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Demodynamiques, Mason, Nair
INSTITUT NATIONAL D'ETUDES DEMOGRAPHIQUES (Paris)
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Séminaire "Démodynamiques"
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Karen Oppenheim Mason, Directrice du Program on Population East-West
Center, présentera demain jeudi 18 septembre 1997, de 14 à 15 h (salle du
3e étage)
un exposé intitulé :
"Islam, the status of women, and reproductive behavior in five Asian countries"
La discussion sera introduite par Cem Behar (Université du Bosphore-Ined).
L'exposé sera retransmis en direct sur internet (audio) ainsi qu'en différé
jusqu'à la prochaine séance
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Fertility Transition in Kerala (India): A model
Sadasivan NAïR(*)
Jeudi 25 septembre 1997, de 14 à 15 h (salle du 3e étage)
(*)Director Department of Demography & Population Research Centre,
University of Kerala, Trivandrum
695 010, India
L'exposé sera retransmis en direct sur internet (audio)
Résumé
Although India is in the midst of a demographic transition to lower
fertility and mortality, Kerala - a province in the extreme South - has
almost completed the transition. The current vital rates are: CBR=17 p.
1,000, CDR=6,IMR=13 and life expectancy at birth = 70 years. The Total
Fertility Rate of 1.9 implies that Kerala has already reached below
replacement level of fertility.
A matter of demographic significance is that the celebrated demographic
transition 'theory' and its props appear less adequate to explain the
transition underway in the Third world especially in South Asia. Kerala is
a case in point.
Based on the demographic knowledge on Kerala and certain hypotheses to be
tested or documented, the author proposes a model for explaining the
fertility transition in Kerala. Unlike other parts of India, Kerala enjoyed
certain unique historical and socio-cultural factors which could provide an
effective 'launching pad' for the success of the government sponsored
fertility control measures. Those 'background' factors may have had some
catalytic effect on the social and economic measures, however limited, the
successive popular governments have pursued in Kerala. This has enhanced
the level of human development and created the much needed 'small family
norm' in the community. The higher level of Human development, well
crystallized small family norm and intensive and concerted governmental
efforts on family planning have enhanced contraceptive prevalence among
married women with less dispersions on the rural-urban background,
religions and socio-economic groups among the people. Higher contraception
coupled with other 'proximate' determinants such as higher age at marriage
and higher proportions of women remaining single may have contributed for
the achievement of replacement levels of fertility in Kerala.
La discussion sera introduite par Jacques Véron (Ined).
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On peut trouver le programme du séminaire sur
http://sauvy.ined.fr/seminaires/demodynamiques ou le recevoir sur la
liste(listserver) demodyn@sauvy.ined.fr
L'INED est situé au 27 rue du Commandeur à Paris dans le 14e arrondissement,
à 3 minutes du métro Alésia. Tél: 01 42 18 20 00. Un texte est généralement
disponible une semaine avant l'exposé au secrétariat, tél 01 42 18 20 18.
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Vous pouvez proposer des interventions de scientifiques de passage en France
ou de vous même auprès des animateurs.
D'autres renseignements ainsi que les textes fournis par les intervenants
peuvent être obtenus auprès d'E. Turpault, tél : 01 42 18 20 18.
INED, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75014 Paris, métro Alésia.
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Les responsables du séminaire Démodynamiques
(http://sauvy.ined.fr/seminaires/demodynamiques)
Nicolas Brouard et Laurent Toulemon
brouard@ined.fr toulemon@ined.fr