DEMOGRAPHIC ASPECTS AND CONSEQUENCES OF THE AIDS EPIDEMIC (p. 159 bis)

Figure 25 bis. -- Probability of death in the following year by age (A) before the epidemice and (B) during the stable epidemic, with the following hypotheses: (A) life expectancy is 50 years before the epidemic (ouest model), total female fertility african is 6.7 children per woman, HIV prevalence among population aged 15 and over reaches 15 %, mother to child transmission is 30 %, mean survival time (incub.+AIDS) of an adult is 10 years and 2 years for an infected new-born.