version 1.70, 2003/02/05 12:40:38
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version 1.71, 2003/03/28 13:32:54
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Line 972 double func( double *x)
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Line 972 double func( double *x)
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* is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. |
* is higher than the multiple of stepm and negative otherwise. |
*/ |
*/ |
/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ |
/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>1.e-8 ?(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ |
lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2])); /* linear interpolation */ |
if( s2 > nlstate){ |
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/* i.e. if s2 is a death state and if the date of death is known then the contribution |
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to the likelihood is the probability to die between last step unit time and current |
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step unit time, which is also the differences between probability to die before dh |
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and probability to die before dh-stepm . |
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In version up to 0.92 likelihood was computed |
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as if date of death was unknown. Death was treated as any other |
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health state: the date of the interview describes the actual state |
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and not the date of a change in health state. The former idea was |
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to consider that at each interview the state was recorded |
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(healthy, disable or death) and IMaCh was corrected; but when we |
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introduced the exact date of death then we should have modified |
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the contribution of an exact death to the likelihood. This new |
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contribution is smaller and very dependent of the step unit |
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stepm. It is no more the probability to die between last interview |
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and month of death but the probability to survive from last |
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interview up to one month before death multiplied by the |
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probability to die within a month. Thanks to Chris |
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Jackson for correcting this bug. Former versions increased |
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mortality artificially. The bad side is that we add another loop |
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which slows down the processing. The difference can be up to 10% |
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lower mortality. |
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*/ |
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lli=log(out[s1][s2] - savm[s1][s2]); |
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}else{ |
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lli= log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*savm[s1][s2]); /* linear interpolation */ |
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/* lli= (savm[s1][s2]>(double)1.e-8 ?log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]- bbh*(savm[s1][s2])):log((1.+bbh)*out[s1][s2]));*/ /* linear interpolation */ |
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} |
/*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ |
/*lli=(1.+bbh)*log(out[s1][s2])- bbh*log(savm[s1][s2]);*/ |
/*if(lli ==000.0)*/ |
/*if(lli ==000.0)*/ |
/*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ |
/*printf("bbh= %f lli=%f savm=%f out=%f %d\n",bbh,lli,savm[s1][s2], out[s[mw[mi][i]][i]][s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]],i); */ |
ipmx +=1; |
ipmx +=1; |
sw += weight[i]; |
sw += weight[i]; |
ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; |
ll[s[mw[mi][i]][i]] += 2*weight[i]*lli; |
} /* end of wave */ |
} /* end of wave */ |
Line 1707 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
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Line 1734 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
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sum=sum+j; |
sum=sum+j; |
/*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ |
/*if (j<0) printf("j=%d num=%d \n",j,i); */ |
/* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ |
/* printf("%d %d %d %d\n", s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i],j,i);*/ |
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/*printf("%d %lf %d %d %d\n", i,agev[mw[mi][i]][i],j,s[mw[mi][i]][i] ,s[mw[mi+1][i]][i]);*/ |
} |
} |
} |
} |
else{ |
else{ |
Line 1744 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
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Line 1772 void concatwav(int wav[], int **dh, int
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if(dh[mi][i]==0){ |
if(dh[mi][i]==0){ |
dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ |
dh[mi][i]=1; /* At least one step */ |
bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ |
bh[mi][i]=ju; /* At least one step */ |
printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i); |
/* printf(" bh=%d ju=%d jl=%d dh=%d jk=%d stepm=%d %d\n",bh[mi][i],ju,jl,dh[mi][i],jk,stepm,i);*/ |
} |
} |
} |
} |
} /* end if mle */ |
} /* end if mle */ |
Line 2279 void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
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Line 2307 void varevsij(char optionfilefiname[], d
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fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3+1.96*$4)) t \"95\%% interval\" w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(ficgp,"\n replot \"%s\" u 1:(($3-1.96*$4)) not w l 2 ",fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> File (multiple files are possible if covariates are present): <A href=\"%s\">%s</a>\n",fileresprobmorprev,fileresprobmorprev); |
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,digit); |
fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months. <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", estepm,digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); |
/* fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); |
/* fprintf(fichtm,"\n<br> Probability is computed over estepm=%d months and then divided by estepm and multiplied by %.0f in order to have the probability to die over a year <br> <img src=\"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\"> <br>\n", stepm,YEARM,digitp,digit); |
*/ |
*/ |
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,digit); |
fprintf(ficgp,"\nset out \"varmuptjgr%s%s%s.png\";replot;",digitp,optionfilefiname,digit); |
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free_vector(xp,1,npar); |
free_vector(xp,1,npar); |
free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); |
free_matrix(doldm,1,nlstate,1,nlstate); |
Line 3087 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
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Line 3115 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
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fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); |
fprintf(ficresf,"\n"); |
fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); |
fprintf(ficresf,"\n# Forecasting at date %.lf/%.lf/%.lf ",jproj1,mproj1,anproj1+yearp); |
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for (agec=fage; agec>=ageminpar; agec--){ |
for (agec=fage; agec>=(ageminpar-1); agec--){ |
nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); |
nhstepm=(int) rint((agelim-agec)*YEARM/stepm); |
nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; |
nhstepm = nhstepm/hstepm; |
p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); |
p3mat=ma3x(1,nlstate+ndeath,1, nlstate+ndeath, 0,nhstepm); |
Line 3103 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
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Line 3131 prevforecast(char fileres[], double anpr
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} |
} |
for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { |
for(j=1; j<=nlstate+ndeath;j++) { |
ppij=0.; |
ppij=0.; |
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { |
for(i=1; i<=nlstate;i++) { |
if (mobilav==1) |
if (mobilav==1) |
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec+1][i][cptcod]; |
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*mobaverage[(int)agec][i][cptcod]; |
else { |
else { |
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec+1)][i][cptcod]; |
ppij=ppij+p3mat[i][j][h]*probs[(int)(agec)][i][cptcod]; |
} |
} |
if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)) |
if (h==(int)(YEARM*yearp)) |
fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); |
fprintf(ficresf," %.3f", p3mat[i][j][h]); |
Line 3615 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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Line 3643 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; |
if (s[4][i]==9) s[4][i]=-1; |
printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ |
printf("%d %.lf %.lf %.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d %.lf/%.lf %d\n",num[i],(covar[1][i]), (covar[2][i]), (weight[i]), (moisnais[i]), (annais[i]), (moisdc[i]), (andc[i]), (mint[1][i]), (anint[1][i]), (s[1][i]), (mint[2][i]), (anint[2][i]), (s[2][i]), (mint[3][i]), (anint[3][i]), (s[3][i]), (mint[4][i]), (anint[4][i]), (s[4][i]));}*/ |
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for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) |
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/*if ((s[3][i]==3) || (s[4][i]==3)) weight[i]=0.08; |
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else weight[i]=1;*/ |
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/* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ |
/* Calculation of the number of parameter from char model*/ |
Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ |
Tvar=ivector(1,15); /* stores the number n of the covariates in Vm+Vn at 1 and m at 2 */ |
Tprod=ivector(1,15); |
Tprod=ivector(1,15); |
Line 3717 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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Line 3749 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); |
agedc[i]=(moisdc[i]/12.+andc[i])-(moisnais[i]/12.+annais[i]); |
for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ |
for(m=firstpass; (m<= lastpass); m++){ |
if(s[m][i] >0){ |
if(s[m][i] >0){ |
if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { |
if (s[m][i] >= nlstate+1) { |
if(agedc[i]>0) |
if(agedc[i]>0) |
Line 3760 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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Line 3792 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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} |
} |
for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
for (i=1; i<=imx; i++) { |
for(m=1; (m<= maxwav); m++){ |
for(m=firstpass; (m<=lastpass); m++){ |
if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { |
if (s[m][i] > (nlstate+ndeath)) { |
printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
printf("Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
fprintf(ficlog,"Error: on wave %d of individual %d status %d > (nlstate+ndeath)=(%d+%d)=%d\n",m,i,s[m][i],nlstate, ndeath, nlstate+ndeath); |
Line 3769 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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Line 3801 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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} |
} |
} |
} |
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/*for (i=1; i<=imx; i++){ |
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for (m=firstpass; (m<lastpass); m++){ |
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printf("%d %d %.lf %d %d\n", num[i],(covar[1][i]),agev[m][i],s[m][i],s[m+1][i]); |
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} |
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}*/ |
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printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
printf("Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
fprintf(ficlog,"Total number of individuals= %d, Agemin = %.2f, Agemax= %.2f\n\n", imx, agemin, agemax); |
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Line 3982 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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Line 4021 int main(int argc, char *argv[])
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fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); |
fscanf(ficpar,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf final-proj-date=%lf/%lf/%lf mobil_average=%d\n",&prevfcast,&jproj1,&mproj1,&anproj1,&jproj2,&mproj2,&anproj2,&mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficparo,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",&prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
printf("prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficlog,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobilaverage=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
fprintf(ficres,"prevforecast=%d starting-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf final-proj-date=%.lf/%.lf/%.lf mobil_average=%d\n",prevfcast,jproj1,mproj1,anproj1,jproj2,mproj2,anproj2,mobilavproj); |
/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ |
/* day and month of proj2 are not used but only year anproj2.*/ |
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while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ |
while((c=getc(ficpar))=='#' && c!= EOF){ |