empty log message ***
                     92: 
1.247     brouard    93:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                     94:   *** empty log message ***
                     95: 
1.246     brouard    96:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                     97:   *** empty log message ***
                     98: 
1.245     brouard    99:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    100:   *** empty log message ***
                    101: 
1.244     brouard   102:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    103:   *** empty log message ***
                    104: 
1.243     brouard   105:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    106:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    107: 
1.242     brouard   108:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    109:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    110: 
1.241     brouard   111:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    112:   Summary: Better
                    113: 
1.240     brouard   114:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    115:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    116: 
                    117:   Author:
                    118: 
1.239     brouard   119:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    120:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    121: 
1.238     brouard   122:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    123:   Summary: to valgrind
                    124: 
1.237     brouard   125:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    126:   *** empty log message ***
                    127: 
1.236     brouard   128:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    129:   *** empty log message ***
                    130: 
1.235     brouard   131:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    132:   *** empty log message ***
                    133: 
1.234     brouard   134:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    135:   Summary: not working
                    136: 
1.233     brouard   137:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    138:   Summary: not working
                    139: 
1.232     brouard   140:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    141:   Summary: not working
                    142: 
1.231     brouard   143:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    144:   Summary: Not working
                    145: 
1.230     brouard   146:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    147:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    148: 
1.229     brouard   149:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    150:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    151: 
1.227     brouard   152:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    153:   Summary: temp
                    154: 
1.226     brouard   155:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    156:   Summary: saving but not running
                    157: 
1.225     brouard   158:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    159:   Summary: Fixes
                    160: 
1.224     brouard   161:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    162:   Summary: temporary
                    163: 
1.223     brouard   164:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    165:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    166: 
1.222     brouard   167:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    168:   Summary: minor bug
                    169: 
1.220     brouard   170:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    171:   *** empty log message ***
                    172: 
1.219     brouard   173:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    174:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    175: 
1.218     brouard   176:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    177:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    178: 
1.217     brouard   179:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    180:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    181: 
                    182:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    183:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    184:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    185:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    186: 
1.216     brouard   187:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    188:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    189: 
1.215     brouard   190:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    191:   Summary: temporary not working
                    192: 
1.214     brouard   193:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    194:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    195: 
1.213     brouard   196:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    197:   Summary: minor typo
                    198: 
1.212     brouard   199:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    200:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    201: 
                    202:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    203: 
1.211     brouard   204:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   205:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   206:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    207:   Author: N Brouard
                    208: 
                    209:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    210:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    211:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    212:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    213:   computation are long.
                    214: 
1.209     brouard   215:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    216:   Summary: temporary
                    217: 
1.208     brouard   218:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    219:   *** empty log message ***
                    220: 
1.207     brouard   221:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    222:   *** empty log message ***
                    223: 
1.206     brouard   224:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    225:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    226: 
1.205     brouard   227:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    228:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    229: 
1.204     brouard   230:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    231:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    232: 
                    233:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    234:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    235:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    236: 
1.203     brouard   237:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    238:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    239: 
1.202     brouard   240:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    241:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    242: 
                    243:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    244:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    245: 
1.201     brouard   246:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    247:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    248: 
                    249:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    250: 
1.200     brouard   251:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    252:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    253: 
1.199     brouard   254:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    255:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    256: 
1.198     brouard   257:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    258:   *** empty log message ***
                    259: 
1.197     brouard   260:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    261:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    262: 
1.196     brouard   263:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    264:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    265: 
                    266:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    267:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    268:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    269:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    270: 
1.195     brouard   271:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    272:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    273: 
1.194     brouard   274:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    275:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    276: 
1.193     brouard   277:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    278:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    279: 
1.192     brouard   280:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    281:   Summary: Some fixes
                    282: 
1.191     brouard   283:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    284:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    285: 
                    286:   Fix 1+age+.
                    287: 
1.190     brouard   288:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    289:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    290: 
1.189     brouard   291:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    292:   *** empty log message ***
                    293: 
1.188     brouard   294:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    295:   *** empty log message ***
                    296: 
1.187     brouard   297:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    298:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    299: 
                    300:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    301:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    302:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    303: 
1.186     brouard   304:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    305:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    306: 
1.185     brouard   307:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    308:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    309: 
1.184     brouard   310:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    311:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    312: 
                    313:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    314:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    315:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    316:   wrong results.
                    317: 
1.183     brouard   318:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    319:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    320:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    321: 
1.182     brouard   322:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    323:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    324: 
                    325:   Author:
                    326: 
1.181     brouard   327:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    328:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    329: 
1.180     brouard   330:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    331:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    332: 
1.179     brouard   333:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    334:   *** empty log message ***
                    335: 
1.178     brouard   336:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    337:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    338: 
1.177     brouard   339:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    340:   *** empty log message ***
                    341: 
1.176     brouard   342:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    343:   *** empty log message ***
                    344: 
1.175     brouard   345:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    346:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    347: 
1.174     brouard   348:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    349:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    350: 
1.173     brouard   351:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    352:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    353: 
1.172     brouard   354:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    355:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    356: 
                    357:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    358: 
1.171     brouard   359:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    360:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    361: 
                    362:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    363: 
1.170     brouard   364:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    365:   Summary: 0.98p
                    366: 
                    367:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    368: 
1.169     brouard   369:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   370:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   371: 
1.168     brouard   372:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    373:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    374: 
                    375:   Testing on Linux 64
                    376: 
1.167     brouard   377:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    378:   *** empty log message ***
                    379: 
1.166     brouard   380:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    381:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    382: 
                    383:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    384: 
1.165     brouard   385:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    386:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    387: 
                    388:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    389: 
1.164     brouard   390:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    391:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    392: 
1.163     brouard   393:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    394:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    395: 
1.162     brouard   396:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    397:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    398: 
                    399:   Author:
                    400: 
                    401:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    402:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    403: 
1.161     brouard   404:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    405:   *** empty log message ***
                    406: 
1.160     brouard   407:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    408:   Summary: WIN32
                    409:   Author: Brouard
                    410: 
1.159     brouard   411:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    412:   *** empty log message ***
                    413: 
1.158     brouard   414:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    415:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    416:   Author: Brouard
                    417: 
                    418:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    419:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    420:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    421:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    422:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    423: 
1.157     brouard   424:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    425:   *** empty log message ***
                    426: 
1.156     brouard   427:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    428:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    429:   Author: Brouard
                    430: 
1.155     brouard   431:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    432:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    433: 
1.154     brouard   434:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    435:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    436:   Author: Brouard
                    437: 
1.153     brouard   438:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    439:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    440: 
1.152     brouard   441:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    442:   *** empty log message ***
                    443: 
1.151     brouard   444:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    445:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    446:   Author: brouard
                    447: 
1.150     brouard   448:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    449:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    450:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    451: 
1.149     brouard   452:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    453:   Summary: Nothing new
                    454:   Author: Brouard
                    455: 
                    456:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    457: 
1.148     brouard   458:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    459:   *** empty log message ***
                    460: 
1.147     brouard   461:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    462:   Summary: Merge
                    463:   Author: Brouard
                    464: 
                    465:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    466: 
1.146     brouard   467:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    468:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    469:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    470: 
                    471:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    472:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    473:   improve the code.
                    474:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    475:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    476:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    477:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    478:   the source code.
                    479: 
1.144     brouard   480:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    481:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    482: 
                    483:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    484:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    485: 
1.143     brouard   486:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    487:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    488: 
                    489:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    490: 
1.142     brouard   491:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    492:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    493: 
1.141     brouard   494:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    495:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    496: 
1.140     brouard   497:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    498:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    499:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    500: 
1.139     brouard   501:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    502:   *** empty log message ***
                    503: 
1.138     brouard   504:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    505:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    506:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    507: 
1.137     brouard   508:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    509:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    510:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    511:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    512:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    513: 
1.136     brouard   514:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    515:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    516: 
1.135     brouard   517:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    518:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    519: 
1.134     brouard   520:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    521:   just nforces
                    522: 
1.133     brouard   523:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    524:   Many tings
                    525: 
1.132     brouard   526:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    527:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    528: 
1.131     brouard   529:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    530:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    531:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    532:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    533: 
1.130     brouard   534:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    535:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    536: 
1.129     lievre    537:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    538:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    539: 
1.128     brouard   540:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    541:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    542:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    543:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    544:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    545:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    546:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    547:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    548:   computation.
                    549:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    550:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    551: 
1.127     brouard   552:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    553:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    554:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    555:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    556:   Version 0.98h
                    557: 
1.126     brouard   558:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    559:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    560:   Forecasting file added.
                    561: 
                    562:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    563:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    564:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    565: 
                    566:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    567:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    568:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    569: 
                    570:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    571:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    572:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    573:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    574:   1.
                    575:   Version 0.98g
                    576: 
                    577:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    578:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    579:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    580:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    581:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    582:   1.
                    583:   Version 0.98g
                    584: 
                    585:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    586:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    587: 
                    588:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    589:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    590:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    591: 
                    592:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    593:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    594:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    595:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    596: 
                    597:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    598:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    599:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    600: 
                    601:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    602:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    603:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    604:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    605:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    606:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    607: 
                    608:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    609:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    610:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    611:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    612:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    613:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    614: 
                    615:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    616:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    617:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    618: 
                    619:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    620:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    621: 
                    622:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    623:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    624:   filename with strsep.
                    625: 
                    626:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    627:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    628:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    629:   allocation too.
                    630: 
                    631:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    632:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    633: 
                    634:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    635:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    636:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    637:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    638: 
                    639:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    640:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    641: 
                    642:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    643:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    644: 
                    645:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    646:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    647:   To be fixed
                    648: 
                    649:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    650:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    651: 
                    652:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    653:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    654: 
                    655:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    656:   *** empty log message ***
                    657: 
                    658:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    659:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    660:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    661:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    662:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    663:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    664:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    665:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    666: 
                    667:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    668:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    669: 
                    670:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    671:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    672: 
                    673:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    674:   Fix on curr_time
                    675: 
                    676:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    677:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    678: 
                    679:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    680:   *** empty log message ***
                    681: 
                    682:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    683:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    684:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    685:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    686:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    687:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    688:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    689:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    690: 
                    691:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    692: 
1.133     brouard   693:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   694:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    695: 
                    696:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    697:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    698: 
                    699:   Current limitations:
                    700:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    701:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    702:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    703: 
                    704:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    705:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    706:   suppressed.
                    707: 
                    708:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    709:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    710:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    711: 
                    712:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    713:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    714:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    715:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    716: 
                    717:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    718:   Just cleaning
                    719: 
                    720:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    721:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    722:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    723:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    724: 
                    725:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    726:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    727:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    728: 
                    729:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    730:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    731:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    732:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    733:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    734:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    735: 
                    736:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    737:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    738:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    739:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    740: 
                    741:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    742:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    743:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    744:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    745: 
                    746:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    747:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    748: 
                    749:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    750:   Version 0.96
                    751: 
                    752:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    753:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    754:   routine fileappend.
                    755: 
                    756:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    757:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    758:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    759:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    760:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    761:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    762:   interview.
                    763:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    764:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    765:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    766:   truncation)
                    767:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    768: 
                    769:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    770:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    771:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    772:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    773:   parcimony.
                    774:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    775: 
                    776:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    777:   *** empty log message ***
                    778: 
                    779:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    780:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    781: 
                    782: */
                    783: /*
                    784:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    785: 
                    786:   Short summary of the programme:
                    787:   
1.227     brouard   788:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    789:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    790:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    791: 
                    792:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    793:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    794:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    795: 
                    796:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    797:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    798:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    799:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    800:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    801:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    802:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    803:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    804:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    805:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    806:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    807:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    808:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   809:   convergence.
                    810: 
                    811:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    812:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    813:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    814:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    815:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    816: 
                    817:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    818:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    819:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    820:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    821:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    822:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    823:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    824:   hPijx.
                    825: 
                    826:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   827:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    828: 
                    829: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   830: 
                    831:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    832:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    833:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    834:    mobilavproj)
                    835: 
                    836:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    837:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    838:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    839: 
                    840:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    841:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    842: 
                    843:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   844:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    845:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    846:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   847: 
1.267     brouard   848:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard   849:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    850:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    851:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   852:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    853: 
                    854:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    855:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    856:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    857:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    858:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   859: 
                    860: Important routines
                    861: 
                    862: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    863:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    864:   o varying variables by:
                    865:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    866:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    867:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    868:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    869: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    870:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    871: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    872:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    873:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   874: 
1.226     brouard   875: 
                    876:   
1.133     brouard   877:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    878:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   879:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    880:   from the European Union.
                    881:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    882:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    883:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    884: 
                    885:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    886:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    887:   
                    888:   **********************************************************************/
                    889: /*
                    890:   main
                    891:   read parameterfile
                    892:   read datafile
                    893:   concatwav
                    894:   freqsummary
                    895:   if (mle >= 1)
                    896:     mlikeli
                    897:   print results files
                    898:   if mle==1 
                    899:      computes hessian
                    900:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    901:       begin-prev-date,...
                    902:   open gnuplot file
                    903:   open html file
1.145     brouard   904:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    905:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    906:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    907:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    908: 
                    909:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    910:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    911:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    912:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    913: 
                    914:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    915:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    916:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    917:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    918:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    919: 
1.126     brouard   920:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    921:   health expectancies
                    922:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    923:   prevalence()
                    924:    movingaverage()
                    925:   varevsij() 
                    926:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    927:   total life expectancies
                    928:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    929:  end
                    930: */
                    931: 
1.187     brouard   932: /* #define DEBUG */
                    933: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   934: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    935: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    936: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   937: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   938: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   939: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   940: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    941: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   942: 
                    943: #include <math.h>
                    944: #include <stdio.h>
                    945: #include <stdlib.h>
                    946: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   947: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   948: 
                    949: #ifdef _WIN32
                    950: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   951: #include <windows.h>
                    952: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   953: #else
1.126     brouard   954: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   955: #endif
1.126     brouard   956: 
                    957: #include <limits.h>
                    958: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   959: 
                    960: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    961: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    962: #endif
                    963: 
1.126     brouard   964: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    965: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   966: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   967: 
1.157     brouard   968: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    969: /* #include <time.h> */
                    970: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    971: /* #else */
                    972: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    973: /* #endif */
                    974: 
1.126     brouard   975: #include <time.h>
                    976: 
1.136     brouard   977: #ifdef GSL
                    978: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    979: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                    980: #endif
                    981: 
1.167     brouard   982: 
1.162     brouard   983: #ifdef NLOPT
                    984: #include <nlopt.h>
                    985: typedef struct {
                    986:   double (* function)(double [] );
                    987: } myfunc_data ;
                    988: #endif
                    989: 
1.126     brouard   990: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                    991: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                    992: 
1.251     brouard   993: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard   994: 
                    995: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                    996: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                    997: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                    998: 
                    999: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1000: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1001: 
1.144     brouard  1002: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1003: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1004: 
                   1005: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1006: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1007: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                   1008: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard  1009: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1010: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1011: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard  1012: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard  1013: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1014: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                   1015: #define AGESUP 150
1.268     brouard  1016: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1017: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1018: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1019: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1020: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1021: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1022: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1023: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1024: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1025: #else
1.126     brouard  1026: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1027: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1028: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1029: #endif
                   1030: 
1.276   ! brouard  1031: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.275 2017/06/30 13:39:33 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1032: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1033: #include "version.h"
                   1034: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard  1035: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.276   ! brouard  1036: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.275 $ $Date: 2017/06/30 13:39:33 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1037: char strstart[80];
                   1038: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1039: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1040: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1041: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1042: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1043: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1044: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1045: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1046: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1047: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1048: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1049: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1050: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1051: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1052: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1053: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1054: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1055: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1056: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1057: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1058: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard  1059: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard  1060: int npar=NPARMAX;
                   1061: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1062: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1063: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1064: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1065: int popbased=0;
                   1066: 
                   1067: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1068: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1069: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1070: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1071: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1072:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1073: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1074: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1075: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1076: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1077:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1078: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1079: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1080: 
1.130     brouard  1081: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1082: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1083: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1084: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1085: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1086: 
1.136     brouard  1087: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1088: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1089: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1090: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1091: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1092: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1093: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1094: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1095: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1096: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1097: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1098: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1099: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1100: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1101: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1102: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1103: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1104: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1105: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1106: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1107: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1108: 
1.126     brouard  1109: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1110: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1111: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1112: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1113: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1114: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1115: int  outcmd=0;
                   1116: 
1.217     brouard  1117: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1118: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1119: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1120: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1121: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1122: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1123: 
                   1124: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1125: 
1.157     brouard  1126: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1127: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1128: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1129: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1130: 
                   1131: extern time_t time();
                   1132: 
                   1133: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1134: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1135: struct tm tm;
                   1136: 
1.126     brouard  1137: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1138: 
                   1139: char *endptr;
                   1140: long lval;
                   1141: double dval;
                   1142: 
                   1143: #define NR_END 1
                   1144: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1145: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1146: 
                   1147: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1148: #define ITMAX 200
                   1149: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1150: 
                   1151: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1152: 
                   1153: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1154: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1155: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1156: 
                   1157: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1158: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1159: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1160: 
                   1161: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1162: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1163: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1164:   
                   1165: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1166: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1167: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1168: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1169: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1170: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1171: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1172: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1173: static double sqrarg;
                   1174: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1175: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1176: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1177: 
                   1178: int imx; 
                   1179: int stepm=1;
                   1180: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1181: 
                   1182: int estepm;
                   1183: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1184: 
                   1185: int m,nb;
                   1186: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1187: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1188: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1189:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1190:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1191: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1192:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1193:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1194: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1195: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1196: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1197: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1198: double dateintmean=0;
                   1199: 
                   1200: double *weight;
                   1201: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1202: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1203: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1204:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1205:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1206: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1207: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1208: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1209: double  idx; 
                   1210: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1211: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1212: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1213: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1214: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1215: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1216: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1217: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1218: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1219: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1220: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1221: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1222: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1223: /* */
                   1224: /* Type                    */
                   1225: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1226: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1227: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1228: /*                         */
                   1229: int *TvarsD;
                   1230: int *TvarsDind;
                   1231: int *TvarsQ;
                   1232: int *TvarsQind;
                   1233: 
1.235     brouard  1234: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1235: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1236: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.235     brouard  1237: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1238: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1239: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1240: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1241: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1242: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1243: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1244: 
1.234     brouard  1245: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1246: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1247: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1248: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1249: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1250: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1251: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1252: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1253: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1254: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1255: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1256: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1257: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1258: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1259: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1260: 
1.230     brouard  1261: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1262: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1263: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1264: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1265: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1266: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1267: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1268: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1269: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1270: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1271: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1272: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1273: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1274: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1275: int **Tvard;
                   1276: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1277: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1278: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1279:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1280:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1281: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1282: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1283: 
1.231     brouard  1284: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1285: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1286: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1287: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1288: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1289: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1290: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1291: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1292: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1293: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1294: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1295: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1296: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1297: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1298: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1299: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1300: 
                   1301: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1302: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1303: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1304: 
                   1305: struct kmodel{
                   1306:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1307:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1308: };
                   1309: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1310: 
1.143     brouard  1311: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1312: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1313: 
                   1314: /**************** split *************************/
                   1315: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1316: {
                   1317:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1318:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1319:   */ 
                   1320:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1321:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1322: 
                   1323:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1324:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1325:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1326:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1327:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1328:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1329:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1330:     /* get current working directory */
                   1331:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1332: #ifdef WIN32
                   1333:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1334: #else
                   1335:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1336: #endif
1.126     brouard  1337:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1338:     }
                   1339:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1340:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1341:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1342:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1343:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1344:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1345:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1346:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1347:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1348:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1349:   }
                   1350:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1351:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1352:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1353:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1354:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1355:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1356:   }
                   1357:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1358:   if (ss >0){
                   1359:     ss++;
                   1360:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1361:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1362:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1363:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1364:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1365:   }
                   1366: 
                   1367:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1368: }
                   1369: 
                   1370: 
                   1371: /******************************************/
                   1372: 
                   1373: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1374: {
                   1375:   int i;
                   1376:   int lg=0;
                   1377:   i=0;
                   1378:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1379:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1380:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1381:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1382:   }
                   1383: }
                   1384: 
1.132     brouard  1385: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1386: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1387:   char *s;
                   1388:   s=out;
                   1389:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1390:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1391:       in++;
                   1392:     }
                   1393:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1394:   }
                   1395:   *out='\0';
                   1396:   return s;
                   1397: }
                   1398: 
1.187     brouard  1399: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1400: /* { */
                   1401: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1402: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1403: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1404: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1405: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1406: /*   } */
                   1407: 
                   1408: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1409: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1410: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1411: /*   } */
                   1412: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1413: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1414: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1415: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1416: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1417: /*   } */
                   1418: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1419: /*   out=s; */
                   1420: /*   return out; */
                   1421: /* } */
                   1422: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1423: {
                   1424:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1425:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1426: 
                   1427:   char *strloc;
                   1428: 
                   1429:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1430:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1431:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1432:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1433:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1434:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1435:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1436:   }
                   1437:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1438:   return out;
                   1439: }
                   1440: 
                   1441: 
1.145     brouard  1442: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1443: {
1.187     brouard  1444:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1445:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1446:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1447:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1448:   */
1.160     brouard  1449:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1450:   t=in;s=in;
                   1451:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1452:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1453:   }
                   1454:   if( *in == occ){
                   1455:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1456:     s=++in;
                   1457:   }
                   1458:  
                   1459:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1460:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1461:     in=s;
                   1462:   }
                   1463:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1464:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1465:   }
                   1466: 
                   1467:   *blocc='\0';
                   1468:   return t;
                   1469: }
1.137     brouard  1470: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1471: {
1.187     brouard  1472:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1473:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1474:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1475:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1476:   */
                   1477:   char *s, *t;
                   1478:   t=in;s=in;
                   1479:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1480:     while( *in == occ){
                   1481:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1482:       s=in;
                   1483:     }
                   1484:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1485:   }
                   1486:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1487:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1488:   else
                   1489:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1490:   in=s;
                   1491:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1492:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1493:   }
                   1494: 
                   1495:   *alocc='\0';
                   1496:   return s;
                   1497: }
                   1498: 
1.126     brouard  1499: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1500: {
                   1501:   int i,j=0;
                   1502:   int lg=20;
                   1503:   i=0;
                   1504:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1505:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1506:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1507:   }
                   1508:   return j;
                   1509: }
                   1510: 
1.137     brouard  1511: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1512: /* { */
                   1513: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1514: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1515: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1516: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1517: /*   i=0; */
                   1518: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1519: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1520: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1521: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1522: 
1.137     brouard  1523: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1524: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1525: /*   } */
                   1526: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1527: 
1.137     brouard  1528: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1529: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1530: /*   } */
                   1531: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1532: 
1.160     brouard  1533: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1534: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1535: {
                   1536:   char *p, *q;
                   1537:          
                   1538:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1539:     return 0;
                   1540:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1541:   {
                   1542:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1543:     *q = '\0';
                   1544:   }
                   1545:   else
                   1546:     *pp = 0;
                   1547:   return p;
                   1548: }
                   1549: #endif
                   1550: 
1.126     brouard  1551: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1552: 
                   1553: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1554: {
                   1555:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1556:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1557:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1558: }
                   1559: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1560: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1561: {
                   1562:   double *v;
                   1563:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1564:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1565:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1566: }
                   1567: 
                   1568: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1569: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1570: {
                   1571:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1572: }
                   1573: 
                   1574: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1575: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1576: {
                   1577:   int *v;
                   1578:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1579:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1580:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1581: }
                   1582: 
                   1583: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1584: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1585: {
                   1586:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1587: }
                   1588: 
                   1589: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1590: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1591: {
                   1592:   long *v;
                   1593:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1594:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1595:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1596: }
                   1597: 
                   1598: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1599: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1600: {
                   1601:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1602: }
                   1603: 
                   1604: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1605: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1606:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1607: { 
                   1608:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1609:   int **m; 
                   1610:   
                   1611:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1612:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1613:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1614:   m += NR_END; 
                   1615:   m -= nrl; 
                   1616:   
                   1617:   
                   1618:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1619:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1620:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1621:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1622:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1623:   
                   1624:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1625:   
                   1626:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1627:   return m; 
                   1628: } 
                   1629: 
                   1630: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1631: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1632:       int **m;
                   1633:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1634:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1635: { 
                   1636:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1637:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1638: } 
                   1639: 
                   1640: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1641: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1642: {
                   1643:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1644:   double **m;
                   1645: 
                   1646:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1647:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1648:   m += NR_END;
                   1649:   m -= nrl;
                   1650: 
                   1651:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1652:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1653:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1654:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1655: 
                   1656:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1657:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1658:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1659: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1660: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1661:    */
                   1662: }
                   1663: 
                   1664: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1665: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1666: {
                   1667:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1668:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1669: }
                   1670: 
                   1671: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1672: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1673: {
                   1674:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1675:   double ***m;
                   1676: 
                   1677:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1678:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1679:   m += NR_END;
                   1680:   m -= nrl;
                   1681: 
                   1682:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1683:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1684:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1685:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1686: 
                   1687:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1688: 
                   1689:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1690:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1691:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1692:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1693:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1694:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1695:   
                   1696:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1697:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1698:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1699:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1700:   }
                   1701:   return m; 
                   1702:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1703:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1704:   */
                   1705: }
                   1706: 
                   1707: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1708: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1709: {
                   1710:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1711:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1712:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1713: }
                   1714: 
                   1715: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1716: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1717: {
                   1718:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1719:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1720:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1721:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1722:   return tmpout;
                   1723: }
                   1724: 
                   1725: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1726: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1727: {
                   1728:   
                   1729:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1730:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1731:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1732:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1733:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1734:   return tmpout;
                   1735: }
                   1736: 
                   1737: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1738: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1739: {
                   1740:   
                   1741:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1742:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1743:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1744:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1745:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1746:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1747:   return tmpout;
                   1748: }
1.213     brouard  1749:  
                   1750: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1751: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1752: {
                   1753:   
                   1754:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1755:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1756:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1757:   return tmpout;
                   1758: }
1.126     brouard  1759: 
1.213     brouard  1760: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1761: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1762: {
                   1763:   
                   1764:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1765:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1766:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1767:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1768:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1769:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1770:   return tmpout;
                   1771: }
                   1772:  
1.162     brouard  1773: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1774: {
                   1775:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1776:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1777:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1778:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1779:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1780:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1781:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1782:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1783:   return ascdiff;
                   1784: }
                   1785: 
1.126     brouard  1786: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1787: extern int ncom; 
                   1788: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1789: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1790:  
                   1791: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1792: { 
                   1793:   int j; 
                   1794:   double f;
                   1795:   double *xt; 
                   1796:  
                   1797:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1798:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1799:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1800:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1801:   return f; 
                   1802: } 
                   1803: 
                   1804: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1805: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1806: {
                   1807:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1808:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1809:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1810:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1811:    * returned function value. 
                   1812:   */
1.126     brouard  1813:   int iter; 
                   1814:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1815:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1816:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1817:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1818:   double e=0.0; 
                   1819:  
                   1820:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1821:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1822:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1823:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1824:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1825:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1826:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1827:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1828:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1829:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1830: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1831:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1832:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1833:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1834: #endif
                   1835:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1836:       *xmin=x; 
                   1837:       return fx; 
                   1838:     } 
                   1839:     ftemp=fu;
                   1840:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1841:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1842:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1843:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1844:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1845:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1846:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1847:       etemp=e; 
                   1848:       e=d; 
                   1849:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1850:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1851:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1852:                                d=p/q; 
                   1853:                                u=x+d; 
                   1854:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1855:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1856:       } 
                   1857:     } else { 
                   1858:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1859:     } 
                   1860:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1861:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1862:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1863:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1864:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1865:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1866:     } else { 
                   1867:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1868:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1869:                                v=w; 
                   1870:                                w=u; 
                   1871:                                fv=fw; 
                   1872:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1873:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1874:                                v=u; 
                   1875:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1876:       } 
                   1877:     } 
1.126     brouard  1878:   } 
                   1879:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1880:   *xmin=x; 
                   1881:   return fx; 
                   1882: } 
                   1883: 
                   1884: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1885: 
                   1886: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1887:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1888: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1889: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1890: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1891: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1892:    */
1.126     brouard  1893:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1894:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1895: 
                   1896:   double scale=10.;
                   1897:   int iterscale=0;
                   1898: 
                   1899:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1900:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1901: 
                   1902: 
                   1903:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1904:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1905:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1906:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1907:   /* } */
                   1908: 
1.126     brouard  1909:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1910:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1911:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1912:   } 
1.126     brouard  1913:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1914:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1915: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1916:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1917:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1918: #endif
1.224     brouard  1919:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1920:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1921:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1922:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1923:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1924:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1925:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1926:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1927: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1928:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1929:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1930:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1931:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1932:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1933:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1934:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1935:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1936:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1937:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1938: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1939: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1940: #else
1.191     brouard  1941: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1942: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1943: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1944: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1945: /* #endif */
                   1946: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1947: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1948: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1949: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1950: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1951: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1952: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1953: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1954: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1955: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1956: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1957: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1958: /* #endif */
                   1959: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1960: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1961: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1962: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1963: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1964: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1965: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1966: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1967:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1968:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1969:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1970:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1971:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1972: #endif
1.191     brouard  1973:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1974:       u = *cx;
                   1975:       *cx = dum;
                   1976:       dum = fu;
                   1977:       fu = *fc;
                   1978:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1979: #endif
1.162     brouard  1980:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  1981: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1982:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   1983:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  1984: #endif
1.126     brouard  1985:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   1986:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  1987: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1988:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1989:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1990: #endif
                   1991:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   1992:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   1993: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1994:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  1995: #endif
                   1996:       } 
1.162     brouard  1997:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  1998: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1999:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2000:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2001: #endif
1.126     brouard  2002:       u=ulim; 
                   2003:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2004:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2005: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2006:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2007:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2008: #endif
1.126     brouard  2009:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2010:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2011: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2012:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2013:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2014: #endif
1.183     brouard  2015:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2016:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2017:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2018: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2019:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2020:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2021: #endif
                   2022:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2023: } 
                   2024: 
                   2025: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2026: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2027: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2028: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2029: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2030: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2031: int ncom; 
                   2032: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2033: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2034:  
1.224     brouard  2035: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2036: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2037: #else
                   2038: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2039: #endif
1.126     brouard  2040: { 
                   2041:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2042:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2043:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2044:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2045:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2046:   int j; 
                   2047:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2048:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2049: 
1.203     brouard  2050: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2051: #else
                   2052:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2053: #endif
                   2054:   
1.126     brouard  2055:   ncom=n; 
                   2056:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2057:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2058:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2059:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2060:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2061:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2062:   } 
1.187     brouard  2063: 
1.203     brouard  2064: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2065:   xx=1.;
                   2066: #else
                   2067:   axs=0.0;
                   2068:   xxs=1.;
                   2069:   do{
                   2070:     xx= xxs;
                   2071: #endif
1.187     brouard  2072:     ax=0.;
                   2073:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2074:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2075:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2076:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2077:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2078:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2079:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2080: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2081: #else
                   2082:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2083:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2084:                        printf("|");
                   2085:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2086: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2087:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2088: #endif
                   2089:     }
1.224     brouard  2090:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2091: #endif
                   2092:   
1.191     brouard  2093: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2094:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2095:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2096: #endif
1.224     brouard  2097: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2098: #else
                   2099:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2100:                xmin=xx;
                   2101:     *flat=1;
                   2102:        }else{
                   2103:     *flat=0;
                   2104: #endif
                   2105:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2106:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2107:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2108:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2109:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2110:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2111: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2112:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2113:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2114: #endif
                   2115: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2116: #else
                   2117:                        }
1.126     brouard  2118: #endif
1.191     brouard  2119: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2120:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2121:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2122: #endif
1.126     brouard  2123:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2124: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2125:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2126: #else
                   2127: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2128:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2129:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2130: #endif
                   2131:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2132: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2133:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2134:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2135: #endif
                   2136: #endif
1.187     brouard  2137:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2138:   } 
1.191     brouard  2139: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2140:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2141:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2142:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2143:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2144:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2145:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2146:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2147:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2148:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2149:     }
1.191     brouard  2150:   }
1.203     brouard  2151: #else
1.191     brouard  2152: #endif
1.126     brouard  2153:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2154:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2155: } 
                   2156: 
                   2157: 
                   2158: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2159: /*
                   2160: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2161: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2162: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2163: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2164: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2165: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2166:  */
1.224     brouard  2167: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2168: #else
                   2169:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2170:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2171: #endif
1.126     brouard  2172: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2173:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2174: { 
1.224     brouard  2175: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2176:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2177:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2178: #else 
1.241     brouard  2179:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2180:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2181: #endif
1.239     brouard  2182:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2183:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2184:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2185:   double fp,fptt;
                   2186:   double *xits;
                   2187:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2188: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2189: #else
                   2190: 
                   2191:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2192:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2193: #endif
1.126     brouard  2194: 
                   2195:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2196:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2197:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2198:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2199:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2200:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2201:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2202:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2203:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2204:     ibig=0; 
                   2205:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2206:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2207:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2208:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2209:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2210:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2211:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2212: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2213:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2214:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2215:     }
1.239     brouard  2216:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2217:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2218:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2219:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2220:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2221:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2222:     }
                   2223:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2224:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2225:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2226:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2227:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2228:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2229:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2230:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2231:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2232:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2233:       }
                   2234:     }
1.126     brouard  2235:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2236: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2237: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2238:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2239:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2240:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2241:        if (k != i) {
                   2242:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2243:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2244:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2245:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2246:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2247:            jk++; 
                   2248:          }
                   2249:          printf("\n");
                   2250:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2251:        }
                   2252:       }
                   2253:     }
1.241     brouard  2254:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2255:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2256:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2257:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2258:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2259:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2260:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2261:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2262:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2263:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2264:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2265:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2266:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2267:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2268:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2269:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2270:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2271:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2272:       }
                   2273:     }
1.187     brouard  2274:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2275:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2276:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2277: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2278:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2279:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2280: #endif
1.203     brouard  2281:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2282:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2283: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2284:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2285: #else
                   2286:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2287:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2288: #endif
                   2289:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2290:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2291:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2292:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2293:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2294:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2295:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2296:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2297:       } 
                   2298: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2299:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2300:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2301:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2302:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2303:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2304:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2305:       }
                   2306:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2307:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2308:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2309:       }
                   2310:       printf("\n");
                   2311:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2312: #endif
1.187     brouard  2313:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2314:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2315:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2316:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2317:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2318:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2319:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2320:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2321:                                }
                   2322:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2323:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2324:                        }
1.243     brouard  2325:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2326:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2327:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2328:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2329:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2330:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2331:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2332:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2333:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2334:                        
1.188     brouard  2335:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2336:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2337:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2338:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2339: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2340:       int k[2],l;
                   2341:       k[0]=1;
                   2342:       k[1]=-1;
                   2343:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2344:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2345:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2346:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2347:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2348:       }
                   2349:       printf("\n");
                   2350:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2351:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2352:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2353:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2354:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2355:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2356:        }
                   2357:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2358:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2359:       }
                   2360: #endif
                   2361: 
1.224     brouard  2362: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2363: #else
                   2364:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2365: #endif
1.126     brouard  2366:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2367:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2368:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2369:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2370:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2371:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2372:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2373:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2374:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2375:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2376:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2377:     } 
1.181     brouard  2378:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2379: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2380:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2381: #else
                   2382: #endif
1.224     brouard  2383: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2384: #else
1.161     brouard  2385:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2386: #endif
1.162     brouard  2387:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2388:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2389:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2390:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2391:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2392:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2393:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2394:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2395:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2396:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2397:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2398:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2399:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2400:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2401:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2402: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2403:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2404: #else
                   2405:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2406:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2407: #endif
1.202     brouard  2408:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2409: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2410:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2411:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2412:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2413:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2414:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2415:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2416:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2417:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2418: #endif
1.183     brouard  2419: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2420:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2421: #else
1.182     brouard  2422:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2423:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2424:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2425:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2426:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2427:       } 
1.181     brouard  2428:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2429: #endif
1.191     brouard  2430: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2431:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2432:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2433:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2434:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2435:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2436:            printf("\n");
                   2437:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2438:          }
                   2439:        }
1.224     brouard  2440: #endif
                   2441: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2442:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2443: #else
1.234     brouard  2444:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2445:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2446: #endif
1.234     brouard  2447:        
1.191     brouard  2448: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2449:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2450:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2451:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2452:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2453:            printf("\n");
                   2454:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2455:          }
                   2456:        }
1.224     brouard  2457: #endif
1.234     brouard  2458:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2459:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2460:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2461:        }
1.224     brouard  2462: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2463: #else
1.234     brouard  2464:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2465:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2466:            flatd++;
                   2467:        }
                   2468:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2469:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2470:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2471:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2472:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2473:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2474:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2475:            }
                   2476:          }
                   2477:          printf("\n");
                   2478:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2479:        }
1.191     brouard  2480: #endif
1.234     brouard  2481:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2482:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2483:        
1.126     brouard  2484: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2485:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2486:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2487:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2488:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2489:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2490:        }
                   2491:        printf("\n");
                   2492:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2493: #endif
1.192     brouard  2494:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2495: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2496: #else
1.234     brouard  2497:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2498: #endif
1.225     brouard  2499: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2500:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2501: #else
1.224     brouard  2502: #endif
1.234     brouard  2503:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2504: } 
1.234     brouard  2505:   
1.126     brouard  2506: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2507:   
1.235     brouard  2508:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2509:   {
1.235     brouard  2510:     /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
                   2511:        (and selected quantitative values in nres)
                   2512:        by left multiplying the unit
1.234     brouard  2513:        matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
1.206     brouard  2514:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2515:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2516:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2517:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2518:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2519:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2520:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2521:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2522:   /*
                   2523:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2524:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2525:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2526:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2527:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2528:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2529:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2530:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2531:     
1.126     brouard  2532:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2533:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2534:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2535:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2536:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2537:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2538:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2539:   
1.209     brouard  2540:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2541:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2542:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2543: 
1.218     brouard  2544:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2545:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2546:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2547:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2548:     }
1.169     brouard  2549:   
                   2550:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2551:   
                   2552:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2553:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2554:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2555:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2556:     newm=savm;
                   2557:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2558:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2559:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2560:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2561:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2562:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2563:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2564:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2565:     }
                   2566:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2567:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2568:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2569:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2570:     }
1.237     brouard  2571:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2572:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2573:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2574:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2575:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2576:       }
1.235     brouard  2577:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2578:     }
1.237     brouard  2579:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2580:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2581:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2582:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2583:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2584:        }else{
                   2585:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2586:        }
                   2587:       }else{
                   2588:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2589:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2590:        }else{
                   2591:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2592:        }
                   2593:       }
1.234     brouard  2594:     }
1.138     brouard  2595:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2596:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2597:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2598:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2599:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2600:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2601:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2602:     
1.126     brouard  2603:     savm=oldm;
                   2604:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2605: 
                   2606:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2607:       max[j]=0.;
                   2608:       min[j]=1.;
                   2609:     }
                   2610:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2611:       sumnew=0;
                   2612:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2613:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2614:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2615:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2616:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2617:       }
                   2618:     }
                   2619: 
1.126     brouard  2620:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2621:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2622:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2623:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2624:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2625:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2626:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2627:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2628:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2629:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2630:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2631:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2632:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2633:       return prlim;
                   2634:     }
1.169     brouard  2635:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2636:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2637:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2638: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2639:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2640:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2641:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2642:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2643:   
1.169     brouard  2644:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2645: }
                   2646: 
1.217     brouard  2647: 
                   2648:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2649: 
1.218     brouard  2650:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2651:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2652:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2653: {
1.264     brouard  2654:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2655:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2656:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2657:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2658:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2659:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2660:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2661:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2662:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2663:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2664:   /*
                   2665:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2666:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2667:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2668:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2669:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2670:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2671:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2672:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2673: 
                   2674:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2675:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2676:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2677:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2678:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2679:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2680:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2681:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2682: 
1.217     brouard  2683:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2684:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2685:   
                   2686:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2687:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2688:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2689: 
1.266     brouard  2690:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2691:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2692:   
                   2693:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2694:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2695:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2696:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2697:     }
                   2698:   
                   2699:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2700:   
                   2701:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2702:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2703:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2704:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2705:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2706:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2707:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2708:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2709:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2710:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2711:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2712:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2713:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2714:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2715:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2716:     }
                   2717:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2718:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2719:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2720:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2721:     /* } */
                   2722:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2723:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2724:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2725:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2726:     }
                   2727:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2728:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2729:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2730:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2731:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2732:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2733:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2734:       } else{
                   2735:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2736:       }
                   2737:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2738:     }
                   2739:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2740:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2741:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2742:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2743:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2744:        }else{
                   2745:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2746:        }
                   2747:       }else{
                   2748:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2749:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2750:        }else{
                   2751:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2752:        }
                   2753:       }
1.217     brouard  2754:     }
                   2755:     
                   2756:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2757:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2758:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2759:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2760:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2761:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2762:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2763:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2764:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2765:                 */
                   2766:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2767:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2768:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  2769:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  2770:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   2771:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   2772:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   2773:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2774:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   2775:     /*         } */
                   2776:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   2777:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2778:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   2779:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  2780:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  2781:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2782:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   2783:     /*         } */
                   2784:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   2785:     /*   } */
                   2786:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  2787:     savm=oldm;
                   2788:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  2789: 
1.217     brouard  2790:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2791:       max[j]=0.;
                   2792:       min[j]=1.;
                   2793:     }
                   2794:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2795:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2796:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2797:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2798:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2799:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2800:       }
                   2801:     }
1.218     brouard  2802:                
1.217     brouard  2803:     maxmax=0.;
                   2804:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2805:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2806:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2807:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  2808:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  2809:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  2810:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2811:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2812:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2813:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2814:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2815:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2816:       return bprlim;
                   2817:     }
                   2818:   } /* age loop */
                   2819:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2820:   if(first){
                   2821:     first=1;
                   2822:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2823: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2824:   }
                   2825:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2826: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2827:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2828:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2829:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2830:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2831:   
                   2832:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2833: }
                   2834: 
1.126     brouard  2835: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2836: 
                   2837: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2838: {
1.138     brouard  2839:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  2840:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  2841:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2842:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2843:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2844:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2845:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2846:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2847:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2848:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  2849:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  2850:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  2851:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  2852:   */
                   2853:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2854:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2855:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2856: 
1.223     brouard  2857:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2858:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2859:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2860:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2861:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2862:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2863:       }
                   2864:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2865:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2866:     }
                   2867:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2868:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2869:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2870:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2871:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2872:       }
                   2873:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2874:     }
                   2875:   }
1.218     brouard  2876:   
1.223     brouard  2877:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2878:     s1=0;
                   2879:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2880:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2881:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2882:     }
                   2883:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2884:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2885:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2886:     }
                   2887:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2888:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2889:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2890:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2891:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2892:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2893:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2894:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2895:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2896:   
1.223     brouard  2897:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2898:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2899:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2900:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2901:     }
                   2902:   }
1.218     brouard  2903:   
                   2904:   
1.223     brouard  2905:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2906:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2907:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2908:   /*   } */
                   2909:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2910:   /* } */
                   2911:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2912:   /*
                   2913:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2914:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  2915:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  2916: }
                   2917: 
1.218     brouard  2918: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2919: 
                   2920:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2921: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2922:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2923: {
1.266     brouard  2924:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate combination ij. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
                   2925:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  2926:    */
1.218     brouard  2927:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2928:   
                   2929:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2930:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2931:   double agefin;
1.268     brouard  2932:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  2933:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2934:   double **bbmij;
                   2935:   
1.218     brouard  2936:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2937:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2938:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2939:   
                   2940:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  2941:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  2942:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  2943:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   2944:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  2945: 
                   2946:   /* P_x */
1.266     brouard  2947:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm */
1.268     brouard  2948:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   2949: 
                   2950:   /* Diag(w_x) */
                   2951:   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
                   2952:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  2953:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  2954:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.269     brouard  2955:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
1.268     brouard  2956:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2957:   }
                   2958:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   2959:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2960:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  2961:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  2962:     }
                   2963:   }else{
                   2964:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2965:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2966:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   2967:     }
                   2968:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   2969:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   2970:     /* } */
                   2971:   }
                   2972:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   2973:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2974:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   2975:   }
                   2976:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   2977:   
                   2978:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   2979:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   2980: 
                   2981:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
                   2982:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  2983:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  2984:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  2985:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  2986:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  2987:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  2988:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  2989:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  2990:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  2991:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  2992:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  2993:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  2994:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  2995:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   2996:     } /*End ii */
                   2997:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   2998: 
                   2999:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3000:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3001:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3002:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3003: }
1.217     brouard  3004: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3005: 
1.218     brouard  3006: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3007: {
                   3008:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3009:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3010:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3011:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3012:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3013:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3014:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3015:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3016:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3017:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3018:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3019:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3020:   */
                   3021:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3022:   /*double t34;*/
                   3023:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3024: 
1.234     brouard  3025:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3026:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3027:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3028:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3029:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3030:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3031:       }
                   3032:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3033:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3034:     }
                   3035:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3036:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3037:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3038:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3039:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3040:       }
                   3041:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3042:     }
                   3043:   }
                   3044:   
                   3045:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3046:     s1=0;
                   3047:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3048:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3049:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3050:     }
                   3051:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3052:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3053:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3054:     }
                   3055:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3056:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3057:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3058:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3059:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3060:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3061:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3062:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3063:   } /* end i */
                   3064:   
                   3065:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3066:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3067:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3068:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3069:     }
                   3070:   }
                   3071:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   3072:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3073:     s1=0.;
                   3074:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3075:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3076:     }
                   3077:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3078:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3079:     }
                   3080:   }
                   3081:   /* Transposition */
                   3082:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3083:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3084:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3085:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3086:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3087:     }
                   3088:   }
                   3089:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3090:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3091:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3092:   /*   } */
                   3093:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3094:   /* } */
                   3095:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3096:   /*
                   3097:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3098:     goto end;*/
                   3099:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3100: }
                   3101: 
                   3102: 
1.126     brouard  3103: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3104: 
1.145     brouard  3105: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3106: {
                   3107:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3108:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3109:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3110:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3111:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3112:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3113:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3114:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3115:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3116:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3117:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3118:     }
1.126     brouard  3119:   return out;
                   3120: }
                   3121: 
                   3122: 
                   3123: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3124: 
1.235     brouard  3125: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3126: {
1.218     brouard  3127:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3128:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3129:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3130:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3131:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3132:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3133:      for the memory).
                   3134:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3135:      included manually here. 
                   3136: 
                   3137:      */
                   3138: 
                   3139:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3140:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3141:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3142:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3143:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3144: 
                   3145:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3146:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3147:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3148:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3149:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3150:     }
                   3151:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3152:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3153:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3154:       newm=savm;
                   3155:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3156:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3157:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3158:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3159:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3160:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3161:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3162:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3163:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3164:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3165:       }
                   3166:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3167:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3168:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3169:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3170:       }
                   3171:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3172:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3173:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3174:        } else{
                   3175:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3176:        }
                   3177:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3178:       }
                   3179:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3180:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3181:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3182:       }
                   3183:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3184:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3185:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3186:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3187:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3188:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3189:       
                   3190:       
1.126     brouard  3191:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3192:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3193:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3194:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3195:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3196:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3197:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3198:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3199:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3200:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3201:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3202:       /*         } */
                   3203:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3204:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3205:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3206:       /*         } */
                   3207:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3208:       /*       } */
                   3209:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3210:       savm=oldm;
                   3211:       oldm=newm;
                   3212:     }
                   3213:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3214:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3215:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3216:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3217:       }
1.128     brouard  3218:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3219:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3220:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3221:   return po;
                   3222: }
                   3223: 
1.217     brouard  3224: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3225: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3226: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3227: {
1.266     brouard  3228:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3229:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3230:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3231:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3232:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3233:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3234:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3235:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3236:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3237:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3238:   */
1.217     brouard  3239: 
                   3240:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3241:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3242:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3243:   double agexact;
                   3244:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3245:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3246: 
1.266     brouard  3247:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3248:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3249:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3250:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3251:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3252:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3253:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3254:     }
                   3255:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3256:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3257:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3258:       newm=savm;
                   3259:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3260:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3261:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3262:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3263:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3264:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3265:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.266     brouard  3266:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){
                   3267:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3268:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   3269:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3270:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3271:       }
1.267     brouard  3272:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3273:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3274:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3275:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3276:       }
                   3277:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
                   3278:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3279:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3280:        } else{
                   3281:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3282:        }
                   3283:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3284:       }
                   3285:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3286:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.267     brouard  3287:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3288:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3289:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3290: 
1.218     brouard  3291:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3292:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3293:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3294:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3295:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3296:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3297:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3298:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3299:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3300:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3301:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3302:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3303:       /*         } */
                   3304:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3305:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3306:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3307:       /*         } */
                   3308:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3309:       /*       } */
                   3310:       /* } */
                   3311:       savm=oldm;
                   3312:       oldm=newm;
                   3313:     }
                   3314:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3315:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3316:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3317:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3318:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3319:       }
1.268     brouard  3320:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3321:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3322:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3323:   return po;
                   3324: }
                   3325: 
                   3326: 
1.162     brouard  3327: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3328:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3329:   double fret;
                   3330:   double *xt;
                   3331:   int j;
                   3332:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3333: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3334:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3335:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3336: 
                   3337:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3338:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3339:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3340:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3341:   printf("\n");
                   3342:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3343:   return fret;
                   3344: }
                   3345: #endif
1.126     brouard  3346: 
                   3347: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3348: double func( double *x)
                   3349: {
1.226     brouard  3350:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3351:   int ioffset=0;
                   3352:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3353:   double **out;
                   3354:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3355:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3356:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3357:   double bbh, survp;
                   3358:   long ipmx;
                   3359:   double agexact;
                   3360:   /*extern weight */
                   3361:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3362:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3363:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3364:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3365:   */
1.162     brouard  3366: 
1.226     brouard  3367:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3368: 
1.226     brouard  3369:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3370: 
1.226     brouard  3371:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3372:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3373:   if(mle==1){
                   3374:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3375:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3376:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3377:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3378:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3379:       */
1.243     brouard  3380:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3381:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3382:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3383:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3384:       }
1.226     brouard  3385:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3386:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3387:         has been calculated etc */
                   3388:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3389:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3390:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3391:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3392:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3393:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3394:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3395:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3396:       */
                   3397:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3398:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3399:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3400:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3401:        }
                   3402:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3403:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3404:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3405:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3406:          }
                   3407:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3408:          newm=savm;
                   3409:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3410:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3411:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3412:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3413:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3414:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3415:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3416:          else
                   3417:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3418:          }
                   3419:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3420:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3421:          savm=oldm;
                   3422:          oldm=newm;
                   3423:        } /* end mult */
                   3424:        
                   3425:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3426:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3427:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3428:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3429:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3430:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3431:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3432:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3433:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3434:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3435:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3436:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3437:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3438:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3439:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3440:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3441:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3442:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3443:         */
                   3444:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3445:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3446:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3447:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3448:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3449:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3450:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3451:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3452:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3453:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3454:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3455:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3456:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3457:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3458:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3459:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3460:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3461:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3462:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3463:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3464:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3465:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3466:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3467:             lower mortality.
                   3468:          */
                   3469:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3470:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3471:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3472:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3473:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3474:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3475:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3476:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3477:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3478:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3479:             infinity.
                   3480:          */
1.183     brouard  3481: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3482: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3483: /* #else */
                   3484: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3485: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3486: /*       else */
                   3487: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3488: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3489:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3490:          
1.226     brouard  3491:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3492:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3493:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3494:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3495:          lli= log(survp);
                   3496:        }
                   3497:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3498:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3499:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3500:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3501:        } 
                   3502:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3503:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3504:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3505:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3506:        } 
                   3507:        else{
                   3508:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3509:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3510:        } 
                   3511:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3512:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3513:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3514:        ipmx +=1;
                   3515:        sw += weight[i];
                   3516:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3517:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3518:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3519:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3520:        /* } */
                   3521:       } /* end of wave */
                   3522:     } /* end of individual */
                   3523:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3524:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3525:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3526:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3527:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3528:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3529:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3530:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3531:          }
                   3532:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3533:          newm=savm;
                   3534:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3535:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3536:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3537:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3538:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3539:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3540:          }
                   3541:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3542:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3543:          savm=oldm;
                   3544:          oldm=newm;
                   3545:        } /* end mult */
                   3546:       
                   3547:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3548:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3549:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3550:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3551:        ipmx +=1;
                   3552:        sw += weight[i];
                   3553:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3554:       } /* end of wave */
                   3555:     } /* end of individual */
                   3556:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3557:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3558:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3559:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3560:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3561:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3562:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3563:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3564:          }
                   3565:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3566:          newm=savm;
                   3567:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3568:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3569:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3570:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3571:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3572:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3573:          }
                   3574:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3575:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3576:          savm=oldm;
                   3577:          oldm=newm;
                   3578:        } /* end mult */
                   3579:       
                   3580:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3581:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3582:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3583:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3584:        ipmx +=1;
                   3585:        sw += weight[i];
                   3586:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3587:       } /* end of wave */
                   3588:     } /* end of individual */
                   3589:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3590:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3591:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3592:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3593:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3594:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3595:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3596:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3597:          }
                   3598:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3599:          newm=savm;
                   3600:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3601:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3602:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3603:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3604:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3605:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3606:          }
1.126     brouard  3607:        
1.226     brouard  3608:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3609:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3610:          savm=oldm;
                   3611:          oldm=newm;
                   3612:        } /* end mult */
                   3613:       
                   3614:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3615:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3616:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3617:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3618:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3619:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3620:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3621:          lli= log(survp);
                   3622:        }else{
                   3623:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3624:        }
                   3625:        ipmx +=1;
                   3626:        sw += weight[i];
                   3627:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3628: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3629:       } /* end of wave */
                   3630:     } /* end of individual */
                   3631:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3632:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3633:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3634:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3635:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3636:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3637:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3638:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3639:          }
                   3640:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3641:          newm=savm;
                   3642:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3643:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3644:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3645:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3646:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3647:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3648:          }
1.126     brouard  3649:        
1.226     brouard  3650:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3651:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3652:          savm=oldm;
                   3653:          oldm=newm;
                   3654:        } /* end mult */
                   3655:       
                   3656:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3657:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3658:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3659:        ipmx +=1;
                   3660:        sw += weight[i];
                   3661:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3662:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3663:       } /* end of wave */
                   3664:     } /* end of individual */
                   3665:   } /* End of if */
                   3666:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3667:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3668:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3669:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3670: }
                   3671: 
                   3672: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3673: double funcone( double *x)
                   3674: {
1.228     brouard  3675:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3676:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3677:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3678:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3679:   double **out;
                   3680:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3681:   double llt;
                   3682:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3683:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3684: 
1.126     brouard  3685:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3686:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3687:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3688:   /*extern weight */
                   3689:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3690:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3691:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3692:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3693:   */
                   3694:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3695: 
                   3696:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3697:   ioffset=0;
                   3698:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3699:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3700:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3701:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3702:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3703:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3704:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3705:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3706: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3707: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3708: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3709: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3710: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3711: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3712: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3713: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3714: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3715:     }
1.232     brouard  3716:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3717:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3718:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3719:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3720:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3721:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3722:     
1.233     brouard  3723: 
                   3724:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3725:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3726:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3727:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3728:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3729:       }
1.232     brouard  3730:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3731:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3732:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3733:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3734:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3735:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3736:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3737:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3738:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3739:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3740:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3741:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3742:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3743:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3744:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3745:        }
1.214     brouard  3746:       
                   3747:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3748:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3749:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3750:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3751:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3752:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3753:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3754:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3755:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3756:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3757:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3758:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3759:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3760:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3761:          else
                   3762:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3763:        }
                   3764:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3765:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3766:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3767:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3768:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3769:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3770:        savm=oldm;
                   3771:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3772:       } /* end mult */
                   3773:       
                   3774:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3775:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3776:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  3777:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  3778:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3779:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3780:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3781:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3782:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3783:        */
                   3784:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3785:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3786:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3787:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3788:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3789:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3790:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3791:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3792:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3793:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3794:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3795:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3796:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3797:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3798:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3799:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3800:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3801:       } /* End of if */
                   3802:       ipmx +=1;
                   3803:       sw += weight[i];
                   3804:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3805:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3806:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3807:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3808:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3809:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  3810:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  3811:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3812:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3813:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3814:        }
                   3815:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3816:       }
1.232     brouard  3817:        } /* end of wave */
                   3818: } /* end of individual */
                   3819: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3820: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3821: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3822: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3823:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3824:        gsw=sw;
                   3825: }
                   3826: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3827: }
                   3828: 
                   3829: 
                   3830: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3831: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3832: {
                   3833:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3834:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3835:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3836:      Plotting could be done.
                   3837:    */
                   3838:   int k;
                   3839: 
                   3840:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3841:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3842:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3843:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3844:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3845:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3846:     }
1.214     brouard  3847:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3848:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3849:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3850:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3851:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3852:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3853:   }
                   3854: 
                   3855:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3856:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3857:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3858:     if (mle ==0)
                   3859:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3860:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3861:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3862:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  3863:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  3864:       
                   3865:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3866:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3867: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3868:     }
1.207     brouard  3869:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3870: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3871:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3872: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3873:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3874:   }
1.126     brouard  3875:   return;
                   3876: }
                   3877: 
                   3878: 
                   3879: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3880: 
                   3881: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3882: {
1.165     brouard  3883:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3884:   double **xi;
                   3885:   double fret;
                   3886:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3887:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3888: 
                   3889: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3890:   int creturn;
                   3891:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3892:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3893:   double *lb;
                   3894:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3895:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3896:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3897: #endif
                   3898: 
                   3899: 
1.126     brouard  3900:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3901:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3902:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3903:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3904:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3905:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3906:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3907:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3908:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3909:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3910:   }
                   3911:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3912:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3913:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3914:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3915:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3916: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3917:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3918: #endif
1.126     brouard  3919: 
1.162     brouard  3920: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3921: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3922:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3923: #else
                   3924:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3925: #endif
                   3926:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3927:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3928:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3929:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3930:   
                   3931:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3932:   d->function = func;
                   3933:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3934:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3935:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3936:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3937:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3938:   }
                   3939:   else {
                   3940:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3941:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3942:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3943:   }
                   3944:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3945: #endif
1.126     brouard  3946:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3947:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3948:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3949:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3950:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3951: 
                   3952: }
                   3953: 
                   3954: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3955: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3956: {
                   3957:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3958:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3959:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3960:   int *indx;
                   3961: 
                   3962:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3963:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3964:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3965:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3966:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3967:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3968: 
                   3969:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3970:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3971:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3972:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3973:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3974:    
                   3975:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3976:     
                   3977:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   3978:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   3979:   }
                   3980:   
                   3981:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   3982:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   3983:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  3984:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   3985:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   3986:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  3987:        
                   3988:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   3989:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   3990:       }
                   3991:     }
                   3992:   }
                   3993:   printf("\n");
                   3994:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   3995: 
                   3996:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3997:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3998:   
                   3999:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4000:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4001:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4002:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4003:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4004:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4005:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4006: 
                   4007:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4008:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4009:     x[j]=1;
                   4010:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4011:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4012:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4013:     }
                   4014:   }
                   4015: 
                   4016:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4017:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4018:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4019:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4020:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4021:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4022:     }
                   4023:     printf("\n");
                   4024:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4025:   }
                   4026: 
1.203     brouard  4027:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4028:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4029:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4030:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4031:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4032:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4033:   /*   } */
                   4034:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4035:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4036:   /* } */
                   4037: 
1.126     brouard  4038:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4039:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4040:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4041:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4042: 
                   4043:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4044: 
                   4045:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4046:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4047:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4048:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4049:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4050:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4051:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4052:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4053:   /*   } */
                   4054:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4055:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4056:   /* } */
                   4057: 
                   4058:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4059: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4060:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4061: 
1.203     brouard  4062:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4063:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4064: 
                   4065:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4066:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4067:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4068:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4069:     }
                   4070:     printf("\n");
                   4071:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4072:   }
1.203     brouard  4073: #endif
1.126     brouard  4074: 
                   4075:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4076:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4077:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4078:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4079:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4080: 
                   4081: 
                   4082: }
                   4083: 
                   4084: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4085: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4086: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4087:   int i;
                   4088:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4089:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4090:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4091:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4092:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4093:   double l1;
                   4094: 
                   4095:   fx=func(x);
                   4096:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4097:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4098:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4099:     delts=delt;
                   4100:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4101:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4102:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4103:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4104:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4105:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4106:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4107:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4108:       
1.203     brouard  4109: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4110:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4111:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4112: #endif
                   4113:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4114:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4115:        k=kmax;
                   4116:       }
                   4117:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4118:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4119:       }
                   4120:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4121:        delts=delt;
                   4122:       }
1.203     brouard  4123:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4124:   }
                   4125:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4126:   return res; 
                   4127:   
                   4128: }
                   4129: 
1.203     brouard  4130: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4131: {
                   4132:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4133:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4134:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4135:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4136:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4137:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4138: 
                   4139:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4140:   
1.126     brouard  4141:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4142:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4143:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4144:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4145:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4146:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4147:   
1.203     brouard  4148:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4149:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4150:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4151:   
1.203     brouard  4152:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4153:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4154:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4155:   
1.203     brouard  4156:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4157:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4158:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4159:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4160:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4161:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4162:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4163:     }
                   4164:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4165:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4166:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4167:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4168:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4169:     }
                   4170: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4171:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4172:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4173:     cv12=res;
                   4174:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4175:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4176:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4177:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4178:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4179:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4180:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4181:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4182:     }
1.126     brouard  4183: #endif
                   4184:   }
                   4185:   return res;
                   4186: }
                   4187: 
1.203     brouard  4188:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4189: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4190: /* { */
                   4191: /*   int i; */
                   4192: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4193: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4194: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4195: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4196: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4197: /*   double l1; */
                   4198:   
                   4199: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4200: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4201: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4202: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4203: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4204: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4205: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4206: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4207: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4208: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4209:       
                   4210: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4211: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4212: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4213:       
                   4214: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4215: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4216: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4217:       
                   4218: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4219: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4220: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4221: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4222: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4223: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4224: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4225: /* #endif */
                   4226: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4227: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4228: /*       } */
                   4229: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4230: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4231: /*       } */
                   4232: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4233: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4234: /*       } */
                   4235: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4236: /*   } */
                   4237: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4238: /*   return res;  */
                   4239: /* } */
                   4240: 
                   4241: 
1.126     brouard  4242: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4243: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4244: { 
                   4245:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4246:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4247:   double *vv; 
                   4248:  
                   4249:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4250:   *d=1.0; 
                   4251:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4252:     big=0.0; 
                   4253:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4254:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4255:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4256:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4257:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4258:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4259:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4260:       }
                   4261:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4262:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4263:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4264:     }
1.126     brouard  4265:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4266:   } 
                   4267:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4268:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4269:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4270:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4271:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4272:     } 
                   4273:     big=0.0; 
                   4274:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4275:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4276:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4277:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4278:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4279:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4280:        big=dum; 
                   4281:        imax=i; 
                   4282:       } 
                   4283:     } 
                   4284:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4285:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4286:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4287:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4288:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4289:       } 
                   4290:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4291:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4292:     } 
                   4293:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4294:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4295:     if (j != n) { 
                   4296:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4297:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4298:     } 
                   4299:   } 
                   4300:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4301: ;
                   4302: } 
                   4303: 
                   4304: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4305: { 
                   4306:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4307:   double sum; 
                   4308:  
                   4309:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4310:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4311:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4312:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4313:     if (ii) 
                   4314:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4315:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4316:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4317:   } 
                   4318:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4319:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4320:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4321:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4322:   } 
                   4323: } 
                   4324: 
                   4325: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4326: {
1.196     brouard  4327:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4328: }
                   4329: 
1.253     brouard  4330: 
                   4331: 
1.126     brouard  4332: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4333: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4334:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4335:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4336: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4337:   
1.265     brouard  4338:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4339:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4340:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4341:   int first;
                   4342:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4343:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4344:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.226     brouard  4345:   double *meanq;
                   4346:   double **meanqt;
                   4347:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4348:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4349:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4350:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4351:     
                   4352:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4353:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4354:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4355:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4356:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4357:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4358:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4359:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4360:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4361:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4362:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4363:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4364:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4365:     exit(0);
                   4366:   }
1.240     brouard  4367:   
1.226     brouard  4368:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4369:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4370:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4371:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4372:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4373:     exit(70); 
                   4374:   }
                   4375:   else{
                   4376:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4377: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4378: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4379:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4380:   }
1.237     brouard  4381:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4382:   
1.226     brouard  4383:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4384:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4385:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4386:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4387:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4388:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4389:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4390:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4391: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4392: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4393:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4394:   }
1.240     brouard  4395:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4396:   
1.253     brouard  4397:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4398:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4399:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4400:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4401:   
1.227     brouard  4402:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4403:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4404:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4405:   
                   4406:   
1.226     brouard  4407:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4408:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4409:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4410:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4411:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4412:   */
1.249     brouard  4413:   dateintsum=0;
                   4414:   k2cpt=0;
                   4415: 
1.253     brouard  4416:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4417:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4418:   else
                   4419:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4420: 
                   4421:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4422:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4423:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4424:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4425:    *     Loop on iind
                   4426:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4427:    *     end iind
                   4428:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4429:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4430:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4431:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4432:    *     Loop on age
                   4433:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4434:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4435:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4436:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4437:    *       end s1
                   4438:    *     end age
                   4439:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4440:    *     end compute starting values
                   4441:    *   end j1
                   4442:    * end nl 
                   4443:    */
1.253     brouard  4444:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4445:     if(nj==1)
                   4446:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4447:     else{
1.253     brouard  4448:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4449:     }
1.251     brouard  4450:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4451:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4452:       posproptt=0.;
                   4453:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4454:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4455:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4456:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4457:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4458:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4459:       
                   4460:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4461:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4462:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4463:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4464:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4465:       }
                   4466:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4467:       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4468:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4469:       /*       meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4470:       /*   } */
                   4471:       /* } */
                   4472:       
                   4473:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4474:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4475:       
1.265     brouard  4476:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4477:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4478:        bool=1;
                   4479:        if(j !=0){
                   4480:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4481:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4482:              /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4483:              /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4484:              /* } */
                   4485:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4486:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4487:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4488:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4489:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4490:                /* }else  */
                   4491:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4492:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4493:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4494:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4495:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4496:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4497:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4498:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4499:              } /* end z1 */
                   4500:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4501:          } /* end any */
                   4502:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4503:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4504:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4505:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4506:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4507:            if(j!=0){
                   4508:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4509:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4510:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4511:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4512:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4513:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4514:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4515:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4516:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4517:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4518:                      bool=0;
                   4519:                    }
                   4520:                  }
                   4521:                }
                   4522:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4523:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4524:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4525:            if(bool==1){
                   4526:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4527:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4528:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4529:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4530:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4531:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4532:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4533:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4534:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4535:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4536:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4537:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4538:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4539:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4540:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4541:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4542:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4543:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4544:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4545:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4546:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4547:                }
1.251     brouard  4548:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4549:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4550:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4551:                k2cpt++;
                   4552:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4553:              }
1.251     brouard  4554:            }else{
                   4555:              bool=1;
                   4556:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4557:          } /* end m */
                   4558:        } /* end bool */
                   4559:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4560:       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4561:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4562:       
                   4563:       
                   4564:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4565:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4566:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4567:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4568:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4569:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4570:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4571:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4572:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4573:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4574:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4575:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4576:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4577:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4578:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4579:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4580:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4581:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4582:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4583:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4584:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4585:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4586:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4587:          }
                   4588:        }
                   4589:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4590:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4591:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4592:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4593:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4594:       }
                   4595:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  4596:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4597:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   4598:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  4599:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  4600:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  4601:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4602:       }
1.265     brouard  4603:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  4604:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   4605:       
                   4606:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4607:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4608:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  4609:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  4610:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4611:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   4612:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  4613:        }
1.226     brouard  4614:       }
1.251     brouard  4615:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   4616:     
                   4617:       /* For each age */
                   4618:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4619:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4620:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   4621:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4622:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   4623:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   4624:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4625:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   4626:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   4627:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4628:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   4629:        }else{
1.240     brouard  4630:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  4631:            first=0;
                   4632:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4633:          }
                   4634:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4635:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   4636:        }
1.265     brouard  4637:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4638:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4639:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  4640:        }
1.265     brouard  4641:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4642:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  4643:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4644:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  4645:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4646:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4647:            }
1.265     brouard  4648:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4649:          }else{
                   4650:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4651:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4652:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  4653:          }
                   4654:        }
                   4655:       
1.265     brouard  4656:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   4657:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   4658:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4659:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4660:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   4661:       
                   4662:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4663:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4664:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4665:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4666:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4667:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4668:        }
                   4669:        
                   4670:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   4671:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4672:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4673:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4674:           }
                   4675:         }else if( nj==2){
                   4676:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4677:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4678:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4679:           }
1.240     brouard  4680:        }
1.265     brouard  4681:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  4682:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4683:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4684:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   4685:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  4686:          }else{
                   4687:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4688:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4689:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  4690:          }
                   4691:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4692:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4693:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4694:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4695:               }else if( nj==2){
                   4696:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4697:               }
                   4698:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4699:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   4700:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   4701:            } else{
                   4702:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4703:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  4704:            }
1.240     brouard  4705:          }
1.265     brouard  4706:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   4707:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4708:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  4709:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4710:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4711:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  4712:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4713:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4714:              }
1.265     brouard  4715:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   4716:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4717:            }
1.265     brouard  4718:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   4719:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  4720:          }
1.265     brouard  4721:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4722:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  4723:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   4724:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  4725:        }
                   4726:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  4727:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4728:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   4729:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   4730:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  4731:        }
1.251     brouard  4732:        if(first==1)
                   4733:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   4734:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4735:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  4736:       
1.251     brouard  4737:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  4738:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4739:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4740:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  4741:        }else{
1.265     brouard  4742:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  4743:        }
1.226     brouard  4744:       }
1.251     brouard  4745:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4746:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4747:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  4748:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4749:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4750:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  4751:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   4752:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  4753:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  4754:       }else{
1.251     brouard  4755:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4756:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  4757:       }
1.251     brouard  4758:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4759:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4760:       if(j!=0){
                   4761:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  4762:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4763:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4764:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  4765:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  4766:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  4767:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   4768:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   4769:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  4770:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4771:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4772:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4773:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4774:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  4775:                  }
1.253     brouard  4776:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   4777:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4778:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   4779:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  4780:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  4781:                  }
1.268     brouard  4782:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   4783:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  4784:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  4785:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   4786:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  4787:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   4788:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   4789:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  4790:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  4791:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4792:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4793:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  4794:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   4795:                  ;
                   4796:                }
                   4797:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4798:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4799:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  4800:              } /* end jj */
                   4801:            } /* end k!= i */
                   4802:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  4803:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  4804:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   4805:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   4806:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   4807:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   4808:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4809:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4810:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4811:          if (k != i) {
                   4812:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4813:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   4814:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  4815:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  4816:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  4817:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   4818:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4819:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  4820:              }
                   4821:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4822:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4823:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  4824:            }
1.251     brouard  4825:            printf("\n");
                   4826:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  4827:          }
                   4828:        }
                   4829:       }
1.251     brouard  4830:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   4831:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4832:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   4833:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   4834:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   4835:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4836:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4837:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   4838:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   4839:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  4840:          /* } */
                   4841:        }
1.265     brouard  4842:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4843:       
                   4844:       printf("\n");
                   4845:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4846:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  4847:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  4848: 
1.253     brouard  4849:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  4850:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4851:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   4852:        if(j!=i){
                   4853:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   4854:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4855:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4856:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   4857:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4858:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4859:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   4860:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4861:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4862:            jk++;
                   4863:          }
                   4864:          printf("\n");
                   4865:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   4866:        }
                   4867:       }
                   4868:     }
                   4869:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  4870:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4871:   
1.226     brouard  4872:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4873:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4874:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4875:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4876:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  4877:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4878:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4879:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4880:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4881:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4882:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4883:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4884:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4885: }
1.126     brouard  4886: 
1.268     brouard  4887: /* Simple linear regression */
                   4888: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   4889: 
                   4890:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   4891:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   4892:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   4893:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   4894:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   4895:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   4896:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   4897:   double yhat;
                   4898:   
                   4899:   double denom=0;
                   4900:   int i;
                   4901:   int ne=*no;
                   4902:   
                   4903:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4904:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4905:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4906:       continue;
                   4907:     }
                   4908:     ne=ne+1;
                   4909:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   4910:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   4911:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   4912:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   4913:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   4914:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4915:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4916:   } 
                   4917:   
                   4918:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4919:   if (denom == 0) {
                   4920:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   4921:     *b = INFINITY;
                   4922:     *a = 0;
                   4923:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   4924:     return 1;
                   4925:   }
                   4926:   
                   4927:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   4928:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   4929:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   4930:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   4931:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   4932:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   4933:   }
                   4934:   *no=ne;
                   4935:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4936:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4937:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4938:       continue;
                   4939:     }
                   4940:     ne=ne+1;
                   4941:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   4942:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   4943:     
                   4944:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4945:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4946:   } 
                   4947:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   4948:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   4949:   
                   4950:   return 0; 
                   4951: }
                   4952: 
1.126     brouard  4953: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4954: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4955: {  
                   4956:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4957:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4958:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4959:   */
1.126     brouard  4960:  
1.227     brouard  4961:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4962:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4963:   int iage;
                   4964:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4965: 
                   4966:   double **prop;
                   4967:   double posprop; 
                   4968:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4969:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4970:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4971: 
                   4972:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4973:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4974:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  4975:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  4976:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   4977:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  4978:   
1.227     brouard  4979:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   4980:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  4981:   
1.227     brouard  4982:   first=1;
                   4983:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   4984:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  4985:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  4986:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   4987:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   4988:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   4989:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   4990:     
                   4991:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   4992:       bool=1;
                   4993:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   4994:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   4995:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   4996:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   4997:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   4998:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4999:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5000:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5001:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5002:              bool=0;
                   5003:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5004:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5005:              bool=0;
                   5006:            }
                   5007:        }
                   5008:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5009:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5010:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5011:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5012:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5013:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5014:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5015:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5016:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5017:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5018:                exit(1);
                   5019:              }
                   5020:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5021:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5022:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5023:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5024:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5025:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5026:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5027:        } /* end bool */
                   5028:       } /* end wave */
                   5029:     } /* end individual */
                   5030:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5031:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5032:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5033:       } 
                   5034:       
                   5035:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5036:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5037:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5038:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5039:          } else{
                   5040:            if(first==1){
                   5041:              first=0;
1.266     brouard  5042:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5043:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5044:            }else{
                   5045:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5046:            }
                   5047:          }
                   5048:        } 
                   5049:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5050:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5051:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5052:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5053:   
1.227     brouard  5054:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5055:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5056:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5057: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5058: 
                   5059: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5060: 
                   5061: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5062: {
                   5063:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   5064:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5065:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5066:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   5067:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  5068:   */
1.126     brouard  5069: 
1.224     brouard  5070:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5071:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5072:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5073:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5074:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5075:   double sum=0.;
                   5076:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5077:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5078:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5079:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5080:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5081:   jmax=-1;
                   5082:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5083: 
                   5084: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5085:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5086:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5087:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  5088:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  5089:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  5090:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5091:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5092:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   5093:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5094:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5095:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5096:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5097:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5098:       }
1.227     brouard  5099:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5100: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5101:        break;
1.224     brouard  5102: #else
1.227     brouard  5103:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   5104:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.262     brouard  5105:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5106:            firsthree=1;
                   5107:          }
1.262     brouard  5108:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5109:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5110:          mli=m;
                   5111:        }
                   5112:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5113:          nbwarn++;
                   5114:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   5115:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5116:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5117:          }
                   5118:          break;
                   5119:        }
                   5120:        break;
1.224     brouard  5121: #endif
1.227     brouard  5122:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5123:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5124: 
1.227     brouard  5125:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5126:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5127: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5128:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5129:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5130:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5131:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5132:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5133:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5134:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5135:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5136: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5137:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5138:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  5139:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   5140:          nbwarn++;
                   5141:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   5142:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5143:            firstfiv=1;
                   5144:          }else{
                   5145:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5146:          }
                   5147:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   5148:          nberr++;
                   5149:          if(firstwo==0){
1.257     brouard  5150:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5151:            firstwo=1;
                   5152:          }
1.257     brouard  5153:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5154:        }
1.257     brouard  5155:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5156:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5157:        if(firstfour==0){
                   5158:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   5159:          firstfour=1;
                   5160:        }
                   5161:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5162:       }
1.224     brouard  5163:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5164: #endif
                   5165:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   5166:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  5167:     if(mi==0){
                   5168:       nbwarn++;
                   5169:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5170:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5171:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5172:       }
                   5173:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5174:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5175:       }
                   5176:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5177:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5178:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5179:        
1.214     brouard  5180:   
1.126     brouard  5181:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5182:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5183:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5184:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5185:       else{
1.260     brouard  5186:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5187:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5188:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5189:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5190:            else if(j<0){
                   5191:              nberr++;
                   5192:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5193:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5194:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5195:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5196:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5197:            }
                   5198:            k=k+1;
                   5199:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5200:              jmax=j;
                   5201:              ijmax=i;
                   5202:            }
                   5203:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5204:              jmin=j;
                   5205:              ijmin=i;
                   5206:            }
                   5207:            sum=sum+j;
                   5208:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5209:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5210:          }
                   5211:        }
                   5212:        else{
                   5213:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5214: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5215:                                        
1.227     brouard  5216:          k=k+1;
                   5217:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5218:            jmax=j;
                   5219:            ijmax=i;
                   5220:          }
                   5221:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5222:            jmin=j;
                   5223:            ijmin=i;
                   5224:          }
                   5225:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5226:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5227:          if(j<0){
                   5228:            nberr++;
                   5229:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5230:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5231:          }
                   5232:          sum=sum+j;
                   5233:        }
                   5234:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5235:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5236:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5237:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5238:          if(jl==0){
                   5239:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5240:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5241:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5242:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5243:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5244:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5245:          }
                   5246:        }else{
                   5247:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5248:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5249:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5250:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5251:                                 */
                   5252:          }
                   5253:          else{
                   5254:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5255:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5256:          }
                   5257:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5258:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5259:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5260:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5261:          }
                   5262:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5263:       }
                   5264:     } /* end wave */
                   5265:   }
                   5266:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5267:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5268:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5269: }
1.126     brouard  5270: 
                   5271: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5272:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5273:  {
                   5274:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5275:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5276:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5277:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5278:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5279:     */
1.130     brouard  5280: 
1.242     brouard  5281:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5282:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5283:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5284:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5285: 
                   5286: 
1.242     brouard  5287:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5288:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5289:  
1.242     brouard  5290:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  5291: 
1.242     brouard  5292:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5293:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   5294:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5295:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5296:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5297:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5298:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   5299:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5300:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5301:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5302:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5303:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5304:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5305:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5306:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5307:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5308:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5309:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5310:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   5311:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   5312:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5313:             exit(1);
                   5314:           }else
                   5315:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5316:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5317:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5318:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5319:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5320:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5321:           */
                   5322:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5323:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5324:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5325:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5326:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5327:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5328:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5329:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5330:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5331:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5332:             if( j != -1){
                   5333:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5334:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5335:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5336:             }
                   5337:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5338:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5339:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5340:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5341:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5342:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5343:                        
1.242     brouard  5344:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5345:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5346:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5347:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5348:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5349:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5350:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5351:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5352:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5353:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5354:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5355:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5356:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   5357:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5358:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5359:             break;
                   5360:           }
                   5361:           ij++;
                   5362:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   5363:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5364:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5365:         break;
                   5366:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5367:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5368:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5369:         ij=0;
                   5370:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5371:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5372:         }
                   5373:         break;
                   5374:        default:
                   5375:         break;
                   5376:        } /* end switch */
                   5377:      } /* end dummy test */
                   5378:     
                   5379:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   5380:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   5381:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   5382:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   5383:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5384:      /*        } */
                   5385:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5386:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5387:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5388:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5389:      /*          break; */
                   5390:      /*        } */
                   5391:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5392:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5393:   
                   5394:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5395:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5396:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5397:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5398:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5399:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5400:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5401:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5402:   
                   5403:    ij=0;
                   5404:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5405:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5406:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5407:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5408:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5409:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5410:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5411:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5412:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5413:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5414:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5415:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5416:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5417:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5418:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5419:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5420:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5421:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5422:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5423:      } 
                   5424:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5425:    /* ij--; */
                   5426:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5427:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5428:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5429:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5430:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5431:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5432:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5433:    }
                   5434:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5435:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5436:    }
                   5437:    /* To be sorted */
                   5438:    ;
                   5439:  }
1.126     brouard  5440: 
1.145     brouard  5441: 
1.126     brouard  5442: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5443: 
1.235     brouard  5444:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5445: 
                   5446: {
                   5447:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5448:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5449:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5450:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5451:   double ***p3mat;
                   5452:   double eip;
                   5453: 
1.238     brouard  5454:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5455:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5456:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5457:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5458:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5459:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5460:     }
                   5461:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5462:   }
                   5463:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5464: 
                   5465:   
                   5466:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5467:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5468:   }
                   5469:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5470:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5471:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5472:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5473:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5474:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5475:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5476:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5477:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5478:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5479:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5480: 
                   5481:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5482:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5483:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5484:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5485:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5486:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5487:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5488:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5489:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5490:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5491:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5492:   */
                   5493:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5494: 
                   5495:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5496:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5497:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5498:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5499:     
                   5500: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5501:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5502:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5503:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5504:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5505:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5506: 
                   5507:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5508:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5509:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5510:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5511:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5512: 
                   5513:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5514:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5515:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5516:     
1.235     brouard  5517:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5518:     
                   5519:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5520:     
                   5521:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5522:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5523:     
                   5524:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5525:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5526:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5527:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5528:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5529:          
                   5530:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5531: 
                   5532:        }
                   5533: 
                   5534:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5535:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5536:       eip=0;
                   5537:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5538:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5539:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5540:       }
                   5541:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5542:     }
                   5543:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5544:     
                   5545:   }
                   5546:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5547:   printf("\n");
                   5548:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5549:   
                   5550: }
                   5551: 
1.235     brouard  5552:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5553: 
                   5554: {
                   5555:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5556:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5557:   */
                   5558:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5559:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5560:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5561:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5562:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5563:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5564:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5565:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5566:   int theta;
                   5567: 
                   5568:   double eip, vip;
                   5569: 
                   5570:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5571:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5572:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5573:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5574:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5575:   
                   5576:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5577:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5578:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5579:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5580:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5581:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5582:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5583:   }
                   5584:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5585: 
                   5586:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5587:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5588:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5589:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5590:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5591:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5592:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5593:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5594:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5595:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5596:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5597:        }
                   5598:     }
                   5599:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5600:   
                   5601:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5602:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5603:   }
                   5604:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5605:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5606:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5607:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5608:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5609:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5610:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5611:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5612:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5613:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5614:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5615: 
                   5616:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5617:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5618:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5619:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5620:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5621:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5622:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5623:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5624:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5625:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5626:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5627:   */
                   5628:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5629: 
                   5630:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5631:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5632:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5633:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5634:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5635:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5636:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5637:   
                   5638:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5639:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5640:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5641:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5642:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5643:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5644: 
                   5645:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5646:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5647:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5648:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5649:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5650:                
1.126     brouard  5651:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5652:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5653:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5654:     
                   5655:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5656:                
1.126     brouard  5657:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5658:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5659:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5660:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5661:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5662:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5663:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5664:       }
1.235     brouard  5665:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5666:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5667:                        
1.126     brouard  5668:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5669:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5670:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5671:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5672:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5673:          }
                   5674:        }
1.126     brouard  5675:       }
1.218     brouard  5676:                        
1.126     brouard  5677:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5678:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5679:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5680:        }
1.126     brouard  5681:     }/* End theta */
                   5682:     
                   5683:     
                   5684:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5685:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5686:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5687:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5688:     
1.218     brouard  5689:                
1.222     brouard  5690:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5691:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5692:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5693:                
1.222     brouard  5694:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5695:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5696:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5697:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5698:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5699:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5700:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5701:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5702:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5703:       }
                   5704:     }
1.218     brouard  5705:                
1.126     brouard  5706:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5707:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5708:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5709:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5710:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5711:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5712:                                        
1.222     brouard  5713:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5714:                                        
1.222     brouard  5715:        }
1.269     brouard  5716: 
                   5717:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  5718:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5719:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5720:       eip=0.;
                   5721:       vip=0.;
                   5722:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5723:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5724:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5725:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5726:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5727:       }
                   5728:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5729:     }
                   5730:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5731:                
1.269     brouard  5732:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  5733:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5734:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5735:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5736:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5737:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5738:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5739:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5740:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5741:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5742:          }
1.126     brouard  5743:       }
                   5744:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5745:                
1.126     brouard  5746:   }
                   5747:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5748:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5749:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5750:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5751:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5752:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5753:   printf("\n");
                   5754:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5755:        
1.126     brouard  5756:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5757:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5758:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5759:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5760:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5761: }
1.218     brouard  5762:  
1.126     brouard  5763: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5764:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5765:  {
                   5766:    /* Variance of health expectancies */
                   5767:    /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   5768:    /* double **newm;*/
                   5769:    /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav)*/
                   5770:   
                   5771:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5772:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5773:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5774:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5775:    int k;
                   5776:    double *xp;
                   5777:    double **gp, **gm;  /* for var eij */
                   5778:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /*for var eij */
                   5779:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /* for var p point j */
                   5780:    double *gpp, *gmp; /* for var p point j */
                   5781:    double **varppt; /* for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
                   5782:    double ***p3mat;
                   5783:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5784:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5785:    int theta;
                   5786:    char digit[4];
                   5787:    char digitp[25];
                   5788: 
                   5789:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5790: 
                   5791:    if(popbased==1){
                   5792:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5793:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5794:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5795:    }
                   5796:    else 
                   5797:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5798: 
1.218     brouard  5799:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5800:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5801:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5802:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5803:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5804:    /*   } */
                   5805:    /* } */
                   5806: 
                   5807:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5808:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5809:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5810:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5811:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5812:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5813:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5814:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5815:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5816:    }
                   5817:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5818:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5819:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5820:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5821:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5822:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5823:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5824:    }
                   5825:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5826:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5827:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5828: 
1.218     brouard  5829:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5830:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5831:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5832:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5833:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5834:    }  
                   5835:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5836:   
                   5837:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5838:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5839:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5840:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5841:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
                   5842:    /*   } */
                   5843:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5844:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5845:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5846:    if(popbased==1)
                   5847:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5848:    else
                   5849:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5850:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5851:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5852:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5853:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5854:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5855: 
                   5856:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5857:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5858:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5859:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5860:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5861: 
                   5862:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5863:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5864:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5865:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5866:   
1.218     brouard  5867:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5868:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5869:    }
                   5870:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5871:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5872:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5873:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5874:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5875:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5876:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5877:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5878:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5879:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5880:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5881:    */
                   5882:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5883:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5884:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5885:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5886:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5887:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5888:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5889:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5890:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5891:                
                   5892:                
                   5893:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5894:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5895:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5896:        }
                   5897:                        
1.242     brouard  5898:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5899:                        
                   5900:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5901:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5902:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5903:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5904:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5905:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5906:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5907:         }
                   5908:        }
                   5909:                        
1.235     brouard  5910:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=1 to nhstepm */
1.218     brouard  5911:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5912:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5913:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5914:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5915:         }
                   5916:        }
                   5917:        /* Next for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5918:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5919:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5920:        */
                   5921:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5922:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5923:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5924:        }    
                   5925:        /* end probability of death */
                   5926:                        
                   5927:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5928:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5929:                        
1.242     brouard  5930:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5931:                        
                   5932:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5933:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5934:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5935:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5936:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5937:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5938:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5939:         }
                   5940:        }
                   5941:                        
1.235     brouard  5942:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5943:                        
                   5944:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5945:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5946:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5947:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5948:         }
                   5949:        }
                   5950:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5951:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5952:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5953:        */
                   5954:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5955:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5956:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5957:        }    
                   5958:        /* end probability of death */
                   5959:                        
                   5960:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5961:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5962:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5963:         }
                   5964:                        
                   5965:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu */
                   5966:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5967:        }
                   5968:                        
                   5969:      } /* End theta */
                   5970:                
                   5971:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   5972:                
                   5973:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   5974:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5975:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5976:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   5977:                
                   5978:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   5979:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5980:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
                   5981:                
                   5982:                
                   5983:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5984:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5985:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5986:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
                   5987:                
                   5988:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   5989:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   5990:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5991:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5992:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5993:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5994:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   5995:        }
                   5996:      }
                   5997:                
                   5998:      /* pptj */
                   5999:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6000:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6001:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6002:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6003:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6004:      /* end ppptj */
                   6005:      /*  x centered again */
                   6006:                
1.242     brouard  6007:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6008:                
                   6009:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6010:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6011:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6012:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6013:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6014:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6015:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6016:        }
                   6017:      }
                   6018:                
                   6019:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6020:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6021:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6022:      */
1.235     brouard  6023:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6024:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6025:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6026:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6027:      }    
                   6028:      /* end probability of death */
                   6029:                
                   6030:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6031:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6032:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6033:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6034:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6035:        }
                   6036:      } 
                   6037:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6038:                
                   6039:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6040:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6041:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6042:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6043:        }
                   6044:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6045:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6046:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6047:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6048:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6049:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6050:    } /* End age */
                   6051:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6052:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6053:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6054:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6055:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6056:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6057:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6058:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6059:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6060:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6061:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6062:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6063:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6064:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6065:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6066:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6067:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6068:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6069:     */
1.218     brouard  6070:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6071:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6072: 
1.218     brouard  6073:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6074:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6075:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6076:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6077:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6078:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6079:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6080:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6081:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6082:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6083:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6084: 
                   6085: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6086:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6087: {
1.205     brouard  6088:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6089:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6090: 
1.268     brouard  6091:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6092:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6093:   double *xp;
                   6094:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6095:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6096:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6097:   double age,agelim;
                   6098:   int theta;
                   6099:   
                   6100:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   6101:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6102:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6103:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6104:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6105:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6106:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6107:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6108: 
                   6109:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6110:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6111:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6112:   
                   6113:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6114:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6115:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6116:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6117:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6118:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6119:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6120:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6121:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6122:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6123:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6124:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6125: 
                   6126:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6127:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6128:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6129:       }
1.209     brouard  6130:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6131:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6132:       else
1.235     brouard  6133:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6134:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6135:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6136:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6137:       }
1.126     brouard  6138:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6139:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  6140:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6141:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6142:       else
1.235     brouard  6143:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6144:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6145:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6146:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6147:       }
1.126     brouard  6148:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6149:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6150:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6151:     } /* End theta */
                   6152: 
                   6153:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6154: 
                   6155:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6156:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6157:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6158:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6159:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6160:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6161:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6162:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6163:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6164:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6165:     /*   } */
                   6166:     /* } */
                   6167:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6168:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6169:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6170:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6171:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6172:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6173:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6174:     /*   } */
                   6175:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6176: 
                   6177:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6178:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6179:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6180:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6181:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6182:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6183:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6184:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6185:     }
1.126     brouard  6186:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6187:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6188: 
                   6189:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6190:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6191:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  6192:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6193:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6194:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6195:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6196:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6197:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6198:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6199:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6200:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6201:   } /* End age */
                   6202: 
                   6203:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6204:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6205:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6206: 
                   6207: }
                   6208: 
                   6209: 
                   6210: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6211:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6212: {
                   6213:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6214:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6215: 
                   6216:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6217:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6218:   double *xp;
                   6219:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6220:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6221:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6222:   double age,agelim;
                   6223:   int theta;
                   6224:   
                   6225:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6226:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6227:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6228:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6229:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6230:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6231:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6232:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6233: 
                   6234:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6235:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6236:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6237:   
                   6238:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6239:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6240:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6241:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6242:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6243:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6244:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6245:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6246:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6247:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6248:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6249:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6250: 
                   6251:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6252:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6253:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6254:       }
                   6255:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6256:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6257:       else
                   6258:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6259:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6260:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6261:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6262:       }
                   6263:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6264:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6265:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6266:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6267:        else
                   6268:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6269:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6270:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6271:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6272:       }
                   6273:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6274:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6275:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6276:     } /* End theta */
                   6277: 
                   6278:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6279: 
                   6280:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6281:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6282:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6283:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6284:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6285:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6286:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6287:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6288:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6289:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6290:     /*   } */
                   6291:     /* } */
                   6292:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6293:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6294:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6295:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6296:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6297:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6298:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6299:     /*   } */
                   6300:     /* } */
                   6301: 
                   6302:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6303:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6304:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6305:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6306:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6307:     }else{
                   6308:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6309:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6310:     }
                   6311:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6312:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6313: 
                   6314:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6315:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6316:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6317:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6318:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6319:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6320:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6321:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6322:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6323:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6324:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6325:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6326:   } /* End age */
                   6327: 
                   6328:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6329:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6330:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6331: 
                   6332: }
                   6333: 
                   6334: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6335: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6336:  {
                   6337:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6338:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6339:    int k=0, l;
                   6340:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   6341:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6342:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6343:    double *xp;
                   6344:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6345:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6346:    double **mu;
                   6347:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6348:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6349:    int theta;
                   6350:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6351:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6352:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6353:    double ***varpij;
                   6354: 
                   6355:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6356:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6357:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6358:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6359:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6360:    }
                   6361:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6362:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6363:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6364:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6365:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6366:    }
                   6367:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6368:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6369:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6370:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6371:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6372:    }
                   6373:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6374:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6375:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6376:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6377:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6378:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6379:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6380:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6381:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6382:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6383:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6384:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6385:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6386:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6387:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6388: 
                   6389: 
1.222     brouard  6390:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6391:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6392:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6393:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6394:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6395:      }  
                   6396:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6397:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6398:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6399:    */
                   6400:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6401:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6402:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6403:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6404:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6405:    first=1;
                   6406:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6407:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6408:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6409: 
1.266     brouard  6410:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6411:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6412:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6413: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6414:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6415:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6416: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6417: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6418: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6419:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6420:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6421: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6422: 
1.222     brouard  6423:    cov[1]=1;
                   6424:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6425:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6426:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6427:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6428:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  6429:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6430:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6431:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6432:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6433:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6434:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6435:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6436:                        
1.222     brouard  6437:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6438:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6439:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6440:                        
                   6441:                        
1.222     brouard  6442:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6443:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6444:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6445:                        
1.222     brouard  6446:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6447:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6448:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6449:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6450:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6451:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6452:         continue;
                   6453:        }
                   6454:      }
                   6455:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6456:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6457:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6458:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6459:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6460:        cov[2]=age;
                   6461:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6462:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   6463:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   6464:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   6465:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6466:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6467:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6468:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6469:                                                                    */
                   6470:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6471:        }
                   6472:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   6473:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   6474:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   6475:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  6476:                        
                   6477:                        
1.222     brouard  6478:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6479:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6480:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6481:                                
1.222     brouard  6482:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6483:                                
1.222     brouard  6484:         k=0;
                   6485:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   6486:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6487:             k=k+1;
                   6488:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6489:           }
                   6490:         }
1.220     brouard  6491:                                
1.222     brouard  6492:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6493:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6494:                                
1.222     brouard  6495:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   6496:         k=0;
                   6497:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6498:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6499:             k=k+1;
                   6500:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6501:           }
                   6502:         }
1.220     brouard  6503:                                
1.222     brouard  6504:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   6505:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   6506:        }
1.126     brouard  6507: 
1.222     brouard  6508:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6509:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6510:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6511:                        
1.222     brouard  6512:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6513:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6514:                        
1.222     brouard  6515:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6516:                        
1.222     brouard  6517:        k=0;
                   6518:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6519:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6520:           k=k+1;
                   6521:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6522:         }
                   6523:        }
                   6524:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6525:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6526:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6527:                        
1.222     brouard  6528:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6529:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6530:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6531:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6532:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6533:                        
1.222     brouard  6534:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6535:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6536:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6537:                        
1.222     brouard  6538:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6539:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6540:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6541:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6542:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6543:        }
                   6544:        i=0;
                   6545:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6546:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6547:           i++;
                   6548:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6549:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6550:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6551:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6552:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6553:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6554:           }
                   6555:         }
                   6556:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6557:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6558:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6559:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6560:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6561:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6562:     
                   6563:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6564:      /*
                   6565:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6566:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6567:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6568:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6569:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6570:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6571:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6572:      */
                   6573:                
                   6574:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6575:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6576:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6577:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6578:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6579:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6580:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6581:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6582:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6583:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6584:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6585:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6586:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6587:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6588:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6589:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6590:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6591:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6592:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6593:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6594:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6595:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6596:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6597:                   if(first2==1){
                   6598:                     first1=0;
                   6599:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6600:                   }
                   6601:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6602:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6603:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6604:                 }
1.220     brouard  6605:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6606:                 /* Eigen vectors */
                   6607:                 v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                   6608:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6609:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6610:                 v12=-v21;
                   6611:                 v22=v11;
                   6612:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6613:                 if(first1==1){
                   6614:                   first1=0;
                   6615:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6616:                 }
                   6617:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6618:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6619:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6620:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6621:                 if(first==1){
                   6622:                   first=0;
                   6623:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6624:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6625:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6626:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  6627:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6628:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6629: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6630:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6631:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6632:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6633:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6634:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6635:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6636:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6637:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.266     brouard  6638:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6639:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  6640:                 }else{
                   6641:                   first=0;
                   6642:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6643:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6644:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6645:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  6646:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6647:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  6648:                 }/* if first */
                   6649:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6650:             } /* end loop age */
                   6651:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6652:             first=1;
                   6653:           } /*l12 */
                   6654:         } /* k12 */
                   6655:        } /*l1 */
                   6656:      }/* k1 */
                   6657:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6658:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6659:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6660:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6661:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6662:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6663:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6664:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6665:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6666:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6667:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6668:  }
1.126     brouard  6669: 
                   6670: 
                   6671: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6672: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6673:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6674:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.258     brouard  6675:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.273     brouard  6676:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   6677:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  6678:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6679: 
                   6680:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6681:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6682: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6683:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6684: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6685:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6686:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6687:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6688:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6689:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6690:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6691:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6692:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6693:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6694:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6695:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6696:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6697:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6698:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6699:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6700:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6701:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6702:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6703:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6704:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6705:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6706:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6707:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6708:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6709:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6710:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6711:    }
1.126     brouard  6712: 
                   6713: 
1.225     brouard  6714:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6715:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6716: 
1.264     brouard  6717:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
                   6718: 
                   6719:    jj1=0;
                   6720: 
                   6721:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   6722:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   6723:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6724:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6725:        continue;
                   6726:      jj1++;
                   6727:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6728:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   6729:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6730:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6731:        }
                   6732:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6733:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6734:        }
                   6735:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   6736:        
                   6737:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   6738:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   6739:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6740:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6741:        }
                   6742:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6743:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6744:        }
                   6745:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6746:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   6747:         continue;
                   6748:        }
                   6749:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   6750:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   6751:    }
                   6752:      fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   6753: 
1.222     brouard  6754:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6755: 
                   6756:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6757:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  6758:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6759:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6760: 
1.222     brouard  6761:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6762:      jj1++;
                   6763:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  6764:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   6765:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6766:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6767:        }
                   6768:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6769:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6770:        }
                   6771:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   6772:  
1.222     brouard  6773:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6774:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6775:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6776:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6777:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6778:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6779:        }
1.237     brouard  6780:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6781:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6782:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6783:       }
                   6784:        
1.230     brouard  6785:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6786:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6787:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6788:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6789:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6790:         continue;
                   6791:        }
                   6792:      }
                   6793:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  6794:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6795: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6796:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6797:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6798: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6799:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6800:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6801:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6802:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6803: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6804: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6805:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6806:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6807:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6808: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6809:      }
                   6810:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6811:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6812:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6813:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6814:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6815:      }
                   6816:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6817:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6818:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6819: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6820:      }
                   6821:      if(backcast==1){
                   6822:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6823:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6824:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6825: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6826:        }
1.217     brouard  6827:      }
1.222     brouard  6828:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6829:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6830:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6831:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6832: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6833:        }
                   6834:      }
1.268     brouard  6835:      if(backcast==1){
                   6836:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   6837:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6838:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   6839:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   6840:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
                   6841: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6842:  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  6843:        }
                   6844:      }
1.220     brouard  6845:         
1.222     brouard  6846:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6847:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6848: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6849:      }
                   6850:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6851:    }/* End k1 */
                   6852:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6853: 
1.222     brouard  6854:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6855: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6856:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6857:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6858: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6859: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6860: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6861: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6862: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6863: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6864: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6865: 
1.222     brouard  6866:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6867:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6868:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6869:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6870:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6871: 
1.222     brouard  6872:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6873:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6874:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6875:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6876:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6877:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6878:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6879:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6880:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6881:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6882:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6883:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6884:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6885:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6886:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6887:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6888:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6889:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6890:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6891:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6892: 
                   6893: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6894: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6895: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6896: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6897: /*  else  */
                   6898: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6899:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6900:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6901: 
1.225     brouard  6902:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6903:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6904: 
1.222     brouard  6905:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6906: 
1.241     brouard  6907:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6908:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  6909:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6910:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6911:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6912:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6913:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6914:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6915:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6916:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6917:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6918:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6919:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6920:       }
                   6921: 
1.126     brouard  6922:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6923: 
1.222     brouard  6924:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6925:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6926:         continue;
                   6927:        }
1.126     brouard  6928:      }
                   6929:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  6930:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6931: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
1.258     brouard  6932: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6933:      }
                   6934:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6935: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6936: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6937:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6938:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6939: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6940:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6941:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6942:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6943:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6944:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6945: }
                   6946: 
                   6947: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.270     brouard  6948: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  6949: 
                   6950:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  6951:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  6952:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  6953:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  6954:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  6955:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  6956:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  6957:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   6958:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  6959:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  6960:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  6961: 
1.126     brouard  6962: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   6963: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   6964: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   6965: /*   } */
                   6966: 
                   6967:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   6968:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  6969:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  6970:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  6971: 
1.274     brouard  6972:   /* diagram of the model */
                   6973:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   6974:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   6975:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   6976:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   6977: 
                   6978:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   6979:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   6980:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   6981:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   6982:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   6983:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   6984:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   6985: 
1.202     brouard  6986:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   6987:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  6988:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   6989:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   6990:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   6991:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  6992: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  6993:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   6994: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  6995:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   6996:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   6997:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   6998:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   6999:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7000:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7001:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7002:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7003:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7004:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7005:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7006:     }
                   7007:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7008:   }
                   7009:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7010:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7011:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7012:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7013:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7014: 
1.126     brouard  7015:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7016:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7017:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7018:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7019:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7020:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7021:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7022:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7023:          continue;
                   7024:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7025:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  7026:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7027:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7028:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7029:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7030:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7031:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7032:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7033:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7034:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7035:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7036:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7037:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7038:        }
                   7039:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7040:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7041:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7042:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7043:        }
                   7044:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7045:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7046:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7047:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7048:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7049:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7050:          continue;
                   7051:        }
1.235     brouard  7052:       
1.241     brouard  7053:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7054:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276   ! brouard  7055:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
        !          7056:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.260     brouard  7057:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7058:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7059:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7060:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7061:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7062:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7063:        }
1.260     brouard  7064:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7065:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7066:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7067:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7068:        } 
1.260     brouard  7069:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7070:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7071:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7072:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7073:        }  
1.265     brouard  7074:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7075:        
                   7076:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7077:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7078:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7079:        }else{
                   7080:          kl=0;
                   7081:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7082:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7083:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7084:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7085:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7086:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7087:            kl++;
                   7088:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7089:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7090:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7091:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7092:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7093:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7094:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7095:            }else{
                   7096:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7097:              kl++;
                   7098:            }
                   7099:          } /* end covariate */
                   7100:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7101: 
1.238     brouard  7102:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   7103:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7104:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7105:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7106:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7107:          }else{
                   7108:            kl=0;
                   7109:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7110:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7111:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7112:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7113:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7114:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7115:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7116:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7117:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7118:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7119:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7120:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7121:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7122:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7123:              }else{
                   7124:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7125:                kl++;
                   7126:              }
                   7127:            } /* end covariate */
                   7128:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.268     brouard  7129:          if(backcast == 1){
                   7130:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7131:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7132:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7133:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7134:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7135:            }
1.271     brouard  7136:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7137:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7138:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7139:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7140:            } 
1.276   ! brouard  7141:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7142:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7143:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7144:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7145:            } 
1.274     brouard  7146:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7147:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.238     brouard  7148:        } /* end if backcast */
1.276   ! brouard  7149:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
        !          7150:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7151:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7152:     } /* k1 */
                   7153:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7154: 
                   7155:   
1.126     brouard  7156:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7157:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7158:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7159:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7160:        continue;
                   7161:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7162:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7163:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7164:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7165:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7166:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7167:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7168:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7169:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7170:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7171:       }
1.237     brouard  7172:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7173:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7174:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7175:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7176:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7177:       }
1.264     brouard  7178:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7179:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7180:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7181:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7182:        continue;
                   7183:       }
1.219     brouard  7184:                        
1.241     brouard  7185:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7186:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7187:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7188:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7189:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7190:        }else
1.238     brouard  7191:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7192:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7193:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7194:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7195:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7196:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7197:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7198:          }   
                   7199:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7200:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7201:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7202:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7203:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7204:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7205:          }   
                   7206:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7207:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7208:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7209:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7210:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7211:          }   
                   7212:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7213:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7214:        } /* state */
                   7215:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7216:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7217:     } /* end nres */
                   7218:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7219:        
                   7220:        
                   7221:   /*3eme*/
                   7222:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7223:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7224:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7225:        continue;
                   7226: 
                   7227:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7228:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7229:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7230:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7231:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7232:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7233:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7234:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7235:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7236:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7237:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7238:        }
                   7239:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7240:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7241:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7242:        }       
1.264     brouard  7243:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7244:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7245:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7246:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7247:          continue;
                   7248:        }
                   7249:                        
                   7250:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7251:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7252:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7253:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7254:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7255: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7256:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7257:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7258:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7259:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7260:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7261:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7262:                                
1.238     brouard  7263:        */
                   7264:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7265:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7266:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7267:                                
1.238     brouard  7268:        } 
1.261     brouard  7269:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7270:       }
1.264     brouard  7271:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7272:     } /* end nres */
                   7273:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7274:   
1.223     brouard  7275:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7276:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7277:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7278:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7279:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7280:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7281:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7282:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7283:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7284:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7285:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7286:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7287:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7288:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7289:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7290:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7291:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7292:        }
                   7293:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7294:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7295:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7296:        }       
1.264     brouard  7297:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7298:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7299:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7300:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7301:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7302:        }
1.238     brouard  7303:       
1.241     brouard  7304:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7305:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7306:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7307: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7308:        k=3;
                   7309:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7310:          if(i==1){
                   7311:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7312:          }else{
                   7313:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7314:          }
                   7315:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7316:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7317:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7318:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7319:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7320:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7321:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7322:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7323:     } /* end nres */
                   7324:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7325: 
1.220     brouard  7326: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7327:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7328:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7329:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7330:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7331:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7332:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7333:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7334:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7335:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7336:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7337:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7338:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7339:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7340:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7341:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7342:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7343:        }
                   7344:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7345:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7346:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7347:        }       
1.264     brouard  7348:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7349:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7350:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7351:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7352:          continue;
                   7353:        }
1.227     brouard  7354:       
1.241     brouard  7355:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7356:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7357:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7358: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7359:        k=3;
                   7360:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7361:          if(j==1)
                   7362:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7363:          else
                   7364:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7365:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7366:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7367:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7368:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7369:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7370:        } /* nlstate */
                   7371:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7372:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7373:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7374:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7375:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7376:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7377:          else
                   7378:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7379:        }
1.264     brouard  7380:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7381:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7382:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7383:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7384:   
1.220     brouard  7385: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7386:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7387:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7388:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7389:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7390:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7391:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7392:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.211     brouard  7393:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7394:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7395:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7396:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7397:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7398:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7399:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7400:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7401:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7402:       }
1.237     brouard  7403:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7404:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7405:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7406:       }        
1.264     brouard  7407:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7408:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7409:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7410:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7411:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7412:       }
1.227     brouard  7413:       
1.241     brouard  7414:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7415:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7416:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7417: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7418:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7419:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7420:        if(i==1)
                   7421:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7422:        else
                   7423:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7424:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7425:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7426:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   7427:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7428:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  7429:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7430:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  7431:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7432:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  7433:   
                   7434:   
1.220     brouard  7435: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  7436:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  7437:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7438:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7439:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7440:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7441:        continue;
1.268     brouard  7442:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  7443:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7444:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  7445:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7446:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7447:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7448:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  7449:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  7450:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7451:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7452:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7453:        }
1.237     brouard  7454:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7455:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7456:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7457:        }       
1.264     brouard  7458:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7459:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7460:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7461:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7462:          continue;
                   7463:        }
                   7464:        
1.241     brouard  7465:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7466:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7467:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7468: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  7469:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  7470:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  7471:          if(i==1)
                   7472:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7473:          else
                   7474:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7475:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  7476:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7477:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   7478:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  7479:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  7480:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   7481:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   7482:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  7483:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  7484:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7485:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  7486:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7487:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7488:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7489:   
1.223     brouard  7490:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  7491:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   7492:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   7493:     
1.237     brouard  7494:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7495:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7496:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7497:        continue;
1.211     brouard  7498:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  7499:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.227     brouard  7500:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7501:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7502:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7503:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7504:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7505:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7506:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7507:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7508:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7509:        }
1.237     brouard  7510:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7511:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7512:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7513:        }       
1.264     brouard  7514:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7515:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7516:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7517:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7518:          continue;
                   7519:        }
                   7520:        
                   7521:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  7522:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7523:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7524:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7525: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  7526: 
                   7527:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7528:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7529:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7530:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  7531:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7532:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7533:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7534:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  7535:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  7536:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   7537:          }else{
                   7538:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7539:          }
                   7540:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7541:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7542:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7543:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7544:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7545:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7546:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  7547:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7548:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  7549:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7550:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7551:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7552:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  7553:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  7554:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  7555:            }else
1.227     brouard  7556:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7557:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7558:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7559:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7560:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7561:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7562:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7563:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  7564:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7565:            kl=0;
                   7566:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7567:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7568:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7569:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7570:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7571:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7572:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7573:              kl++;
                   7574:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7575:              kl++;
                   7576:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7577:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7578:            }
                   7579:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7580:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7581:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7582:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7583:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7584:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7585:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7586:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  7587:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7588:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   7589:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7590:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   7591:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  7592: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  7593:            }else{
                   7594:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7595:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7596:            }
                   7597:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7598:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7599:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  7600:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7601:     } /* end covariate */
                   7602:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  7603:   
1.268     brouard  7604:   if(backcast==1){
                   7605:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   7606:     
                   7607:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7608:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   7609:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7610:        continue;
                   7611:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   7612:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7613:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7614:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7615:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7616:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7617:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7618:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7619:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7620:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7621:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7622:        }
                   7623:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7624:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7625:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7626:        }       
                   7627:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   7628:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7629:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7630:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7631:          continue;
                   7632:        }
                   7633:        
                   7634:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   7635:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7636:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   7637:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   7638: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7639: 
                   7640:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7641:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7642:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7643:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   7644:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7645:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7646:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7647:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7648:          if(i==istart){
                   7649:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   7650:          }else{
                   7651:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7652:          }
                   7653:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7654:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7655:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7656:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7657:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7658:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7659:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   7660:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7661:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  7662:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7663:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7664:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7665:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  7666:                     offbyear,                          \
                   7667:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   7668:            }else
                   7669:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7670:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   7671:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7672:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7673:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7674:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7675:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7676:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  7677:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7678:            kl=0;
                   7679:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7680:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7681:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7682:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7683:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7684:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7685:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7686:              kl++;
                   7687:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7688:              kl++;
                   7689:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7690:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7691:            }
                   7692:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7693:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7694:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7695:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7696:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7697:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7698:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7699:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  7700:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7701:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  7702:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  7703:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7704:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   7705:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  7706: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   7707:            }else{
                   7708:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   7709:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7710:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   7711:            }
                   7712:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7713:        } /* nlstate */
                   7714:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   7715:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7716:     } /* end covariate */
                   7717:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7718:   
1.227     brouard  7719:   
1.238     brouard  7720:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   7721:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  7722:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  7723:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  7724:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   7725:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  7726:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   7727:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   7728:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   7729:          jk++; 
                   7730:        }
                   7731:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  7732:       }
                   7733:     }
1.223     brouard  7734:   }
1.187     brouard  7735:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  7736:   
1.145     brouard  7737:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  7738:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   7739:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  7740:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   7741:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   7742:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   7743:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   7744:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7745:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7746:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7747:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7748:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   7749:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7750:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   7751:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7752:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  7753:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  7754:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  7755:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  7756:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  7757:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   7758:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  7759:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  7760:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7761:        continue;
1.264     brouard  7762:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   7763:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276   ! brouard  7764:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  7765:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7766:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7767:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7768:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7769:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7770:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7771:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7772:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7773:       }
1.237     brouard  7774:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7775:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7776:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7777:       }        
1.264     brouard  7778:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  7779:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  7780:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276   ! brouard  7781:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
        !          7782:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
        !          7783:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  7784:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   7785:       if (ng==1){
                   7786:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   7787:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   7788:       }else if (ng==2){
                   7789:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   7790:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7791:       }else if (ng==3){
                   7792:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   7793:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7794:       }else
                   7795:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   7796:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   7797:       i=1;
                   7798:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   7799:        k3=i;
                   7800:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   7801:          if (k != k2){
                   7802:            switch( ng) {
                   7803:            case 1:
                   7804:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7805:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7806:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7807:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7808:              break;
                   7809:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   7810:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7811:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7812:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7813:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7814:              break;
                   7815:            case 3:
                   7816:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7817:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7818:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7819:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7820:              break;
                   7821:            }
                   7822:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7823:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7824:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7825:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7826:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  7827:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7828:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*/
                   7829:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7830:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){
                   7831:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7832:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7833:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7834:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7835:                    }
                   7836:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  7837:                  }
1.268     brouard  7838:                } 
                   7839:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   7840:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7841:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7842:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   7843:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7844:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   7845:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   7846:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7847:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7848:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7849:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7850:                      }
                   7851:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   7852:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   7853:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7854:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7855:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7856:                      }
1.237     brouard  7857:                    }
1.268     brouard  7858:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7859:                  }
1.268     brouard  7860:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  7861:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  7862:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  7863:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7864:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7865:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7866:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  7867:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  7868:                }
1.237     brouard  7869:              } /* end simple */
                   7870:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7871:          }else{
                   7872:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7873:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7874:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7875:          }
1.227     brouard  7876:          
1.223     brouard  7877:          if(ng != 1){
                   7878:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7879:            
1.264     brouard  7880:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  7881:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  7882:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  7883:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  7884:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7885:               
1.223     brouard  7886:              ij=1;
                   7887:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  7888:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   7889:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7890:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7891:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   7892:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7893:                       ij++;
                   7894:                     }
                   7895:                   }
                   7896:                 }else
                   7897:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7898:              }
                   7899:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7900:            }
                   7901:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7902:            if(ng ==2)
1.276   ! brouard  7903:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7904:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276   ! brouard  7905:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7906:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7907:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276   ! brouard  7908:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7909:          }
                   7910:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7911:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7912:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7913:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7914:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7915:        } /* end k */
                   7916:       } /* end k2 */
1.276   ! brouard  7917:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
        !          7918:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  7919:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  7920:   } /* end ng */
                   7921:   /* avoid: */
                   7922:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7923: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7924: 
                   7925: 
                   7926: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7927: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7928:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7929:    
1.222     brouard  7930:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7931:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7932:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7933:    int iage=0;
                   7934: 
1.266     brouard  7935:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  7936:    double age;
1.266     brouard  7937:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   7938:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   7939:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  7940:   
                   7941:   
1.225     brouard  7942:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;/\* Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
1.222     brouard  7943:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax  *\/ */
                   7944: 
                   7945:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7946:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7947:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7948:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  7949:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  7950:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7951:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7952: 
                   7953:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  7954:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  7955:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  7956:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   7957:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  7958:    }
                   7959:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   7960:   
1.266     brouard  7961:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   7962:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  7963:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   7964:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   7965:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   7966:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   7967:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7968:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   7969:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   7970:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   7971:      */ 
                   7972:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   7973:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  7974:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   7975:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   7976:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  7977:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7978:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   7979:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   7980:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   7981:             }
                   7982:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  7983:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   7984:           } /* end i */
                   7985:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   7986:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  7987:        }/* end age */
                   7988:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  7989:    }else{
                   7990:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  7991:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  7992:    }
                   7993: 
                   7994:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  7995:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   7996:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   7997:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   7998:        continue;
                   7999:      }
1.219     brouard  8000: 
1.266     brouard  8001:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8002:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8003:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8004:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8005:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8006:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8007:        }
                   8008:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8009:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8010:        }
                   8011:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8012:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8013:        }
                   8014:      } /* age */
                   8015:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8016:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8017:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8018:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8019:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8020:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8021:        }
                   8022:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8023:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8024:        }
                   8025:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8026:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8027:        }
                   8028:      } /* age */
                   8029:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8030:      /* but they will change */
                   8031:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8032:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8033:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8034:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8035:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8036:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8037:        }
                   8038:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8039:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8040:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8041:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8042:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8043:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8044:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8045:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8046:           } /* i */
                   8047:         } /* end bad */
                   8048:        }else{
                   8049:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8050:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8051:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8052:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8053:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8054:           } /* i */
                   8055:         } /* end bad */
                   8056:        }/* end else */
                   8057:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8058:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8059:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8060:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8061:        }
                   8062:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8063:         printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8064:        } /* end bad */
                   8065:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8066:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8067:         printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8068:        } /* end bad */
                   8069:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8070: 
                   8071:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8072:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8073:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8074:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8075:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8076:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8077:        } 
                   8078:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8079:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8080:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8081:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8082:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8083:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8084:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8085:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8086:           } /* i */
                   8087:         } /* end bad */
                   8088:        }else{
                   8089:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8090:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8091:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8092:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8093:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8094:           } /* i */
                   8095:         } /* end bad */
                   8096:        }/* end else */
                   8097:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8098:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8099:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8100:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8101:        }
1.266     brouard  8102:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8103:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8104:        } /* end bad */
                   8105:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8106:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8107:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8108:        } /* end bad */
                   8109:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8110: 
1.222     brouard  8111:                
                   8112:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8113:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8114:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8115:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8116:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8117:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8118:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8119:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8120:        }
                   8121:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8122:      }
                   8123:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8124:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8125: 
1.222     brouard  8126:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8127:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8128:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8129:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8130:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8131:      /*   }     */
                   8132:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8133:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8134:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8135:      /*   } */
                   8136:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8137:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8138:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8139:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8140:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8141:      /*   } */
                   8142:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8143:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8144:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8145:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8146:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8147:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8148:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8149:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8150:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8151:    return 0;
                   8152:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8153:  
1.126     brouard  8154: 
                   8155: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.269     brouard  8156:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  8157:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8158:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8159:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8160:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   8161:   */
1.267     brouard  8162:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8163:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   8164:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   8165:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8166:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8167:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8168:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8169: 
                   8170:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8171:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8172:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8173:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8174:   */
1.214     brouard  8175:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8176:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8177:  
1.201     brouard  8178:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8179:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8180:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8181:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8182:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8183:   }
1.235     brouard  8184:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8185:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8186: 
1.225     brouard  8187:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8188: 
                   8189: 
                   8190:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8191:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8192:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8193:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8194:   }
1.270     brouard  8195:   else{
                   8196:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8197:   }
                   8198:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8199:     stepsize=2;
                   8200:   }
1.126     brouard  8201: 
                   8202:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   8203:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8204:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8205:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8206:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8207:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8208:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8209:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8210:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8211:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8212: 
1.227     brouard  8213:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8214:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8215:   
                   8216:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   8217:   
                   8218:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8219:   
1.126     brouard  8220: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8221:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8222:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8223:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8224:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8225:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8226:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8227:       continue;
                   8228:     }
                   8229:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8230:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8231:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8232:     }
1.235     brouard  8233:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8234:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8235:     }
1.227     brouard  8236:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8237:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8238:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8239:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8240:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8241:     }
                   8242:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   8243:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8244:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8245:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8246:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8247:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8248:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8249:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8250:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8251:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8252:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8253:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8254:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8255:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8256:            break;
                   8257:          }
                   8258:        }
                   8259:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8260:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8261:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8262:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8263:        
                   8264:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8265:          ppij=0.;
                   8266:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
                   8267:            /* if (mobilav>=1)  */
1.269     brouard  8268:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
1.268     brouard  8269:            /* else { */ /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage */
                   8270:            /*  ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8271:            /* } */
                   8272:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8273:          } /* end i */
                   8274:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8275:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8276:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8277:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8278:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8279:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8280:     } /* end yearp */
                   8281:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8282:        
1.126     brouard  8283:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8284:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8285:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8286: 
1.126     brouard  8287: }
                   8288: 
1.269     brouard  8289: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
                   8290:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.267     brouard  8291:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
                   8292:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8293:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8294:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8295:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8296:   */
                   8297:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8298:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.268     brouard  8299:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
1.267     brouard  8300:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8301:   double ***p3mat;
                   8302:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8303:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8304:  
1.268     brouard  8305:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8306:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8307:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8308:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8309:   */
                   8310:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8311:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8312: 
                   8313:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8314: 
                   8315:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8316:   
                   8317:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8318:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8319:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8320:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8321:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8322:   }
                   8323:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8324:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8325:   
                   8326:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8327:   
                   8328:    
                   8329:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8330:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8331:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8332:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8333:   }
1.270     brouard  8334:   else{
                   8335:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8336:   }
                   8337:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8338:     stepsize=2;
                   8339:   }
1.267     brouard  8340:   
                   8341:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
                   8342:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8343:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8344:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8345:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8346:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8347:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8348:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8349:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8350:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8351:   
                   8352:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8353:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8354:   
                   8355:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.268     brouard  8356:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8357:   
                   8358:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8359:   
                   8360:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8361:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8362:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8363:       continue;
                   8364:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8365:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8366:       continue;
                   8367:     }
1.268     brouard  8368:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8369:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8370:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8371:     }
                   8372:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8373:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8374:     }
                   8375:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8376:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8377:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8378:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8379:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8380:     }
                   8381:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {
                   8382:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8383:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8384:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8385:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8386:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8387:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8388:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8389:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8390:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8391:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8392:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8393:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8394:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8395:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8396:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8397:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8398:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8399:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8400:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8401:            break;
                   8402:          }
                   8403:        }
                   8404:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8405:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   8406:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8407:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8408:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   8409:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   8410:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   8411:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  8412:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8413:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8414:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   8415:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  8416:              /* else { */
                   8417:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8418:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  8419:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8420:          } /* end j */
                   8421:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   8422:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8423:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8424:          }
                   8425:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   8426:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  8427:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8428:       } /* end agec */
                   8429:     } /* end yearp */
                   8430:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  8431:   
1.267     brouard  8432:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  8433:   
1.267     brouard  8434:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   8435:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   8436:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  8437:        
1.267     brouard  8438: }
1.217     brouard  8439: 
1.269     brouard  8440: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   8441:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8442:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
                   8443:  
                   8444:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8445:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   8446:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8447:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   8448:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8449:    
                   8450:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   8451:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   8452:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8453:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   8454:       exit(0);
                   8455:     }
                   8456:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   8457:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8458:     
                   8459:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   8460:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   8461:     
                   8462:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8463:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8464: 
                   8465:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8466:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8467:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8468:        continue;
                   8469:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   8470:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   8471:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8472:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8473:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8474:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8475:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8476:       }
                   8477:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8478:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8479:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8480:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8481:       }        
                   8482:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   8483:       printf("******\n");
                   8484:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8485:       
                   8486:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8487:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8488:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8489:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8490:       /*}*/
                   8491:     }
                   8492:     
                   8493:     fclose(ficresvpl);
                   8494:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8495:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8496: 
                   8497:  }
                   8498: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   8499:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8500:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   8501: 
                   8502:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8503:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   8504: 
                   8505:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8506:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   8507:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8508: 
                   8509:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   8510:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   8511:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8512:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   8513:      exit(0);
                   8514:    }
                   8515:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   8516:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8517:    
                   8518:    
                   8519:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8520:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8521:    
                   8522:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8523:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8524:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8525:         continue;
                   8526:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   8527:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   8528:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8529:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8530:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8531:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8532:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8533:        }
                   8534:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8535:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8536:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8537:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8538:        }
                   8539:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   8540:        printf("******\n");
                   8541:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8542:        
                   8543:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8544:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8545:        
                   8546:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8547:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8548:        /*}*/
                   8549:      }
                   8550:    
                   8551:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   8552:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8553:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8554: 
                   8555:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   8556: 
1.126     brouard  8557: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  8558: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  8559:   
1.227     brouard  8560: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   8561: /*   int *popage; */
                   8562: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   8563: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   8564: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   8565: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   8566: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  8567: 
1.227     brouard  8568: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8569: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8570: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   8571: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  8572:   
1.227     brouard  8573: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  8574:   
                   8575:   
1.227     brouard  8576: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   8577: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   8578: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   8579: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8580: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8581: /*   } */
                   8582: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   8583: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  8584: 
1.227     brouard  8585: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  8586: 
1.227     brouard  8587: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   8588: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   8589: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   8590: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8591: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8592: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   8593: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  8594: 
1.227     brouard  8595: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   8596: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  8597:   
1.227     brouard  8598: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  8599:   
1.227     brouard  8600: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   8601: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  8602:        
1.227     brouard  8603: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8604: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   8605: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8606: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8607: /*     }  */
                   8608: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8609: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8610: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  8611:     
1.227     brouard  8612: /*     i=1;    */
                   8613: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  8614:     
1.227     brouard  8615: /*     imx=i; */
                   8616: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   8617: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8618:   
1.227     brouard  8619: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   8620: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   8621: /*       k=k+1; */
                   8622: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   8623: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   8624: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   8625: /*       } */
                   8626: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   8627: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   8628: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   8629: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  8630:       
1.227     brouard  8631: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   8632: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  8633:        
1.227     brouard  8634: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8635: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8636: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8637:          
1.227     brouard  8638: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8639: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8640: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  8641:          
1.227     brouard  8642: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8643: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8644: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8645: /*         }  */
                   8646: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8647: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8648: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8649: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   8650: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   8651: /*             else { */
                   8652: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   8653: /*             } */
                   8654: /*           } */
                   8655: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   8656: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   8657: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   8658: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   8659: /*           } */
                   8660: /*         } */
                   8661: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8662: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   8663: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   8664: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   8665: /*           } */
                   8666: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   8667: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  8668:            
1.227     brouard  8669: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   8670: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   8671: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   8672: /*       } */
                   8673: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8674: /*     } */
                   8675: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  8676:       
1.227     brouard  8677: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  8678:       
1.227     brouard  8679: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   8680: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   8681: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8682: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8683: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8684:          
1.227     brouard  8685: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8686: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8687: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   8688: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8689: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8690: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8691: /*         }  */
                   8692: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8693: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8694: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8695: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   8696: /*           } */
                   8697: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   8698: /*         } */
                   8699: /*       } */
                   8700: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8701: /*     } */
                   8702: /*       } */
                   8703: /*     }  */
                   8704: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8705:   
1.227     brouard  8706: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8707:   
1.227     brouard  8708: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8709: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   8710: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   8711: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   8712: /*   } */
                   8713: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8714: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8715: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   8716: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8717:  
1.126     brouard  8718: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   8719: {
                   8720:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   8721:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8722:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8723:     return (0);
                   8724:   }
                   8725:   fflush(fichier);
                   8726:   return (1);
                   8727: }
                   8728: 
                   8729: 
                   8730: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   8731: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   8732: {
                   8733: 
                   8734:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   8735: 
1.164     brouard  8736:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   8737:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  8738:   int numlinepar;
                   8739: 
                   8740:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8741:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8742:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8743:     jj=0;
                   8744:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8745:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8746:       jj++;
                   8747:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   8748:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8749:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8750:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8751:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8752:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8753:        printf(" 0.");
                   8754:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8755:       }
                   8756:       printf("\n");
                   8757:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8758:     }
                   8759:   }
                   8760:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8761:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8762:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   8763:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8764:     jj=0;
                   8765:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8766:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8767:       jj++;
                   8768:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8769:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8770:       fflush(stdout);
                   8771:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8772:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8773:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8774:        printf(" 0.");
                   8775:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8776:       }
                   8777:       numlinepar++;
                   8778:       printf("\n");
                   8779:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8780:     }
                   8781:   }
                   8782:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8783: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8784: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8785: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   8786: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   8787: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   8788: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   8789: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   8790: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8791:   fflush(stdout);
                   8792:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8793:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8794:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8795:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   8796:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8797:   
                   8798:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   8799:     jj=0;
                   8800:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8801:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8802:        if(j==i) continue;
                   8803:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8804:          jj++;
                   8805:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   8806:          if(itimes==1){
                   8807:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8808:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8809:          }else{
                   8810:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8811:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8812:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   8813:          }
                   8814:          ll=0;
                   8815:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   8816:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   8817:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   8818:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   8819:                ll++;
                   8820:                if(ll<=jj){
                   8821:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   8822:                  if(ll<jj){
                   8823:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8824:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8825:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8826:                    }else{
                   8827:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8828:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8829:                    }
                   8830:                  }else{
                   8831:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8832:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8833:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8834:                    }else{
                   8835:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8836:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8837:                    }
                   8838:                  }
                   8839:                }
                   8840:              } /* end lk */
                   8841:            } /* end lj */
                   8842:          } /* end li */
                   8843:          printf("\n");
                   8844:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8845:          numlinepar++;
                   8846:        } /* end k*/
                   8847:       } /*end j */
                   8848:     } /* end i */
                   8849:   } /* end itimes */
                   8850: 
                   8851: } /* end of prwizard */
                   8852: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   8853: double gompertz(double x[])
                   8854: { 
                   8855:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8856:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8857: 
1.220     brouard  8858:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  8859:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8860:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8861:     num=num+1;
                   8862:   }
                   8863:  
                   8864:  
                   8865:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8866:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8867: 
                   8868:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8869:     {
                   8870:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8871:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8872:       
                   8873:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8874:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8875:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8876:       
                   8877:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8878:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8879:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   8880:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8881:       }
                   8882:     }
                   8883: 
                   8884:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8885:  
                   8886:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   8887: }
                   8888: 
1.136     brouard  8889: #ifdef GSL
                   8890: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   8891: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   8892: { 
                   8893:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8894:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   8895:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8896: 
                   8897:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   8898:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8899:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8900:     num=num+1;
                   8901:   }
                   8902:  
                   8903:  
                   8904:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8905:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8906:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   8907:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8908:     {
                   8909:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8910:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8911:       
                   8912:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8913:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8914:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8915:       
                   8916:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8917:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8918:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   8919:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8920:       }
                   8921:     }
                   8922: 
                   8923:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8924:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   8925:  
                   8926:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   8927: }
                   8928: #endif
                   8929: 
1.126     brouard  8930: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  8931: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  8932:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   8933:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   8934:   int i,k;
                   8935: 
                   8936:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   8937:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8938:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   8939:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  8940:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  8941:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   8942: 
                   8943: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   8944: 
                   8945:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   8946: 
                   8947:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   8948:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   8949: 
                   8950:  
                   8951:   fflush(fichtm);
                   8952: }
                   8953: 
                   8954: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  8955: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  8956: 
                   8957:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  8958: 
1.126     brouard  8959:   int ng;
                   8960: 
                   8961: 
                   8962:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   8963:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   8964:     /*#endif */
                   8965: 
                   8966: 
                   8967:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   8968:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  8969:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  8970:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  8971:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  8972:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  8973:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8974: 
                   8975: } 
                   8976: 
1.136     brouard  8977: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   8978: {
1.126     brouard  8979: 
1.136     brouard  8980:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   8981:   FILE *fic;
                   8982:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  8983:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  8984:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  8985:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   8986:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  8987:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  8988:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  8989: 
1.240     brouard  8990:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   8991:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  8992: 
1.240     brouard  8993:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   8994:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   8995:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   8996:   }
                   8997:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   8998:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   8999:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9000:   }
                   9001:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9002:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9003:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9004:   }
                   9005:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9006:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9007:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9008:   }
                   9009:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9010:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9011:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9012:   }
1.126     brouard  9013: 
1.136     brouard  9014:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9015:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9016:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9017:   }
1.126     brouard  9018: 
1.136     brouard  9019:   i=1;
                   9020:   linei=0;
                   9021:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9022:     linei=linei+1;
                   9023:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9024:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9025:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9026:     }
                   9027:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9028:       ;
                   9029:     };
                   9030:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9031:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9032:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9033:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9034:       continue;
                   9035:     }
                   9036:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9037:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9038:     
                   9039:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9040:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9041:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9042:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9043:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9044:          lval=-1;
                   9045:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9046:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9047:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9048:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9049:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9050:            return 1;
                   9051:          }
                   9052:        }else{
                   9053:          errno=0;
                   9054:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9055:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9056:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9057:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9058:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9059:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9060:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9061:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9062:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9063:            return 1;
                   9064:          }
                   9065:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9066:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9067:        }
                   9068:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9069:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9070:       
1.223     brouard  9071:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9072:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9073:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9074:          lval=-1;
                   9075:        }else{
                   9076:          errno=0;
                   9077:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9078:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9079:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9080:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9081:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9082:            return 1;
                   9083:          }
                   9084:        }
                   9085:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9086:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9087:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9088:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9089:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9090:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9091:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9092:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9093:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9094:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  9095:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9096:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9097:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9098:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9099:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9100:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9101:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9102:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9103:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9104:          return 1;
                   9105:        }
                   9106:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9107:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9108:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9109:       
1.223     brouard  9110:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9111:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9112:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9113:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9114:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9115:        errno=0;
                   9116:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9117:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9118:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9119:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9120:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9121:          return 1;
                   9122:        }
1.136     brouard  9123:       }
1.225     brouard  9124:       
1.136     brouard  9125:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9126:       
1.223     brouard  9127:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9128:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9129:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9130:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9131:       }
1.169     brouard  9132:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9133:        month=99;
                   9134:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9135:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9136:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9137:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9138:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9139:       }
                   9140:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   9141:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   9142:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9143:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9144:     
1.223     brouard  9145:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9146:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9147:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9148:     }
1.169     brouard  9149:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9150:       month=99;
                   9151:       year=9999;
                   9152:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9153:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9154:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9155:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9156:     }
                   9157:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9158:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9159:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9160:     
1.223     brouard  9161:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9162:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9163:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9164:     }
1.169     brouard  9165:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9166:       month=99;
                   9167:       year=9999;
                   9168:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9169:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9170:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9171:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9172:     }
                   9173:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9174:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9175:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9176:       return 1;
                   9177:       
1.136     brouard  9178:     }
                   9179:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   9180:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   9181:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9182:     
1.223     brouard  9183:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9184:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9185:     errno=0;
                   9186:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9187:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9188:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9189:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9190:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9191:       return 1;
                   9192:     }
                   9193:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9194:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9195:     
1.223     brouard  9196:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9197:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9198:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9199:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  9200:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9201:        errno=0;
                   9202:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9203:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9204:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9205:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9206:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9207:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9208:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9209:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9210:          return 1;
                   9211:        }
                   9212:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9213:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9214:       }
                   9215:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9216:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9217:     
1.223     brouard  9218:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9219:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9220:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9221:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9222:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9223:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9224:        errno=0;
                   9225:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9226:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9227:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9228:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9229:          return 1;
                   9230:        }
1.136     brouard  9231:       }
                   9232:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9233:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9234:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9235:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9236:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9237:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9238:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9239:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9240:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9241:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9242:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9243:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9244:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9245:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9246:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9247:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9248:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9249:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9250:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9251:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9252:       }
                   9253:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9254:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9255:     }  
                   9256:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9257:     
1.136     brouard  9258:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9259:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9260:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9261:     }
                   9262:     else
                   9263:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9264:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9265:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9266:     
                   9267:     i=i+1;
                   9268:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9269:   
1.136     brouard  9270:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9271:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9272:   
1.136     brouard  9273:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9274:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9275:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9276:   fclose(fic);
                   9277:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9278: }
1.126     brouard  9279: 
1.234     brouard  9280: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9281:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9282:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9283:     p2++; 
                   9284:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9285:   /*   ; */
                   9286:   /* do */
                   9287:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9288:   /*     p2++; */
                   9289:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9290:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9291: }
                   9292: 
1.235     brouard  9293: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9294: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9295: {
1.235     brouard  9296:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9297:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9298:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9299:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9300:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9301: 
1.234     brouard  9302:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  9303:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  9304: 
                   9305:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9306:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9307:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9308:     return 1;
                   9309:   }
                   9310:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9311:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9312:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9313:   }
1.253     brouard  9314:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9315:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9316:     return (0);
                   9317:   }
                   9318:     
1.234     brouard  9319:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   9320:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9321:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9322:   }
                   9323:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9324:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   9325:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   9326:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   9327:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   9328:     }else
                   9329:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  9330:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  9331:     
1.230     brouard  9332:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   9333:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   9334:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9335:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9336:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9337:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9338:   }
1.235     brouard  9339:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  9340:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9341:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  9342:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  9343:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  9344:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  9345:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9346:          match=1;
                   9347:          break;
                   9348:        }
                   9349:       }
                   9350:       if(match == 0){
                   9351:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9352:       }
                   9353:     }
                   9354:   }
1.235     brouard  9355:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   9356:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  9357:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  9358:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9359:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  9360:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  9361:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9362:          ++match;
                   9363:        }
                   9364:       }
                   9365:     }
                   9366:     if(match == 0){
                   9367:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9368:     }else if(match > 1){
                   9369:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   9370:     }
                   9371:   }
1.235     brouard  9372:       
1.234     brouard  9373:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  9374:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9375:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   9376:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   9377:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   9378:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   9379:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   9380:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   9381:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   9382:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   9383:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   9384:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   9385:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   9386:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  9387:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   9388:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   9389:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   9390:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  9391:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   9392:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  9393:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  9394:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   9395:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  9396:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   9397:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   9398:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  9399:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   9400:       k4++;;
                   9401:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   9402:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   9403:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  9404:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   9405:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   9406:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  9407:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   9408:       k4q++;;
                   9409:     }
                   9410:   }
1.234     brouard  9411:   
1.235     brouard  9412:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  9413:   return (0);
                   9414: }
1.235     brouard  9415: 
1.230     brouard  9416: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   9417:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  9418:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   9419:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   9420:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   9421:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   9422:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   9423:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   9424:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   9425:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   9426:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   9427:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   9428:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   9429:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   9430:        */
1.136     brouard  9431: {
1.238     brouard  9432:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  9433:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  9434:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  9435:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  9436:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  9437: 
1.145     brouard  9438:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  9439:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  9440:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  9441:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  9442:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   9443:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  9444:       return 1;
                   9445:     }
1.141     brouard  9446:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   9447:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   9448:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   9449:       return 1;
                   9450:     }
1.187     brouard  9451:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   9452:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   9453:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   9454:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  9455:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9456:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9457:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  9458:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9459:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9460:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9461:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  9462:       }
1.187     brouard  9463:       nagesqr=1;
                   9464:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9465:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  9466:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9467:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  9468:       else 
1.234     brouard  9469:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  9470:     }else
                   9471:       nagesqr=0;
                   9472:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   9473:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   9474:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  9475:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  9476:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  9477:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   9478:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   9479:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   9480:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   9481:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  9482:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   9483:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  9484:       
                   9485:       
1.187     brouard  9486:       /*   Design
                   9487:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   9488:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9489:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   9490:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   9491:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   9492:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  9493:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   9494:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  9495:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   9496:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   9497:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   9498:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   9499:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   9500:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   9501:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   9502:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   9503:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   9504:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9505:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   9506:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   9507:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   9508:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9509:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   9510:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   9511:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   9512:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   9513:        *How to reorganize?
                   9514:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   9515:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9516:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   9517:        * Struct []
                   9518:        */
1.225     brouard  9519:       
1.187     brouard  9520:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   9521:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   9522:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   9523:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   9524:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   9525:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   9526:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   9527:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   9528:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  9529:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  9530:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  9531:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  9532:       /*
                   9533:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  9534:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   9535:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   9536:       }
1.187     brouard  9537:       cptcovage=0;
                   9538:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  9539:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  9540:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  9541:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   9542:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   9543:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9544:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   9545:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   9546:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   9547:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   9548:            cptcovprod--;
                   9549:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   9550:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   9551:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9552:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   9553:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   9554:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   9555:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   9556:            cptcovprod--;
                   9557:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   9558:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   9559:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9560:            cptcovage++;
                   9561:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   9562:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   9563:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   9564:            cptcovn++;
                   9565:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   9566:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   9567:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   9568:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   9569:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   9570:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   9571:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   9572:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   9573:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   9574:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   9575:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   9576:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   9577:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   9578:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   9579:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   9580:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  9581:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  9582:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   9583:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   9584:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   9585:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   9586:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   9587:            }
                   9588:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   9589:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   9590:        else { /* no more sum */
                   9591:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   9592:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9593:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   9594:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   9595:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   9596:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   9597:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   9598:        }
                   9599:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  9600:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  9601:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  9602:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   9603:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   9604:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  9605:   
                   9606:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   9607:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  9608:   
1.136     brouard  9609:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  9610:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9611:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9612:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   9613: 
                   9614: 
1.230     brouard  9615: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   9616:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  9617: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   9618:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   9619:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   9620:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   9621:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  9622:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   9623:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   9624:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  9625: */  
                   9626: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  9627:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  9628:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  9629:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  9630:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   9631: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9632: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9633: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   9634:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   9635: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9636: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9637: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  9638:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  9639:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   9640:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  9641:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9642:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9643:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  9644:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9645:       nsd++;
                   9646:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9647:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9648:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9649:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9650:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9651:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9652:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9653:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   9654:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9655:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9656:       ncoveff++;
                   9657:       ncovf++;
                   9658:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9659:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9660:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  9661:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  9662:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  9663:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  9664:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9665:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  9666:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  9667:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9668:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   9669:       nsq++;
                   9670:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9671:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  9672:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9673:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9674:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  9675:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  9676:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  9677:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  9678:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9679:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9680:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  9681:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9682:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   9683:       nsd++;
                   9684:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9685:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9686:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9687:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9688:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9689:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   9690:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  9691:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   9692:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  9693:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  9694:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9695:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9696:       nqtveff++;
                   9697:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9698:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   9699:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9700:       nsq++;
                   9701:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9702:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   9703:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9704:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9705:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9706:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  9707:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9708:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   9709:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  9710:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  9711:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  9712:       ncova++;
                   9713:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   9714:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  9715:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  9716:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9717:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9718:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9719:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   9720:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  9721:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  9722:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9723:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9724:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9725:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   9726:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9727:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  9728:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9729:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9730:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9731:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   9732:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9733:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9734:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9735:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9736:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9737:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   9738:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9739:       }
                   9740:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   9741:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   9742:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  9743:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9744:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9745:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9746:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9747:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9748:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9749:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9750:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9751:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9752:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9753:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9754:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9755:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9756:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9757:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9758:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9759:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9760:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9761:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9762:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9763:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   9764:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9765:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9766:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9767:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9768:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9769:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9770:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9771:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   9772:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9773:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9774:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9775:        }
1.227     brouard  9776:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  9777:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9778:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9779:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9780:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9781:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9782:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9783:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9784:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9785:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9786:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9787:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9788:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9789:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   9790:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9791:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9792:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9793:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9794:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9795:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9796:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9797:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   9798:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9799:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9800:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9801:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9802:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9803:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9804:        }
1.227     brouard  9805:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  9806:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9807:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9808:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9809:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9810:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9811:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9812:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9813:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9814:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9815:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9816:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9817:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9818:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9819:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9820:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9821:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9822:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9823:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9824:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9825:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9826:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   9827:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9828:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9829:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9830:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9831:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9832:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9833:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9834:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   9835:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9836:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9837:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9838:        }
1.227     brouard  9839:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9840:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9841:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9842:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9843:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9844:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9845:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9846:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9847:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9848:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9849:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9850:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9851:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9852:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   9853:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9854:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9855:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9856:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9857:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9858:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9859:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9860:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   9861:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9862:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9863:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9864:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9865:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9866:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9867:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9868:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   9869:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9870:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9871:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9872:        }
1.227     brouard  9873:       }else{
1.240     brouard  9874:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9875:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9876:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  9877:     }else{
1.226     brouard  9878:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   9879:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  9880:     }
1.227     brouard  9881:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  9882:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  9883:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   9884:   }
                   9885:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   9886:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   9887:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   9888:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  9889:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   9890:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   9891:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9892:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9893:            return(1);
                   9894:          }
                   9895:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   9896:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   9897:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   9898:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   9899:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9900:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9901:            return(1);
                   9902:          }
                   9903:        }
1.227     brouard  9904:       }
                   9905:     }
1.225     brouard  9906:   }
                   9907:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   9908:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  9909:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   9910:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  9911:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  9912:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  9913:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   9914:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  9915: }
                   9916: 
1.169     brouard  9917: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  9918: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  9919:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  9920:   int firstone=0;
                   9921:   
1.136     brouard  9922:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   9923:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   9924:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   9925:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  9926:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   9927:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  9928:       }
                   9929:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  9930:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  9931:        if(firstone == 0){
                   9932:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  9933:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  9934:        }
1.262     brouard  9935:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  9936:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  9937:       }
                   9938:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  9939:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  9940:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  9941:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  9942:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  9943:       }
                   9944:     }
                   9945:   }
                   9946: 
                   9947:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9948:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   9949:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  9950:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  9951:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  9952:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   9953:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  9954:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  9955:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  9956:            }else {
1.136     brouard  9957:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   9958:                nbwarn++;
                   9959:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   9960:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   9961:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   9962:              }
                   9963:            }
1.169     brouard  9964:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  9965:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  9966:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   9967:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   9968:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   9969:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   9970:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   9971:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   9972:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   9973:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   9974:          }
                   9975:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   9976:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  9977:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  9978:          }
                   9979:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   9980:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  9981:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  9982:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  9983:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  9984:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   9985:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   9986:        }
                   9987:       }
1.214     brouard  9988:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  9989:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  9990:       else{
                   9991:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   9992:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   9993:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   9994:       }
                   9995:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   9996:   }
1.136     brouard  9997:     
                   9998:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9999:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10000:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10001:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10002:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10003:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10004:        return 1;
                   10005:       }
                   10006:     }
                   10007:   }
                   10008: 
                   10009:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10010:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10011:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10012: }
                   10013: 
                   10014: }*/
                   10015: 
                   10016: 
1.139     brouard  10017:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10018:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10019: 
                   10020:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10021:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10022:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10023:     return (1);
                   10024: }
                   10025: 
1.172     brouard  10026: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10027: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10028: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10029: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10030: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10031: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10032: //#include <windows.h>
                   10033: //#include <iostream>
                   10034: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10035: 
                   10036: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10037: 
                   10038: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10039: {
                   10040:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10041: 
                   10042:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10043:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10044: 
                   10045:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10046: 
                   10047:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10048:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10049:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10050:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10051: 
                   10052:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10053:        {
                   10054:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10055:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10056:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10057:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10058:        }
                   10059:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10060: }
                   10061: #endif
1.177     brouard  10062: 
1.191     brouard  10063: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  10064:  {
                   10065:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10066:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10067:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10068:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10069:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10070:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10071:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10072:    */ 
                   10073:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10074:    /*
                   10075:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10076:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10077:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10078:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10079:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10080:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10081:    /*
                   10082:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10083:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10084:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10085:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10086:    */
1.186     brouard  10087:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10088:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10089:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10090:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10091:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10092:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10093:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10094:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10095:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10096:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10097:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10098:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10099:    */
1.177     brouard  10100: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10101: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10102:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10103: #endif
1.177     brouard  10104: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10105: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10106: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10107: #endif
1.177     brouard  10108:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10109:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10110:    if (cross){
                   10111:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10112:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10113:    }
1.174     brouard  10114: #endif
                   10115: 
1.171     brouard  10116: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  10117: 
1.191     brouard  10118:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10119: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10120:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10121: #endif
                   10122: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10123:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10124: #endif
                   10125: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10126:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10127: #endif
                   10128: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10129:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10130: #endif
                   10131: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10132:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10133: #endif
                   10134: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10135:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10136: #endif
                   10137: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10138:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10139: #endif
                   10140: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10141:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10142: #endif
1.191     brouard  10143:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10144:    
1.167     brouard  10145: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10146: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10147:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10148:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10149: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10150:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10151:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10152: #elif __linux__
                   10153:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10154:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10155: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10156:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10157:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10158: #endif
                   10159: 
                   10160: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10161: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10162: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10163: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10164: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10165: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10166: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10167: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10168: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10169: 
1.167     brouard  10170: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10171:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10172: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10173:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10174: #else
1.191     brouard  10175:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10176: #endif
                   10177: 
1.169     brouard  10178: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10179: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10180: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10181:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10182:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10183: # else
                   10184: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10185:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10186: # endif
1.174     brouard  10187:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10188:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10189: 
                   10190:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10191:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10192:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10193:    }
                   10194:    else
                   10195:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10196:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10197: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10198:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10199:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10200: #endif
1.169     brouard  10201: #endif
1.172     brouard  10202: 
                   10203:    //   void main()
                   10204:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10205: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10206:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10207:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10208:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10209:    }
                   10210:    else{
1.191     brouard  10211:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10212:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10213:    }
1.172     brouard  10214:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10215:    //     getchar();
                   10216:    //   }
                   10217: 
1.169     brouard  10218: #endif
                   10219:    
1.167     brouard  10220: 
1.219     brouard  10221: }
1.136     brouard  10222: 
1.219     brouard  10223: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  10224:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10225:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10226:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10227:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10228:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10229: 
1.202     brouard  10230:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10231:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10232:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10233:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10234:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10235:   }
1.227     brouard  10236:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10237:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10238:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  10239:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10240:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10241:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10242:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10243:   
1.219     brouard  10244:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10245: 
1.219     brouard  10246:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10247:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10248: 
1.227     brouard  10249:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10250:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10251:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10252: 
1.238     brouard  10253:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10254:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10255:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10256:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10257: 
1.238     brouard  10258:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10259:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10260:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10261:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10262:       /* to clean */
                   10263:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10264:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10265:       printf("#******");
                   10266:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10267:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10268:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10269:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10270:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10271:       }
                   10272:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10273:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10274:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10275:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10276:       }
                   10277:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10278:       printf("******\n");
                   10279:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10280:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10281:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10282:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10283:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10284:        continue;
                   10285:       }
1.219     brouard  10286: 
1.238     brouard  10287:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10288:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10289:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10290:       }
                   10291:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10292:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10293:     
1.238     brouard  10294:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10295:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10296:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10297:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10298:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10299:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10300:        tot=0.;
                   10301:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10302:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10303:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10304:        }
                   10305:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10306:       } /* Age */
                   10307:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10308:     } /* cptcov */
                   10309:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10310:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10311: }
                   10312: 
1.218     brouard  10313: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   10314:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   10315:        
                   10316:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10317:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10318:         */
1.235     brouard  10319:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10320:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10321:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10322:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10323:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10324:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10325: 
                   10326:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10327:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10328:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10329:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10330:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10331:   }
                   10332:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10333:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10334:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   10335:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   10336:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10337:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10338:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   10339:   
1.218     brouard  10340:   
                   10341:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   10342:   
                   10343:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10344:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   10345:   
                   10346:   
1.227     brouard  10347:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10348:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  10349:   
1.238     brouard  10350:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10351:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10352:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10353:        continue;
                   10354:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10355:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   10356:       printf("#******");
                   10357:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10358:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10359:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10360:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10361:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10362:       }
                   10363:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10364:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10365:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10366:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10367:       }
                   10368:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   10369:       printf("******\n");
                   10370:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10371:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10372:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10373:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10374:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10375:        continue;
                   10376:       }
1.218     brouard  10377:     
1.238     brouard  10378:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10379:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10380:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10381:       }
                   10382:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10383:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  10384:     
                   10385:     
1.238     brouard  10386:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10387:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10388:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   10389:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   10390:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10391:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10392:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   10393:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10394:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10395:          exit(1);
                   10396:        }else{
                   10397:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10398:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  10399:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   10400:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  10401:        }
                   10402:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   10403:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10404:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10405:        tot=0.;
                   10406:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10407:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   10408:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   10409:        }
                   10410:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10411:       } /* Age */
                   10412:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  10413:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  10414:     } /* end of any combination */
                   10415:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  10416:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   10417:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   10418:   
                   10419:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  10420: }
1.218     brouard  10421:  
1.180     brouard  10422: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   10423:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10424: 
                   10425:   int stepsize;
                   10426:   int agelim;
                   10427:   int hstepm;
                   10428:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  10429:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  10430: 
                   10431:   double agedeb;
                   10432:   double ***p3mat;
                   10433: 
1.201     brouard  10434:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  10435:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10436:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10437:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10438:     }
                   10439:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10440:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10441:   
                   10442:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10443:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   10444: 
                   10445:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   10446:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10447:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  10448:                
1.180     brouard  10449:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10450:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   10451:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  10452:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10453:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10454:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10455:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  10456:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   10457:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  10458:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  10459:        continue;
1.183     brouard  10460:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  10461:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  10462:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  10463:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10464:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10465:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10466:       }
1.183     brouard  10467:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   10468:       
                   10469:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   10470:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   10471:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   10472:        
                   10473:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  10474:        
1.183     brouard  10475:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10476:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  10477:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  10478:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   10479:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10480:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10481:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   10482:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10483:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10484:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10485:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  10486:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10487:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  10488:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  10489:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10490:        }
1.183     brouard  10491:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10492:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10493:       }
1.180     brouard  10494:       /*}*/
                   10495:     }
1.218     brouard  10496:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  10497: }
1.218     brouard  10498:  
                   10499:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  10500:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10501: 
                   10502:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  10503:   /* int agelim; */
                   10504:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  10505:   int hstepm;
                   10506:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  10507:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  10508:        
1.217     brouard  10509:   double agedeb;
                   10510:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10511:        
                   10512:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   10513:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10514:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10515:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10516:   }
                   10517:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10518:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10519:   
                   10520:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10521:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  10522:   
1.218     brouard  10523:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   10524:   ageminl=30;
                   10525:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10526:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   10527:   
                   10528:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10529:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  10530:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  10531:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10532:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10533:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10534:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  10535:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10536:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10537:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10538:        continue;
                   10539:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   10540:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10541:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10542:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10543:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10544:       }
                   10545:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  10546:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  10547:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10548:        continue;
                   10549:       }
                   10550:       
                   10551:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   10552:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   10553:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   10554:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   10555:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   10556:        
                   10557:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   10558:        
1.266     brouard  10559:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   10560:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   10561: 
1.238     brouard  10562:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   10563:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.267     brouard  10564:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10565:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  10566:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  10567:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10568:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  10569:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  10570:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  10571:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10572:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10573:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   10574:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   10575:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10576:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10577:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   10578:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10579:        }
                   10580:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10581:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10582:       } /* end age deb */
                   10583:     } /* end combination */
                   10584:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  10585:   return 0;
                   10586:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  10587: 
1.180     brouard  10588: 
1.136     brouard  10589: /***********************************************/
                   10590: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   10591: /***********************************************/
                   10592: 
                   10593: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   10594: {
                   10595: #ifdef GSL
                   10596:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   10597:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   10598:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   10599:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   10600:   double ssval;
                   10601: #endif
                   10602:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  10603:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  10604:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  10605:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  10606:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  10607:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  10608:   int itimes;
                   10609:   int NDIM=2;
                   10610:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  10611:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  10612:   int endishere=0;
1.136     brouard  10613: 
1.274     brouard  10614:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   10615:   
1.164     brouard  10616:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  10617:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   10618:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   10619:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  10620:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  10621: 
                   10622:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  10623:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  10624: 
1.165     brouard  10625:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  10626:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  10627:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10628:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  10629: 
                   10630:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  10631:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   10632: 
1.234     brouard  10633:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  10634:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   10635:   
1.136     brouard  10636:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  10637:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  10638:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  10639:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  10640:   int jl=0;
                   10641:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  10642:   int count=0;
                   10643: 
1.164     brouard  10644:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  10645:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  10646:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  10647:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  10648:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  10649:   int agemortsup;
                   10650:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   10651:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   10652:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   10653: 
1.191     brouard  10654:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  10655:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   10656:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  10657:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  10658:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
1.251     brouard  10659:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   10660:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  10661:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  10662:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  10663:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   10664:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   10665:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   10666:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  10667: 
1.136     brouard  10668:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  10669: 
1.273     brouard  10670:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
                   10671:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
                   10672:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
1.217     brouard  10673: 
1.136     brouard  10674:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  10675:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  10676:   int *dcwave;
                   10677: 
1.164     brouard  10678:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  10679: 
                   10680:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   10681:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  10682: 
1.164     brouard  10683: 
1.126     brouard  10684: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   10685: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   10686: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   10687: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   10688: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   10689: 
                   10690:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  10691:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   10692:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   10693:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  10694:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  10695:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   10696:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   10697:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  10698: 
                   10699: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  10700: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   10701: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  10702: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   10703: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   10704: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  10705: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  10706: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   10707: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   10708: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   10709: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   10710: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   10711: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   10712: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   10713: */
                   10714: 
                   10715:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   10716:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  10717: #ifdef WIN32
                   10718:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   10719: #else
1.126     brouard  10720:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  10721: #endif
1.191     brouard  10722:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  10723:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10724:   if(argc <=1){
                   10725:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  10726:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   10727:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10728:       goto end;
                   10729:     }
1.126     brouard  10730:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10731:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   10732:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  10733:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  10734:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  10735:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  10736:     }
                   10737:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10738:     if( i==0 ){
                   10739:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10740:       goto end;
                   10741:     }
                   10742:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  10743:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   10744:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   10745:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   10746:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   10747:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   10748:     }
                   10749:   }
                   10750:   else{
                   10751:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   10752:   }
                   10753:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   10754:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   10755:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   10756:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   10757: 
                   10758:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   10759:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   10760:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10761:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10762:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   10763:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   10764:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10765:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10766: #ifdef WIN32
                   10767:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   10768:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10769: #else
1.126     brouard  10770:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  10771:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10772: #endif
                   10773:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  10774:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   10775:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   10776:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  10777:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  10778:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   10779:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   10780: /*     exit(1); */
                   10781:   }
                   10782: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   10783: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   10784: /*   } */
                   10785: 
                   10786:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   10787: 
1.186     brouard  10788:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  10789:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   10790:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   10791:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10792:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   10793:     goto end;
                   10794:   }
                   10795:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  10796:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10797:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   10798:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   10799:  path=%s \n\
                   10800:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   10801:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  10802:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  10803: 
1.197     brouard  10804:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  10805: 
1.126     brouard  10806:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   10807:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   10808:   fflush(ficlog);
                   10809: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  10810: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  10811: 
                   10812:   /* */
                   10813:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   10814:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  10815:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  10816:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  10817:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  10818: 
1.186     brouard  10819:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  10820: 
                   10821:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  10822:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   10823:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  10824:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  10825:     /* goto end; */
                   10826:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  10827:   }
                   10828: 
                   10829: 
                   10830: 
                   10831:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  10832:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10833:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   10834:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10835:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10836:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10837:     goto end;
                   10838:   }
                   10839: 
                   10840:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10841:   numlinepar=0;
1.197     brouard  10842: 
                   10843:     /* First parameter line */
                   10844:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10845:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10846:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10847:       numlinepar++;
                   10848:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10849:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10850:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10851:       continue;
                   10852:     }else
                   10853:       break;
                   10854:   }
                   10855:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   10856:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   10857:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   10858:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   10859:     }
1.126     brouard  10860:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  10861:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   10862:   }
                   10863:   /* Second parameter line */
                   10864:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10865:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10866:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10867:       numlinepar++;
                   10868:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10869:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10870:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10871:       continue;
                   10872:     }else
                   10873:       break;
                   10874:   }
1.223     brouard  10875:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   10876:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   10877:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   10878:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  10879:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  10880:     }
1.223     brouard  10881:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  10882:   }
1.203     brouard  10883:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  10884:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  10885:   /* Third parameter line */
                   10886:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10887:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10888:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10889:       numlinepar++;
                   10890:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10891:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10892:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10893:       continue;
                   10894:     }else
                   10895:       break;
                   10896:   }
1.201     brouard  10897:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.263     brouard  10898:     if (num_filled == 0){
                   10899:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);
                   10900:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' WITHOUT space:'%s'\n",num_filled, line);
                   10901:       model[0]='\0';
                   10902:       goto end;
                   10903:     } else if (num_filled != 1){
1.197     brouard  10904:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   10905:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   10906:       model[0]='\0';
                   10907:       goto end;
                   10908:     }
                   10909:     else{
                   10910:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   10911:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   10912:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  10913:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  10914:       }
                   10915:     }
1.199     brouard  10916:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  10917:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  10918:   }
                   10919:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   10920:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   10921:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  10922:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   10923:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  10924:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  10925:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   10926:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.187     brouard  10927:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end with '.' \n \
                   10928:  'model=1+age+.' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.' or \n \
                   10929:  'model=1+age+V1+V2.' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2.' etc. \n");         \
                   10930:     if(mle != -1){
                   10931:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n");
                   10932:       exit(1);
                   10933:     }
                   10934:   }
1.126     brouard  10935:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   10936:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10937:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   10938:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  10939:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   10940:       z[0]=line[1];
                   10941:     }
                   10942:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  10943:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   10944:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  10945:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   10946:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10947:   }
                   10948:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   10949: 
                   10950:    
1.145     brouard  10951:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.268     brouard  10952:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   10953:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   10954:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  10955:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   10956:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   10957:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   10958:   */
                   10959:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  10960:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  10961:   else
1.187     brouard  10962:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  10963:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   10964:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  10965:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   10966:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   10967:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   10968:     fflush(stdout);
                   10969:     fclose (ficlog);
                   10970:     goto end;
                   10971:   }
1.126     brouard  10972:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   10973:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   10974:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   10975:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  10976: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   10977:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   10978:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   10979:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   10980:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   10981:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  10982:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  10983:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   10984:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  10985:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   10986:     fclose (ficparo);
                   10987:     fclose (ficlog);
                   10988:     goto end;
                   10989:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  10990:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  10991:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  10992:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   10993:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  10994:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   10995:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  10996:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  10997:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  10998:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  10999:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11000:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11001:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11002:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11003:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11004:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11005:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11006:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11007:     }
                   11008:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11009:     
                   11010:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11011:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11012:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11013:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11014:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11015:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11016:        j++;
                   11017:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11018:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11019:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11020: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11021: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11022:          exit(1);
                   11023:        }
                   11024:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11025:        if(mle==1)
                   11026:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11027:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11028:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11029:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11030:          if(mle==1){
                   11031:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11032:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11033:          }
                   11034:          else
                   11035:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11036:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11037:        }
                   11038:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11039:        numlinepar++;
                   11040:        if(mle==1)
                   11041:          printf("\n");
                   11042:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11043:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11044:       }
                   11045:     }  
                   11046:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11047:     
1.251     brouard  11048:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11049:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11050:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11051:     
                   11052:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11053:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11054:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11055:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11056:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11057:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11058:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11059:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11060:     }
                   11061:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11062: 
                   11063:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11064:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11065:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11066:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11067:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11068:          exit(1);
                   11069:        }
                   11070:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11071:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11072:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11073:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11074:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11075:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11076:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11077:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11078:        }
                   11079:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11080:        numlinepar++;
                   11081:        printf("\n");
                   11082:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11083:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11084:       }
                   11085:     }
                   11086:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11087:     
1.145     brouard  11088:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11089:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11090:                
                   11091:                
1.126     brouard  11092:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11093:                
1.126     brouard  11094:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11095:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11096:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11097:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11098:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11099:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11100:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11101:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11102:     }
                   11103:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11104:                
1.126     brouard  11105:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11106:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11107:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11108:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11109:                
1.194     brouard  11110:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11111:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11112:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11113:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11114:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11115: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11116: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11117:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11118: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11119: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11120:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11121:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11122:        if(mle==1)
                   11123:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11124:       }
                   11125:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11126:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11127:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11128:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11129:        if(mle==1){
                   11130:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11131:        }
                   11132:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11133:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11134:       }
                   11135:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11136:       numlinepar++;
                   11137:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11138:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11139:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11140:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11141:     }
1.194     brouard  11142:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11143:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11144:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11145:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11146:     
                   11147:     if(mle==1)
                   11148:       printf("\n");
                   11149:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11150:     
                   11151:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11152:     
                   11153:     /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   11154:     strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   11155:     strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name*/
                   11156:     strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   11157:     strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   11158:     if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
1.201     brouard  11159:       printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   11160:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
1.126     brouard  11161:     }
                   11162:     fprintf(ficres,"#%s\n",version);
                   11163:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11164:   
1.186     brouard  11165:   /*  Main data
                   11166:    */
1.126     brouard  11167:   n= lastobs;
                   11168:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   11169:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   11170:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   11171:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   11172:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11173:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  11174:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   11175:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11176:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  11177:     num[i]=0;
                   11178:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11179:     annais[i]=0;
                   11180:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11181:     andc[i]=0;
                   11182:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11183:     cod[i]=0;
                   11184:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11185:   }
1.126     brouard  11186:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11187:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  11188:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  11189:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11190:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11191:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11192: 
1.136     brouard  11193:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11194:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11195:     goto end;
                   11196: 
                   11197:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11198:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11199:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11200:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11201:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11202:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11203:   */
                   11204:   
                   11205:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11206:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11207:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11208:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11209:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11210:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11211:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11212:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11213:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11214:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11215:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11216:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11217:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11218:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11219:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11220:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11221:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11222:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11223:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11224: 
1.230     brouard  11225:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11226:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11227:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11228:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11229:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11230:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11231:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11232:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11233:   */
                   11234:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11235:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11236:     ncovcol + k1
                   11237:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11238:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11239:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11240:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11241:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11242:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11243:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11244:   */
1.145     brouard  11245:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11246:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11247:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11248:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11249:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11250:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11251:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11252:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11253:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11254:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   11255:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11256:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  11257:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   11258:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   11259:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   11260:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   11261:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  11262:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   11263:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11264:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   11265:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  11266: /* Main decodemodel */
                   11267: 
1.187     brouard  11268: 
1.223     brouard  11269:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  11270:     goto end;
                   11271: 
1.137     brouard  11272:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   11273:     nbwarn++;
                   11274:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11275:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11276:   }
1.136     brouard  11277:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  11278:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   11279:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  11280:   }
                   11281: 
                   11282:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   11283:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11284: 
                   11285:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   11286:     goto end;
                   11287: 
1.126     brouard  11288: 
1.136     brouard  11289:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   11290:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   11291:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  11292:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11293:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  11294:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   11295:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  11296:   /* */
                   11297:   
1.126     brouard  11298:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  11299:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11300:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11301:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11302:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   11303:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11304:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  11305:    
                   11306:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  11307:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   11308:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   11309:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   11310:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   11311:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   11312:   */
                   11313: 
1.126     brouard  11314:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  11315:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  11316:  
1.215     brouard  11317:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   11318:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   11319: 
1.126     brouard  11320:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   11321:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   11322:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  11323:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  11324:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  11325:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   11326:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  11327:   }
                   11328:   
                   11329:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11330:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   11331:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   11332:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   11333:   
1.211     brouard  11334:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  11335:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  11336:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  11337:   
1.200     brouard  11338:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  11339:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  11340:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  11341:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   11342:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   11343:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   11344:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   11345:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   11346:    */
                   11347: 
1.145     brouard  11348:   h=0;
                   11349:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  11350:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11351:  
1.144     brouard  11352:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  11353:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   11354:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   11355:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  11356:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  11357:           *______________________________  
                   11358:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   11359:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   11360:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   11361:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   11362:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   11363:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   11364:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   11365:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  11366:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   11367:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   11368:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   11369:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   11370:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   11371:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   11372:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   11373:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  11374:           */
1.212     brouard  11375:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  11376:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   11377:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   11378:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   11379:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   11380:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   11381:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   11382:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   11383:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   11384:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   11385:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   11386:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   11387:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   11388:      *              76543210     
                   11389:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  11390:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  11391:      *           &
                   11392:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  11393:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   11394:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  11395:      *
                   11396:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   11397:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11398:      *    >>k'            11
                   11399:      *          &   00000001
                   11400:      *            = 00000001
                   11401:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   11402:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   11403:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   11404:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   11405:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   11406:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   11407:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   11408:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11409:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   11410:      *          &1 000000001
                   11411:      *           = 000000001
                   11412:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   11413:      *                  2211
                   11414:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   11415:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  11416:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  11417:      */
                   11418: 
1.145     brouard  11419: 
                   11420:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11421: 
                   11422: 
1.126     brouard  11423:     
1.186     brouard  11424:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  11425:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   11426:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11427:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11428:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   11429: 
                   11430:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11431:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   11432:   }
                   11433:   else{
1.204     brouard  11434:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  11435:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  11436:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   11437:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  11438:   }
                   11439:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  11440: 
                   11441: 
                   11442:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  11443: 
                   11444:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   11445:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11446:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11447:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   11448:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  11449:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   11450:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11451:   }
                   11452: 
                   11453:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   11454:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   11455:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11456:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   11457:   }
                   11458:   else{
                   11459:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   11460: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11461: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  11462:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   11463:   }
                   11464: 
1.213     brouard  11465:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  11466: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   11467: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  11468: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11469: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11470: \n\
                   11471: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   11472:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   11473:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   11474:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   11475:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11476:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11477:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   11478:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   11479:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   11480:          fileres,fileres,\
                   11481:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   11482:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11483: 
                   11484:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   11485:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11486: #ifdef WIN32
                   11487:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   11488: #else
1.126     brouard  11489:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  11490: #endif
                   11491:          
1.126     brouard  11492:   
1.220     brouard  11493:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   11494:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  11495:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  11496:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  11497:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  11498: 
                   11499:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.274     brouard  11500:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
                   11501:          ftol, stepm);
                   11502:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   11503:   ncurrv=1;
                   11504:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11505:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   11506:   ncurrv=i;
                   11507:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11508:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
                   11509:   ncurrv=i;
                   11510:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11511:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
                   11512:   ncurrv=i;
                   11513:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11514:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   11515:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   11516: 
                   11517:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   11518: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   11519: 
                   11520:   
                   11521:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11522: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   11523: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  11524:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  11525:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  11526:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11527:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11528:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11529:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  11530: 
1.126     brouard  11531:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   11532:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   11533:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   11534: 
                   11535:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  11536:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  11537:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  11538:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  11539:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   11540:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   11541:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  11542:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  11543:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   11544:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   11545:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   11546:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  11547:                
1.126     brouard  11548:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   11549:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   11550:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  11551:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   11552:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   11553:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   11554:          break;
                   11555:        }
1.126     brouard  11556:     }
1.226     brouard  11557:     
1.126     brouard  11558:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   11559:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  11560:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   11561:        j=wav[i];
                   11562:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   11563:        
                   11564:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   11565:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   11566:          cens[i]= 1;
                   11567:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   11568:          cens[i]= -1;
                   11569:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   11570:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  11571:       }
                   11572:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   11573:     }
                   11574:     
                   11575:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   11576:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  11577:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  11578:     }
                   11579:     
1.145     brouard  11580:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  11581:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   11582:     
                   11583:     
1.136     brouard  11584: #ifdef GSL
                   11585:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  11586: #else
1.126     brouard  11587:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  11588: #endif
1.201     brouard  11589:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   11590:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11591:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11592:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11593:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11594:     }
1.136     brouard  11595: #ifdef GSL
                   11596:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  11597: #else
1.126     brouard  11598:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  11599: #endif
1.126     brouard  11600:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11601:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11602:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11603:     */
                   11604:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  11605: #ifdef GSL
                   11606:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   11607:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   11608:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   11609:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   11610:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   11611: 
                   11612:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   11613:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11614:     
                   11615:     if (ss == NULL){
                   11616:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11617:     }
                   11618:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   11619:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   11620: 
                   11621:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  11622:     
1.136     brouard  11623:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11624:     
                   11625:     if (x == NULL){
                   11626:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   11627:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11628:     }
                   11629:   
                   11630:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   11631:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  11632:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   11633:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  11634:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   11635:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   11636: 
                   11637:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   11638:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   11639:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   11640:     
                   11641:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   11642:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   11643:     
                   11644:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   11645:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   11646: 
                   11647:     iteri=0;
                   11648:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   11649:       iteri++;
                   11650:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   11651:       
                   11652:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   11653:       fflush(0);
                   11654:       
                   11655:       if (status) 
                   11656:         break;
                   11657:       
                   11658:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   11659:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   11660:       
                   11661:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   11662:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   11663:       
                   11664:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   11665:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   11666:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   11667:       }
                   11668:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   11669:     }
                   11670:     
                   11671:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   11672:     
                   11673:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   11674:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   11675:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   11676:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   11677:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   11678:     }
                   11679:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   11680: #endif
                   11681: #ifdef POWELL
                   11682:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   11683: #endif  
1.126     brouard  11684:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   11685:     
1.203     brouard  11686:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  11687: 
                   11688:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   11689:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  11690:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11691:     
                   11692:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  11693:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  11694:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   11695:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  11696:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   11697:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11698:       }
1.203     brouard  11699:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  11700:     }
                   11701:     
                   11702:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  11703:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  11704:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  11705:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   11706:     }
1.126     brouard  11707:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11708:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11709:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11710:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   11711:     
                   11712:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   11713:       agemortsup=k;
                   11714:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   11715:     }
                   11716:     
                   11717:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   11718:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   11719:     
                   11720:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   11721:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   11722:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   11723:     }
                   11724:     
                   11725:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   11726:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   11727:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   11728:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   11729:     }
                   11730:     
                   11731:     
                   11732:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   11733:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   11734:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   11735:     
                   11736:     
                   11737:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  11738:                ageminpar=50;
                   11739:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  11740:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   11741:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11742: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11743: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11744:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11745: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11746: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11747:     }else{
                   11748:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11749:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  11750:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11751:                }
1.201     brouard  11752:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  11753:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   11754:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   11755:     
                   11756:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   11757:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   11758:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  11759:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  11760:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   11761:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   11762:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  11763: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  11764: #endif
1.186     brouard  11765:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  11766:   /* Standard  */
                   11767:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   11768:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11769:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  11770:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  11771:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11772:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11773:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11774:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  11775:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   11776:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  11777:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11778:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11779:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11780:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  11781:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   11782:     }
                   11783:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   11784:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11785:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   11786:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11787:     }
                   11788:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  11789:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11790:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11791:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11792:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11793:     printf("\n");
                   11794:     
                   11795:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  11796:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11797:     
                   11798:     
                   11799:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11800:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11801:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11802:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11803:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  11804:        if (k != i) {
                   11805:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11806:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11807:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   11808:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11809:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11810:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11811:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11812:            jk++; 
                   11813:          }
                   11814:          printf("\n");
                   11815:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11816:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11817:        }
1.126     brouard  11818:       }
                   11819:     }
1.203     brouard  11820:     if(mle != 0){
                   11821:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  11822:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  11823:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   11824:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11825:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11826:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11827:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   11828:          if (k != i) {
                   11829:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11830:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11831:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11832:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11833:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11834:              jk++; 
                   11835:            }
                   11836:            printf("\n");
                   11837:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11838:          }
                   11839:        }
1.193     brouard  11840:       }
1.203     brouard  11841:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  11842:     
1.203     brouard  11843:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  11844:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11845:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11846:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11847:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11848:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  11849:        if (j!=i) {
                   11850:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11851:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11852:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11853:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11854:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11855:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11856:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11857:            jk++;
                   11858:          }
                   11859:          printf("\n");
                   11860:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11861:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11862:        }
1.126     brouard  11863:       }
                   11864:     }
                   11865:     
                   11866:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  11867:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  11868:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11869:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11870:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   11871:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   11872:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   11873:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   11874:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   11875:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   11876:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   11877:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   11878:     
                   11879:     
                   11880:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   11881:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   11882:     */
                   11883:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   11884:       jj=0;
                   11885:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11886:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   11887:          if(j==i) continue;
                   11888:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11889:            jj++;
                   11890:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   11891:            if(itimes==1){
                   11892:              if(mle>=1)
                   11893:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11894:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11895:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11896:            }else{
                   11897:              if(mle>=1)
                   11898:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11899:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11900:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11901:            }
                   11902:            ll=0;
                   11903:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   11904:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   11905:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   11906:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   11907:                  ll++;
                   11908:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   11909:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   11910:                    if(ll<jj){
                   11911:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11912:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11913:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11914:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11915:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11916:                      }else{
                   11917:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11918:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11919:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11920:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11921:                      }
                   11922:                    }else{
                   11923:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11924:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11925:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11926:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11927:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11928:                      }else{
                   11929:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11930:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11931:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11932:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11933:                      }
                   11934:                    }
                   11935:                  }
                   11936:                } /* end lk */
                   11937:              } /* end lj */
                   11938:            } /* end li */
                   11939:            if(mle>=1)
                   11940:              printf("\n");
                   11941:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11942:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11943:            numlinepar++;
                   11944:          } /* end k*/
                   11945:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  11946:       } /* end i */
                   11947:     } /* end itimes */
                   11948:     
                   11949:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11950:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  11951:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   11952:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   11953:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   11954:        numlinepar++;
                   11955:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   11956:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11957:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11958:        continue;
                   11959:       }else
                   11960:        break;
                   11961:     }
                   11962:     
1.209     brouard  11963:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   11964:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   11965:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   11966:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   11967:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   11968:     /* } */
                   11969:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  11970:     
                   11971:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  11972:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  11973:       
                   11974:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   11975:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   11976:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   11977:        goto end;
                   11978:       }
                   11979:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   11980:     }
                   11981:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   11982:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   11983:     
1.209     brouard  11984:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  11985:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   11986:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   11987:       bage = ageminpar;
                   11988:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   11989:     }
                   11990:     
                   11991:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  11992:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   11993:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  11994:                
1.186     brouard  11995:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  11996:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   11997:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   11998:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   11999:        numlinepar++;
                   12000:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12001:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12002:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12003:        continue;
                   12004:       }else
                   12005:        break;
                   12006:     }
                   12007: 
                   12008:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12009:       
                   12010:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12011:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12012:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12013:        goto end;
                   12014:       }
                   12015:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12016:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12017:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12018:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12019:     }
1.254     brouard  12020: 
                   12021:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12022:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12023:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12024:        numlinepar++;
                   12025:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12026:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12027:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12028:        continue;
                   12029:       }else
                   12030:        break;
1.126     brouard  12031:     }
                   12032:     
                   12033:     
                   12034:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12035:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12036:     
1.254     brouard  12037:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12038:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12039:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12040:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12041:        goto end;
                   12042:       }
                   12043:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12044:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12045:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12046:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12047:     }
                   12048:      
1.258     brouard  12049:     /* Results */
                   12050:     nresult=0;
                   12051:     do{
                   12052:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12053:        endishere=1;
                   12054:        parameterline=14;
                   12055:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12056:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12057:        numlinepar++;
                   12058:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12059:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12060:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12061:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12062:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12063:        parameterline=11;
                   12064:       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12065:        parameterline=12;
                   12066:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12067:        parameterline=13;
                   12068:       else{
                   12069:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12070:       }
1.258     brouard  12071:       switch (parameterline){ 
                   12072:       case 11:
                   12073:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12074:          if (num_filled != 8) {
                   12075:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12076:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12077:            goto end;
                   12078:          }
                   12079:          fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12080:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12081:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12082:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12083:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12084:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12085:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
                   12086: 
1.258     brouard  12087:        }
1.254     brouard  12088:        break;
1.258     brouard  12089:       case 12:
                   12090:        /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/
                   12091:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12092:          if (num_filled != 8) {
1.262     brouard  12093:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12094:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
1.258     brouard  12095:            goto end;
                   12096:          }
                   12097:          printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12098:          fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12099:          fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12100:          fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12101:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12102:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12103:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.258     brouard  12104:        }
1.230     brouard  12105:        break;
1.258     brouard  12106:       case 13:
                   12107:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
                   12108:          if (num_filled == 0){
                   12109:            resultline[0]='\0';
                   12110:            printf("Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12111:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12112:            break;
                   12113:          } else if (num_filled != 1){
                   12114:            printf("ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12115:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12116:          }
                   12117:          nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12118:          printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   12119:          if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   12120:            printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12121:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12122:            goto end;
                   12123:          }
                   12124:          decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
                   12125:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12126:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12127:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  12128:          break;
1.258     brouard  12129:        case 14: 
1.259     brouard  12130:          if(ncovmodel >2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12131:            printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12132:            goto end;
                   12133:          }
1.259     brouard  12134:          break;
1.258     brouard  12135:        default:
                   12136:          nresult=1;
                   12137:          decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
                   12138:        }
                   12139:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12140:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12141:     
1.230     brouard  12142:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12143:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12144:     
                   12145:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12146:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12147:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12148: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12149: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  12150:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12151: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12152: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12153:     }else{
1.270     brouard  12154:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
                   12155:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
1.220     brouard  12156:     }
                   12157:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.258     brouard  12158:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
1.273     brouard  12159:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
1.220     brouard  12160:                
1.225     brouard  12161:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   12162:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  12163:                
1.215     brouard  12164:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   12165:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12166:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12167:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  12168:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   12169:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   12170:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12171:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12172:     fclose(ficparo);
                   12173:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  12174:                
                   12175:                
1.186     brouard  12176:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  12177:                
                   12178:                
1.126     brouard  12179:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  12180:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   12181:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  12182:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  12183:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   12184: 
                   12185:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  12186:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   12187:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  12188:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  12189:     
1.220     brouard  12190:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  12191:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  12192:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  12193:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  12194:     
1.269     brouard  12195:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   12196:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12197:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  12198:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  12199:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12200:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  12201:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   12202:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  12203:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  12204:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12205:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  12206:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  12207:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12208:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  12209:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   12210:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  12211:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12212:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12213:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   12214:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12215:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12216:        }
1.269     brouard  12217:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  12218:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12219:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12220:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   12221:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12222:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12223:        }
1.269     brouard  12224:       }else{
                   12225:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   12226:        fflush(stdout);
                   12227:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  12228:       }
                   12229:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  12230:     
1.126     brouard  12231:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   12232:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   12233:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.269     brouard  12234:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  12235:     }
1.269     brouard  12236: 
                   12237:     /* Backcasting */
1.217     brouard  12238:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  12239:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12240:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12241:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12242: 
                   12243:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   12244: 
                   12245:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  12246: 
1.219     brouard  12247:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   12248:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   12249: 
1.222     brouard  12250:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   12251:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  12252: 
1.269     brouard  12253:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   12254:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
                   12255:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12256: 
                   12257:       
1.269     brouard  12258:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  12259:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12260:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12261:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.269     brouard  12262:     }    /* end  Backcasting */
1.268     brouard  12263:  
1.186     brouard  12264:  
                   12265:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  12266: 
1.215     brouard  12267:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   12268:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12269:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12270:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  12271:                
                   12272:                
1.127     brouard  12273:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12274:                
1.201     brouard  12275:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   12276:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12277:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12278:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12279:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12280:     }
1.208     brouard  12281:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   12282:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  12283: 
                   12284:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  12285:                
1.235     brouard  12286:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12287:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12288:     
                   12289:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12290:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12291:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12292:        continue;
1.219     brouard  12293:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  12294:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12295:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12296:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12297:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12298:       }
                   12299:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12300:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12301:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  12302:       }
                   12303:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  12304:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  12305:       
                   12306:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12307:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12308:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  12309:       
1.219     brouard  12310:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  12311:     }
                   12312:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  12313:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12314:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  12315: 
1.218     brouard  12316:                
1.227     brouard  12317:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12318:                
1.201     brouard  12319:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   12320:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  12321:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12322:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12323:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12324:     }
1.208     brouard  12325:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   12326:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  12327:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   12328:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12329:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12330:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   12331:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12332:     }
1.227     brouard  12333:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   12334:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  12335: 
1.201     brouard  12336:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   12337:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12338:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12339:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   12340:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12341:     }
1.227     brouard  12342:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   12343:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  12344: 
1.201     brouard  12345:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   12346:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12347:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12348:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12349:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12350:     }
1.227     brouard  12351:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   12352:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  12353: 
1.235     brouard  12354:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12355:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12356:     
                   12357:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12358:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12359:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12360:        continue;
1.242     brouard  12361:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   12362:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   12363:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  12364:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   12365:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12366:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12367:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12368:       }
1.235     brouard  12369:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12370:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12371:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12372:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12373:       }        
1.208     brouard  12374:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  12375:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   12376:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  12377:       
                   12378:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   12379:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12380:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12381:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12382:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  12383:       }
1.235     brouard  12384:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12385:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12386:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12387:       }        
1.208     brouard  12388:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   12389:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   12390:       
                   12391:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  12392:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  12393:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  12394:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12395:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12396:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12397:       }        
1.208     brouard  12398:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   12399:       
                   12400:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12401:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12402:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   12403:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   12404:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  12405:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   12406:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   12407:       
                   12408:       /*
                   12409:        */
                   12410:       /* goto endfree; */
                   12411:       
                   12412:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12413:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   12414:       
1.269     brouard  12415:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12416:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  12417:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   12418:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   12419:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   12420:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  12421:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  12422:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   12423:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   12424:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   12425:        else
                   12426:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12427:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   12428:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   12429:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12430:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   12431:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12432:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12433:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  12434:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  12435:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   12436:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   12437:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12438:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   12439:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   12440:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12441:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   12442:            }
                   12443:          }
1.219     brouard  12444:          
1.227     brouard  12445:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   12446:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   12447:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   12448:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12449:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   12450:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12451:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   12452:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   12453:            }
                   12454:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   12455:          }
                   12456:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  12457:          
1.227     brouard  12458:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   12459:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   12460:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12461:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   12462:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12463:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   12464:          }
                   12465:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12466:        }
1.208     brouard  12467:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  12468:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12469:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   12470:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  12471:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12472:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  12473:       
1.235     brouard  12474:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  12475: 
                   12476:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12477:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   12478: 
1.269     brouard  12479:     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
                   12480:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12481: 
1.227     brouard  12482:     
                   12483:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   12484:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   12485:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   12486:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   12487:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12488:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   12489:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12490:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   12491:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   12492:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   12493:     fclose(ficrest);
                   12494:     fclose(ficpar);
                   12495:     
                   12496:     
1.126     brouard  12497:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  12498:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  12499:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   12500:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  12501:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   12502:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  12503:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  12504:   /* endfree:*/
                   12505:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12506:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12507:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.268     brouard  12508:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
                   12509:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
                   12510:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  12511:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   12512:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12513:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12514:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   12515:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   12516:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  12517:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  12518:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   12519:   
                   12520:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12521:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12522:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12523:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  12524:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12525:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12526:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12527:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  12528:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12529:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12530:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12531:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12532:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12533:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  12534:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12535:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12536:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12537:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12538:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12539:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12540:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12541:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12542:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12543:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12544:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12545:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  12546:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12547:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12548:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12549:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12550:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12551:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   12552:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12553:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  12554:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12555:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12556:   
                   12557:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   12558:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  12559:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12560:   fflush(ficgp);
                   12561:   
1.227     brouard  12562:   
1.126     brouard  12563:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  12564:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   12565:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  12566:   }else{
                   12567:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   12568:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   12569:   }
                   12570:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   12571:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  12572:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   12573:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   12574:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   12575:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   12576:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  12577:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   12578:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  12579:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  12580:   
1.157     brouard  12581:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   12582:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   12583:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  12584:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   12585: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   12586:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12587:   fclose(fichtm);
                   12588:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12589:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   12590:   fclose(ficgp);
                   12591:   fclose(ficlog);
                   12592:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  12593:   
                   12594:   
                   12595:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  12596: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  12597:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12598:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   12599:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12600: #else
1.227     brouard  12601:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12602:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   12603:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12604: #endif 
1.126     brouard  12605:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   12606:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   12607:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  12608: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  12609:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   12610: #endif
                   12611:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12612:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12613:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  12614:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12615:     }else
                   12616:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  12617: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  12618:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   12619:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12620:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12621:     }else
                   12622:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12623: #endif
                   12624:   }else
                   12625:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12626:   
                   12627:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  12628:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  12629:   
1.126     brouard  12630:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  12631:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  12632:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  12633:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  12634:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  12635:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  12636:   }
1.158     brouard  12637:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  12638:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   12639:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  12640:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  12641:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12642: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   12643:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  12644: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  12645:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  12646: #elif __linux
                   12647:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12648: #else
1.152     brouard  12649:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12650: #endif
                   12651:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   12652:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  12653:     }
                   12654:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   12655:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   12656:   }
1.227     brouard  12657: end:
1.126     brouard  12658:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  12659:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12660:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12661:   }
                   12662: }

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