Annotation of imach/src/imach.c, revision 1.279

1.279   ! brouard     1: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.278 2017/07/19 14:09:02 brouard Exp $
1.126     brouard     2:   $State: Exp $
1.163     brouard     3:   $Log: imach.c,v $
1.279   ! brouard     4:   Revision 1.278  2017/07/19 14:09:02  brouard
        !             5:   Summary: Bug for mobil_average=0 and prevforecast fixed(?)
        !             6: 
1.278     brouard     7:   Revision 1.277  2017/07/17 08:53:49  brouard
                      8:   Summary: BOM files can be read now
                      9: 
1.277     brouard    10:   Revision 1.276  2017/06/30 15:48:31  brouard
                     11:   Summary: Graphs improvements
                     12: 
1.276     brouard    13:   Revision 1.275  2017/06/30 13:39:33  brouard
                     14:   Summary: Saito's color
                     15: 
1.275     brouard    16:   Revision 1.274  2017/06/29 09:47:08  brouard
                     17:   Summary: Version 0.99r14
                     18: 
1.274     brouard    19:   Revision 1.273  2017/06/27 11:06:02  brouard
                     20:   Summary: More documentation on projections
                     21: 
1.273     brouard    22:   Revision 1.272  2017/06/27 10:22:40  brouard
                     23:   Summary: Color of backprojection changed from 6 to 5(yellow)
                     24: 
1.272     brouard    25:   Revision 1.271  2017/06/27 10:17:50  brouard
                     26:   Summary: Some bug with rint
                     27: 
1.271     brouard    28:   Revision 1.270  2017/05/24 05:45:29  brouard
                     29:   *** empty log message ***
                     30: 
1.270     brouard    31:   Revision 1.269  2017/05/23 08:39:25  brouard
                     32:   Summary: Code into subroutine, cleanings
                     33: 
1.269     brouard    34:   Revision 1.268  2017/05/18 20:09:32  brouard
                     35:   Summary: backprojection and confidence intervals of backprevalence
                     36: 
1.268     brouard    37:   Revision 1.267  2017/05/13 10:25:05  brouard
                     38:   Summary: temporary save for backprojection
                     39: 
1.267     brouard    40:   Revision 1.266  2017/05/13 07:26:12  brouard
                     41:   Summary: Version 0.99r13 (improvements and bugs fixed)
                     42: 
1.266     brouard    43:   Revision 1.265  2017/04/26 16:22:11  brouard
                     44:   Summary: imach 0.99r13 Some bugs fixed
                     45: 
1.265     brouard    46:   Revision 1.264  2017/04/26 06:01:29  brouard
                     47:   Summary: Labels in graphs
                     48: 
1.264     brouard    49:   Revision 1.263  2017/04/24 15:23:15  brouard
                     50:   Summary: to save
                     51: 
1.263     brouard    52:   Revision 1.262  2017/04/18 16:48:12  brouard
                     53:   *** empty log message ***
                     54: 
1.262     brouard    55:   Revision 1.261  2017/04/05 10:14:09  brouard
                     56:   Summary: Bug in E_ as well as in T_ fixed nres-1 vs k1-1
                     57: 
1.261     brouard    58:   Revision 1.260  2017/04/04 17:46:59  brouard
                     59:   Summary: Gnuplot indexations fixed (humm)
                     60: 
1.260     brouard    61:   Revision 1.259  2017/04/04 13:01:16  brouard
                     62:   Summary: Some errors to warnings only if date of death is unknown but status is death we could set to pi3
                     63: 
1.259     brouard    64:   Revision 1.258  2017/04/03 10:17:47  brouard
                     65:   Summary: Version 0.99r12
                     66: 
                     67:   Some cleanings, conformed with updated documentation.
                     68: 
1.258     brouard    69:   Revision 1.257  2017/03/29 16:53:30  brouard
                     70:   Summary: Temp
                     71: 
1.257     brouard    72:   Revision 1.256  2017/03/27 05:50:23  brouard
                     73:   Summary: Temporary
                     74: 
1.256     brouard    75:   Revision 1.255  2017/03/08 16:02:28  brouard
                     76:   Summary: IMaCh version 0.99r10 bugs in gnuplot fixed
                     77: 
1.255     brouard    78:   Revision 1.254  2017/03/08 07:13:00  brouard
                     79:   Summary: Fixing data parameter line
                     80: 
1.254     brouard    81:   Revision 1.253  2016/12/15 11:59:41  brouard
                     82:   Summary: 0.99 in progress
                     83: 
1.253     brouard    84:   Revision 1.252  2016/09/15 21:15:37  brouard
                     85:   *** empty log message ***
                     86: 
1.252     brouard    87:   Revision 1.251  2016/09/15 15:01:13  brouard
                     88:   Summary: not working
                     89: 
1.251     brouard    90:   Revision 1.250  2016/09/08 16:07:27  brouard
                     91:   Summary: continue
                     92: 
1.250     brouard    93:   Revision 1.249  2016/09/07 17:14:18  brouard
                     94:   Summary: Starting values from frequencies
                     95: 
1.249     brouard    96:   Revision 1.248  2016/09/07 14:10:18  brouard
                     97:   *** empty log message ***
                     98: 
1.248     brouard    99:   Revision 1.247  2016/09/02 11:11:21  brouard
                    100:   *** empty log message ***
                    101: 
1.247     brouard   102:   Revision 1.246  2016/09/02 08:49:22  brouard
                    103:   *** empty log message ***
                    104: 
1.246     brouard   105:   Revision 1.245  2016/09/02 07:25:01  brouard
                    106:   *** empty log message ***
                    107: 
1.245     brouard   108:   Revision 1.244  2016/09/02 07:17:34  brouard
                    109:   *** empty log message ***
                    110: 
1.244     brouard   111:   Revision 1.243  2016/09/02 06:45:35  brouard
                    112:   *** empty log message ***
                    113: 
1.243     brouard   114:   Revision 1.242  2016/08/30 15:01:20  brouard
                    115:   Summary: Fixing a lots
                    116: 
1.242     brouard   117:   Revision 1.241  2016/08/29 17:17:25  brouard
                    118:   Summary: gnuplot problem in Back projection to fix
                    119: 
1.241     brouard   120:   Revision 1.240  2016/08/29 07:53:18  brouard
                    121:   Summary: Better
                    122: 
1.240     brouard   123:   Revision 1.239  2016/08/26 15:51:03  brouard
                    124:   Summary: Improvement in Powell output in order to copy and paste
                    125: 
                    126:   Author:
                    127: 
1.239     brouard   128:   Revision 1.238  2016/08/26 14:23:35  brouard
                    129:   Summary: Starting tests of 0.99
                    130: 
1.238     brouard   131:   Revision 1.237  2016/08/26 09:20:19  brouard
                    132:   Summary: to valgrind
                    133: 
1.237     brouard   134:   Revision 1.236  2016/08/25 10:50:18  brouard
                    135:   *** empty log message ***
                    136: 
1.236     brouard   137:   Revision 1.235  2016/08/25 06:59:23  brouard
                    138:   *** empty log message ***
                    139: 
1.235     brouard   140:   Revision 1.234  2016/08/23 16:51:20  brouard
                    141:   *** empty log message ***
                    142: 
1.234     brouard   143:   Revision 1.233  2016/08/23 07:40:50  brouard
                    144:   Summary: not working
                    145: 
1.233     brouard   146:   Revision 1.232  2016/08/22 14:20:21  brouard
                    147:   Summary: not working
                    148: 
1.232     brouard   149:   Revision 1.231  2016/08/22 07:17:15  brouard
                    150:   Summary: not working
                    151: 
1.231     brouard   152:   Revision 1.230  2016/08/22 06:55:53  brouard
                    153:   Summary: Not working
                    154: 
1.230     brouard   155:   Revision 1.229  2016/07/23 09:45:53  brouard
                    156:   Summary: Completing for func too
                    157: 
1.229     brouard   158:   Revision 1.228  2016/07/22 17:45:30  brouard
                    159:   Summary: Fixing some arrays, still debugging
                    160: 
1.227     brouard   161:   Revision 1.226  2016/07/12 18:42:34  brouard
                    162:   Summary: temp
                    163: 
1.226     brouard   164:   Revision 1.225  2016/07/12 08:40:03  brouard
                    165:   Summary: saving but not running
                    166: 
1.225     brouard   167:   Revision 1.224  2016/07/01 13:16:01  brouard
                    168:   Summary: Fixes
                    169: 
1.224     brouard   170:   Revision 1.223  2016/02/19 09:23:35  brouard
                    171:   Summary: temporary
                    172: 
1.223     brouard   173:   Revision 1.222  2016/02/17 08:14:50  brouard
                    174:   Summary: Probably last 0.98 stable version 0.98r6
                    175: 
1.222     brouard   176:   Revision 1.221  2016/02/15 23:35:36  brouard
                    177:   Summary: minor bug
                    178: 
1.220     brouard   179:   Revision 1.219  2016/02/15 00:48:12  brouard
                    180:   *** empty log message ***
                    181: 
1.219     brouard   182:   Revision 1.218  2016/02/12 11:29:23  brouard
                    183:   Summary: 0.99 Back projections
                    184: 
1.218     brouard   185:   Revision 1.217  2015/12/23 17:18:31  brouard
                    186:   Summary: Experimental backcast
                    187: 
1.217     brouard   188:   Revision 1.216  2015/12/18 17:32:11  brouard
                    189:   Summary: 0.98r4 Warning and status=-2
                    190: 
                    191:   Version 0.98r4 is now:
                    192:    - displaying an error when status is -1, date of interview unknown and date of death known;
                    193:    - permitting a status -2 when the vital status is unknown at a known date of right truncation.
                    194:   Older changes concerning s=-2, dating from 2005 have been supersed.
                    195: 
1.216     brouard   196:   Revision 1.215  2015/12/16 08:52:24  brouard
                    197:   Summary: 0.98r4 working
                    198: 
1.215     brouard   199:   Revision 1.214  2015/12/16 06:57:54  brouard
                    200:   Summary: temporary not working
                    201: 
1.214     brouard   202:   Revision 1.213  2015/12/11 18:22:17  brouard
                    203:   Summary: 0.98r4
                    204: 
1.213     brouard   205:   Revision 1.212  2015/11/21 12:47:24  brouard
                    206:   Summary: minor typo
                    207: 
1.212     brouard   208:   Revision 1.211  2015/11/21 12:41:11  brouard
                    209:   Summary: 0.98r3 with some graph of projected cross-sectional
                    210: 
                    211:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    212: 
1.211     brouard   213:   Revision 1.210  2015/11/18 17:41:20  brouard
1.252     brouard   214:   Summary: Start working on projected prevalences  Revision 1.209  2015/11/17 22:12:03  brouard
1.210     brouard   215:   Summary: Adding ftolpl parameter
                    216:   Author: N Brouard
                    217: 
                    218:   We had difficulties to get smoothed confidence intervals. It was due
                    219:   to the period prevalence which wasn't computed accurately. The inner
                    220:   parameter ftolpl is now an outer parameter of the .imach parameter
                    221:   file after estepm. If ftolpl is small 1.e-4 and estepm too,
                    222:   computation are long.
                    223: 
1.209     brouard   224:   Revision 1.208  2015/11/17 14:31:57  brouard
                    225:   Summary: temporary
                    226: 
1.208     brouard   227:   Revision 1.207  2015/10/27 17:36:57  brouard
                    228:   *** empty log message ***
                    229: 
1.207     brouard   230:   Revision 1.206  2015/10/24 07:14:11  brouard
                    231:   *** empty log message ***
                    232: 
1.206     brouard   233:   Revision 1.205  2015/10/23 15:50:53  brouard
                    234:   Summary: 0.98r3 some clarification for graphs on likelihood contributions
                    235: 
1.205     brouard   236:   Revision 1.204  2015/10/01 16:20:26  brouard
                    237:   Summary: Some new graphs of contribution to likelihood
                    238: 
1.204     brouard   239:   Revision 1.203  2015/09/30 17:45:14  brouard
                    240:   Summary: looking at better estimation of the hessian
                    241: 
                    242:   Also a better criteria for convergence to the period prevalence And
                    243:   therefore adding the number of years needed to converge. (The
                    244:   prevalence in any alive state shold sum to one
                    245: 
1.203     brouard   246:   Revision 1.202  2015/09/22 19:45:16  brouard
                    247:   Summary: Adding some overall graph on contribution to likelihood. Might change
                    248: 
1.202     brouard   249:   Revision 1.201  2015/09/15 17:34:58  brouard
                    250:   Summary: 0.98r0
                    251: 
                    252:   - Some new graphs like suvival functions
                    253:   - Some bugs fixed like model=1+age+V2.
                    254: 
1.201     brouard   255:   Revision 1.200  2015/09/09 16:53:55  brouard
                    256:   Summary: Big bug thanks to Flavia
                    257: 
                    258:   Even model=1+age+V2. did not work anymore
                    259: 
1.200     brouard   260:   Revision 1.199  2015/09/07 14:09:23  brouard
                    261:   Summary: 0.98q6 changing default small png format for graph to vectorized svg.
                    262: 
1.199     brouard   263:   Revision 1.198  2015/09/03 07:14:39  brouard
                    264:   Summary: 0.98q5 Flavia
                    265: 
1.198     brouard   266:   Revision 1.197  2015/09/01 18:24:39  brouard
                    267:   *** empty log message ***
                    268: 
1.197     brouard   269:   Revision 1.196  2015/08/18 23:17:52  brouard
                    270:   Summary: 0.98q5
                    271: 
1.196     brouard   272:   Revision 1.195  2015/08/18 16:28:39  brouard
                    273:   Summary: Adding a hack for testing purpose
                    274: 
                    275:   After reading the title, ftol and model lines, if the comment line has
                    276:   a q, starting with #q, the answer at the end of the run is quit. It
                    277:   permits to run test files in batch with ctest. The former workaround was
                    278:   $ echo q | imach foo.imach
                    279: 
1.195     brouard   280:   Revision 1.194  2015/08/18 13:32:00  brouard
                    281:   Summary:  Adding error when the covariance matrix doesn't contain the exact number of lines required by the model line.
                    282: 
1.194     brouard   283:   Revision 1.193  2015/08/04 07:17:42  brouard
                    284:   Summary: 0.98q4
                    285: 
1.193     brouard   286:   Revision 1.192  2015/07/16 16:49:02  brouard
                    287:   Summary: Fixing some outputs
                    288: 
1.192     brouard   289:   Revision 1.191  2015/07/14 10:00:33  brouard
                    290:   Summary: Some fixes
                    291: 
1.191     brouard   292:   Revision 1.190  2015/05/05 08:51:13  brouard
                    293:   Summary: Adding digits in output parameters (7 digits instead of 6)
                    294: 
                    295:   Fix 1+age+.
                    296: 
1.190     brouard   297:   Revision 1.189  2015/04/30 14:45:16  brouard
                    298:   Summary: 0.98q2
                    299: 
1.189     brouard   300:   Revision 1.188  2015/04/30 08:27:53  brouard
                    301:   *** empty log message ***
                    302: 
1.188     brouard   303:   Revision 1.187  2015/04/29 09:11:15  brouard
                    304:   *** empty log message ***
                    305: 
1.187     brouard   306:   Revision 1.186  2015/04/23 12:01:52  brouard
                    307:   Summary: V1*age is working now, version 0.98q1
                    308: 
                    309:   Some codes had been disabled in order to simplify and Vn*age was
                    310:   working in the optimization phase, ie, giving correct MLE parameters,
                    311:   but, as usual, outputs were not correct and program core dumped.
                    312: 
1.186     brouard   313:   Revision 1.185  2015/03/11 13:26:42  brouard
                    314:   Summary: Inclusion of compile and links command line for Intel Compiler
                    315: 
1.185     brouard   316:   Revision 1.184  2015/03/11 11:52:39  brouard
                    317:   Summary: Back from Windows 8. Intel Compiler
                    318: 
1.184     brouard   319:   Revision 1.183  2015/03/10 20:34:32  brouard
                    320:   Summary: 0.98q0, trying with directest, mnbrak fixed
                    321: 
                    322:   We use directest instead of original Powell test; probably no
                    323:   incidence on the results, but better justifications;
                    324:   We fixed Numerical Recipes mnbrak routine which was wrong and gave
                    325:   wrong results.
                    326: 
1.183     brouard   327:   Revision 1.182  2015/02/12 08:19:57  brouard
                    328:   Summary: Trying to keep directest which seems simpler and more general
                    329:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    330: 
1.182     brouard   331:   Revision 1.181  2015/02/11 23:22:24  brouard
                    332:   Summary: Comments on Powell added
                    333: 
                    334:   Author:
                    335: 
1.181     brouard   336:   Revision 1.180  2015/02/11 17:33:45  brouard
                    337:   Summary: Finishing move from main to function (hpijx and prevalence_limit)
                    338: 
1.180     brouard   339:   Revision 1.179  2015/01/04 09:57:06  brouard
                    340:   Summary: back to OS/X
                    341: 
1.179     brouard   342:   Revision 1.178  2015/01/04 09:35:48  brouard
                    343:   *** empty log message ***
                    344: 
1.178     brouard   345:   Revision 1.177  2015/01/03 18:40:56  brouard
                    346:   Summary: Still testing ilc32 on OSX
                    347: 
1.177     brouard   348:   Revision 1.176  2015/01/03 16:45:04  brouard
                    349:   *** empty log message ***
                    350: 
1.176     brouard   351:   Revision 1.175  2015/01/03 16:33:42  brouard
                    352:   *** empty log message ***
                    353: 
1.175     brouard   354:   Revision 1.174  2015/01/03 16:15:49  brouard
                    355:   Summary: Still in cross-compilation
                    356: 
1.174     brouard   357:   Revision 1.173  2015/01/03 12:06:26  brouard
                    358:   Summary: trying to detect cross-compilation
                    359: 
1.173     brouard   360:   Revision 1.172  2014/12/27 12:07:47  brouard
                    361:   Summary: Back from Visual Studio and Intel, options for compiling for Windows XP
                    362: 
1.172     brouard   363:   Revision 1.171  2014/12/23 13:26:59  brouard
                    364:   Summary: Back from Visual C
                    365: 
                    366:   Still problem with utsname.h on Windows
                    367: 
1.171     brouard   368:   Revision 1.170  2014/12/23 11:17:12  brouard
                    369:   Summary: Cleaning some \%% back to %%
                    370: 
                    371:   The escape was mandatory for a specific compiler (which one?), but too many warnings.
                    372: 
1.170     brouard   373:   Revision 1.169  2014/12/22 23:08:31  brouard
                    374:   Summary: 0.98p
                    375: 
                    376:   Outputs some informations on compiler used, OS etc. Testing on different platforms.
                    377: 
1.169     brouard   378:   Revision 1.168  2014/12/22 15:17:42  brouard
1.170     brouard   379:   Summary: update
1.169     brouard   380: 
1.168     brouard   381:   Revision 1.167  2014/12/22 13:50:56  brouard
                    382:   Summary: Testing uname and compiler version and if compiled 32 or 64
                    383: 
                    384:   Testing on Linux 64
                    385: 
1.167     brouard   386:   Revision 1.166  2014/12/22 11:40:47  brouard
                    387:   *** empty log message ***
                    388: 
1.166     brouard   389:   Revision 1.165  2014/12/16 11:20:36  brouard
                    390:   Summary: After compiling on Visual C
                    391: 
                    392:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    393: 
1.165     brouard   394:   Revision 1.164  2014/12/16 10:52:11  brouard
                    395:   Summary: Merging with Visual C after suppressing some warnings for unused variables. Also fixing Saito's bug 0.98Xn
                    396: 
                    397:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    398: 
1.164     brouard   399:   Revision 1.163  2014/12/16 10:30:11  brouard
                    400:   * imach.c (Module): Merging 1.61 to 1.162
                    401: 
1.163     brouard   402:   Revision 1.162  2014/09/25 11:43:39  brouard
                    403:   Summary: temporary backup 0.99!
                    404: 
1.162     brouard   405:   Revision 1.1  2014/09/16 11:06:58  brouard
                    406:   Summary: With some code (wrong) for nlopt
                    407: 
                    408:   Author:
                    409: 
                    410:   Revision 1.161  2014/09/15 20:41:41  brouard
                    411:   Summary: Problem with macro SQR on Intel compiler
                    412: 
1.161     brouard   413:   Revision 1.160  2014/09/02 09:24:05  brouard
                    414:   *** empty log message ***
                    415: 
1.160     brouard   416:   Revision 1.159  2014/09/01 10:34:10  brouard
                    417:   Summary: WIN32
                    418:   Author: Brouard
                    419: 
1.159     brouard   420:   Revision 1.158  2014/08/27 17:11:51  brouard
                    421:   *** empty log message ***
                    422: 
1.158     brouard   423:   Revision 1.157  2014/08/27 16:26:55  brouard
                    424:   Summary: Preparing windows Visual studio version
                    425:   Author: Brouard
                    426: 
                    427:   In order to compile on Visual studio, time.h is now correct and time_t
                    428:   and tm struct should be used. difftime should be used but sometimes I
                    429:   just make the differences in raw time format (time(&now).
                    430:   Trying to suppress #ifdef LINUX
                    431:   Add xdg-open for __linux in order to open default browser.
                    432: 
1.157     brouard   433:   Revision 1.156  2014/08/25 20:10:10  brouard
                    434:   *** empty log message ***
                    435: 
1.156     brouard   436:   Revision 1.155  2014/08/25 18:32:34  brouard
                    437:   Summary: New compile, minor changes
                    438:   Author: Brouard
                    439: 
1.155     brouard   440:   Revision 1.154  2014/06/20 17:32:08  brouard
                    441:   Summary: Outputs now all graphs of convergence to period prevalence
                    442: 
1.154     brouard   443:   Revision 1.153  2014/06/20 16:45:46  brouard
                    444:   Summary: If 3 live state, convergence to period prevalence on same graph
                    445:   Author: Brouard
                    446: 
1.153     brouard   447:   Revision 1.152  2014/06/18 17:54:09  brouard
                    448:   Summary: open browser, use gnuplot on same dir than imach if not found in the path
                    449: 
1.152     brouard   450:   Revision 1.151  2014/06/18 16:43:30  brouard
                    451:   *** empty log message ***
                    452: 
1.151     brouard   453:   Revision 1.150  2014/06/18 16:42:35  brouard
                    454:   Summary: If gnuplot is not in the path try on same directory than imach binary (OSX)
                    455:   Author: brouard
                    456: 
1.150     brouard   457:   Revision 1.149  2014/06/18 15:51:14  brouard
                    458:   Summary: Some fixes in parameter files errors
                    459:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    460: 
1.149     brouard   461:   Revision 1.148  2014/06/17 17:38:48  brouard
                    462:   Summary: Nothing new
                    463:   Author: Brouard
                    464: 
                    465:   Just a new packaging for OS/X version 0.98nS
                    466: 
1.148     brouard   467:   Revision 1.147  2014/06/16 10:33:11  brouard
                    468:   *** empty log message ***
                    469: 
1.147     brouard   470:   Revision 1.146  2014/06/16 10:20:28  brouard
                    471:   Summary: Merge
                    472:   Author: Brouard
                    473: 
                    474:   Merge, before building revised version.
                    475: 
1.146     brouard   476:   Revision 1.145  2014/06/10 21:23:15  brouard
                    477:   Summary: Debugging with valgrind
                    478:   Author: Nicolas Brouard
                    479: 
                    480:   Lot of changes in order to output the results with some covariates
                    481:   After the Edimburgh REVES conference 2014, it seems mandatory to
                    482:   improve the code.
                    483:   No more memory valgrind error but a lot has to be done in order to
                    484:   continue the work of splitting the code into subroutines.
                    485:   Also, decodemodel has been improved. Tricode is still not
                    486:   optimal. nbcode should be improved. Documentation has been added in
                    487:   the source code.
                    488: 
1.144     brouard   489:   Revision 1.143  2014/01/26 09:45:38  brouard
                    490:   Summary: Version 0.98nR (to be improved, but gives same optimization results as 0.98k. Nice, promising
                    491: 
                    492:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    493:   (Module): Version 0.98nR Running ok, but output format still only works for three covariates.
                    494: 
1.143     brouard   495:   Revision 1.142  2014/01/26 03:57:36  brouard
                    496:   Summary: gnuplot changed plot w l 1 has to be changed to plot w l lt 2
                    497: 
                    498:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    499: 
1.142     brouard   500:   Revision 1.141  2014/01/26 02:42:01  brouard
                    501:   * imach.c (Module): Trying to merge old staffs together while being at Tokyo. Not tested...
                    502: 
1.141     brouard   503:   Revision 1.140  2011/09/02 10:37:54  brouard
                    504:   Summary: times.h is ok with mingw32 now.
                    505: 
1.140     brouard   506:   Revision 1.139  2010/06/14 07:50:17  brouard
                    507:   After the theft of my laptop, I probably lost some lines of codes which were not uploaded to the CVS tree.
                    508:   I remember having already fixed agemin agemax which are pointers now but not cvs saved.
                    509: 
1.139     brouard   510:   Revision 1.138  2010/04/30 18:19:40  brouard
                    511:   *** empty log message ***
                    512: 
1.138     brouard   513:   Revision 1.137  2010/04/29 18:11:38  brouard
                    514:   (Module): Checking covariates for more complex models
                    515:   than V1+V2. A lot of change to be done. Unstable.
                    516: 
1.137     brouard   517:   Revision 1.136  2010/04/26 20:30:53  brouard
                    518:   (Module): merging some libgsl code. Fixing computation
                    519:   of likelione (using inter/intrapolation if mle = 0) in order to
                    520:   get same likelihood as if mle=1.
                    521:   Some cleaning of code and comments added.
                    522: 
1.136     brouard   523:   Revision 1.135  2009/10/29 15:33:14  brouard
                    524:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    525: 
1.135     brouard   526:   Revision 1.134  2009/10/29 13:18:53  brouard
                    527:   (Module): Now imach stops if date of birth, at least year of birth, is not given. Some cleaning of the code.
                    528: 
1.134     brouard   529:   Revision 1.133  2009/07/06 10:21:25  brouard
                    530:   just nforces
                    531: 
1.133     brouard   532:   Revision 1.132  2009/07/06 08:22:05  brouard
                    533:   Many tings
                    534: 
1.132     brouard   535:   Revision 1.131  2009/06/20 16:22:47  brouard
                    536:   Some dimensions resccaled
                    537: 
1.131     brouard   538:   Revision 1.130  2009/05/26 06:44:34  brouard
                    539:   (Module): Max Covariate is now set to 20 instead of 8. A
                    540:   lot of cleaning with variables initialized to 0. Trying to make
                    541:   V2+V3*age+V1+V4 strb=V3*age+V1+V4 working better.
                    542: 
1.130     brouard   543:   Revision 1.129  2007/08/31 13:49:27  lievre
                    544:   Modification of the way of exiting when the covariate is not binary in order to see on the window the error message before exiting
                    545: 
1.129     lievre    546:   Revision 1.128  2006/06/30 13:02:05  brouard
                    547:   (Module): Clarifications on computing e.j
                    548: 
1.128     brouard   549:   Revision 1.127  2006/04/28 18:11:50  brouard
                    550:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    551:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    552:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    553:   (Module): In order to speed up (in case of numerous covariates) we
                    554:   compute health expectancies (without variances) in a first step
                    555:   and then all the health expectancies with variances or standard
                    556:   deviation (needs data from the Hessian matrices) which slows the
                    557:   computation.
                    558:   In the future we should be able to stop the program is only health
                    559:   expectancies and graph are needed without standard deviations.
                    560: 
1.127     brouard   561:   Revision 1.126  2006/04/28 17:23:28  brouard
                    562:   (Module): Yes the sum of survivors was wrong since
                    563:   imach-114 because nhstepm was no more computed in the age
                    564:   loop. Now we define nhstepma in the age loop.
                    565:   Version 0.98h
                    566: 
1.126     brouard   567:   Revision 1.125  2006/04/04 15:20:31  lievre
                    568:   Errors in calculation of health expectancies. Age was not initialized.
                    569:   Forecasting file added.
                    570: 
                    571:   Revision 1.124  2006/03/22 17:13:53  lievre
                    572:   Parameters are printed with %lf instead of %f (more numbers after the comma).
                    573:   The log-likelihood is printed in the log file
                    574: 
                    575:   Revision 1.123  2006/03/20 10:52:43  brouard
                    576:   * imach.c (Module): <title> changed, corresponds to .htm file
                    577:   name. <head> headers where missing.
                    578: 
                    579:   * imach.c (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    580:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    581:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    582:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    583:   1.
                    584:   Version 0.98g
                    585: 
                    586:   Revision 1.122  2006/03/20 09:45:41  brouard
                    587:   (Module): Weights can have a decimal point as for
                    588:   English (a comma might work with a correct LC_NUMERIC environment,
                    589:   otherwise the weight is truncated).
                    590:   Modification of warning when the covariates values are not 0 or
                    591:   1.
                    592:   Version 0.98g
                    593: 
                    594:   Revision 1.121  2006/03/16 17:45:01  lievre
                    595:   * imach.c (Module): Comments concerning covariates added
                    596: 
                    597:   * imach.c (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    598:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    599:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    600: 
                    601:   Revision 1.120  2006/03/16 15:10:38  lievre
                    602:   (Module): refinements in the computation of lli if
                    603:   status=-2 in order to have more reliable computation if stepm is
                    604:   not 1 month. Version 0.98f
                    605: 
                    606:   Revision 1.119  2006/03/15 17:42:26  brouard
                    607:   (Module): Bug if status = -2, the loglikelihood was
                    608:   computed as likelihood omitting the logarithm. Version O.98e
                    609: 
                    610:   Revision 1.118  2006/03/14 18:20:07  brouard
                    611:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    612:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    613:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    614:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    615:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    616: 
                    617:   Revision 1.117  2006/03/14 17:16:22  brouard
                    618:   (Module): varevsij Comments added explaining the second
                    619:   table of variances if popbased=1 .
                    620:   (Module): Covariances of eij, ekl added, graphs fixed, new html link.
                    621:   (Module): Function pstamp added
                    622:   (Module): Version 0.98d
                    623: 
                    624:   Revision 1.116  2006/03/06 10:29:27  brouard
                    625:   (Module): Variance-covariance wrong links and
                    626:   varian-covariance of ej. is needed (Saito).
                    627: 
                    628:   Revision 1.115  2006/02/27 12:17:45  brouard
                    629:   (Module): One freematrix added in mlikeli! 0.98c
                    630: 
                    631:   Revision 1.114  2006/02/26 12:57:58  brouard
                    632:   (Module): Some improvements in processing parameter
                    633:   filename with strsep.
                    634: 
                    635:   Revision 1.113  2006/02/24 14:20:24  brouard
                    636:   (Module): Memory leaks checks with valgrind and:
                    637:   datafile was not closed, some imatrix were not freed and on matrix
                    638:   allocation too.
                    639: 
                    640:   Revision 1.112  2006/01/30 09:55:26  brouard
                    641:   (Module): Back to gnuplot.exe instead of wgnuplot.exe
                    642: 
                    643:   Revision 1.111  2006/01/25 20:38:18  brouard
                    644:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    645:   (Module): Comments can be added in data file. Missing date values
                    646:   can be a simple dot '.'.
                    647: 
                    648:   Revision 1.110  2006/01/25 00:51:50  brouard
                    649:   (Module): Lots of cleaning and bugs added (Gompertz)
                    650: 
                    651:   Revision 1.109  2006/01/24 19:37:15  brouard
                    652:   (Module): Comments (lines starting with a #) are allowed in data.
                    653: 
                    654:   Revision 1.108  2006/01/19 18:05:42  lievre
                    655:   Gnuplot problem appeared...
                    656:   To be fixed
                    657: 
                    658:   Revision 1.107  2006/01/19 16:20:37  brouard
                    659:   Test existence of gnuplot in imach path
                    660: 
                    661:   Revision 1.106  2006/01/19 13:24:36  brouard
                    662:   Some cleaning and links added in html output
                    663: 
                    664:   Revision 1.105  2006/01/05 20:23:19  lievre
                    665:   *** empty log message ***
                    666: 
                    667:   Revision 1.104  2005/09/30 16:11:43  lievre
                    668:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    669:   (Module): If the status is missing at the last wave but we know
                    670:   that the person is alive, then we can code his/her status as -2
                    671:   (instead of missing=-1 in earlier versions) and his/her
                    672:   contributions to the likelihood is 1 - Prob of dying from last
                    673:   health status (= 1-p13= p11+p12 in the easiest case of somebody in
                    674:   the healthy state at last known wave). Version is 0.98
                    675: 
                    676:   Revision 1.103  2005/09/30 15:54:49  lievre
                    677:   (Module): sump fixed, loop imx fixed, and simplifications.
                    678: 
                    679:   Revision 1.102  2004/09/15 17:31:30  brouard
                    680:   Add the possibility to read data file including tab characters.
                    681: 
                    682:   Revision 1.101  2004/09/15 10:38:38  brouard
                    683:   Fix on curr_time
                    684: 
                    685:   Revision 1.100  2004/07/12 18:29:06  brouard
                    686:   Add version for Mac OS X. Just define UNIX in Makefile
                    687: 
                    688:   Revision 1.99  2004/06/05 08:57:40  brouard
                    689:   *** empty log message ***
                    690: 
                    691:   Revision 1.98  2004/05/16 15:05:56  brouard
                    692:   New version 0.97 . First attempt to estimate force of mortality
                    693:   directly from the data i.e. without the need of knowing the health
                    694:   state at each age, but using a Gompertz model: log u =a + b*age .
                    695:   This is the basic analysis of mortality and should be done before any
                    696:   other analysis, in order to test if the mortality estimated from the
                    697:   cross-longitudinal survey is different from the mortality estimated
                    698:   from other sources like vital statistic data.
                    699: 
                    700:   The same imach parameter file can be used but the option for mle should be -3.
                    701: 
1.133     brouard   702:   Agnès, who wrote this part of the code, tried to keep most of the
1.126     brouard   703:   former routines in order to include the new code within the former code.
                    704: 
                    705:   The output is very simple: only an estimate of the intercept and of
                    706:   the slope with 95% confident intervals.
                    707: 
                    708:   Current limitations:
                    709:   A) Even if you enter covariates, i.e. with the
                    710:   model= V1+V2 equation for example, the programm does only estimate a unique global model without covariates.
                    711:   B) There is no computation of Life Expectancy nor Life Table.
                    712: 
                    713:   Revision 1.97  2004/02/20 13:25:42  lievre
                    714:   Version 0.96d. Population forecasting command line is (temporarily)
                    715:   suppressed.
                    716: 
                    717:   Revision 1.96  2003/07/15 15:38:55  brouard
                    718:   * imach.c (Repository): Errors in subdirf, 2, 3 while printing tmpout is
                    719:   rewritten within the same printf. Workaround: many printfs.
                    720: 
                    721:   Revision 1.95  2003/07/08 07:54:34  brouard
                    722:   * imach.c (Repository):
                    723:   (Repository): Using imachwizard code to output a more meaningful covariance
                    724:   matrix (cov(a12,c31) instead of numbers.
                    725: 
                    726:   Revision 1.94  2003/06/27 13:00:02  brouard
                    727:   Just cleaning
                    728: 
                    729:   Revision 1.93  2003/06/25 16:33:55  brouard
                    730:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    731:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    732:   (Module): Version 0.96b
                    733: 
                    734:   Revision 1.92  2003/06/25 16:30:45  brouard
                    735:   (Module): On windows (cygwin) function asctime_r doesn't
                    736:   exist so I changed back to asctime which exists.
                    737: 
                    738:   Revision 1.91  2003/06/25 15:30:29  brouard
                    739:   * imach.c (Repository): Duplicated warning errors corrected.
                    740:   (Repository): Elapsed time after each iteration is now output. It
                    741:   helps to forecast when convergence will be reached. Elapsed time
                    742:   is stamped in powell.  We created a new html file for the graphs
                    743:   concerning matrix of covariance. It has extension -cov.htm.
                    744: 
                    745:   Revision 1.90  2003/06/24 12:34:15  brouard
                    746:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    747:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    748:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    749: 
                    750:   Revision 1.89  2003/06/24 12:30:52  brouard
                    751:   (Module): Some bugs corrected for windows. Also, when
                    752:   mle=-1 a template is output in file "or"mypar.txt with the design
                    753:   of the covariance matrix to be input.
                    754: 
                    755:   Revision 1.88  2003/06/23 17:54:56  brouard
                    756:   * imach.c (Repository): Create a sub-directory where all the secondary files are. Only imach, htm, gp and r(imach) are on the main directory. Correct time and other things.
                    757: 
                    758:   Revision 1.87  2003/06/18 12:26:01  brouard
                    759:   Version 0.96
                    760: 
                    761:   Revision 1.86  2003/06/17 20:04:08  brouard
                    762:   (Module): Change position of html and gnuplot routines and added
                    763:   routine fileappend.
                    764: 
                    765:   Revision 1.85  2003/06/17 13:12:43  brouard
                    766:   * imach.c (Repository): Check when date of death was earlier that
                    767:   current date of interview. It may happen when the death was just
                    768:   prior to the death. In this case, dh was negative and likelihood
                    769:   was wrong (infinity). We still send an "Error" but patch by
                    770:   assuming that the date of death was just one stepm after the
                    771:   interview.
                    772:   (Repository): Because some people have very long ID (first column)
                    773:   we changed int to long in num[] and we added a new lvector for
                    774:   memory allocation. But we also truncated to 8 characters (left
                    775:   truncation)
                    776:   (Repository): No more line truncation errors.
                    777: 
                    778:   Revision 1.84  2003/06/13 21:44:43  brouard
                    779:   * imach.c (Repository): Replace "freqsummary" at a correct
                    780:   place. It differs from routine "prevalence" which may be called
                    781:   many times. Probs is memory consuming and must be used with
                    782:   parcimony.
                    783:   Version 0.95a3 (should output exactly the same maximization than 0.8a2)
                    784: 
                    785:   Revision 1.83  2003/06/10 13:39:11  lievre
                    786:   *** empty log message ***
                    787: 
                    788:   Revision 1.82  2003/06/05 15:57:20  brouard
                    789:   Add log in  imach.c and  fullversion number is now printed.
                    790: 
                    791: */
                    792: /*
                    793:    Interpolated Markov Chain
                    794: 
                    795:   Short summary of the programme:
                    796:   
1.227     brouard   797:   This program computes Healthy Life Expectancies or State-specific
                    798:   (if states aren't health statuses) Expectancies from
                    799:   cross-longitudinal data. Cross-longitudinal data consist in: 
                    800: 
                    801:   -1- a first survey ("cross") where individuals from different ages
                    802:   are interviewed on their health status or degree of disability (in
                    803:   the case of a health survey which is our main interest)
                    804: 
                    805:   -2- at least a second wave of interviews ("longitudinal") which
                    806:   measure each change (if any) in individual health status.  Health
                    807:   expectancies are computed from the time spent in each health state
                    808:   according to a model. More health states you consider, more time is
                    809:   necessary to reach the Maximum Likelihood of the parameters involved
                    810:   in the model.  The simplest model is the multinomial logistic model
                    811:   where pij is the probability to be observed in state j at the second
                    812:   wave conditional to be observed in state i at the first
                    813:   wave. Therefore the model is: log(pij/pii)= aij + bij*age+ cij*sex +
                    814:   etc , where 'age' is age and 'sex' is a covariate. If you want to
                    815:   have a more complex model than "constant and age", you should modify
                    816:   the program where the markup *Covariates have to be included here
                    817:   again* invites you to do it.  More covariates you add, slower the
1.126     brouard   818:   convergence.
                    819: 
                    820:   The advantage of this computer programme, compared to a simple
                    821:   multinomial logistic model, is clear when the delay between waves is not
                    822:   identical for each individual. Also, if a individual missed an
                    823:   intermediate interview, the information is lost, but taken into
                    824:   account using an interpolation or extrapolation.  
                    825: 
                    826:   hPijx is the probability to be observed in state i at age x+h
                    827:   conditional to the observed state i at age x. The delay 'h' can be
                    828:   split into an exact number (nh*stepm) of unobserved intermediate
                    829:   states. This elementary transition (by month, quarter,
                    830:   semester or year) is modelled as a multinomial logistic.  The hPx
                    831:   matrix is simply the matrix product of nh*stepm elementary matrices
                    832:   and the contribution of each individual to the likelihood is simply
                    833:   hPijx.
                    834: 
                    835:   Also this programme outputs the covariance matrix of the parameters but also
1.218     brouard   836:   of the life expectancies. It also computes the period (stable) prevalence.
                    837: 
                    838: Back prevalence and projections:
1.227     brouard   839: 
                    840:  - back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar,
                    841:    double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double
                    842:    dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int
                    843:    mobilavproj)
                    844: 
                    845:     Computes the back prevalence limit for any combination of
                    846:     covariate values k at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar and
                    847:     returns it in **bprlim. In the loops,
                    848: 
                    849:    - **bprevalim(**bprlim, ***mobaverage, nlstate, *p, age, **oldm,
                    850:        **savm, **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k);
                    851: 
                    852:    - hBijx Back Probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x
1.218     brouard   853:    Computes for any combination of covariates k and any age between bage and fage 
                    854:    p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                    855:                        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.227     brouard   856: 
1.267     brouard   857:    - hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);
1.218     brouard   858:      Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
                    859:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                    860:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
1.227     brouard   861:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                    862: 
                    863:      Returns p3mat[i][j][h] after calling
                    864:      p3mat[i][j][h]=matprod2(newm,
                    865:      bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm,
                    866:      dsavm,ij),\ 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                    867:      oldm);
1.226     brouard   868: 
                    869: Important routines
                    870: 
                    871: - func (or funcone), computes logit (pij) distinguishing
                    872:   o fixed variables (single or product dummies or quantitative);
                    873:   o varying variables by:
                    874:    (1) wave (single, product dummies, quantitative), 
                    875:    (2) by age (can be month) age (done), age*age (done), age*Vn where Vn can be:
                    876:        % fixed dummy (treated) or quantitative (not done because time-consuming);
                    877:        % varying dummy (not done) or quantitative (not done);
                    878: - Tricode which tests the modality of dummy variables (in order to warn with wrong or empty modalities)
                    879:   and returns the number of efficient covariates cptcoveff and modalities nbcode[Tvar[k]][1]= 0 and nbcode[Tvar[k]][2]= 1 usually.
                    880: - printinghtml which outputs results like life expectancy in and from a state for a combination of modalities of dummy variables
                    881:   o There are 2*cptcoveff combinations of (0,1) for cptcoveff variables. Outputting only combinations with people, éliminating 1 1 if
                    882:     race White (0 0), Black vs White (1 0), Hispanic (0 1) and 1 1 being meaningless.
1.218     brouard   883: 
1.226     brouard   884: 
                    885:   
1.133     brouard   886:   Authors: Nicolas Brouard (brouard@ined.fr) and Agnès Lièvre (lievre@ined.fr).
                    887:            Institut national d'études démographiques, Paris.
1.126     brouard   888:   This software have been partly granted by Euro-REVES, a concerted action
                    889:   from the European Union.
                    890:   It is copyrighted identically to a GNU software product, ie programme and
                    891:   software can be distributed freely for non commercial use. Latest version
                    892:   can be accessed at http://euroreves.ined.fr/imach .
                    893: 
                    894:   Help to debug: LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so ./imach foo.imach
                    895:   or better on gdb : set env LD_PRELOAD=/usr/local/lib/libnjamd.so
                    896:   
                    897:   **********************************************************************/
                    898: /*
                    899:   main
                    900:   read parameterfile
                    901:   read datafile
                    902:   concatwav
                    903:   freqsummary
                    904:   if (mle >= 1)
                    905:     mlikeli
                    906:   print results files
                    907:   if mle==1 
                    908:      computes hessian
                    909:   read end of parameter file: agemin, agemax, bage, fage, estepm
                    910:       begin-prev-date,...
                    911:   open gnuplot file
                    912:   open html file
1.145     brouard   913:   period (stable) prevalence      | pl_nom    1-1 2-2 etc by covariate
                    914:    for age prevalim()             | #****** V1=0  V2=1  V3=1  V4=0 ******
                    915:                                   | 65 1 0 2 1 3 1 4 0  0.96326 0.03674
                    916:     freexexit2 possible for memory heap.
                    917: 
                    918:   h Pij x                         | pij_nom  ficrestpij
                    919:    # Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j= 1-1 1-2     1-3     2-1     2-2     2-3
                    920:        1  85   85    1.00000             0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
                    921:        1  85   86    0.68299             0.22291 0.09410 0.71093 0.00000 0.28907
                    922: 
                    923:        1  65   99    0.00364             0.00322 0.99314 0.00350 0.00310 0.99340
                    924:        1  65  100    0.00214             0.00204 0.99581 0.00206 0.00196 0.99597
                    925:   variance of p one-step probabilities varprob  | prob_nom   ficresprob #One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()
                    926:    Standard deviation of one-step probabilities | probcor_nom   ficresprobcor #One-step probabilities and correlation matrix
                    927:    Matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities |  probcov_nom ficresprobcov #One-step probabilities and covariance matrix
                    928: 
1.126     brouard   929:   forecasting if prevfcast==1 prevforecast call prevalence()
                    930:   health expectancies
                    931:   Variance-covariance of DFLE
                    932:   prevalence()
                    933:    movingaverage()
                    934:   varevsij() 
                    935:   if popbased==1 varevsij(,popbased)
                    936:   total life expectancies
                    937:   Variance of period (stable) prevalence
                    938:  end
                    939: */
                    940: 
1.187     brouard   941: /* #define DEBUG */
                    942: /* #define DEBUGBRENT */
1.203     brouard   943: /* #define DEBUGLINMIN */
                    944: /* #define DEBUGHESS */
                    945: #define DEBUGHESSIJ
1.224     brouard   946: /* #define LINMINORIGINAL  /\* Don't use loop on scale in linmin (accepting nan) *\/ */
1.165     brouard   947: #define POWELL /* Instead of NLOPT */
1.224     brouard   948: #define POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST /* Skip test */
1.186     brouard   949: /* #define POWELLORIGINAL /\* Don't use Directest to decide new direction but original Powell test *\/ */
                    950: /* #define MNBRAKORIGINAL /\* Don't use mnbrak fix *\/ */
1.126     brouard   951: 
                    952: #include <math.h>
                    953: #include <stdio.h>
                    954: #include <stdlib.h>
                    955: #include <string.h>
1.226     brouard   956: #include <ctype.h>
1.159     brouard   957: 
                    958: #ifdef _WIN32
                    959: #include <io.h>
1.172     brouard   960: #include <windows.h>
                    961: #include <tchar.h>
1.159     brouard   962: #else
1.126     brouard   963: #include <unistd.h>
1.159     brouard   964: #endif
1.126     brouard   965: 
                    966: #include <limits.h>
                    967: #include <sys/types.h>
1.171     brouard   968: 
                    969: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                    970: #include <sys/utsname.h> /* Doesn't work on Windows */
                    971: #endif
                    972: 
1.126     brouard   973: #include <sys/stat.h>
                    974: #include <errno.h>
1.159     brouard   975: /* extern int errno; */
1.126     brouard   976: 
1.157     brouard   977: /* #ifdef LINUX */
                    978: /* #include <time.h> */
                    979: /* #include "timeval.h" */
                    980: /* #else */
                    981: /* #include <sys/time.h> */
                    982: /* #endif */
                    983: 
1.126     brouard   984: #include <time.h>
                    985: 
1.136     brouard   986: #ifdef GSL
                    987: #include <gsl/gsl_errno.h>
                    988: #include <gsl/gsl_multimin.h>
                    989: #endif
                    990: 
1.167     brouard   991: 
1.162     brouard   992: #ifdef NLOPT
                    993: #include <nlopt.h>
                    994: typedef struct {
                    995:   double (* function)(double [] );
                    996: } myfunc_data ;
                    997: #endif
                    998: 
1.126     brouard   999: /* #include <libintl.h> */
                   1000: /* #define _(String) gettext (String) */
                   1001: 
1.251     brouard  1002: #define MAXLINE 2048 /* Was 256 and 1024. Overflow with 312 with 2 states and 4 covariates. Should be ok */
1.126     brouard  1003: 
                   1004: #define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "gnuplot"
                   1005: /*#define GNUPLOTPROGRAM "..\\gp37mgw\\wgnuplot"*/
                   1006: #define FILENAMELENGTH 132
                   1007: 
                   1008: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH              -1      /* empty path */
                   1009: #define        GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD              -2      /* cannot get cwd */
                   1010: 
1.144     brouard  1011: #define MAXPARM 128 /**< Maximum number of parameters for the optimization */
                   1012: #define NPARMAX 64 /**< (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel */
1.126     brouard  1013: 
                   1014: #define NINTERVMAX 8
1.144     brouard  1015: #define NLSTATEMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of live states (for func) */
                   1016: #define NDEATHMAX 8 /**< Maximum number of dead states (for func) */
                   1017: #define NCOVMAX 20 /**< Maximum number of covariates, including generated covariates V1*V2 */
1.197     brouard  1018: #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.211     brouard  1019: /*#define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)*/
                   1020: #define decodtabm(h,k,cptcoveff) (((h-1) >> (k-1)) & 1) +1 
1.126     brouard  1021: #define MAXN 20000
1.144     brouard  1022: #define YEARM 12. /**< Number of months per year */
1.218     brouard  1023: /* #define AGESUP 130 */
                   1024: #define AGESUP 150
1.268     brouard  1025: #define AGEINF 0
1.218     brouard  1026: #define AGEMARGE 25 /* Marge for agemin and agemax for(iage=agemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= agemax+3+AGEMARGE; iage++) */
1.126     brouard  1027: #define AGEBASE 40
1.194     brouard  1028: #define AGEOVERFLOW 1.e20
1.164     brouard  1029: #define AGEGOMP 10 /**< Minimal age for Gompertz adjustment */
1.157     brouard  1030: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1031: #define DIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1032: #define CHARSEPARATOR "\\"
                   1033: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1034: #else
1.126     brouard  1035: #define DIRSEPARATOR '/'
                   1036: #define CHARSEPARATOR "/"
                   1037: #define ODIRSEPARATOR '\\'
                   1038: #endif
                   1039: 
1.279   ! brouard  1040: /* $Id: imach.c,v 1.278 2017/07/19 14:09:02 brouard Exp $ */
1.126     brouard  1041: /* $State: Exp $ */
1.196     brouard  1042: #include "version.h"
                   1043: char version[]=__IMACH_VERSION__;
1.224     brouard  1044: char copyright[]="February 2016,INED-EUROREVES-Institut de longevite-Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121), Intel Software 2015-2018";
1.279   ! brouard  1045: char fullversion[]="$Revision: 1.278 $ $Date: 2017/07/19 14:09:02 $"; 
1.126     brouard  1046: char strstart[80];
                   1047: char optionfilext[10], optionfilefiname[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.130     brouard  1048: int erreur=0, nberr=0, nbwarn=0; /* Error number, number of errors number of warnings  */
1.187     brouard  1049: int nagesqr=0, nforce=0; /* nagesqr=1 if model is including age*age, number of forces */
1.145     brouard  1050: /* Number of covariates model=V2+V1+ V3*age+V2*V4 */
                   1051: int cptcovn=0; /**< cptcovn number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age and age*product) */
                   1052: int cptcovt=0; /**< cptcovt number of covariates added in the model (excepting constant and age) */
1.225     brouard  1053: int cptcovs=0; /**< cptcovs number of simple covariates in the model V2+V1 =2 */
                   1054: int cptcovsnq=0; /**< cptcovsnq number of simple covariates in the model but non quantitative V2+V1 =2 */
1.145     brouard  1055: int cptcovage=0; /**< Number of covariates with age: V3*age only =1 */
                   1056: int cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age */   
                   1057: int cptcoveff=0; /* Total number of covariates to vary for printing results */
1.233     brouard  1058: int ncovf=0; /* Total number of effective fixed covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
                   1059: int ncovv=0; /* Total number of effective (wave) varying covariates (dummy or quantitative) in the model */
1.232     brouard  1060: int ncova=0; /* Total number of effective (wave and stepm) varying with age covariates (dummy of quantitative) in the model */
1.234     brouard  1061: int nsd=0; /**< Total number of single dummy variables (output) */
                   1062: int nsq=0; /**< Total number of single quantitative variables (output) */
1.232     brouard  1063: int ncoveff=0; /* Total number of effective fixed dummy covariates in the model */
1.225     brouard  1064: int nqfveff=0; /**< nqfveff Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
1.224     brouard  1065: int ntveff=0; /**< ntveff number of effective time varying variables */
                   1066: int nqtveff=0; /**< ntqveff number of effective time varying quantitative variables */
1.145     brouard  1067: int cptcov=0; /* Working variable */
1.218     brouard  1068: int ncovcombmax=NCOVMAX; /* Maximum calculated number of covariate combination = pow(2, cptcoveff) */
1.126     brouard  1069: int npar=NPARMAX;
                   1070: int nlstate=2; /* Number of live states */
                   1071: int ndeath=1; /* Number of dead states */
1.130     brouard  1072: int ncovmodel=0, ncovcol=0;     /* Total number of covariables including constant a12*1 +b12*x ncovmodel=2 */
1.223     brouard  1073: int  nqv=0, ntv=0, nqtv=0;    /* Total number of quantitative variables, time variable (dummy), quantitative and time variable */ 
1.126     brouard  1074: int popbased=0;
                   1075: 
                   1076: int *wav; /* Number of waves for this individuual 0 is possible */
1.130     brouard  1077: int maxwav=0; /* Maxim number of waves */
                   1078: int jmin=0, jmax=0; /* min, max spacing between 2 waves */
                   1079: int ijmin=0, ijmax=0; /* Individuals having jmin and jmax */ 
                   1080: int gipmx=0, gsw=0; /* Global variables on the number of contributions 
1.126     brouard  1081:                   to the likelihood and the sum of weights (done by funcone)*/
1.130     brouard  1082: int mle=1, weightopt=0;
1.126     brouard  1083: int **mw; /* mw[mi][i] is number of the mi wave for this individual */
                   1084: int **dh; /* dh[mi][i] is number of steps between mi,mi+1 for this individual */
                   1085: int **bh; /* bh[mi][i] is the bias (+ or -) for this individual if the delay between
                   1086:           * wave mi and wave mi+1 is not an exact multiple of stepm. */
1.162     brouard  1087: int countcallfunc=0;  /* Count the number of calls to func */
1.230     brouard  1088: int selected(int kvar); /* Is covariate kvar selected for printing results */
                   1089: 
1.130     brouard  1090: double jmean=1; /* Mean space between 2 waves */
1.145     brouard  1091: double **matprod2(); /* test */
1.126     brouard  1092: double **oldm, **newm, **savm; /* Working pointers to matrices */
                   1093: double **oldms, **newms, **savms; /* Fixed working pointers to matrices */
1.218     brouard  1094: double  **ddnewms, **ddoldms, **ddsavms; /* for freeing later */
                   1095: 
1.136     brouard  1096: /*FILE *fic ; */ /* Used in readdata only */
1.217     brouard  1097: FILE *ficpar, *ficparo,*ficres, *ficresp, *ficresphtm, *ficresphtmfr, *ficrespl, *ficresplb,*ficrespij, *ficrespijb, *ficrest,*ficresf, *ficresfb,*ficrespop;
1.126     brouard  1098: FILE *ficlog, *ficrespow;
1.130     brouard  1099: int globpr=0; /* Global variable for printing or not */
1.126     brouard  1100: double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
1.130     brouard  1101: long ipmx=0; /* Number of contributions */
1.126     brouard  1102: double sw; /* Sum of weights */
                   1103: char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1104: char fileresilk[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* File of individual contributions to the likelihood */
                   1105: FILE *ficresilk;
                   1106: FILE *ficgp,*ficresprob,*ficpop, *ficresprobcov, *ficresprobcor;
                   1107: FILE *ficresprobmorprev;
                   1108: FILE *fichtm, *fichtmcov; /* Html File */
                   1109: FILE *ficreseij;
                   1110: char filerese[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1111: FILE *ficresstdeij;
                   1112: char fileresstde[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1113: FILE *ficrescveij;
                   1114: char filerescve[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1115: FILE  *ficresvij;
                   1116: char fileresv[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.269     brouard  1117: 
1.126     brouard  1118: char title[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  1119: char model[MAXLINE]; /**< The model line */
1.217     brouard  1120: char optionfile[FILENAMELENGTH], datafile[FILENAMELENGTH],  filerespl[FILENAMELENGTH],  fileresplb[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.126     brouard  1121: char plotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH], pplotcmd[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1122: char tmpout[FILENAMELENGTH],  tmpout2[FILENAMELENGTH]; 
                   1123: char command[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1124: int  outcmd=0;
                   1125: 
1.217     brouard  1126: char fileres[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespij[FILENAMELENGTH], filerespijb[FILENAMELENGTH], filereso[FILENAMELENGTH], rfileres[FILENAMELENGTH];
1.202     brouard  1127: char fileresu[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* fileres without r in front */
1.126     brouard  1128: char filelog[FILENAMELENGTH]; /* Log file */
                   1129: char filerest[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1130: char fileregp[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1131: char popfile[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   1132: 
                   1133: char optionfilegnuplot[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtm[FILENAMELENGTH], optionfilehtmcov[FILENAMELENGTH] ;
                   1134: 
1.157     brouard  1135: /* struct timeval start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time; */
                   1136: /* struct timezone tzp; */
                   1137: /* extern int gettimeofday(); */
                   1138: struct tm tml, *gmtime(), *localtime();
                   1139: 
                   1140: extern time_t time();
                   1141: 
                   1142: struct tm start_time, end_time, curr_time, last_time, forecast_time;
                   1143: time_t  rstart_time, rend_time, rcurr_time, rlast_time, rforecast_time; /* raw time */
                   1144: struct tm tm;
                   1145: 
1.126     brouard  1146: char strcurr[80], strfor[80];
                   1147: 
                   1148: char *endptr;
                   1149: long lval;
                   1150: double dval;
                   1151: 
                   1152: #define NR_END 1
                   1153: #define FREE_ARG char*
                   1154: #define FTOL 1.0e-10
                   1155: 
                   1156: #define NRANSI 
1.240     brouard  1157: #define ITMAX 200
                   1158: #define ITPOWMAX 20 /* This is now multiplied by the number of parameters */ 
1.126     brouard  1159: 
                   1160: #define TOL 2.0e-4 
                   1161: 
                   1162: #define CGOLD 0.3819660 
                   1163: #define ZEPS 1.0e-10 
                   1164: #define SHFT(a,b,c,d) (a)=(b);(b)=(c);(c)=(d); 
                   1165: 
                   1166: #define GOLD 1.618034 
                   1167: #define GLIMIT 100.0 
                   1168: #define TINY 1.0e-20 
                   1169: 
                   1170: static double maxarg1,maxarg2;
                   1171: #define FMAX(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)>(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1172: #define FMIN(a,b) (maxarg1=(a),maxarg2=(b),(maxarg1)<(maxarg2)? (maxarg1):(maxarg2))
                   1173:   
                   1174: #define SIGN(a,b) ((b)>0.0 ? fabs(a) : -fabs(a))
                   1175: #define rint(a) floor(a+0.5)
1.166     brouard  1176: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/myutils_8h-source.html */
1.183     brouard  1177: #define mytinydouble 1.0e-16
1.166     brouard  1178: /* #define DEQUAL(a,b) (fabs((a)-(b))<mytinydouble) */
                   1179: /* http://www.thphys.uni-heidelberg.de/~robbers/cmbeasy/doc/html/mynrutils_8h-source.html */
                   1180: /* static double dsqrarg; */
                   1181: /* #define DSQR(a) (DEQUAL((dsqrarg=(a)),0.0) ? 0.0 : dsqrarg*dsqrarg) */
1.126     brouard  1182: static double sqrarg;
                   1183: #define SQR(a) ((sqrarg=(a)) == 0.0 ? 0.0 :sqrarg*sqrarg)
                   1184: #define SWAP(a,b) {temp=(a);(a)=(b);(b)=temp;} 
                   1185: int agegomp= AGEGOMP;
                   1186: 
                   1187: int imx; 
                   1188: int stepm=1;
                   1189: /* Stepm, step in month: minimum step interpolation*/
                   1190: 
                   1191: int estepm;
                   1192: /* Estepm, step in month to interpolate survival function in order to approximate Life Expectancy*/
                   1193: 
                   1194: int m,nb;
                   1195: long *num;
1.197     brouard  1196: int firstpass=0, lastpass=4,*cod, *cens;
1.192     brouard  1197: int *ncodemax;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1198:                   covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   1199:                   undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   1200: int *ncodemaxwundef;  /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the j th
                   1201:                             covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   1202:                             undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
1.126     brouard  1203: double **agev,*moisnais, *annais, *moisdc, *andc,**mint, **anint;
1.218     brouard  1204: double **pmmij, ***probs; /* Global pointer */
1.219     brouard  1205: double ***mobaverage, ***mobaverages; /* New global variable */
1.126     brouard  1206: double *ageexmed,*agecens;
                   1207: double dateintmean=0;
                   1208: 
                   1209: double *weight;
                   1210: int **s; /* Status */
1.141     brouard  1211: double *agedc;
1.145     brouard  1212: double  **covar; /**< covar[j,i], value of jth covariate for individual i,
1.141     brouard  1213:                  * covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n); 
1.187     brouard  1214:                  * cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*age; */
1.268     brouard  1215: double **coqvar; /* Fixed quantitative covariate nqv */
                   1216: double ***cotvar; /* Time varying covariate ntv */
1.225     brouard  1217: double ***cotqvar; /* Time varying quantitative covariate itqv */
1.141     brouard  1218: double  idx; 
                   1219: int **nbcode, *Tvar; /**< model=V2 => Tvar[1]= 2 */
1.234     brouard  1220: /*           V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1221: /*k          1  2   3   4     5    6    7     8    9 */
                   1222: /*Tvar[k]=   5  4   3   6     5    2    7     1    1 */
                   1223: /* Tndvar[k]    1   2   3               4          5 */
                   1224: /*TDvar         4   3   6               7          1 */ /* For outputs only; combination of dummies fixed or varying */
                   1225: /* Tns[k]    1  2   2              4               5 */ /* Number of single cova */
                   1226: /* TvarsD[k]    1   2                              3 */ /* Number of single dummy cova */
                   1227: /* TvarsDind    2   3                              9 */ /* position K of single dummy cova */
                   1228: /* TvarsQ[k] 1                     2                 */ /* Number of single quantitative cova */
                   1229: /* TvarsQind 1                     6                 */ /* position K of single quantitative cova */
                   1230: /* Tprod[i]=k           4               7            */
                   1231: /* Tage[i]=k                  5               8      */
                   1232: /* */
                   1233: /* Type                    */
                   1234: /* V         1  2  3  4  5 */
                   1235: /*           F  F  V  V  V */
                   1236: /*           D  Q  D  D  Q */
                   1237: /*                         */
                   1238: int *TvarsD;
                   1239: int *TvarsDind;
                   1240: int *TvarsQ;
                   1241: int *TvarsQind;
                   1242: 
1.235     brouard  1243: #define MAXRESULTLINES 10
                   1244: int nresult=0;
1.258     brouard  1245: int parameterline=0; /* # of the parameter (type) line */
1.235     brouard  1246: int TKresult[MAXRESULTLINES];
1.237     brouard  1247: int Tresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
                   1248: int Tinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX];/* For dummy variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1249: int Tvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For dummy variable , variable # (output) */
                   1250: double Tqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.237     brouard  1251: double Tqinvresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , value (output) */
1.235     brouard  1252: int Tvqresult[MAXRESULTLINES][NCOVMAX]; /* For quantitative variable , variable # (output) */
                   1253: 
1.234     brouard  1254: /* int *TDvar; /\**< TDvar[1]=4,  TDvarF[2]=3, TDvar[3]=6  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 *\/ */
1.232     brouard  1255: int *TvarF; /**< TvarF[1]=Tvar[6]=2,  TvarF[2]=Tvar[7]=7, TvarF[3]=Tvar[9]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1256: int *TvarFind; /**< TvarFind[1]=6,  TvarFind[2]=7, Tvarind[3]=9  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1257: int *TvarV; /**< TvarV[1]=Tvar[1]=5, TvarV[2]=Tvar[2]=4  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1258: int *TvarVind; /**< TvarVind[1]=1, TvarVind[2]=2  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1259: int *TvarA; /**< TvarA[1]=Tvar[5]=5, TvarA[2]=Tvar[8]=1  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1260: int *TvarAind; /**< TvarindA[1]=5, TvarAind[2]=8  in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  1261: int *TvarFD; /**< TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1262: int *TvarFDind; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   1263: int *TvarFQ; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1264: int *TvarFQind; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1265: int *TvarVD; /* TvarVD[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1266: int *TvarVDind; /* TvarVDind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
                   1267: int *TvarVQ; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1268: int *TvarVQind; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   1269: 
1.230     brouard  1270: int *Tvarsel; /**< Selected covariates for output */
                   1271: double *Tvalsel; /**< Selected modality value of covariate for output */
1.226     brouard  1272: int *Typevar; /**< 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product */
1.227     brouard  1273: int *Fixed; /** Fixed[k] 0=fixed, 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product */ 
                   1274: int *Dummy; /** Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product */ 
1.238     brouard  1275: int *DummyV; /** Dummy[v] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative */
                   1276: int *FixedV; /** FixedV[v] 0 fixed, 1 varying */
1.197     brouard  1277: int *Tage;
1.227     brouard  1278: int anyvaryingduminmodel=0; /**< Any varying dummy in Model=1 yes, 0 no, to avoid a loop on waves in freq */ 
1.228     brouard  1279: int *Tmodelind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.230     brouard  1280: int *TmodelInvind; /** Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9 for V1 position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/ 
                   1281: int *TmodelInvQind; /** Tmodelqind[1]=1 for V5(quantitative varying) position,Tvaraff[1]@9={4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0}, model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1  */
1.145     brouard  1282: int *Ndum; /** Freq of modality (tricode */
1.200     brouard  1283: /* int **codtab;*/ /**< codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10); */
1.227     brouard  1284: int **Tvard;
                   1285: int *Tprod;/**< Gives the k position of the k1 product */
1.238     brouard  1286: /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3  */
1.227     brouard  1287: int *Tposprod; /**< Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.238     brouard  1288:    /* if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2) */
                   1289:    /* Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5(V3*V2)]=2 (2nd product without age) */
1.227     brouard  1290: int cptcovprod, *Tvaraff, *invalidvarcomb;
1.126     brouard  1291: double *lsurv, *lpop, *tpop;
                   1292: 
1.231     brouard  1293: #define FD 1; /* Fixed dummy covariate */
                   1294: #define FQ 2; /* Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1295: #define FP 3; /* Fixed product covariate */
                   1296: #define FPDD 7; /* Fixed product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1297: #define FPDQ 8; /* Fixed product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1298: #define FPQQ 9; /* Fixed product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1299: #define VD 10; /* Varying dummy covariate */
                   1300: #define VQ 11; /* Varying quantitative covariate */
                   1301: #define VP 12; /* Varying product covariate */
                   1302: #define VPDD 13; /* Varying product dummy*dummy covariate */
                   1303: #define VPDQ 14; /* Varying product dummy*quantitative covariate */
                   1304: #define VPQQ 15; /* Varying product quantitative*quantitative covariate */
                   1305: #define APFD 16; /* Age product * fixed dummy covariate */
                   1306: #define APFQ 17; /* Age product * fixed quantitative covariate */
                   1307: #define APVD 18; /* Age product * varying dummy covariate */
                   1308: #define APVQ 19; /* Age product * varying quantitative covariate */
                   1309: 
                   1310: #define FTYPE 1; /* Fixed covariate */
                   1311: #define VTYPE 2; /* Varying covariate (loop in wave) */
                   1312: #define ATYPE 2; /* Age product covariate (loop in dh within wave)*/
                   1313: 
                   1314: struct kmodel{
                   1315:        int maintype; /* main type */
                   1316:        int subtype; /* subtype */
                   1317: };
                   1318: struct kmodel modell[NCOVMAX];
                   1319: 
1.143     brouard  1320: double ftol=FTOL; /**< Tolerance for computing Max Likelihood */
                   1321: double ftolhess; /**< Tolerance for computing hessian */
1.126     brouard  1322: 
                   1323: /**************** split *************************/
                   1324: static int split( char *path, char *dirc, char *name, char *ext, char *finame )
                   1325: {
                   1326:   /* From a file name with (full) path (either Unix or Windows) we extract the directory (dirc)
                   1327:      the name of the file (name), its extension only (ext) and its first part of the name (finame)
                   1328:   */ 
                   1329:   char *ss;                            /* pointer */
1.186     brouard  1330:   int  l1=0, l2=0;                             /* length counters */
1.126     brouard  1331: 
                   1332:   l1 = strlen(path );                  /* length of path */
                   1333:   if ( l1 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1334:   ss= strrchr( path, DIRSEPARATOR );           /* find last / */
                   1335:   if ( ss == NULL ) {                  /* no directory, so determine current directory */
                   1336:     strcpy( name, path );              /* we got the fullname name because no directory */
                   1337:     /*if(strrchr(path, ODIRSEPARATOR )==NULL)
                   1338:       printf("Warning you should use %s as a separator\n",DIRSEPARATOR);*/
                   1339:     /* get current working directory */
                   1340:     /*    extern  char* getcwd ( char *buf , int len);*/
1.184     brouard  1341: #ifdef WIN32
                   1342:     if (_getcwd( dirc, FILENAME_MAX ) == NULL ) {
                   1343: #else
                   1344:        if (getcwd(dirc, FILENAME_MAX) == NULL) {
                   1345: #endif
1.126     brouard  1346:       return( GLOCK_ERROR_GETCWD );
                   1347:     }
                   1348:     /* got dirc from getcwd*/
                   1349:     printf(" DIRC = %s \n",dirc);
1.205     brouard  1350:   } else {                             /* strip directory from path */
1.126     brouard  1351:     ss++;                              /* after this, the filename */
                   1352:     l2 = strlen( ss );                 /* length of filename */
                   1353:     if ( l2 == 0 ) return( GLOCK_ERROR_NOPATH );
                   1354:     strcpy( name, ss );                /* save file name */
                   1355:     strncpy( dirc, path, l1 - l2 );    /* now the directory */
1.186     brouard  1356:     dirc[l1-l2] = '\0';                        /* add zero */
1.126     brouard  1357:     printf(" DIRC2 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1358:   }
                   1359:   /* We add a separator at the end of dirc if not exists */
                   1360:   l1 = strlen( dirc );                 /* length of directory */
                   1361:   if( dirc[l1-1] != DIRSEPARATOR ){
                   1362:     dirc[l1] =  DIRSEPARATOR;
                   1363:     dirc[l1+1] = 0; 
                   1364:     printf(" DIRC3 = %s \n",dirc);
                   1365:   }
                   1366:   ss = strrchr( name, '.' );           /* find last / */
                   1367:   if (ss >0){
                   1368:     ss++;
                   1369:     strcpy(ext,ss);                    /* save extension */
                   1370:     l1= strlen( name);
                   1371:     l2= strlen(ss)+1;
                   1372:     strncpy( finame, name, l1-l2);
                   1373:     finame[l1-l2]= 0;
                   1374:   }
                   1375: 
                   1376:   return( 0 );                         /* we're done */
                   1377: }
                   1378: 
                   1379: 
                   1380: /******************************************/
                   1381: 
                   1382: void replace_back_to_slash(char *s, char*t)
                   1383: {
                   1384:   int i;
                   1385:   int lg=0;
                   1386:   i=0;
                   1387:   lg=strlen(t);
                   1388:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
                   1389:     (s[i] = t[i]);
                   1390:     if (t[i]== '\\') s[i]='/';
                   1391:   }
                   1392: }
                   1393: 
1.132     brouard  1394: char *trimbb(char *out, char *in)
1.137     brouard  1395: { /* Trim multiple blanks in line but keeps first blanks if line starts with blanks */
1.132     brouard  1396:   char *s;
                   1397:   s=out;
                   1398:   while (*in != '\0'){
1.137     brouard  1399:     while( *in == ' ' && *(in+1) == ' '){ /* && *(in+1) != '\0'){*/
1.132     brouard  1400:       in++;
                   1401:     }
                   1402:     *out++ = *in++;
                   1403:   }
                   1404:   *out='\0';
                   1405:   return s;
                   1406: }
                   1407: 
1.187     brouard  1408: /* char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain) */
                   1409: /* { */
                   1410: /*   /\* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' *\/ */
                   1411: /*   char *s, *t; */
                   1412: /*   t=in;s=out; */
                   1413: /*   while ((*in != *chain) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1414: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1415: /*   } */
                   1416: 
                   1417: /*   /\* *in matches *chain *\/ */
                   1418: /*   while ((*in++ == *chain++) && (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1419: /*     printf("*in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1420: /*   } */
                   1421: /*   in--; chain--; */
                   1422: /*   while ( (*in != '\0')){ */
                   1423: /*     printf("Bef *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1424: /*     *out++ = *in++; */
                   1425: /*     printf("Aft *in = %c, *out= %c *chain= %c \n", *in, *out, *chain);  */
                   1426: /*   } */
                   1427: /*   *out='\0'; */
                   1428: /*   out=s; */
                   1429: /*   return out; */
                   1430: /* } */
                   1431: char *substrchaine(char *out, char *in, char *chain)
                   1432: {
                   1433:   /* Substract chain 'chain' from 'in', return and output 'out' */
                   1434:   /* in="V1+V1*age+age*age+V2", chain="age*age" */
                   1435: 
                   1436:   char *strloc;
                   1437: 
                   1438:   strcpy (out, in); 
                   1439:   strloc = strstr(out, chain); /* strloc points to out at age*age+V2 */
                   1440:   printf("Bef strloc=%s chain=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, out);
                   1441:   if(strloc != NULL){ 
                   1442:     /* will affect out */ /* strloc+strlenc(chain)=+V2 */ /* Will also work in Unicode */
                   1443:     memmove(strloc,strloc+strlen(chain), strlen(strloc+strlen(chain))+1);
                   1444:     /* strcpy (strloc, strloc +strlen(chain));*/
                   1445:   }
                   1446:   printf("Aft strloc=%s chain=%s in=%s out=%s \n", strloc, chain, in, out);
                   1447:   return out;
                   1448: }
                   1449: 
                   1450: 
1.145     brouard  1451: char *cutl(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1452: {
1.187     brouard  1453:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before FIRST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.145     brouard  1454:      and alocc starts after first occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
1.187     brouard  1455:      gives blocc="abcdef" and alocc="ghi2j".
1.145     brouard  1456:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns blocc
                   1457:   */
1.160     brouard  1458:   char *s, *t;
1.145     brouard  1459:   t=in;s=in;
                   1460:   while ((*in != occ) && (*in != '\0')){
                   1461:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1462:   }
                   1463:   if( *in == occ){
                   1464:     *(alocc)='\0';
                   1465:     s=++in;
                   1466:   }
                   1467:  
                   1468:   if (s == t) {/* occ not found */
                   1469:     *(alocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1470:     in=s;
                   1471:   }
                   1472:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1473:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1474:   }
                   1475: 
                   1476:   *blocc='\0';
                   1477:   return t;
                   1478: }
1.137     brouard  1479: char *cutv(char *blocc, char *alocc, char *in, char occ)
                   1480: {
1.187     brouard  1481:   /* cuts string in into blocc and alocc where blocc ends before LAST occurence of char 'occ' 
1.137     brouard  1482:      and alocc starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(blocc,alocc,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2')
                   1483:      gives blocc="abcdef2ghi" and alocc="j".
                   1484:      If occ is not found blocc is null and alocc is equal to in. Returns alocc
                   1485:   */
                   1486:   char *s, *t;
                   1487:   t=in;s=in;
                   1488:   while (*in != '\0'){
                   1489:     while( *in == occ){
                   1490:       *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1491:       s=in;
                   1492:     }
                   1493:     *blocc++ = *in++;
                   1494:   }
                   1495:   if (s == t) /* occ not found */
                   1496:     *(blocc-(in-s))='\0';
                   1497:   else
                   1498:     *(blocc-(in-s)-1)='\0';
                   1499:   in=s;
                   1500:   while ( *in != '\0'){
                   1501:     *alocc++ = *in++;
                   1502:   }
                   1503: 
                   1504:   *alocc='\0';
                   1505:   return s;
                   1506: }
                   1507: 
1.126     brouard  1508: int nbocc(char *s, char occ)
                   1509: {
                   1510:   int i,j=0;
                   1511:   int lg=20;
                   1512:   i=0;
                   1513:   lg=strlen(s);
                   1514:   for(i=0; i<= lg; i++) {
1.234     brouard  1515:     if  (s[i] == occ ) j++;
1.126     brouard  1516:   }
                   1517:   return j;
                   1518: }
                   1519: 
1.137     brouard  1520: /* void cutv(char *u,char *v, char*t, char occ) */
                   1521: /* { */
                   1522: /*   /\* cuts string t into u and v where u ends before last occurence of char 'occ'  */
                   1523: /*      and v starts after last occurence of char 'occ' : ex cutv(u,v,"abcdef2ghi2j",'2') */
                   1524: /*      gives u="abcdef2ghi" and v="j" *\/ */
                   1525: /*   int i,lg,j,p=0; */
                   1526: /*   i=0; */
                   1527: /*   lg=strlen(t); */
                   1528: /*   for(j=0; j<=lg-1; j++) { */
                   1529: /*     if((t[j]!= occ) && (t[j+1]== occ)) p=j+1; */
                   1530: /*   } */
1.126     brouard  1531: 
1.137     brouard  1532: /*   for(j=0; j<p; j++) { */
                   1533: /*     (u[j] = t[j]); */
                   1534: /*   } */
                   1535: /*      u[p]='\0'; */
1.126     brouard  1536: 
1.137     brouard  1537: /*    for(j=0; j<= lg; j++) { */
                   1538: /*     if (j>=(p+1))(v[j-p-1] = t[j]); */
                   1539: /*   } */
                   1540: /* } */
1.126     brouard  1541: 
1.160     brouard  1542: #ifdef _WIN32
                   1543: char * strsep(char **pp, const char *delim)
                   1544: {
                   1545:   char *p, *q;
                   1546:          
                   1547:   if ((p = *pp) == NULL)
                   1548:     return 0;
                   1549:   if ((q = strpbrk (p, delim)) != NULL)
                   1550:   {
                   1551:     *pp = q + 1;
                   1552:     *q = '\0';
                   1553:   }
                   1554:   else
                   1555:     *pp = 0;
                   1556:   return p;
                   1557: }
                   1558: #endif
                   1559: 
1.126     brouard  1560: /********************** nrerror ********************/
                   1561: 
                   1562: void nrerror(char error_text[])
                   1563: {
                   1564:   fprintf(stderr,"ERREUR ...\n");
                   1565:   fprintf(stderr,"%s\n",error_text);
                   1566:   exit(EXIT_FAILURE);
                   1567: }
                   1568: /*********************** vector *******************/
                   1569: double *vector(int nl, int nh)
                   1570: {
                   1571:   double *v;
                   1572:   v=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1573:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in vector");
                   1574:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1575: }
                   1576: 
                   1577: /************************ free vector ******************/
                   1578: void free_vector(double*v, int nl, int nh)
                   1579: {
                   1580:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1581: }
                   1582: 
                   1583: /************************ivector *******************************/
                   1584: int *ivector(long nl,long nh)
                   1585: {
                   1586:   int *v;
                   1587:   v=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(int)));
                   1588:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1589:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1590: }
                   1591: 
                   1592: /******************free ivector **************************/
                   1593: void free_ivector(int *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1594: {
                   1595:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1596: }
                   1597: 
                   1598: /************************lvector *******************************/
                   1599: long *lvector(long nl,long nh)
                   1600: {
                   1601:   long *v;
                   1602:   v=(long *) malloc((size_t)((nh-nl+1+NR_END)*sizeof(long)));
                   1603:   if (!v) nrerror("allocation failure in ivector");
                   1604:   return v-nl+NR_END;
                   1605: }
                   1606: 
                   1607: /******************free lvector **************************/
                   1608: void free_lvector(long *v, long nl, long nh)
                   1609: {
                   1610:   free((FREE_ARG)(v+nl-NR_END));
                   1611: }
                   1612: 
                   1613: /******************* imatrix *******************************/
                   1614: int **imatrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch) 
                   1615:      /* allocate a int matrix with subscript range m[nrl..nrh][ncl..nch] */ 
                   1616: { 
                   1617:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1,ncol=nch-ncl+1; 
                   1618:   int **m; 
                   1619:   
                   1620:   /* allocate pointers to rows */ 
                   1621:   m=(int **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(int*))); 
                   1622:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()"); 
                   1623:   m += NR_END; 
                   1624:   m -= nrl; 
                   1625:   
                   1626:   
                   1627:   /* allocate rows and set pointers to them */ 
                   1628:   m[nrl]=(int *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(int))); 
                   1629:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()"); 
                   1630:   m[nrl] += NR_END; 
                   1631:   m[nrl] -= ncl; 
                   1632:   
                   1633:   for(i=nrl+1;i<=nrh;i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol; 
                   1634:   
                   1635:   /* return pointer to array of pointers to rows */ 
                   1636:   return m; 
                   1637: } 
                   1638: 
                   1639: /****************** free_imatrix *************************/
                   1640: void free_imatrix(m,nrl,nrh,ncl,nch)
                   1641:       int **m;
                   1642:       long nch,ncl,nrh,nrl; 
                   1643:      /* free an int matrix allocated by imatrix() */ 
                   1644: { 
                   1645:   free((FREE_ARG) (m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END)); 
                   1646:   free((FREE_ARG) (m+nrl-NR_END)); 
                   1647: } 
                   1648: 
                   1649: /******************* matrix *******************************/
                   1650: double **matrix(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1651: {
                   1652:   long i, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1;
                   1653:   double **m;
                   1654: 
                   1655:   m=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1656:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1657:   m += NR_END;
                   1658:   m -= nrl;
                   1659: 
                   1660:   m[nrl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1661:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1662:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1663:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1664: 
                   1665:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1666:   return m;
1.145     brouard  1667:   /* print *(*(m+1)+70) or print m[1][70]; print m+1 or print &(m[1]) or &(m[1][0])
                   1668: m[i] = address of ith row of the table. &(m[i]) is its value which is another adress
                   1669: that of m[i][0]. In order to get the value p m[i][0] but it is unitialized.
1.126     brouard  1670:    */
                   1671: }
                   1672: 
                   1673: /*************************free matrix ************************/
                   1674: void free_matrix(double **m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch)
                   1675: {
                   1676:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1677:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1678: }
                   1679: 
                   1680: /******************* ma3x *******************************/
                   1681: double ***ma3x(long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch, long nll, long nlh)
                   1682: {
                   1683:   long i, j, nrow=nrh-nrl+1, ncol=nch-ncl+1, nlay=nlh-nll+1;
                   1684:   double ***m;
                   1685: 
                   1686:   m=(double ***) malloc((size_t)((nrow+NR_END)*sizeof(double*)));
                   1687:   if (!m) nrerror("allocation failure 1 in matrix()");
                   1688:   m += NR_END;
                   1689:   m -= nrl;
                   1690: 
                   1691:   m[nrl]=(double **) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1692:   if (!m[nrl]) nrerror("allocation failure 2 in matrix()");
                   1693:   m[nrl] += NR_END;
                   1694:   m[nrl] -= ncl;
                   1695: 
                   1696:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) m[i]=m[i-1]+ncol;
                   1697: 
                   1698:   m[nrl][ncl]=(double *) malloc((size_t)((nrow*ncol*nlay+NR_END)*sizeof(double)));
                   1699:   if (!m[nrl][ncl]) nrerror("allocation failure 3 in matrix()");
                   1700:   m[nrl][ncl] += NR_END;
                   1701:   m[nrl][ncl] -= nll;
                   1702:   for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1703:     m[nrl][j]=m[nrl][j-1]+nlay;
                   1704:   
                   1705:   for (i=nrl+1; i<=nrh; i++) {
                   1706:     m[i][ncl]=m[i-1l][ncl]+ncol*nlay;
                   1707:     for (j=ncl+1; j<=nch; j++) 
                   1708:       m[i][j]=m[i][j-1]+nlay;
                   1709:   }
                   1710:   return m; 
                   1711:   /*  gdb: p *(m+1) <=> p m[1] and p (m+1) <=> p (m+1) <=> p &(m[1])
                   1712:            &(m[i][j][k]) <=> *((*(m+i) + j)+k)
                   1713:   */
                   1714: }
                   1715: 
                   1716: /*************************free ma3x ************************/
                   1717: void free_ma3x(double ***m, long nrl, long nrh, long ncl, long nch,long nll, long nlh)
                   1718: {
                   1719:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl][ncl]+ nll-NR_END));
                   1720:   free((FREE_ARG)(m[nrl]+ncl-NR_END));
                   1721:   free((FREE_ARG)(m+nrl-NR_END));
                   1722: }
                   1723: 
                   1724: /*************** function subdirf ***********/
                   1725: char *subdirf(char fileres[])
                   1726: {
                   1727:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1728:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1729:   strcat(tmpout,"/"); /* Add to the right */
                   1730:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1731:   return tmpout;
                   1732: }
                   1733: 
                   1734: /*************** function subdirf2 ***********/
                   1735: char *subdirf2(char fileres[], char *preop)
                   1736: {
                   1737:   
                   1738:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1739:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1740:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1741:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1742:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1743:   return tmpout;
                   1744: }
                   1745: 
                   1746: /*************** function subdirf3 ***********/
                   1747: char *subdirf3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *preop2)
                   1748: {
                   1749:   
                   1750:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1751:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1752:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1753:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1754:   strcat(tmpout,preop2);
                   1755:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1756:   return tmpout;
                   1757: }
1.213     brouard  1758:  
                   1759: /*************** function subdirfext ***********/
                   1760: char *subdirfext(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1761: {
                   1762:   
                   1763:   strcpy(tmpout,preop);
                   1764:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1765:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1766:   return tmpout;
                   1767: }
1.126     brouard  1768: 
1.213     brouard  1769: /*************** function subdirfext3 ***********/
                   1770: char *subdirfext3(char fileres[], char *preop, char *postop)
                   1771: {
                   1772:   
                   1773:   /* Caution optionfilefiname is hidden */
                   1774:   strcpy(tmpout,optionfilefiname);
                   1775:   strcat(tmpout,"/");
                   1776:   strcat(tmpout,preop);
                   1777:   strcat(tmpout,fileres);
                   1778:   strcat(tmpout,postop);
                   1779:   return tmpout;
                   1780: }
                   1781:  
1.162     brouard  1782: char *asc_diff_time(long time_sec, char ascdiff[])
                   1783: {
                   1784:   long sec_left, days, hours, minutes;
                   1785:   days = (time_sec) / (60*60*24);
                   1786:   sec_left = (time_sec) % (60*60*24);
                   1787:   hours = (sec_left) / (60*60) ;
                   1788:   sec_left = (sec_left) %(60*60);
                   1789:   minutes = (sec_left) /60;
                   1790:   sec_left = (sec_left) % (60);
                   1791:   sprintf(ascdiff,"%ld day(s) %ld hour(s) %ld minute(s) %ld second(s)",days, hours, minutes, sec_left);  
                   1792:   return ascdiff;
                   1793: }
                   1794: 
1.126     brouard  1795: /***************** f1dim *************************/
                   1796: extern int ncom; 
                   1797: extern double *pcom,*xicom;
                   1798: extern double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   1799:  
                   1800: double f1dim(double x) 
                   1801: { 
                   1802:   int j; 
                   1803:   double f;
                   1804:   double *xt; 
                   1805:  
                   1806:   xt=vector(1,ncom); 
                   1807:   for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]; 
                   1808:   f=(*nrfunc)(xt); 
                   1809:   free_vector(xt,1,ncom); 
                   1810:   return f; 
                   1811: } 
                   1812: 
                   1813: /*****************brent *************************/
                   1814: double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, double (*f)(double), double tol,         double *xmin) 
1.187     brouard  1815: {
                   1816:   /* Given a function f, and given a bracketing triplet of abscissas ax, bx, cx (such that bx is
                   1817:    * between ax and cx, and f(bx) is less than both f(ax) and f(cx) ), this routine isolates
                   1818:    * the minimum to a fractional precision of about tol using Brent’s method. The abscissa of
                   1819:    * the minimum is returned as xmin, and the minimum function value is returned as brent , the
                   1820:    * returned function value. 
                   1821:   */
1.126     brouard  1822:   int iter; 
                   1823:   double a,b,d,etemp;
1.159     brouard  1824:   double fu=0,fv,fw,fx;
1.164     brouard  1825:   double ftemp=0.;
1.126     brouard  1826:   double p,q,r,tol1,tol2,u,v,w,x,xm; 
                   1827:   double e=0.0; 
                   1828:  
                   1829:   a=(ax < cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1830:   b=(ax > cx ? ax : cx); 
                   1831:   x=w=v=bx; 
                   1832:   fw=fv=fx=(*f)(x); 
                   1833:   for (iter=1;iter<=ITMAX;iter++) { 
                   1834:     xm=0.5*(a+b); 
                   1835:     tol2=2.0*(tol1=tol*fabs(x)+ZEPS); 
                   1836:     /*         if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret)))*/
                   1837:     printf(".");fflush(stdout);
                   1838:     fprintf(ficlog,".");fflush(ficlog);
1.162     brouard  1839: #ifdef DEBUGBRENT
1.126     brouard  1840:     printf("br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1841:     fprintf(ficlog,"br %d,x=%.10e xm=%.10e b=%.10e a=%.10e tol=%.10e tol1=%.10e tol2=%.10e x-xm=%.10e fx=%.12e fu=%.12e,fw=%.12e,ftemp=%.12e,ftol=%.12e\n",iter,x,xm,b,a,tol,tol1,tol2,(x-xm),fx,fu,fw,ftemp,ftol);
                   1842:     /*         if ((fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a)))||(2.0*fabs(fu-ftemp) <= ftol*1.e-2*(fabs(fu)+fabs(ftemp)))) { */
                   1843: #endif
                   1844:     if (fabs(x-xm) <= (tol2-0.5*(b-a))){ 
                   1845:       *xmin=x; 
                   1846:       return fx; 
                   1847:     } 
                   1848:     ftemp=fu;
                   1849:     if (fabs(e) > tol1) { 
                   1850:       r=(x-w)*(fx-fv); 
                   1851:       q=(x-v)*(fx-fw); 
                   1852:       p=(x-v)*q-(x-w)*r; 
                   1853:       q=2.0*(q-r); 
                   1854:       if (q > 0.0) p = -p; 
                   1855:       q=fabs(q); 
                   1856:       etemp=e; 
                   1857:       e=d; 
                   1858:       if (fabs(p) >= fabs(0.5*q*etemp) || p <= q*(a-x) || p >= q*(b-x)) 
1.224     brouard  1859:                                d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
1.126     brouard  1860:       else { 
1.224     brouard  1861:                                d=p/q; 
                   1862:                                u=x+d; 
                   1863:                                if (u-a < tol2 || b-u < tol2) 
                   1864:                                        d=SIGN(tol1,xm-x); 
1.126     brouard  1865:       } 
                   1866:     } else { 
                   1867:       d=CGOLD*(e=(x >= xm ? a-x : b-x)); 
                   1868:     } 
                   1869:     u=(fabs(d) >= tol1 ? x+d : x+SIGN(tol1,d)); 
                   1870:     fu=(*f)(u); 
                   1871:     if (fu <= fx) { 
                   1872:       if (u >= x) a=x; else b=x; 
                   1873:       SHFT(v,w,x,u) 
1.183     brouard  1874:       SHFT(fv,fw,fx,fu) 
                   1875:     } else { 
                   1876:       if (u < x) a=u; else b=u; 
                   1877:       if (fu <= fw || w == x) { 
1.224     brouard  1878:                                v=w; 
                   1879:                                w=u; 
                   1880:                                fv=fw; 
                   1881:                                fw=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1882:       } else if (fu <= fv || v == x || v == w) { 
1.224     brouard  1883:                                v=u; 
                   1884:                                fv=fu; 
1.183     brouard  1885:       } 
                   1886:     } 
1.126     brouard  1887:   } 
                   1888:   nrerror("Too many iterations in brent"); 
                   1889:   *xmin=x; 
                   1890:   return fx; 
                   1891: } 
                   1892: 
                   1893: /****************** mnbrak ***********************/
                   1894: 
                   1895: void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, double *fc, 
                   1896:            double (*func)(double)) 
1.183     brouard  1897: { /* Given a function func , and given distinct initial points ax and bx , this routine searches in
                   1898: the downhill direction (defined by the function as evaluated at the initial points) and returns
                   1899: new points ax , bx , cx that bracket a minimum of the function. Also returned are the function
                   1900: values at the three points, fa, fb , and fc such that fa > fb and fb < fc.
                   1901:    */
1.126     brouard  1902:   double ulim,u,r,q, dum;
                   1903:   double fu; 
1.187     brouard  1904: 
                   1905:   double scale=10.;
                   1906:   int iterscale=0;
                   1907: 
                   1908:   *fa=(*func)(*ax); /*  xta[j]=pcom[j]+(*ax)*xicom[j]; fa=f(xta[j])*/
                   1909:   *fb=(*func)(*bx); /*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) */
                   1910: 
                   1911: 
                   1912:   /* while(*fb != *fb){ /\* *ax should be ok, reducing distance to *ax *\/ */
                   1913:   /*   printf("Warning mnbrak *fb = %lf, *bx=%lf *ax=%lf *fa==%lf iter=%d\n",*fb, *bx, *ax, *fa, iterscale++); */
                   1914:   /*   *bx = *ax - (*ax - *bx)/scale; */
                   1915:   /*   *fb=(*func)(*bx);  /\*  xtb[j]=pcom[j]+(*bx)*xicom[j]; fb=f(xtb[j]) *\/ */
                   1916:   /* } */
                   1917: 
1.126     brouard  1918:   if (*fb > *fa) { 
                   1919:     SHFT(dum,*ax,*bx,dum) 
1.183     brouard  1920:     SHFT(dum,*fb,*fa,dum) 
                   1921:   } 
1.126     brouard  1922:   *cx=(*bx)+GOLD*(*bx-*ax); 
                   1923:   *fc=(*func)(*cx); 
1.183     brouard  1924: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1925:   printf("mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
                   1926:   fprintf(ficlog,"mnbrak0 a=%lf *fa=%lf, b=%lf *fb=%lf, c=%lf *fc=%lf\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx, *fc);
1.183     brouard  1927: #endif
1.224     brouard  1928:   while (*fb > *fc) { /* Declining a,b,c with fa> fb > fc. If fc=inf it exits and if flat fb=fc it exits too.*/
1.126     brouard  1929:     r=(*bx-*ax)*(*fb-*fc); 
1.224     brouard  1930:     q=(*bx-*cx)*(*fb-*fa); /* What if fa=inf */
1.126     brouard  1931:     u=(*bx)-((*bx-*cx)*q-(*bx-*ax)*r)/ 
1.183     brouard  1932:       (2.0*SIGN(FMAX(fabs(q-r),TINY),q-r)); /* Minimum abscissa of a parabolic estimated from (a,fa), (b,fb) and (c,fc). */
                   1933:     ulim=(*bx)+GLIMIT*(*cx-*bx); /* Maximum abscissa where function should be evaluated */
                   1934:     if ((*bx-u)*(u-*cx) > 0.0) { /* if u_p is between b and c */
1.126     brouard  1935:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.163     brouard  1936: #ifdef DEBUG
                   1937:       /* f(x)=A(x-u)**2+f(u) */
                   1938:       double A, fparabu; 
                   1939:       A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1940:       fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
1.224     brouard  1941:       printf("\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
                   1942:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf),  (*u=%.12f, fu=%.12lf, fparabu=%.12f, q=%lf < %lf=r)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc,u,fu, fparabu,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1943:       /* And thus,it can be that fu > *fc even if fparabu < *fc */
                   1944:       /* mnbrak (*ax=7.666299858533, *fa=299039.693133272231), (*bx=8.595447774979, *fb=298976.598289369489),
                   1945:         (*cx=10.098840694817, *fc=298946.631474258087),  (*u=9.852501168332, fu=298948.773013752128, fparabu=298945.434711494134) */
                   1946:       /* In that case, there is no bracket in the output! Routine is wrong with many consequences.*/
1.163     brouard  1947: #endif 
1.184     brouard  1948: #ifdef MNBRAKORIGINAL
1.183     brouard  1949: #else
1.191     brouard  1950: /*       if (fu > *fc) { */
                   1951: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1952: /*       printf("mnbrak4  fu > fc \n"); */
                   1953: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak4 fu > fc\n"); */
                   1954: /* #endif */
                   1955: /*     /\* SHFT(u,*cx,*cx,u) /\\* ie a=c, c=u and u=c; in that case, next SHFT(a,b,c,u) will give a=b=b, b=c=u, c=u=c and *\\/  *\/ */
                   1956: /*     /\* SHFT(*fa,*fc,fu,*fc) /\\* (b, u, c) is a bracket while test fb > fc will be fu > fc  will exit *\\/ *\/ */
                   1957: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1958: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1959: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1960: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1961: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1962: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1963: /*       } else { /\* end *\/ */
                   1964: /* #ifdef DEBUG */
                   1965: /*       printf("mnbrak3  fu < fc \n"); */
                   1966: /*       fprintf(ficlog, "mnbrak3 fu < fc\n"); */
                   1967: /* #endif */
                   1968: /*     dum=u; /\* Shifting c and u *\/ */
                   1969: /*     u = *cx; */
                   1970: /*     *cx = dum; */
                   1971: /*     dum = fu; */
                   1972: /*     fu = *fc; */
                   1973: /*     *fc =dum; */
                   1974: /*       } */
1.224     brouard  1975: #ifdef DEBUGMNBRAK
                   1976:                 double A, fparabu; 
                   1977:      A= (*fb - *fa)/(*bx-*ax)/(*bx+*ax-2*u);
                   1978:      fparabu= *fa - A*(*ax-u)*(*ax-u);
                   1979:      printf("\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
                   1980:      fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak35 ax=%lf fa=%lf bx=%lf fb=%lf, u=%lf fp=%lf fu=%lf < or >= fc=%lf cx=%lf, q=%lf < %lf=r \n",*ax, *fa, *bx,*fb,u,fparabu,fu,*fc,*cx,q,r);
1.183     brouard  1981: #endif
1.191     brouard  1982:       dum=u; /* Shifting c and u */
                   1983:       u = *cx;
                   1984:       *cx = dum;
                   1985:       dum = fu;
                   1986:       fu = *fc;
                   1987:       *fc =dum;
1.183     brouard  1988: #endif
1.162     brouard  1989:     } else if ((*cx-u)*(u-ulim) > 0.0) { /* u is after c but before ulim */
1.183     brouard  1990: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1991:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
                   1992:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim\n",u,*cx);
1.183     brouard  1993: #endif
1.126     brouard  1994:       fu=(*func)(u); 
                   1995:       if (fu < *fc) { 
1.183     brouard  1996: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  1997:                                printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1998:                          fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf after c=%lf but before ulim=%lf AND fu=%lf < %lf=fc\n",u,*cx,ulim,fu, *fc);
                   1999: #endif
                   2000:                          SHFT(*bx,*cx,u,*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx)) 
                   2001:                                SHFT(*fb,*fc,fu,(*func)(u)) 
                   2002: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2003:                                        printf("\nmnbrak2 shift GOLD c=%lf",*cx+GOLD*(*cx-*bx));
1.183     brouard  2004: #endif
                   2005:       } 
1.162     brouard  2006:     } else if ((u-ulim)*(ulim-*cx) >= 0.0) { /* u outside ulim (verifying that ulim is beyond c) */
1.183     brouard  2007: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2008:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
                   2009:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf outside ulim=%lf (verifying that ulim is beyond c=%lf)\n",u,ulim,*cx);
1.183     brouard  2010: #endif
1.126     brouard  2011:       u=ulim; 
                   2012:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.183     brouard  2013:     } else { /* u could be left to b (if r > q parabola has a maximum) */
                   2014: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2015:       printf("\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
                   2016:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2  u=%lf could be left to b=%lf (if r=%lf > q=%lf parabola has a maximum)\n",u,*bx,r,q);
1.183     brouard  2017: #endif
1.126     brouard  2018:       u=(*cx)+GOLD*(*cx-*bx); 
                   2019:       fu=(*func)(u); 
1.224     brouard  2020: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2021:       printf("\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2022:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nmnbrak2 new u=%lf fu=%lf shifted gold left from c=%lf and b=%lf \n",u,fu,*cx,*bx);
                   2023: #endif
1.183     brouard  2024:     } /* end tests */
1.126     brouard  2025:     SHFT(*ax,*bx,*cx,u) 
1.183     brouard  2026:     SHFT(*fa,*fb,*fc,fu) 
                   2027: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2028:       printf("\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
                   2029:       fprintf(ficlog, "\nmnbrak2 shift (*ax=%.12f, *fa=%.12lf), (*bx=%.12f, *fb=%.12lf), (*cx=%.12f, *fc=%.12lf)\n",*ax,*fa,*bx,*fb,*cx,*fc);
1.183     brouard  2030: #endif
                   2031:   } /* end while; ie return (a, b, c, fa, fb, fc) such that a < b < c with f(a) > f(b) and fb < f(c) */
1.126     brouard  2032: } 
                   2033: 
                   2034: /*************** linmin ************************/
1.162     brouard  2035: /* Given an n -dimensional point p[1..n] and an n -dimensional direction xi[1..n] , moves and
                   2036: resets p to where the function func(p) takes on a minimum along the direction xi from p ,
                   2037: and replaces xi by the actual vector displacement that p was moved. Also returns as fret
                   2038: the value of func at the returned location p . This is actually all accomplished by calling the
                   2039: routines mnbrak and brent .*/
1.126     brouard  2040: int ncom; 
                   2041: double *pcom,*xicom;
                   2042: double (*nrfunc)(double []); 
                   2043:  
1.224     brouard  2044: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.126     brouard  2045: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double [])) 
1.224     brouard  2046: #else
                   2047: void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,double (*func)(double []), int *flat) 
                   2048: #endif
1.126     brouard  2049: { 
                   2050:   double brent(double ax, double bx, double cx, 
                   2051:               double (*f)(double), double tol, double *xmin); 
                   2052:   double f1dim(double x); 
                   2053:   void mnbrak(double *ax, double *bx, double *cx, double *fa, double *fb, 
                   2054:              double *fc, double (*func)(double)); 
                   2055:   int j; 
                   2056:   double xx,xmin,bx,ax; 
                   2057:   double fx,fb,fa;
1.187     brouard  2058: 
1.203     brouard  2059: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2060: #else
                   2061:   double scale=10., axs, xxs; /* Scale added for infinity */
                   2062: #endif
                   2063:   
1.126     brouard  2064:   ncom=n; 
                   2065:   pcom=vector(1,n); 
                   2066:   xicom=vector(1,n); 
                   2067:   nrfunc=func; 
                   2068:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2069:     pcom[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2070:     xicom[j]=xi[j]; /* Former scale xi[j] of currrent direction i */
1.126     brouard  2071:   } 
1.187     brouard  2072: 
1.203     brouard  2073: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2074:   xx=1.;
                   2075: #else
                   2076:   axs=0.0;
                   2077:   xxs=1.;
                   2078:   do{
                   2079:     xx= xxs;
                   2080: #endif
1.187     brouard  2081:     ax=0.;
                   2082:     mnbrak(&ax,&xx,&bx,&fa,&fx,&fb,f1dim);  /* Outputs: xtx[j]=pcom[j]+(*xx)*xicom[j]; fx=f(xtx[j]) */
                   2083:     /* brackets with inputs ax=0 and xx=1, but points, pcom=p, and directions values, xicom=xi, are sent via f1dim(x) */
                   2084:     /* xt[x,j]=pcom[j]+x*xicom[j]  f(ax) = f(xt(a,j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 0 * xi(j)) and  f(xx) = f(xt(x, j=1,n)) = f(p(j) + 1 * xi(j))   */
                   2085:     /* Outputs: fa=f(p(j)) and fx=f(p(j) + xxs * xi(j) ) and f(bx)= f(p(j)+ bx* xi(j)) */
                   2086:     /* Given input ax=axs and xx=xxs, xx might be too far from ax to get a finite f(xx) */
                   2087:     /* Searches on line, outputs (ax, xx, bx) such that fx < min(fa and fb) */
                   2088:     /* Find a bracket a,x,b in direction n=xi ie xicom, order may change. Scale is [0:xxs*xi[j]] et non plus  [0:xi[j]]*/
1.203     brouard  2089: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2090: #else
                   2091:     if (fx != fx){
1.224     brouard  2092:                        xxs=xxs/scale; /* Trying a smaller xx, closer to initial ax=0 */
                   2093:                        printf("|");
                   2094:                        fprintf(ficlog,"|");
1.203     brouard  2095: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.224     brouard  2096:                        printf("\nLinmin NAN : input [axs=%lf:xxs=%lf], mnbrak outputs fx=%lf <(fb=%lf and fa=%lf) with xx=%lf in [ax=%lf:bx=%lf] \n",  axs, xxs, fx,fb, fa, xx, ax, bx);
1.203     brouard  2097: #endif
                   2098:     }
1.224     brouard  2099:   }while(fx != fx && xxs > 1.e-5);
1.203     brouard  2100: #endif
                   2101:   
1.191     brouard  2102: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2103:   printf("\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.202     brouard  2104:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nLinmin after mnbrak: ax=%12.7f xx=%12.7f bx=%12.7f fa=%12.2f fx=%12.2f fb=%12.2f\n",  ax,xx,bx,fa,fx,fb);
1.191     brouard  2105: #endif
1.224     brouard  2106: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2107: #else
                   2108:        if(fb == fx){ /* Flat function in the direction */
                   2109:                xmin=xx;
                   2110:     *flat=1;
                   2111:        }else{
                   2112:     *flat=0;
                   2113: #endif
                   2114:                /*Flat mnbrak2 shift (*ax=0.000000000000, *fa=51626.272983130431), (*bx=-1.618034000000, *fb=51590.149499362531), (*cx=-4.236068025156, *fc=51590.149499362531) */
1.187     brouard  2115:   *fret=brent(ax,xx,bx,f1dim,TOL,&xmin); /* Giving a bracketting triplet (ax, xx, bx), find a minimum, xmin, according to f1dim, *fret(xmin),*/
                   2116:   /* fa = f(p[j] + ax * xi[j]), fx = f(p[j] + xx * xi[j]), fb = f(p[j] + bx * xi[j]) */
                   2117:   /* fmin = f(p[j] + xmin * xi[j]) */
                   2118:   /* P+lambda n in that direction (lambdamin), with TOL between abscisses */
                   2119:   /* f1dim(xmin): for (j=1;j<=ncom;j++) xt[j]=pcom[j]+xmin*xicom[j]; */
1.126     brouard  2120: #ifdef DEBUG
1.224     brouard  2121:   printf("retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2122:   fprintf(ficlog,"retour brent from bracket (a=%lf fa=%lf, xx=%lf fx=%lf, b=%lf fb=%lf): fret=%lf xmin=%lf\n",ax,fa,xx,fx,bx,fb,*fret,xmin);
                   2123: #endif
                   2124: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2125: #else
                   2126:                        }
1.126     brouard  2127: #endif
1.191     brouard  2128: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2129:   printf("linmin end ");
1.202     brouard  2130:   fprintf(ficlog,"linmin end ");
1.191     brouard  2131: #endif
1.126     brouard  2132:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  2133: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2134:     xi[j] *= xmin; 
                   2135: #else
                   2136: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2137:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2138:       printf(" before xi[%d]=%12.8f", j,xi[j]);
                   2139: #endif
                   2140:     xi[j] *= xmin*xxs; /* xi rescaled by xmin and number of loops: if xmin=-1.237 and xi=(1,0,...,0) xi=(-1.237,0,...,0) */
                   2141: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
                   2142:     if(xxs <1.0)
                   2143:       printf(" after xi[%d]=%12.8f, xmin=%12.8f, ax=%12.8f, xx=%12.8f, bx=%12.8f, xxs=%12.8f", j,xi[j], xmin, ax, xx, bx,xxs );
                   2144: #endif
                   2145: #endif
1.187     brouard  2146:     p[j] += xi[j]; /* Parameters values are updated accordingly */
1.126     brouard  2147:   } 
1.191     brouard  2148: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.203     brouard  2149:   printf("\n");
1.191     brouard  2150:   printf("Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.202     brouard  2151:   fprintf(ficlog,"Comparing last *frec(xmin=%12.8f)=%12.8f from Brent and frec(0.)=%12.8f \n", xmin, *fret, (*func)(p));
1.191     brouard  2152:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
1.202     brouard  2153:     printf(" xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2154:     fprintf(ficlog," xi[%d]= %14.10f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xi[j],j,p[j]);
                   2155:     if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
1.191     brouard  2156:       printf("\n");
1.202     brouard  2157:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2158:     }
1.191     brouard  2159:   }
1.203     brouard  2160: #else
1.191     brouard  2161: #endif
1.126     brouard  2162:   free_vector(xicom,1,n); 
                   2163:   free_vector(pcom,1,n); 
                   2164: } 
                   2165: 
                   2166: 
                   2167: /*************** powell ************************/
1.162     brouard  2168: /*
                   2169: Minimization of a function func of n variables. Input consists of an initial starting point
                   2170: p[1..n] ; an initial matrix xi[1..n][1..n] , whose columns contain the initial set of di-
                   2171: rections (usually the n unit vectors); and ftol , the fractional tolerance in the function value
                   2172: such that failure to decrease by more than this amount on one iteration signals doneness. On
                   2173: output, p is set to the best point found, xi is the then-current direction set, fret is the returned
                   2174: function value at p , and iter is the number of iterations taken. The routine linmin is used.
                   2175:  */
1.224     brouard  2176: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2177: #else
                   2178:        int *flatdir; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.225     brouard  2179:        int flat=0, flatd=0; /* Function is vanishing in that direction */
1.224     brouard  2180: #endif
1.126     brouard  2181: void powell(double p[], double **xi, int n, double ftol, int *iter, double *fret, 
                   2182:            double (*func)(double [])) 
                   2183: { 
1.224     brouard  2184: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2185:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret, 
1.126     brouard  2186:              double (*func)(double [])); 
1.224     brouard  2187: #else 
1.241     brouard  2188:  void linmin(double p[], double xi[], int n, double *fret,
                   2189:             double (*func)(double []),int *flat); 
1.224     brouard  2190: #endif
1.239     brouard  2191:  int i,ibig,j,jk,k; 
1.126     brouard  2192:   double del,t,*pt,*ptt,*xit;
1.181     brouard  2193:   double directest;
1.126     brouard  2194:   double fp,fptt;
                   2195:   double *xits;
                   2196:   int niterf, itmp;
1.224     brouard  2197: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2198: #else
                   2199: 
                   2200:   flatdir=ivector(1,n); 
                   2201:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) flatdir[j]=0; 
                   2202: #endif
1.126     brouard  2203: 
                   2204:   pt=vector(1,n); 
                   2205:   ptt=vector(1,n); 
                   2206:   xit=vector(1,n); 
                   2207:   xits=vector(1,n); 
                   2208:   *fret=(*func)(p); 
                   2209:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) pt[j]=p[j]; 
1.202     brouard  2210:   rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
1.126     brouard  2211:   for (*iter=1;;++(*iter)) { 
1.187     brouard  2212:     fp=(*fret); /* From former iteration or initial value */
1.126     brouard  2213:     ibig=0; 
                   2214:     del=0.0; 
1.157     brouard  2215:     rlast_time=rcurr_time;
                   2216:     /* (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
                   2217:     rcurr_time = time(NULL);  
                   2218:     curr_time = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2219:     printf("\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret, rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time);fflush(stdout);
                   2220:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nPowell iter=%d -2*LL=%.12f %ld sec. %ld sec.",*iter,*fret,rcurr_time-rlast_time, rcurr_time-rstart_time); fflush(ficlog);
                   2221: /*     fprintf(ficrespow,"%d %.12f %ld",*iter,*fret,curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec); */
1.192     brouard  2222:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) {
1.126     brouard  2223:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[i]);
                   2224:     }
1.239     brouard  2225:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");fflush(ficrespow);
                   2226:     printf("\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2227:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n#model=  1      +     age ");
                   2228:     if(nagesqr==1){
1.241     brouard  2229:        printf("  + age*age  ");
                   2230:        fprintf(ficlog,"  + age*age  ");
1.239     brouard  2231:     }
                   2232:     for(j=1;j <=ncovmodel-2;j++){
                   2233:       if(Typevar[j]==0) {
                   2234:        printf("  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2235:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +      V%d  ",Tvar[j]);
                   2236:       }else if(Typevar[j]==1) {
                   2237:        printf("  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2238:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*age ",Tvar[j]);
                   2239:       }else if(Typevar[j]==2) {
                   2240:        printf("  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2241:        fprintf(ficlog,"  +    V%d*V%d ",Tvard[Tposprod[j]][1],Tvard[Tposprod[j]][2]);
                   2242:       }
                   2243:     }
1.126     brouard  2244:     printf("\n");
1.239     brouard  2245: /*     printf("12   47.0114589    0.0154322   33.2424412    0.3279905    2.3731903  */
                   2246: /* 13  -21.5392400    0.1118147    1.2680506    1.2973408   -1.0663662  */
1.126     brouard  2247:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.239     brouard  2248:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   2249:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   2250:        if (k != i) {
                   2251:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   2252:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   2253:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   2254:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2255:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   2256:            jk++; 
                   2257:          }
                   2258:          printf("\n");
                   2259:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2260:        }
                   2261:       }
                   2262:     }
1.241     brouard  2263:     if(*iter <=3 && *iter >1){
1.157     brouard  2264:       tml = *localtime(&rcurr_time);
                   2265:       strcpy(strcurr,asctime(&tml));
                   2266:       rforecast_time=rcurr_time; 
1.126     brouard  2267:       itmp = strlen(strcurr);
                   2268:       if(strcurr[itmp-1]=='\n')  /* Windows outputs with a new line */
1.241     brouard  2269:        strcurr[itmp-1]='\0';
1.162     brouard  2270:       printf("\nConsidering the time needed for the last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.157     brouard  2271:       fprintf(ficlog,"\nConsidering the time needed for this last iteration #%d: %ld seconds,\n",*iter,rcurr_time-rlast_time);
1.126     brouard  2272:       for(niterf=10;niterf<=30;niterf+=10){
1.241     brouard  2273:        rforecast_time=rcurr_time+(niterf-*iter)*(rcurr_time-rlast_time);
                   2274:        forecast_time = *localtime(&rforecast_time);
                   2275:        strcpy(strfor,asctime(&forecast_time));
                   2276:        itmp = strlen(strfor);
                   2277:        if(strfor[itmp-1]=='\n')
                   2278:          strfor[itmp-1]='\0';
                   2279:        printf("   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
                   2280:        fprintf(ficlog,"   - if your program needs %d iterations to converge, convergence will be \n   reached in %s i.e.\n   on %s (current time is %s);\n",niterf, asc_diff_time(rforecast_time-rcurr_time,tmpout),strfor,strcurr);
1.126     brouard  2281:       }
                   2282:     }
1.187     brouard  2283:     for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { /* For each direction i */
                   2284:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) xit[j]=xi[j][i]; /* Directions stored from previous iteration with previous scales */
1.126     brouard  2285:       fptt=(*fret); 
                   2286: #ifdef DEBUG
1.203     brouard  2287:       printf("fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
                   2288:       fprintf(ficlog, "fret=%lf, %lf, %lf \n", *fret, *fret, *fret);
1.126     brouard  2289: #endif
1.203     brouard  2290:       printf("%d",i);fflush(stdout); /* print direction (parameter) i */
1.126     brouard  2291:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.224     brouard  2292: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.188     brouard  2293:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
1.224     brouard  2294: #else
                   2295:       linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* Point p[n]. xit[n] has been loaded for direction i as input.*/
                   2296:                        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
                   2297: #endif
                   2298:                        /* Outputs are fret(new point p) p is updated and xit rescaled */
1.188     brouard  2299:       if (fabs(fptt-(*fret)) > del) { /* We are keeping the max gain on each of the n directions */
1.224     brouard  2300:                                /* because that direction will be replaced unless the gain del is small */
                   2301:                                /* in comparison with the 'probable' gain, mu^2, with the last average direction. */
                   2302:                                /* Unless the n directions are conjugate some gain in the determinant may be obtained */
                   2303:                                /* with the new direction. */
                   2304:                                del=fabs(fptt-(*fret)); 
                   2305:                                ibig=i; 
1.126     brouard  2306:       } 
                   2307: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2308:       printf("%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2309:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %.12e",i,(*fret));
                   2310:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.224     brouard  2311:                                xits[j]=FMAX(fabs(p[j]-pt[j]),1.e-5);
                   2312:                                printf(" x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
                   2313:                                fprintf(ficlog," x(%d)=%.12e",j,xit[j]);
1.126     brouard  2314:       }
                   2315:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2316:                                printf(" p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
                   2317:                                fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%.12e",j,p[j]);
1.126     brouard  2318:       }
                   2319:       printf("\n");
                   2320:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2321: #endif
1.187     brouard  2322:     } /* end loop on each direction i */
                   2323:     /* Convergence test will use last linmin estimation (fret) and compare former iteration (fp) */ 
1.188     brouard  2324:     /* But p and xit have been updated at the end of linmin, *fret corresponds to new p, xit  */
1.187     brouard  2325:     /* New value of last point Pn is not computed, P(n-1) */
1.224     brouard  2326:       for(j=1;j<=n;j++) {
1.225     brouard  2327:                                if(flatdir[j] >0){
                   2328:                                        printf(" p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2329:                                        fprintf(ficlog," p(%d)=%lf flat=%d ",j,p[j],flatdir[j]);
                   2330:                                }
                   2331:                                /* printf("\n"); */
                   2332:                                /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   2333:                        }
1.243     brouard  2334:     /* if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol*(fabs(fp)+fabs(*fret))) { /\* Did we reach enough precision? *\/ */
                   2335:     if (2.0*fabs(fp-(*fret)) <= ftol) { /* Did we reach enough precision? */
1.188     brouard  2336:       /* We could compare with a chi^2. chisquare(0.95,ddl=1)=3.84 */
                   2337:       /* By adding age*age in a model, the new -2LL should be lower and the difference follows a */
                   2338:       /* a chisquare statistics with 1 degree. To be significant at the 95% level, it should have */
                   2339:       /* decreased of more than 3.84  */
                   2340:       /* By adding age*age and V1*age the gain (-2LL) should be more than 5.99 (ddl=2) */
                   2341:       /* By using V1+V2+V3, the gain should be  7.82, compared with basic 1+age. */
                   2342:       /* By adding 10 parameters more the gain should be 18.31 */
1.224     brouard  2343:                        
1.188     brouard  2344:       /* Starting the program with initial values given by a former maximization will simply change */
                   2345:       /* the scales of the directions and the directions, because the are reset to canonical directions */
                   2346:       /* Thus the first calls to linmin will give new points and better maximizations until fp-(*fret) is */
                   2347:       /* under the tolerance value. If the tolerance is very small 1.e-9, it could last long.  */
1.126     brouard  2348: #ifdef DEBUG
                   2349:       int k[2],l;
                   2350:       k[0]=1;
                   2351:       k[1]=-1;
                   2352:       printf("Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2353:       fprintf(ficlog,"Max: %.12e",(*func)(p));
                   2354:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2355:        printf(" %.12e",p[j]);
                   2356:        fprintf(ficlog," %.12e",p[j]);
                   2357:       }
                   2358:       printf("\n");
                   2359:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2360:       for(l=0;l<=1;l++) {
                   2361:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2362:          ptt[j]=p[j]+(p[j]-pt[j])*k[l];
                   2363:          printf("l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2364:          fprintf(ficlog,"l=%d j=%d ptt=%.12e, xits=%.12e, p=%.12e, xit=%.12e", l,j,ptt[j],xits[j],p[j],xit[j]);
                   2365:        }
                   2366:        printf("func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2367:        fprintf(ficlog,"func(ptt)=%.12e, deriv=%.12e\n",(*func)(ptt),(ptt[j]-p[j])/((*func)(ptt)-(*func)(p)));
                   2368:       }
                   2369: #endif
                   2370: 
1.224     brouard  2371: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2372: #else
                   2373:       free_ivector(flatdir,1,n); 
                   2374: #endif
1.126     brouard  2375:       free_vector(xit,1,n); 
                   2376:       free_vector(xits,1,n); 
                   2377:       free_vector(ptt,1,n); 
                   2378:       free_vector(pt,1,n); 
                   2379:       return; 
1.192     brouard  2380:     } /* enough precision */ 
1.240     brouard  2381:     if (*iter == ITMAX*n) nrerror("powell exceeding maximum iterations."); 
1.181     brouard  2382:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { /* Computes the extrapolated point P_0 + 2 (P_n-P_0) */
1.126     brouard  2383:       ptt[j]=2.0*p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2384:       xit[j]=p[j]-pt[j]; 
                   2385:       pt[j]=p[j]; 
                   2386:     } 
1.181     brouard  2387:     fptt=(*func)(ptt); /* f_3 */
1.224     brouard  2388: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
                   2389:                if (*iter <=4) {
1.225     brouard  2390: #else
                   2391: #endif
1.224     brouard  2392: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST    /* skips test F3 <F1 */
1.192     brouard  2393: #else
1.161     brouard  2394:     if (fptt < fp) { /* If extrapolated point is better, decide if we keep that new direction or not */
1.192     brouard  2395: #endif
1.162     brouard  2396:       /* (x1 f1=fp), (x2 f2=*fret), (x3 f3=fptt), (xm fm) */
1.161     brouard  2397:       /* From x1 (P0) distance of x2 is at h and x3 is 2h */
1.162     brouard  2398:       /* Let f"(x2) be the 2nd derivative equal everywhere.  */
                   2399:       /* Then the parabolic through (x1,f1), (x2,f2) and (x3,f3) */
                   2400:       /* will reach at f3 = fm + h^2/2 f"m  ; f" = (f1 -2f2 +f3 ) / h**2 */
1.224     brouard  2401:       /* Conditional for using this new direction is that mu^2 = (f1-2f2+f3)^2 /2 < del or directest <0 */
                   2402:       /* also  lamda^2=(f1-f2)^2/mu² is a parasite solution of powell */
                   2403:       /* For powell, inclusion of this average direction is only if t(del)<0 or del inbetween mu^2 and lambda^2 */
1.161     brouard  2404:       /* t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*SQR(fp-fptt); */
1.224     brouard  2405:       /*  Even if f3 <f1, directest can be negative and t >0 */
                   2406:       /* mu² and del² are equal when f3=f1 */
                   2407:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < del <= lambda^2 both test are equivalent */
                   2408:                        /* f3 < f1 : mu² < lambda^2 < del then directtest is negative and powell t is positive */
                   2409:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < mu^2 < del then t is negative and directest >0  */
                   2410:                        /* f3 > f1 : lambda² < del < mu^2 then t is positive and directest >0  */
1.183     brouard  2411: #ifdef NRCORIGINAL
                   2412:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del)- del*SQR(fp-fptt); /* Original Numerical Recipes in C*/
                   2413: #else
                   2414:       t=2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del); /* Intel compiler doesn't work on one line; bug reported */
1.161     brouard  2415:       t= t- del*SQR(fp-fptt);
1.183     brouard  2416: #endif
1.202     brouard  2417:       directest = fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt - 2.0 * del; /* If delta was big enough we change it for a new direction */
1.161     brouard  2418: #ifdef DEBUG
1.181     brouard  2419:       printf("t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf  directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
                   2420:       fprintf(ficlog,"t1= %.12lf, t2= %.12lf, t=%.12lf directest=%.12lf\n", 2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),del*SQR(fp-fptt),t,directest);
1.161     brouard  2421:       printf("t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2422:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2423:       fprintf(ficlog,"t3= %.12lf, t4= %.12lf, t3*= %.12lf, t4*= %.12lf\n",SQR(fp-(*fret)-del),SQR(fp-fptt),
                   2424:             (fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del),(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt));
                   2425:       printf("tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2426:       fprintf(ficlog, "tt= %.12lf, t=%.12lf\n",2.0*(fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt)*(fp-(*fret)-del)*(fp-(*fret)-del)-del*(fp-fptt)*(fp-fptt),t);
                   2427: #endif
1.183     brouard  2428: #ifdef POWELLORIGINAL
                   2429:       if (t < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2430: #else
1.182     brouard  2431:       if (directest*t < 0.0) { /* Contradiction between both tests */
1.224     brouard  2432:                                printf("directest= %.12lf (if <0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt,del);
1.192     brouard  2433:         printf("f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
1.224     brouard  2434:         fprintf(ficlog,"directest= %.12lf (if directest<0 or t<0 we include P0 Pn as new direction), t= %.12lf, f1= %.12lf,f2= %.12lf,f3= %.12lf, del= %.12lf\n",directest, t, fp,(*fret),fptt, del);
1.192     brouard  2435:         fprintf(ficlog,"f1-2f2+f3= %.12lf, f1-f2-del= %.12lf, f1-f3= %.12lf\n",fp-2.0*(*fret)+fptt, fp -(*fret) -del, fp-fptt);
                   2436:       } 
1.181     brouard  2437:       if (directest < 0.0) { /* Then we use it for new direction */
                   2438: #endif
1.191     brouard  2439: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2440:        printf("Before linmin in direction P%d-P0\n",n);
                   2441:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   2442:          printf(" Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2443:          fprintf(ficlog," Before xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2444:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2445:            printf("\n");
                   2446:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2447:          }
                   2448:        }
1.224     brouard  2449: #endif
                   2450: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
1.234     brouard  2451:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
1.224     brouard  2452: #else
1.234     brouard  2453:        linmin(p,xit,n,fret,func,&flat); /* computes minimum on the extrapolated direction: changes p and rescales xit.*/
                   2454:        flatdir[i]=flat; /* Function is vanishing in that direction i */
1.191     brouard  2455: #endif
1.234     brouard  2456:        
1.191     brouard  2457: #ifdef DEBUGLINMIN
1.234     brouard  2458:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2459:          printf("After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2460:          fprintf(ficlog,"After xit[%d]= %12.7f p[%d]= %12.7f",j,xit[j],j,p[j]);
                   2461:          if(j % ncovmodel == 0){
                   2462:            printf("\n");
                   2463:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2464:          }
                   2465:        }
1.224     brouard  2466: #endif
1.234     brouard  2467:        for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2468:          xi[j][ibig]=xi[j][n]; /* Replace direction with biggest decrease by last direction n */
                   2469:          xi[j][n]=xit[j];      /* and this nth direction by the by the average p_0 p_n */
                   2470:        }
1.224     brouard  2471: #ifdef LINMINORIGINAL
                   2472: #else
1.234     brouard  2473:        for (j=1, flatd=0;j<=n;j++) {
                   2474:          if(flatdir[j]>0)
                   2475:            flatd++;
                   2476:        }
                   2477:        if(flatd >0){
1.255     brouard  2478:          printf("%d flat directions: ",flatd);
                   2479:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d flat directions :",flatd);
1.234     brouard  2480:          for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   2481:            if(flatdir[j]>0){
                   2482:              printf("%d ",j);
                   2483:              fprintf(ficlog,"%d ",j);
                   2484:            }
                   2485:          }
                   2486:          printf("\n");
                   2487:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   2488:        }
1.191     brouard  2489: #endif
1.234     brouard  2490:        printf("Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2491:        fprintf(ficlog,"Gaining to use new average direction of P0 P%d instead of biggest increase direction %d :\n",n,ibig);
                   2492:        
1.126     brouard  2493: #ifdef DEBUG
1.234     brouard  2494:        printf("Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2495:        fprintf(ficlog,"Direction changed  last moved %d in place of ibig=%d, new last is the average:\n",n,ibig);
                   2496:        for(j=1;j<=n;j++){
                   2497:          printf(" %lf",xit[j]);
                   2498:          fprintf(ficlog," %lf",xit[j]);
                   2499:        }
                   2500:        printf("\n");
                   2501:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  2502: #endif
1.192     brouard  2503:       } /* end of t or directest negative */
1.224     brouard  2504: #ifdef POWELLNOF3INFF1TEST
1.192     brouard  2505: #else
1.234     brouard  2506:       } /* end if (fptt < fp)  */
1.192     brouard  2507: #endif
1.225     brouard  2508: #ifdef NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  /* No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.234     brouard  2509:     } /*NODIRECTIONCHANGEDUNTILNITER  No change in drections until some iterations are done */
1.225     brouard  2510: #else
1.224     brouard  2511: #endif
1.234     brouard  2512:                } /* loop iteration */ 
1.126     brouard  2513: } 
1.234     brouard  2514:   
1.126     brouard  2515: /**** Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
1.234     brouard  2516:   
1.235     brouard  2517:   double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.234     brouard  2518:   {
1.279   ! brouard  2519:     /**< Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij 
        !          2520:      *   (and selected quantitative values in nres)
        !          2521:      *  by left multiplying the unit
        !          2522:      *  matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl 
        !          2523:      * Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I
        !          2524:      * Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead
        !          2525:      * or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0
        !          2526:      * newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor.
        !          2527:      * Inputs are the parameter, age, a tolerance for the prevalence limit ftolpl.
        !          2528:      * Output is prlim.
        !          2529:      * Initial matrix pimij 
        !          2530:      */
1.206     brouard  2531:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2532:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2533:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2534:   /*
                   2535:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2536:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2537:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2538:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2539:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2540:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2541:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2542:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
1.234     brouard  2543:     
1.126     brouard  2544:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.209     brouard  2545:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
1.145     brouard  2546:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
1.218     brouard  2547:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **pmij(); /* **pmmij is a global variable feeded with oldms etc */
1.126     brouard  2548:   double **newm;
1.209     brouard  2549:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
1.203     brouard  2550:   int ncvloop=0;
1.169     brouard  2551:   
1.209     brouard  2552:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2553:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2554:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2555: 
1.218     brouard  2556:        /* Starting with matrix unity */
1.126     brouard  2557:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2558:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2559:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2560:     }
1.169     brouard  2561:   
                   2562:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2563:   
                   2564:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
1.202     brouard  2565:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.126     brouard  2566:   for(agefin=age-stepm/YEARM; agefin>=age-delaymax; agefin=agefin-stepm/YEARM){
1.202     brouard  2567:     ncvloop++;
1.126     brouard  2568:     newm=savm;
                   2569:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
1.138     brouard  2570:     cov[2]=agefin;
1.187     brouard  2571:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2572:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.234     brouard  2573:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2574:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2575:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.235     brouard  2576:       /* printf("prevalim Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.234     brouard  2577:     }
                   2578:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2579:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
1.235     brouard  2580:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2581:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.138     brouard  2582:     }
1.237     brouard  2583:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
1.234     brouard  2584:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2585:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2586:       } else{
1.235     brouard  2587:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
1.234     brouard  2588:       }
1.235     brouard  2589:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
1.234     brouard  2590:     }
1.237     brouard  2591:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
1.235     brouard  2592:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
1.237     brouard  2593:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2594:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2595:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2596:        }else{
                   2597:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2598:        }
                   2599:       }else{
                   2600:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2601:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2602:        }else{
                   2603:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2604:        }
                   2605:       }
1.234     brouard  2606:     }
1.138     brouard  2607:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2608:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2609:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
1.145     brouard  2610:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2611:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2612:                /* age and covariate values of ij are in 'cov' */
1.142     brouard  2613:     out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.138     brouard  2614:     
1.126     brouard  2615:     savm=oldm;
                   2616:     oldm=newm;
1.209     brouard  2617: 
                   2618:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2619:       max[j]=0.;
                   2620:       min[j]=1.;
                   2621:     }
                   2622:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   2623:       sumnew=0;
                   2624:       for(k=1; k<=ndeath; k++) sumnew+=newm[i][nlstate+k];
                   2625:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2626:        prlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew);
                   2627:        max[j]=FMAX(max[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2628:        min[j]=FMIN(min[j],prlim[i][j]);
                   2629:       }
                   2630:     }
                   2631: 
1.126     brouard  2632:     maxmax=0.;
1.209     brouard  2633:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2634:       meandiff[j]=(max[j]-min[j])/(max[j]+min[j])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2635:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[j]);
                   2636:       /* printf(" age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, j, meandiff[j],(int)agefin, j, max[j], j, min[j],maxmax); */
1.169     brouard  2637:     } /* j loop */
1.203     brouard  2638:     *ncvyear= (int)age- (int)agefin;
1.208     brouard  2639:     /* printf("maxmax=%lf maxmin=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, maxmin, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.126     brouard  2640:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.209     brouard  2641:       /* printf("maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%ld, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
                   2642:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2643:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2644:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  2645:       return prlim;
                   2646:     }
1.169     brouard  2647:   } /* age loop */
1.208     brouard  2648:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.209     brouard  2649:   printf("Warning: the stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.208     brouard  2650: Earliest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
1.209     brouard  2651:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2652:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2653:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2654:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  2655:   
1.169     brouard  2656:   return prlim; /* should not reach here */
1.126     brouard  2657: }
                   2658: 
1.217     brouard  2659: 
                   2660:  /**** Back Prevalence limit (stable or period prevalence)  ****************/
                   2661: 
1.218     brouard  2662:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
                   2663:  /* double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij) */
1.242     brouard  2664:   double **bprevalim(double **bprlim, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, double x[], double age, double ftolpl, int *ncvyear, int ij, int nres)
1.217     brouard  2665: {
1.264     brouard  2666:   /* Computes the prevalence limit in each live state at age x and for covariate combination ij (<=2**cptcoveff) by left multiplying the unit
1.217     brouard  2667:      matrix by transitions matrix until convergence is reached with precision ftolpl */
                   2668:   /* Wx= Wx-1 Px-1= Wx-2 Px-2 Px-1  = Wx-n Px-n ... Px-2 Px-1 I */
                   2669:   /* Wx is row vector: population in state 1, population in state 2, population dead */
                   2670:   /* or prevalence in state 1, prevalence in state 2, 0 */
                   2671:   /* newm is the matrix after multiplications, its rows are identical at a factor */
                   2672:   /* Initial matrix pimij */
                   2673:   /* {0.85204250825084937, 0.13044499163996345, 0.017512500109187184, */
                   2674:   /* 0.090851990222114765, 0.88271245433047185, 0.026435555447413338, */
                   2675:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2676:   /*
                   2677:    * and after some iteration: */
                   2678:   /* {0.45504275246439968, 0.42731458730878791, 0.11764266022681241, */
                   2679:   /*  0.45201005341706885, 0.42865420071559901, 0.11933574586733192, */
                   2680:   /*  0,                   0                  , 1} */
                   2681:   /* And prevalence by suppressing the deaths are close to identical rows in prlim: */
                   2682:   /* {0.51571254859325999, 0.4842874514067399, */
                   2683:   /*  0.51326036147820708, 0.48673963852179264} */
                   2684:   /* If we start from prlim again, prlim tends to a constant matrix */
                   2685: 
                   2686:   int i, ii,j,k;
1.247     brouard  2687:   int first=0;
1.217     brouard  2688:   double *min, *max, *meandiff, maxmax,sumnew=0.;
                   2689:   /* double **matprod2(); */ /* test */
                   2690:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   2691:   double **newm;
1.218     brouard  2692:   double        **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /* for use */
                   2693:   double        **oldm, **savm;  /* for use */
                   2694: 
1.217     brouard  2695:   double agefin, delaymax=200. ; /* 100 Max number of years to converge */
                   2696:   int ncvloop=0;
                   2697:   
                   2698:   min=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2699:   max=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2700:   meandiff=vector(1,nlstate);
                   2701: 
1.266     brouard  2702:   dnewm=ddnewms; doldm=ddoldms; dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2703:   oldm=oldms; savm=savms;
                   2704:   
                   2705:   /* Starting with matrix unity */
                   2706:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   2707:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.217     brouard  2708:       oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   2709:     }
                   2710:   
                   2711:   cov[1]=1.;
                   2712:   
                   2713:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   2714:   /* Start at agefin= age, computes the matrix of passage and loops decreasing agefin until convergence is reached */
1.218     brouard  2715:   /* for(agefin=age+stepm/YEARM; agefin<=age+delaymax; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /\* A changer en age *\/ */
                   2716:   for(agefin=age; agefin<AGESUP; agefin=agefin+stepm/YEARM){ /* A changer en age */
1.217     brouard  2717:     ncvloop++;
1.218     brouard  2718:     newm=savm; /* oldm should be kept from previous iteration or unity at start */
                   2719:                /* newm points to the allocated table savm passed by the function it can be written, savm could be reallocated */
1.217     brouard  2720:     /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   2721:     cov[2]=agefin;
                   2722:     if(nagesqr==1)
                   2723:       cov[3]= agefin*agefin;;
1.242     brouard  2724:     for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   2725:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   2726:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.264     brouard  2727:       /* printf("bprevalim Dummy agefin=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agefin,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
1.242     brouard  2728:     }
                   2729:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
                   2730:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   2731:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2732:     /*   /\* printf("prevalim ij=%d k=%d Tvar[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, Tvar[k],nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])],cov[2+k], ij, k, codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]); *\/ */
                   2733:     /* } */
                   2734:     for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   2735:                        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   2736:       cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2737:       /* printf("prevalim Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2738:     }
                   2739:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   2740:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless *\/ */
                   2741:     /*   /\* cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][1])] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,Tvard[k][2])]; *\/ */
                   2742:     /*   cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   2743:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){  /* For product with age */
                   2744:       if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   2745:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   2746:       } else{
                   2747:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   2748:       }
                   2749:       /* printf("prevalim Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   2750:     }
                   2751:     for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* For product without age */
                   2752:       /* printf("prevalim Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   2753:       if(Dummy[Tvard[k][1]==0]){
                   2754:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2755:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   2756:        }else{
                   2757:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqresult[nres][k];
                   2758:        }
                   2759:       }else{
                   2760:        if(Dummy[Tvard[k][2]==0]){
                   2761:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)] * Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]];
                   2762:        }else{
                   2763:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][1]]*  Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[k][2]];
                   2764:        }
                   2765:       }
1.217     brouard  2766:     }
                   2767:     
                   2768:     /*printf("ij=%d cptcovprod=%d tvar=%d ", ij, cptcovprod, Tvar[1]);*/
                   2769:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf cov[4]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3],cov[4]);*/
                   2770:     /*printf("ij=%d cov[3]=%lf \n",ij, cov[3]);*/
                   2771:     /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   2772:     /* out=matprod2(newm, pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate),1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
1.218     brouard  2773:                /* ij should be linked to the correct index of cov */
                   2774:                /* age and covariate values ij are in 'cov', but we need to pass
                   2775:                 * ij for the observed prevalence at age and status and covariate
                   2776:                 * number:  prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]
                   2777:                 */
                   2778:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, ageminpar, agemaxpar, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2779:     /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij)); /\* Bug Valgrind *\/ */
                   2780:     out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij)); /* Bug Valgrind */
1.268     brouard  2781:     /* if((int)age == 86 || (int)age == 87){ */
1.266     brouard  2782:     /*   printf(" Backward prevalim age=%d agefin=%d \n", (int) age, (int) agefin); */
                   2783:     /*   for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   2784:     /*         printf("%d newm= ",i); */
                   2785:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2786:     /*           printf("%f ",newm[i][j]); */
                   2787:     /*         } */
                   2788:     /*         printf("oldm * "); */
                   2789:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2790:     /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   2791:     /*         } */
1.268     brouard  2792:     /*         printf(" bmmij "); */
1.266     brouard  2793:     /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   2794:     /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   2795:     /*         } */
                   2796:     /*         printf("\n"); */
                   2797:     /*   } */
                   2798:     /* } */
1.217     brouard  2799:     savm=oldm;
                   2800:     oldm=newm;
1.266     brouard  2801: 
1.217     brouard  2802:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){
                   2803:       max[j]=0.;
                   2804:       min[j]=1.;
                   2805:     }
                   2806:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate; j++){ 
                   2807:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.234     brouard  2808:        /* bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j]/(1-sumnew); */
                   2809:        bprlim[i][j]= newm[i][j];
                   2810:        max[i]=FMAX(max[i],bprlim[i][j]); /* Max in line */
                   2811:        min[i]=FMIN(min[i],bprlim[i][j]);
1.217     brouard  2812:       }
                   2813:     }
1.218     brouard  2814:                
1.217     brouard  2815:     maxmax=0.;
                   2816:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   2817:       meandiff[i]=(max[i]-min[i])/(max[i]+min[i])*2.; /* mean difference for each column */
                   2818:       maxmax=FMAX(maxmax,meandiff[i]);
                   2819:       /* printf("Back age= %d meandiff[%d]=%f, agefin=%d max[%d]=%f min[%d]=%f maxmax=%f\n", (int)age, i, meandiff[i],(int)agefin, i, max[i], i, min[i],maxmax); */
1.268     brouard  2820:     } /* i loop */
1.217     brouard  2821:     *ncvyear= -( (int)age- (int)agefin);
1.268     brouard  2822:     /* printf("Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2823:     if(maxmax < ftolpl){
1.220     brouard  2824:       /* printf("OK Back maxmax=%lf ncvloop=%d, age=%d, agefin=%d ncvyear=%d \n", maxmax, ncvloop, (int)age, (int)agefin, *ncvyear); */
1.217     brouard  2825:       free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2826:       free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2827:       free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2828:       return bprlim;
                   2829:     }
                   2830:   } /* age loop */
                   2831:     /* After some age loop it doesn't converge */
1.247     brouard  2832:   if(first){
                   2833:     first=1;
                   2834:     printf("Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. Others in log file only...\n\
                   2835: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2836:   }
                   2837:   fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: the back stable prevalence at age %d did not converge with the required precision (%g > ftolpl=%g) within %.0f years. Try to lower 'ftolpl'. \n\
1.217     brouard  2838: Oldest age to start was %d-%d=%d, ncvloop=%d, ncvyear=%d\n", (int)age, maxmax, ftolpl, delaymax, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, *ncvyear);
                   2839:   /* Try to lower 'ftol', for example from 1.e-8 to 6.e-9.\n", ftolpl, (int)age, (int)delaymax, (int)agefin, ncvloop, (int)age-(int)agefin); */
                   2840:   free_vector(min,1,nlstate);
                   2841:   free_vector(max,1,nlstate);
                   2842:   free_vector(meandiff,1,nlstate);
                   2843:   
                   2844:   return bprlim; /* should not reach here */
                   2845: }
                   2846: 
1.126     brouard  2847: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2848: 
                   2849: double **pmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
                   2850: {
1.138     brouard  2851:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
1.266     brouard  2852:      computes the probability to be observed in state j (after stepm years) being in state i by appying the
1.138     brouard  2853:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   2854:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   2855:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   2856:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   2857:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   2858:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   2859:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   2860:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
1.266     brouard  2861:      Outputs ps[i][j] or probability to be observed in j being in i according to
1.138     brouard  2862:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
1.266     brouard  2863:      Sum on j ps[i][j] should equal to 1.
1.138     brouard  2864:   */
                   2865:   double s1, lnpijopii;
1.126     brouard  2866:   /*double t34;*/
1.164     brouard  2867:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
1.126     brouard  2868: 
1.223     brouard  2869:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2870:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   2871:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2872:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   2873:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2874:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2875:       }
                   2876:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2877:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2878:     }
                   2879:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   2880:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   2881:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   2882:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   2883:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   2884:       }
                   2885:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   2886:     }
                   2887:   }
1.218     brouard  2888:   
1.223     brouard  2889:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   2890:     s1=0;
                   2891:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   2892:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2893:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2894:     }
                   2895:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   2896:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   2897:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   2898:     }
                   2899:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   2900:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   2901:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   2902:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   2903:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2904:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   2905:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   2906:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   2907:   } /* end i */
1.218     brouard  2908:   
1.223     brouard  2909:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   2910:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   2911:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   2912:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   2913:     }
                   2914:   }
1.218     brouard  2915:   
                   2916:   
1.223     brouard  2917:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   2918:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   2919:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   2920:   /*   } */
                   2921:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   2922:   /* } */
                   2923:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   2924:   /*
                   2925:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
1.218     brouard  2926:                goto end;*/
1.266     brouard  2927:   return ps; /* Pointer is unchanged since its call */
1.126     brouard  2928: }
                   2929: 
1.218     brouard  2930: /*************** backward transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   2931: 
                   2932:  /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2933: /* double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, double ***dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
                   2934:  double **bmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate,  double ***prevacurrent, int ij )
                   2935: {
1.266     brouard  2936:   /* Computes the backward probability at age agefin and covariate combination ij. In fact cov is already filled and x too.
                   2937:    * Call to pmij(cov and x), call to cross prevalence, sums and inverses, left multiply, and returns in **ps as well as **bmij.
1.222     brouard  2938:    */
1.218     brouard  2939:   int i, ii, j,k;
1.222     brouard  2940:   
                   2941:   double **out, **pmij();
                   2942:   double sumnew=0.;
1.218     brouard  2943:   double agefin;
1.268     brouard  2944:   double k3=0.; /* constant of the w_x diagonal matrixe (in order for B to sum to 1 even for death state) */
1.222     brouard  2945:   double **dnewm, **dsavm, **doldm;
                   2946:   double **bbmij;
                   2947:   
1.218     brouard  2948:   doldm=ddoldms; /* global pointers */
1.222     brouard  2949:   dnewm=ddnewms;
                   2950:   dsavm=ddsavms;
                   2951:   
                   2952:   agefin=cov[2];
1.268     brouard  2953:   /* Bx = Diag(w_x) P_x Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
1.222     brouard  2954:   /* bmij *//* age is cov[2], ij is included in cov, but we need for
1.266     brouard  2955:      the observed prevalence (with this covariate ij) at beginning of transition */
                   2956:   /* dsavm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
1.268     brouard  2957: 
                   2958:   /* P_x */
1.266     brouard  2959:   pmmij=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); /*This is forward probability from agefin to agefin + stepm */
1.268     brouard  2960:   /* outputs pmmij which is a stochastic matrix in row */
                   2961: 
                   2962:   /* Diag(w_x) */
                   2963:   /* Problem with prevacurrent which can be zero */
                   2964:   sumnew=0.;
1.269     brouard  2965:   /*for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){*/
1.268     brouard  2966:   for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){ /* Only on live states */
1.269     brouard  2967:     /* printf(" agefin=%d, ii=%d, ij=%d, prev=%f\n",(int)agefin,ii, ij, prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]);  */
1.268     brouard  2968:     sumnew+=prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij];
                   2969:   }
                   2970:   if(sumnew >0.01){  /* At least some value in the prevalence */
                   2971:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2972:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.269     brouard  2973:        doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]/sumnew : 0.0);
1.268     brouard  2974:     }
                   2975:   }else{
                   2976:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2977:       for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   2978:       doldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./nlstate : 0.0);
                   2979:     }
                   2980:     /* if(sumnew <0.9){ */
                   2981:     /*   printf("Problem internal bmij B: sum on i wi <0.9: j=%d, sum_i wi=%lf,agefin=%d\n",j,sumnew, (int)agefin); */
                   2982:     /* } */
                   2983:   }
                   2984:   k3=0.0;  /* We put the last diagonal to 0 */
                   2985:   for (ii=nlstate+1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
                   2986:       doldm[ii][ii]= k3;
                   2987:   }
                   2988:   /* End doldm, At the end doldm is diag[(w_i)] */
                   2989:   
                   2990:   /* left Product of this diag matrix by pmmij=Px (dnewm=dsavm*doldm) */
                   2991:   bbmij=matprod2(dnewm, doldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, pmmij); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   2992: 
                   2993:   /* Diag(Sum_i w^i_x p^ij_x */
                   2994:   /* w1 p11 + w2 p21 only on live states N1./N..*N11/N1. + N2./N..*N21/N2.=(N11+N21)/N..=N.1/N.. */
1.222     brouard  2995:   for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
1.268     brouard  2996:     sumnew=0.;
1.222     brouard  2997:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate;ii++){
1.266     brouard  2998:       /* sumnew+=dsavm[ii][j]*prevacurrent[(int)agefin][ii][ij]; */
1.268     brouard  2999:       sumnew+=pmmij[ii][j]*doldm[ii][ii]; /* Yes prevalence at beginning of transition */
1.222     brouard  3000:     } /* sumnew is (N11+N21)/N..= N.1/N.. = sum on i of w_i pij */
1.268     brouard  3001:     for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++){
1.222     brouard  3002:        /* if(agefin >= agemaxpar && agefin <= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3003:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3004:        /* }else if(agefin >= agemaxpar+stepm/YEARM){ */
1.268     brouard  3005:        /*      dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0); */
1.222     brouard  3006:        /* }else */
1.268     brouard  3007:       dsavm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1./sumnew : 0.0);
                   3008:     } /*End ii */
                   3009:   } /* End j, At the end dsavm is diag[1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] for ALL states even if the sum is only for live states */
                   3010: 
                   3011:   ps=matprod2(ps, dnewm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, dsavm); /* Bug Valgrind */
                   3012:   /* ps is now diag[w_i] * Px * diag [1/(w_1p1i+w_2 p2i)] */
1.222     brouard  3013:   /* end bmij */
1.266     brouard  3014:   return ps; /*pointer is unchanged */
1.218     brouard  3015: }
1.217     brouard  3016: /*************** transition probabilities ***************/ 
                   3017: 
1.218     brouard  3018: double **bpmij(double **ps, double *cov, int ncovmodel, double *x, int nlstate )
1.217     brouard  3019: {
                   3020:   /* According to parameters values stored in x and the covariate's values stored in cov,
                   3021:      computes the probability to be observed in state j being in state i by appying the
                   3022:      model to the ncovmodel covariates (including constant and age).
                   3023:      lnpijopii=ln(pij/pii)= aij+bij*age+cij*v1+dij*v2+... = sum_nc=1^ncovmodel xij(nc)*cov[nc]
                   3024:      and, according on how parameters are entered, the position of the coefficient xij(nc) of the
                   3025:      ncth covariate in the global vector x is given by the formula:
                   3026:      j<i nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel
                   3027:      j>=i nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel
                   3028:      Computes ln(pij/pii) (lnpijopii), deduces pij/pii by exponentiation,
                   3029:      sums on j different of i to get 1-pii/pii, deduces pii, and then all pij.
                   3030:      Outputs ps[i][j] the probability to be observed in j being in j according to
                   3031:      the values of the covariates cov[nc] and corresponding parameter values x[nc+shiftij]
                   3032:   */
                   3033:   double s1, lnpijopii;
                   3034:   /*double t34;*/
                   3035:   int i,j, nc, ii, jj;
                   3036: 
1.234     brouard  3037:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3038:     for(j=1; j<i;j++){
                   3039:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3040:        /*lnpijopii += param[i][j][nc]*cov[nc];*/
                   3041:        lnpijopii += x[nc+((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+j-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3042:        /*       printf("Int j<i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3043:       }
                   3044:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3045:       /*       printf("s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e\n",s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3046:     }
                   3047:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3048:       for (nc=1, lnpijopii=0.;nc <=ncovmodel; nc++){
                   3049:        /*lnpijopii += x[(i-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel+(j-2)*ncovmodel+nc+(i-1)*(ndeath-1)*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];*/
                   3050:        lnpijopii += x[nc + ((i-1)*(nlstate+ndeath-1)+(j-2))*ncovmodel]*cov[nc];
                   3051:        /*        printf("Int j>i s1=%.17e, lnpijopii=%.17e %lx %lx\n",s1,lnpijopii,s1,lnpijopii); */
                   3052:       }
                   3053:       ps[i][j]=lnpijopii; /* In fact ln(pij/pii) */
                   3054:     }
                   3055:   }
                   3056:   
                   3057:   for(i=1; i<= nlstate; i++){
                   3058:     s1=0;
                   3059:     for(j=1; j<i; j++){
                   3060:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3061:       /*printf("debug1 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3062:     }
                   3063:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   3064:       s1+=exp(ps[i][j]); /* In fact sums pij/pii */
                   3065:       /*printf("debug2 %d %d ps=%lf exp(ps)=%lf s1+=%lf\n",i,j,ps[i][j],exp(ps[i][j]),s1); */
                   3066:     }
                   3067:     /* s1= sum_{j<>i} pij/pii=(1-pii)/pii and thus pii is known from s1 */
                   3068:     ps[i][i]=1./(s1+1.);
                   3069:     /* Computing other pijs */
                   3070:     for(j=1; j<i; j++)
                   3071:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3072:     for(j=i+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath; j++)
                   3073:       ps[i][j]= exp(ps[i][j])*ps[i][i];
                   3074:     /* ps[i][nlstate+1]=1.-s1- ps[i][i];*/ /* Sum should be 1 */
                   3075:   } /* end i */
                   3076:   
                   3077:   for(ii=nlstate+1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3078:     for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3079:       ps[ii][jj]=0;
                   3080:       ps[ii][ii]=1;
                   3081:     }
                   3082:   }
                   3083:   /* Added for backcast */ /* Transposed matrix too */
                   3084:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3085:     s1=0.;
                   3086:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3087:       s1+=ps[ii][jj];
                   3088:     }
                   3089:     for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate; ii++){
                   3090:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[ii][jj]/s1;
                   3091:     }
                   3092:   }
                   3093:   /* Transposition */
                   3094:   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
                   3095:     for(ii=jj; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){
                   3096:       s1=ps[ii][jj];
                   3097:       ps[ii][jj]=ps[jj][ii];
                   3098:       ps[jj][ii]=s1;
                   3099:     }
                   3100:   }
                   3101:   /* for(ii=1; ii<= nlstate+ndeath; ii++){ */
                   3102:   /*   for(jj=1; jj<= nlstate+ndeath; jj++){ */
                   3103:   /*   printf(" pmij  ps[%d][%d]=%lf ",ii,jj,ps[ii][jj]); */
                   3104:   /*   } */
                   3105:   /*   printf("\n "); */
                   3106:   /* } */
                   3107:   /* printf("\n ");printf("%lf ",cov[2]);*/
                   3108:   /*
                   3109:     for(i=1; i<= npar; i++) printf("%f ",x[i]);
                   3110:     goto end;*/
                   3111:   return ps;
1.217     brouard  3112: }
                   3113: 
                   3114: 
1.126     brouard  3115: /**************** Product of 2 matrices ******************/
                   3116: 
1.145     brouard  3117: double **matprod2(double **out, double **in,int nrl, int nrh, int ncl, int nch, int ncolol, int ncoloh, double **b)
1.126     brouard  3118: {
                   3119:   /* Computes the matrix product of in(1,nrh-nrl+1)(1,nch-ncl+1) times
                   3120:      b(1,nch-ncl+1)(1,ncoloh-ncolol+1) into out(...) */
                   3121:   /* in, b, out are matrice of pointers which should have been initialized 
                   3122:      before: only the contents of out is modified. The function returns
                   3123:      a pointer to pointers identical to out */
1.145     brouard  3124:   int i, j, k;
1.126     brouard  3125:   for(i=nrl; i<= nrh; i++)
1.145     brouard  3126:     for(k=ncolol; k<=ncoloh; k++){
                   3127:       out[i][k]=0.;
                   3128:       for(j=ncl; j<=nch; j++)
                   3129:        out[i][k] +=in[i][j]*b[j][k];
                   3130:     }
1.126     brouard  3131:   return out;
                   3132: }
                   3133: 
                   3134: 
                   3135: /************* Higher Matrix Product ***************/
                   3136: 
1.235     brouard  3137: double ***hpxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, int ij, int nres )
1.126     brouard  3138: {
1.218     brouard  3139:   /* Computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' and combination of covariate values corresponding to ij over 
1.126     brouard  3140:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
                   3141:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying 
                   3142:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices. 
                   3143:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step 
                   3144:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big 
                   3145:      for the memory).
                   3146:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be 
                   3147:      included manually here. 
                   3148: 
                   3149:      */
                   3150: 
                   3151:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.131     brouard  3152:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3153:   double **newm;
1.187     brouard  3154:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3155:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3156: 
                   3157:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3158:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3159:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3160:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3161:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3162:     }
                   3163:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3164:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3165:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3166:       newm=savm;
                   3167:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3168:       cov[1]=1.;
1.214     brouard  3169:       agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition */
1.187     brouard  3170:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3171:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.227     brouard  3172:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.235     brouard  3173:       for (k=1; k<=nsd;k++) { /* For single dummy covariates only */
                   3174:                        /* Here comes the value of the covariate 'ij' after renumbering k with single dummy covariates */
                   3175:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3176:        /* printf("hpxij Dummy combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3177:       }
                   3178:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3179:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3180:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3181:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3182:       }
                   3183:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){
                   3184:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3185:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3186:        } else{
                   3187:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3188:        }
                   3189:        /* printf("hPxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3190:       }
                   3191:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /*  */
                   3192:        /* printf("hPxij Prod ij=%d k=%d  Tprod[%d]=%d Tvard[%d][1]=V%d, Tvard[%d][2]=V%d\n",ij,k,k,Tprod[k], k,Tvard[k][1], k,Tvard[k][2]); */
                   3193:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)] * nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3194:       }
                   3195:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++)  */
                   3196:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3197:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) /\* Should start at cptcovn+1 *\/ */
                   3198:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2]; */
                   3199:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++) /\* Useless because included in cptcovn *\/ */
                   3200:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
1.227     brouard  3201:       
                   3202:       
1.126     brouard  3203:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3204:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.218     brouard  3205:                        /* right multiplication of oldm by the current matrix */
1.126     brouard  3206:       out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, 
                   3207:                   pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
1.217     brouard  3208:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3209:       /*       printf(" Forward hpxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3210:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3211:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3212:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3213:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3214:       /*         } */
                   3215:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3216:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3217:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3218:       /*         } */
                   3219:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3220:       /*       } */
                   3221:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3222:       savm=oldm;
                   3223:       oldm=newm;
                   3224:     }
                   3225:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3226:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.267     brouard  3227:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
                   3228:        /*if(h==nhstepm) printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]);*/
1.126     brouard  3229:       }
1.128     brouard  3230:     /*printf("h=%d ",h);*/
1.126     brouard  3231:   } /* end h */
1.267     brouard  3232:   /*     printf("\n H=%d \n",h); */
1.126     brouard  3233:   return po;
                   3234: }
                   3235: 
1.217     brouard  3236: /************* Higher Back Matrix Product ***************/
1.218     brouard  3237: /* double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, double **oldm, double **savm, double **dnewm, double **doldm, double **dsavm, int ij ) */
1.267     brouard  3238: double ***hbxij(double ***po, int nhstepm, double age, int hstepm, double *x, double ***prevacurrent, int nlstate, int stepm, int ij, int nres )
1.217     brouard  3239: {
1.266     brouard  3240:   /* For a combination of dummy covariate ij, computes the transition matrix starting at age 'age' over
1.217     brouard  3241:      'nhstepm*hstepm*stepm' months (i.e. until
1.218     brouard  3242:      age (in years)  age+nhstepm*hstepm*stepm/12) by multiplying
                   3243:      nhstepm*hstepm matrices.
                   3244:      Output is stored in matrix po[i][j][h] for h every 'hstepm' step
                   3245:      (typically every 2 years instead of every month which is too big
1.217     brouard  3246:      for the memory).
1.218     brouard  3247:      Model is determined by parameters x and covariates have to be
1.266     brouard  3248:      included manually here. Then we use a call to bmij(x and cov)
                   3249:      The addresss of po (p3mat allocated to the dimension of nhstepm) should be stored for output
1.222     brouard  3250:   */
1.217     brouard  3251: 
                   3252:   int i, j, d, h, k;
1.266     brouard  3253:   double **out, cov[NCOVMAX+1], **bmij();
                   3254:   double **newm, ***newmm;
1.217     brouard  3255:   double agexact;
                   3256:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.222     brouard  3257:   double **oldm, **savm;
1.217     brouard  3258: 
1.266     brouard  3259:   newmm=po; /* To be saved */
                   3260:   oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* Global pointers */
1.217     brouard  3261:   /* Hstepm could be zero and should return the unit matrix */
                   3262:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   3263:     for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3264:       oldm[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3265:       po[i][j][0]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3266:     }
                   3267:   /* Even if hstepm = 1, at least one multiplication by the unit matrix */
                   3268:   for(h=1; h <=nhstepm; h++){
                   3269:     for(d=1; d <=hstepm; d++){
                   3270:       newm=savm;
                   3271:       /* Covariates have to be included here again */
                   3272:       cov[1]=1.;
1.271     brouard  3273:       agexact=age-( (h-1)*hstepm + (d)  )*stepm/YEARM; /* age just before transition, d or d-1? */
1.217     brouard  3274:       /* agexact=age+((h-1)*hstepm + (d-1))*stepm/YEARM; /\* age just before transition *\/ */
                   3275:       cov[2]=agexact;
                   3276:       if(nagesqr==1)
1.222     brouard  3277:        cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
1.266     brouard  3278:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++){
                   3279:       /*       cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,k)]; */
                   3280:       /* /\* cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; *\/ */
                   3281:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]]=nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)];
                   3282:         /* printf("hbxij Dummy agexact=%.0f combi=%d k=%d TvarsD[%d]=V%d TvarsDind[%d]=%d nbcode=%d cov[%d]=%lf codtabm(%d,Tvar[%d])=%d \n",agexact,ij,k, k, TvarsD[k],k,TvarsDind[k],nbcode[TvarsD[k]][codtabm(ij,k)],2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k],cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsDind[k]], ij, k, codtabm(ij,k)); */
                   3283:       }
1.267     brouard  3284:       for (k=1; k<=nsq;k++) { /* For single varying covariates only */
                   3285:        /* Here comes the value of quantitative after renumbering k with single quantitative covariates */
                   3286:        cov[2+nagesqr+TvarsQind[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3287:        /* printf("hPxij Quantitative k=%d  TvarsQind[%d]=%d, TvarsQ[%d]=V%d,Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",k,k,TvarsQind[k],k,TvarsQ[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3288:       }
                   3289:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++){ /* Should start at cptcovn+1 */
                   3290:        if(Dummy[Tvar[Tage[k]]]){
                   3291:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   3292:        } else{
                   3293:          cov[2+nagesqr+Tage[k]]=Tqresult[nres][k]; 
                   3294:        }
                   3295:        /* printf("hBxij Age combi=%d k=%d  Tage[%d]=V%d Tqresult[%d][%d]=%f\n",ij,k,k,Tage[k],nres,k,Tqresult[nres][k]); */
                   3296:       }
                   3297:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++){ /* Useless because included in cptcovn */
1.222     brouard  3298:        cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.267     brouard  3299:       }                        
1.217     brouard  3300:       /*printf("hxi cptcov=%d cptcode=%d\n",cptcov,cptcode);*/
                   3301:       /*printf("h=%d d=%d age=%f cov=%f\n",h,d,age,cov[2]);*/
1.267     brouard  3302: 
1.218     brouard  3303:       /* Careful transposed matrix */
1.266     brouard  3304:       /* age is in cov[2], prevacurrent at beginning of transition. */
1.218     brouard  3305:       /* out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent, dnewm, doldm, dsavm,ij),\ */
1.222     brouard  3306:       /*                                                1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm); */
1.218     brouard  3307:       out=matprod2(newm, bmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate,prevacurrent,ij),\
1.222     brouard  3308:                   1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, oldm);
1.217     brouard  3309:       /* if((int)age == 70){ */
                   3310:       /*       printf(" Backward hbxij age=%d agexact=%f d=%d nhstepm=%d hstepm=%d\n", (int) age, agexact, d, nhstepm, hstepm); */
                   3311:       /*       for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++) { */
                   3312:       /*         printf("%d pmmij ",i); */
                   3313:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3314:       /*           printf("%f ",pmmij[i][j]); */
                   3315:       /*         } */
                   3316:       /*         printf(" oldm "); */
                   3317:       /*         for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   3318:       /*           printf("%f ",oldm[i][j]); */
                   3319:       /*         } */
                   3320:       /*         printf("\n"); */
                   3321:       /*       } */
                   3322:       /* } */
                   3323:       savm=oldm;
                   3324:       oldm=newm;
                   3325:     }
                   3326:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)
                   3327:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
1.222     brouard  3328:        po[i][j][h]=newm[i][j];
1.268     brouard  3329:        /* if(h==nhstepm) */
                   3330:        /*   printf("po[%d][%d][%d]=%f ",i,j,h,po[i][j][h]); */
1.217     brouard  3331:       }
1.268     brouard  3332:     /* printf("h=%d %.1f ",h, agexact); */
1.217     brouard  3333:   } /* end h */
1.268     brouard  3334:   /* printf("\n H=%d nhs=%d \n",h, nhstepm); */
1.217     brouard  3335:   return po;
                   3336: }
                   3337: 
                   3338: 
1.162     brouard  3339: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3340:   double  myfunc(unsigned n, const double *p1, double *grad, void *pd){
                   3341:   double fret;
                   3342:   double *xt;
                   3343:   int j;
                   3344:   myfunc_data *d2 = (myfunc_data *) pd;
                   3345: /* xt = (p1-1); */
                   3346:   xt=vector(1,n); 
                   3347:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++)   xt[j]=p1[j-1]; /* xt[1]=p1[0] */
                   3348: 
                   3349:   fret=(d2->function)(xt); /*  p xt[1]@8 is fine */
                   3350:   /* fret=(*func)(xt); /\*  p xt[1]@8 is fine *\/ */
                   3351:   printf("Function = %.12lf ",fret);
                   3352:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) printf(" %d %.8lf", j, xt[j]); 
                   3353:   printf("\n");
                   3354:  free_vector(xt,1,n);
                   3355:   return fret;
                   3356: }
                   3357: #endif
1.126     brouard  3358: 
                   3359: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3360: double func( double *x)
                   3361: {
1.226     brouard  3362:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
                   3363:   int ioffset=0;
                   3364:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   3365:   double **out;
                   3366:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3367:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3368:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
1.226     brouard  3369:   double bbh, survp;
                   3370:   long ipmx;
                   3371:   double agexact;
                   3372:   /*extern weight */
                   3373:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3374:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3375:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3376:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3377:   */
1.162     brouard  3378: 
1.226     brouard  3379:   ++countcallfunc;
1.162     brouard  3380: 
1.226     brouard  3381:   cov[1]=1.;
1.126     brouard  3382: 
1.226     brouard  3383:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3384:   ioffset=0;
1.226     brouard  3385:   if(mle==1){
                   3386:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3387:       /* Computes the values of the ncovmodel covariates of the model
                   3388:         depending if the covariates are fixed or varying (age dependent) and stores them in cov[]
                   3389:         Then computes with function pmij which return a matrix p[i][j] giving the elementary probability
                   3390:         to be observed in j being in i according to the model.
                   3391:       */
1.243     brouard  3392:       ioffset=2+nagesqr ;
1.233     brouard  3393:    /* Fixed */
1.234     brouard  3394:       for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3395:        cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3396:       }
1.226     brouard  3397:       /* In model V2+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2 Tvar[1] is V2, Tvar[2=V1*V4] 
                   3398:         is 6, Tvar[3=age*V3] should not be computed because of age Tvar[4=V3*V2] 
                   3399:         has been calculated etc */
                   3400:       /* For an individual i, wav[i] gives the number of effective waves */
                   3401:       /* We compute the contribution to Likelihood of each effective transition
                   3402:         mw[mi][i] is real wave of the mi th effectve wave */
                   3403:       /* Then statuses are computed at each begin and end of an effective wave s1=s[ mw[mi][i] ][i];
                   3404:         s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3405:         And the iv th varying covariate is the cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][iv][i]
                   3406:         But if the variable is not in the model TTvar[iv] is the real variable effective in the model:
                   3407:         meaning that decodemodel should be used cotvar[mw[mi+1][i]][TTvar[iv]][i]
                   3408:       */
                   3409:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
1.234     brouard  3410:        for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3411:          /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3412:          cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
1.234     brouard  3413:        }
                   3414:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3415:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3416:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3417:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3418:          }
                   3419:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3420:          newm=savm;
                   3421:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3422:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3423:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3424:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;  /* Should be changed here */
                   3425:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
1.242     brouard  3426:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
1.234     brouard  3427:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact; /* Tage[kk] gives the data-covariate associated with age */
1.242     brouard  3428:          else
                   3429:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
1.234     brouard  3430:          }
                   3431:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3432:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3433:          savm=oldm;
                   3434:          oldm=newm;
                   3435:        } /* end mult */
                   3436:        
                   3437:        /*lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]);*/ /* Original formula */
                   3438:        /* But now since version 0.9 we anticipate for bias at large stepm.
                   3439:         * If stepm is larger than one month (smallest stepm) and if the exact delay 
                   3440:         * (in months) between two waves is not a multiple of stepm, we rounded to 
                   3441:         * the nearest (and in case of equal distance, to the lowest) interval but now
                   3442:         * we keep into memory the bias bh[mi][i] and also the previous matrix product
                   3443:         * (i.e to dh[mi][i]-1) saved in 'savm'. Then we inter(extra)polate the
                   3444:         * probability in order to take into account the bias as a fraction of the way
1.231     brouard  3445:                                 * from savm to out if bh is negative or even beyond if bh is positive. bh varies
                   3446:                                 * -stepm/2 to stepm/2 .
                   3447:                                 * For stepm=1 the results are the same as for previous versions of Imach.
                   3448:                                 * For stepm > 1 the results are less biased than in previous versions. 
                   3449:                                 */
1.234     brouard  3450:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3451:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3452:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3453:        /* bias bh is positive if real duration
                   3454:         * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3455:         */
                   3456:        /* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/
                   3457:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3458:          /* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known 
                   3459:             then the contribution to the likelihood is the probability to 
                   3460:             die between last step unit time and current  step unit time, 
                   3461:             which is also equal to probability to die before dh 
                   3462:             minus probability to die before dh-stepm . 
                   3463:             In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed
                   3464:             as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other
                   3465:             health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state
                   3466:             and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was
                   3467:             to consider that at each interview the state was recorded
                   3468:             (healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we
                   3469:             introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified
                   3470:             the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new
                   3471:             contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit
                   3472:             stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview
                   3473:             and month of death but the probability to survive from last
                   3474:             interview up to one month before death multiplied by the
                   3475:             probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris
                   3476:             Jackson for correcting this bug.  Former versions increased
                   3477:             mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop
                   3478:             which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10%
                   3479:             lower mortality.
                   3480:          */
                   3481:          /* If, at the beginning of the maximization mostly, the
                   3482:             cumulative probability or probability to be dead is
                   3483:             constant (ie = 1) over time d, the difference is equal to
                   3484:             0.  out[s1][3] = savm[s1][3]: probability, being at state
                   3485:             s1 at precedent wave, to be dead a month before current
                   3486:             wave is equal to probability, being at state s1 at
                   3487:             precedent wave, to be dead at mont of the current
                   3488:             wave. Then the observed probability (that this person died)
                   3489:             is null according to current estimated parameter. In fact,
                   3490:             it should be very low but not zero otherwise the log go to
                   3491:             infinity.
                   3492:          */
1.183     brouard  3493: /* #ifdef INFINITYORIGINAL */
                   3494: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3495: /* #else */
                   3496: /*       if ((out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]) < mytinydouble)  */
                   3497: /*         lli=log(mytinydouble); */
                   3498: /*       else */
                   3499: /*         lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3500: /* #endif */
1.226     brouard  3501:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3502:          
1.226     brouard  3503:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3504:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3505:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3506:          /*survp += out[s1][j]; */
                   3507:          lli= log(survp);
                   3508:        }
                   3509:        else if  (s2==-4) { 
                   3510:          for (j=3,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++)  
                   3511:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3512:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3513:        } 
                   3514:        else if  (s2==-5) { 
                   3515:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=2; j++)  
                   3516:            survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3517:          lli= log(survp); 
                   3518:        } 
                   3519:        else{
                   3520:          lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3521:          /*  lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */
                   3522:        } 
                   3523:        /*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3524:        /*if(lli ==000.0)*/
                   3525:        /*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */
                   3526:        ipmx +=1;
                   3527:        sw += weight[i];
                   3528:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3529:        /* if (lli < log(mytinydouble)){ */
                   3530:        /*   printf("Close to inf lli = %.10lf <  %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[%d][i]=%d s1=%d s2=%d\n", lli,log(mytinydouble), i, mi,mw[mi][i], s[mw[mi][i]][i], s1,s2); */
                   3531:        /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Close to inf lli = %.10lf i= %d mi= %d, s[mw[mi][i]][i]=%d\n", lli, i, mi,s[mw[mi][i]][i]); */
                   3532:        /* } */
                   3533:       } /* end of wave */
                   3534:     } /* end of individual */
                   3535:   }  else if(mle==2){
                   3536:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3537:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3538:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3539:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3540:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3541:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3542:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3543:          }
                   3544:        for(d=0; d<=dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3545:          newm=savm;
                   3546:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3547:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3548:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3549:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3550:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3551:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3552:          }
                   3553:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3554:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3555:          savm=oldm;
                   3556:          oldm=newm;
                   3557:        } /* end mult */
                   3558:       
                   3559:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3560:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3561:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3562:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
                   3563:        ipmx +=1;
                   3564:        sw += weight[i];
                   3565:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3566:       } /* end of wave */
                   3567:     } /* end of individual */
                   3568:   }  else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3569:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3570:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3571:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3572:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3573:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3574:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3575:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3576:          }
                   3577:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3578:          newm=savm;
                   3579:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3580:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3581:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3582:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3583:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3584:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3585:          }
                   3586:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3587:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3588:          savm=oldm;
                   3589:          oldm=newm;
                   3590:        } /* end mult */
                   3591:       
                   3592:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3593:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3594:        bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3595:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
                   3596:        ipmx +=1;
                   3597:        sw += weight[i];
                   3598:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3599:       } /* end of wave */
                   3600:     } /* end of individual */
                   3601:   }else if (mle==4){  /* ml=4 no inter-extrapolation */
                   3602:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3603:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3604:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3605:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3606:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3607:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3608:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3609:          }
                   3610:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3611:          newm=savm;
                   3612:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3613:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3614:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3615:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3616:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3617:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3618:          }
1.126     brouard  3619:        
1.226     brouard  3620:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3621:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3622:          savm=oldm;
                   3623:          oldm=newm;
                   3624:        } /* end mult */
                   3625:       
                   3626:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3627:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3628:        if( s2 > nlstate){ 
                   3629:          lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
                   3630:        } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
                   3631:          for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3632:            survp += out[s1][j];
                   3633:          lli= log(survp);
                   3634:        }else{
                   3635:          lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3636:        }
                   3637:        ipmx +=1;
                   3638:        sw += weight[i];
                   3639:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.126     brouard  3640: /*     printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.226     brouard  3641:       } /* end of wave */
                   3642:     } /* end of individual */
                   3643:   }else{  /* ml=5 no inter-extrapolation no jackson =0.8a */
                   3644:     for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
                   3645:       for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i];
                   3646:       for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){
                   3647:        for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
                   3648:          for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3649:            oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3650:            savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3651:          }
                   3652:        for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){
                   3653:          newm=savm;
                   3654:          agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;
                   3655:          cov[2]=agexact;
                   3656:          if(nagesqr==1)
                   3657:            cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3658:          for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3659:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3660:          }
1.126     brouard  3661:        
1.226     brouard  3662:          out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3663:                       1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3664:          savm=oldm;
                   3665:          oldm=newm;
                   3666:        } /* end mult */
                   3667:       
                   3668:        s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3669:        s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
                   3670:        lli=log(out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]]); /* Original formula */
                   3671:        ipmx +=1;
                   3672:        sw += weight[i];
                   3673:        ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
                   3674:        /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]);*/
                   3675:       } /* end of wave */
                   3676:     } /* end of individual */
                   3677:   } /* End of if */
                   3678:   for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3679:   /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3680:   l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3681:   return -l;
1.126     brouard  3682: }
                   3683: 
                   3684: /*************** log-likelihood *************/
                   3685: double funcone( double *x)
                   3686: {
1.228     brouard  3687:   /* Same as func but slower because of a lot of printf and if */
1.126     brouard  3688:   int i, ii, j, k, mi, d, kk;
1.228     brouard  3689:   int ioffset=0;
1.131     brouard  3690:   double l, ll[NLSTATEMAX+1], cov[NCOVMAX+1];
1.126     brouard  3691:   double **out;
                   3692:   double lli; /* Individual log likelihood */
                   3693:   double llt;
                   3694:   int s1, s2;
1.228     brouard  3695:   int iv=0, iqv=0, itv=0, iqtv=0 ; /* Index of varying covariate, fixed quantitative cov, time varying covariate, quantitative time varying covariate */
                   3696: 
1.126     brouard  3697:   double bbh, survp;
1.187     brouard  3698:   double agexact;
1.214     brouard  3699:   double agebegin, ageend;
1.126     brouard  3700:   /*extern weight */
                   3701:   /* We are differentiating ll according to initial status */
                   3702:   /*  for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) printf("%f ", x[i]);*/
                   3703:   /*for(i=1;i<imx;i++) 
                   3704:     printf(" %d\n",s[4][i]);
                   3705:   */
                   3706:   cov[1]=1.;
                   3707: 
                   3708:   for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) ll[k]=0.;
1.224     brouard  3709:   ioffset=0;
                   3710:   for (i=1,ipmx=0, sw=0.; i<=imx; i++){
1.243     brouard  3711:     /* ioffset=2+nagesqr+cptcovage; */
                   3712:     ioffset=2+nagesqr;
1.232     brouard  3713:     /* Fixed */
1.224     brouard  3714:     /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) cov[2+nagesqr+k]=covar[Tvar[k]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3715:     /* for (k=1; k<=ncoveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Dummy covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3716:     for (k=1; k<=ncovf;k++){ /* Simple and product fixed covariates without age* products */
                   3717:       cov[ioffset+TvarFind[k]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[k]]][i];/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V1 is fixed (k=6)*/
                   3718: /*    cov[ioffset+TvarFind[1]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[1]]][i];  */
                   3719: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[Tvar[6]][i];  */
                   3720: /*    cov[2+6]=covar[2][i]; V2  */
                   3721: /*    cov[TvarFind[2]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[2]]][i];  */
                   3722: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[Tvar[7]][i];  */
                   3723: /*    cov[2+7]=covar[7][i]; V7=V1*V2  */
                   3724: /*    cov[TvarFind[3]]=covar[Tvar[TvarFind[3]]][i];  */
                   3725: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[Tvar[9]][i];  */
                   3726: /*    cov[2+9]=covar[1][i]; V1  */
1.225     brouard  3727:     }
1.232     brouard  3728:     /* for (k=1; k<=nqfveff;k++){ /\* Simple and product fixed Quantitative covariates without age* products *\/ */
                   3729:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[TvarFQ[k]][i];/\* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, only V2 and V1*V2 is fixed (k=6 and 7?)*\/ */
                   3730:     /* } */
1.231     brouard  3731:     /* for(iqv=1; iqv <= nqfveff; iqv++){ /\* Quantitative fixed covariates *\/ */
                   3732:     /*   cov[++ioffset]=coqvar[Tvar[iqv]][i]; /\* Only V2 k=6 and V1*V2 7 *\/ */
                   3733:     /* } */
1.225     brouard  3734:     
1.233     brouard  3735: 
                   3736:     for(mi=1; mi<= wav[i]-1; mi++){  /* Varying with waves */
1.232     brouard  3737:     /* Wave varying (but not age varying) */
                   3738:       for(k=1; k <= ncovv ; k++){ /* Varying  covariates (single and product but no age )*/
1.242     brouard  3739:        /* cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]][i]; */
                   3740:        cov[ioffset+TvarVind[k]]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[TvarVind[k]]-ncovcol-nqv][i];
                   3741:       }
1.232     brouard  3742:       /* for(itv=1; itv <= ntveff; itv++){ /\* Varying dummy covariates (single??)*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3743:       /* iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv]]-ncovcol-nqv; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3744:       /* cov[ioffset+iv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][iv][i]; */
                   3745:       /* k=ioffset-2-nagesqr-cptcovage+itv; /\* position in simple model *\/ */
                   3746:       /* cov[ioffset+itv]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]; */
                   3747:       /* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,itv=%d,TmodelInvind[itv]=%d,cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, itv, TmodelInvind[itv],cotvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvind[itv]][i]); */
1.232     brouard  3748:       /* for(iqtv=1; iqtv <= nqtveff; iqtv++){ /\* Varying quantitatives covariates *\/ */
1.242     brouard  3749:       /*       iv=TmodelInvQind[iqtv]; /\* Counting the # varying covariate from 1 to ntveff *\/ */
                   3750:       /*       /\* printf(" i=%d,mi=%d,iqtv=%d,TmodelInvQind[iqtv]=%d,cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]=%f\n", i, mi, iqtv, TmodelInvQind[iqtv],cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]); *\/ */
                   3751:       /*       cov[ioffset+ntveff+iqtv]=cotqvar[mw[mi][i]][TmodelInvQind[iqtv]][i]; */
1.232     brouard  3752:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3753:       for (ii=1;ii<=nlstate+ndeath;ii++)
1.242     brouard  3754:        for (j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   3755:          oldm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3756:          savm[ii][j]=(ii==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3757:        }
1.214     brouard  3758:       
                   3759:       agebegin=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]; /* Age at beginning of effective wave */
                   3760:       ageend=agev[mw[mi][i]][i] + (dh[mi][i])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of effective wave and at the end of transition */
                   3761:       for(d=0; d<dh[mi][i]; d++){  /* Delay between two effective waves */
1.247     brouard  3762:       /* for(d=0; d<=0; d++){  /\* Delay between two effective waves Only one matrix to speed up*\/ */
1.242     brouard  3763:        /*dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   3764:          and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.*/
                   3765:        newm=savm;
1.247     brouard  3766:        agexact=agev[mw[mi][i]][i]+d*stepm/YEARM;  /* Here d is needed */
1.242     brouard  3767:        cov[2]=agexact;
                   3768:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   3769:          cov[3]= agexact*agexact;
                   3770:        for (kk=1; kk<=cptcovage;kk++) {
                   3771:          if(!FixedV[Tvar[Tage[kk]]])
                   3772:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*agexact;
                   3773:          else
                   3774:            cov[Tage[kk]+2+nagesqr]=cotvar[mw[mi][i]][Tvar[Tage[kk]]-ncovcol-nqv][i]*agexact;
                   3775:        }
                   3776:        /* printf("i=%d,mi=%d,d=%d,mw[mi][i]=%d\n",i, mi,d,mw[mi][i]); */
                   3777:        /* savm=pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate); */
                   3778:        out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath,
                   3779:                     1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate));
                   3780:        /* out=matprod2(newm,oldm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath, */
                   3781:        /*           1,nlstate+ndeath,pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate)); */
                   3782:        savm=oldm;
                   3783:        oldm=newm;
1.126     brouard  3784:       } /* end mult */
                   3785:       
                   3786:       s1=s[mw[mi][i]][i];
                   3787:       s2=s[mw[mi+1][i]][i];
1.217     brouard  3788:       /* if(s2==-1){ */
1.268     brouard  3789:       /*       printf(" ERROR s1=%d, s2=%d i=%d \n", s1, s2, i); */
1.217     brouard  3790:       /*       /\* exit(1); *\/ */
                   3791:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  3792:       bbh=(double)bh[mi][i]/(double)stepm; 
                   3793:       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   3794:        * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   3795:        */
                   3796:       if( s2 > nlstate && (mle <5) ){  /* Jackson */
1.242     brouard  3797:        lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]);
1.216     brouard  3798:       } else if  ( s2==-1 ) { /* alive */
1.242     brouard  3799:        for (j=1,survp=0. ; j<=nlstate; j++) 
                   3800:          survp += (1.+bbh)*out[s1][j]- bbh*savm[s1][j];
                   3801:        lli= log(survp);
1.126     brouard  3802:       }else if (mle==1){
1.242     brouard  3803:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3804:       } else if(mle==2){
1.242     brouard  3805:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */
1.126     brouard  3806:       } else if(mle==3){  /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3807:        lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* exponential inter-extrapolation */
1.126     brouard  3808:       } else if (mle==4){  /* mle=4 no inter-extrapolation */
1.242     brouard  3809:        lli=log(out[s1][s2]); /* Original formula */
1.136     brouard  3810:       } else{  /* mle=0 back to 1 */
1.242     brouard  3811:        lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */
                   3812:        /*lli=log(out[s1][s2]); */ /* Original formula */
1.126     brouard  3813:       } /* End of if */
                   3814:       ipmx +=1;
                   3815:       sw += weight[i];
                   3816:       ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli;
1.132     brouard  3817:       /*printf("i=%6d s1=%1d s2=%1d mi=%1d mw=%1d dh=%3d prob=%10.6f w=%6.4f out=%10.6f sav=%10.6f\n",i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
1.126     brouard  3818:       if(globpr){
1.246     brouard  3819:        fprintf(ficresilk,"%09ld %6.1f %6.1f %6d %2d %2d %2d %2d %3d %15.6f %8.4f %8.3f\
1.126     brouard  3820:  %11.6f %11.6f %11.6f ", \
1.242     brouard  3821:                num[i], agebegin, ageend, i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],weight[i]*gipmx/gsw,
1.268     brouard  3822:                2*weight[i]*lli,(s2==-1? -1: out[s1][s2]),(s2==-1? -1: savm[s1][s2]));
1.242     brouard  3823:        for(k=1,llt=0.,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++){
                   3824:          llt +=ll[k]*gipmx/gsw;
                   3825:          fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f",-ll[k]*gipmx/gsw);
                   3826:        }
                   3827:        fprintf(ficresilk," %10.6f\n", -llt);
1.126     brouard  3828:       }
1.232     brouard  3829:        } /* end of wave */
                   3830: } /* end of individual */
                   3831: for(k=1,l=0.; k<=nlstate; k++) l += ll[k];
                   3832: /* printf("l1=%f l2=%f ",ll[1],ll[2]); */
                   3833: l= l*ipmx/sw; /* To get the same order of magnitude as if weight=1 for every body */
                   3834: if(globpr==0){ /* First time we count the contributions and weights */
                   3835:        gipmx=ipmx;
                   3836:        gsw=sw;
                   3837: }
                   3838: return -l;
1.126     brouard  3839: }
                   3840: 
                   3841: 
                   3842: /*************** function likelione ***********/
                   3843: void likelione(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int nlstate, int *globpri, long *ipmx, double *sw, double *fretone, double (*funcone)(double []))
                   3844: {
                   3845:   /* This routine should help understanding what is done with 
                   3846:      the selection of individuals/waves and
                   3847:      to check the exact contribution to the likelihood.
                   3848:      Plotting could be done.
                   3849:    */
                   3850:   int k;
                   3851: 
                   3852:   if(*globpri !=0){ /* Just counts and sums, no printings */
1.201     brouard  3853:     strcpy(fileresilk,"ILK_"); 
1.202     brouard  3854:     strcat(fileresilk,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  3855:     if((ficresilk=fopen(fileresilk,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3856:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3857:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresilk);
                   3858:     }
1.214     brouard  3859:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#individual(line's_record) count ageb ageend s1 s2 wave# effective_wave# number_of_matrices_product pij weight weight/gpw -2ln(pij)*weight 0pij_x 0pij_(x-stepm) cumulating_loglikeli_by_health_state(reweighted=-2ll*weightXnumber_of_contribs/sum_of_weights) and_total\n");
                   3860:     fprintf(ficresilk, "#num_i ageb agend i s1 s2 mi mw dh likeli weight %%weight 2wlli out sav ");
1.126     brouard  3861:     /*         i,s1,s2,mi,mw[mi][i],dh[mi][i],exp(lli),weight[i],2*weight[i]*lli,out[s1][s2],savm[s1][s2]); */
                   3862:     for(k=1; k<=nlstate; k++) 
                   3863:       fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll[%d]++",k);
                   3864:     fprintf(ficresilk," -2*gipw/gsw*weight*ll(total)\n");
                   3865:   }
                   3866: 
                   3867:   *fretone=(*funcone)(p);
                   3868:   if(*globpri !=0){
                   3869:     fclose(ficresilk);
1.205     brouard  3870:     if (mle ==0)
                   3871:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with initial parameters and mle = %d.",mle);
                   3872:     else if(mle >=1)
                   3873:       fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>File of contributions to the likelihood computed with optimized parameters mle = %d.",mle);
                   3874:     fprintf(fichtm," You should at least run with mle >= 1 to get starting values corresponding to the optimized parameters in order to visualize the real contribution of each individual/wave: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",subdirf(fileresilk),subdirf(fileresilk));
1.274     brouard  3875:     fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Equation of the model: <b>model=1+age+%s</b><br>\n",model); 
1.208     brouard  3876:       
                   3877:     for (k=1; k<= nlstate ; k++) {
1.211     brouard  3878:       fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Probability p<sub>%dj</sub> by origin %d and destination j. Dot's sizes are related to corresponding weight: <a href=\"%s-p%dj.png\">%s-p%dj.png</a><br> \
1.208     brouard  3879: <img src=\"%s-p%dj.png\">",k,k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),k);
                   3880:     }
1.207     brouard  3881:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- The function drawn is -2Log(L) in Log scale: by state of origin <a href=\"%s-ori.png\">%s-ori.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3882: <img src=\"%s-ori.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3883:     fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- and by state of destination <a href=\"%s-dest.png\">%s-dest.png</a><br> \
1.204     brouard  3884: <img src=\"%s-dest.png\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
1.207     brouard  3885:     fflush(fichtm);
1.205     brouard  3886:   }
1.126     brouard  3887:   return;
                   3888: }
                   3889: 
                   3890: 
                   3891: /*********** Maximum Likelihood Estimation ***************/
                   3892: 
                   3893: void mlikeli(FILE *ficres,double p[], int npar, int ncovmodel, int nlstate, double ftol, double (*func)(double []))
                   3894: {
1.165     brouard  3895:   int i,j, iter=0;
1.126     brouard  3896:   double **xi;
                   3897:   double fret;
                   3898:   double fretone; /* Only one call to likelihood */
                   3899:   /*  char filerespow[FILENAMELENGTH];*/
1.162     brouard  3900: 
                   3901: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3902:   int creturn;
                   3903:   nlopt_opt opt;
                   3904:   /* double lb[9] = { -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL, -HUGE_VAL }; /\* lower bounds *\/ */
                   3905:   double *lb;
                   3906:   double minf; /* the minimum objective value, upon return */
                   3907:   double * p1; /* Shifted parameters from 0 instead of 1 */
                   3908:   myfunc_data dinst, *d = &dinst;
                   3909: #endif
                   3910: 
                   3911: 
1.126     brouard  3912:   xi=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   3913:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   3914:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)
                   3915:       xi[i][j]=(i==j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
                   3916:   printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.201     brouard  3917:   strcpy(filerespow,"POW_"); 
1.126     brouard  3918:   strcat(filerespow,fileres);
                   3919:   if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   3920:     printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3921:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   3922:   }
                   3923:   fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
                   3924:   for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   3925:     for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   3926:       if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   3927:   fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.162     brouard  3928: #ifdef POWELL
1.126     brouard  3929:   powell(p,xi,npar,ftol,&iter,&fret,func);
1.162     brouard  3930: #endif
1.126     brouard  3931: 
1.162     brouard  3932: #ifdef NLOPT
                   3933: #ifdef NEWUOA
                   3934:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_NEWUOA,npar);
                   3935: #else
                   3936:   opt = nlopt_create(NLOPT_LN_BOBYQA,npar);
                   3937: #endif
                   3938:   lb=vector(0,npar-1);
                   3939:   for (i=0;i<npar;i++) lb[i]= -HUGE_VAL;
                   3940:   nlopt_set_lower_bounds(opt, lb);
                   3941:   nlopt_set_initial_step1(opt, 0.1);
                   3942:   
                   3943:   p1= (p+1); /*  p *(p+1)@8 and p *(p1)@8 are equal p1[0]=p[1] */
                   3944:   d->function = func;
                   3945:   printf(" Func %.12lf \n",myfunc(npar,p1,NULL,d));
                   3946:   nlopt_set_min_objective(opt, myfunc, d);
                   3947:   nlopt_set_xtol_rel(opt, ftol);
                   3948:   if ((creturn=nlopt_optimize(opt, p1, &minf)) < 0) {
                   3949:     printf("nlopt failed! %d\n",creturn); 
                   3950:   }
                   3951:   else {
                   3952:     printf("found minimum after %d evaluations (NLOPT=%d)\n", countcallfunc ,NLOPT);
                   3953:     printf("found minimum at f(%g,%g) = %0.10g\n", p[0], p[1], minf);
                   3954:     iter=1; /* not equal */
                   3955:   }
                   3956:   nlopt_destroy(opt);
                   3957: #endif
1.126     brouard  3958:   free_matrix(xi,1,npar,1,npar);
                   3959:   fclose(ficrespow);
1.203     brouard  3960:   printf("\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
                   3961:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.180     brouard  3962:   fprintf(ficres,"#Number of iterations & function calls = %d & %d, -2 Log likelihood = %.12f\n",iter, countcallfunc,func(p));
1.126     brouard  3963: 
                   3964: }
                   3965: 
                   3966: /**** Computes Hessian and covariance matrix ***/
1.203     brouard  3967: void hesscov(double **matcov, double **hess, double p[], int npar, double delti[], double ftolhess, double (*func)(double []))
1.126     brouard  3968: {
                   3969:   double  **a,**y,*x,pd;
1.203     brouard  3970:   /* double **hess; */
1.164     brouard  3971:   int i, j;
1.126     brouard  3972:   int *indx;
                   3973: 
                   3974:   double hessii(double p[], double delta, int theta, double delti[],double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.203     brouard  3975:   double hessij(double p[], double **hess, double delti[], int i, int j,double (*func)(double []),int npar);
1.126     brouard  3976:   void lubksb(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double b[]) ;
                   3977:   void ludcmp(double **a, int npar, int *indx, double *d) ;
                   3978:   double gompertz(double p[]);
1.203     brouard  3979:   /* hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  3980: 
                   3981:   printf("\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3982:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nCalculation of the hessian matrix. Wait...\n");
                   3983:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){
1.203     brouard  3984:     printf("%d-",i);fflush(stdout);
                   3985:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d-",i);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  3986:    
                   3987:      hess[i][i]=hessii(p,ftolhess,i,delti,func,npar);
                   3988:     
                   3989:     /*  printf(" %f ",p[i]);
                   3990:        printf(" %lf %lf %lf",hess[i][i],ftolhess,delti[i]);*/
                   3991:   }
                   3992:   
                   3993:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {
                   3994:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++)  {
                   3995:       if (j>i) { 
1.203     brouard  3996:        printf(".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(stdout);
                   3997:        fprintf(ficlog,".%d-%d",i,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   3998:        hess[i][j]=hessij(p,hess, delti,i,j,func,npar);
1.126     brouard  3999:        
                   4000:        hess[j][i]=hess[i][j];    
                   4001:        /*printf(" %lf ",hess[i][j]);*/
                   4002:       }
                   4003:     }
                   4004:   }
                   4005:   printf("\n");
                   4006:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4007: 
                   4008:   printf("\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4009:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nInverting the hessian to get the covariance matrix. Wait...\n");
                   4010:   
                   4011:   a=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4012:   y=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
                   4013:   x=vector(1,npar);
                   4014:   indx=ivector(1,npar);
                   4015:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++)
                   4016:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=hess[i][j];
                   4017:   ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd);
                   4018: 
                   4019:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4020:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0;
                   4021:     x[j]=1;
                   4022:     lubksb(a,npar,indx,x);
                   4023:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
                   4024:       matcov[i][j]=x[i];
                   4025:     }
                   4026:   }
                   4027: 
                   4028:   printf("\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4029:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Hessian matrix#\n");
                   4030:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) { 
                   4031:     for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { 
1.203     brouard  4032:       printf("%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
                   4033:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",hess[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4034:     }
                   4035:     printf("\n");
                   4036:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4037:   }
                   4038: 
1.203     brouard  4039:   /* printf("\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4040:   /* fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Covariance matrix#\n"); */
                   4041:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) {  */
                   4042:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {  */
                   4043:   /*     printf("%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4044:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.6e ",matcov[i][j]); */
                   4045:   /*   } */
                   4046:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4047:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4048:   /* } */
                   4049: 
1.126     brouard  4050:   /* Recompute Inverse */
1.203     brouard  4051:   /* for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) */
                   4052:   /*   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) a[i][j]=matcov[i][j]; */
                   4053:   /* ludcmp(a,npar,indx,&pd); */
                   4054: 
                   4055:   /*  printf("\n#Hessian matrix recomputed#\n"); */
                   4056: 
                   4057:   /* for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) { */
                   4058:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) x[i]=0; */
                   4059:   /*   x[j]=1; */
                   4060:   /*   lubksb(a,npar,indx,x); */
                   4061:   /*   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){  */
                   4062:   /*     y[i][j]=x[i]; */
                   4063:   /*     printf("%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4064:   /*     fprintf(ficlog,"%.3e ",y[i][j]); */
                   4065:   /*   } */
                   4066:   /*   printf("\n"); */
                   4067:   /*   fprintf(ficlog,"\n"); */
                   4068:   /* } */
                   4069: 
                   4070:   /* Verifying the inverse matrix */
                   4071: #ifdef DEBUGHESS
                   4072:   y=matprod2(y,hess,1,npar,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
1.126     brouard  4073: 
1.203     brouard  4074:    printf("\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix, should be unity:#\n");
                   4075:    fprintf(ficlog,"\n#Verification: multiplying the matrix of covariance by the Hessian matrix. Should be unity:#\n");
1.126     brouard  4076: 
                   4077:   for (j=1;j<=npar;j++) {
                   4078:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++){ 
1.203     brouard  4079:       printf("%.2f ",y[i][j]);
                   4080:       fprintf(ficlog,"%.2f ",y[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  4081:     }
                   4082:     printf("\n");
                   4083:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4084:   }
1.203     brouard  4085: #endif
1.126     brouard  4086: 
                   4087:   free_matrix(a,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4088:   free_matrix(y,1,npar,1,npar);
                   4089:   free_vector(x,1,npar);
                   4090:   free_ivector(indx,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  4091:   /* free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar); */
1.126     brouard  4092: 
                   4093: 
                   4094: }
                   4095: 
                   4096: /*************** hessian matrix ****************/
                   4097: double hessii(double x[], double delta, int theta, double delti[], double (*func)(double []), int npar)
1.203     brouard  4098: { /* Around values of x, computes the function func and returns the scales delti and hessian */
1.126     brouard  4099:   int i;
                   4100:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.203     brouard  4101:   double k1,k2, res, fx;
1.132     brouard  4102:   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; /* identical to x */
1.126     brouard  4103:   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4;
                   4104:   int k=0,kmax=10;
                   4105:   double l1;
                   4106: 
                   4107:   fx=func(x);
                   4108:   for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.145     brouard  4109:   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum */
1.126     brouard  4110:     l1=pow(10,l);
                   4111:     delts=delt;
                   4112:     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){
                   4113:       delt = delta*(l1*k);
                   4114:       p2[theta]=x[theta] +delt;
1.145     brouard  4115:       k1=func(p2)-fx;   /* Might be negative if too close to the theoretical maximum */
1.126     brouard  4116:       p2[theta]=x[theta]-delt;
                   4117:       k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4118:       /*res= (k1-2.0*fx+k2)/delt/delt; */
1.203     brouard  4119:       res= (k1+k2)/delt/delt/2.; /* Divided by 2 because L and not 2*L */
1.126     brouard  4120:       
1.203     brouard  4121: #ifdef DEBUGHESSII
1.126     brouard  4122:       printf("%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4123:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k1=%.12e k2=%.12e xk1=%.12e xk2=%.12e delt=%.12e res=%.12e l=%d k=%d,fx=%.12e\n",theta,theta,k1,k2,x[theta]+delt,x[theta]-delt,delt,res, l, k,fx);
                   4124: #endif
                   4125:       /*if(fabs(k1-2.0*fx+k2) <1.e-13){ */
                   4126:       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)){
                   4127:        k=kmax;
                   4128:       }
                   4129:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif)){ /* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. */
1.164     brouard  4130:        k=kmax; l=lmax*10;
1.126     brouard  4131:       }
                   4132:       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){ 
                   4133:        delts=delt;
                   4134:       }
1.203     brouard  4135:     } /* End loop k */
1.126     brouard  4136:   }
                   4137:   delti[theta]=delts;
                   4138:   return res; 
                   4139:   
                   4140: }
                   4141: 
1.203     brouard  4142: double hessij( double x[], double **hess, double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar)
1.126     brouard  4143: {
                   4144:   int i;
1.164     brouard  4145:   int l=1, lmax=20;
1.126     brouard  4146:   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx;
1.132     brouard  4147:   double p2[MAXPARM+1];
1.203     brouard  4148:   int k, kmax=1;
                   4149:   double v1, v2, cv12, lc1, lc2;
1.208     brouard  4150: 
                   4151:   int firstime=0;
1.203     brouard  4152:   
1.126     brouard  4153:   fx=func(x);
1.203     brouard  4154:   for (k=1; k<=kmax; k=k+10) {
1.126     brouard  4155:     for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i];
1.203     brouard  4156:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4157:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4158:     k1=func(p2)-fx;
                   4159:   
1.203     brouard  4160:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]*k;
                   4161:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4162:     k2=func(p2)-fx;
                   4163:   
1.203     brouard  4164:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4165:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4166:     k3=func(p2)-fx;
                   4167:   
1.203     brouard  4168:     p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]*k;
                   4169:     p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]*k;
1.126     brouard  4170:     k4=func(p2)-fx;
1.203     brouard  4171:     res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]/k/delti[thetaj]/k/2.; /* Because of L not 2*L */
                   4172:     if(k1*k2*k3*k4 <0.){
1.208     brouard  4173:       firstime=1;
1.203     brouard  4174:       kmax=kmax+10;
1.208     brouard  4175:     }
                   4176:     if(kmax >=10 || firstime ==1){
1.246     brouard  4177:       printf("Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
                   4178:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: directions %d-%d, you are not estimating the Hessian at the exact maximum likelihood; you could increase ftol=%.2e\n",thetai,thetaj, ftol);
1.203     brouard  4179:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4180:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti*k=%.12e deltj*k=%.12e, xi-de*k=%.12e xj-de*k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4181:     }
                   4182: #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ
                   4183:     v1=hess[thetai][thetai];
                   4184:     v2=hess[thetaj][thetaj];
                   4185:     cv12=res;
                   4186:     /* Computing eigen value of Hessian matrix */
                   4187:     lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4188:     lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   4189:     if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   4190:       printf("Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4191:       fprintf(ficlog, "Warning: sub Hessian matrix '%d%d' does not have positive eigen values \n",thetai,thetaj);
                   4192:       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4193:       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4);
                   4194:     }
1.126     brouard  4195: #endif
                   4196:   }
                   4197:   return res;
                   4198: }
                   4199: 
1.203     brouard  4200:     /* Not done yet: Was supposed to fix if not exactly at the maximum */
                   4201: /* double hessij( double x[], double delti[], int thetai,int thetaj,double (*func)(double []),int npar) */
                   4202: /* { */
                   4203: /*   int i; */
                   4204: /*   int l=1, lmax=20; */
                   4205: /*   double k1,k2,k3,k4,res,fx; */
                   4206: /*   double p2[MAXPARM+1]; */
                   4207: /*   double delt=0.0001, delts, nkhi=10.,nkhif=1., khi=1.e-4; */
                   4208: /*   int k=0,kmax=10; */
                   4209: /*   double l1; */
                   4210:   
                   4211: /*   fx=func(x); */
                   4212: /*   for(l=0 ; l <=lmax; l++){  /\* Enlarging the zone around the Maximum *\/ */
                   4213: /*     l1=pow(10,l); */
                   4214: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4215: /*     for(k=1 ; k <kmax; k=k+1){ */
                   4216: /*       delt = delti*(l1*k); */
                   4217: /*       for (i=1;i<=npar;i++) p2[i]=x[i]; */
                   4218: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4219: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4220: /*       k1=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4221:       
                   4222: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]+delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4223: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4224: /*       k2=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4225:       
                   4226: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4227: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]+delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4228: /*       k3=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4229:       
                   4230: /*       p2[thetai]=x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k; */
                   4231: /*       p2[thetaj]=x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k; */
                   4232: /*       k4=func(p2)-fx; */
                   4233: /*       res=(k1-k2-k3+k4)/4.0/delti[thetai]*k/delti[thetaj]*k/2.; /\* Because of L not 2*L *\/ */
                   4234: /* #ifdef DEBUGHESSIJ */
                   4235: /*       printf("%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4236: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d k=%d, k1=%.12e k2=%.12e k3=%.12e k4=%.12e delti/k=%.12e deltj/k=%.12e, xi-de/k=%.12e xj-de/k=%.12e  res=%.12e k1234=%.12e,k1-2=%.12e,k3-4=%.12e\n",thetai,thetaj,k,k1,k2,k3,k4,delti[thetai]/k,delti[thetaj]/k,x[thetai]-delti[thetai]/k,x[thetaj]-delti[thetaj]/k, res,k1-k2-k3+k4,k1-k2,k3-k4); */
                   4237: /* #endif */
                   4238: /*       if((k1 <khi/nkhi/2.) || (k2 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)|| (k4 <khi/nkhi/2.)){ */
                   4239: /*     k=kmax; */
                   4240: /*       } */
                   4241: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhif) || (k2 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif) || (k4 >khi/nkhif)){ /\* Keeps lastvalue before 3.84/2 KHI2 5% 1d.f. *\/ */
                   4242: /*     k=kmax; l=lmax*10; */
                   4243: /*       } */
                   4244: /*       else if((k1 >khi/nkhi) || (k2 >khi/nkhi)){  */
                   4245: /*     delts=delt; */
                   4246: /*       } */
                   4247: /*     } /\* End loop k *\/ */
                   4248: /*   } */
                   4249: /*   delti[theta]=delts; */
                   4250: /*   return res;  */
                   4251: /* } */
                   4252: 
                   4253: 
1.126     brouard  4254: /************** Inverse of matrix **************/
                   4255: void ludcmp(double **a, int n, int *indx, double *d) 
                   4256: { 
                   4257:   int i,imax,j,k; 
                   4258:   double big,dum,sum,temp; 
                   4259:   double *vv; 
                   4260:  
                   4261:   vv=vector(1,n); 
                   4262:   *d=1.0; 
                   4263:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4264:     big=0.0; 
                   4265:     for (j=1;j<=n;j++) 
                   4266:       if ((temp=fabs(a[i][j])) > big) big=temp; 
1.256     brouard  4267:     if (big == 0.0){
                   4268:       printf(" Singular Hessian matrix at row %d:\n",i);
                   4269:       for (j=1;j<=n;j++) {
                   4270:        printf(" a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4271:        fprintf(ficlog," a[%d][%d]=%f,",i,j,a[i][j]);
                   4272:       }
                   4273:       fflush(ficlog);
                   4274:       fclose(ficlog);
                   4275:       nrerror("Singular matrix in routine ludcmp"); 
                   4276:     }
1.126     brouard  4277:     vv[i]=1.0/big; 
                   4278:   } 
                   4279:   for (j=1;j<=n;j++) { 
                   4280:     for (i=1;i<j;i++) { 
                   4281:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4282:       for (k=1;k<i;k++) sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4283:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4284:     } 
                   4285:     big=0.0; 
                   4286:     for (i=j;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4287:       sum=a[i][j]; 
                   4288:       for (k=1;k<j;k++) 
                   4289:        sum -= a[i][k]*a[k][j]; 
                   4290:       a[i][j]=sum; 
                   4291:       if ( (dum=vv[i]*fabs(sum)) >= big) { 
                   4292:        big=dum; 
                   4293:        imax=i; 
                   4294:       } 
                   4295:     } 
                   4296:     if (j != imax) { 
                   4297:       for (k=1;k<=n;k++) { 
                   4298:        dum=a[imax][k]; 
                   4299:        a[imax][k]=a[j][k]; 
                   4300:        a[j][k]=dum; 
                   4301:       } 
                   4302:       *d = -(*d); 
                   4303:       vv[imax]=vv[j]; 
                   4304:     } 
                   4305:     indx[j]=imax; 
                   4306:     if (a[j][j] == 0.0) a[j][j]=TINY; 
                   4307:     if (j != n) { 
                   4308:       dum=1.0/(a[j][j]); 
                   4309:       for (i=j+1;i<=n;i++) a[i][j] *= dum; 
                   4310:     } 
                   4311:   } 
                   4312:   free_vector(vv,1,n);  /* Doesn't work */
                   4313: ;
                   4314: } 
                   4315: 
                   4316: void lubksb(double **a, int n, int *indx, double b[]) 
                   4317: { 
                   4318:   int i,ii=0,ip,j; 
                   4319:   double sum; 
                   4320:  
                   4321:   for (i=1;i<=n;i++) { 
                   4322:     ip=indx[i]; 
                   4323:     sum=b[ip]; 
                   4324:     b[ip]=b[i]; 
                   4325:     if (ii) 
                   4326:       for (j=ii;j<=i-1;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4327:     else if (sum) ii=i; 
                   4328:     b[i]=sum; 
                   4329:   } 
                   4330:   for (i=n;i>=1;i--) { 
                   4331:     sum=b[i]; 
                   4332:     for (j=i+1;j<=n;j++) sum -= a[i][j]*b[j]; 
                   4333:     b[i]=sum/a[i][i]; 
                   4334:   } 
                   4335: } 
                   4336: 
                   4337: void pstamp(FILE *fichier)
                   4338: {
1.196     brouard  4339:   fprintf(fichier,"# %s.%s\n#IMaCh version %s, %s\n#%s\n# %s", optionfilefiname,optionfilext,version,copyright, fullversion, strstart);
1.126     brouard  4340: }
                   4341: 
1.253     brouard  4342: 
                   4343: 
1.126     brouard  4344: /************ Frequencies ********************/
1.251     brouard  4345: void  freqsummary(char fileres[], double p[], double pstart[], int iagemin, int iagemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, \
1.226     brouard  4346:                  int *Tvaraff, int *invalidvarcomb, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, char strstart[], \
                   4347:                  int firstpass,  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[])
1.250     brouard  4348: {  /* Some frequencies as well as proposing some starting values */
1.226     brouard  4349:   
1.265     brouard  4350:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, nj, nl, k, iv, jj=0, s1=1, s2=1;
1.226     brouard  4351:   int iind=0, iage=0;
                   4352:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4353:   int first;
                   4354:   double ***freq; /* Frequencies */
1.268     brouard  4355:   double *x, *y, a=0.,b=0.,r=1., sa=0., sb=0.; /* for regression, y=b+m*x and r is the correlation coefficient */
                   4356:   int no=0, linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb);
1.226     brouard  4357:   double *meanq;
                   4358:   double **meanqt;
                   4359:   double *pp, **prop, *posprop, *pospropt;
                   4360:   double pos=0., posproptt=0., pospropta=0., k2, dateintsum=0,k2cpt=0;
                   4361:   char fileresp[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtm[FILENAMELENGTH], fileresphtmfr[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   4362:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4363:     
                   4364:   pp=vector(1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4365:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.226     brouard  4366:   posprop=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state per age */ 
                   4367:   pospropt=vector(1,nlstate); /* Counting the number of transition starting from a live state */ 
                   4368:   /* prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin,iagemax+3); */
                   4369:   meanq=vector(1,nqfveff); /* Number of Quantitative Fixed Variables Effective */
                   4370:   meanqt=matrix(1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
                   4371:   strcpy(fileresp,"P_");
                   4372:   strcat(fileresp,fileresu);
                   4373:   /*strcat(fileresphtm,fileresu);*/
                   4374:   if((ficresp=fopen(fileresp,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4375:     printf("Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4376:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresp);
                   4377:     exit(0);
                   4378:   }
1.240     brouard  4379:   
1.226     brouard  4380:   strcpy(fileresphtm,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   4381:   if((ficresphtm=fopen(fileresphtm,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4382:     printf("Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4383:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with prevalence HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtm,strerror(errno));
                   4384:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4385:     exit(70); 
                   4386:   }
                   4387:   else{
                   4388:     fprintf(ficresphtm,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_ %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4389: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4390: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4391:            fileresphtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4392:   }
1.237     brouard  4393:   fprintf(ficresphtm,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies and prevalence by age at begin of transition and dummy covariate value at beginning of transition</h4>\n",fileresphtm, fileresphtm);
1.240     brouard  4394:   
1.226     brouard  4395:   strcpy(fileresphtmfr,subdirfext(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   4396:   if((ficresphtmfr=fopen(fileresphtmfr,"w"))==NULL) {
                   4397:     printf("Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4398:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with frequency table HTM resultfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",fileresphtmfr,strerror(errno));
                   4399:     fflush(ficlog);
                   4400:     exit(70); 
1.240     brouard  4401:   } else{
1.226     brouard  4402:     fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh PHTM_Frequency table %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
1.240     brouard  4403: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n                                   \
1.214     brouard  4404: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.226     brouard  4405:            fileresphtmfr,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   4406:   }
1.240     brouard  4407:   fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Frequencies of all effective transitions of the model, by age at begin of transition, and covariate value at the begin of transition (if the covariate is a varying covariate) </h4>Unknown status is -1<br/>\n",fileresphtmfr, fileresphtmfr);
                   4408:   
1.253     brouard  4409:   y= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4410:   x= vector(iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4411:   freq= ma3x(-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4412:   j1=0;
1.126     brouard  4413:   
1.227     brouard  4414:   /* j=ncoveff;  /\* Only fixed dummy covariates *\/ */
                   4415:   j=cptcoveff;  /* Only dummy covariates of the model */
1.226     brouard  4416:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.240     brouard  4417:   
                   4418:   
1.226     brouard  4419:   /* Detects if a combination j1 is empty: for a multinomial variable like 3 education levels:
                   4420:      reference=low_education V1=0,V2=0
                   4421:      med_educ                V1=1 V2=0, 
                   4422:      high_educ               V1=0 V2=1
                   4423:      Then V1=1 and V2=1 is a noisy combination that we want to exclude for the list 2**cptcoveff 
                   4424:   */
1.249     brouard  4425:   dateintsum=0;
                   4426:   k2cpt=0;
                   4427: 
1.253     brouard  4428:   if(cptcoveff == 0 )
1.265     brouard  4429:     nl=1;  /* Constant and age model only */
1.253     brouard  4430:   else
                   4431:     nl=2;
1.265     brouard  4432: 
                   4433:   /* if a constant only model, one pass to compute frequency tables and to write it on ficresp */
                   4434:   /* Loop on nj=1 or 2 if dummy covariates j!=0
                   4435:    *   Loop on j1(1 to 2**cptcoveff) covariate combination
                   4436:    *     freq[s1][s2][iage] =0.
                   4437:    *     Loop on iind
                   4438:    *       ++freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4439:    *     end iind
                   4440:    *     if covariate and j!0
                   4441:    *       headers Variable on one line
                   4442:    *     endif cov j!=0
                   4443:    *     header of frequency table by age
                   4444:    *     Loop on age
                   4445:    *       pp[s1]+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4446:    *       pos+=freq[s1][s2][iage] weighted
                   4447:    *       Loop on s1 initial state
                   4448:    *         fprintf(ficresp
                   4449:    *       end s1
                   4450:    *     end age
                   4451:    *     if j!=0 computes starting values
                   4452:    *     end compute starting values
                   4453:    *   end j1
                   4454:    * end nl 
                   4455:    */
1.253     brouard  4456:   for (nj = 1; nj <= nl; nj++){   /* nj= 1 constant model, nl number of loops. */
                   4457:     if(nj==1)
                   4458:       j=0;  /* First pass for the constant */
1.265     brouard  4459:     else{
1.253     brouard  4460:       j=cptcoveff; /* Other passes for the covariate values */
1.265     brouard  4461:     }
1.251     brouard  4462:     first=1;
1.265     brouard  4463:     for (j1 = 1; j1 <= (int) pow(2,j); j1++){ /* Loop on all covariates combination of the model, excluding quantitatives, V4=0, V3=0 for example, fixed or varying covariates */
1.251     brouard  4464:       posproptt=0.;
                   4465:       /*printf("cptcoveff=%d Tvaraff=%d", cptcoveff,Tvaraff[1]);
                   4466:        scanf("%d", i);*/
                   4467:       for (i=-5; i<=nlstate+ndeath; i++)  
1.265     brouard  4468:        for (s2=-5; s2<=nlstate+ndeath; s2++)  
1.251     brouard  4469:          for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.265     brouard  4470:            freq[i][s2][m]=0;
1.251     brouard  4471:       
                   4472:       for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  {
1.240     brouard  4473:        for(m=iagemin; m <= iagemax+3; m++)
1.251     brouard  4474:          prop[i][m]=0;
                   4475:        posprop[i]=0;
                   4476:        pospropt[i]=0;
                   4477:       }
                   4478:       /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4479:       /*   meanq[z1]+=0.; */
                   4480:       /*   for(m=1;m<=lastpass;m++){ */
                   4481:       /*       meanqt[m][z1]=0.; */
                   4482:       /*   } */
                   4483:       /* } */
                   4484:       
                   4485:       /* dateintsum=0; */
                   4486:       /* k2cpt=0; */
                   4487:       
1.265     brouard  4488:       /* For that combination of covariates j1 (V4=1 V3=0 for example), we count and print the frequencies in one pass */
1.251     brouard  4489:       for (iind=1; iind<=imx; iind++) { /* For each individual iind */
                   4490:        bool=1;
                   4491:        if(j !=0){
                   4492:          if(anyvaryingduminmodel==0){ /* If All fixed covariates */
                   4493:            if (cptcoveff >0) { /* Filter is here: Must be looked at for model=V1+V2+V3+V4 */
                   4494:              /* for (z1=1; z1<= nqfveff; z1++) {   */
                   4495:              /*   meanq[z1]+=coqvar[Tvar[z1]][iind];  /\* Computes mean of quantitative with selected filter *\/ */
                   4496:              /* } */
                   4497:              for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) { /* loops on covariates in the model */
                   4498:                /* if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-20){ */
                   4499:                /*       /\* sumnew+=cotvar[mw[mi][iind]][z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4500:                /* }else  if(Tvaraff[z1] ==-10){ */
                   4501:                /*       /\* sumnew+=coqvar[z1][iind]; *\/ */
                   4502:                /* }else  */
                   4503:                if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]){ /* for combination j1 of covariates */
1.265     brouard  4504:                  /* Tests if the value of the covariate z1 for this individual iind responded to combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) */
1.251     brouard  4505:                  bool=0; /* bool should be equal to 1 to be selected, one covariate value failed */
                   4506:                  /* printf("bool=%d i=%d, z1=%d, Tvaraff[%d]=%d, covar[Tvarff][%d]=%2f, codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, nbcode[Tvaraff][codtabm(%d,%d)=%d, j1=%d\n", 
                   4507:                     bool,i,z1, z1, Tvaraff[z1],i,covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i],j1,z1,codtabm(j1,z1),
                   4508:                     j1,z1,nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)],j1);*/
                   4509:                  /* For j1=7 in V1+V2+V3+V4 = 0 1 1 0 and codtabm(7,3)=1 and nbcde[3][?]=1*/
                   4510:                } /* Onlyf fixed */
                   4511:              } /* end z1 */
                   4512:            } /* cptcovn > 0 */
                   4513:          } /* end any */
                   4514:        }/* end j==0 */
1.265     brouard  4515:        if (bool==1){ /* We selected an individual iind satisfying combination j1 (V4=1 V3=0) or all fixed covariates */
1.251     brouard  4516:          /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){ */
                   4517:          for(mi=1; mi<wav[iind];mi++){ /* For that wave */
                   4518:            m=mw[mi][iind];
                   4519:            if(j!=0){
                   4520:              if(anyvaryingduminmodel==1){ /* Some are varying covariates */
                   4521:                for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) {
                   4522:                  if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   4523:                    iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   4524:                    if (cotvar[m][iv][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality. If covariate's 
                   4525:                                                                                      value is -1, we don't select. It differs from the 
                   4526:                                                                                      constant and age model which counts them. */
                   4527:                      bool=0; /* not selected */
                   4528:                  }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0) { /* fixed */
                   4529:                    if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][iind]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   4530:                      bool=0;
                   4531:                    }
                   4532:                  }
                   4533:                }
                   4534:              }/* Some are varying covariates, we tried to speed up if all fixed covariates in the model, avoiding waves loop  */
                   4535:            } /* end j==0 */
                   4536:            /* bool =0 we keep that guy which corresponds to the combination of dummy values */
                   4537:            if(bool==1){
                   4538:              /* dh[m][iind] or dh[mw[mi][iind]][iind] is the delay between two effective (mi) waves m=mw[mi][iind]
                   4539:                 and mw[mi+1][iind]. dh depends on stepm. */
                   4540:              agebegin=agev[m][iind]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   4541:              ageend=agev[m][iind]+(dh[m][iind])*stepm/YEARM; /* Age at end of wave and transition */
                   4542:              if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   4543:                k2=anint[m][iind]+(mint[m][iind]/12.);
                   4544:                /*if ((k2>=dateprev1) && (k2<=dateprev2)) {*/
                   4545:                if(agev[m][iind]==0) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+1;  /* All ages equal to 0 are in iagemax+1 */
                   4546:                if(agev[m][iind]==1) agev[m][iind]=iagemax+2;  /* All ages equal to 1 are in iagemax+2 */
                   4547:                if (s[m][iind]>0 && s[m][iind]<=nlstate)  /* If status at wave m is known and a live state */
                   4548:                  prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind];  /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4549:                if (m<lastpass) {
                   4550:                  /* if(s[m][iind]==4 && s[m+1][iind]==4) */
                   4551:                  /*   printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind]); */
                   4552:                  if(s[m][iind]==-1)
                   4553:                    printf(" num=%ld m=%d, iind=%d s1=%d s2=%d agev at m=%d agebegin=%.2f ageend=%.2f, agemed=%d\n", num[iind], m, iind,s[m][iind],s[m+1][iind], (int)agev[m][iind],agebegin, ageend, (int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.));
                   4554:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind]; /* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   4555:                  /* if((int)agev[m][iind] == 55) */
                   4556:                  /*   printf("j=%d, j1=%d Age %d, iind=%d, num=%09ld m=%d\n",j,j1,(int)agev[m][iind],iind, num[iind],m); */
                   4557:                  /* freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][(int)((agebegin+ageend)/2.)] += weight[iind]; */
                   4558:                  freq[s[m][iind]][s[m+1][iind]][iagemax+3] += weight[iind]; /* Total is in iagemax+3 *//* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
1.234     brouard  4559:                }
1.251     brouard  4560:              } /* end if between passes */  
                   4561:              if ((agev[m][iind]>1) && (agev[m][iind]< (iagemax+3)) && (anint[m][iind]!=9999) && (mint[m][iind]!=99) && (j==0)) {
                   4562:                dateintsum=dateintsum+k2; /* on all covariates ?*/
                   4563:                k2cpt++;
                   4564:                /* printf("iind=%ld dateintmean = %lf dateintsum=%lf k2cpt=%lf k2=%lf\n",iind, dateintsum/k2cpt, dateintsum,k2cpt, k2); */
1.234     brouard  4565:              }
1.251     brouard  4566:            }else{
                   4567:              bool=1;
                   4568:            }/* end bool 2 */
                   4569:          } /* end m */
                   4570:        } /* end bool */
                   4571:       } /* end iind = 1 to imx */
                   4572:       /* prop[s][age] is feeded for any initial and valid live state as well as
                   4573:         freq[s1][s2][age] at single age of beginning the transition, for a combination j1 */
                   4574:       
                   4575:       
                   4576:       /*      fprintf(ficresp, "#Count between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2);*/
1.265     brouard  4577:       if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4578:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4579:       if  (cptcoveff>0 && j!=0){
1.265     brouard  4580:         pstamp(ficresp);
1.251     brouard  4581:        printf( "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4582:        fprintf(ficresp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4583:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4584:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n<br/><br/><h3>********** Variable "); 
                   4585:        fprintf(ficlog, "\n#********** Variable "); 
                   4586:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   4587:          if(!FixedV[Tvaraff[z1]]){
                   4588:            printf( "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4589:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4590:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4591:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4592:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(fixed)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.250     brouard  4593:          }else{
1.251     brouard  4594:            printf( "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4595:            fprintf(ficresp, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4596:            fprintf(ficresphtm, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4597:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4598:            fprintf(ficlog, "V%d(varying)=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4599:          }
                   4600:        }
                   4601:        printf( "**********\n#");
                   4602:        fprintf(ficresp, "**********\n#");
                   4603:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4604:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "**********</h3>\n");
                   4605:        fprintf(ficlog, "**********\n");
                   4606:       }
                   4607:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
1.265     brouard  4608:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4609:         fprintf(ficresp, " Age");
                   4610:       if(nj==2) for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " V%d=%d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.251     brouard  4611:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.265     brouard  4612:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," Prev(%d)  N(%d)  N  ",i,i);
1.251     brouard  4613:        fprintf(ficresphtm, "<th>Age</th><th>Prev(%d)</th><th>N(%d)</th><th>N</th>",i,i);
                   4614:       }
1.265     brouard  4615:       if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp, "\n");
1.251     brouard  4616:       fprintf(ficresphtm, "\n");
                   4617:       
                   4618:       /* Header of frequency table by age */
                   4619:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<table style=\"text-align:center; border: 1px solid\">");
                   4620:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>Age</th> ");
1.265     brouard  4621:       for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
1.251     brouard  4622:        for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4623:          if(s2!=0 && m!=0)
                   4624:            fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<th>%d%d</th> ",s2,m);
1.240     brouard  4625:        }
1.226     brouard  4626:       }
1.251     brouard  4627:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr, "\n");
                   4628:     
                   4629:       /* For each age */
                   4630:       for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4631:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr>");
                   4632:        if(iage==iagemax+1){
                   4633:          fprintf(ficlog,"1");
                   4634:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>0</th> ");
                   4635:        }else if(iage==iagemax+2){
                   4636:          fprintf(ficlog,"0");
                   4637:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Unknown</th> ");
                   4638:        }else if(iage==iagemax+3){
                   4639:          fprintf(ficlog,"Total");
                   4640:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>Total</th> ");
                   4641:        }else{
1.240     brouard  4642:          if(first==1){
1.251     brouard  4643:            first=0;
                   4644:            printf("See log file for details...\n");
                   4645:          }
                   4646:          fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<tr><th>%d</th> ",iage);
                   4647:          fprintf(ficlog,"Age %d", iage);
                   4648:        }
1.265     brouard  4649:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4650:          for(m=-1, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath ; m++)
                   4651:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage]; 
1.251     brouard  4652:        }
1.265     brouard  4653:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4654:          for(m=-1, pos=0; m <=0 ; m++)
1.265     brouard  4655:            pos += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4656:          if(pp[s1]>=1.e-10){
1.251     brouard  4657:            if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4658:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4659:            }
1.265     brouard  4660:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pos/pp[s1]);
1.251     brouard  4661:          }else{
                   4662:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4663:              printf(" %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4664:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f loss[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.240     brouard  4665:          }
                   4666:        }
                   4667:       
1.265     brouard  4668:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){ 
                   4669:          /* posprop[s1]=0; */
                   4670:          for(m=0, pp[s1]=0; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++)/* Summing on all ages */
                   4671:            pp[s1] += freq[s1][m][iage];
                   4672:        }       /* pp[s1] is the total number of transitions starting from state s1 and any ending status until this age */
                   4673:       
                   4674:        for(s1=1,pos=0, pospropta=0.; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
                   4675:          pos += pp[s1]; /* pos is the total number of transitions until this age */
                   4676:          posprop[s1] += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4677:                                            from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4678:          pospropta += prop[s1][iage]; /* prop is the number of transitions from a live state
                   4679:                                          from s1 at age iage prop[s[m][iind]][(int)agev[m][iind]] += weight[iind] */
                   4680:        }
                   4681:        
                   4682:        /* Writing ficresp */
                   4683:        if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4684:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4685:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4686:           }
                   4687:         }else if( nj==2){
                   4688:           if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4689:            fprintf(ficresp," %d",iage);
                   4690:             for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresp, " %d %d",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
                   4691:           }
1.240     brouard  4692:        }
1.265     brouard  4693:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.240     brouard  4694:          if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4695:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4696:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
                   4697:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=%.1f%%",s1,pp[s1],s1,100*pp[s1]/pos);
1.251     brouard  4698:          }else{
                   4699:            if(first==1)
1.265     brouard  4700:              printf(" %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
                   4701:            fprintf(ficlog," %d.=%.0f prev[%d]=NaNQ%%",s1,pp[s1],s1);
1.251     brouard  4702:          }
                   4703:          if( iage <= iagemax){
                   4704:            if(pos>=1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4705:              if(cptcoveff==0 && nj==1){ /* no covariate and first pass */
                   4706:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4707:               }else if( nj==2){
                   4708:                fprintf(ficresp," %.5f %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4709:               }
                   4710:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage,prop[s1][iage]/pospropta, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4711:              /*probs[iage][s1][j1]= pp[s1]/pos;*/
                   4712:              /*printf("\niage=%d s1=%d j1=%d %.5f %.0f %.0f %f",iage,s1,j1,pp[s1]/pos, pp[s1],pos,probs[iage][s1][j1]);*/
                   4713:            } else{
                   4714:              if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) fprintf(ficresp," NaNq %.0f %.0f",prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
                   4715:              fprintf(ficresphtm,"<th>%d</th><td>NaNq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",iage, prop[s1][iage],pospropta);
1.251     brouard  4716:            }
1.240     brouard  4717:          }
1.265     brouard  4718:          pospropt[s1] +=posprop[s1];
                   4719:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4720:        /* pospropt=0.; */
1.265     brouard  4721:        for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4722:          for(m=-1; m <=nlstate+ndeath; m++){
1.265     brouard  4723:            if(freq[s1][m][iage] !=0 ) { /* minimizing output */
1.251     brouard  4724:              if(first==1){
1.265     brouard  4725:                printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4726:              }
1.265     brouard  4727:              /* printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]); */
                   4728:              fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,m,freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.251     brouard  4729:            }
1.265     brouard  4730:            if(s1!=0 && m!=0)
                   4731:              fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"<td>%.0f</td> ",freq[s1][m][iage]);
1.240     brouard  4732:          }
1.265     brouard  4733:        } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4734:        posproptt=0.; 
1.265     brouard  4735:        for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate; s1++){
                   4736:          posproptt += pospropt[s1];
1.251     brouard  4737:        }
                   4738:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</tr>\n ");
1.265     brouard  4739:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4740:        if((cptcoveff==0 && nj==1)|| nj==2 ) {
                   4741:          if(iage <= iagemax)
                   4742:            fprintf(ficresp,"\n");
1.240     brouard  4743:        }
1.251     brouard  4744:        if(first==1)
                   4745:          printf("Others in log...\n");
                   4746:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4747:       } /* end loop age iage */
1.265     brouard  4748:       
1.251     brouard  4749:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"<tr><th>Tot</th>");
1.265     brouard  4750:       for(s1=1; s1 <=nlstate ; s1++){
1.251     brouard  4751:        if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.265     brouard  4752:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>Nanq</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1],posproptt); 
1.251     brouard  4753:        }else{
1.265     brouard  4754:          fprintf(ficresphtm,"<td>%.5f</td><td>%.0f</td><td>%.0f</td>",pospropt[s1]/posproptt,pospropt[s1],posproptt);  
1.240     brouard  4755:        }
1.226     brouard  4756:       }
1.251     brouard  4757:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</tr>\n");
                   4758:       fprintf(ficresphtm,"</table>\n");
                   4759:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
1.226     brouard  4760:       if(posproptt < 1.e-5){
1.251     brouard  4761:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
                   4762:        fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"\n <p><b> This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced</b></p>",j1);
1.260     brouard  4763:        fprintf(ficlog,"#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
                   4764:        printf("#  This combination (%d) is not valid and no result will be produced\n",j1);
1.251     brouard  4765:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=1;
1.226     brouard  4766:       }else{
1.251     brouard  4767:        fprintf(ficresphtm,"\n <p> This combination (%d) is valid and result will be produced.</p>",j1);
                   4768:        invalidvarcomb[j1]=0;
1.226     brouard  4769:       }
1.251     brouard  4770:       fprintf(ficresphtmfr,"</table>\n");
                   4771:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4772:       if(j!=0){
                   4773:        printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for combination j1=%d:\n", j1);
1.265     brouard  4774:        for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4775:          for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4776:            if (k != i) {
1.265     brouard  4777:              for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){ /* For counting s1 */
1.253     brouard  4778:                if(jj==1){  /* Constant case (in fact cste + age) */
1.251     brouard  4779:                  if(j1==1){ /* All dummy covariates to zero */
                   4780:                    freq[i][k][iagemax+4]=freq[i][k][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
                   4781:                    freq[i][i][iagemax+4]=freq[i][i][iagemax+3]; /* Stores case 0 0 0 */
1.252     brouard  4782:                    printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4783:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4784:                    printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]),freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3], sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4785:                    fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f \n",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4786:                    pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
1.251     brouard  4787:                  }
1.253     brouard  4788:                }else if((j1==1) && (jj==2 || nagesqr==1)){ /* age or age*age parameter without covariate V4*age (to be done later) */
                   4789:                  for(iage=iagemin; iage <= iagemax+3; iage++){
                   4790:                    x[iage]= (double)iage;
                   4791:                    y[iage]= log(freq[i][k][iage]/freq[i][i][iage]);
1.265     brouard  4792:                    /* printf("i=%d, k=%d, s1=%d, j1=%d, jj=%d, y[%d]=%f\n",i,k,s1,j1,jj, iage, y[iage]); */
1.253     brouard  4793:                  }
1.268     brouard  4794:                  /* Some are not finite, but linreg will ignore these ages */
                   4795:                  no=0;
1.253     brouard  4796:                  linreg(iagemin,iagemax,&no,x,y,&a,&b,&r, &sa, &sb ); /* y= a+b*x with standard errors */
1.265     brouard  4797:                  pstart[s1]=b;
                   4798:                  pstart[s1-1]=a;
1.252     brouard  4799:                }else if( j1!=1 && (j1==2 || (log(j1-1.)/log(2.)-(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))) <0.010) && ( TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]+2+nagesqr == jj)  && Dummy[jj-2-nagesqr]==0){ /* We want only if the position, jj, in model corresponds to unique covariate equal to 1 in j1 combination */ 
                   4800:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%d, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
                   4801:                  printf("j1=%d, jj=%d, (log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1=%f, TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]=%d\n",j1, jj,(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1,TvarsDind[(int)(log(j1-1.)/log(2.))+1]);
1.265     brouard  4802:                  pstart[s1]= log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.252     brouard  4803:                  printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4804:                  fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
1.265     brouard  4805:                  printf("s1=%d,i=%d,k=%d,p[%d]=%12.7f ln((%.0f/%.0f)/(%.0f/%.0f))= %f, OR=%f sd=%f \n",s1,i,k,s1,p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3],freq[i][k][iagemax+4],freq[i][i][iagemax+4], log((freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4])),(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3])/(freq[i][k][iagemax+4]/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]), sqrt(1/freq[i][k][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]+1/freq[i][k][iagemax+4]+1/freq[i][i][iagemax+4]));
1.251     brouard  4806:                }else{ /* Other cases, like quantitative fixed or varying covariates */
                   4807:                  ;
                   4808:                }
                   4809:                /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4810:                /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4811:                s1++; 
1.251     brouard  4812:              } /* end jj */
                   4813:            } /* end k!= i */
                   4814:          } /* end k */
1.265     brouard  4815:        } /* end i, s1 */
1.251     brouard  4816:       } /* end j !=0 */
                   4817:     } /* end selected combination of covariate j1 */
                   4818:     if(j==0){ /* We can estimate starting values from the occurences in each case */
                   4819:       printf("#Freqsummary: Starting values for the constants:\n");
                   4820:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4821:       for(i=1,s1=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.251     brouard  4822:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   4823:          if (k != i) {
                   4824:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   4825:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   4826:            for(jj=1; jj <=ncovmodel; jj++){
1.265     brouard  4827:              pstart[s1]=p[s1]; /* Setting pstart to p values by default */
1.253     brouard  4828:              if(jj==1){ /* Age has to be done */
1.265     brouard  4829:                pstart[s1]= log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]);
                   4830:                printf("%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
                   4831:                fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ln(%.0f/%.0f)= %12.7f ",p[s1],freq[i][k][iagemax+3],freq[i][i][iagemax+3], log(freq[i][k][iagemax+3]/freq[i][i][iagemax+3]));
1.251     brouard  4832:              }
                   4833:              /* printf("%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
                   4834:              /* fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f )", param[i][jj][k]); */
1.265     brouard  4835:              s1++; 
1.250     brouard  4836:            }
1.251     brouard  4837:            printf("\n");
                   4838:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.250     brouard  4839:          }
                   4840:        }
                   4841:       }
1.251     brouard  4842:       printf("#Freqsummary\n");
                   4843:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.265     brouard  4844:       for(s1=-1; s1 <=nlstate+ndeath; s1++){
                   4845:        for(s2=-1; s2 <=nlstate+ndeath; s2++){
                   4846:          /* param[i]|j][k]= freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3] */
                   4847:          printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4848:          fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]);
                   4849:          /* if(freq[s1][s2][iage] !=0 ) { /\* minimizing output *\/ */
                   4850:          /*   printf(" %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
                   4851:          /*   fprintf(ficlog," %d%d=%.0f",s1,s2,freq[s1][s2][iagemax+3]); */
1.251     brouard  4852:          /* } */
                   4853:        }
1.265     brouard  4854:       } /* end loop s1 */
1.251     brouard  4855:       
                   4856:       printf("\n");
                   4857:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   4858:     } /* end j=0 */
1.249     brouard  4859:   } /* end j */
1.252     brouard  4860: 
1.253     brouard  4861:   if(mle == -2){  /* We want to use these values as starting values */
1.252     brouard  4862:     for(i=1, jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   4863:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   4864:        if(j!=i){
                   4865:          /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   4866:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4867:          fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   4868:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   4869:            /*    printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4870:            /*    fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   4871:            p[jk]=pstart[jk];
                   4872:            printf(" %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4873:            fprintf(ficparo," %f ",pstart[jk]);
                   4874:            jk++;
                   4875:          }
                   4876:          printf("\n");
                   4877:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   4878:        }
                   4879:       }
                   4880:     }
                   4881:   } /* end mle=-2 */
1.226     brouard  4882:   dateintmean=dateintsum/k2cpt; 
1.240     brouard  4883:   
1.226     brouard  4884:   fclose(ficresp);
                   4885:   fclose(ficresphtm);
                   4886:   fclose(ficresphtmfr);
                   4887:   free_vector(meanq,1,nqfveff);
                   4888:   free_matrix(meanqt,1,lastpass,1,nqtveff);
1.253     brouard  4889:   free_vector(x, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
                   4890:   free_vector(y, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.251     brouard  4891:   free_ma3x(freq,-5,nlstate+ndeath,-5,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4892:   free_vector(pospropt,1,nlstate);
                   4893:   free_vector(posprop,1,nlstate);
1.251     brouard  4894:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE, iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.226     brouard  4895:   free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);
                   4896:   /* End of freqsummary */
                   4897: }
1.126     brouard  4898: 
1.268     brouard  4899: /* Simple linear regression */
                   4900: int linreg(int ifi, int ila, int *no, const double x[], const double y[], double* a, double* b, double* r, double* sa, double * sb) {
                   4901: 
                   4902:   /* y=a+bx regression */
                   4903:   double   sumx = 0.0;                        /* sum of x                      */
                   4904:   double   sumx2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of x**2                   */
                   4905:   double   sumxy = 0.0;                       /* sum of x * y                  */
                   4906:   double   sumy = 0.0;                        /* sum of y                      */
                   4907:   double   sumy2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of y**2                   */
                   4908:   double   sume2 = 0.0;                       /* sum of square or residuals */
                   4909:   double yhat;
                   4910:   
                   4911:   double denom=0;
                   4912:   int i;
                   4913:   int ne=*no;
                   4914:   
                   4915:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4916:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4917:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4918:       continue;
                   4919:     }
                   4920:     ne=ne+1;
                   4921:     sumx  += x[i];       
                   4922:     sumx2 += x[i]*x[i];  
                   4923:     sumxy += x[i] * y[i];
                   4924:     sumy  += y[i];      
                   4925:     sumy2 += y[i]*y[i]; 
                   4926:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4927:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4928:   } 
                   4929:   
                   4930:   denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4931:   if (denom == 0) {
                   4932:     // vertical, slope m is infinity
                   4933:     *b = INFINITY;
                   4934:     *a = 0;
                   4935:     if (r) *r = 0;
                   4936:     return 1;
                   4937:   }
                   4938:   
                   4939:   *b = (ne * sumxy  -  sumx * sumy) / denom;
                   4940:   *a = (sumy * sumx2  -  sumx * sumxy) / denom;
                   4941:   if (r!=NULL) {
                   4942:     *r = (sumxy - sumx * sumy / ne) /          /* compute correlation coeff     */
                   4943:       sqrt((sumx2 - sumx*sumx/ne) *
                   4944:           (sumy2 - sumy*sumy/ne));
                   4945:   }
                   4946:   *no=ne;
                   4947:   for ( i=ifi, ne=0;i<=ila;i++) {
                   4948:     if(!isfinite(x[i]) || !isfinite(y[i])){
                   4949:       /* printf(" x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f\n",i,x[i],i,y[i]); */
                   4950:       continue;
                   4951:     }
                   4952:     ne=ne+1;
                   4953:     yhat = y[i] - *a -*b* x[i];
                   4954:     sume2  += yhat * yhat ;       
                   4955:     
                   4956:     denom = (ne * sumx2 - sumx*sumx);
                   4957:     /* printf("ne=%d, i=%d,x[%d]=%f, y[%d]=%f sumx=%f, sumx2=%f, sumxy=%f, sumy=%f, sumy2=%f, denom=%f\n",ne,i,i,x[i],i,y[i], sumx, sumx2,sumxy, sumy, sumy2,denom); */
                   4958:   } 
                   4959:   *sb = sqrt(sume2/(double)(ne-2)/(sumx2 - sumx * sumx /(double)ne));
                   4960:   *sa= *sb * sqrt(sumx2/ne);
                   4961:   
                   4962:   return 0; 
                   4963: }
                   4964: 
1.126     brouard  4965: /************ Prevalence ********************/
1.227     brouard  4966: void prevalence(double ***probs, double agemin, double agemax, int **s, double **agev, int nlstate, int imx, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax,double **mint,double **anint, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass)
                   4967: {  
                   4968:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   4969:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   4970:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   4971:   */
1.126     brouard  4972:  
1.227     brouard  4973:   int i, m, jk, j1, bool, z1,j, iv;
                   4974:   int mi; /* Effective wave */
                   4975:   int iage;
                   4976:   double agebegin, ageend;
                   4977: 
                   4978:   double **prop;
                   4979:   double posprop; 
                   4980:   double  y2; /* in fractional years */
                   4981:   int iagemin, iagemax;
                   4982:   int first; /** to stop verbosity which is redirected to log file */
                   4983: 
                   4984:   iagemin= (int) agemin;
                   4985:   iagemax= (int) agemax;
                   4986:   /*pp=vector(1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  4987:   prop=matrix(1,nlstate,iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE); 
1.227     brouard  4988:   /*  freq=ma3x(-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath,iagemin,iagemax+3);*/
                   4989:   j1=0;
1.222     brouard  4990:   
1.227     brouard  4991:   /*j=cptcoveff;*/
                   4992:   if (cptcovn<1) {j=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.222     brouard  4993:   
1.227     brouard  4994:   first=1;
                   4995:   for(j1=1; j1<= (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);j1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   4996:     for (i=1; i<=nlstate; i++)  
1.251     brouard  4997:       for(iage=iagemin-AGEMARGE; iage <= iagemax+4+AGEMARGE; iage++)
1.227     brouard  4998:        prop[i][iage]=0.0;
                   4999:     printf("Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5000:     /* fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j1],nbcode[Tvaraff[j1]][codtabm(k,j1)]); */
                   5001:     fprintf(ficlog,"Prevalence combination of varying and fixed dummies %d\n",j1);
                   5002:     
                   5003:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Each individual */
                   5004:       bool=1;
                   5005:       /* for(m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++){/\* Other selection (we can limit to certain interviews*\/ */
                   5006:       for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){ /* For this wave too look where individual can be counted V4=0 V3=0 */
                   5007:        m=mw[mi][i];
                   5008:        /* Tmodelind[z1]=k is the position of the varying covariate in the model, but which # within 1 to ntv? */
                   5009:        /* Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]] is the n of Vn; n-ncovcol-nqv is the first time varying covariate or iv */
                   5010:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++){
                   5011:          if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]==1){
                   5012:            iv= Tvar[Tmodelind[z1]]-ncovcol-nqv;
                   5013:            if (cotvar[m][iv][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) /* iv=1 to ntv, right modality */
                   5014:              bool=0;
                   5015:          }else if( Fixed[Tmodelind[z1]]== 0)  /* fixed */
                   5016:            if (covar[Tvaraff[z1]][i]!= nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]) {
                   5017:              bool=0;
                   5018:            }
                   5019:        }
                   5020:        if(bool==1){ /* Otherwise we skip that wave/person */
                   5021:          agebegin=agev[m][i]; /* Age at beginning of wave before transition*/
                   5022:          /* ageend=agev[m][i]+(dh[m][i])*stepm/YEARM; /\* Age at end of wave and transition *\/ */
                   5023:          if(m >=firstpass && m <=lastpass){
                   5024:            y2=anint[m][i]+(mint[m][i]/12.); /* Fractional date in year */
                   5025:            if ((y2>=dateprev1) && (y2<=dateprev2)) { /* Here is the main selection (fractional years) */
                   5026:              if(agev[m][i]==0) agev[m][i]=iagemax+1;
                   5027:              if(agev[m][i]==1) agev[m][i]=iagemax+2;
1.251     brouard  5028:              if((int)agev[m][i] <iagemin-AGEMARGE || (int)agev[m][i] >iagemax+4+AGEMARGE){
1.227     brouard  5029:                printf("Error on individual # %d agev[m][i]=%f <%d-%d or > %d+3+%d  m=%d; either change agemin or agemax or fix data\n",i, agev[m][i],iagemin,AGEMARGE, iagemax,AGEMARGE,m); 
                   5030:                exit(1);
                   5031:              }
                   5032:              if (s[m][i]>0 && s[m][i]<=nlstate) { 
                   5033:                /*if(i>4620) printf(" i=%d m=%d s[m][i]=%d (int)agev[m][i]=%d weight[i]=%f prop=%f\n",i,m,s[m][i],(int)agev[m][m],weight[i],prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]]);*/
                   5034:                prop[s[m][i]][(int)agev[m][i]] += weight[i];/* At age of beginning of transition, where status is known */
                   5035:                prop[s[m][i]][iagemax+3] += weight[i]; 
                   5036:              } /* end valid statuses */ 
                   5037:            } /* end selection of dates */
                   5038:          } /* end selection of waves */
                   5039:        } /* end bool */
                   5040:       } /* end wave */
                   5041:     } /* end individual */
                   5042:     for(i=iagemin; i <= iagemax+3; i++){  
                   5043:       for(jk=1,posprop=0; jk <=nlstate ; jk++) { 
                   5044:        posprop += prop[jk][i]; 
                   5045:       } 
                   5046:       
                   5047:       for(jk=1; jk <=nlstate ; jk++){      
                   5048:        if( i <=  iagemax){ 
                   5049:          if(posprop>=1.e-5){ 
                   5050:            probs[i][jk][j1]= prop[jk][i]/posprop;
                   5051:          } else{
                   5052:            if(first==1){
                   5053:              first=0;
1.266     brouard  5054:              printf("Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5055:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
                   5056:            }else{
                   5057:              fprintf(ficlog,"Warning Observed prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: probs[%d][%d][%d]=%lf because of lack of cases\nSee others in log file...\n",jk,i,jk, j1,probs[i][jk][j1]);
1.227     brouard  5058:            }
                   5059:          }
                   5060:        } 
                   5061:       }/* end jk */ 
                   5062:     }/* end i */ 
1.222     brouard  5063:      /*} *//* end i1 */
1.227     brouard  5064:   } /* end j1 */
1.222     brouard  5065:   
1.227     brouard  5066:   /*  free_ma3x(freq,-1,nlstate+ndeath,-1,nlstate+ndeath, iagemin, iagemax+3);*/
                   5067:   /*free_vector(pp,1,nlstate);*/
1.251     brouard  5068:   free_matrix(prop,1,nlstate, iagemin-AGEMARGE,iagemax+4+AGEMARGE);
1.227     brouard  5069: }  /* End of prevalence */
1.126     brouard  5070: 
                   5071: /************* Waves Concatenation ***************/
                   5072: 
                   5073: void  concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int **bh,  int **mw, int **s, double *agedc, double **agev, int  firstpass, int lastpass, int imx, int nlstate, int stepm)
                   5074: {
                   5075:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   5076:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   5077:      mw[mi][i] is the mi (mi=1 to wav[i])  effective wave of individual i
                   5078:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   5079:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
1.227     brouard  5080:   */
1.126     brouard  5081: 
1.224     brouard  5082:   int i=0, mi=0, m=0, mli=0;
1.126     brouard  5083:   /* int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl,jmin=1e+5, jmax=-1;
                   5084:      double sum=0., jmean=0.;*/
1.224     brouard  5085:   int first=0, firstwo=0, firsthree=0, firstfour=0, firstfiv=0;
1.126     brouard  5086:   int j, k=0,jk, ju, jl;
                   5087:   double sum=0.;
                   5088:   first=0;
1.214     brouard  5089:   firstwo=0;
1.217     brouard  5090:   firsthree=0;
1.218     brouard  5091:   firstfour=0;
1.164     brouard  5092:   jmin=100000;
1.126     brouard  5093:   jmax=-1;
                   5094:   jmean=0.;
1.224     brouard  5095: 
                   5096: /* Treating live states */
1.214     brouard  5097:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){  /* For simple cases and if state is death */
1.224     brouard  5098:     mi=0;  /* First valid wave */
1.227     brouard  5099:     mli=0; /* Last valid wave */
1.126     brouard  5100:     m=firstpass;
1.214     brouard  5101:     while(s[m][i] <= nlstate){  /* a live state */
1.227     brouard  5102:       if(m >firstpass && s[m][i]==s[m-1][i] && mint[m][i]==mint[m-1][i] && anint[m][i]==anint[m-1][i]){/* Two succesive identical information on wave m */
                   5103:        mli=m-1;/* mw[++mi][i]=m-1; */
                   5104:       }else if(s[m][i]>=1 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* Since 0.98r4 if status=-2 vital status is really unknown, wave should be skipped */
                   5105:        mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5106:        mli=m;
1.224     brouard  5107:       } /* else might be a useless wave  -1 and mi is not incremented and mw[mi] not updated */
                   5108:       if(m < lastpass){ /* m < lastpass, standard case */
1.227     brouard  5109:        m++; /* mi gives the "effective" current wave, m the current wave, go to next wave by incrementing m */
1.216     brouard  5110:       }
1.227     brouard  5111:       else{ /* m >= lastpass, eventual special issue with warning */
1.224     brouard  5112: #ifdef UNKNOWNSTATUSNOTCONTRIBUTING
1.227     brouard  5113:        break;
1.224     brouard  5114: #else
1.227     brouard  5115:        if(s[m][i]==-1 && (int) andc[i] == 9999 && (int)anint[m][i] != 9999){
                   5116:          if(firsthree == 0){
1.262     brouard  5117:            printf("Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5118:            firsthree=1;
                   5119:          }
1.262     brouard  5120:          fprintf(ficlog,"Information! Unknown status for individual %ld line=%d occurred at last wave %d at known date %d/%d. Please, check if your unknown date of death %d/%d means a live state %d at wave %d. This case(%d)/wave(%d) contributes to the likelihood as 1-p%d%d .\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], s[m][i], m, i, m, s[m][i], nlstate+ndeath);
1.227     brouard  5121:          mw[++mi][i]=m;
                   5122:          mli=m;
                   5123:        }
                   5124:        if(s[m][i]==-2){ /* Vital status is really unknown */
                   5125:          nbwarn++;
                   5126:          if((int)anint[m][i] == 9999){  /*  Has the vital status really been verified? */
                   5127:            printf("Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5128:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Vital status for individual %ld (line=%d) at last wave %d interviewed at date %d/%d is unknown %d. Please, check if the vital status and the date of death %d/%d are really unknown. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], (int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], i, m);
                   5129:          }
                   5130:          break;
                   5131:        }
                   5132:        break;
1.224     brouard  5133: #endif
1.227     brouard  5134:       }/* End m >= lastpass */
1.126     brouard  5135:     }/* end while */
1.224     brouard  5136: 
1.227     brouard  5137:     /* mi is the last effective wave, m is lastpass, mw[j][i] gives the # of j-th effective wave for individual i */
1.216     brouard  5138:     /* After last pass */
1.224     brouard  5139: /* Treating death states */
1.214     brouard  5140:     if (s[m][i] > nlstate){  /* In a death state */
1.227     brouard  5141:       /* if( mint[m][i]==mdc[m][i] && anint[m][i]==andc[m][i]){ /\* same date of death and date of interview *\/ */
                   5142:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  5143:       mi++;    /* Death is another wave */
                   5144:       /* if(mi==0)  never been interviewed correctly before death */
1.227     brouard  5145:       /* Only death is a correct wave */
1.126     brouard  5146:       mw[mi][i]=m;
1.257     brouard  5147:     } /* else not in a death state */
1.224     brouard  5148: #ifndef DISPATCHINGKNOWNDEATHAFTERLASTWAVE
1.257     brouard  5149:     else if ((int) andc[i] != 9999) {  /* Date of death is known */
1.218     brouard  5150:       if ((int)anint[m][i]!= 9999) { /* date of last interview is known */
1.227     brouard  5151:        if((andc[i]+moisdc[i]/12.) <=(anint[m][i]+mint[m][i]/12.)){ /* death occured before last wave and status should have been death instead of -1 */
                   5152:          nbwarn++;
                   5153:          if(firstfiv==0){
                   5154:            printf("Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5155:            firstfiv=1;
                   5156:          }else{
                   5157:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d before last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d and should have been coded as death instead of '%d'. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is contributing to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], s[m][i], i,m );
                   5158:          }
                   5159:        }else{ /* Death occured afer last wave potential bias */
                   5160:          nberr++;
                   5161:          if(firstwo==0){
1.257     brouard  5162:            printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5163:            firstwo=1;
                   5164:          }
1.257     brouard  5165:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d occurred at %d/%d after last wave %d interviewed at %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood. Please add a new fictive wave at the date of last vital status scan, with a dead status or alive but unknown state status (-1). See documentation\n\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.227     brouard  5166:        }
1.257     brouard  5167:       }else{ /* if date of interview is unknown */
1.227     brouard  5168:        /* death is known but not confirmed by death status at any wave */
                   5169:        if(firstfour==0){
                   5170:          printf("Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\nOthers in log file only\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
                   5171:          firstfour=1;
                   5172:        }
                   5173:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Death for individual %ld line=%d  occurred %d/%d but not confirmed by any death status for any wave, including last wave %d at unknown date %d/%d. Potential bias if other individuals are still alive at this date but ignored. This case (%d)/wave (%d) is skipped, no contribution to likelihood.\n",num[i],i,(int) moisdc[i], (int) andc[i], lastpass,(int)mint[m][i],(int)anint[m][i], i,m );
1.214     brouard  5174:       }
1.224     brouard  5175:     } /* end if date of death is known */
                   5176: #endif
                   5177:     wav[i]=mi; /* mi should be the last effective wave (or mli) */
                   5178:     /* wav[i]=mw[mi][i]; */
1.126     brouard  5179:     if(mi==0){
                   5180:       nbwarn++;
                   5181:       if(first==0){
1.227     brouard  5182:        printf("Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped) and may be others, see log file\n",num[i],i);
                   5183:        first=1;
1.126     brouard  5184:       }
                   5185:       if(first==1){
1.227     brouard  5186:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! No valid information for individual %ld line=%d (skipped)\n",num[i],i);
1.126     brouard  5187:       }
                   5188:     } /* end mi==0 */
                   5189:   } /* End individuals */
1.214     brouard  5190:   /* wav and mw are no more changed */
1.223     brouard  5191:        
1.214     brouard  5192:   
1.126     brouard  5193:   for(i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   5194:     for(mi=1; mi<wav[i];mi++){
                   5195:       if (stepm <=0)
1.227     brouard  5196:        dh[mi][i]=1;
1.126     brouard  5197:       else{
1.260     brouard  5198:        if (s[mw[mi+1][i]][i] > nlstate) { /* A death, but what if date is unknown? */
1.227     brouard  5199:          if (agedc[i] < 2*AGESUP) {
                   5200:            j= rint(agedc[i]*12-agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12); 
                   5201:            if(j==0) j=1;  /* Survives at least one month after exam */
                   5202:            else if(j<0){
                   5203:              nberr++;
                   5204:              printf("Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5205:              j=1; /* Temporary Dangerous patch */
                   5206:              printf("   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5207:              fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d to death) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5208:              fprintf(ficlog,"   We assumed that the date of interview was correct (and not the date of death) and postponed the death %d month(s) (one stepm) after the interview. You MUST fix the contradiction between dates.\n",stepm);
                   5209:            }
                   5210:            k=k+1;
                   5211:            if (j >= jmax){
                   5212:              jmax=j;
                   5213:              ijmax=i;
                   5214:            }
                   5215:            if (j <= jmin){
                   5216:              jmin=j;
                   5217:              ijmin=i;
                   5218:            }
                   5219:            sum=sum+j;
                   5220:            /*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i);*/
                   5221:            /*    printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/
                   5222:          }
                   5223:        }
                   5224:        else{
                   5225:          j= rint( (agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i]*12 - agev[mw[mi][i]][i]*12));
1.126     brouard  5226: /*       if (j<0) printf("%d %lf %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi+1][i]][i], agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]); */
1.223     brouard  5227:                                        
1.227     brouard  5228:          k=k+1;
                   5229:          if (j >= jmax) {
                   5230:            jmax=j;
                   5231:            ijmax=i;
                   5232:          }
                   5233:          else if (j <= jmin){
                   5234:            jmin=j;
                   5235:            ijmin=i;
                   5236:          }
                   5237:          /*        if (j<10) printf("j=%d jmin=%d num=%d ",j,jmin,i); */
                   5238:          /*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/
                   5239:          if(j<0){
                   5240:            nberr++;
                   5241:            printf("Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5242:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Negative delay (%d) between waves %d and %d of individual %ld at line %d who is aged %.1f with statuses from %d to %d\n ",j,mw[mi][i],mw[mi+1][i],num[i], i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);
                   5243:          }
                   5244:          sum=sum+j;
                   5245:        }
                   5246:        jk= j/stepm;
                   5247:        jl= j -jk*stepm;
                   5248:        ju= j -(jk+1)*stepm;
                   5249:        if(mle <=1){ /* only if we use a the linear-interpoloation pseudo-likelihood */
                   5250:          if(jl==0){
                   5251:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5252:            bh[mi][i]=0;
                   5253:          }else{ /* We want a negative bias in order to only have interpolation ie
                   5254:                  * to avoid the price of an extra matrix product in likelihood */
                   5255:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5256:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5257:          }
                   5258:        }else{
                   5259:          if(jl <= -ju){
                   5260:            dh[mi][i]=jk;
                   5261:            bh[mi][i]=jl;       /* bias is positive if real duration
                   5262:                                 * is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise.
                   5263:                                 */
                   5264:          }
                   5265:          else{
                   5266:            dh[mi][i]=jk+1;
                   5267:            bh[mi][i]=ju;
                   5268:          }
                   5269:          if(dh[mi][i]==0){
                   5270:            dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */
                   5271:            bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */
                   5272:            /*  printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/
                   5273:          }
                   5274:        } /* end if mle */
1.126     brouard  5275:       }
                   5276:     } /* end wave */
                   5277:   }
                   5278:   jmean=sum/k;
                   5279:   printf("Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %ld) Max=%d (%ld) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, num[ijmin], jmax, num[ijmax], jmean);
1.141     brouard  5280:   fprintf(ficlog,"Delay (in months) between two waves Min=%d (for indiviudal %d) Max=%d (%d) Mean=%f\n\n ",jmin, ijmin, jmax, ijmax, jmean);
1.227     brouard  5281: }
1.126     brouard  5282: 
                   5283: /*********** Tricode ****************************/
1.220     brouard  5284:  void tricode(int *cptcov, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int imx, int *Ndum)
1.242     brouard  5285:  {
                   5286:    /**< Uses cptcovn+2*cptcovprod as the number of covariates */
                   5287:    /*    Tvar[i]=atoi(stre);  find 'n' in Vn and stores in Tvar. If model=V2+V1 Tvar[1]=2 and Tvar[2]=1 
                   5288:     * Boring subroutine which should only output nbcode[Tvar[j]][k]
                   5289:     * Tvar[5] in V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is 4 (V4) even it is a time varying or quantitative variable
                   5290:     * nbcode[Tvar[5]][1]= nbcode[4][1]=0, nbcode[4][2]=1 (usually);
                   5291:     */
1.130     brouard  5292: 
1.242     brouard  5293:    int ij=1, k=0, j=0, i=0, maxncov=NCOVMAX;
                   5294:    int modmaxcovj=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5295:    int cptcode=0; /* Modality max of covariates j */
                   5296:    int modmincovj=0; /* Modality min of covariates j */
1.145     brouard  5297: 
                   5298: 
1.242     brouard  5299:    /* cptcoveff=0;  */
                   5300:    /* *cptcov=0; */
1.126     brouard  5301:  
1.242     brouard  5302:    for (k=1; k <= maxncov; k++) ncodemax[k]=0; /* Horrible constant again replaced by NCOVMAX */
1.126     brouard  5303: 
1.242     brouard  5304:    /* Loop on covariates without age and products and no quantitative variable */
                   5305:    /* for (j=1; j<=(cptcovs); j++) { /\* From model V1 + V2*age+ V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only *\/ */
                   5306:    for (k=1; k<=cptcovt; k++) { /* From model V1 + V2*age + V3 + V3*V4 keeps V1 + V3 = 2 only */
                   5307:      for (j=-1; (j < maxncov); j++) Ndum[j]=0;
                   5308:      if(Dummy[k]==0 && Typevar[k] !=1){ /* Dummy covariate and not age product */ 
                   5309:        switch(Fixed[k]) {
                   5310:        case 0: /* Testing on fixed dummy covariate, simple or product of fixed */
                   5311:         for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { /* Loop on individuals: reads the data file to get the maximum value of the  modality of this covariate Vj*/
                   5312:           ij=(int)(covar[Tvar[k]][i]);
                   5313:           /* ij=0 or 1 or -1. Value of the covariate Tvar[j] for individual i
                   5314:            * If product of Vn*Vm, still boolean *:
                   5315:            * If it was coded 1, 2, 3, 4 should be splitted into 3 boolean variables
                   5316:            * 1 => 0 0 0, 2 => 0 0 1, 3 => 0 1 1, 4=1 0 0   */
                   5317:           /* Finds for covariate j, n=Tvar[j] of Vn . ij is the
                   5318:              modality of the nth covariate of individual i. */
                   5319:           if (ij > modmaxcovj)
                   5320:             modmaxcovj=ij; 
                   5321:           else if (ij < modmincovj) 
                   5322:             modmincovj=ij; 
                   5323:           if ((ij < -1) && (ij > NCOVMAX)){
                   5324:             printf( "Error: minimal is less than -1 or maximal is bigger than %d. Exiting. \n", NCOVMAX );
                   5325:             exit(1);
                   5326:           }else
                   5327:             Ndum[ij]++; /*counts and stores the occurence of this modality 0, 1, -1*/
                   5328:           /*  If coded 1, 2, 3 , counts the number of 1 Ndum[1], number of 2, Ndum[2], etc */
                   5329:           /*printf("i=%d ij=%d Ndum[ij]=%d imx=%d",i,ij,Ndum[ij],imx);*/
                   5330:           /* getting the maximum value of the modality of the covariate
                   5331:              (should be 0 or 1 now) Tvar[j]. If V=sex and male is coded 0 and
                   5332:              female ies 1, then modmaxcovj=1.
                   5333:           */
                   5334:         } /* end for loop on individuals i */
                   5335:         printf(" Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5336:         fprintf(ficlog," Minimal and maximal values of %d th (fixed) covariate V%d: min=%d max=%d \n", k, Tvar[k], modmincovj, modmaxcovj);
                   5337:         cptcode=modmaxcovj;
                   5338:         /* Ndum[0] = frequency of 0 for model-covariate j, Ndum[1] frequency of 1 etc. */
                   5339:         /*for (i=0; i<=cptcode; i++) {*/
                   5340:         for (j=modmincovj;  j<=modmaxcovj; j++) { /* j=-1 ? 0 and 1*//* For each value j of the modality of model-cov k */
                   5341:           printf("Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5342:           fprintf(ficlog, "Frequencies of (fixed) covariate %d ie V%d with value %d: %d\n", k, Tvar[k], j, Ndum[j]);
                   5343:           if( Ndum[j] != 0 ){ /* Counts if nobody answered modality j ie empty modality, we skip it and reorder */
                   5344:             if( j != -1){
                   5345:               ncodemax[k]++;  /* ncodemax[k]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5346:                                  covariate for which somebody answered excluding 
                   5347:                                  undefined. Usually 2: 0 and 1. */
                   5348:             }
                   5349:             ncodemaxwundef[k]++; /* ncodemax[j]= Number of modalities of the k th
                   5350:                                     covariate for which somebody answered including 
                   5351:                                     undefined. Usually 3: -1, 0 and 1. */
                   5352:           }    /* In fact  ncodemax[k]=2 (dichotom. variables only) but it could be more for
                   5353:                 * historical reasons: 3 if coded 1, 2, 3 and 4 and Ndum[2]=0 */
                   5354:         } /* Ndum[-1] number of undefined modalities */
1.231     brouard  5355:                        
1.242     brouard  5356:         /* j is a covariate, n=Tvar[j] of Vn; Fills nbcode */
                   5357:         /* For covariate j, modalities could be 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. */
                   5358:         /* If Ndum[1]=0, Ndum[2]=0, Ndum[3]= 635, Ndum[4]=0, Ndum[5]=0, Ndum[6]=27, Ndum[7]=125; */
                   5359:         /* modmincovj=3; modmaxcovj = 7; */
                   5360:         /* There are only 3 modalities non empty 3, 6, 7 (or 2 if 27 is too few) : ncodemax[j]=3; */
                   5361:         /* which will be coded 0, 1, 2 which in binary on 2=3-1 digits are 0=00 1=01, 2=10; */
                   5362:         /*              defining two dummy variables: variables V1_1 and V1_2.*/
                   5363:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][ij]=k; */
                   5364:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][1]=0; */
                   5365:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][2]=1; */
                   5366:         /* nbcode[Tvar[j]][3]=2; */
                   5367:         /* To be continued (not working yet). */
                   5368:         ij=0; /* ij is similar to i but can jump over null modalities */
                   5369:         for (i=modmincovj; i<=modmaxcovj; i++) { /* i= 1 to 2 for dichotomous, or from 1 to 3 or from -1 or 0 to 1 currently*/
                   5370:           if (Ndum[i] == 0) { /* If nobody responded to this modality k */
                   5371:             break;
                   5372:           }
                   5373:           ij++;
                   5374:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][ij]=i;  /* stores the original value of modality i in an array nbcode, ij modality from 1 to last non-nul modality. nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1*/
                   5375:           cptcode = ij; /* New max modality for covar j */
                   5376:         } /* end of loop on modality i=-1 to 1 or more */
                   5377:         break;
                   5378:        case 1: /* Testing on varying covariate, could be simple and
                   5379:                * should look at waves or product of fixed *
                   5380:                * varying. No time to test -1, assuming 0 and 1 only */
                   5381:         ij=0;
                   5382:         for(i=0; i<=1;i++){
                   5383:           nbcode[Tvar[k]][++ij]=i;
                   5384:         }
                   5385:         break;
                   5386:        default:
                   5387:         break;
                   5388:        } /* end switch */
                   5389:      } /* end dummy test */
                   5390:     
                   5391:      /*   for (k=0; k<= cptcode; k++) { /\* k=-1 ? k=0 to 1 *\//\* Could be 1 to 4 *\//\* cptcode=modmaxcovj *\/ */
                   5392:      /*        /\*recode from 0 *\/ */
                   5393:      /*                                     k is a modality. If we have model=V1+V1*sex  */
                   5394:      /*                                     then: nbcode[1][1]=0 ; nbcode[1][2]=1; nbcode[2][1]=0 ; nbcode[2][2]=1; */
                   5395:      /*                                  But if some modality were not used, it is recoded from 0 to a newer modmaxcovj=cptcode *\/ */
                   5396:      /*        } */
                   5397:      /*        /\* cptcode = ij; *\/ /\* New max modality for covar j *\/ */
                   5398:      /*        if (ij > ncodemax[j]) { */
                   5399:      /*          printf( " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]);  */
                   5400:      /*          fprintf(ficlog, " Error ij=%d > ncodemax[%d]=%d\n", ij, j, ncodemax[j]); */
                   5401:      /*          break; */
                   5402:      /*        } */
                   5403:      /*   }  /\* end of loop on modality k *\/ */
                   5404:    } /* end of loop on model-covariate j. nbcode[Tvarj][1]=0 and nbcode[Tvarj][2]=1 sets the value of covariate j*/  
                   5405:   
                   5406:    for (k=-1; k< maxncov; k++) Ndum[k]=0; 
                   5407:    /* Look at fixed dummy (single or product) covariates to check empty modalities */
                   5408:    for (i=1; i<=ncovmodel-2-nagesqr; i++) { /* -2, cste and age and eventually age*age */ 
                   5409:      /* Listing of all covariables in statement model to see if some covariates appear twice. For example, V1 appears twice in V1+V1*V2.*/ 
                   5410:      ij=Tvar[i]; /* Tvar 5,4,3,6,5,7,1,4 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V4*age */ 
                   5411:      Ndum[ij]++; /* Count the # of 1, 2 etc: {1,1,1,2,2,1,1} because V1 once, V2 once, two V4 and V5 in above */
                   5412:      /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1,  {2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0} */
                   5413:    } /* V4+V3+V5, Ndum[1]@5={0, 0, 1, 1, 1} */
                   5414:   
                   5415:    ij=0;
                   5416:    /* for (i=0; i<=  maxncov-1; i++) { /\* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) *\/ */
                   5417:    for (k=1; k<=  cptcovt; k++) { /* modmaxcovj is unknown here. Only Ndum[2(V2),3(age*V3), 5(V3*V2) 6(V1*V4) */
                   5418:      /*printf("Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5419:      /* if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol)){  /\* Tvar[i] <= ncovmodel ? *\/ */
                   5420:      if(Ndum[Tvar[k]]!=0 && Dummy[k] == 0 && Typevar[k]==0){  /* Only Dummy and non empty in the model */
                   5421:        /* If product not in single variable we don't print results */
                   5422:        /*printf("diff Ndum[%d]=%d\n",i, Ndum[i]);*/
                   5423:        ++ij;/* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, */
                   5424:        Tvaraff[ij]=Tvar[k]; /* For printing combination *//* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, Tvar {5, 4, 3, 6, 5, 2, 7, 1, 1} Tvaraff={4, 3, 1} V4, V3, V1*/
                   5425:        Tmodelind[ij]=k; /* Tmodelind: index in model of dummies Tmodelind[1]=2 V4: pos=2; V3: pos=3, V1=9 {2, 3, 9, ?, ?,} */
                   5426:        TmodelInvind[ij]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv; /* Inverse TmodelInvind[2=V4]=2 second dummy varying cov (V4)4-1-1 {0, 2, 1, } TmodelInvind[3]=1 */
                   5427:        if(Fixed[k]!=0)
                   5428:         anyvaryingduminmodel=1;
                   5429:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv)){ */
                   5430:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-10; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5431:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv)){ */
                   5432:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=i; /\*For printing (unclear) *\/ */
                   5433:        /* }else if((Ndum[i]!=0) && (i<=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv)){ */
                   5434:        /*   Tvaraff[++ij]=-20; /\* Dont'n know how to treat quantitative variables yet *\/ */
                   5435:      } 
                   5436:    } /* Tvaraff[1]@5 {3, 4, -20, 0, 0} Very strange */
                   5437:    /* ij--; */
                   5438:    /* cptcoveff=ij; /\*Number of total covariates*\/ */
                   5439:    *cptcov=ij; /*Number of total real effective covariates: effective
                   5440:                * because they can be excluded from the model and real
                   5441:                * if in the model but excluded because missing values, but how to get k from ij?*/
                   5442:    for(j=ij+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5443:      Tvaraff[j]=0;
                   5444:      Tmodelind[j]=0;
                   5445:    }
                   5446:    for(j=ntveff+1; j<= cptcovt; j++){
                   5447:      TmodelInvind[j]=0;
                   5448:    }
                   5449:    /* To be sorted */
                   5450:    ;
                   5451:  }
1.126     brouard  5452: 
1.145     brouard  5453: 
1.126     brouard  5454: /*********** Health Expectancies ****************/
                   5455: 
1.235     brouard  5456:  void evsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5457: 
                   5458: {
                   5459:   /* Health expectancies, no variances */
1.164     brouard  5460:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm;
1.126     brouard  5461:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5462:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5463:   double ***p3mat;
                   5464:   double eip;
                   5465: 
1.238     brouard  5466:   /* pstamp(ficreseij); */
1.126     brouard  5467:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age and (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age\n");
                   5468:   fprintf(ficreseij,"# Age");
                   5469:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5470:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5471:       fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d%1d ",i,j);
                   5472:     }
                   5473:     fprintf(ficreseij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5474:   }
                   5475:   fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5476: 
                   5477:   
                   5478:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5479:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5480:   }
                   5481:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5482:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5483:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5484:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5485:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5486:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5487:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5488:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5489:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5490:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5491:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5492: 
                   5493:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5494:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5495:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5496:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
1.270     brouard  5497:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason which relies in memory size consideration
1.126     brouard  5498:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5499:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5500:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5501:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5502:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5503:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5504:   */
                   5505:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5506: 
                   5507:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5508:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5509:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepm matrices, stored
                   5510:        in an array of nhstepm length: nhstepm=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5511:     
                   5512: /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5513:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5514:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5515:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5516:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5517:   p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5518: 
                   5519:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5520:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5521:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5522:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5523:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
                   5524: 
                   5525:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5526:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5527:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5528:     
1.235     brouard  5529:     hpxij(p3mat,nhstepma,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij, nres);  
1.126     brouard  5530:     
                   5531:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   5532:     
                   5533:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5534:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5535:     
                   5536:     /* Computing expectancies */
                   5537:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5538:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5539:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5540:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3mat[i][j][h]+p3mat[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
                   5541:          
                   5542:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   5543: 
                   5544:        }
                   5545: 
                   5546:     fprintf(ficreseij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5547:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5548:       eip=0;
                   5549:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5550:        eip +=eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5551:        fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eij[i][j][(int)age] );
                   5552:       }
                   5553:       fprintf(ficreseij,"%9.4f", eip );
                   5554:     }
                   5555:     fprintf(ficreseij,"\n");
                   5556:     
                   5557:   }
                   5558:   free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5559:   printf("\n");
                   5560:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   5561:   
                   5562: }
                   5563: 
1.235     brouard  5564:  void cvevsij(double ***eij, double x[], int nlstate, int stepm, int bage, int fage, double **oldm, double **savm, int cij, int estepm,double delti[],double **matcov,char strstart[], int nres )
1.126     brouard  5565: 
                   5566: {
                   5567:   /* Covariances of health expectancies eij and of total life expectancies according
1.222     brouard  5568:      to initial status i, ei. .
1.126     brouard  5569:   */
                   5570:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm, k, cptj, cptj2, i2, j2, ij, ji;
                   5571:   int nhstepma, nstepma; /* Decreasing with age */
                   5572:   double age, agelim, hf;
                   5573:   double ***p3matp, ***p3matm, ***varhe;
                   5574:   double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5575:   double *xp, *xm;
                   5576:   double **gp, **gm;
                   5577:   double ***gradg, ***trgradg;
                   5578:   int theta;
                   5579: 
                   5580:   double eip, vip;
                   5581: 
                   5582:   varhe=ma3x(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   5583:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5584:   xm=vector(1,npar);
                   5585:   dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5586:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5587:   
                   5588:   pstamp(ficresstdeij);
                   5589:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Health expectancies with standard errors\n");
                   5590:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"# Age");
                   5591:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5592:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5593:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   5594:     fprintf(ficresstdeij," e%1d. ",i);
                   5595:   }
                   5596:   fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
                   5597: 
                   5598:   pstamp(ficrescveij);
                   5599:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Subdiagonal matrix of covariances of health expectancies by age: cov(eij,ekl)\n");
                   5600:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"# Age");
                   5601:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5602:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   5603:       cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5604:       for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5605:        for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5606:          cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5607:          if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5608:            fprintf(ficrescveij,"  %1d%1d,%1d%1d",i,j,i2,j2);
                   5609:        }
                   5610:     }
                   5611:   fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
                   5612:   
                   5613:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   5614:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5615:   }
                   5616:   else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5617:   /* We compute the life expectancy from trapezoids spaced every estepm months
                   5618:    * This is mainly to measure the difference between two models: for example
                   5619:    * if stepm=24 months pijx are given only every 2 years and by summing them
                   5620:    * we are calculating an estimate of the Life Expectancy assuming a linear 
                   5621:    * progression in between and thus overestimating or underestimating according
                   5622:    * to the curvature of the survival function. If, for the same date, we 
                   5623:    * estimate the model with stepm=1 month, we can keep estepm to 24 months
                   5624:    * to compare the new estimate of Life expectancy with the same linear 
                   5625:    * hypothesis. A more precise result, taking into account a more precise
                   5626:    * curvature will be obtained if estepm is as small as stepm. */
                   5627: 
                   5628:   /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5629:   /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5630:      nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5631:      nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelin. 
                   5632:      Look at hpijx to understand the reason of that which relies in memory size
                   5633:      and note for a fixed period like estepm months */
                   5634:   /* We decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5635:      survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5636:      means that if the survival funtion is printed only each two years of age and if
                   5637:      you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5638:      results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5639:   */
                   5640:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5641: 
                   5642:   /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5643:   /* nhstepm age range expressed in number of stepm */
                   5644:   agelim=AGESUP;
                   5645:   nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   5646:   /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5647:   /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5648:   nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5649:   
                   5650:   p3matp=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5651:   p3matm=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5652:   gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5653:   trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5654:   gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5655:   gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5656: 
                   5657:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   5658:     nstepma=(int) rint((agelim-bage)*YEARM/stepm); /* Biggest nstepm */
                   5659:     /* Typically if 20 years nstepm = 20*12/6=40 stepm */ 
                   5660:     /* if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;*/
                   5661:     nhstepma = nstepma/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepma=40/4=10 */
1.218     brouard  5662:                
1.126     brouard  5663:     /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5664:     /* Computed by stepm unit matrices, product of hstepma matrices, stored
                   5665:        in an array of nhstepma length: nhstepma=10, hstepm=4, stepm=6 months */
                   5666:     
                   5667:     hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
1.218     brouard  5668:                
1.126     brouard  5669:     /* Computing  Variances of health expectancies */
                   5670:     /* Gradient is computed with plus gp and minus gm. Code is duplicated in order to
                   5671:        decrease memory allocation */
                   5672:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5673:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ 
1.222     brouard  5674:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5675:        xm[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.126     brouard  5676:       }
1.235     brouard  5677:       hpxij(p3matp,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
                   5678:       hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xm,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, cij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  5679:                        
1.126     brouard  5680:       for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
1.222     brouard  5681:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate; i++){
                   5682:          for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5683:            gp[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matp[i][j][h]+p3matp[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5684:            gm[h][(j-1)*nlstate + i] = (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.;
                   5685:          }
                   5686:        }
1.126     brouard  5687:       }
1.218     brouard  5688:                        
1.126     brouard  5689:       for(ij=1; ij<= nlstate*nlstate; ij++)
1.222     brouard  5690:        for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5691:          gradg[h][theta][ij]= (gp[h][ij]-gm[h][ij])/2./delti[theta];
                   5692:        }
1.126     brouard  5693:     }/* End theta */
                   5694:     
                   5695:     
                   5696:     for(h=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++)
                   5697:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate*nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5698:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   5699:          trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
1.126     brouard  5700:     
1.218     brouard  5701:                
1.222     brouard  5702:     for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
1.126     brouard  5703:       for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
1.222     brouard  5704:        varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] =0.;
1.218     brouard  5705:                
1.222     brouard  5706:     printf("%d|",(int)age);fflush(stdout);
                   5707:     fprintf(ficlog,"%d|",(int)age);fflush(ficlog);
                   5708:     for(h=0;h<=nhstepm-1;h++){
1.126     brouard  5709:       for(k=0;k<=nhstepm-1;k++){
1.222     brouard  5710:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   5711:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   5712:        for(ij=1;ij<=nlstate*nlstate;ij++)
                   5713:          for(ji=1;ji<=nlstate*nlstate;ji++)
                   5714:            varhe[ij][ji][(int)age] += doldm[ij][ji]*hf*hf;
1.126     brouard  5715:       }
                   5716:     }
1.218     brouard  5717:                
1.126     brouard  5718:     /* Computing expectancies */
1.235     brouard  5719:     hpxij(p3matm,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm, savm, cij,nres);  
1.126     brouard  5720:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5721:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
1.222     brouard  5722:        for (h=0, eij[i][j][(int)age]=0; h<=nhstepm-1; h++){
                   5723:          eij[i][j][(int)age] += (p3matm[i][j][h]+p3matm[i][j][h+1])/2.0*hf;
1.218     brouard  5724:                                        
1.222     brouard  5725:          /* if((int)age==70)printf("i=%2d,j=%2d,h=%2d,age=%3d,%9.4f,%9.4f,%9.4f\n",i,j,h,(int)age,p3mat[i][j][h],hf,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
1.218     brouard  5726:                                        
1.222     brouard  5727:        }
1.269     brouard  5728: 
                   5729:     /* Standard deviation of expectancies ij */                
1.126     brouard  5730:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5731:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   5732:       eip=0.;
                   5733:       vip=0.;
                   5734:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5735:        eip += eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   5736:        for(k=1; k<=nlstate;k++) /* Sum on j and k of cov(eij,eik) */
                   5737:          vip += varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(k-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age];
                   5738:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eij[i][j][(int)age], sqrt(varhe[(j-1)*nlstate+i][(j-1)*nlstate+i][(int)age]) );
1.126     brouard  5739:       }
                   5740:       fprintf(ficresstdeij," %9.4f (%.4f)", eip, sqrt(vip));
                   5741:     }
                   5742:     fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5743:                
1.269     brouard  5744:     /* Variance of expectancies ij */          
1.126     brouard  5745:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"%3.0f",age );
                   5746:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5747:       for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
1.222     brouard  5748:        cptj= (j-1)*nlstate+i;
                   5749:        for(i2=1; i2<=nlstate;i2++)
                   5750:          for(j2=1; j2<=nlstate;j2++){
                   5751:            cptj2= (j2-1)*nlstate+i2;
                   5752:            if(cptj2 <= cptj)
                   5753:              fprintf(ficrescveij," %.4f", varhe[cptj][cptj2][(int)age]);
                   5754:          }
1.126     brouard  5755:       }
                   5756:     fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5757:                
1.126     brouard  5758:   }
                   5759:   free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5760:   free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5761:   free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5762:   free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5763:   free_ma3x(p3matm,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5764:   free_ma3x(p3matp,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5765:   printf("\n");
                   5766:   fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.218     brouard  5767:        
1.126     brouard  5768:   free_vector(xm,1,npar);
                   5769:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   5770:   free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,npar);
                   5771:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate);
                   5772:   free_ma3x(varhe,1,nlstate*nlstate,1,nlstate*nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   5773: }
1.218     brouard  5774:  
1.126     brouard  5775: /************ Variance ******************/
1.235     brouard  5776:  void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], double ***vareij, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, int estepm, int cptcov, int cptcod, int popbased, int mobilav, char strstart[], int nres)
1.218     brouard  5777:  {
1.279   ! brouard  5778:    /** Variance of health expectancies 
        !          5779:     *  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double ** savm,double ftolpl);
        !          5780:     * double **newm;
        !          5781:     * int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav) 
        !          5782:     */
1.218     brouard  5783:   
                   5784:    /* int movingaverage(); */
                   5785:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   5786:    double **dnewmp,**doldmp;
                   5787:    int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm, h, nstepm ;
                   5788:    int k;
                   5789:    double *xp;
1.279   ! brouard  5790:    double **gp, **gm;  /**< for var eij */
        !          5791:    double ***gradg, ***trgradg; /**< for var eij */
        !          5792:    double **gradgp, **trgradgp; /**< for var p point j */
        !          5793:    double *gpp, *gmp; /**< for var p point j */
        !          5794:    double **varppt; /**< for var p point j nlstate to nlstate+ndeath */
1.218     brouard  5795:    double ***p3mat;
                   5796:    double age,agelim, hf;
                   5797:    /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   5798:    int theta;
                   5799:    char digit[4];
                   5800:    char digitp[25];
                   5801: 
                   5802:    char fileresprobmorprev[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   5803: 
                   5804:    if(popbased==1){
                   5805:      if(mobilav!=0)
                   5806:        strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-MOBILAV_");
                   5807:      else strcpy(digitp,"-POPULBASED-NOMOBIL_");
                   5808:    }
                   5809:    else 
                   5810:      strcpy(digitp,"-STABLBASED_");
1.126     brouard  5811: 
1.218     brouard  5812:    /* if (mobilav!=0) { */
                   5813:    /*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   5814:    /*   if (movingaverage(probs, bage, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ */
                   5815:    /*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5816:    /*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); */
                   5817:    /*   } */
                   5818:    /* } */
                   5819: 
                   5820:    strcpy(fileresprobmorprev,"PRMORPREV-"); 
                   5821:    sprintf(digit,"%-d",ij);
                   5822:    /*printf("DIGIT=%s, ij=%d ijr=%-d|\n",digit, ij,ij);*/
                   5823:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digit); /* Tvar to be done */
                   5824:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,digitp); /* Popbased or not, mobilav or not */
                   5825:    strcat(fileresprobmorprev,fileresu);
                   5826:    if((ficresprobmorprev=fopen(fileresprobmorprev,"w"))==NULL) {
                   5827:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5828:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobmorprev);
                   5829:    }
                   5830:    printf("Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5831:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing total mortality p.j=w1*p1j+w2*p2j+..: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobmorprev);
                   5832:    pstamp(ficresprobmorprev);
                   5833:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# probabilities of dying before estepm=%d months for people of exact age and weighted probabilities w1*p1j+w2*p2j+... stand dev in()\n",estepm);
1.238     brouard  5834:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Selected quantitative variables and dummies");
                   5835:    for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   5836:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   5837:    }
                   5838:    for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   5839:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(ij,j)]);
                   5840:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5841: 
1.218     brouard  5842:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"# Age cov=%-d",ij);
                   5843:    for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   5844:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," p.%-d SE",j);
                   5845:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5846:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," w%1d p%-d%-d",i,i,j);
                   5847:    }  
                   5848:    fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   5849:   
                   5850:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varevsij");
                   5851:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title \n");
                   5852:    /* fprintf(fichtm, "#Local time at start: %s", strstart);*/
                   5853:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing probabilities of dying over estepm months as a weighted average (i.e global mortality independent of initial healh state)</h4></li>\n");
                   5854:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>%s  <br>\n",digitp);
1.279   ! brouard  5855: 
1.218     brouard  5856:    varppt = matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5857:    pstamp(ficresvij);
                   5858:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Variance and covariance of health expectancies e.j \n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   5859:    if(popbased==1)
                   5860:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   5861:    else
                   5862:      fprintf(ficresvij,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   5863:    fprintf(ficresvij,"# Age");
                   5864:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5865:      for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   5866:        fprintf(ficresvij," Cov(e.%1d, e.%1d)",i,j);
                   5867:    fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   5868: 
                   5869:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   5870:    dnewm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   5871:    doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   5872:    dnewmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   5873:    doldmp= matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5874: 
                   5875:    gradgp=matrix(1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5876:    gpp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5877:    gmp=vector(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   5878:    trgradgp =matrix(nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
1.126     brouard  5879:   
1.218     brouard  5880:    if(estepm < stepm){
                   5881:      printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   5882:    }
                   5883:    else  hstepm=estepm;   
                   5884:    /* For example we decided to compute the life expectancy with the smallest unit */
                   5885:    /* hstepm beeing the number of stepms, if hstepm=1 the length of hstepm is stepm. 
                   5886:       nhstepm is the number of hstepm from age to agelim 
                   5887:       nstepm is the number of stepm from age to agelim. 
                   5888:       Look at function hpijx to understand why because of memory size limitations, 
                   5889:       we decided (b) to get a life expectancy respecting the most precise curvature of the
                   5890:       survival function given by stepm (the optimization length). Unfortunately it
                   5891:       means that if the survival funtion is printed every two years of age and if
                   5892:       you sum them up and add 1 year (area under the trapezoids) you won't get the same 
                   5893:       results. So we changed our mind and took the option of the best precision.
                   5894:    */
                   5895:    hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if stepm=6 & estepm=24 , = 24/6 months = 4 */ 
                   5896:    agelim = AGESUP;
                   5897:    for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   5898:      nstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   5899:      nhstepm = nstepm/hstepm;/* Expressed in hstepm, typically nhstepm=40/4=10 */
                   5900:      p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   5901:      gradg=ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   5902:      gp=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5903:      gm=matrix(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   5904:                
                   5905:                
                   5906:      for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   5907:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient x + delta*/
                   5908:         xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5909:        }
1.279   ! brouard  5910:        /**< Computes the prevalence limit with parameter theta shifted of delta up to ftolpl precision and 
        !          5911:        * returns into prlim .
        !          5912:        */              
1.242     brouard  5913:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.279   ! brouard  5914: 
        !          5915:        /* If popbased = 1 we use crossection prevalences. Previous step is useless but prlim is created */
1.218     brouard  5916:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5917:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5918:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5919:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5920:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5921:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5922:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5923:         }
                   5924:        }
1.279   ! brouard  5925:        /**< Computes the shifted transition matrix \f$ {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$ at horizon h.
        !          5926:        */                      
        !          5927:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  /* Returns p3mat[i][j][h] for h=0 to nhstepm */
        !          5928:        /**< And for each alive state j, sums over i \f$ w^i_x {}{h}_p^{ij}_x\f$, which are the probability
        !          5929:        * at horizon h in state j including mortality.
        !          5930:        */
1.218     brouard  5931:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){
                   5932:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5933:           for(i=1, gp[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5934:             gp[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5935:         }
                   5936:        }
1.279   ! brouard  5937:        /* Next for computing shifted+ probability of death (h=1 means
1.218     brouard  5938:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
1.279   ! brouard  5939:          as a weighted average of prlim(i) * p(i,j) p.3=w1*p13 + w2*p23 .
1.218     brouard  5940:        */
                   5941:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5942:         for(i=1,gpp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5943:           gpp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
1.279   ! brouard  5944:        }
        !          5945:        
        !          5946:        /* Again with minus shift */
1.218     brouard  5947:                        
                   5948:        for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient x - delta */
                   5949:         xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   5950:                        
1.242     brouard  5951:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp, ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  5952:                        
                   5953:        if (popbased==1) {
                   5954:         if(mobilav ==0){
                   5955:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5956:             prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5957:         }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   5958:           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5959:             prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   5960:         }
                   5961:        }
                   5962:                        
1.235     brouard  5963:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,xp,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij,nres);  
1.218     brouard  5964:                        
                   5965:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++){  /* Sum of wi * eij = e.j */
                   5966:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5967:           for(i=1, gm[h][j]=0.;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   5968:             gm[h][j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][h];
                   5969:         }
                   5970:        }
                   5971:        /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   5972:          computed over hstepm matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   5973:          as a weighted average of prlim.
                   5974:        */
                   5975:        for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   5976:         for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.; i<= nlstate; i++)
                   5977:           gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1];
                   5978:        }    
1.279   ! brouard  5979:        /* end shifting computations */
        !          5980: 
        !          5981:        /**< Computing gradient matrix at horizon h 
        !          5982:        */
1.218     brouard  5983:        for(j=1; j<= nlstate; j++) /* vareij */
                   5984:         for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   5985:           gradg[h][theta][j]= (gp[h][j]-gm[h][j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5986:         }
1.279   ! brouard  5987:        /**< Gradient of overall mortality p.3 (or p.j) 
        !          5988:        */
        !          5989:        for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ /* var mu mortality from j */
1.218     brouard  5990:         gradgp[theta][j]= (gpp[j]-gmp[j])/2./delti[theta];
                   5991:        }
                   5992:                        
                   5993:      } /* End theta */
1.279   ! brouard  5994:      
        !          5995:      /* We got the gradient matrix for each theta and state j */               
1.218     brouard  5996:      trgradg =ma3x(0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar); /* veij */
                   5997:                
                   5998:      for(h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++) /* veij */
                   5999:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6000:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6001:           trgradg[h][j][theta]=gradg[h][theta][j];
                   6002:                
                   6003:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* mu */
                   6004:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6005:         trgradgp[j][theta]=gradgp[theta][j];
1.279   ! brouard  6006:      /**< as well as its transposed matrix 
        !          6007:       */               
1.218     brouard  6008:                
                   6009:      hf=hstepm*stepm/YEARM;  /* Duration of hstepm expressed in year unit. */
                   6010:      for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6011:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6012:         vareij[i][j][(int)age] =0.;
1.279   ! brouard  6013: 
        !          6014:      /* Computing trgradg by matcov by gradg at age and summing over h
        !          6015:       * and k (nhstepm) formula 15 of article
        !          6016:       * Lievre-Brouard-Heathcote
        !          6017:       */
        !          6018:      
1.218     brouard  6019:      for(h=0;h<=nhstepm;h++){
                   6020:        for(k=0;k<=nhstepm;k++){
                   6021:         matprod2(dnewm,trgradg[h],1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6022:         matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg[k]);
                   6023:         for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6024:           for(j=1;j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6025:             vareij[i][j][(int)age] += doldm[i][j]*hf*hf;
                   6026:        }
                   6027:      }
                   6028:                
1.279   ! brouard  6029:      /* pptj is p.3 or p.j = trgradgp by cov by gradgp, variance of
        !          6030:       * p.j overall mortality formula 49 but computed directly because
        !          6031:       * we compute the grad (wix pijx) instead of grad (pijx),even if
        !          6032:       * wix is independent of theta.
        !          6033:       */
1.218     brouard  6034:      matprod2(dnewmp,trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6035:      matprod2(doldmp,dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,gradgp);
                   6036:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   6037:        for(i=nlstate+1;i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++)
                   6038:         varppt[j][i]=doldmp[j][i];
                   6039:      /* end ppptj */
                   6040:      /*  x centered again */
                   6041:                
1.242     brouard  6042:      prevalim(prlim,nlstate,x,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij, nres);
1.218     brouard  6043:                
                   6044:      if (popbased==1) {
                   6045:        if(mobilav ==0){
                   6046:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6047:           prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6048:        }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   6049:         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6050:           prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][ij];
                   6051:        }
                   6052:      }
                   6053:                
                   6054:      /* This for computing probability of death (h=1 means
                   6055:        computed over hstepm (estepm) matrices product = hstepm*stepm months) 
                   6056:        as a weighted average of prlim.
                   6057:      */
1.235     brouard  6058:      hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,age,hstepm,x,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, ij, nres);  
1.218     brouard  6059:      for(j=nlstate+1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   6060:        for(i=1,gmp[j]=0.;i<= nlstate; i++) 
                   6061:         gmp[j] += prlim[i][i]*p3mat[i][j][1]; 
                   6062:      }    
                   6063:      /* end probability of death */
                   6064:                
                   6065:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"%3d %d ",(int) age, ij);
                   6066:      for(j=nlstate+1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6067:        fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e",gmp[j], sqrt(varppt[j][j]));
                   6068:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6069:         fprintf(ficresprobmorprev," %11.3e %11.3e ",prlim[i][i],p3mat[i][j][1]);
                   6070:        }
                   6071:      } 
                   6072:      fprintf(ficresprobmorprev,"\n");
                   6073:                
                   6074:      fprintf(ficresvij,"%.0f ",age );
                   6075:      for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6076:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){
                   6077:         fprintf(ficresvij," %.4f", vareij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6078:        }
                   6079:      fprintf(ficresvij,"\n");
                   6080:      free_matrix(gp,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6081:      free_matrix(gm,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate);
                   6082:      free_ma3x(gradg,0,nhstepm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6083:      free_ma3x(trgradg,0,nhstepm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6084:      free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   6085:    } /* End age */
                   6086:    free_vector(gpp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6087:    free_vector(gmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6088:    free_matrix(gradgp,1,npar,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6089:    free_matrix(trgradgp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar); /* mu or p point j*/
                   6090:    /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter png small size 320, 240"); */
                   6091:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label; set ter svg size 640, 480");
                   6092:    /* for(j=nlstate+1; j<= nlstate+ndeath; j++){ *//* Only the first actually */
                   6093:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Force of mortality (year-1)\";");
                   6094:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6095:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3*%6.3f) not w l 1 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6096:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)*%6.3f) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6097:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)*%6.3f) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev,YEARM/estepm); */
                   6098:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n plot \"%s\"  u 1:($3) not w l lt 1 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6099:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95%% interval\" w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6100:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\"  u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l lt 2 ",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6101:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",subdirf(fileresprobmorprev),subdirf(fileresprobmorprev));
                   6102:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", estepm,subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
                   6103:    /*  fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.svg\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit);
1.126     brouard  6104:     */
1.218     brouard  6105:    /*   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.svg\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); */
                   6106:    fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s%s.svg\";replot;set out;\n",subdirf3(optionfilefiname,"VARMUPTJGR-",digitp),digit);
1.126     brouard  6107: 
1.218     brouard  6108:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6109:    free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6110:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6111:    free_matrix(doldmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6112:    free_matrix(dnewmp,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,1,npar);
                   6113:    free_matrix(varppt,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath,nlstate+1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   6114:    /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   6115:    fclose(ficresprobmorprev);
                   6116:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6117:    fflush(fichtm); 
                   6118:  }  /* end varevsij */
1.126     brouard  6119: 
                   6120: /************ Variance of prevlim ******************/
1.269     brouard  6121:  void varprevlim(char fileresvpl[], FILE *ficresvpl, double **varpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **prlim, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.126     brouard  6122: {
1.205     brouard  6123:   /* Variance of prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
1.126     brouard  6124:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
1.164     brouard  6125: 
1.268     brouard  6126:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
1.126     brouard  6127:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6128:   double *xp;
                   6129:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6130:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
1.208     brouard  6131:   double **mgm, **mgp;
1.126     brouard  6132:   double age,agelim;
                   6133:   int theta;
                   6134:   
                   6135:   pstamp(ficresvpl);
                   6136:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences \n");
1.241     brouard  6137:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"# Age ");
                   6138:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6139:     fprintf(ficresvpl," Result# ");
1.126     brouard  6140:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6141:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6142:   fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6143: 
                   6144:   xp=vector(1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6145:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.126     brouard  6146:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6147:   
                   6148:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6149:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6150:   agelim = AGESUP;
                   6151:   for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6152:     nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-age)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6153:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6154:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6155:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6156:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6157:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6158:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6159:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6160: 
                   6161:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6162:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6163:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6164:       }
1.209     brouard  6165:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6166:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6167:       else
1.235     brouard  6168:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6169:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6170:        gp[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6171:        mgp[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6172:       }
1.126     brouard  6173:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6174:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
1.209     brouard  6175:       if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 )
1.235     brouard  6176:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.209     brouard  6177:       else
1.235     brouard  6178:        prevalim(prlim,nlstate,xp,age,oldm,savm,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
1.208     brouard  6179:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
1.126     brouard  6180:        gm[i] = prlim[i][i];
1.208     brouard  6181:        mgm[theta][i] = prlim[i][i];
                   6182:       }
1.126     brouard  6183:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6184:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
1.209     brouard  6185:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
1.126     brouard  6186:     } /* End theta */
                   6187: 
                   6188:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6189: 
                   6190:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6191:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6192:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.209     brouard  6193:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6194:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6195:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6196:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6197:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6198:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6199:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6200:     /*   } */
                   6201:     /* } */
                   6202:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6203:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6204:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6205:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6206:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6207:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6208:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6209:     /*   } */
                   6210:     /* } */
1.126     brouard  6211: 
                   6212:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6213:       varpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
1.209     brouard  6214:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
1.268     brouard  6215:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6216:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6217:     }else{
1.268     brouard  6218:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6219:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
1.205     brouard  6220:     }
1.126     brouard  6221:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6222:       varpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6223: 
                   6224:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"%.0f ",age );
1.241     brouard  6225:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6226:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"%d ",nres );
1.126     brouard  6227:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6228:       fprintf(ficresvpl," %.5f (%.5f)",prlim[i][i],sqrt(varpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6229:     fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n");
                   6230:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6231:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
1.208     brouard  6232:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6233:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6234:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6235:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6236:   } /* End age */
                   6237: 
                   6238:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6239:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
1.268     brouard  6240:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6241: 
                   6242: }
                   6243: 
                   6244: 
                   6245: /************ Variance of backprevalence limit ******************/
1.269     brouard  6246:  void varbrevlim(char fileresvbl[], FILE  *ficresvbl, double **varbpl, double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, int stepm, double bage, double fage, double **oldm, double **savm, double **bprlim, double ftolpl, int mobilavproj, int *ncvyearp, int ij, char strstart[], int nres)
1.268     brouard  6247: {
                   6248:   /* Variance of backward prevalence limit  for each state ij using current parameters x[] and estimates of neighbourhood give by delti*/
                   6249:   /*  double **prevalim(double **prlim, int nlstate, double *xp, double age, double **oldm, double **savm,double ftolpl);*/
                   6250: 
                   6251:   double **dnewmpar,**doldm;
                   6252:   int i, j, nhstepm, hstepm;
                   6253:   double *xp;
                   6254:   double *gp, *gm;
                   6255:   double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6256:   double **mgm, **mgp;
                   6257:   double age,agelim;
                   6258:   int theta;
                   6259:   
                   6260:   pstamp(ficresvbl);
                   6261:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Standard deviation of back (stable) prevalences \n");
                   6262:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"# Age ");
                   6263:   if(nresult >=1)
                   6264:     fprintf(ficresvbl," Result# ");
                   6265:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6266:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %1d-%1d",i,i);
                   6267:   fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6268: 
                   6269:   xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6270:   dnewmpar=matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6271:   doldm=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
                   6272:   
                   6273:   hstepm=1*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   6274:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically in stepm units, if j= 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
                   6275:   agelim = AGEINF;
                   6276:   for (age=fage; age>=bage; age --){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   6277:     nhstepm=(int) rint((age-agelim)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   6278:     if (stepm >= YEARM) hstepm=1;
                   6279:     nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   6280:     gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6281:     mgp=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6282:     mgm=matrix(1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6283:     gp=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6284:     gm=vector(1,nlstate);
                   6285: 
                   6286:     for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6287:       for(i=1; i<=npar; i++){ /* Computes gradient */
                   6288:        xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6289:       }
                   6290:       if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6291:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6292:       else
                   6293:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6294:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6295:        gp[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6296:        mgp[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6297:       }
                   6298:      for(i=1; i<=npar; i++) /* Computes gradient */
                   6299:        xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:0);
                   6300:        if(mobilavproj > 0 )
                   6301:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6302:        else
                   6303:        bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage,nlstate,xp,age,ftolpl,ncvyearp,ij,nres);
                   6304:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++){
                   6305:        gm[i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6306:        mgm[theta][i] = bprlim[i][i];
                   6307:       }
                   6308:       for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6309:        gradg[theta][i]= (gp[i]-gm[i])/2./delti[theta];
                   6310:       /* gradg[theta][2]= -gradg[theta][1]; */ /* For testing if nlstate=2 */
                   6311:     } /* End theta */
                   6312: 
                   6313:     trgradg =matrix(1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6314: 
                   6315:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)
                   6316:       for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6317:        trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
                   6318:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6319:     /*   printf("\nmgm mgp %d ",(int)age); */
                   6320:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6321:     /*         printf(" %d ",j); */
                   6322:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6323:     /*           printf(" %d %lf %lf",theta,mgm[theta][j],mgp[theta][j]); */
                   6324:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6325:     /*   } */
                   6326:     /* } */
                   6327:     /* if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80 ||(int)age== 81 ){ */
                   6328:     /*   printf("\n gradg %d ",(int)age); */
                   6329:     /*   for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   6330:     /*         printf("%d ",j); */
                   6331:     /*         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++) */
                   6332:     /*           printf("%d %lf ",theta,gradg[theta][j]); */
                   6333:     /*         printf("\n "); */
                   6334:     /*   } */
                   6335:     /* } */
                   6336: 
                   6337:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6338:       varbpl[i][(int)age] =0.;
                   6339:     if((int)age==79 ||(int)age== 80  ||(int)age== 81){
                   6340:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6341:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6342:     }else{
                   6343:     matprod2(dnewmpar,trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,npar,matcov);
                   6344:     matprod2(doldm,dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,npar,1,nlstate,gradg);
                   6345:     }
                   6346:     for(i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6347:       varbpl[i][(int)age] = doldm[i][i]; /* Covariances are useless */
                   6348: 
                   6349:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"%.0f ",age );
                   6350:     if(nresult >=1)
                   6351:       fprintf(ficresvbl,"%d ",nres );
                   6352:     for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6353:       fprintf(ficresvbl," %.5f (%.5f)",bprlim[i][i],sqrt(varbpl[i][(int)age]));
                   6354:     fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n");
                   6355:     free_vector(gp,1,nlstate);
                   6356:     free_vector(gm,1,nlstate);
                   6357:     free_matrix(mgm,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6358:     free_matrix(mgp,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6359:     free_matrix(gradg,1,npar,1,nlstate);
                   6360:     free_matrix(trgradg,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6361:   } /* End age */
                   6362: 
                   6363:   free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6364:   free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,npar);
                   6365:   free_matrix(dnewmpar,1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.126     brouard  6366: 
                   6367: }
                   6368: 
                   6369: /************ Variance of one-step probabilities  ******************/
                   6370: void varprob(char optionfilefiname[], double **matcov, double x[], double delti[], int nlstate, double bage, double fage, int ij, int *Tvar, int **nbcode, int *ncodemax, char strstart[])
1.222     brouard  6371:  {
                   6372:    int i, j=0,  k1, l1, tj;
                   6373:    int k2, l2, j1,  z1;
                   6374:    int k=0, l;
                   6375:    int first=1, first1, first2;
                   6376:    double cv12, mu1, mu2, lc1, lc2, v12, v21, v11, v22,v1,v2, c12, tnalp;
                   6377:    double **dnewm,**doldm;
                   6378:    double *xp;
                   6379:    double *gp, *gm;
                   6380:    double **gradg, **trgradg;
                   6381:    double **mu;
                   6382:    double age, cov[NCOVMAX+1];
                   6383:    double std=2.0; /* Number of standard deviation wide of confidence ellipsoids */
                   6384:    int theta;
                   6385:    char fileresprob[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6386:    char fileresprobcov[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6387:    char fileresprobcor[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   6388:    double ***varpij;
                   6389: 
                   6390:    strcpy(fileresprob,"PROB_"); 
                   6391:    strcat(fileresprob,fileres);
                   6392:    if((ficresprob=fopen(fileresprob,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6393:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6394:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprob);
                   6395:    }
                   6396:    strcpy(fileresprobcov,"PROBCOV_"); 
                   6397:    strcat(fileresprobcov,fileresu);
                   6398:    if((ficresprobcov=fopen(fileresprobcov,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6399:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6400:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcov);
                   6401:    }
                   6402:    strcpy(fileresprobcor,"PROBCOR_"); 
                   6403:    strcat(fileresprobcor,fileresu);
                   6404:    if((ficresprobcor=fopen(fileresprobcor,"w"))==NULL) {
                   6405:      printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6406:      fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", fileresprobcor);
                   6407:    }
                   6408:    printf("Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6409:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing standard deviation of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprob);
                   6410:    printf("Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6411:    fprintf(ficlog,"Computing matrix of variance covariance of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcov);
                   6412:    printf("and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6413:    fprintf(ficlog,"and correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: result on file '%s' \n",fileresprobcor);
                   6414:    pstamp(ficresprob);
                   6415:    fprintf(ficresprob,"#One-step probabilities and stand. devi in ()\n");
                   6416:    fprintf(ficresprob,"# Age");
                   6417:    pstamp(ficresprobcov);
                   6418:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"#One-step probabilities and covariance matrix\n");
                   6419:    fprintf(ficresprobcov,"# Age");
                   6420:    pstamp(ficresprobcor);
                   6421:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"#One-step probabilities and correlation matrix\n");
                   6422:    fprintf(ficresprobcor,"# Age");
1.126     brouard  6423: 
                   6424: 
1.222     brouard  6425:    for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   6426:      for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6427:        fprintf(ficresprob," p%1d-%1d (SE)",i,j);
                   6428:        fprintf(ficresprobcov," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6429:        fprintf(ficresprobcor," p%1d-%1d ",i,j);
                   6430:      }  
                   6431:    /* fprintf(ficresprob,"\n");
                   6432:       fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n");
                   6433:       fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n");
                   6434:    */
                   6435:    xp=vector(1,npar);
                   6436:    dnewm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6437:    doldm=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6438:    mu=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath), (int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6439:    varpij=ma3x(1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),1,nlstate*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   6440:    first=1;
                   6441:    fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Routine varprob");
                   6442:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> Computing and drawing one step probabilities with their confidence intervals</h4></li>\n");
                   6443:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
                   6444: 
1.266     brouard  6445:    fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><h4> <a href=\"%s\">Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities (drawings)</a></h4> this page is important in order to visualize confidence intervals and especially correlation between disability and recovery, or more generally, way in and way back. %s</li>\n",optionfilehtmcov,optionfilehtmcov);
1.222     brouard  6446:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"Current page is file <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\n<h4>Matrix of variance-covariance of pairs of step probabilities</h4>\n",optionfilehtmcov, optionfilehtmcov);
                   6447:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\nEllipsoids of confidence centered on point (p<inf>ij</inf>, p<inf>kl</inf>) are estimated \
1.126     brouard  6448: and drawn. It helps understanding how is the covariance between two incidences.\
                   6449:  They are expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> in order to be less dependent of stepm.<br>\n");
1.222     brouard  6450:    fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Contour plot corresponding to x'cov<sup>-1</sup>x = 4 (where x is the column vector (pij,pkl)) are drawn. \
1.126     brouard  6451: It can be understood this way: if pij and pkl where uncorrelated the (2x2) matrix of covariance \
                   6452: would have been (1/(var pij), 0 , 0, 1/(var pkl)), and the confidence interval would be 2 \
                   6453: standard deviations wide on each axis. <br>\
                   6454:  Now, if both incidences are correlated (usual case) we diagonalised the inverse of the covariance matrix\
                   6455:  and made the appropriate rotation to look at the uncorrelated principal directions.<br>\
                   6456: To be simple, these graphs help to understand the significativity of each parameter in relation to a second other one.<br> \n");
                   6457: 
1.222     brouard  6458:    cov[1]=1;
                   6459:    /* tj=cptcoveff; */
1.225     brouard  6460:    tj = (int) pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6461:    if (cptcovn<1) {tj=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
                   6462:    j1=0;
1.224     brouard  6463:    for(j1=1; j1<=tj;j1++){  /* For each valid combination of covariates or only once*/
1.222     brouard  6464:      if  (cptcovn>0) {
                   6465:        fprintf(ficresprob, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6466:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprob, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6467:        fprintf(ficresprob, "**********\n#\n");
                   6468:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6469:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcov, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6470:        fprintf(ficresprobcov, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6471:                        
1.222     brouard  6472:        fprintf(ficgp, "\n#********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6473:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficgp, " V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6474:        fprintf(ficgp, "**********\n#\n");
1.220     brouard  6475:                        
                   6476:                        
1.222     brouard  6477:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "\n<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">********** Variable "); 
1.225     brouard  6478:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(fichtm, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6479:        fprintf(fichtmcov, "**********\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6480:                        
1.222     brouard  6481:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "\n#********** Variable ");    
1.225     brouard  6482:        for (z1=1; z1<=cptcoveff; z1++) fprintf(ficresprobcor, "V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[z1],nbcode[Tvaraff[z1]][codtabm(j1,z1)]);
1.222     brouard  6483:        fprintf(ficresprobcor, "**********\n#");    
                   6484:        if(invalidvarcomb[j1]){
                   6485:         fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",j1); 
                   6486:         fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",j1); 
                   6487:         continue;
                   6488:        }
                   6489:      }
                   6490:      gradg=matrix(1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6491:      trgradg=matrix(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6492:      gp=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6493:      gm=vector(1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6494:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6495:        cov[2]=age;
                   6496:        if(nagesqr==1)
                   6497:         cov[3]= age*age;
                   6498:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) {
                   6499:         cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,k)];
                   6500:         /*cov[2+nagesqr+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(j1,Tvar[k])];*//* j1 1 2 3 4
                   6501:                                                                    * 1  1 1 1 1
                   6502:                                                                    * 2  2 1 1 1
                   6503:                                                                    * 3  1 2 1 1
                   6504:                                                                    */
                   6505:         /* nbcode[1][1]=0 nbcode[1][2]=1;*/
                   6506:        }
                   6507:        /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=cov[2+Tage[k]]*cov[2]; */
                   6508:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,k)]*cov[2];
                   6509:        for (k=1; k<=cptcovprod;k++)
                   6510:         cov[2+nagesqr+Tprod[k]]=nbcode[Tvard[k][1]][codtabm(ij,k)]*nbcode[Tvard[k][2]][codtabm(ij,k)];
1.220     brouard  6511:                        
                   6512:                        
1.222     brouard  6513:        for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++){
                   6514:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6515:           xp[i] = x[i] + (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6516:                                
1.222     brouard  6517:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6518:                                
1.222     brouard  6519:         k=0;
                   6520:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate); i++){
                   6521:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6522:             k=k+1;
                   6523:             gp[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6524:           }
                   6525:         }
1.220     brouard  6526:                                
1.222     brouard  6527:         for(i=1; i<=npar; i++)
                   6528:           xp[i] = x[i] - (i==theta ?delti[theta]:(double)0);
1.220     brouard  6529:                                
1.222     brouard  6530:         pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,xp,nlstate);
                   6531:         k=0;
                   6532:         for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6533:           for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6534:             k=k+1;
                   6535:             gm[k]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6536:           }
                   6537:         }
1.220     brouard  6538:                                
1.222     brouard  6539:         for(i=1; i<= (nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath); i++) 
                   6540:           gradg[theta][i]=(gp[i]-gm[i])/(double)2./delti[theta];  
                   6541:        }
1.126     brouard  6542: 
1.222     brouard  6543:        for(j=1; j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6544:         for(theta=1; theta <=npar; theta++)
                   6545:           trgradg[j][theta]=gradg[theta][j];
1.220     brouard  6546:                        
1.222     brouard  6547:        matprod2(dnewm,trgradg,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,npar,matcov); 
                   6548:        matprod2(doldm,dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),gradg);
1.220     brouard  6549:                        
1.222     brouard  6550:        pmij(pmmij,cov,ncovmodel,x,nlstate);
1.220     brouard  6551:                        
1.222     brouard  6552:        k=0;
                   6553:        for(i=1; i<=(nlstate); i++){
                   6554:         for(j=1; j<=(nlstate+ndeath);j++){
                   6555:           k=k+1;
                   6556:           mu[k][(int) age]=pmmij[i][j];
                   6557:         }
                   6558:        }
                   6559:        for(i=1;i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6560:         for(j=1;j<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);j++)
                   6561:           varpij[i][j][(int)age] = doldm[i][j];
1.220     brouard  6562:                        
1.222     brouard  6563:        /*printf("\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6564:         for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6565:         printf("%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6566:         fprintf(ficlog,"%e [%e ;%e] ",gm[i],gm[i]-2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]),gm[i]+2*sqrt(doldm[i][i]));
                   6567:         }*/
1.220     brouard  6568:                        
1.222     brouard  6569:        fprintf(ficresprob,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6570:        fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d ",(int)age);
                   6571:        fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d ",(int)age);
1.220     brouard  6572:                        
1.222     brouard  6573:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++)
                   6574:         fprintf(ficresprob,"%11.3e (%11.3e) ",mu[i][(int) age],sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int)age]));
                   6575:        for (i=1; i<=(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath);i++){
                   6576:         fprintf(ficresprobcov,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6577:         fprintf(ficresprobcor,"%11.3e ",mu[i][(int) age]);
                   6578:        }
                   6579:        i=0;
                   6580:        for (k=1; k<=(nlstate);k++){
                   6581:         for (l=1; l<=(nlstate+ndeath);l++){ 
                   6582:           i++;
                   6583:           fprintf(ficresprobcov,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6584:           fprintf(ficresprobcor,"\n%d %d-%d",(int)age,k,l);
                   6585:           for (j=1; j<=i;j++){
                   6586:             /* printf(" k=%d l=%d i=%d j=%d\n",k,l,i,j);fflush(stdout); */
                   6587:             fprintf(ficresprobcov," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int)age]);
                   6588:             fprintf(ficresprobcor," %11.3e",varpij[i][j][(int) age]/sqrt(varpij[i][i][(int) age])/sqrt(varpij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   6589:           }
                   6590:         }
                   6591:        }/* end of loop for state */
                   6592:      } /* end of loop for age */
                   6593:      free_vector(gp,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6594:      free_vector(gm,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6595:      free_matrix(trgradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6596:      free_matrix(gradg,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6597:     
                   6598:      /* Confidence intervalle of pij  */
                   6599:      /*
                   6600:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset parametric;unset label");
                   6601:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;unset log x; set xlabel \"Age\";set ylabel \"probability (year-1)\"");
                   6602:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter png small\nset size 0.65,0.65");
                   6603:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>Probability with  confidence intervals expressed in year<sup>-1</sup> :<a href=\"pijgr%s.png\">pijgr%s.png</A>, ",optionfilefiname,optionfilefiname);
                   6604:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br><img src=\"pijgr%s.png\"> ",optionfilefiname);
                   6605:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"pijgr%s.png\"",optionfilefiname);
                   6606:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:2 \"\%%lf",k1,k2,xfilevarprob);
                   6607:      */
                   6608:                
                   6609:      /* Drawing ellipsoids of confidence of two variables p(k1-l1,k2-l2)*/
                   6610:      first1=1;first2=2;
                   6611:      for (k2=1; k2<=(nlstate);k2++){
                   6612:        for (l2=1; l2<=(nlstate+ndeath);l2++){ 
                   6613:         if(l2==k2) continue;
                   6614:         j=(k2-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l2;
                   6615:         for (k1=1; k1<=(nlstate);k1++){
                   6616:           for (l1=1; l1<=(nlstate+ndeath);l1++){ 
                   6617:             if(l1==k1) continue;
                   6618:             i=(k1-1)*(nlstate+ndeath)+l1;
                   6619:             if(i<=j) continue;
                   6620:             for (age=bage; age<=fage; age ++){ 
                   6621:               if ((int)age %5==0){
                   6622:                 v1=varpij[i][i][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6623:                 v2=varpij[j][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6624:                 cv12=varpij[i][j][(int)age]/stepm*YEARM/stepm*YEARM;
                   6625:                 mu1=mu[i][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM ;
                   6626:                 mu2=mu[j][(int) age]/stepm*YEARM;
                   6627:                 c12=cv12/sqrt(v1*v2);
                   6628:                 /* Computing eigen value of matrix of covariance */
                   6629:                 lc1=((v1+v2)+sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6630:                 lc2=((v1+v2)-sqrt((v1+v2)*(v1+v2) - 4*(v1*v2-cv12*cv12)))/2.;
                   6631:                 if ((lc2 <0) || (lc1 <0) ){
                   6632:                   if(first2==1){
                   6633:                     first1=0;
                   6634:                     printf("Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS. See log file for details...\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);
                   6635:                   }
                   6636:                   fprintf(ficlog,"Strange: j1=%d One eigen value of 2x2 matrix of covariance is negative, lc1=%11.3e, lc2=%11.3e, v1=%11.3e, v2=%11.3e, cv12=%11.3e.\n It means that the matrix was not well estimated (varpij), for i=%2d, j=%2d, age=%4d .\n See files %s and %s. Probably WRONG RESULTS.\n", j1, lc1, lc2, v1, v2, cv12, i, j, (int)age,fileresprobcov, fileresprobcor);fflush(ficlog);
                   6637:                   /* lc1=fabs(lc1); */ /* If we want to have them positive */
                   6638:                   /* lc2=fabs(lc2); */
                   6639:                 }
1.220     brouard  6640:                                                                
1.222     brouard  6641:                 /* Eigen vectors */
                   6642:                 v11=(1./sqrt(1+(v1-lc1)*(v1-lc1)/cv12/cv12));
                   6643:                 /*v21=sqrt(1.-v11*v11); *//* error */
                   6644:                 v21=(lc1-v1)/cv12*v11;
                   6645:                 v12=-v21;
                   6646:                 v22=v11;
                   6647:                 tnalp=v21/v11;
                   6648:                 if(first1==1){
                   6649:                   first1=0;
                   6650:                   printf("%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tang %.3f\nOthers in log...\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6651:                 }
                   6652:                 fprintf(ficlog,"%d %d%d-%d%d mu %.4e %.4e Var %.4e %.4e cor %.3f cov %.4e Eig %.3e %.3e 1stv %.3f %.3f tan %.3f\n",(int) age,k1,l1,k2,l2,mu1,mu2,v1,v2,c12,cv12,lc1,lc2,v11,v21,tnalp);
                   6653:                 /*printf(fignu*/
                   6654:                 /* mu1+ v11*lc1*cost + v12*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6655:                 /* mu2+ v21*lc1*cost + v22*lc2*sin(t) */
                   6656:                 if(first==1){
                   6657:                   first=0;
                   6658:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Ellipsoids of confidence\n#\n");
                   6659:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset parametric;unset label");
                   6660:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;set log x; set xlabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\";set ylabel \"p%1d%1d (year-1)\"",k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6661:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480");
1.266     brouard  6662:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<p><br>Ellipsoids of confidence cov(p%1d%1d,p%1d%1d) expressed in year<sup>-1</sup>\
1.220     brouard  6663:  :<a href=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\">                                                                                                                                          \
1.201     brouard  6664: %s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg</A>, ",k1,l1,k2,l2,\
1.222     brouard  6665:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2,      \
                   6666:                           subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6667:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br><img src=\"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"> ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6668:                   fprintf(fichtmcov,"\n<br> Correlation at age %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6669:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\"",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6670:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6671:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6672:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot [-pi:pi] %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not",      \
1.266     brouard  6673:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6674:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2))); /* For gnuplot only */
1.222     brouard  6675:                 }else{
                   6676:                   first=0;
                   6677:                   fprintf(fichtmcov," %d (%.3f),",(int) age, c12);
                   6678:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Age %d, p%1d%1d - p%1d%1d",(int) age, k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6679:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%d\" at %11.3e,%11.3e center",(int) age, mu1,mu2);
                   6680:                   fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot %11.3e+ %.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)), %11.3e +%.3f*(%11.3e*%11.3e*cos(t)+%11.3e*%11.3e*sin(t)) not", \
1.266     brouard  6681:                           mu1,std,v11,sqrt(lc1),v12,sqrt(fabs(lc2)),   \
                   6682:                           mu2,std,v21,sqrt(lc1),v22,sqrt(fabs(lc2)));
1.222     brouard  6683:                 }/* if first */
                   6684:               } /* age mod 5 */
                   6685:             } /* end loop age */
                   6686:             fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;\nset out \"%s_%d%1d%1d-%1d%1d.svg\";replot;set out;",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"VARPIJGR_"), j1,k1,l1,k2,l2);
                   6687:             first=1;
                   6688:           } /*l12 */
                   6689:         } /* k12 */
                   6690:        } /*l1 */
                   6691:      }/* k1 */
                   6692:    }  /* loop on combination of covariates j1 */
                   6693:    free_ma3x(varpij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6694:    free_matrix(mu,1,(nlstate+ndeath)*(nlstate+ndeath),(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   6695:    free_matrix(doldm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath));
                   6696:    free_matrix(dnewm,1,(nlstate)*(nlstate+ndeath),1,npar);
                   6697:    free_vector(xp,1,npar);
                   6698:    fclose(ficresprob);
                   6699:    fclose(ficresprobcov);
                   6700:    fclose(ficresprobcor);
                   6701:    fflush(ficgp);
                   6702:    fflush(fichtmcov);
                   6703:  }
1.126     brouard  6704: 
                   6705: 
                   6706: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  6707: void printinghtml(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  6708:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   6709:                  int imx,int jmin, int jmax, double jmeanint,char rfileres[],\
1.258     brouard  6710:                  int popforecast, int mobilav, int prevfcast, int mobilavproj, int backcast, int estepm , \
1.273     brouard  6711:                  double jprev1, double mprev1,double anprev1, double dateprev1, double dateproj1, double dateback1, \
                   6712:                  double jprev2, double mprev2,double anprev2, double dateprev2, double dateproj2, double dateback2){
1.237     brouard  6713:   int jj1, k1, i1, cpt, k4, nres;
1.126     brouard  6714: 
                   6715:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><a href='#firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a>\n \
                   6716:    <li><a href='#secondorder'>Result files (second order (variance)</a>\n \
                   6717: </ul>");
1.237     brouard  6718:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li> model=1+age+%s\n \
                   6719: </ul>", model);
1.214     brouard  6720:    fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4><a name='firstorder'>Result files (first order: no variance)</a></h4>\n");
                   6721:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li>- Observed frequency between two states (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file)<br/>\n",
                   6722:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTMFR_",".htm"));
                   6723:    fprintf(fichtm,"<li> - Observed prevalence in each state (during the period defined between %.lf/%.lf/%.lf and %.lf/%.lf/%.lf): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (html file) ",
1.213     brouard  6724:           jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"),subdirfext3(optionfilefiname,"PHTM_",".htm"));
                   6725:    fprintf(fichtm,",  <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> (text file) <br>\n",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
1.126     brouard  6726:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6727:  - Estimated transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
1.201     brouard  6728:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
1.126     brouard  6729:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6730:  - Estimated back transition probabilities over %d (stepm) months: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n ",
                   6731:           stepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   6732:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6733:  - Period (stable) prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6734:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PL_"));
1.126     brouard  6735:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.217     brouard  6736:  - Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6737:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"));
                   6738:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.211     brouard  6739:  - (a) Life expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>i.</sub> (b) health expectancies by health status at initial age, e<sub>ij</sub> . If one or more covariates are included, specific tables for each value of the covariate are output in sequences within the same file (estepm=%2d months): \
1.126     brouard  6740:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.201     brouard  6741:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"));
1.211     brouard  6742:    if(prevfcast==1){
                   6743:      fprintf(fichtm,"\
                   6744:  - Prevalence projections by age and states:                           \
1.201     brouard  6745:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>", subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
1.211     brouard  6746:    }
1.126     brouard  6747: 
                   6748: 
1.225     brouard  6749:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6750:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6751: 
1.264     brouard  6752:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
                   6753: 
                   6754:    jj1=0;
                   6755: 
                   6756:    fprintf(fichtm," \n<ul>");
                   6757:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   6758:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
                   6759:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   6760:        continue;
                   6761:      jj1++;
                   6762:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6763:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li><a  size=\"1\" color=\"#EC5E5E\" href=\"#rescov");
                   6764:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6765:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6766:        }
                   6767:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6768:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6769:        }
                   6770:        fprintf(fichtm,"\">");
                   6771:        
                   6772:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
                   6773:        fprintf(fichtm,"************ Results for covariates");
                   6774:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6775:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6776:        }
                   6777:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6778:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6779:        }
                   6780:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6781:         fprintf(fichtm," Warning Combination (%d) ignored because no cases ",k1); 
                   6782:         continue;
                   6783:        }
                   6784:        fprintf(fichtm,"</a></li>");
                   6785:      } /* cptcovn >0 */
                   6786:    }
                   6787:      fprintf(fichtm," \n</ul>");
                   6788: 
1.222     brouard  6789:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6790: 
                   6791:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
1.241     brouard  6792:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){ /* For each combination of covariate */
1.253     brouard  6793:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6794:        continue;
1.220     brouard  6795: 
1.222     brouard  6796:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6797:      jj1++;
                   6798:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
1.264     brouard  6799:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<p><a name=\"rescov");
                   6800:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
                   6801:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%d_",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6802:        }
                   6803:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6804:         fprintf(fichtm,"_V%d=%f_",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6805:        }
                   6806:        fprintf(fichtm,"\"</a>");
                   6807:  
1.222     brouard  6808:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6809:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++){ 
1.237     brouard  6810:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],(int)Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6811:         printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);fflush(stdout);
                   6812:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6813:         /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]);fflush(stdout); */
1.222     brouard  6814:        }
1.237     brouard  6815:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6816:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6817:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);fflush(stdout);
                   6818:       }
                   6819:        
1.230     brouard  6820:        /* if(nqfveff+nqtveff 0) */ /* Test to be done */
1.222     brouard  6821:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
                   6822:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6823:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h3>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h3>\n",k1); 
                   6824:         printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   6825:         continue;
                   6826:        }
                   6827:      }
                   6828:      /* aij, bij */
1.259     brouard  6829:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>- Logit model (yours is: logit(pij)=log(pij/pii)= aij+ bij age+%s) as a function of age: <a href=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">%s_%d-1-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6830: <img src=\"%s_%d-1-%d.svg\">",model,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6831:      /* Pij */
1.241     brouard  6832:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- P<sub>ij</sub> or conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i, %d (stepm) months before: <a href=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">%s_%d-2-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6833: <img src=\"%s_%d-2-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres);     
1.222     brouard  6834:      /* Quasi-incidences */
                   6835:      fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- I<sub>ij</sub> or Conditional probabilities to be observed in state j being in state i %d (stepm) months\
1.220     brouard  6836:  before but expressed in per year i.e. quasi incidences if stepm is small and probabilities too, \
1.211     brouard  6837:  incidence (rates) are the limit when h tends to zero of the ratio of the probability  <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub> \
1.241     brouard  6838: divided by h: <sub>h</sub>P<sub>ij</sub>/h : <a href=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">%s_%d-3-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6839: <img src=\"%s_%d-3-%d.svg\">",stepm,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,nres); 
1.222     brouard  6840:      /* Survival functions (period) in state j */
                   6841:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.241     brouard  6842:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions in state %d. Or probability to survive in state %d being in state (1 to %d) at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6843: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6844:      }
                   6845:      /* State specific survival functions (period) */
                   6846:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
                   6847:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Survival functions from state %d in each live state and total.\
1.220     brouard  6848:  Or probability to survive in various states (1 to %d) being in state %d at different ages.    \
1.241     brouard  6849:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d%d-%d.svg</a><br> <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6850:      }
                   6851:      /* Period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6852:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6853:        fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person being in state (1 to %d) at different ages, to be in state %d some years after. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6854: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, nlstate, cpt, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6855:      }
                   6856:      if(backcast==1){
                   6857:        /* Period (stable) back prevalence in each health state */
                   6858:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.264     brouard  6859:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Convergence to mixed (stable) back prevalence in state %d. Or probability for a person to be in state %d at a younger age, knowing that she/he was in state (1 to %d) at different older ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
1.241     brouard  6860: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6861:        }
1.217     brouard  6862:      }
1.222     brouard  6863:      if(prevfcast==1){
                   6864:        /* Projection of prevalence up to period (stable) prevalence in each health state */
                   6865:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6866:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), from year %.1f up to year %.1f tending to period (stable) prevalence in state %d. Or probability to be in state %d being in an observed weighted state (from 1 to %d). <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6867: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateproj1, dateproj2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6868:        }
                   6869:      }
1.268     brouard  6870:      if(backcast==1){
                   6871:       /* Back projection of prevalence up to stable (mixed) back-prevalence in each health state */
                   6872:        for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++){
1.273     brouard  6873:         fprintf(fichtm,"<br>\n- Back projection of cross-sectional prevalence (estimated with cases observed from %.1f to %.1f and mobil_average=%d), \
                   6874:  from year %.1f up to year %.1f (probably close to stable [mixed] back prevalence in state %d (randomness in cross-sectional prevalence is not taken into \
                   6875:  account but can visually be appreciated). Or probability to have been in an state %d, knowing that the person was in either state (1 or %d) \
                   6876: with weights corresponding to observed prevalence at different ages. <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a><br> \
                   6877:  <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">", dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, dateback1, dateback2, cpt, cpt, nlstate, subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  6878:        }
                   6879:      }
1.220     brouard  6880:         
1.222     brouard  6881:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.241     brouard  6882:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Life expectancy by health state (%d) at initial age and its decomposition into health expectancies in each alive state (1 to %d) (or area under each survival functions): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a> <br> \
                   6883: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",cpt,nlstate,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6884:      }
                   6885:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6886:    }/* End k1 */
                   6887:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
1.126     brouard  6888: 
1.222     brouard  6889:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6890: \n<br><li><h4> <a name='secondorder'>Result files (second order: variances)</a></h4>\n\
1.193     brouard  6891:  - Parameter file with estimated parameters and covariance matrix: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br> \
1.203     brouard  6892:  - 95%% confidence intervals and Wald tests of the estimated parameters are in the log file if optimization has been done (mle != 0).<br> \
1.197     brouard  6893: But because parameters are usually highly correlated (a higher incidence of disability \
                   6894: and a higher incidence of recovery can give very close observed transition) it might \
                   6895: be very useful to look not only at linear confidence intervals estimated from the \
                   6896: variances but at the covariance matrix. And instead of looking at the estimated coefficients \
                   6897: (parameters) of the logistic regression, it might be more meaningful to visualize the \
                   6898: covariance matrix of the one-step probabilities. \
                   6899: See page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' below. \n", rfileres,rfileres);
1.126     brouard  6900: 
1.222     brouard  6901:    fprintf(fichtm," - Standard deviation of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
                   6902:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROB_"));
                   6903:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6904:  - Variance-covariance of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6905:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOV_"));
1.126     brouard  6906: 
1.222     brouard  6907:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6908:  - Correlation matrix of one-step probabilities: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6909:           subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"PROBCOR_"));
                   6910:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6911:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age and <b>initial health status</b> (cov(e<sup>ij</sup>,e<sup>kl</sup>)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6912:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6913:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"CVE_"));
1.222     brouard  6914:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6915:  - (a) Health expectancies by health status at initial age (e<sup>ij</sup>) and standard errors (in parentheses) (b) life expectancies and standard errors (e<sup>i.</sup>=e<sup>i1</sup>+e<sup>i2</sup>+...)(estepm=%2d months): \
                   6916:    <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n</li>",
1.201     brouard  6917:           estepm,subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"STDE_"));
1.222     brouard  6918:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6919:  - Variances and covariances of health expectancies by age. Status (i) based health expectancies (in state j), e<sup>ij</sup> are weighted by the period prevalences in each state i (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6920:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"V_"));
                   6921:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.128     brouard  6922:  - Total life expectancy and total health expectancies to be spent in each health state e<sup>.j</sup> with their standard errors (if popbased=1, an additional computation is done using the cross-sectional prevalences, i.e population based) (estepm=%d months): <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",
1.222     brouard  6923:           estepm, subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"));
                   6924:    fprintf(fichtm,"\
1.126     brouard  6925:  - Standard deviation of period (stable) prevalences: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a> <br>\n",\
1.222     brouard  6926:           subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"));
1.126     brouard  6927: 
                   6928: /*  if(popforecast==1) fprintf(fichtm,"\n */
                   6929: /*  - Prevalences forecasting: <a href=\"f%s\">f%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6930: /*  - Population forecasting (if popforecast=1): <a href=\"pop%s\">pop%s</a> <br>\n */
                   6931: /*     <br>",fileres,fileres,fileres,fileres); */
                   6932: /*  else  */
                   6933: /*    fprintf(fichtm,"\n No population forecast: popforecast = %d (instead of 1) or stepm = %d (instead of 1) or model=%s (instead of .)<br><br></li>\n",popforecast, stepm, model); */
1.222     brouard  6934:    fflush(fichtm);
                   6935:    fprintf(fichtm," <ul><li><b>Graphs</b></li><p>");
1.126     brouard  6936: 
1.225     brouard  6937:    m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.222     brouard  6938:    if (cptcovn < 1) {m=1;ncodemax[1]=1;}
1.126     brouard  6939: 
1.222     brouard  6940:    jj1=0;
1.237     brouard  6941: 
1.241     brouard  6942:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.222     brouard  6943:    for(k1=1; k1<=m;k1++){
1.253     brouard  6944:      if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  6945:        continue;
1.222     brouard  6946:      /* for(i1=1; i1<=ncodemax[k1];i1++){ */
                   6947:      jj1++;
1.126     brouard  6948:      if (cptcovn > 0) {
                   6949:        fprintf(fichtm,"<hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">************ Results for covariates");
1.225     brouard  6950:        for (cpt=1; cpt<=cptcoveff;cpt++)  /**< cptcoveff number of variables */
1.237     brouard  6951:         fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvresult[nres][cpt],Tresult[nres][cpt]);
                   6952:         /* fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[cpt],nbcode[Tvaraff[cpt]][codtabm(jj1,cpt)]); */
                   6953:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   6954:        fprintf(fichtm," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   6955:       }
                   6956: 
1.126     brouard  6957:        fprintf(fichtm," ************\n<hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">");
1.220     brouard  6958: 
1.222     brouard  6959:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   6960:         fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Combination (%d) ignored because no cases </h4>\n",k1); 
                   6961:         continue;
                   6962:        }
1.126     brouard  6963:      }
                   6964:      for(cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate;cpt++) {
1.258     brouard  6965:        fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Observed (cross-sectional with mov_average=%d) and period (incidence based) \
1.241     brouard  6966: prevalence (with 95%% confidence interval) in state (%d): <a href=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\"> %s_%d-%d-%d.svg</a>\n <br>\
1.258     brouard  6967: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\">",mobilav,cpt,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);  
1.126     brouard  6968:      }
                   6969:      fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br>- Total life expectancy by age and \
1.128     brouard  6970: health expectancies in states (1) and (2). If popbased=1 the smooth (due to the model) \
                   6971: true period expectancies (those weighted with period prevalences are also\
                   6972:  drawn in addition to the population based expectancies computed using\
1.241     brouard  6973:  observed and cahotic prevalences:  <a href=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">%s_%d-%d.svg</a>\n<br>\
                   6974: <img src=\"%s_%d-%d.svg\">",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres,subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.222     brouard  6975:      /* } /\* end i1 *\/ */
                   6976:    }/* End k1 */
1.241     brouard  6977:   }/* End nres */
1.222     brouard  6978:    fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   6979:    fflush(fichtm);
1.126     brouard  6980: }
                   6981: 
                   6982: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.270     brouard  6983: void printinggnuplot(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double bage, double fage , int prevfcast, int backcast, char pathc[], double p[], int offyear, int offbyear){
1.126     brouard  6984: 
                   6985:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.264     brouard  6986:   char gplotcondition[132], gplotlabel[132];
1.237     brouard  6987:   int cpt=0,k1=0,i=0,k=0,j=0,jk=0,k2=0,k3=0,k4=0,ij=0, ijp=0, l=0;
1.211     brouard  6988:   int lv=0, vlv=0, kl=0;
1.130     brouard  6989:   int ng=0;
1.201     brouard  6990:   int vpopbased;
1.223     brouard  6991:   int ioffset; /* variable offset for columns */
1.270     brouard  6992:   int iyearc=1; /* variable column for year of projection  */
                   6993:   int iagec=1; /* variable column for age of projection  */
1.235     brouard  6994:   int nres=0; /* Index of resultline */
1.266     brouard  6995:   int istart=1; /* For starting graphs in projections */
1.219     brouard  6996: 
1.126     brouard  6997: /*   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"a"))==NULL) { */
                   6998: /*     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   6999: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot); */
                   7000: /*   } */
                   7001: 
                   7002:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   7003:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
1.223     brouard  7004:   /*#endif */
1.225     brouard  7005:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  7006: 
1.274     brouard  7007:   /* diagram of the model */
                   7008:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Diagram of the model \n");
                   7009:   fprintf(ficgp,"\ndelta=0.03;delta2=0.07;unset arrow;\n");
                   7010:   fprintf(ficgp,"yoff=(%d > 2? 0:1);\n",nlstate);
                   7011:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Peripheral arrows\nset for [i=1:%d] for [j=1:%d] arrow i*10+j from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.95*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)), -0.95*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(i-1)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) - sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(j-1)*2./%d))+( i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta2:0)) ls (i < j? 1:2)\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7012: 
                   7013:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#Centripete arrows (turning in other direction (1-i) instead of (i-1)) \nset for [i=1:%d] arrow (%d+1)*10+i from cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))-(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0), yoff +sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) rto -0.80*(cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d))+(i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0)  ), -0.80*(sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(1-i)*2./%d)) + (i!=j?(i-j)/abs(i-j)*delta:0) + yoff ) ls 4\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7014:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show arrow\nunset label\n");
                   7015:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#States labels, starting from 2 (2-i) instead of (1-i), was (i-1)\nset for [i=1:%d] label i sprintf(\"State %%d\",i) center at cos(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)), yoff+sin(pi*((1-(%d/2)*2./%d)/2+(2-i)*2./%d)) font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"blue\"\n",nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate,nlstate);
                   7016:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label %d+1 sprintf(\"State %%d\",%d+1) center at 0.,0.  font \"helvetica, 16\" tc rgbcolor \"red\"\n",nlstate,nlstate);
                   7017:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n#show label\nunset border;unset xtics; unset ytics;\n");
                   7018:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n\nset ter svg size 640, 480;set out \"%s_.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   7019:   fprintf(ficgp,"unset log y; plot [-1.2:1.2][yoff-1.2:1.2] 1/0 not; set out;reset;\n");
                   7020: 
1.202     brouard  7021:   /* Contribution to likelihood */
                   7022:   /* Plot the probability implied in the likelihood */
1.223     brouard  7023:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n# Contributions to the Likelihood, mle >=1. For mle=4 no interpolation, pure matrix products.\n#\n");
                   7024:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n set log y; unset log x;set xlabel \"Age\"; set ylabel \"Likelihood (-2Log(L))\";");
                   7025:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480"); */ /* Too big for svg */
                   7026:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter pngcairo size 640, 480");
1.204     brouard  7027: /* nice for mle=4 plot by number of matrix products.
1.202     brouard  7028:    replot  "rrtest1/toto.txt" u 2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with point lc 1 */
                   7029: /* replot exp(p1+p2*x)/(1+exp(p1+p2*x)+exp(p3+p4*x)+exp(p5+p6*x)) t "p12(x)"  */
1.223     brouard  7030:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
                   7031:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-dest.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7032:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):6 t \"All sample, transitions colored by destination\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7033:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-ori.png\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"));
                   7034:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$13):5 t \"All sample, transitions colored by origin\" with dots lc variable; set out;\n\n",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7035:   for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7036:     fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s-p%dj.png\";set ylabel \"Probability for each individual/wave\";",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_"),i);
                   7037:     fprintf(ficgp,"unset log;\n# plot weighted, mean weight should have point size of 0.5\n plot  \"%s\"",subdirf(fileresilk));
                   7038:     fprintf(ficgp,"  u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable \\\n",i,1,i,1);
                   7039:     for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++) {
                   7040:       fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n \"\" u  2:($5 == %d && $6==%d ? $10 : 1/0):($12/4.):6 t \"p%d%d\" with points pointtype 7 ps variable lc variable ",i,j,i,j);
                   7041:     }
                   7042:     fprintf(ficgp,";\nset out; unset ylabel;\n"); 
                   7043:   }
                   7044:   /* unset log; plot  "rrtest1_sorted_4/ILK_rrtest1_sorted_4.txt" u  2:($4 == 1 && $5==2 ? $9 : 1/0):5 t "p12" with points lc variable */               
                   7045:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y;plot  \"%s\" u 2:(-$11):3 t \"All sample, all transitions\" with dots lc variable",subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7046:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot  \"%s\" u 2:($3 <= 3 ? -$11 : 1/0):3 t \"First 3 individuals\" with line lc variable", subdirf(fileresilk)); */
                   7047:   fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;unset log\n");
                   7048:   /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s.svg\"; replot; set out; # bug gnuplot",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"ILK_")); */
1.202     brouard  7049: 
1.126     brouard  7050:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   7051:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.223     brouard  7052:   /* 1eme*/
1.238     brouard  7053:   for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++){ /* For each live state */
                   7054:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){ /* For each valid combination of covariate */
1.236     brouard  7055:       for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.238     brouard  7056:        /* plot [100000000000000000000:-100000000000000000000] "mysbiaspar/vplrmysbiaspar.txt to check */
1.253     brouard  7057:        if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7058:          continue;
                   7059:        /* We are interested in selected combination by the resultline */
1.246     brouard  7060:        /* printf("\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files and live state =%d ", cpt); */
1.238     brouard  7061:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 1st: Period (stable) prevalence with CI: 'VPL_' files  and live state =%d ", cpt);
1.264     brouard  7062:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7063:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate k get corresponding value lv for combination k1 */
                   7064:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the value of the covariate corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7065:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7066:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7067:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7068:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* vlv is the value of the covariate lv, 0 or 1 */
                   7069:          /* For each combination of covariate k1 (V1=1, V3=0), we printed the current covariate k and its value vlv */
1.246     brouard  7070:          /* printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv); */
1.238     brouard  7071:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7072:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7073:        }
                   7074:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.246     brouard  7075:          /* printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]); */
1.238     brouard  7076:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7077:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7078:        }
                   7079:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.246     brouard  7080:        /* printf("\n#\n"); */
1.238     brouard  7081:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7082:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.260     brouard  7083:           /*k1=k1-1;*/ /* To be checked */
1.238     brouard  7084:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7085:          continue;
                   7086:        }
1.235     brouard  7087:       
1.241     brouard  7088:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"V_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7089:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#set out \"V_%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",optionfilefiname,cpt,k1,nres);
1.276     brouard  7090:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel); */
                   7091:        fprintf(ficgp,"set title \"Alive state %d %s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.260     brouard  7092:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7093:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),k1-1,k1-1,nres); */
                   7094:       /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
1.238     brouard  7095:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7096:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7097:          else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7098:        }
1.260     brouard  7099:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Period (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 0,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7100:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7101:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7102:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7103:        } 
1.260     brouard  7104:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VPL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.238     brouard  7105:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7106:          if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7107:          else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7108:        }  
1.265     brouard  7109:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Observed prevalence\" w l lt 2",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"),k1-1,k1-1,2+4*(cpt-1)); */
                   7110:        
                   7111:        fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 1,\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"P_"));
                   7112:         if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.271     brouard  7113:          fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",      2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.265     brouard  7114:        }else{
                   7115:          kl=0;
                   7116:          for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7117:            lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7118:            /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7119:            /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7120:            /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7121:            vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7122:            kl++;
                   7123:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7124:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7125:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7126:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7127:            if(k==cptcoveff){
                   7128:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Observed prevalence in state %d' w l lt 2",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
                   7129:                      2+cptcoveff*2+3*(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
                   7130:            }else{
                   7131:              fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7132:              kl++;
                   7133:            }
                   7134:          } /* end covariate */
                   7135:        } /* end if no covariate */
                   7136: 
1.238     brouard  7137:        if(backcast==1){ /* We need to get the corresponding values of the covariates involved in this combination k1 */
                   7138:          /* fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d) t\"Backward stable prevalence\" w l lt 3",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_"),k1-1,k1-1,1+cpt); */
1.242     brouard  7139:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"%s\" u 1:((",subdirf2(fileresu,"PLB_")); /* Age is in 1, nres in 2 to be fixed */
1.238     brouard  7140:          if(cptcoveff ==0){
1.245     brouard  7141:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d)) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' with line lt 3",    2+(cpt-1),  cpt );
1.238     brouard  7142:          }else{
                   7143:            kl=0;
                   7144:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each combination of covariate  */
                   7145:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7146:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7147:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7148:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7149:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
1.223     brouard  7150:              kl++;
1.238     brouard  7151:              /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7152:              /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7153:              /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7154:              /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7155:              if(k==cptcoveff){
1.245     brouard  7156:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d)? $%d : 1/0) t 'Backward prevalence in state %d' w l lt 3",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv], \
1.242     brouard  7157:                        2+cptcoveff*2+(cpt-1),  cpt );  /* 4 or 6 ?*/
1.238     brouard  7158:              }else{
                   7159:                fprintf(ficgp,"$%d==%d && $%d==%d && ",kl+1, Tvaraff[k],kl+1+1,nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7160:                kl++;
                   7161:              }
                   7162:            } /* end covariate */
                   7163:          } /* end if no covariate */
1.268     brouard  7164:          if(backcast == 1){
                   7165:            fprintf(ficgp,", \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3:1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
                   7166:            /* k1-1 error should be nres-1*/
                   7167:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7168:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7169:              else        fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7170:            }
1.271     brouard  7171:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"Backward (stable) prevalence\" w l lt 6 dt 3,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3+1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7172:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7173:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7174:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7175:            } 
1.276     brouard  7176:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"95%% CI\" w l lt 4,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d ? $3-1.96*$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"VBL_"),nres-1,nres-1,nres); 
1.268     brouard  7177:            for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++) {
                   7178:              if (i==cpt) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7179:              else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7180:            } 
1.274     brouard  7181:            fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 4");
1.268     brouard  7182:          } /* end if backprojcast */
1.238     brouard  7183:        } /* end if backcast */
1.276     brouard  7184:        /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset label;\n"); */
                   7185:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out ;unset title;\n");
1.238     brouard  7186:       } /* nres */
1.201     brouard  7187:     } /* k1 */
                   7188:   } /* cpt */
1.235     brouard  7189: 
                   7190:   
1.126     brouard  7191:   /*2 eme*/
1.238     brouard  7192:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){  
                   7193:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7194:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7195:        continue;
                   7196:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n# 2nd: Total life expectancy with CI: 't' files ");
1.264     brouard  7197:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7198:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.225     brouard  7199:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
1.223     brouard  7200:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7201:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7202:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7203:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7204:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7205:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7206:       }
1.237     brouard  7207:       /* for(k=1; k <= ncovds; k++){ */
1.236     brouard  7208:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  7209:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.236     brouard  7210:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7211:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7212:       }
1.264     brouard  7213:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7214:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7215:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7216:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7217:        continue;
                   7218:       }
1.219     brouard  7219:                        
1.241     brouard  7220:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres);
1.238     brouard  7221:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.264     brouard  7222:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"popbased %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",vpopbased,gplotlabel);
                   7223:        if(vpopbased==0){
1.238     brouard  7224:          fprintf(ficgp,"set ylabel \"Years\" \nset ter svg size 640, 480\nplot [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,fage);
1.264     brouard  7225:        }else
1.238     brouard  7226:          fprintf(ficgp,"\nreplot ");
                   7227:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++) {
                   7228:          k=2*i;
1.261     brouard  7229:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ?$4 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1, vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7230:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7231:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7232:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7233:          }   
                   7234:          if (i== 1) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"TLE\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i);
                   7235:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"LE in state (%d)\" w l lt %d, \\\n",i-1,i+1);
1.261     brouard  7236:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4-$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7237:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7238:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7239:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7240:          }   
                   7241:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,");
1.261     brouard  7242:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($2==%d && $4!=0 ? $4+$5*2 : 1/0) \"%%lf %%lf %%lf",subdirf2(fileresu,"T_"),nres-1,nres-1,vpopbased);
1.238     brouard  7243:          for (j=1; j<= nlstate+1 ; j ++) {
                   7244:            if (j==i) fprintf(ficgp," %%lf (%%lf)");
                   7245:            else fprintf(ficgp," %%*lf (%%*lf)");
                   7246:          }   
                   7247:          if (i== (nlstate+1)) fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0");
                   7248:          else fprintf(ficgp,"\" t\"\" w l lt 0,\\\n");
                   7249:        } /* state */
                   7250:       } /* vpopbased */
1.264     brouard  7251:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out;set out \"%s_%d-%d.svg\"; replot; set out; unset label;\n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"E_"),k1,nres); /* Buggy gnuplot */
1.238     brouard  7252:     } /* end nres */
                   7253:   } /* k1 end 2 eme*/
                   7254:        
                   7255:        
                   7256:   /*3eme*/
                   7257:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++){
                   7258:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7259:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.238     brouard  7260:        continue;
                   7261: 
                   7262:       for (cpt=1; cpt<= nlstate ; cpt ++) {
1.261     brouard  7263:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# 3d: Life expectancy with EXP_ files:  combination=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.264     brouard  7264:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7265:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7266:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7267:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7268:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7269:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7270:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7271:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7272:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7273:        }
                   7274:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7275:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7276:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7277:        }       
1.264     brouard  7278:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7279:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7280:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7281:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7282:          continue;
                   7283:        }
                   7284:                        
                   7285:        /*       k=2+nlstate*(2*cpt-2); */
                   7286:        k=2+(nlstate+1)*(cpt-1);
1.241     brouard  7287:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"EXP_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7288:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"%s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7289:        fprintf(ficgp,"set ter svg size 640, 480\n\
1.261     brouard  7290: plot [%.f:%.f] \"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d1\" w l",ageminpar,fage,subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7291:        /*fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d-2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7292:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7293:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
                   7294:          fprintf(ficgp,",\"e%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:($%d+2*$%d) \"\%%lf ",fileres,k1-1,k1-1,k,k+1);
                   7295:          for (i=1; i<= nlstate*2 ; i ++) fprintf(ficgp,"\%%lf (\%%lf) ");
                   7296:          fprintf(ficgp,"\" t \"e%d1\" w l",cpt);
1.219     brouard  7297:                                
1.238     brouard  7298:        */
                   7299:        for (i=1; i< nlstate ; i ++) {
1.261     brouard  7300:          fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+i,cpt,i+1);
1.238     brouard  7301:          /*    fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d%d\" w l",subdirf2(fileres,"e"),k1-1,k1-1,k+2*i,cpt,i+1);*/
1.219     brouard  7302:                                
1.238     brouard  7303:        } 
1.261     brouard  7304:        fprintf(ficgp," ,\"%s\" every :::%d::%d u 1:%d t \"e%d.\" w l",subdirf2(fileresu,"E_"),nres-1,nres-1,k+nlstate,cpt);
1.238     brouard  7305:       }
1.264     brouard  7306:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7307:     } /* end nres */
                   7308:   } /* end kl 3eme */
1.126     brouard  7309:   
1.223     brouard  7310:   /* 4eme */
1.201     brouard  7311:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by initial state i */
1.238     brouard  7312:   for (k1=1; k1<=m; k1++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7313:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7314:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.223     brouard  7315:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7316:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state cpt*/
1.264     brouard  7317:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7318:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j : 'LIJ_' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7319:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7320:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7321:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7322:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7323:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7324:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7325:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7326:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7327:        }
                   7328:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7329:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7330:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7331:        }       
1.264     brouard  7332:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7333:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7334:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7335:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7336:          continue;
1.223     brouard  7337:        }
1.238     brouard  7338:       
1.241     brouard  7339:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7340:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7341:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7342: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7343:        k=3;
                   7344:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){
                   7345:          if(i==1){
                   7346:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7347:          }else{
                   7348:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7349:          }
                   7350:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1;
                   7351:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7352:          for (j=2; j<= nlstate+ndeath ; j ++)
                   7353:            fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7354:          fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
                   7355:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7356:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7357:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7358:     } /* end nres */
                   7359:   } /* end covariate k1 */  
                   7360: 
1.220     brouard  7361: /* 5eme */
1.201     brouard  7362:   /* Survival functions (period) from state i in state j by final state j */
1.238     brouard  7363:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1++){ /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7364:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7365:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.227     brouard  7366:        continue;
1.238     brouard  7367:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each inital state  */
1.264     brouard  7368:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.238     brouard  7369:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n# Survival functions in state j and all livestates from state i by final state j: 'lij' files, cov=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7370:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7371:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7372:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7373:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7374:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7375:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7376:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7377:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.238     brouard  7378:        }
                   7379:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7380:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7381:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.238     brouard  7382:        }       
1.264     brouard  7383:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.238     brouard  7384:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7385:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7386:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7387:          continue;
                   7388:        }
1.227     brouard  7389:       
1.241     brouard  7390:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"LIJT_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7391:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.238     brouard  7392:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability to be alive\" \n\
                   7393: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7394:        k=3;
                   7395:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7396:          if(j==1)
                   7397:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7398:          else
                   7399:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7400:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7401:          fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l);
                   7402:          /* for (i=2; i<= nlstate+ndeath ; i ++) */
                   7403:          /*   fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+i-1); */
                   7404:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"l(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,j);
                   7405:        } /* nlstate */
                   7406:        fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7407:        fprintf(ficgp," u (($1==%d && (floor($2)%%5 == 0)) ? ($3):1/0):(",k1);
                   7408:        for (j=1; j<= nlstate ; j ++){ /* Lived in state j */
                   7409:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1) +j;
                   7410:          if(j < nlstate)
                   7411:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d +",k+l);
                   7412:          else
                   7413:            fprintf(ficgp,"$%d) t\"l(%d,.)\" w l",k+l,cpt);
                   7414:        }
1.264     brouard  7415:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.238     brouard  7416:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7417:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7418:   } /* end nres */
1.227     brouard  7419:   
1.220     brouard  7420: /* 6eme */
1.202     brouard  7421:   /* CV preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7422:   for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7423:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7424:     if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7425:       continue;
1.255     brouard  7426:     for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state of arrival */
1.264     brouard  7427:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.211     brouard  7428:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV preval stable (period): 'pij' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.225     brouard  7429:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
1.227     brouard  7430:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7431:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7432:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7433:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7434:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7435:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7436:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.211     brouard  7437:       }
1.237     brouard  7438:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7439:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7440:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7441:       }        
1.264     brouard  7442:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.211     brouard  7443:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.223     brouard  7444:       if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
1.227     brouard  7445:        fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7446:        continue;
1.223     brouard  7447:       }
1.227     brouard  7448:       
1.241     brouard  7449:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"P_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7450:       fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.126     brouard  7451:       fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7452: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.211     brouard  7453:       k=3; /* Offset */
1.255     brouard  7454:       for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of origin */
1.227     brouard  7455:        if(i==1)
                   7456:          fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJ_"));
                   7457:        else
                   7458:          fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
1.255     brouard  7459:        l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; /* 1, 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7460:        fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l);
                   7461:        for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++)
                   7462:          fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1);
                   7463:        fprintf(ficgp,")) t \"prev(%d,%d)\" w l",i,cpt);
1.153     brouard  7464:       } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7465:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.153     brouard  7466:     } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7467:   } /* end covariate */  
1.227     brouard  7468:   
                   7469:   
1.220     brouard  7470: /* 7eme */
1.218     brouard  7471:   if(backcast == 1){
1.217     brouard  7472:     /* CV back preval stable (period) for each covariate */
1.237     brouard  7473:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7474:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7475:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7476:        continue;
1.268     brouard  7477:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life origin state */
1.264     brouard  7478:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7479:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#CV Back preval stable (period): 'pijb' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
1.227     brouard  7480:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate and each value */
                   7481:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate number corresponding to k1 combination */
                   7482:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7483:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
1.223     brouard  7484:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
1.227     brouard  7485:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7486:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7487:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7488:        }
1.237     brouard  7489:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7490:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7491:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7492:        }       
1.264     brouard  7493:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7494:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7495:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7496:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7497:          continue;
                   7498:        }
                   7499:        
1.241     brouard  7500:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.268     brouard  7501:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7502:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Probability\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7503: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.227     brouard  7504:        k=3; /* Offset */
1.268     brouard  7505:        for (i=1; i<= nlstate ; i ++){ /* State of arrival */
1.227     brouard  7506:          if(i==1)
                   7507:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"PIJB_"));
                   7508:          else
                   7509:            fprintf(ficgp,", '' ");
                   7510:          /* l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(i-1)+1; */
1.255     brouard  7511:          l=(nlstate+ndeath)*(cpt-1)+1; /* fixed for i; cpt=1 1, cpt=2 1+ nlstate+ndeath, 1+2*(nlstate+ndeath) */
1.227     brouard  7512:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
                   7513:          /* fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d/($%d",k1,k+l+(cpt-1),k+l+(cpt-1)+i-1); /\* a vérifier *\/ */
1.255     brouard  7514:          fprintf(ficgp," u ($1==%d ? ($3):1/0):($%d",k1,k+l+i-1); /* To be verified */
1.227     brouard  7515:          /* for (j=2; j<= nlstate ; j ++) */
                   7516:          /*    fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); */
                   7517:          /*    /\* fprintf(ficgp,"+$%d",k+l+j-1); *\/ */
1.268     brouard  7518:          fprintf(ficgp,") t \"bprev(%d,%d)\" w l",cpt,i);
1.227     brouard  7519:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7520:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.218     brouard  7521:       } /* end cpt state*/ 
                   7522:     } /* end covariate */  
                   7523:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7524:   
1.223     brouard  7525:   /* 8eme */
1.218     brouard  7526:   if(prevfcast==1){
                   7527:     /* Projection from cross-sectional to stable (period) for each covariate */
                   7528:     
1.237     brouard  7529:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7530:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  7531:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7532:        continue;
1.211     brouard  7533:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
1.264     brouard  7534:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
1.227     brouard  7535:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Projection of prevalence to stable (period): 'PROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d state=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7536:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7537:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7538:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7539:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7540:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7541:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7542:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.264     brouard  7543:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
1.227     brouard  7544:        }
1.237     brouard  7545:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7546:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7547:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7548:        }       
1.264     brouard  7549:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.227     brouard  7550:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7551:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7552:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7553:          continue;
                   7554:        }
                   7555:        
                   7556:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev\n ");
1.241     brouard  7557:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJ_"),cpt,k1,nres);
1.264     brouard  7558:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
1.227     brouard  7559:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
1.238     brouard  7560: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
1.266     brouard  7561: 
                   7562:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7563:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7564:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7565:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
1.227     brouard  7566:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7567:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7568:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7569:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
1.266     brouard  7570:          if(i==istart){
1.227     brouard  7571:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"F_"));
                   7572:          }else{
                   7573:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7574:          }
                   7575:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7576:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7577:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7578:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7579:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7580:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7581:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
1.266     brouard  7582:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7583:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'pw.%d' with line lc variable ",        \
1.266     brouard  7584:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7585:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7586:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7587:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.266     brouard  7588:                     offyear,                           \
1.268     brouard  7589:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate );
1.266     brouard  7590:            }else
1.227     brouard  7591:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'p%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7592:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7593:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7594:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7595:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7596:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7597:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7598:            iagec=ioffset;
1.227     brouard  7599:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7600:            kl=0;
                   7601:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7602:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7603:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7604:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7605:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7606:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7607:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7608:              kl++;
                   7609:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7610:              kl++;
                   7611:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7612:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7613:            }
                   7614:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7615:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7616:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7617:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7618:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7619:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7620:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d t 'p.%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7621:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,iyearc, cpt );
1.266     brouard  7622:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7623:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
                   7624:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7625:                      iyearc, iagec, offyear,                           \
                   7626:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate, iyearc );
1.266     brouard  7627: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
1.227     brouard  7628:            }else{
                   7629:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7630:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), ioffset +1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,i,cpt );
                   7631:            }
                   7632:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7633:        } /* nlstate */
1.264     brouard  7634:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
1.223     brouard  7635:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7636:     } /* end covariate */
                   7637:   } /* End if prevfcast */
1.227     brouard  7638:   
1.268     brouard  7639:   if(backcast==1){
                   7640:     /* Back projection from cross-sectional to stable (mixed) for each covariate */
                   7641:     
                   7642:     for (k1=1; k1<= m ; k1 ++) /* For each covariate combination if any */
                   7643:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   7644:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
                   7645:        continue;
                   7646:       for (cpt=1; cpt<=nlstate ; cpt ++) { /* For each life state */
                   7647:        strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");      
                   7648:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n#\n#Back projection of prevalence to stable (mixed) back prevalence: 'BPROJ_' files, covariatecombination#=%d originstate=%d",k1, cpt);
                   7649:        for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7650:          lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7651:          /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7652:          /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7653:          /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7654:          vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7655:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7656:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7657:        }
                   7658:        for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7659:          fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7660:          sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   7661:        }       
                   7662:        strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
                   7663:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
                   7664:        if(invalidvarcomb[k1]){
                   7665:          fprintf(ficgp,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k1); 
                   7666:          continue;
                   7667:        }
                   7668:        
                   7669:        fprintf(ficgp,"# hbijx=backprobability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev at destination state\n ");
                   7670:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" \n",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PROJB_"),cpt,k1,nres);
                   7671:        fprintf(ficgp,"set label \"Origin alive state %d %s\" at graph 0.98,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",cpt,gplotlabel);
                   7672:        fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\" \nset ylabel \"Prevalence\" \n\
                   7673: set ter svg size 640, 480\nunset log y\nplot [%.f:%.f]  ", ageminpar, agemaxpar);
                   7674: 
                   7675:        /* for (i=1; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /\* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 *\/ */
                   7676:        istart=nlstate+1; /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7677:        /*istart=1;*/ /* Could be one if by state, but nlstate+1 is w.i projection only */
                   7678:        for (i=istart; i<= nlstate+1 ; i ++){  /* nlstate +1 p11 p21 p.1 */
                   7679:          /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7680:          /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7681:          /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7682:          /*#   1       2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */   
                   7683:          if(i==istart){
                   7684:            fprintf(ficgp,"\"%s\"",subdirf2(fileresu,"FB_"));
                   7685:          }else{
                   7686:            fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7687:          }
                   7688:          if(cptcoveff ==0){ /* No covariate */
                   7689:            ioffset=2; /* Age is in 2 */
                   7690:            /*# yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7691:            /*#   1       2   3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7692:            /*# V1  = 1 yearproj age p11 p21 p31 p.1 p12 p22 p32 p.2 p13 p23 p33 p.3 p14 p24 p34 p.4*/
                   7693:            /*#  1    2        3   4   5  6    7  8   9   10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18 */
                   7694:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(", ioffset); 
                   7695:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7696:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)):1 t 'bw%d' with line lc variable ", \
1.268     brouard  7697:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt );
                   7698:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
                   7699:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
1.270     brouard  7700:              fprintf(ficgp," (($1-$2) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):1 with labels center not ", \
1.268     brouard  7701:                     offbyear,                          \
                   7702:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1) );
                   7703:            }else
                   7704:              fprintf(ficgp," $%d/(1.-$%d)) t 'b%d%d' with line ",      \
                   7705:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),  ioffset+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate,cpt,i );
                   7706:          }else{ /* more than 2 covariates */
1.270     brouard  7707:            ioffset=2*cptcoveff+2; /* Age is in 4 or 6 or etc.*/
                   7708:            /*#  V1  = 1  V2 =  0 yearproj age p11 p21 p.1 p12 p22 p.2 p13 p23 p.3*/
                   7709:            /*#   1    2   3    4    5      6  7   8   9   10   11 12  13   14  15 */
                   7710:            iyearc=ioffset-1;
                   7711:            iagec=ioffset;
1.268     brouard  7712:            fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",ioffset); 
                   7713:            kl=0;
                   7714:            strcpy(gplotcondition,"(");
                   7715:            for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each covariate writing the chain of conditions */
                   7716:              lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to combination k1 and covariate k */
                   7717:              /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7718:              /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7719:              /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7720:              vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]; /* Value of the modality of Tvaraff[k] */
                   7721:              kl++;
                   7722:              sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),"$%d==%d && $%d==%d " ,kl,Tvaraff[k], kl+1, nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv]);
                   7723:              kl++;
                   7724:              if(k <cptcoveff && cptcoveff>1)
                   7725:                sprintf(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition)," && ");
                   7726:            }
                   7727:            strcpy(gplotcondition+strlen(gplotcondition),")");
                   7728:            /* kl=6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1); /\* 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1)=7, 6+(2-1)(2+1)+1+(1-1)=10 *\/ */
                   7729:            /*6+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+(1-1)*(2+1)+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7730:            /*6+1+(i-1)+(nlstate+1)*nlstate; 6+1+(1-1) +(2+1)*2=13 */ 
                   7731:            /* ''  u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0 && $3==2 && $4==0)? $9/(1.-$15) : 1/0):($5==2000? 3:2) t 'p.1' with line lc variable*/
                   7732:            if(i==nlstate+1){
1.270     brouard  7733:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0):%d t 'bw%d' with line lc variable", gplotcondition, \
                   7734:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1),iyearc,cpt );
1.268     brouard  7735:              fprintf(ficgp,",\\\n '' ");
1.270     brouard  7736:              fprintf(ficgp," u %d:(",iagec); 
1.268     brouard  7737:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($5-$6) == %d ) ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0):5 with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \ */
1.270     brouard  7738:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s && (($%d-$%d) == %d ) ? $%d : 1/0):%d with labels center not ", gplotcondition, \
                   7739:                      iyearc,iagec,offbyear,                            \
                   7740:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), iyearc );
1.268     brouard  7741: /*  '' u 6:(($1==1 && $2==0  && $3==2 && $4==0) && (($5-$6) == 1947) ? $10/(1.-$22) : 1/0):5 with labels center boxed not*/
                   7742:            }else{
                   7743:              /* fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d/(1.-$%d) : 1/0) t 'p%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \ */
                   7744:              fprintf(ficgp,"%s ? $%d : 1/0) t 'b%d%d' with line ", gplotcondition, \
                   7745:                      ioffset+(cpt-1)*(nlstate+1)+1+(i-1), cpt,i );
                   7746:            }
                   7747:          } /* end if covariate */
                   7748:        } /* nlstate */
                   7749:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out; unset label;\n");
                   7750:       } /* end cpt state*/
                   7751:     } /* end covariate */
                   7752:   } /* End if backcast */
                   7753:   
1.227     brouard  7754:   
1.238     brouard  7755:   /* 9eme writing MLE parameters */
                   7756:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#9eme MLE estimated parameters\n#############\n");
1.126     brouard  7757:   for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.187     brouard  7758:     fprintf(ficgp,"# initial state %d\n",i);
1.126     brouard  7759:     for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   7760:       if (k != i) {
1.227     brouard  7761:        fprintf(ficgp,"#   current state %d\n",k);
                   7762:        for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   7763:          fprintf(ficgp,"p%d=%f; ",jk,p[jk]);
                   7764:          jk++; 
                   7765:        }
                   7766:        fprintf(ficgp,"\n");
1.126     brouard  7767:       }
                   7768:     }
1.223     brouard  7769:   }
1.187     brouard  7770:   fprintf(ficgp,"##############\n#\n");
1.227     brouard  7771:   
1.145     brouard  7772:   /*goto avoid;*/
1.238     brouard  7773:   /* 10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences using written MLE parameters */
                   7774:   fprintf(ficgp,"\n##############\n#10eme Graphics of probabilities or incidences\n#############\n");
1.187     brouard  7775:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age\n");
                   7776:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p12/p11)=p1 +p2*age +p3*age*age+ p4*V1+ p5*V1*age\n");
                   7777:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age\n");
                   7778:   fprintf(ficgp,"# logi(p13/p11)=p6 +p7*age +p8*age*age+ p9*V1+ p10*V1*age\n");
                   7779:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12+p13+p14+p11=1=p11(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7780:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7781:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p11=1/(1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7782:   fprintf(ficgp,"#                      +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7783:   fprintf(ficgp,"# p12=exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)/\n");
                   7784:   fprintf(ficgp,"#     (1+exp(a12+b12*age+c12age*age+d12*V1+e12*V1*age)\n");
                   7785:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a13+b13*age+c13age*age+d13*V1+e13*V1*age))\n");
                   7786:   fprintf(ficgp,"#       +exp(a14+b14*age+c14age*age+d14*V1+e14*V1*age)+...)\n");
                   7787:   fprintf(ficgp,"#\n");
1.223     brouard  7788:   for(ng=1; ng<=3;ng++){ /* Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year*/
1.238     brouard  7789:     fprintf(ficgp,"#Number of graphics: first is logit, 2nd is probabilities, third is incidences per year\n");
1.237     brouard  7790:     fprintf(ficgp,"#model=%s \n",model);
1.238     brouard  7791:     fprintf(ficgp,"# Type of graphic ng=%d\n",ng);
1.264     brouard  7792:     fprintf(ficgp,"#   k1=1 to 2^%d=%d\n",cptcoveff,m);/* to be checked */
                   7793:     for(k1=1; k1 <=m; k1++)  /* For each combination of covariate */
1.237     brouard  7794:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.264     brouard  7795:       if(m != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k1)
1.237     brouard  7796:        continue;
1.264     brouard  7797:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n\n# Combination of dummy  k1=%d which is ",k1);
                   7798:       strcpy(gplotlabel,"(");
1.276     brouard  7799:       /*sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," Dummy combination %d ",k1);*/
1.264     brouard  7800:       for (k=1; k<=cptcoveff; k++){    /* For each correspondig covariate value  */
                   7801:        lv= decodtabm(k1,k,cptcoveff); /* Should be the covariate value corresponding to k1 combination and kth covariate */
                   7802:        /* decodtabm(1,1,4) = 1 because h=1  k= (1) 1  1  1 */
                   7803:        /* decodtabm(1,2,4) = 1 because h=1  k=  1 (1) 1  1 */
                   7804:        /* decodtabm(13,3,4)= 2 because h=13 k=  1  1 (2) 2 */
                   7805:        vlv= nbcode[Tvaraff[k]][lv];
                   7806:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7807:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[k],vlv);
                   7808:       }
1.237     brouard  7809:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   7810:        fprintf(ficgp," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.264     brouard  7811:        sprintf(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel)," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.237     brouard  7812:       }        
1.264     brouard  7813:       strcpy(gplotlabel+strlen(gplotlabel),")");
1.237     brouard  7814:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n#\n");
1.264     brouard  7815:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"%s_%d-%d-%d.svg\" ",subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"PE_"),k1,ng,nres);
1.276     brouard  7816:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset key outside ");
                   7817:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\nset label \"%s\" at graph 1.2,0.5 center rotate font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel); */
                   7818:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset title \"%s\" font \"Helvetica,12\"\n",gplotlabel);
1.223     brouard  7819:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ter svg size 640, 480 ");
                   7820:       if (ng==1){
                   7821:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Value of the logit of the model\"\n"); /* exp(a12+b12*x) could be nice */
                   7822:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset log y");
                   7823:       }else if (ng==2){
                   7824:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Probability\"\n");
                   7825:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7826:       }else if (ng==3){
                   7827:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset ylabel \"Quasi-incidence per year\"\n");
                   7828:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nset log y");
                   7829:       }else
                   7830:        fprintf(ficgp,"\nunset title ");
                   7831:       fprintf(ficgp,"\nplot  [%.f:%.f] ",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   7832:       i=1;
                   7833:       for(k2=1; k2<=nlstate; k2++) {
                   7834:        k3=i;
                   7835:        for(k=1; k<=(nlstate+ndeath); k++) {
                   7836:          if (k != k2){
                   7837:            switch( ng) {
                   7838:            case 1:
                   7839:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7840:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7841:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7842:                fprintf(ficgp," p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7843:              break;
                   7844:            case 2: /* ng=2 */
                   7845:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7846:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x",i,i+1);
                   7847:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7848:                fprintf(ficgp," exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7849:              break;
                   7850:            case 3:
                   7851:              if(nagesqr==0)
                   7852:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1);
                   7853:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
                   7854:                fprintf(ficgp," %f*exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",YEARM/stepm,i,i+1,i+1+nagesqr);
                   7855:              break;
                   7856:            }
                   7857:            ij=1;/* To be checked else nbcode[0][0] wrong */
1.237     brouard  7858:            ijp=1; /* product no age */
                   7859:            /* for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++) { */
                   7860:            for(j=1; j <=cptcovt; j++) { /* For each covariate of the simplified model */
1.223     brouard  7861:              /* printf("Tage[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tage[ij], j); */
1.268     brouard  7862:              if(cptcovage >0){ /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7863:                if(j==Tage[ij]) { /* Product by age  To be looked at!!*/
                   7864:                  if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1, 2 V5 and V1 */
                   7865:                    if(DummyV[j]==0){
                   7866:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]);;
                   7867:                    }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7868:                      fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*x",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* Tqinvresult in decoderesult */
                   7869:                      /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7870:                    }
                   7871:                    ij++;
1.237     brouard  7872:                  }
1.268     brouard  7873:                } 
                   7874:              }else if(cptcovprod >0){
                   7875:                if(j==Tprod[ijp]) { /* */ 
                   7876:                  /* printf("Tprod[%d]=%d, j=%d\n", ij, Tprod[ijp], j); */
                   7877:                  if(ijp <=cptcovprod) { /* Product */
                   7878:                    if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][1]]==0){/* Vn is dummy */
                   7879:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){/* Vn and Vm are dummy */
                   7880:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],nbcode[Tvard[ijp][2]][codtabm(k1,j)]); */
                   7881:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7882:                      }else{ /* Vn is dummy and Vm is quanti */
                   7883:                        /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvard[ijp][1]][codtabm(k1,j)],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]); */
                   7884:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7885:                      }
                   7886:                    }else{ /* Vn*Vm Vn is quanti */
                   7887:                      if(DummyV[Tvard[ijp][2]]==0){
                   7888:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]]);
                   7889:                      }else{ /* Both quanti */
                   7890:                        fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][1]],Tqinvresult[nres][Tvard[ijp][2]]);
                   7891:                      }
1.237     brouard  7892:                    }
1.268     brouard  7893:                    ijp++;
1.237     brouard  7894:                  }
1.268     brouard  7895:                } /* end Tprod */
1.237     brouard  7896:              } else{  /* simple covariate */
1.264     brouard  7897:                /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j]][codtabm(k1,j)]); /\* Valgrind bug nbcode *\/ */
1.237     brouard  7898:                if(Dummy[j]==0){
                   7899:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /*  */
                   7900:                }else{ /* quantitative */
                   7901:                  fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%f",i+j+2+nagesqr-1,Tqinvresult[nres][Tvar[j]]); /* */
1.264     brouard  7902:                  /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",i+j+nagesqr-1,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
1.223     brouard  7903:                }
1.237     brouard  7904:              } /* end simple */
                   7905:            } /* end j */
1.223     brouard  7906:          }else{
                   7907:            i=i-ncovmodel;
                   7908:            if(ng !=1 ) /* For logit formula of log p11 is more difficult to get */
                   7909:              fprintf(ficgp," (1.");
                   7910:          }
1.227     brouard  7911:          
1.223     brouard  7912:          if(ng != 1){
                   7913:            fprintf(ficgp,")/(1");
1.227     brouard  7914:            
1.264     brouard  7915:            for(cpt=1; cpt <=nlstate; cpt++){ 
1.223     brouard  7916:              if(nagesqr==0)
1.264     brouard  7917:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1);
1.223     brouard  7918:              else /* nagesqr =1 */
1.264     brouard  7919:                fprintf(ficgp,"+exp(p%d+p%d*x+p%d*x*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1,k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+nagesqr);
1.217     brouard  7920:               
1.223     brouard  7921:              ij=1;
                   7922:              for(j=3; j <=ncovmodel-nagesqr; j++){
1.268     brouard  7923:                 if(cptcovage >0){ 
                   7924:                   if((j-2)==Tage[ij]) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7925:                     if(ij <=cptcovage) { /* Bug valgrind */
                   7926:                       fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);
                   7927:                       /* fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d*x",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,Tvar[j-2])]); */
                   7928:                       ij++;
                   7929:                     }
                   7930:                   }
                   7931:                 }else
                   7932:                   fprintf(ficgp,"+p%d*%d",k3+(cpt-1)*ncovmodel+1+j-2+nagesqr,nbcode[Tvar[j-2]][codtabm(k1,j-2)]);/* Valgrind bug nbcode */
1.223     brouard  7933:              }
                   7934:              fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7935:            }
                   7936:            fprintf(ficgp,")");
                   7937:            if(ng ==2)
1.276     brouard  7938:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"p%d%d\" ", nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7939:            else /* ng= 3 */
1.276     brouard  7940:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"i%d%d\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7941:          }else{ /* end ng <> 1 */
                   7942:            if( k !=k2) /* logit p11 is hard to draw */
1.276     brouard  7943:              fprintf(ficgp," w l lw 2 lt (%d*%d+%d)%%%d+1 dt %d t \"logit(p%d%d)\" ",  nlstate+ndeath, k2, k, nlstate+ndeath, k2, k2,k);
1.223     brouard  7944:          }
                   7945:          if ((k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath) && ng != 1)
                   7946:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7947:          if (ng == 1 && k!=k2 && (k+k2)!= (nlstate*2+ndeath))
                   7948:            fprintf(ficgp,",");
                   7949:          i=i+ncovmodel;
                   7950:        } /* end k */
                   7951:       } /* end k2 */
1.276     brouard  7952:       /* fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset label;set key default;\n"); */
                   7953:       fprintf(ficgp,"\n set out; unset title;set key default;\n");
1.264     brouard  7954:     } /* end k1 */
1.223     brouard  7955:   } /* end ng */
                   7956:   /* avoid: */
                   7957:   fflush(ficgp); 
1.126     brouard  7958: }  /* end gnuplot */
                   7959: 
                   7960: 
                   7961: /*************** Moving average **************/
1.219     brouard  7962: /* int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav, double bageout, double fageout){ */
1.222     brouard  7963:  int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage, double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav){
1.218     brouard  7964:    
1.222     brouard  7965:    int i, cpt, cptcod;
                   7966:    int modcovmax =1;
                   7967:    int mobilavrange, mob;
                   7968:    int iage=0;
                   7969: 
1.266     brouard  7970:    double sum=0., sumr=0.;
1.222     brouard  7971:    double age;
1.266     brouard  7972:    double *sumnewp, *sumnewm, *sumnewmr;
                   7973:    double *agemingood, *agemaxgood; 
                   7974:    double *agemingoodr, *agemaxgoodr; 
1.222     brouard  7975:   
                   7976:   
1.278     brouard  7977:    /* modcovmax=2*cptcoveff;  Max number of modalities. We suppose  */
                   7978:    /*             a covariate has 2 modalities, should be equal to ncovcombmax   */
1.222     brouard  7979: 
                   7980:    sumnewp = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
                   7981:    sumnewm = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7982:    sumnewmr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7983:    agemingood = vector(1,ncovcombmax); 
1.266     brouard  7984:    agemingoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);        
1.222     brouard  7985:    agemaxgood = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.266     brouard  7986:    agemaxgoodr = vector(1,ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  7987: 
                   7988:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
1.266     brouard  7989:      sumnewm[cptcod]=0.; sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  7990:      sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  7991:      agemingood[cptcod]=0, agemingoodr[cptcod]=0;
                   7992:      agemaxgood[cptcod]=0, agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=0;
1.222     brouard  7993:    }
                   7994:    if (cptcovn<1) ncovcombmax=1; /* At least 1 pass */
                   7995:   
1.266     brouard  7996:    if(mobilav==-1 || mobilav==1||mobilav ==3 ||mobilav==5 ||mobilav== 7){
                   7997:      if(mobilav==1 || mobilav==-1) mobilavrange=5; /* default */
1.222     brouard  7998:      else mobilavrange=mobilav;
                   7999:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++)
                   8000:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8001:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++)
                   8002:           mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8003:      /* We keep the original values on the extreme ages bage, fage and for 
                   8004:        fage+1 and bage-1 we use a 3 terms moving average; for fage+2 bage+2
                   8005:        we use a 5 terms etc. until the borders are no more concerned. 
                   8006:      */ 
                   8007:      for (mob=3;mob <=mobilavrange;mob=mob+2){
                   8008:        for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){
1.266     brouard  8009:         for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){
                   8010:           sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8011:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
1.222     brouard  8012:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] =probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8013:             for (cpt=1;cpt<=(mob-1)/2;cpt++){
                   8014:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age-cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8015:               mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod] +=probs[(int)age+cpt][i][cptcod];
                   8016:             }
                   8017:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/mob;
1.266     brouard  8018:             sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8019:           } /* end i */
                   8020:           if(sumnewm[cptcod] >1.e-3) mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]/sumnewm[cptcod]; /* Rescaling to sum one */
                   8021:         } /* end cptcod */
1.222     brouard  8022:        }/* end age */
                   8023:      }/* end mob */
1.266     brouard  8024:    }else{
                   8025:      printf("Error internal in movingaverage, mobilav=%d.\n",mobilav);
1.222     brouard  8026:      return -1;
1.266     brouard  8027:    }
                   8028: 
                   8029:    for (cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncovcombmax;cptcod++){ /* for each combination */
1.222     brouard  8030:      /* for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ */
                   8031:      if(invalidvarcomb[cptcod]){
                   8032:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",cptcod); 
                   8033:        continue;
                   8034:      }
1.219     brouard  8035: 
1.266     brouard  8036:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage+(mob-1)/2; age--){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
                   8037:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8038:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8039:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8040:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8041:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8042:        }
                   8043:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8044:         agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8045:        }
                   8046:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8047:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8048:        }
                   8049:      } /* age */
                   8050:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage-(mob-1)/2; age++){ /*looking for the youngest and oldest good age */
1.222     brouard  8051:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8052:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8053:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8054:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8055:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8056:        }
                   8057:        if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8058:         agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;
1.222     brouard  8059:        }
                   8060:        if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
1.266     brouard  8061:         agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8062:        }
                   8063:      } /* age */
                   8064:      /* Thus we have agemingood and agemaxgood as well as goodr for raw (preobs) */
                   8065:      /* but they will change */
                   8066:      for (age=fage-(mob-1)/2; age>=bage; age--){/* From oldest to youngest, filling up to the youngest */
                   8067:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8068:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
                   8069:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8070:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8071:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8072:        }
                   8073:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8074:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good without smoothing */
                   8075:           agemaxgoodr[cptcod]=age;  /* age min */
                   8076:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8077:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8078:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8079:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8080:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8081:           } /* i */
                   8082:         } /* end bad */
                   8083:        }else{
                   8084:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8085:           agemaxgood[cptcod]=age;
                   8086:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8087:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8088:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8089:           } /* i */
                   8090:         } /* end bad */
                   8091:        }/* end else */
                   8092:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8093:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8094:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8095:         sumr+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8096:        }
                   8097:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8098:         printf("Moving average A1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.266     brouard  8099:        } /* end bad */
                   8100:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8101:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8102:         printf("Moving average A2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase bage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)bage);
1.222     brouard  8103:        } /* end bad */
                   8104:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8105: 
                   8106:      for (age=bage+(mob-1)/2; age<=fage; age++){/* From youngest, finding the oldest wrong */
1.222     brouard  8107:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
1.266     brouard  8108:        sumnewmr[cptcod]=0.;
1.222     brouard  8109:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8110:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.266     brouard  8111:         sumnewmr[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8112:        } 
                   8113:        if(mobilav==-1){ /* Forcing raw ages if good else agemingood */
                   8114:         if(fabs(sumnewmr[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8115:           agemingoodr[cptcod]=age;
                   8116:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   8117:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8118:         }else{ /* bad we change the value with the values of good ages */
                   8119:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8120:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingoodr[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8121:           } /* i */
                   8122:         } /* end bad */
                   8123:        }else{
                   8124:         if(fabs(sumnewm[cptcod] - 1.) <= 1.e-3) { /* good */
                   8125:           agemingood[cptcod]=age;
                   8126:         }else{ /* bad */
                   8127:           for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8128:             mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod];
                   8129:           } /* i */
                   8130:         } /* end bad */
                   8131:        }/* end else */
                   8132:        sum=0.;sumr=0.;
                   8133:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8134:         sum+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8135:         sumr+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
1.222     brouard  8136:        }
1.266     brouard  8137:        if(fabs(sum - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8138:         printf("Moving average B1: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, we can't get a smoothed prevalence which sums to one (%f) at any descending age! age=%d, could you decrease fage=%d?\n",cptcod, sum, (int) age, (int)fage);
1.266     brouard  8139:        } /* end bad */
                   8140:        /* else{ /\* We found some ages summing to one, we will smooth the oldest *\/ */
                   8141:        if(fabs(sumr - 1.) > 1.e-3) { /* bad */
1.268     brouard  8142:         printf("Moving average B2: For this combination of covariate cptcod=%d, the raw prevalence doesn't sums to one (%f) even with smoothed values at young ages! age=%d, could you increase fage=%d\n",cptcod,sumr, (int)age, (int)fage);
1.222     brouard  8143:        } /* end bad */
                   8144:      }/* age */
1.266     brouard  8145: 
1.222     brouard  8146:                
                   8147:      for (age=bage; age<=fage; age++){
1.235     brouard  8148:        /* printf("%d %d ", cptcod, (int)age); */
1.222     brouard  8149:        sumnewp[cptcod]=0.;
                   8150:        sumnewm[cptcod]=0.;
                   8151:        for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   8152:         sumnewp[cptcod]+=probs[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8153:         sumnewm[cptcod]+=mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod];
                   8154:         /* printf("%.4f %.4f ",probs[(int)age][i][cptcod], mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); */
                   8155:        }
                   8156:        /* printf("%.4f %.4f \n",sumnewp[cptcod], sumnewm[cptcod]); */
                   8157:      }
                   8158:      /* printf("\n"); */
                   8159:      /* } */
1.266     brouard  8160: 
1.222     brouard  8161:      /* brutal averaging */
1.266     brouard  8162:      /* for (i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8163:      /*   for (age=1; age<=bage; age++){ */
                   8164:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemingood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8165:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8166:      /*   }     */
                   8167:      /*   for (age=fage; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8168:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=mobaverage[(int)agemaxgood[cptcod]][i][cptcod]; */
                   8169:      /*         /\* printf("age=%d i=%d cptcod=%d mobaverage=%.4f \n",(int)age,i, cptcod, mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]); *\/ */
                   8170:      /*   } */
                   8171:      /* } /\* end i status *\/ */
                   8172:      /* for (i=nlstate+1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++){ */
                   8173:      /*   for (age=1; age<=AGESUP; age++){ */
                   8174:      /*         /\*printf("i=%d, age=%d, cptcod=%d\n",i, (int)age, cptcod);*\/ */
                   8175:      /*         mobaverage[(int)age][i][cptcod]=0.; */
                   8176:      /*   } */
                   8177:      /* } */
1.222     brouard  8178:    }/* end cptcod */
1.266     brouard  8179:    free_vector(agemaxgoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8180:    free_vector(agemaxgood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8181:    free_vector(agemingood,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8182:    free_vector(agemingoodr,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8183:    free_vector(sumnewmr,1, ncovcombmax);
1.222     brouard  8184:    free_vector(sumnewm,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8185:    free_vector(sumnewp,1, ncovcombmax);
                   8186:    return 0;
                   8187:  }/* End movingaverage */
1.218     brouard  8188:  
1.126     brouard  8189: 
                   8190: /************** Forecasting ******************/
1.269     brouard  8191:  void prevforecast(char fileres[], double anproj1, double mproj1, double jproj1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double ***prev, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anproj2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.126     brouard  8192:   /* proj1, year, month, day of starting projection 
                   8193:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8194:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
                   8195:      anproj2 year of en of projection (same day and month as proj1).
                   8196:   */
1.267     brouard  8197:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
1.126     brouard  8198:   double agec; /* generic age */
                   8199:   double agelim, ppij, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
                   8200:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8201:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  8202:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.126     brouard  8203:   char fileresf[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8204: 
                   8205:   agelim=AGESUP;
1.211     brouard  8206:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8207:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8208:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8209:   */
1.214     brouard  8210:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8211:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
1.126     brouard  8212:  
1.201     brouard  8213:   strcpy(fileresf,"F_"); 
                   8214:   strcat(fileresf,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  8215:   if((ficresf=fopen(fileresf,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8216:     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8217:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresf);
                   8218:   }
1.235     brouard  8219:   printf("\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
                   8220:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresf);
1.126     brouard  8221: 
1.225     brouard  8222:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
1.126     brouard  8223: 
                   8224: 
                   8225:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8226:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8227:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8228:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8229:   }
1.270     brouard  8230:   else{
                   8231:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8232:   }
                   8233:   if(estepm > stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8234:     stepsize=2;
                   8235:   }
1.126     brouard  8236: 
                   8237:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; 
                   8238:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8239:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8240:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8241:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8242:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8243:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8244:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8245:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8246:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8247: 
1.227     brouard  8248:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  8249:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8250:   
                   8251:   fprintf(ficresf,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2); 
                   8252:   
                   8253:   fprintf(ficresf,"#****** Routine prevforecast **\n");
1.227     brouard  8254:   
1.126     brouard  8255: /*           if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)){ */
1.235     brouard  8256:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8257:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  8258:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  8259:       continue;
1.227     brouard  8260:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8261:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8262:       continue;
                   8263:     }
                   8264:     fprintf(ficresf,"\n#****** hpijx=probability over h years, hp.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
                   8265:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8266:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8267:     }
1.235     brouard  8268:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
1.238     brouard  8269:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
1.235     brouard  8270:     }
1.227     brouard  8271:     fprintf(ficresf," yearproj age");
                   8272:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){ 
                   8273:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)               
                   8274:        fprintf(ficresf," p%d%d",i,j);
                   8275:       fprintf(ficresf," wp.%d",j);
                   8276:     }
                   8277:     for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {
                   8278:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8279:       fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp);   
1.270     brouard  8280:       /* for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){  */
                   8281:       for (agec=fage; agec>=(bage); agec--){ 
1.227     brouard  8282:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); 
                   8283:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; 
                   8284:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8285:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8286:        /* We compute pii at age agec over nhstepm);*/
1.235     brouard  8287:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres);
1.268     brouard  8288:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
1.227     brouard  8289:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   8290:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==yearp) {
1.268     brouard  8291:            break;
                   8292:          }
                   8293:        }
                   8294:        fprintf(ficresf,"\n");
                   8295:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
                   8296:          fprintf(ficresf,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8297:        fprintf(ficresf,"%.f %.f ",anproj1+yearp,agec+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8298:        
                   8299:        for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) {
                   8300:          ppij=0.;
                   8301:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {
1.278     brouard  8302:            if (mobilav>=1)
                   8303:             ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prev[(int)agec][i][k];
                   8304:            else { /* even if mobilav==-1 we use mobaverage, probs may not sums to 1 */
                   8305:                ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k];
                   8306:            }
1.268     brouard  8307:            fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8308:          } /* end i */
                   8309:          fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", ppij);
                   8310:        }/* end j */
1.227     brouard  8311:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8312:       } /* end agec */
1.266     brouard  8313:       /* diffyear=(int) anproj1+yearp-ageminpar-1; */
                   8314:       /*printf("Prevforecast %d+%d-%d=diffyear=%d\n",(int) anproj1, (int)yearp,(int)ageminpar,(int) anproj1-(int)ageminpar);*/
1.227     brouard  8315:     } /* end yearp */
                   8316:   } /* end  k */
1.219     brouard  8317:        
1.126     brouard  8318:   fclose(ficresf);
1.215     brouard  8319:   printf("End of Computing forecasting \n");
                   8320:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing forecasting\n");
                   8321: 
1.126     brouard  8322: }
                   8323: 
1.269     brouard  8324: /************** Back Forecasting ******************/
                   8325:  void prevbackforecast(char fileres[], double ***prevacurrent, double anback1, double mback1, double jback1, double ageminpar, double agemax, double dateprev1, double dateprev2, int mobilav, double bage, double fage, int firstpass, int lastpass, double anback2, double p[], int cptcoveff){
1.267     brouard  8326:   /* back1, year, month, day of starting backection
                   8327:      agemin, agemax range of age
                   8328:      dateprev1 dateprev2 range of dates during which prevalence is computed
1.269     brouard  8329:      anback2 year of end of backprojection (same day and month as back1).
                   8330:      prevacurrent and prev are prevalences.
1.267     brouard  8331:   */
                   8332:   int yearp, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j, k, cptcod, i, h, i1, k4, nres=0;
                   8333:   double agec; /* generic age */
1.268     brouard  8334:   double agelim, ppij, ppi, yp,yp1,yp2,jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean;
1.267     brouard  8335:   double *popeffectif,*popcount;
                   8336:   double ***p3mat;
                   8337:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   8338:   char fileresfb[FILENAMELENGTH];
                   8339:  
1.268     brouard  8340:   agelim=AGEINF;
1.267     brouard  8341:   /* Compute observed prevalence between dateprev1 and dateprev2 by counting the number of people
                   8342:      in each health status at the date of interview (if between dateprev1 and dateprev2).
                   8343:      We still use firstpass and lastpass as another selection.
                   8344:   */
                   8345:   /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart,\ */
                   8346:   /*         firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model); */
                   8347: 
                   8348:   /*Do we need to compute prevalence again?*/
                   8349: 
                   8350:   /* prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
                   8351:   
                   8352:   strcpy(fileresfb,"FB_");
                   8353:   strcat(fileresfb,fileresu);
                   8354:   if((ficresfb=fopen(fileresfb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8355:     printf("Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8356:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with back forecast resultfile: %s\n", fileresfb);
                   8357:   }
                   8358:   printf("\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8359:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing back forecasting: result on file '%s', please wait... \n", fileresfb);
                   8360:   
                   8361:   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1;
                   8362:   
                   8363:    
                   8364:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   8365:   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1;
                   8366:   if(estepm < stepm){
                   8367:     printf ("Problem %d lower than %d\n",estepm, stepm);
                   8368:   }
1.270     brouard  8369:   else{
                   8370:     hstepm=estepm;   
                   8371:   }
                   8372:   if(estepm >= stepm){ /* Yes every two year */
                   8373:     stepsize=2;
                   8374:   }
1.267     brouard  8375:   
                   8376:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;
                   8377:   yp1=modf(dateintmean,&yp);/* extracts integral of datemean in yp  and
                   8378:                                fractional in yp1 */
                   8379:   anprojmean=yp;
                   8380:   yp2=modf((yp1*12),&yp);
                   8381:   mprojmean=yp;
                   8382:   yp1=modf((yp2*30.5),&yp);
                   8383:   jprojmean=yp;
                   8384:   if(jprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8385:   if(mprojmean==0) jprojmean=1;
                   8386:   
                   8387:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8388:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8389:   
                   8390:   fprintf(ficresfb,"# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.268     brouard  8391:   printf("# Mean day of interviews %.lf/%.lf/%.lf (%.2f) between %.2f and %.2f \n",jprojmean,mprojmean,anprojmean,dateintmean,dateprev1,dateprev2);
1.267     brouard  8392:   
                   8393:   fprintf(ficresfb,"#****** Routine prevbackforecast **\n");
                   8394:   
                   8395:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8396:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8397:     if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8398:       continue;
                   8399:     if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   8400:       printf("\nCombination (%d) projection ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   8401:       continue;
                   8402:     }
1.268     brouard  8403:     fprintf(ficresfb,"\n#****** hbijx=probability over h years, hb.jx is weighted by observed prev \n#");
1.267     brouard  8404:     for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8405:       fprintf(ficresfb," V%d (=) %d",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8406:     }
                   8407:     for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8408:       fprintf(ficresf," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   8409:     }
                   8410:     fprintf(ficresfb," yearbproj age");
                   8411:     for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++){
                   8412:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
1.268     brouard  8413:        fprintf(ficresfb," b%d%d",i,j);
                   8414:       fprintf(ficresfb," b.%d",j);
1.267     brouard  8415:     }
                   8416:     for (yearp=0; yearp>=(anback2-anback1);yearp -=stepsize) {
                   8417:       /* for (yearp=0; yearp<=(anproj2-anproj1);yearp +=stepsize) {  */
                   8418:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8419:       fprintf(ficresfb,"\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp);
1.273     brouard  8420:       /* printf("\n# Back Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jback1,mback1,anback1+yearp); */
1.270     brouard  8421:       /* for (agec=bage; agec<=agemax-1; agec++){  /\* testing *\/ */
                   8422:       for (agec=bage; agec<=fage; agec++){  /* testing */
1.268     brouard  8423:        /* We compute bij at age agec over nhstepm, nhstepm decreases when agec increases because of agemax;*/
1.271     brouard  8424:        nhstepm=(int) (agec-agelim) *YEARM/stepm;/*     nhstepm=(int) rint((agec-agelim)*YEARM/stepm);*/
1.267     brouard  8425:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;
                   8426:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8427:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.268     brouard  8428:        /* computes hbxij at age agec over 1 to nhstepm */
1.271     brouard  8429:        /* printf("####prevbackforecast debug  agec=%.2f nhstepm=%d\n",agec, nhstepm);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8430:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.268     brouard  8431:        /* hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agec,hstepm,p,             nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k,nres); */
                   8432:        /* Then we print p3mat for h corresponding to the right agec+h*stepms=yearp */
                   8433:        /* printf(" agec=%.2f\n",agec);fflush(stdout); */
1.267     brouard  8434:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
1.268     brouard  8435:          if (h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ==-yearp) {
                   8436:            break;
                   8437:          }
                   8438:        }
                   8439:        fprintf(ficresfb,"\n");
                   8440:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   8441:          fprintf(ficresfb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8442:        fprintf(ficresfb,"%.f %.f ",anback1+yearp,agec-h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm);
                   8443:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate+ndeath;i++) {
                   8444:          ppij=0.;ppi=0.;
                   8445:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++) {
                   8446:            /* if (mobilav==1) */
1.269     brouard  8447:            ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8448:            ppi=ppi+prevacurrent[(int)agec][j][k];
                   8449:            /* ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
                   8450:            /* ppi=ppi+mobaverage[(int)agec][j][k]; */
1.267     brouard  8451:              /* else { */
                   8452:              /*        ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][k]; */
                   8453:              /* } */
1.268     brouard  8454:            fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   8455:          } /* end j */
                   8456:          if(ppi <0.99){
                   8457:            printf("Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8458:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error in prevbackforecast, prevalence doesn't sum to 1 for state %d: %3f\n",i, ppi);
                   8459:          }
                   8460:          fprintf(ficresfb," %.3f", ppij);
                   8461:        }/* end j */
1.267     brouard  8462:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   8463:       } /* end agec */
                   8464:     } /* end yearp */
                   8465:   } /* end k */
1.217     brouard  8466:   
1.267     brouard  8467:   /* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
1.217     brouard  8468:   
1.267     brouard  8469:   fclose(ficresfb);
                   8470:   printf("End of Computing Back forecasting \n");
                   8471:   fprintf(ficlog,"End of Computing Back forecasting\n");
1.218     brouard  8472:        
1.267     brouard  8473: }
1.217     brouard  8474: 
1.269     brouard  8475: /* Variance of prevalence limit: varprlim */
                   8476:  void varprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **prlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8477:     /*------- Variance of period (stable) prevalence------*/   
                   8478:  
                   8479:    char fileresvpl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8480:    FILE *ficresvpl;
                   8481:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8482:    double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */   
                   8483:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8484:    
                   8485:     strcpy(fileresvpl,"VPL_");
                   8486:     strcat(fileresvpl,fileresu);
                   8487:     if((ficresvpl=fopen(fileresvpl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8488:       printf("Problem with variance of period (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvpl);
                   8489:       exit(0);
                   8490:     }
                   8491:     printf("Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(stdout);
                   8492:     fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of period (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvpl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8493:     
                   8494:     /*for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){
                   8495:       for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*/
                   8496:     
                   8497:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8498:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8499: 
                   8500:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8501:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8502:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8503:        continue;
                   8504:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"\n#****** ");
                   8505:       printf("\n#****** ");
                   8506:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8507:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8508:        fprintf(ficresvpl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8509:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8510:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8511:       }
                   8512:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8513:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8514:        fprintf(ficresvpl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8515:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8516:       }        
                   8517:       fprintf(ficresvpl,"******\n");
                   8518:       printf("******\n");
                   8519:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8520:       
                   8521:       varpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8522:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8523:       varprevlim(fileresvpl, ficresvpl, varpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8524:       free_matrix(varpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8525:       /*}*/
                   8526:     }
                   8527:     
                   8528:     fclose(ficresvpl);
                   8529:     printf("done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8530:     fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of period prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8531: 
                   8532:  }
                   8533: /* Variance of back prevalence: varbprlim */
                   8534:  void varbprlim(char fileresu[], int nresult, double ***prevacurrent, int mobilavproj, double bage, double fage, double **bprlim, int *ncvyearp, double ftolpl, double p[], double **matcov, double *delti, int stepm, int cptcoveff){
                   8535:       /*------- Variance of back (stable) prevalence------*/
                   8536: 
                   8537:    char fileresvbl[FILENAMELENGTH];  
                   8538:    FILE  *ficresvbl;
                   8539: 
                   8540:    double **oldm, **savm;
                   8541:    double **varbpl; /* Variances of back prevalence limits by age */   
                   8542:    int i1, k, nres, j ;
                   8543: 
                   8544:    strcpy(fileresvbl,"VBL_");
                   8545:    strcat(fileresvbl,fileresu);
                   8546:    if((ficresvbl=fopen(fileresvbl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   8547:      printf("Problem with variance of back (stable) prevalence  resultfile: %s\n", fileresvbl);
                   8548:      exit(0);
                   8549:    }
                   8550:    printf("Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(stdout);
                   8551:    fprintf(ficlog, "Computing Variance-covariance of back (stable) prevalence: file '%s' ...", fileresvbl);fflush(ficlog);
                   8552:    
                   8553:    
                   8554:    i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   8555:    if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   8556:    
                   8557:    for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   8558:      for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
                   8559:        if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
                   8560:         continue;
                   8561:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"\n#****** ");
                   8562:        printf("\n#****** ");
                   8563:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** ");
                   8564:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   8565:         fprintf(ficresvbl,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8566:         fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8567:         printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   8568:        }
                   8569:        for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   8570:         printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8571:         fprintf(ficresvbl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8572:         fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   8573:        }
                   8574:        fprintf(ficresvbl,"******\n");
                   8575:        printf("******\n");
                   8576:        fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   8577:        
                   8578:        varbpl=matrix(1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   8579:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
                   8580:        
                   8581:        varbrevlim(fileresvbl, ficresvbl, varbpl, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, bprlim, ftolpl, mobilavproj, ncvyearp, k, strstart, nres);
                   8582:        free_matrix(varbpl,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   8583:        /*}*/
                   8584:      }
                   8585:    
                   8586:    fclose(ficresvbl);
                   8587:    printf("done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(stdout);
                   8588:    fprintf(ficlog,"done variance-covariance of back prevalence\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   8589: 
                   8590:  } /* End of varbprlim */
                   8591: 
1.126     brouard  8592: /************** Forecasting *****not tested NB*************/
1.227     brouard  8593: /* void populforecast(char fileres[], double anpyram,double mpyram,double jpyram,double ageminpar, double agemax,double dateprev1, double dateprev2s, int mobilav, double agedeb, double fage, int popforecast, char popfile[], double anpyram1,double p[], int i2){ */
1.126     brouard  8594:   
1.227     brouard  8595: /*   int cpt, stepsize, hstepm, nhstepm, j,k,c, cptcod, i,h; */
                   8596: /*   int *popage; */
                   8597: /*   double calagedatem, agelim, kk1, kk2; */
                   8598: /*   double *popeffectif,*popcount; */
                   8599: /*   double ***p3mat,***tabpop,***tabpopprev; */
                   8600: /*   /\* double ***mobaverage; *\/ */
                   8601: /*   char filerespop[FILENAMELENGTH]; */
1.126     brouard  8602: 
1.227     brouard  8603: /*   tabpop= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8604: /*   tabpopprev= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8605: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
                   8606: /*   calagedatem=(anpyram+mpyram/12.+jpyram/365.-dateintmean)*YEARM; */
1.126     brouard  8607:   
1.227     brouard  8608: /*   prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass); */
1.126     brouard  8609:   
                   8610:   
1.227     brouard  8611: /*   strcpy(filerespop,"POP_");  */
                   8612: /*   strcat(filerespop,fileresu); */
                   8613: /*   if((ficrespop=fopen(filerespop,"w"))==NULL) { */
                   8614: /*     printf("Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8615: /*     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with forecast resultfile: %s\n", filerespop); */
                   8616: /*   } */
                   8617: /*   printf("Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
                   8618: /*   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing forecasting: result on file '%s' \n", filerespop); */
1.126     brouard  8619: 
1.227     brouard  8620: /*   if (cptcoveff==0) ncodemax[cptcoveff]=1; */
1.126     brouard  8621: 
1.227     brouard  8622: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) { *\/ */
                   8623: /*   /\*   mobaverage= ma3x(1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
                   8624: /*   /\*   if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, fage, mobaverage,mobilav)!=0){ *\/ */
                   8625: /*   /\*     fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8626: /*   /\*     printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav); *\/ */
                   8627: /*   /\*   } *\/ */
                   8628: /*   /\* } *\/ */
1.126     brouard  8629: 
1.227     brouard  8630: /*   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM; */
                   8631: /*   if (stepm<=12) stepsize=1; */
1.126     brouard  8632:   
1.227     brouard  8633: /*   agelim=AGESUP; */
1.126     brouard  8634:   
1.227     brouard  8635: /*   hstepm=1; */
                   8636: /*   hstepm=hstepm/stepm;  */
1.218     brouard  8637:        
1.227     brouard  8638: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8639: /*     if((ficpop=fopen(popfile,"r"))==NULL) { */
                   8640: /*       printf("Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8641: /*       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with population file : %s\n",popfile);exit(0); */
                   8642: /*     }  */
                   8643: /*     popage=ivector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8644: /*     popeffectif=vector(0,AGESUP); */
                   8645: /*     popcount=vector(0,AGESUP); */
1.126     brouard  8646:     
1.227     brouard  8647: /*     i=1;    */
                   8648: /*     while ((c=fscanf(ficpop,"%d %lf\n",&popage[i],&popcount[i])) != EOF) i=i+1; */
1.218     brouard  8649:     
1.227     brouard  8650: /*     imx=i; */
                   8651: /*     for (i=1; i<imx;i++) popeffectif[popage[i]]=popcount[i]; */
                   8652: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8653:   
1.227     brouard  8654: /*   for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i2;cptcov++){ */
                   8655: /*     for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcoveff];cptcod++){ */
                   8656: /*       k=k+1; */
                   8657: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"\n#******"); */
                   8658: /*       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) { */
                   8659: /*     fprintf(ficrespop," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */
                   8660: /*       } */
                   8661: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"******\n"); */
                   8662: /*       fprintf(ficrespop,"# Age"); */
                   8663: /*       for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) fprintf(ficrespop," P.%d",j); */
                   8664: /*       if (popforecast==1)  fprintf(ficrespop," [Population]"); */
1.126     brouard  8665:       
1.227     brouard  8666: /*       for (cpt=0; cpt<=0;cpt++) {  */
                   8667: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
1.126     brouard  8668:        
1.227     brouard  8669: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8670: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8671: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8672:          
1.227     brouard  8673: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8674: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8675: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.218     brouard  8676:          
1.227     brouard  8677: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8678: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8679: /*           fprintf(ficrespop,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8680: /*         }  */
                   8681: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8682: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8683: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8684: /*             if (mobilav==1)  */
                   8685: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod]; */
                   8686: /*             else { */
                   8687: /*               kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agedeb+1)][i][cptcod]; */
                   8688: /*             } */
                   8689: /*           } */
                   8690: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)){ */
                   8691: /*             tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod]=kk1; */
                   8692: /*             /\*fprintf(ficrespop," %.3f", kk1); */
                   8693: /*               if (popforecast==1) fprintf(ficrespop," [%.f]", kk1*popeffectif[(int)agedeb+1]);*\/ */
                   8694: /*           } */
                   8695: /*         } */
                   8696: /*         for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){ */
                   8697: /*           kk1=0.; */
                   8698: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++){ */
                   8699: /*             kk1= kk1+tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][j][cptcod];  */
                   8700: /*           } */
                   8701: /*           tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]=tabpop[(int)(agedeb)][i][cptcod]/kk1*popeffectif[(int)(agedeb+(calagedatem+12*cpt)*hstepm/YEARM*stepm-1)]; */
                   8702: /*         } */
1.218     brouard  8703:            
1.227     brouard  8704: /*         if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) */
                   8705: /*           for(j=1; j<=nlstate;j++)  */
                   8706: /*             fprintf(ficrespop," %15.2f",tabpopprev[(int)(agedeb+1)][j][cptcod]); */
                   8707: /*       } */
                   8708: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8709: /*     } */
                   8710: /*       } */
1.218     brouard  8711:       
1.227     brouard  8712: /*       /\******\/ */
1.218     brouard  8713:       
1.227     brouard  8714: /*       for (cpt=1; cpt<=(anpyram1-anpyram);cpt++) {  */
                   8715: /*     fprintf(ficrespop,"\n\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jpyram,mpyram,anpyram+cpt);    */
                   8716: /*     for (agedeb=(fage-((int)calagedatem %12/12.)); agedeb>=(ageminpar-((int)calagedatem %12)/12.); agedeb--){  */
                   8717: /*       nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm);  */
                   8718: /*       nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm;  */
1.126     brouard  8719:          
1.227     brouard  8720: /*       p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8721: /*       oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   8722: /*       hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
                   8723: /*       for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){ */
                   8724: /*         if (h==(int) (calagedatem+YEARM*cpt)) { */
                   8725: /*           fprintf(ficresf,"\n %3.f ",agedeb+h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm); */
                   8726: /*         }  */
                   8727: /*         for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { */
                   8728: /*           kk1=0.;kk2=0; */
                   8729: /*           for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) {               */
                   8730: /*             kk1=kk1+p3mat[i][j][h]*tabpopprev[(int)agedeb+1][i][cptcod];     */
                   8731: /*           } */
                   8732: /*           if (h==(int)(calagedatem+12*cpt)) fprintf(ficresf," %15.2f", kk1);         */
                   8733: /*         } */
                   8734: /*       } */
                   8735: /*       free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); */
                   8736: /*     } */
                   8737: /*       } */
                   8738: /*     }  */
                   8739: /*   } */
1.218     brouard  8740:   
1.227     brouard  8741: /*   /\* if (mobilav!=0) free_ma3x(mobaverage,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8742:   
1.227     brouard  8743: /*   if (popforecast==1) { */
                   8744: /*     free_ivector(popage,0,AGESUP); */
                   8745: /*     free_vector(popeffectif,0,AGESUP); */
                   8746: /*     free_vector(popcount,0,AGESUP); */
                   8747: /*   } */
                   8748: /*   free_ma3x(tabpop,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8749: /*   free_ma3x(tabpopprev,1, AGESUP,1,NCOVMAX, 1,NCOVMAX); */
                   8750: /*   fclose(ficrespop); */
                   8751: /* } /\* End of popforecast *\/ */
1.218     brouard  8752:  
1.126     brouard  8753: int fileappend(FILE *fichier, char *optionfich)
                   8754: {
                   8755:   if((fichier=fopen(optionfich,"a"))==NULL) {
                   8756:     printf("Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8757:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with file: %s\n", optionfich);
                   8758:     return (0);
                   8759:   }
                   8760:   fflush(fichier);
                   8761:   return (1);
                   8762: }
                   8763: 
                   8764: 
                   8765: /**************** function prwizard **********************/
                   8766: void prwizard(int ncovmodel, int nlstate, int ndeath,  char model[], FILE *ficparo)
                   8767: {
                   8768: 
                   8769:   /* Wizard to print covariance matrix template */
                   8770: 
1.164     brouard  8771:   char ca[32], cb[32];
                   8772:   int i,j, k, li, lj, lk, ll, jj, npar, itimes;
1.126     brouard  8773:   int numlinepar;
                   8774: 
                   8775:   printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8776:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   8777:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8778:     jj=0;
                   8779:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8780:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8781:       jj++;
                   8782:       /*ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';*/
                   8783:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8784:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8785:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8786:        /*        printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8787:        /*        fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]); */
                   8788:        printf(" 0.");
                   8789:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8790:       }
                   8791:       printf("\n");
                   8792:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8793:     }
                   8794:   }
                   8795:   printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8796:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   8797:   npar= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters*/ 
                   8798:   for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8799:     jj=0;
                   8800:     for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8801:       if(j==i) continue;
                   8802:       jj++;
                   8803:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8804:       printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   8805:       fflush(stdout);
                   8806:       for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8807:        /*      printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8808:        /*      fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]); */
                   8809:        printf(" 0.");
                   8810:        fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8811:       }
                   8812:       numlinepar++;
                   8813:       printf("\n");
                   8814:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8815:     }
                   8816:   }
                   8817:   printf("# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8818: /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8819: /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8820: /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   8821: /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   8822: /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   8823: /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   8824: /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   8825: /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8826:   fflush(stdout);
                   8827:   fprintf(ficparo,"# Covariance matrix\n");
                   8828:   /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   8829:   /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   8830:   /* #   ...\n\ */
                   8831:   /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   8832:   
                   8833:   for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   8834:     jj=0;
                   8835:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   8836:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   8837:        if(j==i) continue;
                   8838:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   8839:          jj++;
                   8840:          ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   8841:          if(itimes==1){
                   8842:            printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8843:            fprintf(ficparo,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8844:          }else{
                   8845:            printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8846:            fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   8847:            /*  printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]); */
                   8848:          }
                   8849:          ll=0;
                   8850:          for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   8851:            for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   8852:              if(lj==li) continue;
                   8853:              for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   8854:                ll++;
                   8855:                if(ll<=jj){
                   8856:                  cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   8857:                  if(ll<jj){
                   8858:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8859:                      printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8860:                      fprintf(ficparo," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   8861:                    }else{
                   8862:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8863:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8864:                    }
                   8865:                  }else{
                   8866:                    if(itimes==1){
                   8867:                      printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8868:                      fprintf(ficparo," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   8869:                    }else{
                   8870:                      printf(" 0.");
                   8871:                      fprintf(ficparo," 0.");
                   8872:                    }
                   8873:                  }
                   8874:                }
                   8875:              } /* end lk */
                   8876:            } /* end lj */
                   8877:          } /* end li */
                   8878:          printf("\n");
                   8879:          fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   8880:          numlinepar++;
                   8881:        } /* end k*/
                   8882:       } /*end j */
                   8883:     } /* end i */
                   8884:   } /* end itimes */
                   8885: 
                   8886: } /* end of prwizard */
                   8887: /******************* Gompertz Likelihood ******************************/
                   8888: double gompertz(double x[])
                   8889: { 
                   8890:   double A,B,L=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8891:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8892: 
1.220     brouard  8893:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++) {
1.126     brouard  8894:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8895:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8896:     num=num+1;
                   8897:   }
                   8898:  
                   8899:  
                   8900:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8901:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8902: 
                   8903:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8904:     {
                   8905:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8906:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8907:       
                   8908:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8909:        A=-x[1]/(x[2])*(exp(x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[2]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8910:             +log(x[1]/YEARM)+x[2]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8911:       
                   8912:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8913:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8914:        L=L+A*weight[i];
                   8915:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8916:       }
                   8917:     }
                   8918: 
                   8919:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8920:  
                   8921:   return -2*L*num/sump;
                   8922: }
                   8923: 
1.136     brouard  8924: #ifdef GSL
                   8925: /******************* Gompertz_f Likelihood ******************************/
                   8926: double gompertz_f(const gsl_vector *v, void *params)
                   8927: { 
                   8928:   double A,B,LL=0.0,sump=0.,num=0.;
                   8929:   double *x= (double *) v->data;
                   8930:   int i,n=0; /* n is the size of the sample */
                   8931: 
                   8932:   for (i=0;i<=imx-1 ; i++) {
                   8933:     sump=sump+weight[i];
                   8934:     /*    sump=sump+1;*/
                   8935:     num=num+1;
                   8936:   }
                   8937:  
                   8938:  
                   8939:   /* for (i=0; i<=imx; i++) 
                   8940:      if (wav[i]>0) printf("i=%d ageex=%lf agecens=%lf agedc=%lf cens=%d %d\n" ,i,ageexmed[i],agecens[i],agedc[i],cens[i],wav[i]);*/
                   8941:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf\n",x[0],x[1]);
                   8942:   for (i=1;i<=imx ; i++)
                   8943:     {
                   8944:       if (cens[i] == 1 && wav[i]>1)
                   8945:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agecens[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)));
                   8946:       
                   8947:       if (cens[i] == 0 && wav[i]>1)
                   8948:        A=-x[0]/(x[1])*(exp(x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp))-exp(x[1]*(ageexmed[i]-agegomp)))
                   8949:             +log(x[0]/YEARM)+x[1]*(agedc[i]-agegomp)+log(YEARM);  
                   8950:       
                   8951:       /*if (wav[i] > 1 && agecens[i] > 15) {*/ /* ??? */
                   8952:       if (wav[i] > 1 ) { /* ??? */
                   8953:        LL=LL+A*weight[i];
                   8954:        /*      printf("\ni=%d A=%f L=%lf x[1]=%lf x[2]=%lf ageex=%lf agecens=%lf cens=%d agedc=%lf weight=%lf\n",i,A,L,x[1],x[2],ageexmed[i]*12,agecens[i]*12,cens[i],agedc[i]*12,weight[i]);*/
                   8955:       }
                   8956:     }
                   8957: 
                   8958:  /*printf("x1=%2.9f x2=%2.9f x3=%2.9f L=%f\n",x[1],x[2],x[3],L);*/
                   8959:   printf("x[0]=%lf x[1]=%lf -2*LL*num/sump=%lf\n",x[0],x[1],-2*LL*num/sump);
                   8960:  
                   8961:   return -2*LL*num/sump;
                   8962: }
                   8963: #endif
                   8964: 
1.126     brouard  8965: /******************* Printing html file ***********/
1.201     brouard  8966: void printinghtmlmort(char fileresu[], char title[], char datafile[], int firstpass, \
1.126     brouard  8967:                  int lastpass, int stepm, int weightopt, char model[],\
                   8968:                  int imx,  double p[],double **matcov,double agemortsup){
                   8969:   int i,k;
                   8970: 
                   8971:   fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Result files </h4>\n Force of mortality. Parameters of the Gompertz fit (with confidence interval in brackets):<br>");
                   8972:   fprintf(fichtm,"  mu(age) =%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d)) per year<br><br>",p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   8973:   for (i=1;i<=2;i++) 
                   8974:     fprintf(fichtm," p[%d] = %lf [%f ; %f]<br>\n",i,p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.199     brouard  8975:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br><br><img src=\"graphmort.svg\">");
1.126     brouard  8976:   fprintf(fichtm,"</ul>");
                   8977: 
                   8978: fprintf(fichtm,"<ul><li><h4>Life table</h4>\n <br>");
                   8979: 
                   8980:  fprintf(fichtm,"\nAge   l<inf>x</inf>     q<inf>x</inf> d(x,x+1)    L<inf>x</inf>     T<inf>x</inf>     e<infx</inf><br>");
                   8981: 
                   8982:  for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   8983:    fprintf(fichtm,"%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf<br>\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   8984: 
                   8985:  
                   8986:   fflush(fichtm);
                   8987: }
                   8988: 
                   8989: /******************* Gnuplot file **************/
1.201     brouard  8990: void printinggnuplotmort(char fileresu[], char optionfilefiname[], double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double fage , char pathc[], double p[]){
1.126     brouard  8991: 
                   8992:   char dirfileres[132],optfileres[132];
1.164     brouard  8993: 
1.126     brouard  8994:   int ng;
                   8995: 
                   8996: 
                   8997:   /*#ifdef windows */
                   8998:   fprintf(ficgp,"cd \"%s\" \n",pathc);
                   8999:     /*#endif */
                   9000: 
                   9001: 
                   9002:   strcpy(dirfileres,optionfilefiname);
                   9003:   strcpy(optfileres,"vpl");
1.199     brouard  9004:   fprintf(ficgp,"set out \"graphmort.svg\"\n "); 
1.126     brouard  9005:   fprintf(ficgp,"set xlabel \"Age\"\n set ylabel \"Force of mortality (per year)\" \n "); 
1.199     brouard  9006:   fprintf(ficgp, "set ter svg size 640, 480\n set log y\n"); 
1.145     brouard  9007:   /* fprintf(ficgp, "set size 0.65,0.65\n"); */
1.126     brouard  9008:   fprintf(ficgp,"plot [%d:100] %lf*exp(%lf*(x-%d))",agegomp,p[1],p[2],agegomp);
                   9009: 
                   9010: } 
                   9011: 
1.136     brouard  9012: int readdata(char datafile[], int firstobs, int lastobs, int *imax)
                   9013: {
1.126     brouard  9014: 
1.136     brouard  9015:   /*-------- data file ----------*/
                   9016:   FILE *fic;
                   9017:   char dummy[]="                         ";
1.240     brouard  9018:   int i=0, j=0, n=0, iv=0, v;
1.223     brouard  9019:   int lstra;
1.136     brouard  9020:   int linei, month, year,iout;
                   9021:   char line[MAXLINE], linetmp[MAXLINE];
1.164     brouard  9022:   char stra[MAXLINE], strb[MAXLINE];
1.136     brouard  9023:   char *stratrunc;
1.223     brouard  9024: 
1.240     brouard  9025:   DummyV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
                   9026:   FixedV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* 1 to 3 */
1.126     brouard  9027: 
1.240     brouard  9028:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol;v++){
                   9029:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9030:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9031:   }
                   9032:   for(v=ncovcol+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv;v++){
                   9033:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9034:     FixedV[v]=0;
                   9035:   }
                   9036:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv;v++){
                   9037:     DummyV[v]=0;
                   9038:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9039:   }
                   9040:   for(v=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9041:     DummyV[v]=1;
                   9042:     FixedV[v]=1;
                   9043:   }
                   9044:   for(v=1; v <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv;v++){
                   9045:     printf("Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9046:     fprintf(ficlog,"Covariate type in the data: V%d, DummyV(V%d)=%d, FixedV(V%d)=%d\n",v,v,DummyV[v],v,FixedV[v]);
                   9047:   }
1.126     brouard  9048: 
1.136     brouard  9049:   if((fic=fopen(datafile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.218     brouard  9050:     printf("Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(stdout);
                   9051:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem while opening datafile: %s with errno='%s'\n", datafile,strerror(errno));fflush(ficlog);return 1;
1.136     brouard  9052:   }
1.126     brouard  9053: 
1.136     brouard  9054:   i=1;
                   9055:   linei=0;
                   9056:   while ((fgets(line, MAXLINE, fic) != NULL) &&((i >= firstobs) && (i <=lastobs))) {
                   9057:     linei=linei+1;
                   9058:     for(j=strlen(line); j>=0;j--){  /* Untabifies line */
                   9059:       if(line[j] == '\t')
                   9060:        line[j] = ' ';
                   9061:     }
                   9062:     for(j=strlen(line)-1; (line[j]==' ')||(line[j]==10)||(line[j]==13);j--){
                   9063:       ;
                   9064:     };
                   9065:     line[j+1]=0;  /* Trims blanks at end of line */
                   9066:     if(line[0]=='#'){
                   9067:       fprintf(ficlog,"Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9068:       printf("Comment line\n%s\n",line);
                   9069:       continue;
                   9070:     }
                   9071:     trimbb(linetmp,line); /* Trims multiple blanks in line */
1.164     brouard  9072:     strcpy(line, linetmp);
1.223     brouard  9073:     
                   9074:     /* Loops on waves */
                   9075:     for (j=maxwav;j>=1;j--){
                   9076:       for (iv=nqtv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying quantitative variables */
1.238     brouard  9077:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9078:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9079:          lval=-1;
                   9080:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=-1; /* 0.0/0.0 */
                   9081:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=-1; /* For performance reasons */
                   9082:          if(isalpha(strb[1])) { /* .m or .d Really Missing value */
                   9083:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);
                   9084:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. If missing, you should remove this individual or impute a value.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9085:            return 1;
                   9086:          }
                   9087:        }else{
                   9088:          errno=0;
                   9089:          /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9090:          dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9091:          /* if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){ */
                   9092:          /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9093:          /*    dval=dlval; */
                   9094:          /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9095:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9096:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);
                   9097:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqtv, j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9098:            return 1;
                   9099:          }
                   9100:          cotqvar[j][iv][i]=dval; 
                   9101:          cotvar[j][ntv+iv][i]=dval; 
                   9102:        }
                   9103:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9104:       }/* end loop ntqv */
1.225     brouard  9105:       
1.223     brouard  9106:       for (iv=ntv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on time varying dummies */
1.238     brouard  9107:        cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9108:        if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
                   9109:          lval=-1;
                   9110:        }else{
                   9111:          errno=0;
                   9112:          lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9113:          /*    if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9114:          if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9115:            printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th dummy covariate out of %d measured at wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv, j,maxwav);
                   9116:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d dummy covariate out of %d measured wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,iv, ntv,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9117:            return 1;
                   9118:          }
                   9119:        }
                   9120:        if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
                   9121:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9122:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9123:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9124:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9125:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9126:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9127:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9128:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9129:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.238     brouard  9130:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.223     brouard  9131:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9132:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.238     brouard  9133:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9134:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9135:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.223     brouard  9136:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.238     brouard  9137:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.223     brouard  9138:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  9139:          return 1;
                   9140:        }
                   9141:        cotvar[j][iv][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9142:        strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9143:       }/* end loop ntv */
1.225     brouard  9144:       
1.223     brouard  9145:       /* Statuses  at wave */
1.137     brouard  9146:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
1.223     brouard  9147:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.238     brouard  9148:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9149:       }else{
1.238     brouard  9150:        errno=0;
                   9151:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9152:        /*      if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN))*/
                   9153:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9154:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);
                   9155:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a status of wave %d. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line,j,maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9156:          return 1;
                   9157:        }
1.136     brouard  9158:       }
1.225     brouard  9159:       
1.136     brouard  9160:       s[j][i]=lval;
1.225     brouard  9161:       
1.223     brouard  9162:       /* Date of Interview */
1.136     brouard  9163:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9164:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' ');
1.169     brouard  9165:       if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9166:       }
1.169     brouard  9167:       else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.225     brouard  9168:        month=99;
                   9169:        year=9999;
1.136     brouard  9170:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9171:        printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);
                   9172:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of interview (mm/yyyy or .) at wave %d.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i, line,j);fflush(ficlog);
                   9173:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9174:       }
                   9175:       anint[j][i]= (double) year; 
                   9176:       mint[j][i]= (double)month; 
                   9177:       strcpy(line,stra);
1.223     brouard  9178:     } /* End loop on waves */
1.225     brouard  9179:     
1.223     brouard  9180:     /* Date of death */
1.136     brouard  9181:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9182:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9183:     }
1.169     brouard  9184:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.",dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9185:       month=99;
                   9186:       year=9999;
                   9187:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9188:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
1.225     brouard  9189:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of death (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9190:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9191:     }
                   9192:     andc[i]=(double) year; 
                   9193:     moisdc[i]=(double) month; 
                   9194:     strcpy(line,stra);
                   9195:     
1.223     brouard  9196:     /* Date of birth */
1.136     brouard  9197:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.169     brouard  9198:     if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%d/%d",&month, &year)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9199:     }
1.169     brouard  9200:     else  if( (iout=sscanf(strb,"%s.", dummy)) != 0){
1.136     brouard  9201:       month=99;
                   9202:       year=9999;
                   9203:     }else{
1.141     brouard  9204:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9205:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy or .).  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9206:       return 1;
1.136     brouard  9207:     }
                   9208:     if (year==9999) {
1.141     brouard  9209:       printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given.  Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);
                   9210:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a date of birth (mm/yyyy) but at least the year of birth should be given. Exiting.\n",strb, linei,i,line);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9211:       return 1;
                   9212:       
1.136     brouard  9213:     }
                   9214:     annais[i]=(double)(year);
                   9215:     moisnais[i]=(double)(month); 
                   9216:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9217:     
1.223     brouard  9218:     /* Sample weight */
1.136     brouard  9219:     cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
                   9220:     errno=0;
                   9221:     dval=strtod(strb,&endptr); 
                   9222:     if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
1.141     brouard  9223:       printf("Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
                   9224:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%f' at line number %d, \"%s\" for individual %d\nShould be a weight.  Exiting.\n",dval, i,line,linei);
1.136     brouard  9225:       fflush(ficlog);
                   9226:       return 1;
                   9227:     }
                   9228:     weight[i]=dval; 
                   9229:     strcpy(line,stra);
1.225     brouard  9230:     
1.223     brouard  9231:     for (iv=nqv;iv>=1;iv--){  /* Loop  on fixed quantitative variables */
                   9232:       cutv(stra, strb, line, ' '); 
                   9233:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing value */
1.225     brouard  9234:        lval=-1;
1.223     brouard  9235:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9236:        errno=0;
                   9237:        /* what_kind_of_number(strb); */
                   9238:        dval=strtod(strb,&endptr);
                   9239:        /* if(strb != endptr && *endptr == '\0') */
                   9240:        /*   dval=dlval; */
                   9241:        /* if (errno == ERANGE && (lval == LONG_MAX || lval == LONG_MIN)) */
                   9242:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9243:          printf("Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);
                   9244:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%s' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be the %d th quantitative value (out of %d) constant for all waves. Setting maxwav=%d might be wrong.  Exiting.\n", strb, linei,i,line, iv, nqv, maxwav);fflush(ficlog);
                   9245:          return 1;
                   9246:        }
                   9247:        coqvar[iv][i]=dval; 
1.226     brouard  9248:        covar[ncovcol+iv][i]=dval; /* including qvar in standard covar for performance reasons */ 
1.223     brouard  9249:       }
                   9250:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9251:     }/* end loop nqv */
1.136     brouard  9252:     
1.223     brouard  9253:     /* Covariate values */
1.136     brouard  9254:     for (j=ncovcol;j>=1;j--){
                   9255:       cutv(stra, strb,line,' '); 
1.223     brouard  9256:       if(strb[0]=='.') { /* Missing covariate value */
1.225     brouard  9257:        lval=-1;
1.136     brouard  9258:       }else{
1.225     brouard  9259:        errno=0;
                   9260:        lval=strtol(strb,&endptr,10); 
                   9261:        if( strb[0]=='\0' || (*endptr != '\0')){
                   9262:          printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);
                   9263:          fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\nShould be a covariate value (=0 for the reference or 1 for alternative).  Exiting.\n",lval, linei,i, line);fflush(ficlog);
                   9264:          return 1;
                   9265:        }
1.136     brouard  9266:       }
                   9267:       if(lval <-1 || lval >1){
1.225     brouard  9268:        printf("Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9269:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9270:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9271:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9272:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9273:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9274:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9275:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9276:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);
1.225     brouard  9277:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error reading data around '%ld' at line number %d for individual %d, '%s'\n \
1.136     brouard  9278:  Should be a value of %d(nth) covariate (0 should be the value for the reference and 1\n \
                   9279:  for the alternative. IMaCh does not build design variables automatically, do it yourself.\n \
1.225     brouard  9280:  For example, for multinomial values like 1, 2 and 3,\n                        \
                   9281:  build V1=0 V2=0 for the reference value (1),\n                                \
                   9282:         V1=1 V2=0 for (2) \n                                           \
1.136     brouard  9283:  and V1=0 V2=1 for (3). V1=1 V2=1 should not exist and the corresponding\n \
1.225     brouard  9284:  output of IMaCh is often meaningless.\n                               \
1.136     brouard  9285:  Exiting.\n",lval,linei, i,line,j);fflush(ficlog);
1.225     brouard  9286:        return 1;
1.136     brouard  9287:       }
                   9288:       covar[j][i]=(double)(lval);
                   9289:       strcpy(line,stra);
                   9290:     }  
                   9291:     lstra=strlen(stra);
1.225     brouard  9292:     
1.136     brouard  9293:     if(lstra > 9){ /* More than 2**32 or max of what printf can write with %ld */
                   9294:       stratrunc = &(stra[lstra-9]);
                   9295:       num[i]=atol(stratrunc);
                   9296:     }
                   9297:     else
                   9298:       num[i]=atol(stra);
                   9299:     /*if((s[2][i]==2) && (s[3][i]==-1)&&(s[4][i]==9)){
                   9300:       printf("%ld %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]),weight[i], (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]),  (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]),  (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]),  (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i])); ij=ij+1;}*/
                   9301:     
                   9302:     i=i+1;
                   9303:   } /* End loop reading  data */
1.225     brouard  9304:   
1.136     brouard  9305:   *imax=i-1; /* Number of individuals */
                   9306:   fclose(fic);
1.225     brouard  9307:   
1.136     brouard  9308:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  9309:   /* endread: */
1.225     brouard  9310:   printf("Exiting readdata: ");
                   9311:   fclose(fic);
                   9312:   return (1);
1.223     brouard  9313: }
1.126     brouard  9314: 
1.234     brouard  9315: void removefirstspace(char **stri){/*, char stro[]) {*/
1.230     brouard  9316:   char *p1 = *stri, *p2 = *stri;
1.235     brouard  9317:   while (*p2 == ' ')
1.234     brouard  9318:     p2++; 
                   9319:   /* while ((*p1++ = *p2++) !=0) */
                   9320:   /*   ; */
                   9321:   /* do */
                   9322:   /*   while (*p2 == ' ') */
                   9323:   /*     p2++; */
                   9324:   /* while (*p1++ == *p2++); */
                   9325:   *stri=p2; 
1.145     brouard  9326: }
                   9327: 
1.235     brouard  9328: int decoderesult ( char resultline[], int nres)
1.230     brouard  9329: /**< This routine decode one result line and returns the combination # of dummy covariates only **/
                   9330: {
1.235     brouard  9331:   int j=0, k=0, k1=0, k2=0, k3=0, k4=0, match=0, k2q=0, k3q=0, k4q=0;
1.230     brouard  9332:   char resultsav[MAXLINE];
1.234     brouard  9333:   int resultmodel[MAXLINE];
                   9334:   int modelresult[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  9335:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
                   9336: 
1.234     brouard  9337:   removefirstspace(&resultline);
1.233     brouard  9338:   printf("decoderesult:%s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  9339: 
                   9340:   if (strstr(resultline,"v") !=0){
                   9341:     printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' result: %s ",resultline);
                   9342:     fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case result: %s ",resultline);fflush(ficlog);
                   9343:     return 1;
                   9344:   }
                   9345:   trimbb(resultsav, resultline);
                   9346:   if (strlen(resultsav) >1){
                   9347:     j=nbocc(resultsav,'='); /**< j=Number of covariate values'=' */
                   9348:   }
1.253     brouard  9349:   if(j == 0){ /* Resultline but no = */
                   9350:     TKresult[nres]=0; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
                   9351:     return (0);
                   9352:   }
                   9353:     
1.234     brouard  9354:   if( j != cptcovs ){ /* Be careful if a variable is in a product but not single */
                   9355:     printf("ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9356:     fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: the number of variable in the resultline, %d, differs from the number of variable used in the model line, %d.\n",j, cptcovs);
                   9357:   }
                   9358:   for(k=1; k<=j;k++){ /* Loop on any covariate of the result line */
                   9359:     if(nbocc(resultsav,'=') >1){
                   9360:        cutl(stra,strb,resultsav,' '); /* keeps in strb after the first ' ' 
                   9361:                                      resultsav= V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0 strb=V3=0 stra= V4=1 V5=25.1 */
                   9362:        cutl(strc,strd,strb,'=');  /* strb:V4=1 strc=1 strd=V4 */
                   9363:     }else
                   9364:       cutl(strc,strd,resultsav,'=');
1.230     brouard  9365:     Tvalsel[k]=atof(strc); /* 1 */
1.234     brouard  9366:     
1.230     brouard  9367:     cutl(strc,stre,strd,'V'); /* strd='V4' strc=4 stre='V' */;
                   9368:     Tvarsel[k]=atoi(strc);
                   9369:     /* Typevarsel[k]=1;  /\* 1 for age product *\/ */
                   9370:     /* cptcovsel++;     */
                   9371:     if (nbocc(stra,'=') >0)
                   9372:       strcpy(resultsav,stra); /* and analyzes it */
                   9373:   }
1.235     brouard  9374:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
1.236     brouard  9375:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9376:     if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single covariate in model */
1.234     brouard  9377:       match=0;
1.236     brouard  9378:       for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){/* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.237     brouard  9379:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) {/* Tvar[1]=5 == Tvarsel[2]=5   */
1.236     brouard  9380:          modelresult[k2]=k1;/* modelresult[2]=1 modelresult[1]=2  modelresult[3]=3  modelresult[6]=4 modelresult[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9381:          match=1;
                   9382:          break;
                   9383:        }
                   9384:       }
                   9385:       if(match == 0){
                   9386:        printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9387:       }
                   9388:     }
                   9389:   }
1.235     brouard  9390:   /* Checking for missing or useless values in comparison of current model needs */
                   9391:   for(k2=1; k2 <=j;k2++){ /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
1.234     brouard  9392:     match=0;
1.235     brouard  9393:     for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt ;k1++){ /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9394:       if(Typevar[k1]==0){ /* Single */
1.237     brouard  9395:        if(Tvar[k1]==Tvarsel[k2]) { /* Tvar[2]=4 == Tvarsel[1]=4   */
1.235     brouard  9396:          resultmodel[k1]=k2;  /* resultmodel[2]=1 resultmodel[1]=2  resultmodel[3]=3  resultmodel[6]=4 resultmodel[9]=5 */
1.234     brouard  9397:          ++match;
                   9398:        }
                   9399:       }
                   9400:     }
                   9401:     if(match == 0){
                   9402:       printf("Error in result line: %d value missing; result: %s, model=%s\n",k1, resultline, model);
                   9403:     }else if(match > 1){
                   9404:       printf("Error in result line: %d doubled; result: %s, model=%s\n",k2, resultline, model);
                   9405:     }
                   9406:   }
1.235     brouard  9407:       
1.234     brouard  9408:   /* We need to deduce which combination number is chosen and save quantitative values */
1.235     brouard  9409:   /* model line V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9410:   /* result line V4=1 V5=25.1 V3=0  V2=8 V1=1 */
                   9411:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 5 + (1offset) = 6*/
                   9412:   /* result line V4=1 V5=24.1 V3=1  V2=8 V1=0 */
                   9413:   /* should give a combination of dummy V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 => V4*2**(0) + V3*2**(1) + V1*2**(2) = 3 + (1offset) = 4*/
                   9414:   /*    1 0 0 0 */
                   9415:   /*    2 1 0 0 */
                   9416:   /*    3 0 1 0 */ 
                   9417:   /*    4 1 1 0 */ /* V4=1, V3=1, V1=0 */
                   9418:   /*    5 0 0 1 */
                   9419:   /*    6 1 0 1 */ /* V4=1, V3=0, V1=1 */
                   9420:   /*    7 0 1 1 */
                   9421:   /*    8 1 1 1 */
1.237     brouard  9422:   /* V(Tvresult)=Tresult V4=1 V3=0 V1=1 Tresult[nres=1][2]=0 */
                   9423:   /* V(Tvqresult)=Tqresult V5=25.1 V2=8 Tqresult[nres=1][1]=25.1 */
                   9424:   /* V5*age V5 known which value for nres?  */
                   9425:   /* Tqinvresult[2]=8 Tqinvresult[1]=25.1  */
1.235     brouard  9426:   for(k1=1, k=0, k4=0, k4q=0; k1 <=cptcovt;k1++){ /* model line */
                   9427:     if( Dummy[k1]==0 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single dummy */
1.237     brouard  9428:       k3= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2(V4)] = 1=k3 */
1.235     brouard  9429:       k2=(int)Tvarsel[k3]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
                   9430:       k+=Tvalsel[k3]*pow(2,k4);  /*  Tvalsel[1]=1  */
1.237     brouard  9431:       Tresult[nres][k4+1]=Tvalsel[k3];/* Tresult[nres][1]=1(V4=1)  Tresult[nres][2]=0(V3=0) */
                   9432:       Tvresult[nres][k4+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3];/* Tvresult[nres][1]=4 Tvresult[nres][3]=1 */
                   9433:       Tinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3]]=Tvalsel[k3]; /* Tinvresult[nres][4]=1 */
1.235     brouard  9434:       printf("Decoderesult Dummy k=%d, V(k2=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, 2**(%d)\n",k, k2, k3, (int)Tvalsel[k3], k4);
                   9435:       k4++;;
                   9436:     }  else if( Dummy[k1]==1 && Typevar[k1]==0 ){ /* Single quantitative */
                   9437:       k3q= resultmodel[k1]; /* resultmodel[2] = 1=k3 */
                   9438:       k2q=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /*  Tvarsel[resultmodel[2]]= Tvarsel[1] = 4=k2 */
1.237     brouard  9439:       Tqresult[nres][k4q+1]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqresult[nres][1]=25.1 */
                   9440:       Tvqresult[nres][k4q+1]=(int)Tvarsel[k3q]; /* Tvqresult[nres][1]=5 */
                   9441:       Tqinvresult[nres][(int)Tvarsel[k3q]]=Tvalsel[k3q]; /* Tqinvresult[nres][5]=25.1 */
1.235     brouard  9442:       printf("Decoderesult Quantitative nres=%d, V(k2q=V%d)= Tvalsel[%d]=%d, Tvarsel[%d]=%f\n",nres, k2q, k3q, Tvarsel[k3q], k3q, Tvalsel[k3q]);
                   9443:       k4q++;;
                   9444:     }
                   9445:   }
1.234     brouard  9446:   
1.235     brouard  9447:   TKresult[nres]=++k; /* Combination for the nresult and the model */
1.230     brouard  9448:   return (0);
                   9449: }
1.235     brouard  9450: 
1.230     brouard  9451: int decodemodel( char model[], int lastobs)
                   9452:  /**< This routine decodes the model and returns:
1.224     brouard  9453:        * Model  V1+V2+V3+V8+V7*V8+V5*V6+V8*age+V3*age+age*age
                   9454:        * - nagesqr = 1 if age*age in the model, otherwise 0.
                   9455:        * - cptcovt total number of covariates of the model nbocc(+)+1 = 8 excepting constant and age and age*age
                   9456:        * - cptcovn or number of covariates k of the models excluding age*products =6 and age*age
                   9457:        * - cptcovage number of covariates with age*products =2
                   9458:        * - cptcovs number of simple covariates
                   9459:        * - Tvar[k] is the id of the kth covariate Tvar[1]@12 {1, 2, 3, 8, 10, 11, 8, 3, 7, 8, 5, 6}, thus Tvar[5=V7*V8]=10
                   9460:        *     which is a new column after the 9 (ncovcol) variables. 
                   9461:        * - if k is a product Vn*Vm covar[k][i] is filled with correct values for each individual
                   9462:        * - Tprod[l] gives the kth covariates of the product Vn*Vm l=1 to cptcovprod-cptcovage
                   9463:        *    Tprod[1]@2 {5, 6}: position of first product V7*V8 is 5, and second V5*V6 is 6.
                   9464:        * - Tvard[k]  p Tvard[1][1]@4 {7, 8, 5, 6} for V7*V8 and V5*V6 .
                   9465:        */
1.136     brouard  9466: {
1.238     brouard  9467:   int i, j, k, ks, v;
1.227     brouard  9468:   int  j1, k1, k2, k3, k4;
1.136     brouard  9469:   char modelsav[80];
1.145     brouard  9470:   char stra[80], strb[80], strc[80], strd[80],stre[80];
1.187     brouard  9471:   char *strpt;
1.136     brouard  9472: 
1.145     brouard  9473:   /*removespace(model);*/
1.136     brouard  9474:   if (strlen(model) >1){ /* If there is at least 1 covariate */
1.145     brouard  9475:     j=0, j1=0, k1=0, k2=-1, ks=0, cptcovn=0;
1.137     brouard  9476:     if (strstr(model,"AGE") !=0){
1.192     brouard  9477:       printf("Error. AGE must be in lower case 'age' model=1+age+%s. ",model);
                   9478:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. AGE must be in lower case model=1+age+%s. ",model);fflush(ficlog);
1.136     brouard  9479:       return 1;
                   9480:     }
1.141     brouard  9481:     if (strstr(model,"v") !=0){
                   9482:       printf("Error. 'v' must be in upper case 'V' model=%s ",model);
                   9483:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error. 'v' must be in upper case model=%s ",model);fflush(ficlog);
                   9484:       return 1;
                   9485:     }
1.187     brouard  9486:     strcpy(modelsav,model); 
                   9487:     if ((strpt=strstr(model,"age*age")) !=0){
                   9488:       printf(" strpt=%s, model=%s\n",strpt, model);
                   9489:       if(strpt != model){
1.234     brouard  9490:        printf("Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9491:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9492:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model);
1.234     brouard  9493:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error in model: 'model=%s'; 'age*age' should in first place before other covariates\n \
1.192     brouard  9494:  'model=1+age+age*age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age.', please swap as well as \n \
1.187     brouard  9495:  corresponding column of parameters.\n",model); fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  9496:        return 1;
1.225     brouard  9497:       }
1.187     brouard  9498:       nagesqr=1;
                   9499:       if (strstr(model,"+age*age") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9500:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "+age*age");
1.187     brouard  9501:       else if (strstr(model,"age*age+") !=0)
1.234     brouard  9502:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age+");
1.187     brouard  9503:       else 
1.234     brouard  9504:        substrchaine(modelsav, model, "age*age");
1.187     brouard  9505:     }else
                   9506:       nagesqr=0;
                   9507:     if (strlen(modelsav) >1){
                   9508:       j=nbocc(modelsav,'+'); /**< j=Number of '+' */
                   9509:       j1=nbocc(modelsav,'*'); /**< j1=Number of '*' */
1.224     brouard  9510:       cptcovs=j+1-j1; /**<  Number of simple covariates V1+V1*age+V3 +V3*V4+age*age=> V1 + V3 =5-3=2  */
1.187     brouard  9511:       cptcovt= j+1; /* Number of total covariates in the model, not including
1.225     brouard  9512:                     * cst, age and age*age 
                   9513:                     * V1+V1*age+ V3 + V3*V4+age*age=> 3+1=4*/
                   9514:       /* including age products which are counted in cptcovage.
                   9515:        * but the covariates which are products must be treated 
                   9516:        * separately: ncovn=4- 2=2 (V1+V3). */
1.187     brouard  9517:       cptcovprod=j1; /**< Number of products  V1*V2 +v3*age = 2 */
                   9518:       cptcovprodnoage=0; /**< Number of covariate products without age: V3*V4 =1  */
1.225     brouard  9519:       
                   9520:       
1.187     brouard  9521:       /*   Design
                   9522:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9 Weight
                   9523:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9524:        * Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8
                   9525:        *   k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8
                   9526:        *  cptcovn number of covariates (not including constant and age ) = # of + plus 1 = 7+1=8
                   9527:        *  covar[k,i], value of kth covariate if not including age for individual i:
1.224     brouard  9528:        *       covar[1][i]= (V1), covar[4][i]=(V4), covar[8][i]=(V8)
                   9529:        *  Tvar[k] # of the kth covariate:  Tvar[1]=2  Tvar[2]=1 Tvar[4]=3 Tvar[8]=8
1.187     brouard  9530:        *       if multiplied by age: V3*age Tvar[3=V3*age]=3 (V3) Tvar[7]=8 and 
                   9531:        *  Tage[++cptcovage]=k
                   9532:        *       if products, new covar are created after ncovcol with k1
                   9533:        *  Tvar[k]=ncovcol+k1; # of the kth covariate product:  Tvar[5]=ncovcol+1=10  Tvar[6]=ncovcol+1=11
                   9534:        *  Tprod[k1]=k; Tprod[1]=5 Tprod[2]= 6; gives the position of the k1th product
                   9535:        *  Tvard[k1][1]=m Tvard[k1][2]=m; Tvard[1][1]=5 (V5) Tvard[1][2]=6 Tvard[2][1]=7 (V7) Tvard[2][2]=8
                   9536:        *  Tvar[cptcovn+k2]=Tvard[k1][1];Tvar[cptcovn+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];
                   9537:        *  Tvar[8+1]=5;Tvar[8+2]=6;Tvar[8+3]=7;Tvar[8+4]=8 inverted
                   9538:        *  V1   V2   V3   V4  V5  V6  V7  V8  V9  V10  V11
                   9539:        *  <          ncovcol=8                >
                   9540:        *       Model V2 + V1 + V3*age + V3 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V8*age + V8    d1   d1   d2  d2
                   9541:        *          k=  1    2      3       4     5       6      7        8    9   10   11  12
                   9542:        *     Tvar[k]= 2    1      3       3    10      11      8        8    5    6    7   8
                   9543:        * p Tvar[1]@12={2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9544:        * p Tprod[1]@2={                         6, 5}
                   9545:        *p Tvard[1][1]@4= {7, 8, 5, 6}
                   9546:        * covar[k][i]= V2   V1      ?      V3    V5*V6?   V7*V8?  ?       V8   
                   9547:        *  cov[Tage[kk]+2]=covar[Tvar[Tage[kk]]][i]*cov[2];
                   9548:        *How to reorganize?
                   9549:        * Model V1 + V2 + V3 + V8 + V5*V6 + V7*V8 + V3*age + V8*age
                   9550:        * Tvars {2,   1,     3,      3,   11,     10,     8,       8,   7,   8,   5,  6}
                   9551:        *       {2,   1,     4,      8,    5,      6,     3,       7}
                   9552:        * Struct []
                   9553:        */
1.225     brouard  9554:       
1.187     brouard  9555:       /* This loop fills the array Tvar from the string 'model'.*/
                   9556:       /* j is the number of + signs in the model V1+V2+V3 j=2 i=3 to 1 */
                   9557:       /*   modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4  */
                   9558:       /*       k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tage[cptcovage=1]=4 */
                   9559:       /*       k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4) */
                   9560:       /*       k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1) */
                   9561:       /*       k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2) */
                   9562:       /*       k=5 Tvar[5] */
                   9563:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovn;k++) { */
1.198     brouard  9564:       /*       cov[2+k]=nbcode[Tvar[k]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[k])]; */
1.187     brouard  9565:       /*       } */
1.198     brouard  9566:       /* for (k=1; k<=cptcovage;k++) cov[2+Tage[k]]=nbcode[Tvar[Tage[k]]][codtabm(ij,Tvar[Tage[k])]]*cov[2]; */
1.187     brouard  9567:       /*
                   9568:        * Treating invertedly V2+V1+V3*age+V2*V4 is as if written V2*V4 +V3*age + V1 + V2 */
1.227     brouard  9569:       for(k=cptcovt; k>=1;k--){ /**< Number of covariates not including constant and age, neither age*age*/
                   9570:         Tvar[k]=0; Tprod[k]=0; Tposprod[k]=0;
                   9571:       }
1.187     brouard  9572:       cptcovage=0;
                   9573:       for(k=1; k<=cptcovt;k++){ /* Loop on total covariates of the model */
1.234     brouard  9574:        cutl(stra,strb,modelsav,'+'); /* keeps in strb after the first '+' 
1.225     brouard  9575:                                         modelsav==V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.234     brouard  9576:        if (nbocc(modelsav,'+')==0) strcpy(strb,modelsav); /* and analyzes it */
                   9577:        /*      printf("i=%d a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n",i, stra,strb,modelsav);*/
                   9578:        /*scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9579:        if (strchr(strb,'*')) {  /**< Model includes a product V2+V1+V4+V3*age strb=V3*age */
                   9580:          cutl(strc,strd,strb,'*'); /**< strd*strc  Vm*Vn: strb=V3*age(input) strc=age strd=V3 ; V3*V2 strc=V2, strd=V3 */
                   9581:          if (strcmp(strc,"age")==0) { /**< Model includes age: Vn*age */
                   9582:            /* covar is not filled and then is empty */
                   9583:            cptcovprod--;
                   9584:            cutl(stre,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd=V3(input): stre="3" */
                   9585:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);  /* V2+V1+V4+V3*age Tvar[4]=3 ; V1+V2*age Tvar[2]=2; V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1 */
                   9586:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9587:            cptcovage++; /* Sums the number of covariates which include age as a product */
                   9588:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;  /* Tvar[4]=3, Tage[1] = 4 or V1+V1*age Tvar[2]=1, Tage[1]=2 */
                   9589:            /*printf("stre=%s ", stre);*/
                   9590:          } else if (strcmp(strd,"age")==0) { /* or age*Vn */
                   9591:            cptcovprod--;
                   9592:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V');
                   9593:            Tvar[k]=atoi(stre);
                   9594:            Typevar[k]=1;  /* 1 for age product */
                   9595:            cptcovage++;
                   9596:            Tage[cptcovage]=k;
                   9597:          } else {  /* Age is not in the model product V2+V1+V1*V4+V3*age+V3*V2  strb=V3*V2*/
                   9598:            /* loops on k1=1 (V3*V2) and k1=2 V4*V3 */
                   9599:            cptcovn++;
                   9600:            cptcovprodnoage++;k1++;
                   9601:            cutl(stre,strb,strc,'V'); /* strc= Vn, stre is n; strb=V3*V2 stre=3 strc=*/
                   9602:            Tvar[k]=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv+k1; /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   9603:                                                because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   9604:                                                which is after existing variables ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv + k1
                   9605:                                                If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2
                   9606:                                                Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 Tvar[5=V3*V2]=4 + 2= 6, etc */
                   9607:            Typevar[k]=2;  /* 2 for double fixed dummy covariates */
                   9608:            cutl(strc,strb,strd,'V'); /* strd was Vm, strc is m */
                   9609:            Tprod[k1]=k;  /* Tprod[1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2  */
                   9610:            Tposprod[k]=k1; /* Tpsprod[3]=1, Tposprod[2]=5 */
                   9611:            Tvard[k1][1] =atoi(strc); /* m 1 for V1*/
                   9612:            Tvard[k1][2] =atoi(stre); /* n 4 for V4*/
                   9613:            k2=k2+2;  /* k2 is initialize to -1, We want to store the n and m in Vn*Vm at the end of Tvar */
                   9614:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2]=Tvard[k1][1]; /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+k2=1)=5]= 1 (V1) *\/ */
                   9615:            /* Tvar[cptcovt+k2+1]=Tvard[k1][2];  /\* Tvar[(cptcovt=4+(k2=1)+1)=6]= 4 (V4) *\/ */
1.225     brouard  9616:             /*ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2, Tvar[3]=5, Tvar[4]=6, cptcovt=5 */
1.234     brouard  9617:            /*                     1  2   3      4     5 | Tvar[5+1)=1, Tvar[7]=2   */
                   9618:            for (i=1; i<=lastobs;i++){
                   9619:              /* Computes the new covariate which is a product of
                   9620:                 covar[n][i]* covar[m][i] and stores it at ncovol+k1 May not be defined */
                   9621:              covar[ncovcol+k1][i]=covar[atoi(stre)][i]*covar[atoi(strc)][i];
                   9622:            }
                   9623:          } /* End age is not in the model */
                   9624:        } /* End if model includes a product */
                   9625:        else { /* no more sum */
                   9626:          /*printf("d=%s c=%s b=%s\n", strd,strc,strb);*/
                   9627:          /*  scanf("%d",i);*/
                   9628:          cutl(strd,strc,strb,'V');
                   9629:          ks++; /**< Number of simple covariates dummy or quantitative, fixe or varying */
                   9630:          cptcovn++; /** V4+V3+V5: V4 and V3 timevarying dummy covariates, V5 timevarying quantitative */
                   9631:          Tvar[k]=atoi(strd);
                   9632:          Typevar[k]=0;  /* 0 for simple covariates */
                   9633:        }
                   9634:        strcpy(modelsav,stra);  /* modelsav=V2+V1+V4 stra=V2+V1+V4 */ 
1.223     brouard  9635:                                /*printf("a=%s b=%s sav=%s\n", stra,strb,modelsav);
1.225     brouard  9636:                                  scanf("%d",i);*/
1.187     brouard  9637:       } /* end of loop + on total covariates */
                   9638:     } /* end if strlen(modelsave == 0) age*age might exist */
                   9639:   } /* end if strlen(model == 0) */
1.136     brouard  9640:   
                   9641:   /*The number n of Vn is stored in Tvar. cptcovage =number of age covariate. Tage gives the position of age. cptcovprod= number of products.
                   9642:     If model=V1+V1*age then Tvar[1]=1 Tvar[2]=1 cptcovage=1 Tage[1]=2 cptcovprod=0*/
1.225     brouard  9643:   
1.136     brouard  9644:   /* printf("tvar1=%d tvar2=%d tvar3=%d cptcovage=%d Tage=%d",Tvar[1],Tvar[2],Tvar[3],cptcovage,Tage[1]);
1.225     brouard  9645:      printf("cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9646:      fprintf(ficlog,"cptcovprod=%d ", cptcovprod);
                   9647:      scanf("%d ",i);*/
                   9648: 
                   9649: 
1.230     brouard  9650: /* Until here, decodemodel knows only the grammar (simple, product, age*) of the model but not what kind
                   9651:    of variable (dummy vs quantitative, fixed vs time varying) is behind. But we know the # of each. */
1.226     brouard  9652: /* ncovcol= 1, nqv=1 | ntv=2, nqtv= 1  = 5 possible variables data: 2 fixed 3, varying
                   9653:    model=        V5 + V4 +V3 + V4*V3 + V5*age + V2 + V1*V2 + V1*age + V5*age, V1 is not used saving its place
                   9654:    k =           1    2   3     4       5       6      7      8        9
                   9655:    Tvar[k]=      5    4   3 1+1+2+1+1=6 5       2      7      1        5
                   9656:    Typevar[k]=   0    0   0     2       1       0      2      1        1
1.227     brouard  9657:    Fixed[k]      1    1   1     1       3       0    0 or 2   2        3
                   9658:    Dummy[k]      1    0   0     0       3       1      1      2        3
                   9659:          Tmodelind[combination of covar]=k;
1.225     brouard  9660: */  
                   9661: /* Dispatching between quantitative and time varying covariates */
1.226     brouard  9662:   /* If Tvar[k] >ncovcol it is a product */
1.225     brouard  9663:   /* Tvar[k] is the value n of Vn with n varying for 1 to nvcol, or p  Vp=Vn*Vm for product */
1.226     brouard  9664:        /* Computing effective variables, ie used by the model, that is from the cptcovt variables */
1.227     brouard  9665:   printf("Model=%s\n\
                   9666: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9667: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9668: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
                   9669:   fprintf(ficlog,"Model=%s\n\
                   9670: Typevar: 0 for simple covariate (dummy, quantitative, fixed or varying), 1 for age product, 2 for  product \n\
                   9671: Fixed[k] 0=fixed (product or simple), 1 varying, 2 fixed with age product, 3 varying with age product \n\
                   9672: Dummy[k] 0=dummy (0 1), 1 quantitative (single or product without age), 2 dummy with age product, 3 quant with age product\n",model);
1.240     brouard  9673:   for(k=1;k<=cptcovt; k++){ Fixed[k]=0; Dummy[k]=0;}
1.234     brouard  9674:   for(k=1, ncovf=0, nsd=0, nsq=0, ncovv=0, ncova=0, ncoveff=0, nqfveff=0, ntveff=0, nqtveff=0;k<=cptcovt; k++){ /* or cptocvt */
                   9675:     if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol && Typevar[k]==0 ){ /* Simple fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
1.227     brouard  9676:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9677:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9678:       ncoveff++;
1.232     brouard  9679:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9680:       nsd++;
                   9681:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9682:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9683:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9684:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9685:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9686:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9687:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
                   9688:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol &&  Typevar[k]==2){ /* Product of fixed dummy (<=ncovcol) covariates */
                   9689:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9690:       Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9691:       ncoveff++;
                   9692:       ncovf++;
                   9693:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9694:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9695:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.230     brouard  9696:       TvarFD[ncoveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarFD[1]=V1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.231     brouard  9697:       TvarFDind[ncoveff]=k; /* TvarFDind[1]=9 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */
1.240     brouard  9698:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.227     brouard  9699:       Fixed[k]= 0;
                   9700:       Dummy[k]= 1;
1.230     brouard  9701:       nqfveff++;
1.234     brouard  9702:       modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9703:       modell[k].subtype= FQ;
                   9704:       nsq++;
                   9705:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9706:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
1.232     brouard  9707:       ncovf++;
1.234     brouard  9708:       TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9709:       TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
1.231     brouard  9710:       TvarFQ[nqfveff]=Tvar[k]-ncovcol; /* TvarFQ[1]=V2-1=1st in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.230     brouard  9711:       TvarFQind[nqfveff]=k; /* TvarFQind[1]=6 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple fixed quantitative variable */
1.242     brouard  9712:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv && Typevar[k]==0){/* Only simple time varying dummy variables */
1.227     brouard  9713:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9714:       Dummy[k]= 0;
1.225     brouard  9715:       ntveff++; /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.234     brouard  9716:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9717:       modell[k].subtype= VD;
                   9718:       nsd++;
                   9719:       TvarsD[nsd]=Tvar[k];
                   9720:       TvarsDind[nsd]=k;
                   9721:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9722:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9723:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[2]=2  TvarVind[3]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9724:       TvarVD[ntveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVD[1]=V4  TvarVD[2]=V3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
                   9725:       TvarVDind[ntveff]=k; /* TvarVDind[1]=2 TvarVDind[2]=3 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying dummy variable */
1.228     brouard  9726:       printf("Quasi Tmodelind[%d]=%d,Tvar[Tmodelind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv=%d\n",ntveff,k,ntveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
                   9727:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv);
1.231     brouard  9728:     }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv  && Typevar[k]==0){ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable V5*/
1.234     brouard  9729:       Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9730:       Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9731:       nqtveff++;
                   9732:       modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9733:       modell[k].subtype= VQ;
                   9734:       ncovv++; /* Only simple time varying variables */
                   9735:       nsq++;
                   9736:       TvarsQ[nsq]=Tvar[k];
                   9737:       TvarsQind[nsq]=k;
                   9738:       TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
1.242     brouard  9739:       TvarVind[ncovv]=k; /* TvarVind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Any time varying singele */
1.231     brouard  9740:       TvarVQ[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]; /* TvarVQ[1]=V5 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9741:       TvarVQind[nqtveff]=k; /* TvarVQind[1]=1 in V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 */ /* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
1.234     brouard  9742:       TmodelInvQind[nqtveff]=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv;/* Only simple time varying quantitative variable */
                   9743:       /* Tmodeliqind[k]=nqtveff;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
                   9744:       printf("Quasi TmodelQind[%d]=%d,Tvar[TmodelQind[%d]]=V%d, ncovcol=%d, nqv=%d, ntv=%d,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv=%d\n",nqtveff,k,nqtveff,Tvar[k], ncovcol, nqv, ntv, Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.228     brouard  9745:       printf("Quasi TmodelInvQind[%d]=%d\n",k,Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv-ntv);
1.227     brouard  9746:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 1) {  /* product with age */
1.234     brouard  9747:       ncova++;
                   9748:       TvarA[ncova]=Tvar[k];
                   9749:       TvarAind[ncova]=k;
1.231     brouard  9750:       if (Tvar[k] <=ncovcol ){ /* Product age with fixed dummy covariatee */
1.240     brouard  9751:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9752:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9753:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9754:        modell[k].subtype= APFD;
                   9755:        /* ncoveff++; */
1.227     brouard  9756:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv) { /* Remind that product Vn*Vm are added in k*/
1.240     brouard  9757:        Fixed[k]= 2;
                   9758:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9759:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9760:        modell[k].subtype= APFQ;                /*      Product age * fixed quantitative */
                   9761:        /* nqfveff++;  /\* Only simple fixed quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9762:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv ){
1.240     brouard  9763:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9764:        Dummy[k]= 2;
                   9765:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9766:        modell[k].subtype= APVD;                /*      Product age * varying dummy */
                   9767:        /* ntveff++; /\* Only simple time varying dummy variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9768:       }else if( Tvar[k] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9769:        Fixed[k]= 3;
                   9770:        Dummy[k]= 3;
                   9771:        modell[k].maintype= ATYPE;
                   9772:        modell[k].subtype= APVQ;                /*      Product age * varying quantitative */
                   9773:        /* nqtveff++;/\* Only simple time varying quantitative variable *\/ */
1.227     brouard  9774:       }
                   9775:     }else if (Typevar[k] == 2) {  /* product without age */
                   9776:       k1=Tposprod[k];
                   9777:       if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol){
1.240     brouard  9778:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9779:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9780:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9781:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9782:          modell[k].subtype= FPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9783:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9784:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9785:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9786:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9787:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9788:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9789:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9790:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9791:          ncovf++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9792:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9793:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9794:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9795:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9796:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9797:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9798:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying dummy */
                   9799:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9800:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9801:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9802:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9803:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9804:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9805:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9806:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed dummy * varying quantitative */
                   9807:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9808:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9809:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9810:        }
1.227     brouard  9811:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv){
1.240     brouard  9812:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9813:          Fixed[k]= 0;  /* or 2 ?*/
                   9814:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9815:          modell[k].maintype= FTYPE;
                   9816:          modell[k].subtype= FPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9817:          ncovf++; /* Fixed variables without age */
                   9818:          TvarF[ncovf]=Tvar[k];
                   9819:          TvarFind[ncovf]=k;
                   9820:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9821:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9822:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9823:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9824:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying dummy */
                   9825:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9826:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9827:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9828:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9829:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9830:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9831:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9832:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product fixed quantitative * varying quantitative */
                   9833:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9834:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9835:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9836:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9837:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9838:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9839:        }
1.227     brouard  9840:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
1.240     brouard  9841:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9842:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9843:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9844:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9845:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed dummy */
                   9846:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9847:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9848:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9849:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9850:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9851:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9852:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9853:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * fixed quantitative */
                   9854:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9855:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9856:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9857:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9858:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9859:          Dummy[k]= 0;
                   9860:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9861:          modell[k].subtype= VPDD;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying dummy */
                   9862:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9863:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9864:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9865:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9866:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9867:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9868:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9869:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying dummy * time varying quantitative */
                   9870:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9871:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9872:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9873:        }
1.227     brouard  9874:       }else if(Tvard[k1][1] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
1.240     brouard  9875:        if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol){
                   9876:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9877:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9878:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9879:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed dummy */
                   9880:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9881:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9882:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9883:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv){
                   9884:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9885:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9886:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9887:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * fixed quantitative */
                   9888:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9889:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9890:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9891:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv){
                   9892:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9893:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9894:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9895:          modell[k].subtype= VPDQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying dummy */
                   9896:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9897:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9898:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9899:        }else if(Tvard[k1][2] <=ncovcol+nqv+ntv+nqtv){
                   9900:          Fixed[k]= 1;
                   9901:          Dummy[k]= 1;
                   9902:          modell[k].maintype= VTYPE;
                   9903:          modell[k].subtype= VPQQ;              /*      Product time varying quantitative * time varying quantitative */
                   9904:          ncovv++; /* Varying variables without age */
                   9905:          TvarV[ncovv]=Tvar[k];
                   9906:          TvarVind[ncovv]=k;
                   9907:        }
1.227     brouard  9908:       }else{
1.240     brouard  9909:        printf("Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9910:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error unknown type of covariate: Tvard[%d][1]=%d,Tvard[%d][2]=%d\n",k1,Tvard[k1][1],k1,Tvard[k1][2]);
                   9911:       } /*end k1*/
1.225     brouard  9912:     }else{
1.226     brouard  9913:       printf("Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
                   9914:       fprintf(ficlog,"Error, current version can't treat for performance reasons, Tvar[%d]=%d, Typevar[%d]=%d\n", k, Tvar[k], k, Typevar[k]);
1.225     brouard  9915:     }
1.227     brouard  9916:     printf("Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
1.231     brouard  9917:     printf("           modell[%d].maintype=%d, modell[%d].subtype=%d\n",k,modell[k].maintype,k,modell[k].subtype);
1.227     brouard  9918:     fprintf(ficlog,"Decodemodel, k=%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d,Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",k, k,Tvar[k],Typevar[k],Fixed[k],Dummy[k]);
                   9919:   }
                   9920:   /* Searching for doublons in the model */
                   9921:   for(k1=1; k1<= cptcovt;k1++){
                   9922:     for(k2=1; k2 <k1;k2++){
                   9923:       if((Typevar[k1]==Typevar[k2]) && (Fixed[Tvar[k1]]==Fixed[Tvar[k2]]) && (Dummy[Tvar[k1]]==Dummy[Tvar[k2]] )){
1.234     brouard  9924:        if((Typevar[k1] == 0 || Typevar[k1] == 1)){ /* Simple or age product */
                   9925:          if(Tvar[k1]==Tvar[k2]){
                   9926:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9927:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Tvar[%d]=V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n", model, k1,k2, k1, Tvar[k1], k2, Tvar[k2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9928:            return(1);
                   9929:          }
                   9930:        }else if (Typevar[k1] ==2){
                   9931:          k3=Tposprod[k1];
                   9932:          k4=Tposprod[k2];
                   9933:          if( ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][1])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][2])) || ((Tvard[k3][1]== Tvard[k4][2])&&(Tvard[k3][2]== Tvard[k4][1])) ){
                   9934:            printf("Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]);
                   9935:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error duplication in the model=%s at positions (+) %d and %d, V%d*V%d, Typevar=%d, Fixed=%d, Dummy=%d\n",model, k1,k2, Tvard[k3][1], Tvard[k3][2],Typevar[k1],Fixed[Tvar[k1]],Dummy[Tvar[k1]]); fflush(ficlog);
                   9936:            return(1);
                   9937:          }
                   9938:        }
1.227     brouard  9939:       }
                   9940:     }
1.225     brouard  9941:   }
                   9942:   printf("ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
                   9943:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncoveff=%d, nqfveff=%d, ntveff=%d, nqtveff=%d, cptcovn=%d\n",ncoveff,nqfveff,ntveff,nqtveff,cptcovn);
1.234     brouard  9944:   printf("ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd,nsq);
                   9945:   fprintf(ficlog,"ncovf=%d, ncovv=%d, ncova=%d, nsd=%d, nsq=%d\n",ncovf,ncovv,ncova,nsd, nsq);
1.137     brouard  9946:   return (0); /* with covar[new additional covariate if product] and Tage if age */ 
1.164     brouard  9947:   /*endread:*/
1.225     brouard  9948:   printf("Exiting decodemodel: ");
                   9949:   return (1);
1.136     brouard  9950: }
                   9951: 
1.169     brouard  9952: int calandcheckages(int imx, int maxwav, double *agemin, double *agemax, int *nberr, int *nbwarn )
1.248     brouard  9953: {/* Check ages at death */
1.136     brouard  9954:   int i, m;
1.218     brouard  9955:   int firstone=0;
                   9956:   
1.136     brouard  9957:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   9958:     for(m=2; (m<= maxwav); m++) {
                   9959:       if (((int)mint[m][i]== 99) && (s[m][i] <= nlstate)){
                   9960:        anint[m][i]=9999;
1.216     brouard  9961:        if (s[m][i] != -2) /* Keeping initial status of unknown vital status */
                   9962:          s[m][i]=-1;
1.136     brouard  9963:       }
                   9964:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]==9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.260     brouard  9965:        *nberr = *nberr + 1;
1.218     brouard  9966:        if(firstone == 0){
                   9967:          firstone=1;
1.260     brouard  9968:        printf("Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.218     brouard  9969:        }
1.262     brouard  9970:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning (#%d)! Date of death (month %2d and year %4d) of individual %ld on line %d was unknown but status is a death state %d at wave %d. If you don't know the vital status, please enter -2. If he/she is still alive but don't know the state, please code with '-1 or '.'. Here, we do not believe in a death, skipped.\n", *nberr,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],num[i],i,s[m][i],m);
1.260     brouard  9971:        s[m][i]=-1;  /* Droping the death status */
1.136     brouard  9972:       }
                   9973:       if((int)moisdc[i]==99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999 && s[m][i]>nlstate){
1.169     brouard  9974:        (*nberr)++;
1.259     brouard  9975:        printf("Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\nOther similar cases in log file\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.262     brouard  9976:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error (#%d)! Month of death of individual %ld on line %d was unknown (%2d) (year of death is %4d) and status is a death state %d at wave %d. Please impute an arbitrary (or not) month and rerun. Currently this transition to death will be skipped (status is set to -2).\n", *nberr, num[i],i,(int)moisdc[i],(int)andc[i],s[m][i],m);
1.259     brouard  9977:        s[m][i]=-2; /* We prefer to skip it (and to skip it in version 0.8a1 too */
1.136     brouard  9978:       }
                   9979:     }
                   9980:   }
                   9981: 
                   9982:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   9983:     agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]);
                   9984:     for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){
1.214     brouard  9985:       if(s[m][i] >0  || s[m][i]==-1 || s[m][i]==-2 || s[m][i]==-4 || s[m][i]==-5){ /* What if s[m][i]=-1 */
1.136     brouard  9986:        if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) {
1.169     brouard  9987:          if(agedc[i]>0){
                   9988:            if((int)moisdc[i]!=99 && (int)andc[i]!=9999){
1.136     brouard  9989:              agev[m][i]=agedc[i];
1.214     brouard  9990:              /*if(moisdc[i]==99 && andc[i]==9999) s[m][i]=-1;*/
1.169     brouard  9991:            }else {
1.136     brouard  9992:              if ((int)andc[i]!=9999){
                   9993:                nbwarn++;
                   9994:                printf("Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   9995:                fprintf(ficlog,"Warning negative age at death: %ld line:%d\n",num[i],i);
                   9996:                agev[m][i]=-1;
                   9997:              }
                   9998:            }
1.169     brouard  9999:          } /* agedc > 0 */
1.214     brouard  10000:        } /* end if */
1.136     brouard  10001:        else if(s[m][i] !=9){ /* Standard case, age in fractional
                   10002:                                 years but with the precision of a month */
                   10003:          agev[m][i]=(mint[m][i]/12.+1./24.+anint[m][i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+1./24.+annais[i]);
                   10004:          if((int)mint[m][i]==99 || (int)anint[m][i]==9999)
                   10005:            agev[m][i]=1;
                   10006:          else if(agev[m][i] < *agemin){ 
                   10007:            *agemin=agev[m][i];
                   10008:            printf(" Min anint[%d][%d]=%.2f annais[%d]=%.2f, agemin=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemin);
                   10009:          }
                   10010:          else if(agev[m][i] >*agemax){
                   10011:            *agemax=agev[m][i];
1.156     brouard  10012:            /* printf(" Max anint[%d][%d]=%.0f annais[%d]=%.0f, agemax=%.2f\n",m,i,anint[m][i], i,annais[i], *agemax);*/
1.136     brouard  10013:          }
                   10014:          /*agev[m][i]=anint[m][i]-annais[i];*/
                   10015:          /*     agev[m][i] = age[i]+2*m;*/
1.214     brouard  10016:        } /* en if 9*/
1.136     brouard  10017:        else { /* =9 */
1.214     brouard  10018:          /* printf("Debug num[%d]=%ld s[%d][%d]=%d\n",i,num[i], m,i, s[m][i]); */
1.136     brouard  10019:          agev[m][i]=1;
                   10020:          s[m][i]=-1;
                   10021:        }
                   10022:       }
1.214     brouard  10023:       else if(s[m][i]==0) /*= 0 Unknown */
1.136     brouard  10024:        agev[m][i]=1;
1.214     brouard  10025:       else{
                   10026:        printf("Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10027:        fprintf(ficlog, "Warning, num[%d]=%ld, s[%d][%d]=%d\n", i, num[i], m, i,s[m][i]); 
                   10028:        agev[m][i]=0;
                   10029:       }
                   10030:     } /* End for lastpass */
                   10031:   }
1.136     brouard  10032:     
                   10033:   for (i=1; i<=imx; i++)  {
                   10034:     for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){
                   10035:       if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) {
1.169     brouard  10036:        (*nberr)++;
1.136     brouard  10037:        printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10038:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath);     
                   10039:        return 1;
                   10040:       }
                   10041:     }
                   10042:   }
                   10043: 
                   10044:   /*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   10045:   for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){
                   10046:      printf("%ld %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]);
                   10047: }
                   10048: 
                   10049: }*/
                   10050: 
                   10051: 
1.139     brouard  10052:   printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax);
                   10053:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, *agemin, *agemax); 
1.136     brouard  10054: 
                   10055:   return (0);
1.164     brouard  10056:  /* endread:*/
1.136     brouard  10057:     printf("Exiting calandcheckages: ");
                   10058:     return (1);
                   10059: }
                   10060: 
1.172     brouard  10061: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
                   10062: /*printf("Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10063: /*fprintf(ficlog, "Visual C++ compiler: %s \n;", _MSC_FULL_VER);*/
                   10064: //#include "stdafx.h"
                   10065: //#include <stdio.h>
                   10066: //#include <tchar.h>
                   10067: //#include <windows.h>
                   10068: //#include <iostream>
                   10069: typedef BOOL(WINAPI *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS) (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10070: 
                   10071: LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10072: 
                   10073: BOOL IsWow64()
                   10074: {
                   10075:        BOOL bIsWow64 = FALSE;
                   10076: 
                   10077:        //typedef BOOL (APIENTRY *LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10078:        //  (HANDLE, PBOOL);
                   10079: 
                   10080:        //LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS fnIsWow64Process;
                   10081: 
                   10082:        HMODULE module = GetModuleHandle(_T("kernel32"));
                   10083:        const char funcName[] = "IsWow64Process";
                   10084:        fnIsWow64Process = (LPFN_ISWOW64PROCESS)
                   10085:                GetProcAddress(module, funcName);
                   10086: 
                   10087:        if (NULL != fnIsWow64Process)
                   10088:        {
                   10089:                if (!fnIsWow64Process(GetCurrentProcess(),
                   10090:                        &bIsWow64))
                   10091:                        //throw std::exception("Unknown error");
                   10092:                        printf("Unknown error\n");
                   10093:        }
                   10094:        return bIsWow64 != FALSE;
                   10095: }
                   10096: #endif
1.177     brouard  10097: 
1.191     brouard  10098: void syscompilerinfo(int logged)
1.167     brouard  10099:  {
                   10100:    /* #include "syscompilerinfo.h"*/
1.185     brouard  10101:    /* command line Intel compiler 32bit windows, XP compatible:*/
                   10102:    /* /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10103:       /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG" /D
                   10104:       "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_USING_V110_SDK71_" /D "_UNICODE" /D
                   10105:       "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope /Gd /Oi /MT /Fa"Release\" /EHsc /nologo
1.186     brouard  10106:       /Fo"Release\" /Qprof-dir "Release\" /Fp"Release\IMaCh.pch"
                   10107:    */ 
                   10108:    /* 64 bits */
1.185     brouard  10109:    /*
                   10110:      /GS /W3 /Gy
                   10111:      /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O2 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" /D "NDEBUG"
                   10112:      /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo /Zc:forScope
                   10113:      /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir
                   10114:      "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" */
                   10115:    /* Optimization are useless and O3 is slower than O2 */
                   10116:    /*
                   10117:      /GS /W3 /Gy /Zc:wchar_t /Zi /O3 /Fd"x64\Release\vc120.pdb" /D "WIN32" 
                   10118:      /D "NDEBUG" /D "_CONSOLE" /D "_LIB" /D "_UNICODE" /D "UNICODE" /Qipo 
                   10119:      /Zc:forScope /Oi /MD /Fa"x64\Release\" /EHsc /nologo /Qparallel 
                   10120:      /Fo"x64\Release\" /Qprof-dir "x64\Release\" /Fp"x64\Release\IMaCh.pch" 
                   10121:    */
1.186     brouard  10122:    /* Link is */ /* /OUT:"visual studio
1.185     brouard  10123:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.exe" /MANIFEST /NXCOMPAT
                   10124:       /PDB:"visual studio
                   10125:       2013\Projects\IMaCh\Release\IMaCh.pdb" /DYNAMICBASE
                   10126:       "kernel32.lib" "user32.lib" "gdi32.lib" "winspool.lib"
                   10127:       "comdlg32.lib" "advapi32.lib" "shell32.lib" "ole32.lib"
                   10128:       "oleaut32.lib" "uuid.lib" "odbc32.lib" "odbccp32.lib"
                   10129:       /MACHINE:X86 /OPT:REF /SAFESEH /INCREMENTAL:NO
                   10130:       /SUBSYSTEM:CONSOLE",5.01" /MANIFESTUAC:"level='asInvoker'
                   10131:       uiAccess='false'"
                   10132:       /ManifestFile:"Release\IMaCh.exe.intermediate.manifest" /OPT:ICF
                   10133:       /NOLOGO /TLBID:1
                   10134:    */
1.177     brouard  10135: #if defined __INTEL_COMPILER
1.178     brouard  10136: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10137:        struct utsname sysInfo;  /* For Intel on Linux and OS/X */
                   10138: #endif
1.177     brouard  10139: #elif defined(__GNUC__) 
1.179     brouard  10140: #ifndef  __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10141: #include <gnu/libc-version.h>  /* Only on gnu */
1.179     brouard  10142: #endif
1.177     brouard  10143:    struct utsname sysInfo;
1.178     brouard  10144:    int cross = CROSS;
                   10145:    if (cross){
                   10146:           printf("Cross-");
1.191     brouard  10147:           if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, "Cross-");
1.178     brouard  10148:    }
1.174     brouard  10149: #endif
                   10150: 
1.171     brouard  10151: #include <stdint.h>
1.178     brouard  10152: 
1.191     brouard  10153:    printf("Compiled with:");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog,"Compiled with:");
1.169     brouard  10154: #if defined(__clang__)
1.191     brouard  10155:    printf(" Clang/LLVM");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Clang/LLVM");      /* Clang/LLVM. ---------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10156: #endif
                   10157: #if defined(__ICC) || defined(__INTEL_COMPILER)
1.191     brouard  10158:    printf(" Intel ICC/ICPC");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Intel ICC/ICPC");/* Intel ICC/ICPC. ------------------------------------------ */
1.169     brouard  10159: #endif
                   10160: #if defined(__GNUC__) || defined(__GNUG__)
1.191     brouard  10161:    printf(" GNU GCC/G++");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," GNU GCC/G++");/* GNU GCC/G++. --------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10162: #endif
                   10163: #if defined(__HP_cc) || defined(__HP_aCC)
1.191     brouard  10164:    printf(" Hewlett-Packard C/aC++");if(logged)fprintf(fcilog," Hewlett-Packard C/aC++"); /* Hewlett-Packard C/aC++. ---------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10165: #endif
                   10166: #if defined(__IBMC__) || defined(__IBMCPP__)
1.191     brouard  10167:    printf(" IBM XL C/C++"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," IBM XL C/C++");/* IBM XL C/C++. -------------------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10168: #endif
                   10169: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.191     brouard  10170:    printf(" Microsoft Visual Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Microsoft Visual Studio");/* Microsoft Visual Studio. --------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10171: #endif
                   10172: #if defined(__PGI)
1.191     brouard  10173:    printf(" Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP");/* Portland Group PGCC/PGCPP. ------------------------------- */
1.169     brouard  10174: #endif
                   10175: #if defined(__SUNPRO_C) || defined(__SUNPRO_CC)
1.191     brouard  10176:    printf(" Oracle Solaris Studio");if(logged)fprintf(ficlog," Oracle Solaris Studio\n");/* Oracle Solaris Studio. ----------------------------------- */
1.167     brouard  10177: #endif
1.191     brouard  10178:    printf(" for "); if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, " for ");
1.169     brouard  10179:    
1.167     brouard  10180: // http://stackoverflow.com/questions/4605842/how-to-identify-platform-compiler-from-preprocessor-macros
                   10181: #ifdef _WIN32 // note the underscore: without it, it's not msdn official!
                   10182:     // Windows (x64 and x86)
1.191     brouard  10183:    printf("Windows (x64 and x86) ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Windows (x64 and x86) ");
1.167     brouard  10184: #elif __unix__ // all unices, not all compilers
                   10185:     // Unix
1.191     brouard  10186:    printf("Unix ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Unix ");
1.167     brouard  10187: #elif __linux__
                   10188:     // linux
1.191     brouard  10189:    printf("linux ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"linux ");
1.167     brouard  10190: #elif __APPLE__
1.174     brouard  10191:     // Mac OS, not sure if this is covered by __posix__ and/or __unix__ though..
1.191     brouard  10192:    printf("Mac OS ");if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Mac OS ");
1.167     brouard  10193: #endif
                   10194: 
                   10195: /*  __MINGW32__          */
                   10196: /*  __CYGWIN__  */
                   10197: /* __MINGW64__  */
                   10198: // http://msdn.microsoft.com/en-us/library/b0084kay.aspx
                   10199: /* _MSC_VER  //the Visual C++ compiler is 17.00.51106.1, the _MSC_VER macro evaluates to 1700. Type cl /?  */
                   10200: /* _MSC_FULL_VER //the Visual C++ compiler is 15.00.20706.01, the _MSC_FULL_VER macro evaluates to 150020706 */
                   10201: /* _WIN64  // Defined for applications for Win64. */
                   10202: /* _M_X64 // Defined for compilations that target x64 processors. */
                   10203: /* _DEBUG // Defined when you compile with /LDd, /MDd, and /MTd. */
1.171     brouard  10204: 
1.167     brouard  10205: #if UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffff
1.191     brouard  10206:    printf(" 32-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 32-bit");/* 32-bit */
1.167     brouard  10207: #elif UINTPTR_MAX == 0xffffffffffffffff
1.191     brouard  10208:    printf(" 64-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," 64-bit");/* 64-bit */
1.167     brouard  10209: #else
1.191     brouard  10210:    printf(" wtf-bit"); if(logged) fprintf(ficlog," wtf-bit");/* wtf */
1.167     brouard  10211: #endif
                   10212: 
1.169     brouard  10213: #if defined(__GNUC__)
                   10214: # if defined(__GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10215: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10216:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100 \
                   10217:                             + __GNUC_PATCHLEVEL__)
                   10218: # else
                   10219: #  define __GNUC_VERSION__ (__GNUC__ * 10000 \
                   10220:                             + __GNUC_MINOR__ * 100)
                   10221: # endif
1.174     brouard  10222:    printf(" using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.191     brouard  10223:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog, " using GNU C version %d.\n", __GNUC_VERSION__);
1.176     brouard  10224: 
                   10225:    if (uname(&sysInfo) != -1) {
                   10226:      printf("Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.191     brouard  10227:         if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"Running on: %s %s %s %s %s\n ",sysInfo.sysname, sysInfo.nodename, sysInfo.release, sysInfo.version, sysInfo.machine);
1.176     brouard  10228:    }
                   10229:    else
                   10230:       perror("uname() error");
1.179     brouard  10231:    //#ifndef __INTEL_COMPILER 
                   10232: #if !defined (__INTEL_COMPILER) && !defined(__APPLE__)
1.174     brouard  10233:    printf("GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version()); 
1.191     brouard  10234:    if(logged) fprintf(ficlog,"GNU libc version: %s\n", gnu_get_libc_version());
1.177     brouard  10235: #endif
1.169     brouard  10236: #endif
1.172     brouard  10237: 
                   10238:    //   void main()
                   10239:    //   {
1.169     brouard  10240: #if defined(_MSC_VER)
1.174     brouard  10241:    if (IsWow64()){
1.191     brouard  10242:           printf("\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
                   10243:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe program (probably compiled for 32bit) is running under WOW64 (64bit) emulation.\n");
1.174     brouard  10244:    }
                   10245:    else{
1.191     brouard  10246:           printf("\nThe program is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
                   10247:           if (logged) fprintf(ficlog, "\nThe programm is not running under WOW64 (i.e probably on a 64bit Windows).\n");
1.174     brouard  10248:    }
1.172     brouard  10249:    //     printf("\nPress Enter to continue...");
                   10250:    //     getchar();
                   10251:    //   }
                   10252: 
1.169     brouard  10253: #endif
                   10254:    
1.167     brouard  10255: 
1.219     brouard  10256: }
1.136     brouard  10257: 
1.219     brouard  10258: int prevalence_limit(double *p, double **prlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp){
1.180     brouard  10259:   /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.235     brouard  10260:   int i, j, k, i1, k4=0, nres=0 ;
1.202     brouard  10261:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
1.180     brouard  10262:   double age, agebase, agelim;
1.203     brouard  10263:   double tot;
1.180     brouard  10264: 
1.202     brouard  10265:   strcpy(filerespl,"PL_");
                   10266:   strcat(filerespl,fileresu);
                   10267:   if((ficrespl=fopen(filerespl,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10268:     printf("Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10269:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) prevalence resultfile: %s\n", filerespl);return 1;
                   10270:   }
1.227     brouard  10271:   printf("\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
                   10272:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nComputing period (stable) prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", filerespl);
1.202     brouard  10273:   pstamp(ficrespl);
1.203     brouard  10274:   fprintf(ficrespl,"# Period (stable) prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
1.202     brouard  10275:   fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10276:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10277:   fprintf(ficrespl,"\n");
1.180     brouard  10278:   
1.219     brouard  10279:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
1.180     brouard  10280: 
1.219     brouard  10281:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10282:   agelim=agemaxpar;
1.180     brouard  10283: 
1.227     brouard  10284:   /* i1=pow(2,ncoveff); */
1.234     brouard  10285:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
1.219     brouard  10286:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.180     brouard  10287: 
1.238     brouard  10288:   for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For each combination k of dummy covariates in the model */
                   10289:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
1.253     brouard  10290:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10291:        continue;
1.235     brouard  10292: 
1.238     brouard  10293:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10294:       /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=1;cptcov++){ */
                   10295:       //for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){
                   10296:       /* k=k+1; */
                   10297:       /* to clean */
                   10298:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10299:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#******");
                   10300:       printf("#******");
                   10301:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10302:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10303:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); /* Here problem for varying dummy*/
                   10304:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10305:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10306:       }
                   10307:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10308:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10309:        fprintf(ficrespl," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10310:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10311:       }
                   10312:       fprintf(ficrespl,"******\n");
                   10313:       printf("******\n");
                   10314:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10315:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10316:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10317:        fprintf(ficrespl,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10318:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no case \n",k); 
                   10319:        continue;
                   10320:       }
1.219     brouard  10321: 
1.238     brouard  10322:       fprintf(ficrespl,"#Age ");
                   10323:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10324:        fprintf(ficrespl,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10325:       }
                   10326:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrespl,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10327:       fprintf(ficrespl,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.227     brouard  10328:     
1.238     brouard  10329:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10330:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10331:        prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
                   10332:        fprintf(ficrespl,"%.0f ",age );
                   10333:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10334:          fprintf(ficrespl,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10335:        tot=0.;
                   10336:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10337:          tot +=  prlim[i][i];
                   10338:          fprintf(ficrespl," %.5f", prlim[i][i]);
                   10339:        }
                   10340:        fprintf(ficrespl," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10341:       } /* Age */
                   10342:       /* was end of cptcod */
                   10343:     } /* cptcov */
                   10344:   } /* nres */
1.219     brouard  10345:   return 0;
1.180     brouard  10346: }
                   10347: 
1.218     brouard  10348: int back_prevalence_limit(double *p, double **bprlim, double ageminpar, double agemaxpar, double ftolpl, int *ncvyearp, double dateprev1,double dateprev2, int firstpass, int lastpass, int mobilavproj){
                   10349:        /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   10350:        
                   10351:        /* Computes the back prevalence limit  for any combination      of covariate values 
                   10352:    * at any age between ageminpar and agemaxpar
                   10353:         */
1.235     brouard  10354:   int i, j, k, i1, nres=0 ;
1.217     brouard  10355:   /* double ftolpl = 1.e-10; */
                   10356:   double age, agebase, agelim;
                   10357:   double tot;
1.218     brouard  10358:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
                   10359:   /* double     **dnewm, **doldm, **dsavm;  /\* for use *\/ */
1.217     brouard  10360: 
                   10361:   strcpy(fileresplb,"PLB_");
                   10362:   strcat(fileresplb,fileresu);
                   10363:   if((ficresplb=fopen(fileresplb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10364:     printf("Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10365:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with period (stable) back prevalence resultfile: %s\n", fileresplb);return 1;
                   10366:   }
                   10367:   printf("Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10368:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing period (stable) back prevalence: result on file '%s' \n", fileresplb);
                   10369:   pstamp(ficresplb);
                   10370:   fprintf(ficresplb,"# Period (stable) back prevalence. Precision given by ftolpl=%g \n", ftolpl);
                   10371:   fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10372:   for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"%d-%d ",i,i);
                   10373:   fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");
                   10374:   
1.218     brouard  10375:   
                   10376:   /* prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);*/ /* back in main */
                   10377:   
                   10378:   agebase=ageminpar;
                   10379:   agelim=agemaxpar;
                   10380:   
                   10381:   
1.227     brouard  10382:   i1=pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10383:   if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
1.227     brouard  10384:   
1.238     brouard  10385:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10386:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10387:      if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10388:        continue;
                   10389:       //printf("cptcov=%d cptcod=%d codtab=%d\n",cptcov, cptcod,codtabm(cptcod,cptcov));
                   10390:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#******");
                   10391:       printf("#******");
                   10392:       fprintf(ficlog,"#******");
                   10393:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff ;j++) {/* all covariates */
                   10394:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10395:        printf(" V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10396:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10397:       }
                   10398:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10399:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10400:        fprintf(ficresplb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10401:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10402:       }
                   10403:       fprintf(ficresplb,"******\n");
                   10404:       printf("******\n");
                   10405:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   10406:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){
                   10407:        printf("\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10408:        fprintf(ficresplb,"#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10409:        fprintf(ficlog,"\nCombination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10410:        continue;
                   10411:       }
1.218     brouard  10412:     
1.238     brouard  10413:       fprintf(ficresplb,"#Age ");
                   10414:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
                   10415:        fprintf(ficresplb,"V%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10416:       }
                   10417:       for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficresplb,"  %d-%d   ",i,i);
                   10418:       fprintf(ficresplb,"Total Years_to_converge\n");
1.218     brouard  10419:     
                   10420:     
1.238     brouard  10421:       for (age=agebase; age<=agelim; age++){
                   10422:        /* for (age=agebase; age<=agebase; age++){ */
                   10423:        if(mobilavproj > 0){
                   10424:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ageminpar, agemaxpar, oldm, savm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
                   10425:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10426:          bprevalim(bprlim, mobaverage, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10427:        }else if (mobilavproj == 0){
                   10428:          printf("There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10429:          fprintf(ficlog,"There is no chance to get back prevalence limit if data aren't non zero and summing to 1, please try a non null mobil_average(=%d) parameter or mobil_average=-1 if you want to try at your own risk.\n",mobilavproj);
                   10430:          exit(1);
                   10431:        }else{
                   10432:          /* bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k); */
1.242     brouard  10433:          bprevalim(bprlim, probs, nlstate, p, age, ftolpl, ncvyearp, k,nres);
1.266     brouard  10434:          /* printf("TOTOT\n"); */
                   10435:           /* exit(1); */
1.238     brouard  10436:        }
                   10437:        fprintf(ficresplb,"%.0f ",age );
                   10438:        for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10439:          fprintf(ficresplb,"%d %d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10440:        tot=0.;
                   10441:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++){
                   10442:          tot +=  bprlim[i][i];
                   10443:          fprintf(ficresplb," %.5f", bprlim[i][i]);
                   10444:        }
                   10445:        fprintf(ficresplb," %.3f %d\n", tot, *ncvyearp);
                   10446:       } /* Age */
                   10447:       /* was end of cptcod */
1.255     brouard  10448:       /*fprintf(ficresplb,"\n");*/ /* Seems to be necessary for gnuplot only if two result lines and no covariate. */
1.238     brouard  10449:     } /* end of any combination */
                   10450:   } /* end of nres */  
1.218     brouard  10451:   /* hBijx(p, bage, fage); */
                   10452:   /* fclose(ficrespijb); */
                   10453:   
                   10454:   return 0;
1.217     brouard  10455: }
1.218     brouard  10456:  
1.180     brouard  10457: int hPijx(double *p, int bage, int fage){
                   10458:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10459: 
                   10460:   int stepsize;
                   10461:   int agelim;
                   10462:   int hstepm;
                   10463:   int nhstepm;
1.235     brouard  10464:   int h, i, i1, j, k, k4, nres=0;
1.180     brouard  10465: 
                   10466:   double agedeb;
                   10467:   double ***p3mat;
                   10468: 
1.201     brouard  10469:     strcpy(filerespij,"PIJ_");  strcat(filerespij,fileresu);
1.180     brouard  10470:     if((ficrespij=fopen(filerespij,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10471:       printf("Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10472:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij resultfile: %s\n", filerespij); return 1;
                   10473:     }
                   10474:     printf("Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10475:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij: result on file '%s' \n", filerespij);
                   10476:   
                   10477:     stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10478:     /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
                   10479: 
                   10480:     agelim=AGESUP;
                   10481:     hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10482:     hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */ 
1.218     brouard  10483:                
1.180     brouard  10484:     /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10485:     pstamp(ficrespij);
                   10486:     fprintf(ficrespij,"#****** h Pij x Probability to be in state j at age x+h being in i at x ");
1.227     brouard  10487:     i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10488:                /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10489:                /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10490:                /*      k=k+1;  */
1.235     brouard  10491:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   10492:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){
1.253     brouard  10493:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  10494:        continue;
1.183     brouard  10495:       fprintf(ficrespij,"\n#****** ");
1.227     brouard  10496:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.198     brouard  10497:        fprintf(ficrespij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  10498:       for (k4=1; k4<= nsq; k4++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10499:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10500:        fprintf(ficrespij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][k4],Tqresult[nres][k4]);
                   10501:       }
1.183     brouard  10502:       fprintf(ficrespij,"******\n");
                   10503:       
                   10504:       for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /* If stepm=6 months */
                   10505:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */ 
                   10506:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10 */
                   10507:        
                   10508:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
1.180     brouard  10509:        
1.183     brouard  10510:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10511:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  10512:        hpxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k, nres);  
1.183     brouard  10513:        fprintf(ficrespij,"# Cov Agex agex+h hpijx with i,j=");
                   10514:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10515:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10516:            fprintf(ficrespij," %1d-%1d",i,j);
                   10517:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10518:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10519:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10520:          fprintf(ficrespij,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
1.180     brouard  10521:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10522:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.183     brouard  10523:              fprintf(ficrespij," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
1.180     brouard  10524:          fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10525:        }
1.183     brouard  10526:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10527:        fprintf(ficrespij,"\n");
                   10528:       }
1.180     brouard  10529:       /*}*/
                   10530:     }
1.218     brouard  10531:     return 0;
1.180     brouard  10532: }
1.218     brouard  10533:  
                   10534:  int hBijx(double *p, int bage, int fage, double ***prevacurrent){
1.217     brouard  10535:     /*------------- h Bij x at various ages ------------*/
                   10536: 
                   10537:   int stepsize;
1.218     brouard  10538:   /* int agelim; */
                   10539:        int ageminl;
1.217     brouard  10540:   int hstepm;
                   10541:   int nhstepm;
1.238     brouard  10542:   int h, i, i1, j, k, nres;
1.218     brouard  10543:        
1.217     brouard  10544:   double agedeb;
                   10545:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10546:        
                   10547:   strcpy(filerespijb,"PIJB_");  strcat(filerespijb,fileresu);
                   10548:   if((ficrespijb=fopen(filerespijb,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10549:     printf("Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10550:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Pij back resultfile: %s\n", filerespijb); return 1;
                   10551:   }
                   10552:   printf("Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10553:   fprintf(ficlog,"Computing pij back: result on file '%s' \n", filerespijb);
                   10554:   
                   10555:   stepsize=(int) (stepm+YEARM-1)/YEARM;
                   10556:   /*if (stepm<=24) stepsize=2;*/
1.217     brouard  10557:   
1.218     brouard  10558:   /* agelim=AGESUP; */
                   10559:   ageminl=30;
                   10560:   hstepm=stepsize*YEARM; /* Every year of age */
                   10561:   hstepm=hstepm/stepm; /* Typically 2 years, = 2/6 months = 4 */
                   10562:   
                   10563:   /* hstepm=1;   aff par mois*/
                   10564:   pstamp(ficrespijb);
1.255     brouard  10565:   fprintf(ficrespijb,"#****** h Bij x Back probability to be in state i at age x-h being in j at x: B1j+B2j+...=1 ");
1.227     brouard  10566:   i1= pow(2,cptcoveff);
1.218     brouard  10567:   /* for(cptcov=1,k=0;cptcov<=i1;cptcov++){ */
                   10568:   /*    /\*for(cptcod=1;cptcod<=ncodemax[cptcov];cptcod++){*\/ */
                   10569:   /*   k=k+1;  */
1.238     brouard  10570:   for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++){ /* For each resultline */
                   10571:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  10572:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.238     brouard  10573:        continue;
                   10574:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#****** ");
                   10575:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++)
                   10576:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   10577:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   10578:        fprintf(ficrespijb," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   10579:       }
                   10580:       fprintf(ficrespijb,"******\n");
1.264     brouard  10581:       if(invalidvarcomb[k]){  /* Is it necessary here? */
1.238     brouard  10582:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n#Combination (%d) ignored because no cases \n",k); 
                   10583:        continue;
                   10584:       }
                   10585:       
                   10586:       /* for (agedeb=fage; agedeb>=bage; agedeb--){ /\* If stepm=6 months *\/ */
                   10587:       for (agedeb=bage; agedeb<=fage; agedeb++){ /* If stepm=6 months and estepm=24 (2 years) */
                   10588:        /* nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agedeb)*YEARM/stepm); /\* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 *\/ */
                   10589:        nhstepm=(int) rint((agedeb-ageminl)*YEARM/stepm); /* Typically 20 years = 20*12/6=40 */
                   10590:        nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; /* Typically 40/4=10, because estepm=24 stepm=6 => hstepm=24/6=4 */
                   10591:        
                   10592:        /*        nhstepm=nhstepm*YEARM; aff par mois*/
                   10593:        
1.266     brouard  10594:        p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); /* We can't have it at an upper level because of nhstepm */
                   10595:        /* and memory limitations if stepm is small */
                   10596: 
1.238     brouard  10597:        /* oldm=oldms;savm=savms; */
                   10598:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, k);   */
1.267     brouard  10599:        hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm, k, nres);
1.238     brouard  10600:        /* hbxij(p3mat,nhstepm,agedeb,hstepm,p,prevacurrent,nlstate,stepm,oldm,savm, dnewm, doldm, dsavm, k); */
1.255     brouard  10601:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"# Cov Agex agex-h hbijx with i,j=");
1.217     brouard  10602:        for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10603:          for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.238     brouard  10604:            fprintf(ficrespijb," %1d-%1d",i,j);
1.217     brouard  10605:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
1.238     brouard  10606:        for (h=0; h<=nhstepm; h++){
                   10607:          /*agedebphstep = agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm;*/
                   10608:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb - h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm );
                   10609:          /* fprintf(ficrespijb,"%d %3.f %3.f",k, agedeb, agedeb + h*hstepm/YEARM*stepm ); */
                   10610:          for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   10611:            for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   10612:              fprintf(ficrespijb," %.5f", p3mat[i][j][h]);
                   10613:          fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10614:        }
                   10615:        free_ma3x(p3mat,1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm);
                   10616:        fprintf(ficrespijb,"\n");
                   10617:       } /* end age deb */
                   10618:     } /* end combination */
                   10619:   } /* end nres */
1.218     brouard  10620:   return 0;
                   10621:  } /*  hBijx */
1.217     brouard  10622: 
1.180     brouard  10623: 
1.136     brouard  10624: /***********************************************/
                   10625: /**************** Main Program *****************/
                   10626: /***********************************************/
                   10627: 
                   10628: int main(int argc, char *argv[])
                   10629: {
                   10630: #ifdef GSL
                   10631:   const gsl_multimin_fminimizer_type *T;
                   10632:   size_t iteri = 0, it;
                   10633:   int rval = GSL_CONTINUE;
                   10634:   int status = GSL_SUCCESS;
                   10635:   double ssval;
                   10636: #endif
                   10637:   int movingaverage(double ***probs, double bage,double fage, double ***mobaverage, int mobilav);
1.164     brouard  10638:   int i,j, k, n=MAXN,iter=0,m,size=100, cptcod;
1.209     brouard  10639:   int ncvyear=0; /* Number of years needed for the period prevalence to converge */
1.164     brouard  10640:   int jj, ll, li, lj, lk;
1.136     brouard  10641:   int numlinepar=0; /* Current linenumber of parameter file */
1.197     brouard  10642:   int num_filled;
1.136     brouard  10643:   int itimes;
                   10644:   int NDIM=2;
                   10645:   int vpopbased=0;
1.235     brouard  10646:   int nres=0;
1.258     brouard  10647:   int endishere=0;
1.277     brouard  10648:   int noffset=0;
1.274     brouard  10649:   int ncurrv=0; /* Temporary variable */
                   10650:   
1.164     brouard  10651:   char ca[32], cb[32];
1.136     brouard  10652:   /*  FILE *fichtm; *//* Html File */
                   10653:   /* FILE *ficgp;*/ /*Gnuplot File */
                   10654:   struct stat info;
1.191     brouard  10655:   double agedeb=0.;
1.194     brouard  10656: 
                   10657:   double ageminpar=AGEOVERFLOW,agemin=AGEOVERFLOW, agemaxpar=-AGEOVERFLOW, agemax=-AGEOVERFLOW;
1.219     brouard  10658:   double ageminout=-AGEOVERFLOW,agemaxout=AGEOVERFLOW; /* Smaller Age range redefined after movingaverage */
1.136     brouard  10659: 
1.165     brouard  10660:   double fret;
1.191     brouard  10661:   double dum=0.; /* Dummy variable */
1.136     brouard  10662:   double ***p3mat;
1.218     brouard  10663:   /* double ***mobaverage; */
1.164     brouard  10664: 
                   10665:   char line[MAXLINE];
1.197     brouard  10666:   char path[MAXLINE],pathc[MAXLINE],pathcd[MAXLINE],pathtot[MAXLINE];
                   10667: 
1.234     brouard  10668:   char  modeltemp[MAXLINE];
1.230     brouard  10669:   char resultline[MAXLINE];
                   10670:   
1.136     brouard  10671:   char pathr[MAXLINE], pathimach[MAXLINE]; 
1.164     brouard  10672:   char *tok, *val; /* pathtot */
1.136     brouard  10673:   int firstobs=1, lastobs=10;
1.195     brouard  10674:   int c,  h , cpt, c2;
1.191     brouard  10675:   int jl=0;
                   10676:   int i1, j1, jk, stepsize=0;
1.194     brouard  10677:   int count=0;
                   10678: 
1.164     brouard  10679:   int *tab; 
1.136     brouard  10680:   int mobilavproj=0 , prevfcast=0 ; /* moving average of prev, If prevfcast=1 prevalence projection */
1.217     brouard  10681:   int backcast=0;
1.136     brouard  10682:   int mobilav=0,popforecast=0;
1.191     brouard  10683:   int hstepm=0, nhstepm=0;
1.136     brouard  10684:   int agemortsup;
                   10685:   float  sumlpop=0.;
                   10686:   double jprev1=1, mprev1=1,anprev1=2000,jprev2=1, mprev2=1,anprev2=2000;
                   10687:   double jpyram=1, mpyram=1,anpyram=2000,jpyram1=1, mpyram1=1,anpyram1=2000;
                   10688: 
1.191     brouard  10689:   double bage=0, fage=110., age, agelim=0., agebase=0.;
1.136     brouard  10690:   double ftolpl=FTOL;
                   10691:   double **prlim;
1.217     brouard  10692:   double **bprlim;
1.136     brouard  10693:   double ***param; /* Matrix of parameters */
1.251     brouard  10694:   double ***paramstart; /* Matrix of starting parameter values */
                   10695:   double  *p, *pstart; /* p=param[1][1] pstart is for starting values guessed by freqsummary */
1.136     brouard  10696:   double **matcov; /* Matrix of covariance */
1.203     brouard  10697:   double **hess; /* Hessian matrix */
1.136     brouard  10698:   double ***delti3; /* Scale */
                   10699:   double *delti; /* Scale */
                   10700:   double ***eij, ***vareij;
                   10701:   double **varpl; /* Variances of prevalence limits by age */
1.269     brouard  10702: 
1.136     brouard  10703:   double *epj, vepp;
1.164     brouard  10704: 
1.273     brouard  10705:   double dateprev1, dateprev2;
                   10706:   double jproj1=1,mproj1=1,anproj1=2000,jproj2=1,mproj2=1,anproj2=2000, dateproj1=0, dateproj2=0;
                   10707:   double jback1=1,mback1=1,anback1=2000,jback2=1,mback2=1,anback2=2000, dateback1=0, dateback2=0;
1.217     brouard  10708: 
1.136     brouard  10709:   double **ximort;
1.145     brouard  10710:   char *alph[]={"a","a","b","c","d","e"}, str[4]="1234";
1.136     brouard  10711:   int *dcwave;
                   10712: 
1.164     brouard  10713:   char z[1]="c";
1.136     brouard  10714: 
                   10715:   /*char  *strt;*/
                   10716:   char strtend[80];
1.126     brouard  10717: 
1.164     brouard  10718: 
1.126     brouard  10719: /*   setlocale (LC_ALL, ""); */
                   10720: /*   bindtextdomain (PACKAGE, LOCALEDIR); */
                   10721: /*   textdomain (PACKAGE); */
                   10722: /*   setlocale (LC_CTYPE, ""); */
                   10723: /*   setlocale (LC_MESSAGES, ""); */
                   10724: 
                   10725:   /*   gettimeofday(&start_time, (struct timezone*)0); */ /* at first time */
1.157     brouard  10726:   rstart_time = time(NULL);  
                   10727:   /*  (void) gettimeofday(&start_time,&tzp);*/
                   10728:   start_time = *localtime(&rstart_time);
1.126     brouard  10729:   curr_time=start_time;
1.157     brouard  10730:   /*tml = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec);*/
                   10731:   /* strcpy(strstart,asctime(&tml)); */
                   10732:   strcpy(strstart,asctime(&start_time));
1.126     brouard  10733: 
                   10734: /*  printf("Localtime (at start)=%s",strstart); */
1.157     brouard  10735: /*  tp.tm_sec = tp.tm_sec +86400; */
                   10736: /*  tm = *localtime(&start_time.tm_sec); */
1.126     brouard  10737: /*   tmg.tm_year=tmg.tm_year +dsign*dyear; */
                   10738: /*   tmg.tm_mon=tmg.tm_mon +dsign*dmonth; */
                   10739: /*   tmg.tm_hour=tmg.tm_hour + 1; */
1.157     brouard  10740: /*   tp.tm_sec = mktime(&tmg); */
1.126     brouard  10741: /*   strt=asctime(&tmg); */
                   10742: /*   printf("Time(after) =%s",strstart);  */
                   10743: /*  (void) time (&time_value);
                   10744: *  printf("time=%d,t-=%d\n",time_value,time_value-86400);
                   10745: *  tm = *localtime(&time_value);
                   10746: *  strstart=asctime(&tm);
                   10747: *  printf("tim_value=%d,asctime=%s\n",time_value,strstart); 
                   10748: */
                   10749: 
                   10750:   nberr=0; /* Number of errors and warnings */
                   10751:   nbwarn=0;
1.184     brouard  10752: #ifdef WIN32
                   10753:   _getcwd(pathcd, size);
                   10754: #else
1.126     brouard  10755:   getcwd(pathcd, size);
1.184     brouard  10756: #endif
1.191     brouard  10757:   syscompilerinfo(0);
1.196     brouard  10758:   printf("\nIMaCh version %s, %s\n%s",version, copyright, fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10759:   if(argc <=1){
                   10760:     printf("\nEnter the parameter file name: ");
1.205     brouard  10761:     if(!fgets(pathr,FILENAMELENGTH,stdin)){
                   10762:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10763:       goto end;
                   10764:     }
1.126     brouard  10765:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10766:     if(pathr[i-1]=='\n')
                   10767:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.156     brouard  10768:     i=strlen(pathr);
1.205     brouard  10769:     if(i >= 1 && pathr[i-1]==' ') {/* This may happen when dragging on oS/X! */
1.156     brouard  10770:       pathr[i-1]='\0';
1.205     brouard  10771:     }
                   10772:     i=strlen(pathr);
                   10773:     if( i==0 ){
                   10774:       printf("ERROR Empty parameter file name\n");
                   10775:       goto end;
                   10776:     }
                   10777:     for (tok = pathr; tok != NULL; ){
1.126     brouard  10778:       printf("Pathr |%s|\n",pathr);
                   10779:       while ((val = strsep(&tok, "\"" )) != NULL && *val == '\0');
                   10780:       printf("val= |%s| pathr=%s\n",val,pathr);
                   10781:       strcpy (pathtot, val);
                   10782:       if(pathr[0] == '\0') break; /* Dirty */
                   10783:     }
                   10784:   }
                   10785:   else{
                   10786:     strcpy(pathtot,argv[1]);
                   10787:   }
                   10788:   /*if(getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE)!= NULL)printf ("Error pathcd\n");*/
                   10789:   /*cygwin_split_path(pathtot,path,optionfile);
                   10790:     printf("pathtot=%s, path=%s, optionfile=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile);*/
                   10791:   /* cutv(path,optionfile,pathtot,'\\');*/
                   10792: 
                   10793:   /* Split argv[0], imach program to get pathimach */
                   10794:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s argv[1]=%s, \n",argv[0],argv[1]);
                   10795:   split(argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10796:   printf("\nargv[0]=%s pathimach=%s, \noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",argv[0],pathimach,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10797:  /*   strcpy(pathimach,argv[0]); */
                   10798:   /* Split argv[1]=pathtot, parameter file name to get path, optionfile, extension and name */
                   10799:   split(pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
                   10800:   printf("\npathtot=%s,\npath=%s,\noptionfile=%s \noptionfilext=%s \noptionfilefiname=%s\n",pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  10801: #ifdef WIN32
                   10802:   _chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
                   10803:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10804: #else
1.126     brouard  10805:   chdir(path); /* Can be a relative path */
1.184     brouard  10806:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0) /* So pathcd is the full path */
                   10807: #endif
                   10808:   printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.126     brouard  10809:   strcpy(command,"mkdir ");
                   10810:   strcat(command,optionfilefiname);
                   10811:   if((outcmd=system(command)) != 0){
1.169     brouard  10812:     printf("Directory already exists (or can't create it) %s%s, err=%d\n",path,optionfilefiname,outcmd);
1.126     brouard  10813:     /* fprintf(ficlog,"Problem creating directory %s%s\n",path,optionfilefiname); */
                   10814:     /* fclose(ficlog); */
                   10815: /*     exit(1); */
                   10816:   }
                   10817: /*   if((imk=mkdir(optionfilefiname))<0){ */
                   10818: /*     perror("mkdir"); */
                   10819: /*   } */
                   10820: 
                   10821:   /*-------- arguments in the command line --------*/
                   10822: 
1.186     brouard  10823:   /* Main Log file */
1.126     brouard  10824:   strcat(filelog, optionfilefiname);
                   10825:   strcat(filelog,".log");    /* */
                   10826:   if((ficlog=fopen(filelog,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   10827:     printf("Problem with logfile %s\n",filelog);
                   10828:     goto end;
                   10829:   }
                   10830:   fprintf(ficlog,"Log filename:%s\n",filelog);
1.197     brouard  10831:   fprintf(ficlog,"Version %s %s",version,fullversion);
1.126     brouard  10832:   fprintf(ficlog,"\nEnter the parameter file name: \n");
                   10833:   fprintf(ficlog,"pathimach=%s\npathtot=%s\n\
                   10834:  path=%s \n\
                   10835:  optionfile=%s\n\
                   10836:  optionfilext=%s\n\
1.156     brouard  10837:  optionfilefiname='%s'\n",pathimach,pathtot,path,optionfile,optionfilext,optionfilefiname);
1.126     brouard  10838: 
1.197     brouard  10839:   syscompilerinfo(1);
1.167     brouard  10840: 
1.126     brouard  10841:   printf("Local time (at start):%s",strstart);
                   10842:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time (at start): %s",strstart);
                   10843:   fflush(ficlog);
                   10844: /*   (void) gettimeofday(&curr_time,&tzp); */
1.157     brouard  10845: /*   printf("Elapsed time %d\n", asc_diff_time(curr_time.tm_sec-start_time.tm_sec,tmpout)); */
1.126     brouard  10846: 
                   10847:   /* */
                   10848:   strcpy(fileres,"r");
                   10849:   strcat(fileres, optionfilefiname);
1.201     brouard  10850:   strcat(fileresu, optionfilefiname); /* Without r in front */
1.126     brouard  10851:   strcat(fileres,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.201     brouard  10852:   strcat(fileresu,".txt");    /* Other files have txt extension */
1.126     brouard  10853: 
1.186     brouard  10854:   /* Main ---------arguments file --------*/
1.126     brouard  10855: 
                   10856:   if((ficpar=fopen(optionfile,"r"))==NULL)    {
1.155     brouard  10857:     printf("Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
                   10858:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with optionfile '%s' with errno='%s'\n",optionfile,strerror(errno));
1.126     brouard  10859:     fflush(ficlog);
1.149     brouard  10860:     /* goto end; */
                   10861:     exit(70); 
1.126     brouard  10862:   }
                   10863: 
                   10864: 
                   10865: 
                   10866:   strcpy(filereso,"o");
1.201     brouard  10867:   strcat(filereso,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  10868:   if((ficparo=fopen(filereso,"w"))==NULL) { /* opened on subdirectory */
                   10869:     printf("Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10870:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Output resultfile: %s\n", filereso);
                   10871:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10872:     goto end;
                   10873:   }
1.278     brouard  10874:       /*-------- Rewriting parameter file ----------*/
                   10875:   strcpy(rfileres,"r");    /* "Rparameterfile */
                   10876:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilefiname);    /* Parameter file first name */
                   10877:   strcat(rfileres,".");    /* */
                   10878:   strcat(rfileres,optionfilext);    /* Other files have txt extension */
                   10879:   if((ficres =fopen(rfileres,"w"))==NULL) {
                   10880:     printf("Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10881:     fprintf(ficlog,"Problem writing new parameter file: %s\n", rfileres);goto end;
                   10882:     fflush(ficlog);
                   10883:     goto end;
                   10884:   }
                   10885:   fprintf(ficres,"#IMaCh %s\n",version);
1.126     brouard  10886: 
1.278     brouard  10887:                                      
1.126     brouard  10888:   /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   10889:   numlinepar=0;
1.277     brouard  10890:   /* Is it a BOM UTF-8 Windows file? */
                   10891:   /* First parameter line */
1.197     brouard  10892:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
1.277     brouard  10893:     noffset=0;
                   10894:     if( line[0] == (char)0xEF && line[1] == (char)0xBB) /* EF BB BF */
                   10895:     {
                   10896:       noffset=noffset+3;
                   10897:       printf("# File is an UTF8 Bom.\n"); // 0xBF
                   10898:     }
                   10899:     else if( line[0] == (char)0xFE && line[1] == (char)0xFF)
                   10900:     {
                   10901:       noffset=noffset+2;
                   10902:       printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10903:     }
                   10904:     else if( line[0] == 0 && line[1] == 0)
                   10905:     {
                   10906:       if( line[2] == (char)0xFE && line[3] == (char)0xFF){
                   10907:        noffset=noffset+4;
                   10908:        printf("# File is an UTF16BE BOM file\n");
                   10909:       }
                   10910:     } else{
                   10911:       ;/*printf(" Not a BOM file\n");*/
                   10912:     }
                   10913:   
1.197     brouard  10914:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.277     brouard  10915:     if (line[noffset] == '#') {
1.197     brouard  10916:       numlinepar++;
                   10917:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10918:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10919:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10920:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10921:       continue;
                   10922:     }else
                   10923:       break;
                   10924:   }
                   10925:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", \
                   10926:                        title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass)) !=EOF){
                   10927:     if (num_filled != 5) {
                   10928:       printf("Should be 5 parameters\n");
                   10929:     }
1.126     brouard  10930:     numlinepar++;
1.197     brouard  10931:     printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass);
                   10932:   }
                   10933:   /* Second parameter line */
                   10934:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10935:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10936:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10937:       numlinepar++;
                   10938:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10939:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10940:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10941:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10942:       continue;
                   10943:     }else
                   10944:       break;
                   10945:   }
1.223     brouard  10946:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"ftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n", \
                   10947:                        &ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nqv, &ntv, &nqtv, &nlstate, &ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt)) !=EOF){
                   10948:     if (num_filled != 11) {
                   10949:       printf("Not 11 parameters, for example:ftol=1.e-8 stepm=12 ncovcol=2 nqv=1 ntv=2 nqtv=1  nlstate=2 ndeath=1 maxwav=3 mle=1 weight=1\n");
1.209     brouard  10950:       printf("but line=%s\n",line);
1.197     brouard  10951:     }
1.223     brouard  10952:     printf("ftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\n",ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
1.126     brouard  10953:   }
1.203     brouard  10954:   /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
1.209     brouard  10955:   /*ftolpl=6.e-4; *//* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
1.197     brouard  10956:   /* Third parameter line */
                   10957:   while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   10958:     /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   10959:     if (line[0] == '#') {
                   10960:       numlinepar++;
                   10961:       fputs(line,stdout);
                   10962:       fputs(line,ficparo);
1.278     brouard  10963:       fputs(line,ficres);
1.197     brouard  10964:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   10965:       continue;
                   10966:     }else
                   10967:       break;
                   10968:   }
1.201     brouard  10969:   if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"model=1+age%[^.\n]", model)) !=EOF){
1.279   ! brouard  10970:     if (num_filled != 1){
        !          10971:       printf("ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
        !          10972:       fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: Model should be at minimum 'model=1+age' %s\n",num_filled, line);
1.197     brouard  10973:       model[0]='\0';
                   10974:       goto end;
                   10975:     }
                   10976:     else{
                   10977:       if (model[0]=='+'){
                   10978:        for(i=1; i<=strlen(model);i++)
                   10979:          modeltemp[i-1]=model[i];
1.201     brouard  10980:        strcpy(model,modeltemp); 
1.197     brouard  10981:       }
                   10982:     }
1.199     brouard  10983:     /* printf(" model=1+age%s modeltemp= %s, model=%s\n",model, modeltemp, model);fflush(stdout); */
1.203     brouard  10984:     printf("model=1+age+%s\n",model);fflush(stdout);
1.197     brouard  10985:   }
                   10986:   /* fscanf(ficpar,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%lf stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d model=1+age+%s\n",title, datafile, &lastobs, &firstpass,&lastpass,&ftol, &stepm, &ncovcol, &nlstate,&ndeath, &maxwav, &mle, &weightopt,model); */
                   10987:   /* numlinepar=numlinepar+3; /\* In general *\/ */
                   10988:   /* printf("title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nlstate,ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt,model); */
1.223     brouard  10989:   fprintf(ficparo,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
                   10990:   fprintf(ficlog,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle=%d weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol,stepm,ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate,ndeath,maxwav, mle, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  10991:   fflush(ficlog);
1.190     brouard  10992:   /* if(model[0]=='#'|| model[0]== '\0'){ */
                   10993:   if(model[0]=='#'){
1.279   ! brouard  10994:     printf("Error in 'model' line: model should start with 'model=1+age+' and end without space \n \
        !          10995:  'model=1+age+' or 'model=1+age+V1.' or 'model=1+age+age*age+V1+V1*age' or \n \
        !          10996:  'model=1+age+V1+V2' or 'model=1+age+V1+V2+V1*V2' etc. \n");           \
1.187     brouard  10997:     if(mle != -1){
1.279   ! brouard  10998:       printf("Fix the model line and run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter vectors and subdiagonal covariance matrix.\n");
1.187     brouard  10999:       exit(1);
                   11000:     }
                   11001:   }
1.126     brouard  11002:   while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11003:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11004:     fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11005:     numlinepar++;
1.195     brouard  11006:     if(line[1]=='q'){ /* This #q will quit imach (the answer is q) */
                   11007:       z[0]=line[1];
                   11008:     }
                   11009:     /* printf("****line [1] = %c \n",line[1]); */
1.141     brouard  11010:     fputs(line, stdout);
                   11011:     //puts(line);
1.126     brouard  11012:     fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11013:     fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11014:   }
                   11015:   ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11016: 
                   11017:    
1.145     brouard  11018:   covar=matrix(0,NCOVMAX,1,n);  /**< used in readdata */
1.268     brouard  11019:   if(nqv>=1)coqvar=matrix(1,nqv,1,n);  /**< Fixed quantitative covariate */
                   11020:   if(nqtv>=1)cotqvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying quantitative covariate */
                   11021:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)cotvar=ma3x(1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);  /**< Time varying covariate (dummy and quantitative)*/
1.136     brouard  11022:   cptcovn=0; /*Number of covariates, i.e. number of '+' in model statement plus one, indepently of n in Vn*/
                   11023:   /* v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes cptcovn = 5
                   11024:      v1+v2*age+v2*v3 makes cptcovn = 3
                   11025:   */
                   11026:   if (strlen(model)>1) 
1.187     brouard  11027:     ncovmodel=2+nbocc(model,'+')+1; /*Number of variables including intercept and age = cptcovn + intercept + age : v1+v2+v3+v2*v4+v5*age makes 5+2=7,age*age makes 3*/
1.145     brouard  11028:   else
1.187     brouard  11029:     ncovmodel=2; /* Constant and age */
1.133     brouard  11030:   nforce= (nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate; /* Number of forces ij from state i to j */
                   11031:   npar= nforce*ncovmodel; /* Number of parameters like aij*/
1.131     brouard  11032:   if(npar >MAXPARM || nlstate >NLSTATEMAX || ndeath >NDEATHMAX || ncovmodel>NCOVMAX){
                   11033:     printf("Too complex model for current IMaCh: npar=(nlstate+ndeath-1)*nlstate*ncovmodel=%d >= %d(MAXPARM) or nlstate=%d >= %d(NLSTATEMAX) or ndeath=%d >= %d(NDEATHMAX) or ncovmodel=(k+age+#of+signs)=%d(NCOVMAX) >= %d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11034:     fprintf(ficlog,"Too complex model for current IMaCh: %d >=%d(MAXPARM) or %d >=%d(NLSTATEMAX) or %d >=%d(NDEATHMAX) or %d(NCOVMAX) >=%d\n",npar, MAXPARM, nlstate, NLSTATEMAX, ndeath, NDEATHMAX, ncovmodel, NCOVMAX);
                   11035:     fflush(stdout);
                   11036:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11037:     goto end;
                   11038:   }
1.126     brouard  11039:   delti3= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11040:   delti=delti3[1][1];
                   11041:   /*delti=vector(1,npar); *//* Scale of each paramater (output from hesscov)*/
                   11042:   if(mle==-1){ /* Print a wizard for help writing covariance matrix */
1.247     brouard  11043: /* We could also provide initial parameters values giving by simple logistic regression 
                   11044:  * only one way, that is without matrix product. We will have nlstate maximizations */
                   11045:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11046:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11047:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11048:       /* } */
1.126     brouard  11049:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.191     brouard  11050:     printf(" You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11051:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-1, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11052:     free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   11053:     fclose (ficparo);
                   11054:     fclose (ficlog);
                   11055:     goto end;
                   11056:     exit(0);
1.220     brouard  11057:   }  else if(mle==-5) { /* Main Wizard */
1.126     brouard  11058:     prwizard(ncovmodel, nlstate, ndeath, model, ficparo);
1.192     brouard  11059:     printf(" You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
                   11060:     fprintf(ficlog," You chose mle=-3, look at file %s for a template of covariance matrix \n",filereso);
1.126     brouard  11061:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   11062:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11063:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.220     brouard  11064:   }  else{ /* Begin of mle != -1 or -5 */
1.145     brouard  11065:     /* Read guessed parameters */
1.126     brouard  11066:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11067:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11068:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11069:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11070:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11071:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11072:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11073:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11074:     }
                   11075:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11076:     
                   11077:     param= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.251     brouard  11078:     paramstart= ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.126     brouard  11079:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.234     brouard  11080:       j=0;
1.126     brouard  11081:       for(jj=1; jj <=nlstate+ndeath; jj++){
1.234     brouard  11082:        if(jj==i) continue;
                   11083:        j++;
                   11084:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11085:        if ((i1 != i) || (j1 != jj)){
                   11086:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n \
1.126     brouard  11087: It might be a problem of design; if ncovcol and the model are correct\n \
                   11088: run imach with mle=-1 to get a correct template of the parameter file.\n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
1.234     brouard  11089:          exit(1);
                   11090:        }
                   11091:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11092:        if(mle==1)
                   11093:          printf("%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11094:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,jj);
                   11095:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11096:          fscanf(ficpar," %lf",&param[i][j][k]);
                   11097:          if(mle==1){
                   11098:            printf(" %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11099:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11100:          }
                   11101:          else
                   11102:            fprintf(ficlog," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11103:          fprintf(ficparo," %lf",param[i][j][k]);
                   11104:        }
                   11105:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11106:        numlinepar++;
                   11107:        if(mle==1)
                   11108:          printf("\n");
                   11109:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11110:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11111:       }
                   11112:     }  
                   11113:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11114:     
1.251     brouard  11115:     /* Reads parameters values */
1.126     brouard  11116:     p=param[1][1];
1.251     brouard  11117:     pstart=paramstart[1][1];
1.126     brouard  11118:     
                   11119:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11120:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11121:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11122:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11123:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11124:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11125:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11126:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11127:     }
                   11128:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11129: 
                   11130:     for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11131:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath-1; j++){
1.234     brouard  11132:        fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d",&i1,&j1);
                   11133:        if ( (i1-i) * (j1-j) != 0){
                   11134:          printf("Error in line parameters number %d, %1d%1d instead of %1d%1d \n",numlinepar, i,j, i1, j1);
                   11135:          exit(1);
                   11136:        }
                   11137:        printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11138:        fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11139:        fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i1,j1);
                   11140:        for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11141:          fscanf(ficpar,"%le",&delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11142:          printf(" %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11143:          fprintf(ficparo," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11144:          fprintf(ficlog," %le",delti3[i][j][k]);
                   11145:        }
                   11146:        fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11147:        numlinepar++;
                   11148:        printf("\n");
                   11149:        fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11150:        fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
1.126     brouard  11151:       }
                   11152:     }
                   11153:     fflush(ficlog);
1.234     brouard  11154:     
1.145     brouard  11155:     /* Reads covariance matrix */
1.126     brouard  11156:     delti=delti3[1][1];
1.220     brouard  11157:                
                   11158:                
1.126     brouard  11159:     /* free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1,nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); */ /* Hasn't to to freed here otherwise delti is no more allocated */
1.220     brouard  11160:                
1.126     brouard  11161:     /* Reads comments: lines beginning with '#' */
                   11162:     while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){
                   11163:       ungetc(c,ficpar);
                   11164:       fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar);
                   11165:       numlinepar++;
1.141     brouard  11166:       fputs(line,stdout);
1.126     brouard  11167:       fputs(line,ficparo);
                   11168:       fputs(line,ficlog);
                   11169:     }
                   11170:     ungetc(c,ficpar);
1.220     brouard  11171:                
1.126     brouard  11172:     matcov=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.203     brouard  11173:     hess=matrix(1,npar,1,npar);
1.131     brouard  11174:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11175:       for(j=1; j <=npar; j++) matcov[i][j]=0.;
1.220     brouard  11176:                
1.194     brouard  11177:     /* Scans npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11178:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++){
1.226     brouard  11179:       count=fscanf(ficpar,"%1d%1d%d",&i1,&j1,&jk);
1.194     brouard  11180:       if(count != 3){
1.226     brouard  11181:        printf("Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11182: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11183: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11184:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error! Error in parameter file %s at line %d after line starting with %1d%1d%1d\n\
1.194     brouard  11185: This is probably because your covariance matrix doesn't \n  contain exactly %d lines corresponding to your model line '1+age+%s'.\n\
                   11186: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",optionfile,numlinepar, i1,j1,jk, npar, model);
1.226     brouard  11187:        exit(1);
1.220     brouard  11188:       }else{
1.226     brouard  11189:        if(mle==1)
                   11190:          printf("%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11191:       }
                   11192:       fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
                   11193:       fprintf(ficparo,"%1d%1d%d",i1,j1,jk);
1.126     brouard  11194:       for(j=1; j <=i; j++){
1.226     brouard  11195:        fscanf(ficpar," %le",&matcov[i][j]);
                   11196:        if(mle==1){
                   11197:          printf(" %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11198:        }
                   11199:        fprintf(ficlog," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
                   11200:        fprintf(ficparo," %.5le",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11201:       }
                   11202:       fscanf(ficpar,"\n");
                   11203:       numlinepar++;
                   11204:       if(mle==1)
1.220     brouard  11205:                                printf("\n");
1.126     brouard  11206:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11207:       fprintf(ficparo,"\n");
                   11208:     }
1.194     brouard  11209:     /* End of read covariance matrix npar lines */
1.126     brouard  11210:     for(i=1; i <=npar; i++)
                   11211:       for(j=i+1;j<=npar;j++)
1.226     brouard  11212:        matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11213:     
                   11214:     if(mle==1)
                   11215:       printf("\n");
                   11216:     fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11217:     
                   11218:     fflush(ficlog);
                   11219:     
                   11220:   }    /* End of mle != -3 */
1.218     brouard  11221:   
1.186     brouard  11222:   /*  Main data
                   11223:    */
1.126     brouard  11224:   n= lastobs;
                   11225:   num=lvector(1,n);
                   11226:   moisnais=vector(1,n);
                   11227:   annais=vector(1,n);
                   11228:   moisdc=vector(1,n);
                   11229:   andc=vector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11230:   weight=vector(1,n);
1.126     brouard  11231:   agedc=vector(1,n);
                   11232:   cod=ivector(1,n);
1.220     brouard  11233:   for(i=1;i<=n;i++){
1.234     brouard  11234:     num[i]=0;
                   11235:     moisnais[i]=0;
                   11236:     annais[i]=0;
                   11237:     moisdc[i]=0;
                   11238:     andc[i]=0;
                   11239:     agedc[i]=0;
                   11240:     cod[i]=0;
                   11241:     weight[i]=1.0; /* Equal weights, 1 by default */
                   11242:   }
1.126     brouard  11243:   mint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11244:   anint=matrix(1,maxwav,1,n);
1.131     brouard  11245:   s=imatrix(1,maxwav+1,1,n); /* s[i][j] health state for wave i and individual j */ 
1.126     brouard  11246:   tab=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);
1.144     brouard  11247:   ncodemax=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.192     brouard  11248:   ncodemaxwundef=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Number of code per covariate; if - 1 O and 1 only, 2**ncov; V1+V2+V3+V4=>16 */
1.126     brouard  11249: 
1.136     brouard  11250:   /* Reads data from file datafile */
                   11251:   if (readdata(datafile, firstobs, lastobs, &imx)==1)
                   11252:     goto end;
                   11253: 
                   11254:   /* Calculation of the number of parameters from char model */
1.234     brouard  11255:   /*    modelsav=V2+V1+V4+age*V3 strb=age*V3 stra=V2+V1+V4 
1.137     brouard  11256:        k=4 (age*V3) Tvar[k=4]= 3 (from V3) Tag[cptcovage=1]=4
                   11257:        k=3 V4 Tvar[k=3]= 4 (from V4)
                   11258:        k=2 V1 Tvar[k=2]= 1 (from V1)
                   11259:        k=1 Tvar[1]=2 (from V2)
1.234     brouard  11260:   */
                   11261:   
                   11262:   Tvar=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Was 15 changed to NCOVMAX. */
                   11263:   TvarsDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11264:   TvarsD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11265:   TvarsQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11266:   TvarsQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.232     brouard  11267:   TvarF=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11268:   TvarFind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11269:   TvarV=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11270:   TvarVind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11271:   TvarA=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11272:   TvarAind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.231     brouard  11273:   TvarFD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11274:   TvarFDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11275:   TvarFQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11276:   TvarFQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11277:   TvarVD=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11278:   TvarVDind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11279:   TvarVQ=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11280:   TvarVQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
                   11281: 
1.230     brouard  11282:   Tvalsel=vector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.233     brouard  11283:   Tvarsel=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /*  */
1.226     brouard  11284:   Typevar=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 2 */
                   11285:   Fixed=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
                   11286:   Dummy=ivector(-1,NCOVMAX); /* -1 to 3 */
1.137     brouard  11287:   /*  V2+V1+V4+age*V3 is a model with 4 covariates (3 plus signs). 
                   11288:       For each model-covariate stores the data-covariate id. Tvar[1]=2, Tvar[2]=1, Tvar[3]=4, 
                   11289:       Tvar[4=age*V3] is 3 and 'age' is recorded in Tage.
                   11290:   */
                   11291:   /* For model-covariate k tells which data-covariate to use but
                   11292:     because this model-covariate is a construction we invent a new column
                   11293:     ncovcol + k1
                   11294:     If already ncovcol=4 and model=V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11295:     Tvar[3=V1*V4]=4+1 etc */
1.227     brouard  11296:   Tprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k position of the k1 product */
                   11297:   Tposprod=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the k1 product from the k position */
1.137     brouard  11298:   /* Tprod[k1=1]=3(=V1*V4) for V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3
                   11299:      if  V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2   TProd[k1=2]=5 (V3*V2)
1.227     brouard  11300:      Tposprod[k]=k1 , Tposprod[3]=1, Tposprod[5]=2 
1.137     brouard  11301:   */
1.145     brouard  11302:   Tvaraff=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Unclear */
                   11303:   Tvard=imatrix(1,NCOVMAX,1,2); /* n=Tvard[k1][1]  and m=Tvard[k1][2] gives the couple n,m of the k1 th product Vn*Vm
1.141     brouard  11304:                            * For V3*V2 (in V2+V1+V1*V4+age*V3+V3*V2), V3*V2 position is 2nd. 
                   11305:                            * Tvard[k1=2][1]=3 (V3) Tvard[k1=2][2]=2(V2) */
1.145     brouard  11306:   Tage=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* Gives the covariate id of covariates associated with age: V2 + V1 + age*V4 + V3*age
1.137     brouard  11307:                         4 covariates (3 plus signs)
                   11308:                         Tage[1=V3*age]= 4; Tage[2=age*V4] = 3
                   11309:                      */  
1.230     brouard  11310:   Tmodelind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.227     brouard  11311:                                * individual dummy, fixed or varying:
                   11312:                                * Tmodelind[Tvaraff[3]]=9,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11313:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
1.230     brouard  11314:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1 , 
                   11315:                                * V1 df, V2 qf, V3 & V4 dv, V5 qv
                   11316:                                * Tmodelind[1]@9={9,0,3,2,}*/
                   11317:   TmodelInvind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX); /* TmodelInvind=Tvar[k]- ncovcol-nqv={5-2-1=2,*/
                   11318:   TmodelInvQind=ivector(1,NCOVMAX);/** gives the k model position of an
1.228     brouard  11319:                                * individual quantitative, fixed or varying:
                   11320:                                * Tmodelqind[1]=1,Tvaraff[1]@9={4,
                   11321:                                * 3, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0},
                   11322:                                * model=V5+V4+V3+V4*V3+V5*age+V2+V1*V2+V1*age+V1*/
1.186     brouard  11323: /* Main decodemodel */
                   11324: 
1.187     brouard  11325: 
1.223     brouard  11326:   if(decodemodel(model, lastobs) == 1) /* In order to get Tvar[k] V4+V3+V5 p Tvar[1]@3  = {4, 3, 5}*/
1.136     brouard  11327:     goto end;
                   11328: 
1.137     brouard  11329:   if((double)(lastobs-imx)/(double)imx > 1.10){
                   11330:     nbwarn++;
                   11331:     printf("Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11332:     fprintf(ficlog,"Warning: The value of parameter lastobs=%d is big compared to the \n  effective number of cases imx=%d, please adjust, \n  otherwise you are allocating more memory than necessary.\n",lastobs, imx); 
                   11333:   }
1.136     brouard  11334:     /*  if(mle==1){*/
1.137     brouard  11335:   if (weightopt != 1) { /* Maximisation without weights. We can have weights different from 1 but want no weight*/
                   11336:     for(i=1;i<=imx;i++) weight[i]=1.0; /* changed to imx */
1.136     brouard  11337:   }
                   11338: 
                   11339:     /*-calculation of age at interview from date of interview and age at death -*/
                   11340:   agev=matrix(1,maxwav,1,imx);
                   11341: 
                   11342:   if(calandcheckages(imx, maxwav, &agemin, &agemax, &nberr, &nbwarn) == 1)
                   11343:     goto end;
                   11344: 
1.126     brouard  11345: 
1.136     brouard  11346:   agegomp=(int)agemin;
                   11347:   free_vector(moisnais,1,n);
                   11348:   free_vector(annais,1,n);
1.126     brouard  11349:   /* free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   11350:      free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n);*/
1.215     brouard  11351:   /* free_vector(moisdc,1,n); */
                   11352:   /* free_vector(andc,1,n); */
1.145     brouard  11353:   /* */
                   11354:   
1.126     brouard  11355:   wav=ivector(1,imx);
1.214     brouard  11356:   /* dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11357:   /* bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11358:   /* mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+1,1,imx); */
                   11359:   dh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); /* We are adding a wave if status is unknown at last wave but death occurs after last wave.*/
                   11360:   bh=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   11361:   mw=imatrix(1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
1.126     brouard  11362:    
                   11363:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.214     brouard  11364:   /* Concatenates waves: wav[i] is the number of effective (useful waves) of individual i.
                   11365:      Death is a valid wave (if date is known).
                   11366:      mw[mi][i] is the number of (mi=1 to wav[i]) effective wave out of mi of individual i
                   11367:      dh[m][i] or dh[mw[mi][i]][i] is the delay between two effective waves m=mw[mi][i]
                   11368:      and mw[mi+1][i]. dh depends on stepm.
                   11369:   */
                   11370: 
1.126     brouard  11371:   concatwav(wav, dh, bh, mw, s, agedc, agev,  firstpass, lastpass, imx, nlstate, stepm);
1.248     brouard  11372:   /* Concatenates waves */
1.145     brouard  11373:  
1.215     brouard  11374:   free_vector(moisdc,1,n);
                   11375:   free_vector(andc,1,n);
                   11376: 
1.126     brouard  11377:   /* Routine tricode is to calculate cptcoveff (real number of unique covariates) and to associate covariable number and modality */
                   11378:   nbcode=imatrix(0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX); 
                   11379:   ncodemax[1]=1;
1.145     brouard  11380:   Ndum =ivector(-1,NCOVMAX);  
1.225     brouard  11381:   cptcoveff=0;
1.220     brouard  11382:   if (ncovmodel-nagesqr > 2 ){ /* That is if covariate other than cst, age and age*age */
                   11383:     tricode(&cptcoveff,Tvar,nbcode,imx, Ndum); /**< Fills nbcode[Tvar[j]][l]; */
1.227     brouard  11384:   }
                   11385:   
                   11386:   ncovcombmax=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11387:   invalidvarcomb=ivector(1, ncovcombmax); 
                   11388:   for(i=1;i<ncovcombmax;i++)
                   11389:     invalidvarcomb[i]=0;
                   11390:   
1.211     brouard  11391:   /* Nbcode gives the value of the lth modality (currently 1 to 2) of jth covariate, in
1.186     brouard  11392:      V2+V1*age, there are 3 covariates Tvar[2]=1 (V1).*/
1.211     brouard  11393:   /* 1 to ncodemax[j] which is the maximum value of this jth covariate */
1.227     brouard  11394:   
1.200     brouard  11395:   /*  codtab=imatrix(1,100,1,10);*/ /* codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) */
1.198     brouard  11396:   /*printf(" codtab[1,1],codtab[100,10]=%d,%d\n", codtab[1][1],codtabm(100,10));*/
1.186     brouard  11397:   /* codtab gives the value 1 or 2 of the hth combination of k covariates (1 or 2).*/
1.211     brouard  11398:   /* nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(h,j)]) : if there are only 2 modalities for a covariate j, 
                   11399:    * codtabm(h,j) gives its value classified at position h and nbcode gives how it is coded 
                   11400:    * (currently 0 or 1) in the data.
                   11401:    * In a loop on h=1 to 2**k, and a loop on j (=1 to k), we get the value of 
                   11402:    * corresponding modality (h,j).
                   11403:    */
                   11404: 
1.145     brouard  11405:   h=0;
                   11406:   /*if (cptcovn > 0) */
1.126     brouard  11407:   m=pow(2,cptcoveff);
                   11408:  
1.144     brouard  11409:          /**< codtab(h,k)  k   = codtab[h,k]=( (h-1) - mod(k-1,2**(k-1) )/2**(k-1) + 1
1.211     brouard  11410:           * For k=4 covariates, h goes from 1 to m=2**k
                   11411:           * codtabm(h,k)=  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1)) + 1;
                   11412:            * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
1.186     brouard  11413:           *     h\k   1     2     3     4
1.143     brouard  11414:           *______________________________  
                   11415:           *     1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1 i=1 1
                   11416:           *     2     2     1     1     1
                   11417:           *     3 i=2 1     2     1     1
                   11418:           *     4     2     2     1     1
                   11419:           *     5 i=3 1 i=2 1     2     1
                   11420:           *     6     2     1     2     1
                   11421:           *     7 i=4 1     2     2     1
                   11422:           *     8     2     2     2     1
1.197     brouard  11423:           *     9 i=5 1 i=3 1 i=2 1     2
                   11424:           *    10     2     1     1     2
                   11425:           *    11 i=6 1     2     1     2
                   11426:           *    12     2     2     1     2
                   11427:           *    13 i=7 1 i=4 1     2     2    
                   11428:           *    14     2     1     2     2
                   11429:           *    15 i=8 1     2     2     2
                   11430:           *    16     2     2     2     2
1.143     brouard  11431:           */
1.212     brouard  11432:   /* How to do the opposite? From combination h (=1 to 2**k) how to get the value on the covariates? */
1.211     brouard  11433:      /* from h=5 and m, we get then number of covariates k=log(m)/log(2)=4
                   11434:      * and the value of each covariate?
                   11435:      * V1=1, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1 ?
                   11436:      * h-1=4 and 4 is 0100 or reverse 0010, and +1 is 1121 ok.
                   11437:      * h=6, 6-1=5, 5 is 0101, 1010, 2121, V1=2nd, V2=1st, V3=2nd, V4=1st.
                   11438:      * In order to get the real value in the data, we use nbcode
                   11439:      * nbcode[Tvar[3][2nd]]=1 and nbcode[Tvar[4][1]]=0
                   11440:      * We are keeping this crazy system in order to be able (in the future?) 
                   11441:      * to have more than 2 values (0 or 1) for a covariate.
                   11442:      * #define codtabm(h,k)  (1 & (h-1) >> (k-1))+1
                   11443:      * h=6, k=2? h-1=5=0101, reverse 1010, +1=2121, k=2nd position: value is 1: codtabm(6,2)=1
                   11444:      *              bbbbbbbb
                   11445:      *              76543210     
                   11446:      *   h-1        00000101 (6-1=5)
1.219     brouard  11447:      *(h-1)>>(k-1)= 00000010 >> (2-1) = 1 right shift
1.211     brouard  11448:      *           &
                   11449:      *     1        00000001 (1)
1.219     brouard  11450:      *              00000000        = 1 & ((h-1) >> (k-1))
                   11451:      *          +1= 00000001 =1 
1.211     brouard  11452:      *
                   11453:      * h=14, k=3 => h'=h-1=13, k'=k-1=2
                   11454:      *          h'      1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11455:      *    >>k'            11
                   11456:      *          &   00000001
                   11457:      *            = 00000001
                   11458:      *      +1    = 00000010=2    =  codtabm(14,3)   
                   11459:      * Reverse h=6 and m=16?
                   11460:      * cptcoveff=log(16)/log(2)=4 covariate: 6-1=5=0101 reversed=1010 +1=2121 =>V1=2, V2=1, V3=2, V4=1.
                   11461:      * for (j=1 to cptcoveff) Vj=decodtabm(j,h,cptcoveff)
                   11462:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 
                   11463:      * decodtabm(h,j,cptcoveff)= (h <= (1<<cptcoveff)?(((h-1) >> (j-1)) & 1) +1 : -1)
                   11464:      * V3=decodtabm(14,3,2**4)=2
                   11465:      *          h'=13   1101 =2^3+2^2+0x2^1+2^0
                   11466:      *(h-1) >> (j-1)    0011 =13 >> 2
                   11467:      *          &1 000000001
                   11468:      *           = 000000001
                   11469:      *         +1= 000000010 =2
                   11470:      *                  2211
                   11471:      *                  V1=1+1, V2=0+1, V3=1+1, V4=1+1
                   11472:      *                  V3=2
1.220     brouard  11473:                 * codtabm and decodtabm are identical
1.211     brouard  11474:      */
                   11475: 
1.145     brouard  11476: 
                   11477:  free_ivector(Ndum,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   11478: 
                   11479: 
1.126     brouard  11480:     
1.186     brouard  11481:   /* Initialisation of ----------- gnuplot -------------*/
1.126     brouard  11482:   strcpy(optionfilegnuplot,optionfilefiname);
                   11483:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11484:     strcat(optionfilegnuplot,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11485:   strcat(optionfilegnuplot,".gp");
                   11486: 
                   11487:   if((ficgp=fopen(optionfilegnuplot,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11488:     printf("Problem with file %s",optionfilegnuplot);
                   11489:   }
                   11490:   else{
1.204     brouard  11491:     fprintf(ficgp,"\n# IMaCh-%s\n", version); 
1.126     brouard  11492:     fprintf(ficgp,"# %s\n", optionfilegnuplot); 
1.141     brouard  11493:     //fprintf(ficgp,"set missing 'NaNq'\n");
                   11494:     fprintf(ficgp,"set datafile missing 'NaNq'\n");
1.126     brouard  11495:   }
                   11496:   /*  fclose(ficgp);*/
1.186     brouard  11497: 
                   11498: 
                   11499:   /* Initialisation of --------- index.htm --------*/
1.126     brouard  11500: 
                   11501:   strcpy(optionfilehtm,optionfilefiname); /* Main html file */
                   11502:   if(mle==-3)
1.201     brouard  11503:     strcat(optionfilehtm,"-MORT_");
1.126     brouard  11504:   strcat(optionfilehtm,".htm");
                   11505:   if((fichtm=fopen(optionfilehtm,"w"))==NULL)    {
1.131     brouard  11506:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtm);
                   11507:     exit(0);
1.126     brouard  11508:   }
                   11509: 
                   11510:   strcpy(optionfilehtmcov,optionfilefiname); /* Only for matrix of covariance */
                   11511:   strcat(optionfilehtmcov,"-cov.htm");
                   11512:   if((fichtmcov=fopen(optionfilehtmcov,"w"))==NULL)    {
                   11513:     printf("Problem with %s \n",optionfilehtmcov), exit(0);
                   11514:   }
                   11515:   else{
                   11516:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<html><head>\n<title>IMaCh Cov %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"2\">%s <br> %s</font> \
                   11517: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11518: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n",\
1.126     brouard  11519:          optionfilehtmcov,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model);
                   11520:   }
                   11521: 
1.213     brouard  11522:   fprintf(fichtm,"<html><head>\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"utf-8\"/><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<title>IMaCh %s</title></head>\n <body><font size=\"7\"><a href=http:/euroreves.ined.fr/imach>IMaCh for Interpolated Markov Chain</a> </font><br>\n<font size=\"3\">Sponsored by Copyright (C)  2002-2015 <a href=http://www.ined.fr>INED</a>-EUROREVES-Institut de longévité-2013-2016-Japan Society for the Promotion of Sciences 日本学術振興会 (<a href=https://www.jsps.go.jp/english/e-grants/>Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research 25293121</a>) - <a href=https://software.intel.com/en-us>Intel Software 2015-2018</a></font><br>  \
1.204     brouard  11523: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
                   11524: <font size=\"2\">IMaCh-%s <br> %s</font> \
1.126     brouard  11525: <hr size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\"> \n\
1.204     brouard  11526: Title=%s <br>Datafile=%s Firstpass=%d Lastpass=%d Stepm=%d Weight=%d Model=1+age+%s<br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11527: \n\
                   11528: <hr  size=\"2\" color=\"#EC5E5E\">\
                   11529:  <ul><li><h4>Parameter files</h4>\n\
                   11530:  - Parameter file: <a href=\"%s.%s\">%s.%s</a><br>\n\
                   11531:  - Copy of the parameter file: <a href=\"o%s\">o%s</a><br>\n\
                   11532:  - Log file of the run: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11533:  - Gnuplot file name: <a href=\"%s\">%s</a><br>\n\
                   11534:  - Date and time at start: %s</ul>\n",\
                   11535:          optionfilehtm,version,fullversion,title,datafile,firstpass,lastpass,stepm, weightopt, model,\
                   11536:          optionfilefiname,optionfilext,optionfilefiname,optionfilext,\
                   11537:          fileres,fileres,\
                   11538:          filelog,filelog,optionfilegnuplot,optionfilegnuplot,strstart);
                   11539:   fflush(fichtm);
                   11540: 
                   11541:   strcpy(pathr,path);
                   11542:   strcat(pathr,optionfilefiname);
1.184     brouard  11543: #ifdef WIN32
                   11544:   _chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
                   11545: #else
1.126     brouard  11546:   chdir(optionfilefiname); /* Move to directory named optionfile */
1.184     brouard  11547: #endif
                   11548:          
1.126     brouard  11549:   
1.220     brouard  11550:   /* Calculates basic frequencies. Computes observed prevalence at single age 
                   11551:                 and for any valid combination of covariates
1.126     brouard  11552:      and prints on file fileres'p'. */
1.251     brouard  11553:   freqsummary(fileres, p, pstart, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvaraff, invalidvarcomb, nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint,strstart, \
1.227     brouard  11554:              firstpass, lastpass,  stepm,  weightopt, model);
1.126     brouard  11555: 
                   11556:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n");
1.274     brouard  11557:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4>Parameter line 2</h4><ul><li>Tolerance for the convergence of the likelihood: ftol=%f \n<li>Interval for the elementary matrix (in month): stepm=%d",\
                   11558:          ftol, stepm);
                   11559:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of fixed dummy covariates: ncovcol=%d ", ncovcol);
                   11560:   ncurrv=1;
                   11561:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncovcol; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11562:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of fixed quantitative variables: nqv=%d ", nqv); 
                   11563:   ncurrv=i;
                   11564:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11565:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li> Number of time varying (wave varying) covariates: ntv=%d ", ntv);
                   11566:   ncurrv=i;
                   11567:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+ntv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11568:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Number of quantitative time varying covariates: nqtv=%d ", nqtv);
                   11569:   ncurrv=i;
                   11570:   for(i=ncurrv; i <=ncurrv-1+nqtv; i++) fprintf(fichtm,"V%d ", i);
                   11571:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<li>Weights column \n<br>Number of alive states: nlstate=%d <br>Number of death states (not really implemented): ndeath=%d \n<li>Number of waves: maxwav=%d \n<li>Parameter for maximization (1), using parameter values (0), for design of parameters and variance-covariance matrix: mle=%d \n<li>Does the weight column be taken into account (1), or not (0): weight=%d</ul>\n", \
                   11572:           nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, mle, weightopt);
                   11573: 
                   11574:   fprintf(fichtm,"<h4> Diagram of states <a href=\"%s_.svg\">%s_.svg</a></h4> \n\
                   11575: <img src=\"%s_.svg\">", subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"),subdirf2(optionfilefiname,"D_"));
                   11576: 
                   11577:   
                   11578:   fprintf(fichtm,"\n<h4>Some descriptive statistics </h4>\n<br>Total number of observations=%d <br>\n\
1.126     brouard  11579: Youngest age at first (selected) pass %.2f, oldest age %.2f<br>\n\
                   11580: Interval (in months) between two waves: Min=%d Max=%d Mean=%.2lf<br>\n",\
1.274     brouard  11581:   imx,agemin,agemax,jmin,jmax,jmean);
1.126     brouard  11582:   pmmij= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
1.268     brouard  11583:   oldms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11584:   newms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11585:   savms= matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath); /* creation */
                   11586:   oldm=oldms; newm=newms; savm=savms; /* Keeps fixed addresses to free */
1.218     brouard  11587: 
1.126     brouard  11588:   /* For Powell, parameters are in a vector p[] starting at p[1]
                   11589:      so we point p on param[1][1] so that p[1] maps on param[1][1][1] */
                   11590:   p=param[1][1]; /* *(*(*(param +1)+1)+0) */
                   11591: 
                   11592:   globpr=0; /* To get the number ipmx of contributions and the sum of weights*/
1.186     brouard  11593:   /* For mortality only */
1.126     brouard  11594:   if (mle==-3){
1.136     brouard  11595:     ximort=matrix(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); 
1.248     brouard  11596:     for(i=1;i<=NDIM;i++)
                   11597:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
                   11598:        ximort[i][j]=0.;
1.186     brouard  11599:     /*     ximort=gsl_matrix_alloc(1,NDIM,1,NDIM); */
1.126     brouard  11600:     cens=ivector(1,n);
                   11601:     ageexmed=vector(1,n);
                   11602:     agecens=vector(1,n);
                   11603:     dcwave=ivector(1,n);
1.223     brouard  11604:                
1.126     brouard  11605:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){
                   11606:       dcwave[i]=-1;
                   11607:       for (m=firstpass; m<=lastpass; m++)
1.226     brouard  11608:        if (s[m][i]>nlstate) {
                   11609:          dcwave[i]=m;
                   11610:          /*    printf("i=%d j=%d s=%d dcwave=%d\n",i,j, s[j][i],dcwave[i]);*/
                   11611:          break;
                   11612:        }
1.126     brouard  11613:     }
1.226     brouard  11614:     
1.126     brouard  11615:     for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) {
                   11616:       if (wav[i]>0){
1.226     brouard  11617:        ageexmed[i]=agev[mw[1][i]][i];
                   11618:        j=wav[i];
                   11619:        agecens[i]=1.; 
                   11620:        
                   11621:        if (ageexmed[i]> 1 && wav[i] > 0){
                   11622:          agecens[i]=agev[mw[j][i]][i];
                   11623:          cens[i]= 1;
                   11624:        }else if (ageexmed[i]< 1) 
                   11625:          cens[i]= -1;
                   11626:        if (agedc[i]< AGESUP && agedc[i]>1 && dcwave[i]>firstpass && dcwave[i]<=lastpass)
                   11627:          cens[i]=0 ;
1.126     brouard  11628:       }
                   11629:       else cens[i]=-1;
                   11630:     }
                   11631:     
                   11632:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
                   11633:       for (j=1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.226     brouard  11634:        ximort[i][j]=(i == j ? 1.0 : 0.0);
1.126     brouard  11635:     }
                   11636:     
1.145     brouard  11637:     /*p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083;*/
1.126     brouard  11638:     /*printf("%lf %lf", p[1], p[2]);*/
                   11639:     
                   11640:     
1.136     brouard  11641: #ifdef GSL
                   11642:     printf("GSL optimization\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.162     brouard  11643: #else
1.126     brouard  11644:     printf("Powell\n");  fprintf(ficlog,"Powell\n");
1.136     brouard  11645: #endif
1.201     brouard  11646:     strcpy(filerespow,"POW-MORT_"); 
                   11647:     strcat(filerespow,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  11648:     if((ficrespow=fopen(filerespow,"w"))==NULL) {
                   11649:       printf("Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11650:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with resultfile: %s\n", filerespow);
                   11651:     }
1.136     brouard  11652: #ifdef GSL
                   11653:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# GSL optimization\n# iter -2*LL");
1.162     brouard  11654: #else
1.126     brouard  11655:     fprintf(ficrespow,"# Powell\n# iter -2*LL");
1.136     brouard  11656: #endif
1.126     brouard  11657:     /*  for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++)
                   11658:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
                   11659:        if(j!=i)fprintf(ficrespow," p%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11660:     */
                   11661:     fprintf(ficrespow,"\n");
1.136     brouard  11662: #ifdef GSL
                   11663:     /* gsl starts here */ 
                   11664:     T = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_nmsimplex;
                   11665:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer *sfm = NULL;
                   11666:     gsl_vector *ss, *x;
                   11667:     gsl_multimin_function minex_func;
                   11668: 
                   11669:     /* Initial vertex size vector */
                   11670:     ss = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11671:     
                   11672:     if (ss == NULL){
                   11673:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for ss", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11674:     }
                   11675:     /* Set all step sizes to 1 */
                   11676:     gsl_vector_set_all (ss, 0.001);
                   11677: 
                   11678:     /* Starting point */
1.126     brouard  11679:     
1.136     brouard  11680:     x = gsl_vector_alloc (NDIM);
                   11681:     
                   11682:     if (x == NULL){
                   11683:       gsl_vector_free(ss);
                   11684:       GSL_ERROR_VAL ("failed to allocate space for x", GSL_ENOMEM, 0);
                   11685:     }
                   11686:   
                   11687:     /* Initialize method and iterate */
                   11688:     /*     p[1]=0.0268; p[NDIM]=0.083; */
1.186     brouard  11689:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, 0.0268); */
                   11690:     /*     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, 0.083); */
1.136     brouard  11691:     gsl_vector_set(x, 0, p[1]);
                   11692:     gsl_vector_set(x, 1, p[2]);
                   11693: 
                   11694:     minex_func.f = &gompertz_f;
                   11695:     minex_func.n = NDIM;
                   11696:     minex_func.params = (void *)&p; /* ??? */
                   11697:     
                   11698:     sfm = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_alloc (T, NDIM);
                   11699:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_set (sfm, &minex_func, x, ss);
                   11700:     
                   11701:     printf("Iterations beginning .....\n\n");
                   11702:     printf("Iter. #    Intercept       Slope     -Log Likelihood     Simplex size\n");
                   11703: 
                   11704:     iteri=0;
                   11705:     while (rval == GSL_CONTINUE){
                   11706:       iteri++;
                   11707:       status = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_iterate(sfm);
                   11708:       
                   11709:       if (status) printf("error: %s\n", gsl_strerror (status));
                   11710:       fflush(0);
                   11711:       
                   11712:       if (status) 
                   11713:         break;
                   11714:       
                   11715:       rval = gsl_multimin_test_size (gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm), 1e-6);
                   11716:       ssval = gsl_multimin_fminimizer_size (sfm);
                   11717:       
                   11718:       if (rval == GSL_SUCCESS)
                   11719:         printf ("converged to a local maximum at\n");
                   11720:       
                   11721:       printf("%5d ", iteri);
                   11722:       for (it = 0; it < NDIM; it++){
                   11723:        printf ("%10.5f ", gsl_vector_get (sfm->x, it));
                   11724:       }
                   11725:       printf("f() = %-10.5f ssize = %.7f\n", sfm->fval, ssval);
                   11726:     }
                   11727:     
                   11728:     printf("\n\n Please note: Program should be run many times with varying starting points to detemine global maximum\n\n");
                   11729:     
                   11730:     gsl_vector_free(x); /* initial values */
                   11731:     gsl_vector_free(ss); /* inital step size */
                   11732:     for (it=0; it<NDIM; it++){
                   11733:       p[it+1]=gsl_vector_get(sfm->x,it);
                   11734:       fprintf(ficrespow," %.12lf", p[it]);
                   11735:     }
                   11736:     gsl_multimin_fminimizer_free (sfm); /* p *(sfm.x.data) et p *(sfm.x.data+1)  */
                   11737: #endif
                   11738: #ifdef POWELL
                   11739:      powell(p,ximort,NDIM,ftol,&iter,&fret,gompertz);
                   11740: #endif  
1.126     brouard  11741:     fclose(ficrespow);
                   11742:     
1.203     brouard  11743:     hesscov(matcov, hess, p, NDIM, delti, 1e-4, gompertz); 
1.126     brouard  11744: 
                   11745:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++)
                   11746:       for(j=i+1;j<=NDIM;j++)
1.220     brouard  11747:                                matcov[i][j]=matcov[j][i];
1.126     brouard  11748:     
                   11749:     printf("\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.203     brouard  11750:     fprintf(ficlog,"\nCovariance matrix\n ");
1.126     brouard  11751:     for(i=1; i <=NDIM; i++) {
                   11752:       for(j=1;j<=NDIM;j++){ 
1.220     brouard  11753:                                printf("%f ",matcov[i][j]);
                   11754:                                fprintf(ficlog,"%f ",matcov[i][j]);
1.126     brouard  11755:       }
1.203     brouard  11756:       printf("\n ");  fprintf(ficlog,"\n ");
1.126     brouard  11757:     }
                   11758:     
                   11759:     printf("iter=%d MLE=%f Eq=%lf*exp(%lf*(age-%d))\n",iter,-gompertz(p),p[1],p[2],agegomp);
1.193     brouard  11760:     for (i=1;i<=NDIM;i++) {
1.126     brouard  11761:       printf("%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
1.193     brouard  11762:       fprintf(ficlog,"%f [%f ; %f]\n",p[i],p[i]-2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]),p[i]+2*sqrt(matcov[i][i]));
                   11763:     }
1.126     brouard  11764:     lsurv=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11765:     lpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11766:     tpop=vector(1,AGESUP);
                   11767:     lsurv[agegomp]=100000;
                   11768:     
                   11769:     for (k=agegomp;k<=AGESUP;k++) {
                   11770:       agemortsup=k;
                   11771:       if (p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp))>1) break;
                   11772:     }
                   11773:     
                   11774:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++)
                   11775:       lsurv[k+1]=lsurv[k]-lsurv[k]*(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)));
                   11776:     
                   11777:     for (k=agegomp;k<agemortsup;k++){
                   11778:       lpop[k]=(lsurv[k]+lsurv[k+1])/2.;
                   11779:       sumlpop=sumlpop+lpop[k];
                   11780:     }
                   11781:     
                   11782:     tpop[agegomp]=sumlpop;
                   11783:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-3);k++){
                   11784:       /*  tpop[k+1]=2;*/
                   11785:       tpop[k+1]=tpop[k]-lpop[k];
                   11786:     }
                   11787:     
                   11788:     
                   11789:     printf("\nAge   lx     qx    dx    Lx     Tx     e(x)\n");
                   11790:     for (k=agegomp;k<(agemortsup-2);k++) 
                   11791:       printf("%d %.0lf %lf %.0lf %.0lf %.0lf %lf\n",k,lsurv[k],p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)),(p[1]*exp(p[2]*(k-agegomp)))*lsurv[k],lpop[k],tpop[k],tpop[k]/lsurv[k]);
                   11792:     
                   11793:     
                   11794:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.220     brouard  11795:                ageminpar=50;
                   11796:                agemaxpar=100;
1.194     brouard  11797:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == AGEOVERFLOW){
                   11798:        printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11799: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11800: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11801:        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
                   11802: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   11803: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  11804:     }else{
                   11805:                        printf("Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
                   11806:                        fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! ageminpar %f and agemaxpar %f have been fixed because for simplification until it is fixed...\n\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.201     brouard  11807:       printinggnuplotmort(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, pathc,p);
1.220     brouard  11808:                }
1.201     brouard  11809:     printinghtmlmort(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, \
1.126     brouard  11810:                     stepm, weightopt,\
                   11811:                     model,imx,p,matcov,agemortsup);
                   11812:     
                   11813:     free_vector(lsurv,1,AGESUP);
                   11814:     free_vector(lpop,1,AGESUP);
                   11815:     free_vector(tpop,1,AGESUP);
1.220     brouard  11816:     free_matrix(ximort,1,NDIM,1,NDIM);
1.136     brouard  11817:     free_ivector(cens,1,n);
                   11818:     free_vector(agecens,1,n);
                   11819:     free_ivector(dcwave,1,n);
1.220     brouard  11820: #ifdef GSL
1.136     brouard  11821: #endif
1.186     brouard  11822:   } /* Endof if mle==-3 mortality only */
1.205     brouard  11823:   /* Standard  */
                   11824:   else{ /* For mle !=- 3, could be 0 or 1 or 4 etc. */
                   11825:     globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11826:     /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
1.132     brouard  11827:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
1.126     brouard  11828:     printf("First Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11829:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11830:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11831:     printf("\n");
1.205     brouard  11832:     if(mle>=1){ /* Could be 1 or 2, Real Maximization */
                   11833:       /* mlikeli uses func not funcone */
1.247     brouard  11834:       /* for(i=1;i<nlstate;i++){ */
                   11835:       /*       /\*reducing xi for 1 to npar to 1 to ncovmodel; *\/ */
                   11836:       /*    mlikeli(ficres,p, ncovmodel, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, funcnoprod); */
                   11837:       /* } */
1.205     brouard  11838:       mlikeli(ficres,p, npar, ncovmodel, nlstate, ftol, func);
                   11839:     }
                   11840:     if(mle==0) {/* No optimization, will print the likelihoods for the datafile */
                   11841:       globpr=0;/* Computes sum of likelihood for globpr=1 and funcone */
                   11842:       /* Computes likelihood for initial parameters, uses funcone to compute gpimx and gsw */
                   11843:       likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11844:     }
                   11845:     globpr=1; /* again, to print the individual contributions using computed gpimx and gsw */
1.126     brouard  11846:     likelione(ficres, p, npar, nlstate, &globpr, &ipmx, &sw, &fretone, funcone); /* Prints the contributions to the likelihood */
                   11847:     printf("Second Likeli=%12.6f ipmx=%ld sw=%12.6f",fretone,ipmx,sw);
                   11848:     for (k=1; k<=npar;k++)
                   11849:       printf(" %d %8.5f",k,p[k]);
                   11850:     printf("\n");
                   11851:     
                   11852:     /*--------- results files --------------*/
1.224     brouard  11853:     fprintf(ficres,"title=%s datafile=%s lastobs=%d firstpass=%d lastpass=%d\nftol=%e stepm=%d ncovcol=%d nqv=%d ntv=%d nqtv=%d nlstate=%d ndeath=%d maxwav=%d mle= 0 weight=%d\nmodel=1+age+%s.\n", title, datafile, lastobs, firstpass,lastpass,ftol, stepm, ncovcol, nqv, ntv, nqtv, nlstate, ndeath, maxwav, weightopt,model);
1.126     brouard  11854:     
                   11855:     
                   11856:     fprintf(ficres,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11857:     printf("# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11858:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Parameters nlstate*nlstate*ncov a12*1 + b12 * age + ...\n");
                   11859:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11860:       for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
1.225     brouard  11861:        if (k != i) {
                   11862:          printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11863:          fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11864:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d ",i,k);
                   11865:          for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11866:            printf("%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11867:            fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11868:            fprintf(ficres,"%12.7f ",p[jk]);
                   11869:            jk++; 
                   11870:          }
                   11871:          printf("\n");
                   11872:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11873:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11874:        }
1.126     brouard  11875:       }
                   11876:     }
1.203     brouard  11877:     if(mle != 0){
                   11878:       /* Computing hessian and covariance matrix only at a peak of the Likelihood, that is after optimization */
1.126     brouard  11879:       ftolhess=ftol; /* Usually correct */
1.203     brouard  11880:       hesscov(matcov, hess, p, npar, delti, ftolhess, func);
                   11881:       printf("Parameters and 95%% confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W .\n But be careful that parameters are highly correlated because incidence of disability is highly correlated to incidence of recovery.\n It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11882:       fprintf(ficlog, "Parameters, Wald tests and Wald-based confidence intervals\n W is simply the result of the division of the parameter by the square root of covariance of the parameter.\n And Wald-based confidence intervals plus and minus 1.96 * W \n  It might be better to visualize the covariance matrix. See the page 'Matrix of variance-covariance of one-step probabilities' and its graphs.\n");
                   11883:       for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11884:        for(k=1; k <=(nlstate+ndeath); k++){
                   11885:          if (k != i) {
                   11886:            printf("%d%d ",i,k);
                   11887:            fprintf(ficlog,"%d%d ",i,k);
                   11888:            for(j=1; j <=ncovmodel; j++){
                   11889:              printf("%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11890:              fprintf(ficlog,"%12.7f W=%8.3f CI=[%12.7f ; %12.7f] ",p[jk], p[jk]/sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]), p[jk]-1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]),p[jk]+1.96*sqrt(matcov[jk][jk]));
                   11891:              jk++; 
                   11892:            }
                   11893:            printf("\n");
                   11894:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11895:          }
                   11896:        }
1.193     brouard  11897:       }
1.203     brouard  11898:     } /* end of hesscov and Wald tests */
1.225     brouard  11899:     
1.203     brouard  11900:     /*  */
1.126     brouard  11901:     fprintf(ficres,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11902:     printf("# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11903:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Scales (for hessian or gradient estimation)\n");
                   11904:     for(i=1,jk=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
                   11905:       for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
1.225     brouard  11906:        if (j!=i) {
                   11907:          fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11908:          printf("%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11909:          fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d",i,j);
                   11910:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11911:            printf(" %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11912:            fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11913:            fprintf(ficres," %.5e",delti[jk]);
                   11914:            jk++;
                   11915:          }
                   11916:          printf("\n");
                   11917:          fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11918:          fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   11919:        }
1.126     brouard  11920:       }
                   11921:     }
                   11922:     
                   11923:     fprintf(ficres,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
1.203     brouard  11924:     if(mle >= 1) /* To big for the screen */
1.126     brouard  11925:       printf("# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11926:     fprintf(ficlog,"# Covariance matrix \n# 121 Var(a12)\n# 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n#   ...\n# 232 Cov(b23,a12)  Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n");
                   11927:     /* # 121 Var(a12)\n\ */
                   11928:     /* # 122 Cov(b12,a12) Var(b12)\n\ */
                   11929:     /* # 131 Cov(a13,a12) Cov(a13,b12, Var(a13)\n\ */
                   11930:     /* # 132 Cov(b13,a12) Cov(b13,b12, Cov(b13,a13) Var(b13)\n\ */
                   11931:     /* # 212 Cov(a21,a12) Cov(a21,b12, Cov(a21,a13) Cov(a21,b13) Var(a21)\n\ */
                   11932:     /* # 212 Cov(b21,a12) Cov(b21,b12, Cov(b21,a13) Cov(b21,b13) Cov(b21,a21) Var(b21)\n\ */
                   11933:     /* # 232 Cov(a23,a12) Cov(a23,b12, Cov(a23,a13) Cov(a23,b13) Cov(a23,a21) Cov(a23,b21) Var(a23)\n\ */
                   11934:     /* # 232 Cov(b23,a12) Cov(b23,b12) ... Var (b23)\n" */
                   11935:     
                   11936:     
                   11937:     /* Just to have a covariance matrix which will be more understandable
                   11938:        even is we still don't want to manage dictionary of variables
                   11939:     */
                   11940:     for(itimes=1;itimes<=2;itimes++){
                   11941:       jj=0;
                   11942:       for(i=1; i <=nlstate; i++){
1.225     brouard  11943:        for(j=1; j <=nlstate+ndeath; j++){
                   11944:          if(j==i) continue;
                   11945:          for(k=1; k<=ncovmodel;k++){
                   11946:            jj++;
                   11947:            ca[0]= k+'a'-1;ca[1]='\0';
                   11948:            if(itimes==1){
                   11949:              if(mle>=1)
                   11950:                printf("#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11951:              fprintf(ficlog,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11952:              fprintf(ficres,"#%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11953:            }else{
                   11954:              if(mle>=1)
                   11955:                printf("%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11956:              fprintf(ficlog,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11957:              fprintf(ficres,"%1d%1d%d",i,j,k);
                   11958:            }
                   11959:            ll=0;
                   11960:            for(li=1;li <=nlstate; li++){
                   11961:              for(lj=1;lj <=nlstate+ndeath; lj++){
                   11962:                if(lj==li) continue;
                   11963:                for(lk=1;lk<=ncovmodel;lk++){
                   11964:                  ll++;
                   11965:                  if(ll<=jj){
                   11966:                    cb[0]= lk +'a'-1;cb[1]='\0';
                   11967:                    if(ll<jj){
                   11968:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11969:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11970:                          printf(" Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11971:                        fprintf(ficlog," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11972:                        fprintf(ficres," Cov(%s%1d%1d,%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j,cb, li,lj);
                   11973:                      }else{
                   11974:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11975:                          printf(" %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11976:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11977:                        fprintf(ficres," %.5e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11978:                      }
                   11979:                    }else{
                   11980:                      if(itimes==1){
                   11981:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11982:                          printf(" Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11983:                        fprintf(ficlog," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11984:                        fprintf(ficres," Var(%s%1d%1d)",ca,i,j);
                   11985:                      }else{
                   11986:                        if(mle>=1)
                   11987:                          printf(" %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11988:                        fprintf(ficlog," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11989:                        fprintf(ficres," %.7e",matcov[jj][ll]); 
                   11990:                      }
                   11991:                    }
                   11992:                  }
                   11993:                } /* end lk */
                   11994:              } /* end lj */
                   11995:            } /* end li */
                   11996:            if(mle>=1)
                   11997:              printf("\n");
                   11998:            fprintf(ficlog,"\n");
                   11999:            fprintf(ficres,"\n");
                   12000:            numlinepar++;
                   12001:          } /* end k*/
                   12002:        } /*end j */
1.126     brouard  12003:       } /* end i */
                   12004:     } /* end itimes */
                   12005:     
                   12006:     fflush(ficlog);
                   12007:     fflush(ficres);
1.225     brouard  12008:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12009:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12010:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12011:        numlinepar++;
                   12012:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12013:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12014:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12015:        continue;
                   12016:       }else
                   12017:        break;
                   12018:     }
                   12019:     
1.209     brouard  12020:     /* while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ */
                   12021:     /*   ungetc(c,ficpar); */
                   12022:     /*   fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar); */
                   12023:     /*   fputs(line,stdout); */
                   12024:     /*   fputs(line,ficparo); */
                   12025:     /* } */
                   12026:     /* ungetc(c,ficpar); */
1.126     brouard  12027:     
                   12028:     estepm=0;
1.209     brouard  12029:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm, &ftolpl)) !=EOF){
1.225     brouard  12030:       
                   12031:       if (num_filled != 6) {
                   12032:        printf("Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12033:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 6 parameters in line, for example:agemin=60 agemax=95 bage=55 fage=95 estepm=24 ftolpl=6e-4\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",line);
                   12034:        goto end;
                   12035:       }
                   12036:       printf("agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%lf\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar, bage, fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12037:     }
                   12038:     /* ftolpl=6*ftol*1.e5; /\* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit *\/ */
                   12039:     /*ftolpl=6.e-4;*/ /* 6.e-3 make convergences in less than 80 loops for the prevalence limit */
                   12040:     
1.209     brouard  12041:     /* fscanf(ficpar,"agemin=%lf agemax=%lf bage=%lf fage=%lf estepm=%d ftolpl=%\n",&ageminpar,&agemaxpar, &bage, &fage, &estepm); */
1.126     brouard  12042:     if (estepm==0 || estepm < stepm) estepm=stepm;
                   12043:     if (fage <= 2) {
                   12044:       bage = ageminpar;
                   12045:       fage = agemaxpar;
                   12046:     }
                   12047:     
                   12048:     fprintf(ficres,"# agemin agemax for life expectancy, bage fage (if mle==0 ie no data nor Max likelihood).\n");
1.211     brouard  12049:     fprintf(ficres,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
                   12050:     fprintf(ficparo,"agemin=%.0f agemax=%.0f bage=%.0f fage=%.0f estepm=%d, ftolpl=%e\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage,fage, estepm, ftolpl);
1.220     brouard  12051:                
1.186     brouard  12052:     /* Other stuffs, more or less useful */    
1.254     brouard  12053:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12054:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12055:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12056:        numlinepar++;
                   12057:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12058:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12059:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12060:        continue;
                   12061:       }else
                   12062:        break;
                   12063:     }
                   12064: 
                   12065:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"begin-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf end-prev-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mov_average=%d\n",&jprev1, &mprev1,&anprev1,&jprev2, &mprev2,&anprev2,&mobilav)) !=EOF){
                   12066:       
                   12067:       if (num_filled != 7) {
                   12068:        printf("Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12069:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 7 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:begin-prev-date=1/1/1990 end-prev-date=1/6/2004  mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12070:        goto end;
                   12071:       }
                   12072:       printf("begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12073:       fprintf(ficparo,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12074:       fprintf(ficres,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
                   12075:       fprintf(ficlog,"begin-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf end-prev-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mov_average=%d\n",jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2,mobilav);
1.126     brouard  12076:     }
1.254     brouard  12077: 
                   12078:     while(fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)) {
                   12079:       /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
                   12080:       if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12081:        numlinepar++;
                   12082:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12083:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12084:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12085:        continue;
                   12086:       }else
                   12087:        break;
1.126     brouard  12088:     }
                   12089:     
                   12090:     
                   12091:     dateprev1=anprev1+(mprev1-1)/12.+(jprev1-1)/365.;
                   12092:     dateprev2=anprev2+(mprev2-1)/12.+(jprev2-1)/365.;
                   12093:     
1.254     brouard  12094:     if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"pop_based=%d\n",&popbased)) !=EOF){
                   12095:       if (num_filled != 1) {
                   12096:        printf("Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:pop_based=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12097:        fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 1 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example: pop_based=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12098:        goto end;
                   12099:       }
                   12100:       printf("pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12101:       fprintf(ficlog,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);
                   12102:       fprintf(ficparo,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12103:       fprintf(ficres,"pop_based=%d\n",popbased);   
                   12104:     }
                   12105:      
1.258     brouard  12106:     /* Results */
                   12107:     nresult=0;
                   12108:     do{
                   12109:       if(!fgets(line, MAXLINE, ficpar)){
                   12110:        endishere=1;
                   12111:        parameterline=14;
                   12112:       }else if (line[0] == '#') {
                   12113:        /* If line starts with a # it is a comment */
1.254     brouard  12114:        numlinepar++;
                   12115:        fputs(line,stdout);
                   12116:        fputs(line,ficparo);
                   12117:        fputs(line,ficlog);
                   12118:        continue;
1.258     brouard  12119:       }else if(sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12120:        parameterline=11;
                   12121:       else if(sscanf(line,"backcast=%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12122:        parameterline=12;
                   12123:       else if(sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",modeltemp))
                   12124:        parameterline=13;
                   12125:       else{
                   12126:        parameterline=14;
1.254     brouard  12127:       }
1.258     brouard  12128:       switch (parameterline){ 
                   12129:       case 11:
                   12130:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12131:          if (num_filled != 8) {
                   12132:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mobil_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12133:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:prevforecast=1 starting-proj-date=1/1/1990 final-proj-date=1/1/2000 mov_average=0\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12134:            goto end;
                   12135:          }
                   12136:          fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12137:          printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12138:          fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12139:          fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj);
                   12140:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12141:          dateproj1=anproj1+(mproj1-1)/12.+(jproj1-1)/365.;
                   12142:          dateproj2=anproj2+(mproj2-1)/12.+(jproj2-1)/365.;
                   12143: 
1.258     brouard  12144:        }
1.254     brouard  12145:        break;
1.258     brouard  12146:       case 12:
                   12147:        /*fscanf(ficpar,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj);*/
                   12148:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-back-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&backcast,&jback1,&mback1,&anback1,&jback2,&mback2,&anback2,&mobilavproj)) !=EOF){
                   12149:          if (num_filled != 8) {
1.262     brouard  12150:            printf("Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
                   12151:            fprintf(ficlog,"Error: Not 8 (data)parameters in line but %d, for example:backcast=1 starting-back-date=1/1/1990 final-back-date=1/1/1970 mobil_average=1\n, your line=%s . Probably you are running an older format.\n",num_filled,line);
1.258     brouard  12152:            goto end;
                   12153:          }
                   12154:          printf("backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12155:          fprintf(ficparo,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12156:          fprintf(ficlog,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12157:          fprintf(ficres,"backcast=%d starting-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-back-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",backcast,jback1,mback1,anback1,jback2,mback2,anback2,mobilavproj);
                   12158:          /* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/
1.273     brouard  12159:          dateback1=anback1+(mback1-1)/12.+(jback1-1)/365.;
                   12160:          dateback2=anback2+(mback2-1)/12.+(jback2-1)/365.;
1.258     brouard  12161:        }
1.230     brouard  12162:        break;
1.258     brouard  12163:       case 13:
                   12164:        if((num_filled=sscanf(line,"result:%[^\n]\n",resultline)) !=EOF){
                   12165:          if (num_filled == 0){
                   12166:            resultline[0]='\0';
                   12167:            printf("Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12168:            fprintf(ficlog,"Warning %d: no result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.\n%s\n", num_filled, line);
                   12169:            break;
                   12170:          } else if (num_filled != 1){
                   12171:            printf("ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12172:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR %d: result line! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",num_filled, line);
                   12173:          }
                   12174:          nresult++; /* Sum of resultlines */
                   12175:          printf("Result %d: result=%s\n",nresult, resultline);
                   12176:          if(nresult > MAXRESULTLINES){
                   12177:            printf("ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12178:            fprintf(ficlog,"ERROR: Current version of IMaCh limits the number of resultlines to %d, you used %d\n",MAXRESULTLINES,nresult);
                   12179:            goto end;
                   12180:          }
                   12181:          decoderesult(resultline, nresult); /* Fills TKresult[nresult] combination and Tresult[nresult][k4+1] combination values */
                   12182:          fprintf(ficparo,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12183:          fprintf(ficres,"result: %s\n",resultline);
                   12184:          fprintf(ficlog,"result: %s\n",resultline);
1.230     brouard  12185:          break;
1.258     brouard  12186:        case 14: 
1.259     brouard  12187:          if(ncovmodel >2 && nresult==0 ){
                   12188:            printf("ERROR: no result lines! It should be at minimum 'result: V2=0 V1=1 or result:.' %s\n",line);
1.258     brouard  12189:            goto end;
                   12190:          }
1.259     brouard  12191:          break;
1.258     brouard  12192:        default:
                   12193:          nresult=1;
                   12194:          decoderesult(".",nresult ); /* No covariate */
                   12195:        }
                   12196:       } /* End switch parameterline */
                   12197:     }while(endishere==0); /* End do */
1.126     brouard  12198:     
1.230     brouard  12199:     /* freqsummary(fileres, agemin, agemax, s, agev, nlstate, imx,Tvaraff,nbcode, ncodemax,mint,anint); */
1.145     brouard  12200:     /* ,dateprev1,dateprev2,jprev1, mprev1,anprev1,jprev2, mprev2,anprev2); */
1.126     brouard  12201:     
                   12202:     replace_back_to_slash(pathc,pathcd); /* Even gnuplot wants a / */
1.194     brouard  12203:     if(ageminpar == AGEOVERFLOW ||agemaxpar == -AGEOVERFLOW){
1.230     brouard  12204:       printf("Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12205: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12206: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.230     brouard  12207:       fprintf(ficlog,"Warning! Error in gnuplot file with ageminpar %f or agemaxpar %f overflow\n\
1.194     brouard  12208: This is probably because your parameter file doesn't \n  contain the exact number of lines (or columns) corresponding to your model line.\n\
                   12209: Please run with mle=-1 to get a correct covariance matrix.\n",ageminpar,agemaxpar);
1.220     brouard  12210:     }else{
1.270     brouard  12211:       /* printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-(int)agemin, (int)anback1-(int)agemax+1); */
                   12212:       printinggnuplot(fileresu, optionfilefiname,ageminpar,agemaxpar,bage, fage, prevfcast, backcast, pathc,p, (int)anproj1-bage, (int)anback1-fage);
1.220     brouard  12213:     }
                   12214:     printinghtml(fileresu,title,datafile, firstpass, lastpass, stepm, weightopt, \
1.258     brouard  12215:                 model,imx,jmin,jmax,jmean,rfileres,popforecast,mobilav,prevfcast,mobilavproj,backcast, estepm, \
1.273     brouard  12216:                 jprev1,mprev1,anprev1,dateprev1, dateproj1, dateback1,jprev2,mprev2,anprev2,dateprev2,dateproj2, dateback2);
1.220     brouard  12217:                
1.225     brouard  12218:     /*------------ free_vector  -------------*/
                   12219:     /*  chdir(path); */
1.220     brouard  12220:                
1.215     brouard  12221:     /* free_ivector(wav,1,imx); */  /* Moved after last prevalence call */
                   12222:     /* free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12223:     /* free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx); */
                   12224:     /* free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);    */
1.126     brouard  12225:     free_lvector(num,1,n);
                   12226:     free_vector(agedc,1,n);
                   12227:     /*free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12228:     /*free_matrix(covar,1,NCOVMAX,1,n);*/
                   12229:     fclose(ficparo);
                   12230:     fclose(ficres);
1.220     brouard  12231:                
                   12232:                
1.186     brouard  12233:     /* Other results (useful)*/
1.220     brouard  12234:                
                   12235:                
1.126     brouard  12236:     /*--------------- Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
1.180     brouard  12237:     /*#include "prevlim.h"*/  /* Use ficrespl, ficlog */
                   12238:     prlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.209     brouard  12239:     prevalence_limit(p, prlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear);
1.126     brouard  12240:     fclose(ficrespl);
                   12241: 
                   12242:     /*------------- h Pij x at various ages ------------*/
1.180     brouard  12243:     /*#include "hpijx.h"*/
                   12244:     hPijx(p, bage, fage);
1.145     brouard  12245:     fclose(ficrespij);
1.227     brouard  12246:     
1.220     brouard  12247:     /* ncovcombmax=  pow(2,cptcoveff); */
1.219     brouard  12248:     /*-------------- Variance of one-step probabilities---*/
1.145     brouard  12249:     k=1;
1.126     brouard  12250:     varprob(optionfilefiname, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, bage, fage,k,Tvar,nbcode, ncodemax,strstart);
1.227     brouard  12251:     
1.269     brouard  12252:     /* Prevalence for each covariate combination in probs[age][status][cov] */
                   12253:     probs= ma3x(AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12254:     for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.219     brouard  12255:       for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) /* ndeath is useless but a necessity to be compared with mobaverages */
1.225     brouard  12256:        for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12257:          probs[i][j][k]=0.;
1.269     brouard  12258:     prevalence(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, s, agev, nlstate, imx, Tvar, nbcode, 
                   12259:               ncodemax, mint, anint, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass);
1.219     brouard  12260:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0 ) {
1.269     brouard  12261:       mobaverages= ma3x(AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
                   12262:       for(i=AGEINF;i<=AGESUP;i++)
1.268     brouard  12263:        for(j=1;j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++)
1.227     brouard  12264:          for(k=1;k<=ncovcombmax;k++)
                   12265:            mobaverages[i][j][k]=0.;
1.219     brouard  12266:       mobaverage=mobaverages;
                   12267:       if (mobilav!=0) {
1.235     brouard  12268:        printf("Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12269:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12270:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilav)!=0){
                   12271:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12272:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilav=%d\n",mobilav);
                   12273:        }
1.269     brouard  12274:       } else if (mobilavproj !=0) {
1.235     brouard  12275:        printf("Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.258     brouard  12276:        fprintf(ficlog,"Movingaveraging projected observed prevalence\n");
1.227     brouard  12277:        if (movingaverage(probs, ageminpar, agemaxpar, mobaverage, mobilavproj)!=0){
                   12278:          fprintf(ficlog," Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12279:          printf(" Error in movingaverage mobilavproj=%d\n",mobilavproj);
                   12280:        }
1.269     brouard  12281:       }else{
                   12282:        printf("Internal error moving average\n");
                   12283:        fflush(stdout);
                   12284:        exit(1);
1.219     brouard  12285:       }
                   12286:     }/* end if moving average */
1.227     brouard  12287:     
1.126     brouard  12288:     /*---------- Forecasting ------------------*/
                   12289:     if(prevfcast==1){
                   12290:       /*    if(stepm ==1){*/
1.269     brouard  12291:       prevforecast(fileresu, anproj1, mproj1, jproj1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2, mobilavproj, mobaverage, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anproj2, p, cptcoveff);
1.126     brouard  12292:     }
1.269     brouard  12293: 
                   12294:     /* Backcasting */
1.217     brouard  12295:     if(backcast==1){
1.219     brouard  12296:       ddnewms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12297:       ddoldms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);       
                   12298:       ddsavms=matrix(1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12299: 
                   12300:       /*--------------- Back Prevalence limit  (period or stable prevalence) --------------*/
                   12301: 
                   12302:       bprlim=matrix(1,nlstate,1,nlstate);
1.269     brouard  12303: 
1.219     brouard  12304:       back_prevalence_limit(p, bprlim,  ageminpar, agemaxpar, ftolpl, &ncvyear, dateprev1, dateprev2, firstpass, lastpass, mobilavproj);
                   12305:       fclose(ficresplb);
                   12306: 
1.222     brouard  12307:       hBijx(p, bage, fage, mobaverage);
                   12308:       fclose(ficrespijb);
1.219     brouard  12309: 
1.269     brouard  12310:       prevbackforecast(fileresu, mobaverage, anback1, mback1, jback1, agemin, agemax, dateprev1, dateprev2,
                   12311:                       mobilavproj, bage, fage, firstpass, lastpass, anback2, p, cptcoveff);
                   12312:       varbprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, bprlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12313: 
                   12314:       
1.269     brouard  12315:       free_matrix(bprlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
1.219     brouard  12316:       free_matrix(ddnewms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12317:       free_matrix(ddsavms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
                   12318:       free_matrix(ddoldms, 1, nlstate+ndeath, 1, nlstate+ndeath);
1.269     brouard  12319:     }    /* end  Backcasting */
1.268     brouard  12320:  
1.186     brouard  12321:  
                   12322:     /* ------ Other prevalence ratios------------ */
1.126     brouard  12323: 
1.215     brouard  12324:     free_ivector(wav,1,imx);
                   12325:     free_imatrix(dh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12326:     free_imatrix(bh,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);
                   12327:     free_imatrix(mw,1,lastpass-firstpass+2,1,imx);   
1.218     brouard  12328:                
                   12329:                
1.127     brouard  12330:     /*---------- Health expectancies, no variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12331:                
1.201     brouard  12332:     strcpy(filerese,"E_");
                   12333:     strcat(filerese,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12334:     if((ficreseij=fopen(filerese,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12335:       printf("Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12336:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Health Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerese); exit(0);
                   12337:     }
1.208     brouard  12338:     printf("Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(stdout);
                   12339:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Health Expectancies: result on file '%s' ...", filerese);fflush(ficlog);
1.238     brouard  12340: 
                   12341:     pstamp(ficreseij);
1.219     brouard  12342:                
1.235     brouard  12343:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12344:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12345:     
                   12346:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12347:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12348:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12349:        continue;
1.219     brouard  12350:       fprintf(ficreseij,"\n#****** ");
1.235     brouard  12351:       printf("\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12352:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12353:        fprintf(ficreseij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12354:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12355:       }
                   12356:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12357:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12358:        fprintf(ficreseij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
1.219     brouard  12359:       }
                   12360:       fprintf(ficreseij,"******\n");
1.235     brouard  12361:       printf("******\n");
1.219     brouard  12362:       
                   12363:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12364:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12365:       evsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, strstart, nres);  
1.127     brouard  12366:       
1.219     brouard  12367:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.127     brouard  12368:     }
                   12369:     fclose(ficreseij);
1.208     brouard  12370:     printf("done evsij\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12371:     fprintf(ficlog,"done evsij\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.269     brouard  12372: 
1.218     brouard  12373:                
1.227     brouard  12374:     /*---------- State-specific expectancies and variances ------------*/
1.218     brouard  12375:                
1.201     brouard  12376:     strcpy(filerest,"T_");
                   12377:     strcat(filerest,fileresu);
1.127     brouard  12378:     if((ficrest=fopen(filerest,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12379:       printf("Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12380:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with total LE resultfile: %s\n", filerest);goto end;
                   12381:     }
1.208     brouard  12382:     printf("Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(stdout);
                   12383:     fprintf(ficlog,"Computing Total Life expectancies with their standard errors: file '%s' ...\n", filerest); fflush(ficlog);
1.201     brouard  12384:     strcpy(fileresstde,"STDE_");
                   12385:     strcat(fileresstde,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12386:     if((ficresstdeij=fopen(fileresstde,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12387:       printf("Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
                   12388:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with State specific Exp. and std errors resultfile: %s\n", fileresstde); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12389:     }
1.227     brouard  12390:     printf("  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
                   12391:     fprintf(ficlog,"  Computing State-specific Expectancies and standard errors: result on file '%s' \n", fileresstde);
1.126     brouard  12392: 
1.201     brouard  12393:     strcpy(filerescve,"CVE_");
                   12394:     strcat(filerescve,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12395:     if((ficrescveij=fopen(filerescve,"w"))==NULL) {
1.227     brouard  12396:       printf("Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
                   12397:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with Covar. State-specific Exp. resultfile: %s\n", filerescve); exit(0);
1.126     brouard  12398:     }
1.227     brouard  12399:     printf("    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
                   12400:     fprintf(ficlog,"    Computing Covar. of State-specific Expectancies: result on file '%s' \n", filerescve);
1.126     brouard  12401: 
1.201     brouard  12402:     strcpy(fileresv,"V_");
                   12403:     strcat(fileresv,fileresu);
1.126     brouard  12404:     if((ficresvij=fopen(fileresv,"w"))==NULL) {
                   12405:       printf("Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12406:       fprintf(ficlog,"Problem with variance resultfile: %s\n", fileresv);exit(0);
                   12407:     }
1.227     brouard  12408:     printf("      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(stdout);
                   12409:     fprintf(ficlog,"      Computing Variance-covariance of State-specific Expectancies: file '%s' ... ", fileresv);fflush(ficlog);
1.126     brouard  12410: 
1.235     brouard  12411:     i1=pow(2,cptcoveff); /* Number of combination of dummy covariates */
                   12412:     if (cptcovn < 1){i1=1;}
                   12413:     
                   12414:     for(nres=1; nres <= nresult; nres++) /* For each resultline */
                   12415:     for(k=1; k<=i1;k++){ /* For any combination of dummy covariates, fixed and varying */
1.253     brouard  12416:       if(i1 != 1 && TKresult[nres]!= k)
1.235     brouard  12417:        continue;
1.242     brouard  12418:       printf("\n#****** Result for:");
                   12419:       fprintf(ficrest,"\n#****** Result for:");
                   12420:       fprintf(ficlog,"\n#****** Result for:");
1.227     brouard  12421:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++){ 
                   12422:        printf("V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12423:        fprintf(ficrest,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12424:        fprintf(ficlog,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12425:       }
1.235     brouard  12426:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12427:        printf(" V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12428:        fprintf(ficrest," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12429:        fprintf(ficlog," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12430:       }        
1.208     brouard  12431:       fprintf(ficrest,"******\n");
1.227     brouard  12432:       fprintf(ficlog,"******\n");
                   12433:       printf("******\n");
1.208     brouard  12434:       
                   12435:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"\n#****** ");
                   12436:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"\n#****** ");
1.225     brouard  12437:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) {
1.227     brouard  12438:        fprintf(ficresstdeij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
                   12439:        fprintf(ficrescveij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.208     brouard  12440:       }
1.235     brouard  12441:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12442:        fprintf(ficresstdeij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12443:        fprintf(ficrescveij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12444:       }        
1.208     brouard  12445:       fprintf(ficresstdeij,"******\n");
                   12446:       fprintf(ficrescveij,"******\n");
                   12447:       
                   12448:       fprintf(ficresvij,"\n#****** ");
1.238     brouard  12449:       /* pstamp(ficresvij); */
1.225     brouard  12450:       for(j=1;j<=cptcoveff;j++) 
1.227     brouard  12451:        fprintf(ficresvij,"V%d=%d ",Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]);
1.235     brouard  12452:       for (j=1; j<= nsq; j++){ /* For each selected (single) quantitative value */
                   12453:        fprintf(ficresvij," V%d=%f ",Tvqresult[nres][j],Tqresult[nres][j]);
                   12454:       }        
1.208     brouard  12455:       fprintf(ficresvij,"******\n");
                   12456:       
                   12457:       eij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12458:       oldm=oldms;savm=savms;
1.235     brouard  12459:       printf(" cvevsij ");
                   12460:       fprintf(ficlog, " cvevsij ");
                   12461:       cvevsij(eij, p, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int)fage, oldm, savm, k, estepm, delti, matcov, strstart, nres);
1.208     brouard  12462:       printf(" end cvevsij \n ");
                   12463:       fprintf(ficlog, " end cvevsij \n ");
                   12464:       
                   12465:       /*
                   12466:        */
                   12467:       /* goto endfree; */
                   12468:       
                   12469:       vareij=ma3x(1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int) fage);
                   12470:       pstamp(ficrest);
                   12471:       
1.269     brouard  12472:       epj=vector(1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12473:       for(vpopbased=0; vpopbased <= popbased; vpopbased++){ /* Done for vpopbased=0 and vpopbased=1 if popbased==1*/
1.227     brouard  12474:        oldm=oldms;savm=savms; /* ZZ Segmentation fault */
                   12475:        cptcod= 0; /* To be deleted */
                   12476:        printf("varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
                   12477:        fprintf(ficlog, "varevsij vpopbased=%d \n",vpopbased);
1.235     brouard  12478:        varevsij(optionfilefiname, vareij, matcov, p, delti, nlstate, stepm, (int) bage, (int) fage, oldm, savm, prlim, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, estepm, cptcov,cptcod,vpopbased,mobilav, strstart, nres); /* cptcod not initialized Intel */
1.227     brouard  12479:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Total life expectancy with std error and decomposition into time to be expected in each health state\n#  (weighted average of eij where weights are ");
                   12480:        if(vpopbased==1)
                   12481:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific prevalence observed (cross-sectionally) in the population i.e cross-sectionally\n in each health state (popbased=1) (mobilav=%d)\n",mobilav);
                   12482:        else
                   12483:          fprintf(ficrest,"the age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12484:        fprintf(ficrest,"# Age popbased mobilav e.. (std) ");
                   12485:        for (i=1;i<=nlstate;i++) fprintf(ficrest,"e.%d (std) ",i);
                   12486:        fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12487:        /* printf("Which p?\n"); for(i=1;i<=npar;i++)printf("p[i=%d]=%lf,",i,p[i]);printf("\n"); */
                   12488:        printf("Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12489:        fprintf(ficlog,"Computing age specific period (stable) prevalences in each health state \n");
                   12490:        for(age=bage; age <=fage ;age++){
1.235     brouard  12491:          prevalim(prlim, nlstate, p, age, oldm, savm, ftolpl, &ncvyear, k, nres); /*ZZ Is it the correct prevalim */
1.227     brouard  12492:          if (vpopbased==1) {
                   12493:            if(mobilav ==0){
                   12494:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12495:                prlim[i][i]=probs[(int)age][i][k];
                   12496:            }else{ /* mobilav */ 
                   12497:              for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++)
                   12498:                prlim[i][i]=mobaverage[(int)age][i][k];
                   12499:            }
                   12500:          }
1.219     brouard  12501:          
1.227     brouard  12502:          fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav);
                   12503:          /* fprintf(ficrest," %4.0f %d %d %d %d",age, vpopbased, mobilav,Tvaraff[j],nbcode[Tvaraff[j]][codtabm(k,j)]); */ /* to be done */
                   12504:          /* printf(" age %4.0f ",age); */
                   12505:          for(j=1, epj[nlstate+1]=0.;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12506:            for(i=1, epj[j]=0.;i <=nlstate;i++) {
                   12507:              epj[j] += prlim[i][i]*eij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12508:              /*ZZZ  printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]);*/
                   12509:              /* printf("%lf %lf ", prlim[i][i] ,eij[i][j][(int)age]); */
                   12510:            }
                   12511:            epj[nlstate+1] +=epj[j];
                   12512:          }
                   12513:          /* printf(" age %4.0f \n",age); */
1.219     brouard  12514:          
1.227     brouard  12515:          for(i=1, vepp=0.;i <=nlstate;i++)
                   12516:            for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++)
                   12517:              vepp += vareij[i][j][(int)age];
                   12518:          fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[nlstate+1],sqrt(vepp));
                   12519:          for(j=1;j <=nlstate;j++){
                   12520:            fprintf(ficrest," %7.3f (%7.3f)", epj[j],sqrt(vareij[j][j][(int)age]));
                   12521:          }
                   12522:          fprintf(ficrest,"\n");
                   12523:        }
1.208     brouard  12524:       } /* End vpopbased */
1.269     brouard  12525:       free_vector(epj,1,nlstate+1);
1.208     brouard  12526:       free_ma3x(eij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
                   12527:       free_ma3x(vareij,1,nlstate,1,nlstate,(int) bage, (int)fage);
1.235     brouard  12528:       printf("done selection\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12529:       fprintf(ficlog,"done selection\n");fflush(ficlog);
1.208     brouard  12530:       
1.235     brouard  12531:     } /* End k selection */
1.227     brouard  12532: 
                   12533:     printf("done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(stdout);
                   12534:     fprintf(ficlog,"done State-specific expectancies\n");fflush(ficlog);
                   12535: 
1.269     brouard  12536:     /* variance-covariance of period prevalence*/
                   12537:     varprlim(fileresu, nresult, mobaverage, mobilavproj, bage, fage, prlim, &ncvyear, ftolpl, p, matcov, delti, stepm, cptcoveff);
1.268     brouard  12538: 
1.227     brouard  12539:     
                   12540:     free_vector(weight,1,n);
                   12541:     free_imatrix(Tvard,1,NCOVMAX,1,2);
                   12542:     free_imatrix(s,1,maxwav+1,1,n);
                   12543:     free_matrix(anint,1,maxwav,1,n); 
                   12544:     free_matrix(mint,1,maxwav,1,n);
                   12545:     free_ivector(cod,1,n);
                   12546:     free_ivector(tab,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12547:     fclose(ficresstdeij);
                   12548:     fclose(ficrescveij);
                   12549:     fclose(ficresvij);
                   12550:     fclose(ficrest);
                   12551:     fclose(ficpar);
                   12552:     
                   12553:     
1.126     brouard  12554:     /*---------- End : free ----------------*/
1.219     brouard  12555:     if (mobilav!=0 ||mobilavproj !=0)
1.269     brouard  12556:       free_ma3x(mobaverages,AGEINF, AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax); /* We need to have a squared matrix with prevalence of the dead! */
                   12557:     free_ma3x(probs,AGEINF,AGESUP,1,nlstate+ndeath, 1,ncovcombmax);
1.220     brouard  12558:     free_matrix(prlim,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); /*here or after loop ? */
                   12559:     free_matrix(pmmij,1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.126     brouard  12560:   }  /* mle==-3 arrives here for freeing */
1.227     brouard  12561:   /* endfree:*/
                   12562:   free_matrix(oldms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12563:   free_matrix(newms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
                   12564:   free_matrix(savms, 1,nlstate+ndeath,1,nlstate+ndeath);
1.268     brouard  12565:   if(ntv+nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotvar,1,maxwav,1,ntv+nqtv,1,n);
                   12566:   if(nqtv>=1)free_ma3x(cotqvar,1,maxwav,1,nqtv,1,n);
                   12567:   if(nqv>=1)free_matrix(coqvar,1,nqv,1,n);
1.227     brouard  12568:   free_matrix(covar,0,NCOVMAX,1,n);
                   12569:   free_matrix(matcov,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12570:   free_matrix(hess,1,npar,1,npar);
                   12571:   /*free_vector(delti,1,npar);*/
                   12572:   free_ma3x(delti3,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel); 
                   12573:   free_matrix(agev,1,maxwav,1,imx);
1.269     brouard  12574:   free_ma3x(paramstart,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
1.227     brouard  12575:   free_ma3x(param,1,nlstate,1, nlstate+ndeath-1,1,ncovmodel);
                   12576:   
                   12577:   free_ivector(ncodemax,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12578:   free_ivector(ncodemaxwundef,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12579:   free_ivector(Dummy,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12580:   free_ivector(Fixed,-1,NCOVMAX);
1.238     brouard  12581:   free_ivector(DummyV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12582:   free_ivector(FixedV,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12583:   free_ivector(Typevar,-1,NCOVMAX);
                   12584:   free_ivector(Tvar,1,NCOVMAX);
1.234     brouard  12585:   free_ivector(TvarsQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12586:   free_ivector(TvarsQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12587:   free_ivector(TvarsD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12588:   free_ivector(TvarsDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12589:   free_ivector(TvarFD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12590:   free_ivector(TvarFDind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.232     brouard  12591:   free_ivector(TvarF,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12592:   free_ivector(TvarFind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12593:   free_ivector(TvarV,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12594:   free_ivector(TvarVind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12595:   free_ivector(TvarA,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12596:   free_ivector(TvarAind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.231     brouard  12597:   free_ivector(TvarFQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12598:   free_ivector(TvarFQind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12599:   free_ivector(TvarVD,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12600:   free_ivector(TvarVDind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12601:   free_ivector(TvarVQ,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12602:   free_ivector(TvarVQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.230     brouard  12603:   free_ivector(Tvarsel,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12604:   free_vector(Tvalsel,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12605:   free_ivector(Tposprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12606:   free_ivector(Tprod,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12607:   free_ivector(Tvaraff,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12608:   free_ivector(invalidvarcomb,1,ncovcombmax);
                   12609:   free_ivector(Tage,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12610:   free_ivector(Tmodelind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.228     brouard  12611:   free_ivector(TmodelInvind,1,NCOVMAX);
                   12612:   free_ivector(TmodelInvQind,1,NCOVMAX);
1.227     brouard  12613:   
                   12614:   free_imatrix(nbcode,0,NCOVMAX,0,NCOVMAX);
                   12615:   /* free_imatrix(codtab,1,100,1,10); */
1.126     brouard  12616:   fflush(fichtm);
                   12617:   fflush(ficgp);
                   12618:   
1.227     brouard  12619:   
1.126     brouard  12620:   if((nberr >0) || (nbwarn>0)){
1.216     brouard  12621:     printf("End of Imach with %d errors and/or %d warnings. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
                   12622:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach with %d errors and/or warnings %d. Please look at the log file for details.\n",nberr,nbwarn);
1.126     brouard  12623:   }else{
                   12624:     printf("End of Imach\n");
                   12625:     fprintf(ficlog,"End of Imach\n");
                   12626:   }
                   12627:   printf("See log file on %s\n",filelog);
                   12628:   /*  gettimeofday(&end_time, (struct timezone*)0);*/  /* after time */
1.157     brouard  12629:   /*(void) gettimeofday(&end_time,&tzp);*/
                   12630:   rend_time = time(NULL);  
                   12631:   end_time = *localtime(&rend_time);
                   12632:   /* tml = *localtime(&end_time.tm_sec); */
                   12633:   strcpy(strtend,asctime(&end_time));
1.126     brouard  12634:   printf("Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s",strstart, strtend); 
                   12635:   fprintf(ficlog,"Local time at start %s\nLocal time at end   %s\n",strstart, strtend); 
1.157     brouard  12636:   printf("Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
1.227     brouard  12637:   
1.157     brouard  12638:   printf("Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
                   12639:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time used %s\n", asc_diff_time(rend_time -rstart_time,tmpout));
                   12640:   fprintf(ficlog,"Total time was %.0lf Sec.\n", difftime(rend_time,rstart_time));
1.126     brouard  12641:   /*  printf("Total time was %d uSec.\n", total_usecs);*/
                   12642: /*   if(fileappend(fichtm,optionfilehtm)){ */
                   12643:   fprintf(fichtm,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12644:   fclose(fichtm);
                   12645:   fprintf(fichtmcov,"<br>Local time at start %s<br>Local time at end   %s<br>\n</body></html>",strstart, strtend);
                   12646:   fclose(fichtmcov);
                   12647:   fclose(ficgp);
                   12648:   fclose(ficlog);
                   12649:   /*------ End -----------*/
1.227     brouard  12650:   
                   12651:   
                   12652:   printf("Before Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
1.184     brouard  12653: #ifdef WIN32
1.227     brouard  12654:   if (_chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12655:     printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n",path);
                   12656:   if(_getcwd(pathcd,MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12657: #else
1.227     brouard  12658:     if(chdir(pathcd) != 0)
                   12659:       printf("Can't move to directory %s!\n", path);
                   12660:   if (getcwd(pathcd, MAXLINE) > 0)
1.184     brouard  12661: #endif 
1.126     brouard  12662:     printf("Current directory %s!\n",pathcd);
                   12663:   /*strcat(plotcmd,CHARSEPARATOR);*/
                   12664:   sprintf(plotcmd,"gnuplot");
1.157     brouard  12665: #ifdef _WIN32
1.126     brouard  12666:   sprintf(plotcmd,"\"%sgnuplot.exe\"",pathimach);
                   12667: #endif
                   12668:   if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12669:     printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12670:     if(!stat(getenv("GNUPLOTBIN"),&info)){
1.158     brouard  12671:       printf("Error or gnuplot program not found: '%s' Environment GNUPLOTBIN not set.\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12672:     }else
                   12673:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
1.157     brouard  12674: #ifdef __unix
1.126     brouard  12675:     strcpy(plotcmd,GNUPLOTPROGRAM);
                   12676:     if(!stat(plotcmd,&info)){
1.158     brouard  12677:       printf("Error gnuplot program not found: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12678:     }else
                   12679:       strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12680: #endif
                   12681:   }else
                   12682:     strcpy(pplotcmd,plotcmd);
                   12683:   
                   12684:   sprintf(plotcmd,"%s %s",pplotcmd, optionfilegnuplot);
1.158     brouard  12685:   printf("Starting graphs with: '%s'\n",plotcmd);fflush(stdout);
1.227     brouard  12686:   
1.126     brouard  12687:   if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0){
1.158     brouard  12688:     printf("gnuplot command might not be in your path: '%s', err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.154     brouard  12689:     printf("\n Trying if gnuplot resides on the same directory that IMaCh\n");
1.152     brouard  12690:     sprintf(plotcmd,"%sgnuplot %s", pathimach, optionfilegnuplot);
1.150     brouard  12691:     if((outcmd=system(plotcmd)) != 0)
1.153     brouard  12692:       printf("\n Still a problem with gnuplot command %s, err=%d\n", plotcmd, outcmd);
1.126     brouard  12693:   }
1.158     brouard  12694:   printf(" Successful, please wait...");
1.126     brouard  12695:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
                   12696:     /* chdir(path); */
1.154     brouard  12697:     printf("\nType e to edit results with your browser, g to graph again and q for exit: ");
1.126     brouard  12698:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12699: /*     if (z[0] == 'c') system("./imach"); */
                   12700:     if (z[0] == 'e') {
1.158     brouard  12701: #ifdef __APPLE__
1.152     brouard  12702:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.157     brouard  12703: #elif __linux
                   12704:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "xdg-open %s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12705: #else
1.152     brouard  12706:       sprintf(pplotcmd, "%s", optionfilehtm);
1.153     brouard  12707: #endif
                   12708:       printf("Starting browser with: %s",pplotcmd);fflush(stdout);
                   12709:       system(pplotcmd);
1.126     brouard  12710:     }
                   12711:     else if (z[0] == 'g') system(plotcmd);
                   12712:     else if (z[0] == 'q') exit(0);
                   12713:   }
1.227     brouard  12714: end:
1.126     brouard  12715:   while (z[0] != 'q') {
1.195     brouard  12716:     printf("\nType  q for exiting: "); fflush(stdout);
1.126     brouard  12717:     scanf("%s",z);
                   12718:   }
                   12719: }

FreeBSD-CVSweb <freebsd-cvsweb@FreeBSD.org>